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2. Distribution, characteristics and potential of biomass-dense thinning forests in Sweden

Author

Fernandez-Lacruz, Raul, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Athanassiadis, Dimitris, Bergström, Dan, and Nordfjell, Tomas

Subjects
Forestry, SD1-669.5
Abstract

Understanding the characteristics of unutilized biomass resources, such as small-diameter trees from biomass-dense thinning forests (BDTF) (non-commercially-thinned forests), can provide important information for developing a bio-based economy. The aim of this study was to describe the areal distribution, characteristics (biomass of growing stock, tree height, etc.) and harvesting potential of BDTF in Sweden. A national forest inventory plot dataset was imported into a geographical information system and plots containing BDTF were selected by applying increasingly stringent constraints. Results show that, depending on the constraints applied, BDTF covers 9â44% (2.1â9.8 M ha) of the productive forest land area, and contains 7â34% of the total growing stock (119â564 M OD t), with an average biomass density of 57 OD t ha. Of the total BDTF area, 65% is located in northern Sweden and 2% corresponds to set-aside farmlands. Comparisons with a study from 2008 indicate that BDTF area has increased by at least 4% (about 102â000 ha), in line with general trends for Sweden and Europe. Analyses revealed that the technical harvesting potential of delimbed stemwood (over bark, including tops) from BDTF ranges from 3.0 to 6.1 M OD t yr (7.5 to 15.1 M myr), while the potential of whole-tree harvesting ranges from 4.3 to 8.7 M OD t yr (10.2 to 20.6 M myr) depending on the scenario considered. However, further technological developments of the harvest and supply systems are needed to utilize the full potential of BDTF.â1â13 â1â13 â1

Published
2015
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3. Productivity and profitability of harvesting power line corridors for bioenergy

Author

Fernandez-Lacruz, Raul, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, and Bergström, Dan

Subjects
Forestry, SD1-669.5
Abstract

Trees growing under the wires and around the pylons carrying power lines (PL) represent a significant threat to the power supply because they can cause power outages and damage. The vegetation in these PL corridors is cleared motor-manually on a regular basis, which represents about 50% of the PL maintenance costs. In Sweden, PL corridors account for 140â000 ha of productive forest land, with an estimated bioenergy potential of 3 TWh/year. The aim of this study was to measure the productivity of a harvester (with an accumulating felling head) and a forwarder, performing PL corridor clearing (with the collection of whole trees for energy use) and to calculate how the cost and economic profitability is dependent on tree height, biomass removal, harvested area, forwarding distance and wood fuel price. The study also compared the economic profitability of the mechanized harvesting system with motor-manual clearing. Experimental units were inventoried along a PL corridor in central Sweden and a time study of one harvester and one forwarder (with a single operator per machine), working in those units, was carried out. The results showed that if the tree height was greater than about 6 m, the mechanized harvesting system became a more cost-efficient alternative, when compared to motor-manual clearing, but it was also found that mechanized clearing is not always the most cost-effective option. Nevertheless, mechanization of PL clearing has a huge potential for expansion, requiring further research in the combined management of the PL corridors and side areas.

Published
2013
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4. Climate targets in European timber-producing countries conflict with goals on forest ecosystem services and biodiversity

Author

Blattert, Clemens, Mönkkönen, Mikko, Burgas, Daniel, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Toraño Caicoya, Astor, Vergarechea, Marta, Klein, Julian, Hartikainen, Markus, Antón-Fernández, Clara, Astrup, Rasmus, Emmerich, Michael, Forsell, Nicklas, Lukkarinen, Jani, Lundström, Johanna, Pitzén, Samuli, Poschenrieder, Werner, Primmer, Eeva, Snäll, Tord, and Eyvindson, Kyle

Published
2023
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8. Global forest management data for 2015 at a 100 m resolution

