1. Refining Risk Criteria May Substantially Reduce Unnecessary Additional Surgeries after Local Resection of T1 Colorectal Cancer.
- Author
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Martínez de Juan, Fernando, Navarro, Samuel, and Machado, Isidro
- Subjects
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RISK assessment , *LYMPH nodes , *UNNECESSARY surgery , *CANCER invasiveness , *LOGISTIC regression analysis , *COLORECTAL cancer , *DESCRIPTIVE statistics , *TUMOR grading , *METASTASIS , *CONFIDENCE intervals , *COLECTOMY - Abstract
Simple Summary: Current clinical practice guidelines support additional locoregional surgery after local resection of early colorectal cancer when one or more of the following risk factors are present: poor differentiation grade, lymphovascular invasion, deep submucosal invasion, moderate or high tumor budding, and deep margin involvement. The absence of all these risk criteria selects a subgroup of patients with very good prognosis that can safely avoid additional surgery. However, lymph node metastases are only identified in 10–20% of patients who ultimately undergo additional surgery, so that 80–90% of the surgeries turn out to be unnecessary. In this investigation, we find that indicating additional surgery in early colorectal cancer only when either moderate or high tumor budding, poorly differentiated clusters, or lymphovascular invasion are present could reduce unnecessary surgeries by 40–45% without significantly increasing the proportion of patients with lymph node metastases who are not offered additional surgery. Background: The low positive predictive value for lymph node metastases (LNM) of common practice risk criteria (CPRC) in T1 colorectal carcinoma (CRC) leads to manyunnecessary additional surgeries following local resection. This study aimed to identify criteria that may improve on the CPRC. Methods: Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the association of diverse variables with LNM or 'poor outcome' (LNM and/or distant metastases and/or recurrence) in a single center T1 CRC cohort. The diagnostic capacity of the set of variables obtained was compared with that of the CPRC. Results: The study comprised 161 cases. Poorly differentiated clusters (PDC) and tumor budding grade > 1 (TB > 1) were the only independent variables associated with LNM. The area under the curve (AUC) for these criteria was 0.808 (CI 95% 0.717–0.880) compared to 0.582 (CI 95% 0.479–0.680) for CPRC. TB > 1 and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were independently associated with 'poor outcome', with an AUC of 0.801 (CI 95% 0.731–0.859), while the AUC for CPRC was 0.691 (CI 95% 0.603–0.752). TB > 1, combined either with PDC or LVI, would reduce false positives between 41.5% and 45% without significantly increasing false negatives. Conclusions: Indicating additional surgery in T1 CRC only when either TB > 1, PDC, or LVI are present could reduce unnecessary surgeries significantly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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