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Summary Background The intermittent administration of seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) is recommended to prevent malaria among children aged 3–59 months in areas of the Sahel subregion in Africa. However, the cost-effectiveness and cost savings of SMC have not previously been evaluated in large-scale studies. Methods We did a cost-effectiveness and cost-savings analysis of a large-scale, multi-country SMC campaign with sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine plus amodiaquine for children younger than 5 years in seven countries in the Sahel subregion (Burkina Faso, Chad, Guinea, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, and The Gambia) in 2016. The financial and economic costs were analysed from the programmatic perspective and are reported in 2016 US$ for each country. The estimated numbers of averted malaria cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were based on numbers of SMC treatments administered and modelled malaria transmission. Cost savings were calculated from a programmatic perspective corresponding to the diagnostic and treatment costs for malaria cases averted. Findings The total cost of SMC for all seven countries was $22·8 million, and the weighted average economic cost of administering four monthly SMC cycles was $3·63 per child (ranging from $2·71 in Niger to $8·20 in The Gambia). Based on 80% modelled effectiveness of SMC, the incremental economic cost per malaria case averted ranged from $2·91 in Niger to $30·73 in The Gambia; the cost per severe case averted ranged from $119·63 in Niger to $506·00 in The Gambia; the cost per death averted ranged from $533·56 in Niger to $2256·92 in The Gambia; and the cost per DALY averted (discounted by 3%) ranged from $18·66 in Niger to $78·91 in The Gambia. The estimated total economic cost savings to the health systems in all seven countries were US$66·0 million and the total net economic cost savings were US$43·2 million. Interpretation SMC is a low-cost and highly cost-effective intervention that contributes to substantial cost savings by reducing malaria diagnostic and treatment costs among children. Funding Unitaid.

Seasonal malaria chemoprevention is used in 13 countries in the Sahel region of Africa to prevent malaria in children younger than 5 years. Resistance of Plasmodium falciparum to seasonal malaria chemoprevention drugs across the region is a potential threat to this intervention.Between December, 2015, and March, 2016, and between December, 2017, and March, 2018, immediately following the 2015 and 2017 malaria transmission seasons, community surveys were done among children younger than 5 years and individuals aged 10-30 years in districts implementing seasonal malaria chemoprevention with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine in Burkina Faso, Chad, Guinea, Mali, Nigeria, Niger and The Gambia. Dried blood samples were collected and tested for P falciparum DNA by PCR. Resistance-associated haplotypes of the P falciparum genes crt, mdr1, dhfr, and dhps were identified by quantitative PCR and sequencing of isolates from the collected samples, and survey-weighted prevalence and prevalence ratio between the first and second surveys were estimated for each variant.5130 (17·5%) of 29 274 samples from 2016 and 2176 (7·6%) of 28 546 samples from 2018 were positive for P falciparum on quantitative PCR. Among children younger than 5 years, parasite carriage decreased from 2844 of 14 345 samples (19·8% [95% CI 19·2-20·5]) in 2016 to 801 of 14 019 samples (5·7% [5·3-6·1]) in 2018 (prevalence ratio 0·27 [95% CI 0·24-0·31], p0·0001). Genotyping found no consistent evidence of increasing prevalence of amodiaquine resistance-associated variants of crt and mdr1 between 2016 and 2018. The dhfr haplotype IRN (consisting of 51Ile-59Arg-108Asn) was common at both survey timepoints, but the dhps haplotype ISGEAA (431Ile-436Ser-437Gly-540Glu-581Ala-613Ala), crucial for resistance to sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine, was always rare. Parasites carrying amodiaquine resistance-associated variants of both crt and mdr1 together with dhfr IRN and dhps ISGEAA occurred in 0·05% of isolates. The emerging dhps haplotype VAGKGS (431Val-436Ala-437Gly-540Lys-581Gly-613Ser) was present in four countries.In seven African countries, evidence of a significant reduction in parasite carriage among children receiving seasonal malaria chemoprevention was found 2 years after intervention scale-up. Combined resistance-associated haplotypes remained rare, and seasonal malaria chemoprevention with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine is expected to retain effectiveness. The threat of future erosion of effectiveness due to dhps variant haplotypes requires further monitoring.Unitaid.