Author

Lesiv, Myroslava, Schepaschenko, Dmitry, Buchhorn, Marcel, See, Linda, Dürauer, Martina, Georgieva, Ivelina, Jung, Martin, Hofhansl, Florian, Schulze, Katharina, Bilous, Andrii, Blyshchyk, Volodymyr, Mukhortova, Liudmila, Brenes, Carlos Luis Muñoz, Krivobokov, Leonid, Ntie, Stephan, Tsogt, Khongor, Pietsch, Stephan Alexander, Tikhonova, Elena, Kim, Moonil, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Su, Yuan-Fong, Zadorozhniuk, Roma, Sirbu, Flavius Sorin, Panging, Kripal, Bilous, Svitlana, Kovalevskii, Sergii B., Kraxner, Florian, Rabia, Ahmed Harb, Vasylyshyn, Roman, Ahmed, Rekib, Diachuk, Petro, Kovalevskyi, Serhii S., Bungnamei, Khangsembou, Bordoloi, Kusumbor, Churilov, Andrii, Vasylyshyn, Olesia, Sahariah, Dhrubajyoti, Tertyshnyi, Anatolii P., Saikia, Anup, Malek, Žiga, Singha, Kuleswar, Feshchenko, Roman, Prestele, Reinhard, Akhtar, Ibrar ul Hassan, Sharma, Kiran, Domashovets, Galyna, Spawn-Lee, Seth A., Blyshchyk, Oleksii, Slyva, Oleksandr, Ilkiv, Mariia, Melnyk, Oleksandr, Sliusarchuk, Vitalii, Karpuk, Anatolii, Terentiev, Andrii, Bilous, Valentin, Blyshchyk, Kateryna, Bilous, Maxim, Bogovyk, Nataliia, Blyshchyk, Ivan, Bartalev, Sergey, Yatskov, Mikhail, Smets, Bruno, Visconti, Piero, Mccallum, Ian, Obersteiner, Michael, and Fritz, Steffen

Published
2022
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9. Simulation of Shelterwood Logging in the Global Forest Model (G4M)

Author

Gusti, Mykola, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Forsell, Nicklas, Kacprzyk, Janusz, Series Editor, Pal, Nikhil R., Advisory Editor, Bello Perez, Rafael, Advisory Editor, Corchado, Emilio S., Advisory Editor, Hagras, Hani, Advisory Editor, Kóczy, László T., Advisory Editor, Kreinovich, Vladik, Advisory Editor, Lin, Chin-Teng, Advisory Editor, Lu, Jie, Advisory Editor, Melin, Patricia, Advisory Editor, Nedjah, Nadia, Advisory Editor, Nguyen, Ngoc Thanh, Advisory Editor, Wang, Jun, Advisory Editor, Shakhovska, Natalya, editor, and Medykovskyy, Mykola O., editor

Published
2021
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11. Impacts of Long-term Strategies for the Swedish Forest Sector : Analyses with the BioFrame Integrated Modelling Framework

Author

Eriksson, Ljusk Ola, Jonsson, Ragnar, Berndes, Göran, Forsell, Nicklas, di Fulvio, Fulvio, Poudel, Bishnu Chandra, Bergh, Johan, Eriksson, Ljusk Ola, Jonsson, Ragnar, Berndes, Göran, Forsell, Nicklas, di Fulvio, Fulvio, Poudel, Bishnu Chandra, and Bergh, Johan

Abstract

The European Union (EU) does not have a common forestry policy but EU policies can indirectly affect the forest sector. This study departs from the EU "Fit for 55" package of legislation and uses a forest sector model to simulate and analyze three responses in the Swedish forest sector (2020-2100) to policy initiatives addressing climate change and biodiversity: (i) increasing the area of set-asides with 50%; (ii) prohibiting harvest of old forest (>120/140 years of age); and (iii) extending the minimum allowed age for final harvest with 30%. Results indicate that, while all three responses can reduce net carbon emissions compared to business-as-usual, extension of the minimum allowed age for final harvest reduces emissions the most. In general, the effects on net carbon emissions are highly correlated with the level of harvest. Increasing the area of set-asides and prohibiting old forest harvest help preserve old forest better than both business-as-usual and final felling age regulation. Longer-term results are uncertain as policies and technology development can radically change biomass use, product portfolios and displacement effects.

