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Evapotranspiration is a necessary input and one of the most uncertain hydrologic variables for quantifying the water balance. Key to accurately predicting hydrologic processes, particularly under data scarcity, is the development of an understanding of the regional variation of the impact of potential evapotranspiration (PET) data inputs on model performance and parametrization. This study explores this impact using four different potential evapotranspiration products (of varying quality). For each data product, a lumped conceptual rainfall–runoff model (GR4J) is tested on a sample of 57 catchments included in the MOPEX data set. Monte Carlo sampling is performed, and the resulting parameter sets are analyzed to understand how the model responds to differences in the forcings. Test catchments are classified as energy- or water-limited using the Budyko framework and by eco-region, and the results are further analyzed. While model performance (and parameterization) in water-limited sites was found to be largely unaffected by the differences in the evapotranspiration inputs, in energy-limited sites model performance was impacted as model parameterizations were clearly sensitive to evapotranspiration inputs. The quality/reliability of PET data required to avoid negatively impacting rainfall–runoff model performance was found to vary primarily based on the water and energy availability of catchments. HIGHLIGHTS Model sensitivity to potential evapotranspiration (PET) errors was explored based on eco-regional and Budyko classifications.; Although the model was not found to be sensitive to eco-region classification, the sensitivity varied along the water- to energy-limited continuum.; This information, critically, can be used to better allocate limited resources for performing data collection and modeling and has benefits in data-scarce regions.

Most conceptual hydrological models do not treat vegetation as a dynamic component. This study focuses on understanding the impact of model structural complexity on the sensitivity of hydrologic mo...

Attention has recently increased on the use of hydrological signatures as a potential tool for assessing the fidelity of model structures and providing insights into the transfer of model parameters. The utility of hydrological signatures as model performance/reliability indicators in a calibration-validation testing scenario (i.e., the temporal transfer of model parameters) is the focus of this study. The Probability Distributed Model, a flexible conceptual hydrological model, is used to test the approach across a number of catchments included in the MOPEX data set. We explore the change in model performance across calibration and validation time periods and contrast it to the corresponding change in several hydrological signatures to assess signature worth. Results are explored in finer detail by utilizing a moving window approach to calibration and validation time periods. The results of this study indicated that the most informative signature can vary, both spatially and temporally, based on physical and climatic characteristics and their interaction to the model parameterization. Thus, one signature could not adequately illustrate complex watershed behaviors nor predict model performance in new analysis periods.