Background Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) has shown high protective efficacy against clinical malaria and severe malaria in a series of clinical trials. We evaluated the effectiveness of SMC treatments against clinical malaria when delivered at scale through national malaria control programmes in 2015 and 2016. Methods and findings Case–control studies were carried out in Mali and The Gambia in 2015, and in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Nigeria, and The Gambia in 2016. Children aged 3–59 months presenting at selected health facilities with microscopically confirmed clinical malaria were recruited as cases. Two controls per case were recruited concurrently (on or shortly after the day the case was detected) from the neighbourhood in which the case lived. The primary exposure was the time since the most recent course of SMC treatment, determined from SMC recipient cards, caregiver recall, and administrative records. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) associated with receipt of SMC within the previous 28 days, and SMC 29 to 42 days ago, compared with no SMC in the past 42 days. These ORs, which are equivalent to incidence rate ratios, were used to calculate the percentage reduction in clinical malaria incidence in the corresponding time periods. Results from individual countries were pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. In total, 2,126 cases and 4,252 controls were included in the analysis. Across the 7 studies, the mean age ranged from 1.7 to 2.4 years and from 2.1 to 2.8 years among controls and cases, respectively; 42.2%–50.9% and 38.9%–46.9% of controls and cases, respectively, were male. In all 7 individual case–control studies, a high degree of personal protection from SMC against clinical malaria was observed, ranging from 73% in Mali in 2016 to 98% in Mali in 2015. The overall OR for SMC within 28 days was 0.12 (95% CI: 0.06, 0.21; p < 0.001), indicating a protective effectiveness of 88% (95% CI: 79%, 94%). Effectiveness against clinical malaria for SMC 29–42 days ago was 61% (95% CI: 47%, 72%). Similar results were obtained when the analysis was restricted to cases with parasite density in excess of 5,000 parasites per microlitre: Protective effectiveness 90% (95% CI: 79%, 96%; P, Using case-control studies, Matthew Cairns and colleagues investigate the effectiveness of seasonal malaria chemoprevention against clinical malaria in children in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Nigeria and The Gambia., Author summary Why was this study done? Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) consists of monthly administration of 2 antimalarial drugs, sulphadoxine–pyrimethamine and amodiaquine, to children 3–59 months of age during the peak months of malaria transmission. SMC provided a high level of protection against clinical malaria in clinical trials, and has been recommended by the World Health Organization since 2012 for areas of the Sahel and sub-Sahel regions of Africa with seasonal transmission. This study was done to determine whether the efficacy observed in the trials translated into effectiveness when SMC was deployed at scale. What did the researchers do and find? The researchers carried out case–control studies in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Nigeria, and The Gambia to estimate the protective effectiveness of SMC treatments against clinical malaria. Cases were children with confirmed malaria at a health facility. For each case, 2 controls were chosen from the neighbourhood where the case lived. Dates of SMC treatments were determined from SMC record cards and by asking caregivers. The effectiveness of monthly SMC treatment in preventing clinical malaria was estimated by comparison of when cases and controls had most recently received SMC. In all 7 case–control studies (2 in 2015 and 5 in 2016), SMC provided a high level of protection against clinical malaria. Protection was highest in the first 4 weeks after treatment. Pooling estimates across the 7 studies, clinical malaria incidence during the first 4 weeks after SMC treatment was reduced on average by 88%. Protection from SMC was lower in the period 5–6 weeks post-administration. What do these findings mean? SMC was highly effective in preventing clinical malaria when delivered at scale through national malaria control programmes, with protection comparable to that observed during clinical trials. This case–control design can be used by national malaria control programmes at intervals to confirm that SMC remains effective.