Published
2024
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13. Impact of the EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 on the EU Wood-Based Bioeconomy

Author

di Fulvio, Fulvio, primary, Snäll, Tord, additional, Lauri, Pekka, additional, Forsell, Nicklas, additional, Mönkkönen, Mikko, additional, Burgas, Daniel, additional, Blattert, Clemens, additional, Eyvindson, Kyle, additional, Toraño Caicoya, Astor, additional, Vergarechea, Marta, additional, Antón-Fernández, Clara, additional, Klein, Julian, additional, Astrup, Rasmus, additional, Lukkarinen, Jani Petteri, additional, Pitzén, Samuli, additional, and Primmer, Eeva, additional

Published
2024
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14. Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Author

Leclère, David, Obersteiner, Michael, Barrett, Mike, Butchart, Stuart H. M., Chaudhary, Abhishek, De Palma, Adriana, DeClerck, Fabrice A. J., Di Marco, Moreno, Doelman, Jonathan C., Dürauer, Martina, Freeman, Robin, Harfoot, Michael, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P., Hill, Samantha L. L., Humpenöder, Florian, Jennings, Nancy, Krisztin, Tamás, Mace, Georgina M., Ohashi, Haruka, Popp, Alexander, Purvis, Andy, Schipper, Aafke M., Tabeau, Andrzej, Valin, Hugo, van Meijl, Hans, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, Visconti, Piero, Alkemade, Rob, Almond, Rosamunde, Bunting, Gill, Burgess, Neil D., Cornell, Sarah E., Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Ferrier, Simon, Fritz, Steffen, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Grooten, Monique, Harwood, Thomas, Havlík, Petr, Herrero, Mario, Hoskins, Andrew J., Jung, Martin, Kram, Tom, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meyer, Carsten, Nel, Deon, Newbold, Tim, Schmidt-Traub, Guido, Stehfest, Elke, Strassburg, Bernardo B. N., van Vuuren, Detlef P., Ware, Chris, Watson, James E. M., Wu, Wenchao, and Young, Lucy

Published
2020
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17. Prioritizing Forest Multifunctionality Requires a Diverse Range of Management Alternatives to Account for Ecosystem Services' Interactions

Author

Toraño Caicoya, Astor, primary, Vergarechea, Marta, additional, Blattert, Clemens, additional, Klein, Julian, additional, Eyvindson, Kyle, additional, Burgas, Daniel, additional, Snäll, Tord, additional, Mönkkönen, Mikko, additional, Astrup, Rasmus, additional, di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Forsell, Nicklas, additional, Hartikainen, Markus, additional, Uhl, Enno, additional, Poschenrieder, Werner, additional, and Antón-Fernández, Clara, additional

Published
2023
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18. Better forest policies and management for sustainability transformations : How can expectations for forests be met?

Author

Fernández, Clara Antón, primary, Blattert, Clemens, additional, Burgas, Daniel, additional, Eyvindson, Kyle, additional, di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Forsell, Nicklas, additional, Hartikainen, Markus, additional, Klein, Julian, additional, Lukkarinen, Jani, additional, Mönkkönen, Mikko, additional, Pitzén, Samuli, additional, Primmer, Eeva, additional, Snäll, Tord, additional, Toraño-Caicoya, Astor, additional, Vergarechea, Marta, additional, and Øistad, Knut, additional

Published
2022
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22. Material substitution between coniferous, non-coniferous and recycled biomass – Impacts on forest industry raw material use and regional competitiveness

Author

Snäll, Tord, Lauri, Pekka, Forsell, Nicklas, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, and Havlik, Petr

