1. Accuracy of Tau Positron Emission Tomography as a Prognostic Marker in Preclinical and Prodromal Alzheimer Disease
- Author
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Ossenkoppele, Rik, Smith, Ruben, Mattsson-Carlgren, Niklas, Groot, Colin, Leuzy, Antoine, Strandberg, Olof, Palmqvist, Sebastian, Olsson, Tomas, Jögi, Jonas, Stormrud, Erik, Cho, Hanna, Ryu, Young Hoon, Choi, Jae Yong, Boxer, Adam L, Gorno-Tempini, Maria L, Miller, Bruce L, Soleimani-Meigooni, David, Iaccarino, Leonardo, La Joie, Renaud, Baker, Suzanne, Borroni, Edilio, Klein, Gregory, Pontecorvo, Michael J, Devous, Michael D, Jagust, William J, Lyoo, Chul Hyoung, Rabinovici, Gil D, and Hansson, Oskar
- Subjects
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Neurosciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Aging ,Alzheimer's Disease ,Alzheimer's Disease including Alzheimer's Disease Related Dementias (AD/ADRD) ,Clinical Research ,Prevention ,Brain Disorders ,Dementia ,Neurodegenerative ,Acquired Cognitive Impairment ,Biomedical Imaging ,Behavioral and Social Science ,4.1 Discovery and preclinical testing of markers and technologies ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,4.2 Evaluation of markers and technologies ,Neurological ,Aged ,Alzheimer Disease ,Amyloid beta-Peptides ,Apolipoproteins E ,Carbolines ,Cerebral Cortex ,Female ,Follow-Up Studies ,Humans ,Longitudinal Studies ,Magnetic Resonance Imaging ,Male ,Mental Status and Dementia Tests ,Middle Aged ,Neuroimaging ,Positron-Emission Tomography ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Prodromal Symptoms ,Prognosis ,Radiopharmaceuticals ,Treatment Outcome ,tau Proteins - Abstract
ImportanceTau positron emission tomography (PET) tracers have proven useful for the differential diagnosis of dementia, but their utility for predicting cognitive change is unclear.ObjectiveTo examine the prognostic accuracy of baseline fluorine 18 (18F)-flortaucipir and [18F]RO948 (tau) PET in individuals across the Alzheimer disease (AD) clinical spectrum and to perform a head-to-head comparison against established magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and amyloid PET markers.Design, setting, and participantsThis prognostic study collected data from 8 cohorts in South Korea, Sweden, and the US from June 1, 2014, to February 28, 2021, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 1.9 (0.8) years. A total of 1431 participants were recruited from memory clinics, clinical trials, or cohort studies; 673 were cognitively unimpaired (CU group; 253 [37.6%] positive for amyloid-β [Aβ]), 443 had mild cognitive impairment (MCI group; 271 [61.2%] positive for Aβ), and 315 had a clinical diagnosis of AD dementia (315 [100%] positive for Aβ).Exposures[18F]Flortaucipir PET in the discovery cohort (n = 1135) or [18F]RO948 PET in the replication cohort (n = 296), T1-weighted MRI (n = 1431), and amyloid PET (n = 1329) at baseline and repeated Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) evaluation.Main outcomes and measuresBaseline [18F]flortaucipir/[18F]RO948 PET retention within a temporal region of interest, MRI-based AD-signature cortical thickness, and amyloid PET Centiloids were used to predict changes in MMSE using linear mixed-effects models adjusted for age, sex, education, and cohort. Mediation/interaction analyses tested whether associations between baseline tau PET and cognitive change were mediated by baseline MRI measures and whether age, sex, and APOE genotype modified these associations.ResultsAmong 1431 participants, the mean (SD) age was 71.2 (8.8) years; 751 (52.5%) were male. Findings for [18F]flortaucipir PET predicted longitudinal changes in MMSE, and effect sizes were stronger than for AD-signature cortical thickness and amyloid PET across all participants (R2, 0.35 [tau PET] vs 0.24 [MRI] vs 0.17 [amyloid PET]; P < .001, bootstrapped for difference) in the Aβ-positive MCI group (R2, 0.25 [tau PET] vs 0.15 [MRI] vs 0.07 [amyloid PET]; P
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- 2021