Summary Background Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) aims to prevent malaria in children during the high malaria transmission season. The Achieving Catalytic Expansion of SMC in the Sahel (ACCESS-SMC) project sought to remove barriers to the scale-up of SMC in seven countries in 2015 and 2016. We evaluated the project, including coverage, effectiveness of the intervention, safety, feasibility, drug resistance, and cost-effectiveness. Methods For this observational study, we collected data on the delivery, effectiveness, safety, influence on drug resistance, costs of delivery, impact on malaria incidence and mortality, and cost-effectiveness of SMC, during its administration for 4 months each year (2015 and 2016) to children younger than 5 years, in Burkina Faso, Chad, The Gambia, Guinea, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. SMC was administered monthly by community health workers who visited door-to-door. Drug administration was monitored via tally sheets and via household cluster-sample coverage surveys. Pharmacovigilance was based on targeted spontaneous reporting and monitoring systems were strengthened. Molecular markers of resistance to sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine and amodiaquine in the general population before and 2 years after SMC introduction was assessed from community surveys. Effectiveness of monthly SMC treatments was measured in case-control studies that compared receipt of SMC between patients with confirmed malaria and neighbourhood-matched community controls eligible to receive SMC. Impact on incidence and mortality was assessed from confirmed outpatient cases, hospital admissions, and deaths associated with malaria, as reported in national health management information systems in Burkina Faso and The Gambia, and from data from selected outpatient facilities (all countries). Provider costs of SMC were estimated from financial costs, costs of health-care staff time, and volunteer opportunity costs, and cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated as the total cost of SMC in each country divided by the predicted number of cases averted. Findings 12 467 933 monthly SMC treatments were administered in 2015 to a target population of 3 650 455 children, and 25 117 480 were administered in 2016 to a target population of 7 551 491. In 2015, among eligible children, mean coverage per month was 76·4% (95% CI 74·0–78·8), and 54·5% children (95% CI 50·4–58·7) received all four treatments. Similar coverage was achieved in 2016 (74·8% [72·2–77·3] treated per month and 53·0% [48·5–57·4] treated four times). In 779 individual case safety reports over 2015–16, 36 serious adverse drug reactions were reported (one child with rash, two with fever, 31 with gastrointestinal disorders, one with extrapyramidal syndrome, and one with Quincke's oedema). No cases of severe skin reactions (Stevens-Johnson or Lyell syndrome) were reported. SMC treatment was associated with a protective effectiveness of 88·2% (95% CI 78·7–93·4) over 28 days in case-control studies (2185 cases of confirmed malaria and 4370 controls). In Burkina Faso and The Gambia, implementation of SMC was associated with reductions in the number of malaria deaths in hospital during the high transmission period, of 42·4% (95% CI 5·9 to 64·7) in Burkina Faso and 56·6% (28·9 to 73·5) in The Gambia. Over 2015–16, the estimated reduction in confirmed malaria cases at outpatient clinics during the high transmission period in the seven countries ranged from 25·5% (95% CI 6·1 to 40·9) in Nigeria to 55·2% (42·0 to 65·3) in The Gambia. Molecular markers of resistance occurred at low frequencies. In individuals aged 10–30 years without SMC, the combined mutations associated with resistance to amodiaquine (pfcrt CVIET haplotype and pfmdr1 mutations [86Tyr and 184Tyr]) had a prevalence of 0·7% (95% CI 0·4–1·2) in 2016 and 0·4% (0·1–0·8) in 2018 (prevalence ratio 0·5 [95% CI 0·2–1·2]), and the quintuple mutation associated with resistance to sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine (triple mutation in pfdhfr and pfdhps mutations [437Gly and 540Glu]) had a prevalence of 0·2% (0·1–0·5) in 2016 and 1·0% (0·6–1·6) in 2018 (prevalence ratio 4·8 [1·7–13·7]). The weighted average economic cost of administering four monthly SMC treatments was US$3·63 per child. Interpretation SMC at scale was effective in preventing morbidity and mortality from malaria. Serious adverse reactions were rarely reported. Coverage varied, with some areas consistently achieving high levels via door-to-door campaigns. Markers of resistance to sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine and amodiaquine remained uncommon, but with some selection for resistance to sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine, and the situation needs to be carefully monitored. These findings should support efforts to ensure high levels of SMC coverage in west and central Africa. Funding Unitaid.