Subjects
Economics
Abstract

The competitive advantage of traditional forest industry regions such as North America, Russia and the EU is based largely on the production and processing of coniferous (C) biomass. However, non-coniferous (NC) and recycled (R) biomass provide cost-effective alternatives to C biomass, which have already decreased the proportion of C biomass use and which can potentially have large impacts on the future development of the global forest sector. In this study, we investigate the impacts of material substitution between C, NC and R biomass on forest industry raw material use and regional competitiveness from 2020 to 2100. The analysis is based on a global spatially-explicit forest sector model (GLOBIOM-forest). Our results indicate that traditional forest industry regions can maintain their competitiveness in a baseline scenario where C and NC biomass remain imperfect substitutes, and the development of the circular economy increases the availability of R biomass. Limited availability of R biomass would increase the competitiveness of traditional forest industry regions relative to the baseline. On the other hand, a perfect substitution between C and NC biomass would decrease the competitiveness of traditional forest industry regions relative to the baseline, and increase the competitiveness of emerging forest industry regions such as South America, Asia and Africa. We also show that the increased availability of R biomass tends to decrease demand for pulpwood and might lead to an oversupply of pulpwood especially in traditional forest industry regions. This opens new perspectives for pulpwood use and/or forest management in these regions.

Published
2021

23. Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale

Author

Li, Wei, Ciais, Philippe, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Popp, Alexander, Arneth, Almut, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Doelman, Jonathan, Humpenöder, Florian, Harper, Anna, Park, Taejin, Makowski, David, Havlik, Petr, Obersteiner, Michael, Wang, Jingmeng, Krause, Andreas, Liu, Wenfeng, Li, Wei, Ciais, Philippe, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Popp, Alexander, Arneth, Almut, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Doelman, Jonathan, Humpenöder, Florian, Harper, Anna, Park, Taejin, Makowski, David, Havlik, Petr, Obersteiner, Michael, Wang, Jingmeng, Krause, Andreas, and Liu, Wenfeng

Abstract

Abstract. Most scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) that project greenhouse gas emissions include the use of bioenergy as a means to reduce CO2 emissions or even to achieving negative emissions (together with CCS). The potential amount of CO2 that can be removed from the atmosphere depends, among others, on the yields of bioenergy crops, the land available to grow these crops and the efficiency with which CO2 produced by combustion is captured. While bioenergy crop yields can be simulated by models, estimates of the spatial distribution of bioenergy yields under current technology based on a large number of observations are currently lacking. In this study, a random forest algorithm is used to upscale a bioenergy yield dataset of 3,963 observations covering Miscanthus, switchgrass, eucalypt, poplar and willow using climatic and soil conditions as explanatory variables. The results are global yield maps of five important lignocellulosic bioenergy crops under current technology, climate and atmospheric CO2 conditions at a 0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution. We also provide a combined “best bioenergy crop” yield map by selecting the one of the five crop types with the highest yield in each of the grid cell, eucalypt and Miscanthus in most cases. The global median yield of the best crop is 16.3 t DM ha-1 yr-1. High yields mainly occur in the Amazon region and Southeast Asia. We further compare our empirically derived maps with yield maps used in three IAMs and find that the median yields in our maps are > 50 % higher than those in the IAM maps. Our estimates of gridded bioenergy crop yields can be used to provide bioenergy yields for IAMs, to evaluate land surface models, or to identify the most suitable lands for future bioenergy crop plantations. The 0.5° × 0.5° global m

Published
2020

24. Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Author

Environmental Sciences, Leclère, David, Obersteiner, Michael, Barrett, Mike, Butchart, Stuart H M, Chaudhary, Abhishek, De Palma, Adriana, DeClerck, Fabrice A J, Di Marco, Moreno, Doelman, Jonathan C, Dürauer, Martina, Freeman, Robin, Harfoot, Michael, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P, Hill, Samantha L L, Humpenöder, Florian, Jennings, Nancy, Krisztin, Tamás, Mace, Georgina M, Ohashi, Haruka, Popp, Alexander, Purvis, Andy, Schipper, Aafke M, Tabeau, Andrzej, Valin, Hugo, van Meijl, Hans, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, Visconti, Piero, Alkemade, Rob, Almond, Rosamunde, Bunting, Gill, Burgess, Neil D, Cornell, Sarah E, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Ferrier, Simon, Fritz, Steffen, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Grooten, Monique, Harwood, Thomas, Havlík, Petr, Herrero, Mario, Hoskins, Andrew J, Jung, Martin, Kram, Tom, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meyer, Carsten, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef P, Environmental Sciences, Leclère, David, Obersteiner, Michael, Barrett, Mike, Butchart, Stuart H M, Chaudhary, Abhishek, De Palma, Adriana, DeClerck, Fabrice A J, Di Marco, Moreno, Doelman, Jonathan C, Dürauer, Martina, Freeman, Robin, Harfoot, Michael, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P, Hill, Samantha L L, Humpenöder, Florian, Jennings, Nancy, Krisztin, Tamás, Mace, Georgina M, Ohashi, Haruka, Popp, Alexander, Purvis, Andy, Schipper, Aafke M, Tabeau, Andrzej, Valin, Hugo, van Meijl, Hans, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, Visconti, Piero, Alkemade, Rob, Almond, Rosamunde, Bunting, Gill, Burgess, Neil D, Cornell, Sarah E, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Ferrier, Simon, Fritz, Steffen, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Grooten, Monique, Harwood, Thomas, Havlík, Petr, Herrero, Mario, Hoskins, Andrew J, Jung, Martin, Kram, Tom, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meyer, Carsten, Stehfest, Elke, and van Vuuren, Detlef P

Published
2020

25. Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale

Author

Environmental Sciences, Li, Wei, Ciais, Philippe, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Popp, Alexander, Arneth, Almut, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Doelman, Jonathan, Humpenöder, Florian, Harper, Anna, Park, Taejin, Makowski, David, Havlik, Petr, Obersteiner, Michael, Wang, Jingmeng, Krause, Andreas, Liu, Wenfeng, Environmental Sciences, Li, Wei, Ciais, Philippe, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Popp, Alexander, Arneth, Almut, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Doelman, Jonathan, Humpenöder, Florian, Harper, Anna, Park, Taejin, Makowski, David, Havlik, Petr, Obersteiner, Michael, Wang, Jingmeng, Krause, Andreas, and Liu, Wenfeng

Published
2020

26. Journal of Industrial Ecology / Bioeconomic transition? Projecting consumption-based biomass and fossil material flows to 2050

Author

Asada, Raphael, Krisztin, Tamás, di Fulvio, Fulvio, Kraxner, Florian, Asada, Raphael, Krisztin, Tamás, di Fulvio, Fulvio, and Kraxner, Florian

Abstract

Countries are responding to unsustainable resource extraction, rising emissions, and increasing waste streams by implementing national bioeconomy strategies. Assuming that the purpose of a bioeconomy is to replace fossil use by biogenic resource use, we estimate biomass and fossil raw material consumption (RMC) by applying multiregional input–output methodology for middle and high income countries. Next, we use a panel fixed effects model to explain RMC with economically active population, urban population, GDP, land cover, and fossil/biomass domestic material consumption. With this model, we project RMC under five Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios up to 2050. The projections show an increase in per capita biomass RMC between 2010 and 2050, accompanied by—in many cases pronounced—per capita growth of fossil RMC across most of the countries and scenarios. We conclude that, if GDP continues to drive fossil RMC at its current magnitude, upcoming conditions are likely to counteract a potential bioeconomic transition and increase, instead of decrease, fossil RMC. Thus, increasing biomass use will not necessarily lead to reduced fossil resource consumption. When considering the relative scarcity of biomass, land and water, more focus needs to be placed on the relevance of technological bio‐based innovations in the reconfiguration of RMC drivers.

Published
2020
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30. Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050

Author

Pereira, Henrique M., primary, Rosa, Isabel M.D., additional, Martins, Inês S., additional, Kim, HyeJin, additional, Leadley, Paul, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional, Hurtt, George, additional, Anthoni, Peter, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Baisero, Daniele, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Chini, Louise, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Di Marco, Moreno, additional, Ferrier, Simon, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Guerra, Carlos A., additional, Harfoot, Michael, additional, Harwood, Thomas D., additional, Hasegawa, Tomoko, additional, Haverd, Vanessa, additional, Havlík, Petr, additional, Hellweg, Stefanie, additional, Hilbers, Jelle P., additional, Hill, Samantha L. L., additional, Hirata, Akiko, additional, Hoskins, Andrew J., additional, Humpenöder, Florian, additional, Janse, Jan H., additional, Jetz, Walter, additional, Johnson, Justin A., additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, Leclère, David, additional, Matsui, Tetsuya, additional, Meijer, Johan R., additional, Merow, Cory, additional, Obsersteiner, Michael, additional, Ohashi, Haruka, additional, Poulter, Benjamin, additional, Purvis, Andy, additional, Quesada, Benjamin, additional, Rondinini, Carlo, additional, Schipper, Aafke M., additional, Settele, Josef, additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Stehfest, Elke, additional, Strassburg, Bernardo B. N., additional, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, additional, Talluto, Matthew V., additional, Thuiller, Wilfried, additional, Titeux, Nicolas, additional, Visconti, Piero, additional, Ware, Christopher, additional, Wolf, Florian, additional, and Alkemade, Rob, additional

Published
2020
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31. Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale

Author

Li, Wei, primary, Ciais, Philippe, additional, Stehfest, Elke, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Doelman, Jonathan, additional, Humpenöder, Florian, additional, Harper, Anna B., additional, Park, Taejin, additional, Makowski, David, additional, Havlik, Petr, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Wang, Jingmeng, additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, and Liu, Wenfeng, additional

Published
2020
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34. Supplementary material to "Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale"

Author

Li, Wei, primary, Ciais, Philippe, additional, Stehfest, Elke, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Doelman, Jonathan, additional, Humpenöder, Florian, additional, Harper, Anna, additional, Park, Taejin, additional, Makowski, David, additional, Havlik, Petr, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Wang, Jingmeng, additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, and Liu, Wenfeng, additional

Published
2019
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35. Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale

Author

Li, Wei, primary, Ciais, Philippe, additional, Stehfest, Elke, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Doelman, Jonathan, additional, Humpenöder, Florian, additional, Harper, Anna, additional, Park, Taejin, additional, Makowski, David, additional, Havlik, Petr, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Wang, Jingmeng, additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, and Liu, Wenfeng, additional

Published
2019
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39. A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

Author

Kim, Hyejin, Rosa, Isabel M.D., Alkemade, Rob, Leadley, Paul, Hurtt, George, Popp, Alexander, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Anthoni, Peter, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Caton, Emma, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, De Palma, Adriana, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Di Marco, Moreno, Espinoza, Felipe, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., Gueguen, Maya, Guerra, Carlos, Harfoot, Mike, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Martins, Ines S., Matsui, Tetsuya, Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Sharp, Richard, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Kim, Hyejin, Rosa, Isabel M.D., Alkemade, Rob, Leadley, Paul, Hurtt, George, Popp, Alexander, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Anthoni, Peter, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Caton, Emma, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, De Palma, Adriana, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Di Marco, Moreno, Espinoza, Felipe, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., Gueguen, Maya, Guerra, Carlos, Harfoot, Mike, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Martins, Ines S., Matsui, Tetsuya, Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Sharp, Richard, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Thuiller, Wilfried, and Titeux, Nicolas

Abstract

To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land-use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e., nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)-SSP1xRCP2.6, SSP3xRCP6.0, SSP5xRCP8.6-to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenario selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem services models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modeling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modeling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios.

Published
2018

40. A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

Author

Environmental Sciences, Kim, Hyejin, Rosa, Isabel M.D., Alkemade, Rob, Leadley, Paul, Hurtt, George, Popp, Alexander, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Anthoni, Peter, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Caton, Emma, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, De Palma, Adriana, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Di Marco, Moreno, Espinoza, Felipe, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., Gueguen, Maya, Guerra, Carlos, Harfoot, Mike, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Martins, Ines S., Matsui, Tetsuya, Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Sharp, Richard, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Environmental Sciences, Kim, Hyejin, Rosa, Isabel M.D., Alkemade, Rob, Leadley, Paul, Hurtt, George, Popp, Alexander, Van Vuuren, Detlef P., Anthoni, Peter, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Caton, Emma, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, De Palma, Adriana, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Di Marco, Moreno, Espinoza, Felipe, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., Gueguen, Maya, Guerra, Carlos, Harfoot, Mike, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Martins, Ines S., Matsui, Tetsuya, Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Sharp, Richard, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Thuiller, Wilfried, and Titeux, Nicolas

Published
2018

41. Increasing crop production in Russia and Ukraine-regional and global impacts from intensification and recultivation

Author

Deppermann, Andre, Balkovic, Juraj, Bundle, Sophie-Charlotte, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Havlik, Petr, Leclère, David, Lesiv, Myroslava, Prishchepov, Alexander Vladimirovich, Schepaschenko, Dmitry, Deppermann, Andre, Balkovic, Juraj, Bundle, Sophie-Charlotte, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Havlik, Petr, Leclère, David, Lesiv, Myroslava, Prishchepov, Alexander Vladimirovich, and Schepaschenko, Dmitry

Published
2018

42. A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

Author

Kim, HyeJin, primary, Rosa, Isabel M. D., additional, Alkemade, Rob, additional, Leadley, Paul, additional, Hurtt, George, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional, Anthoni, Peter, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Baisero, Daniele, additional, Caton, Emma, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Chini, Louise, additional, De Palma, Adriana, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Di Marco, Moreno, additional, Espinoza, Felipe, additional, Ferrier, Simon, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., additional, Gueguen, Maya, additional, Guerra, Carlos, additional, Harfoot, Mike, additional, Harwood, Thomas D., additional, Hasegawa, Tomoko, additional, Haverd, Vanessa, additional, Havlík, Petr, additional, Hellweg, Stefanie, additional, Hill, Samantha L. L., additional, Hirata, Akiko, additional, Hoskins, Andrew J., additional, Janse, Jan H., additional, Jetz, Walter, additional, Johnson, Justin A., additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, Leclère, David, additional, Martins, Ines S., additional, Matsui, Tetsuya, additional, Merow, Cory, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Ohashi, Haruka, additional, Poulter, Benjamin, additional, Purvis, Andy, additional, Quesada, Benjamin, additional, Rondinini, Carlo, additional, Schipper, Aafke M., additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, additional, Thuiller, Wilfried, additional, Titeux, Nicolas, additional, Visconti, Piero, additional, Ware, Christopher, additional, Wolf, Florian, additional, and Pereira, Henrique M., additional

Published
2018
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43. Supplementary material to "A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios"

Author

Kim, HyeJin, primary, Rosa, Isabel M. D., additional, Alkemade, Rob, additional, Leadley, Paul, additional, Hurtt, George, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P, additional, Anthoni, Peter, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Baisero, Daniele, additional, Caton, Emma, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Chini, Louise, additional, De Palma, Adriana, additional, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, additional, Di Marco, Moreno, additional, Espinoza, Felipe, additional, Ferrier, Simon, additional, Fujimori, Shinichiro, additional, Gonzalez, Ricardo E., additional, Gueguen, Maya, additional, Guerra, Carlos, additional, Harfoot, Mike, additional, Harwood, Thomas D., additional, Hasegawa, Tomoko, additional, Haverd, Vanessa, additional, Havlík, Petr, additional, Hellweg, Stefanie, additional, Hill, Samantha L. L., additional, Hirata, Akiko, additional, Hoskins, Andrew J., additional, Janse, Jan H., additional, Jetz, Walter, additional, Johnson, Justin A., additional, Krause, Andreas, additional, Leclère, David, additional, Martins, Ines S., additional, Matsui, Tetsuya, additional, Merow, Cory, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Ohashi, Haruka, additional, Poulter, Benjamin, additional, Purvis, Andy, additional, Quesada, Benjamin, additional, Rondinini, Carlo, additional, Schipper, Aafke, additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, additional, Thuiller, Wilfried, additional, Titeux, Nicolas, additional, Visconti, Piero, additional, Ware, Christopher, additional, Wolf, Florian, additional, and Pereira, Henrique M., additional

Published
2018
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48. Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale.

Author

Wei Li, Ciais, Philippe, Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef, Popp, Alexander, Arneth, Almut, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Doelman, Jonathan, Humpenöder, Florian, Harper, Anna, Taejin Park, Makowski, David, Havlik, Petr, Obersteiner, Michael, Jingmeng Wang, Krause, Andreas, and Wenfeng Liu

Subjects
EUCALYPTUS, SWITCHGRASS, WHEAT straw, RANDOM forest algorithms, CROPS, TROPICAL crops, CROP yields, GRID cells
Abstract

Most scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) that project greenhouse gas emissions include the use of bioenergy as a means to reduce CO2 emissions or even to achieving negative emissions (together with CCS). The potential amount of CO2 that can be removed from the atmosphere depends, among others, on the yields of bioenergy crops, the land available to grow these crops and the efficiency with which CO2 produced by combustion is captured. While bioenergy crop yields can be simulated by models, estimates of the spatial distribution of bioenergy yields under current technology based on a large number of observations are currently lacking. In this study, a random forest algorithm is used to upscale a bioenergy yield dataset of 3,963 observations covering Miscanthus, switchgrass, eucalypt, poplar and willow using climatic and soil conditions as explanatory variables. The results are global yield maps of five important lignocellulosic bioenergy crops under current technology, climate and atmospheric CO2 conditions at a 0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution. We also provide a combined “best bioenergy crop” yield map by selecting the one of the five crop types with the highest yield in each of the grid cell, eucalypt and Miscanthus in most cases. The global median yield of the best crop is 16.3 t DM ha-1 yr-1. High yields mainly occur in the Amazon region and Southeast Asia. We further compare our empirically derived maps with yield maps used in three IAMs and find that the median yields in our maps are > 50 % higher than those in the IAM maps. Our estimates of gridded bioenergy crop yields can be used to provide bioenergy yields for IAMs, to evaluate land surface models, or to identify the most suitable lands for future bioenergy crop plantations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2019
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49. Mapping of voluntary set-aside forests intended for nature conservation management in Sweden.

Author

Grönlund, Örjan, Di Fulvio, Fulvio, Bergström, Dan, Djupström, Line, Eliasson, Lars, Erlandsson, Emanuel, Forsell, Nicklas, and Korosuo, Anu

Subjects
*FOREST management, *NATURE conservation, *BIODIVERSITY conservation, *PLANT habitats
Abstract

In Sweden, an estimated 0.3-0.6 million hectares (1.2-2.4% of the entire Swedish forest area) of forests are voluntary set-asides for nature conservation management (NCM). Even though these areas are crucial in Swedish biodiversity conservation, no analysis has yet been carried out of their conservation values and spatial distribution. The aim of this study was to comprehensively describe areas intended for NCM in Sweden. Based on existing habitat descriptions, six NCM area categories were defined. The occurrence of each category was determined through GIS analysis of a spatially explicit dataset containing information on 26,953 stands (136,672 ha) set aside for NCM. Of the analysed area, 86% met the criteria of at least one category. The most common category was "Old coniferous forests", which was found to be abundant in northern Sweden, and often the only category met in stands. Out of the remaining five categories, four were more frequent in southern Sweden. In the southern regions, stands often met the criteria of two or three categories simultaneously. This mapping is a resource for further research and development of policies and strategies aimed at increasing the extent and improving the quality of nature conservation management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2019
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