14 results on '"Derya Eryilmaz"'
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2. Effect of wind generation on ERCOT nodal prices
- Author
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Derya Eryilmaz and Chen-Hao Tsai
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Economics and Econometrics ,Wind power ,business.industry ,Electricity price ,020209 energy ,02 engineering and technology ,Renewable energy ,General Energy ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Electricity market ,Wind integration ,business - Abstract
In this paper, we utilize nodal price data at each thermal-generation facility within the ERCOT footprint between 2014 and 2016 to revisit an empirical question of great interest to various parties: how does wind integration affect the wholesale energy price? We find that for every additional 1000 MW of wind generation in a Real-Time 15-minute Settlement Interval, nodal prices at non-wind resources would be suppressed by $1.45/MWh to $4.45/MWh, with considerable heterogeneity across time and space.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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3. Can a daily electricity bill unlock energy efficiency? Evidence from Texas
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Derya Eryilmaz and Sam Gafford
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Service (business) ,Energy products ,business.industry ,020209 energy ,05 social sciences ,02 engineering and technology ,Energy consumption ,Environmental economics ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,0502 economics and business ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electricity market ,Business ,Electricity ,050207 economics ,Business and International Management ,Energy service ,Energy (miscellaneous) ,Efficient energy use - Abstract
This study examines the energy efficiency implications of a daily billed energy service, commonly known as ‘prepaid’ electricity, which is used by a growing percentage of residential customers in the competitive Texas electricity market. Our empirical analysis results suggest that this service could save 9.6% of average daily energy consumption, net of the effect of any disconnections. This quantitative study demonstrates that energy efficiency from prepaid energy products can extend to competitive marketplaces.
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- 2018
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4. Evolution of Forecasting Techniques for Dynamic Energy Markets
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Julie Carey and Derya Eryilmaz
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- 2020
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5. How does uncertainty in renewable energy policy affect decisions to invest in wind energy?
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Derya Eryilmaz and Frances R. Homans
- Subjects
Wind power ,business.industry ,Natural resource economics ,020209 energy ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Energy policy ,Renewable energy ,Microeconomics ,Renewable energy credit ,Investment decisions ,Tax credit ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Economics ,Profitability index ,Business and International Management ,business ,Feed-in tariff ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
This paper examines the impacts of uncertainties in U.S. renewable energy policy on the investment decisions of renewable electricity producers. We develop and solve a dynamic optimization model to understand how investment in wind energy depends on market and policy uncertainties. These uncertainties include the federal government’s uncertain decision about the continuation of the Production Tax Credit (PTC) policy and the stochasticity of prices in the market for Renewable Electricity Credits (RECs). Our results show that investors require higher REC prices to invest without the PTC policy. Results contribute to our understanding of how policy uncertainty affects the profitability threshold required for investors to commit to renewable energy projects.
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- 2016
- Full Text
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6. Assessment of the COVID-19 pandemic effect on regional electricity generation mix in NYISO, MISO, and PJM markets
- Author
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Margarita Patria, Caroline Heilbrun, and Derya Eryilmaz
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2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,regional electricity markets ,020209 energy ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,Environmental economics ,generation mix ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,Electricity generation ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,Pandemic ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Business ,Business and International Management ,Covid-19 ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
This paper explores the impacts of the stay-at-home advisory issued in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on regional electricity generation fuel mixes for the three major RTOs: NYISO, MISO, and PJM. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic affected these regional markets differently, although one common finding is that overall electricity generation declined after the stay-at-home advisories were issued. We also empirically tested the impact of the stay-at-home advisories on electricity generation for different fuel types.
- Published
- 2020
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7. Integration of residential PV and its implications for current and future residential electricity demand in the United States
- Author
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Derya Eryilmaz and Sanem Sergici
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business.industry ,020209 energy ,Resource planning ,02 engineering and technology ,Environmental economics ,Electricity demand ,Net metering ,Residential sector ,ComputerApplications_MISCELLANEOUS ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,Distributed generation ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Operations management ,Business ,Electricity ,Business and International Management ,Energy (miscellaneous) - Abstract
The authors estimate price-responsiveness of the residential customers with increasing residential PV penetration and project future electricity sales to the residential sector considering various future PV penetration scenarios. This projection is potentially useful for utilities in their resource planning and ratemaking processes as they formally incorporate the expected reduction in residential electricity demand due to increased penetration of distributed generation.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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8. Assessing the Relationship between Different Forms of Landowner Assistance and Family Forest Owner Behaviors and Intentions
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Brett J. Butler, Marla Markowski-Lindsay, David B. Kittredge, Derya Eryilmaz, Michael A. Kilgore, Jaketon H. Hewes, Kyle Andrejczyk, Stephanie A. Snyder, and Paul Catanzaro
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business.industry ,Logging ,Forest management ,Environmental resource management ,Land management ,Forestry ,Family forest ,National database ,Plant Science ,Marketing ,business ,Land tenure ,Management practices - Abstract
In this study, we examine how family forest owners who receive various types of assistance differ from unassisted landowners with respect to their forestland management practices, attitudes and concerns, and future management, use, and ownership intentions. We do so by utilizing a national database containing information on private forest owners and the forestland they own. By defining an assisted landowner according to several attributes contained in this database (e.g., has a forest management plan, received cost-share assistance, or received advice), important similarities and differences between recipients and nonrecipients of various types of assistance are identified. The study shows that assisted and unassisted landowners are different with respect to several characteristics of the owners and the forestland they own, land management practices undertaken, and reasons for forest landownership. For example, assisted landowners are more likely to harvest timber and improve wildlife habitat than the unassisted owners. Yet no distinctions are found between assisted and unassisted landowners with respect to their plans to either subdivide or sell their land. In many cases, the differences between assisted and unassisted landowners are not related to the type of assistance the landowner received.
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- 2015
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9. Effectiveness of Landowner Assistance Activities: An Examination of the USDA Forest Service's Forest Stewardship Program
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Paula Randler, Brett J. Butler, Michael A. Kilgore, Stephanie A. Snyder, Derya Eryilmaz, David B. Kittredge, Jaketon H. Hewes, Marla Markowski-Lindsay, Kyle Andrejczyk, Brenton J. Dickinson, Donna Tadle, and Paul Catanzaro
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Program evaluation ,Data collection ,business.industry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Forest management ,Environmental resource management ,Land management ,Forestry ,Plant Science ,Focus group ,Service (economics) ,Stewardship ,business ,Land tenure ,Environmental planning ,media_common - Abstract
The USDA Forest Service’s Forest Stewardship Program (FSP) is the nation’s most prominent private forestry assistance program. We examined the FSP using a multiple analytic approach: analysis of annual FSP accomplishments, survey of state FSP coordinators, analytic comparison of family forest owners receiving and not receiving forestry practice assistance, and focus groups with family forest owners. We found the FSP reaches a small fraction of eligible landowners; states use FSP funds to address local private forestland issues; landowners obtaining assistance commonly associated with the FSP (e.g., management plans) differ from others in sociodemographics, ownership objectives, and land management actions but not in terms of intent to sell/subdivide forestland; and traditional FSP activities are not influencing inactive family forest owners to become active managers. We believe current practices (e.g., state-level flexibility) help the FSP reach its goals, alternative assistance-related efforts may increase the reach of the FSP and support strategic goals, and data collection improvements may enrich future FSP evaluations.
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- 2014
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10. Dynamic Electricity Pricing – Modeling Manufacturer Response and an Application to Cement Processing
- Author
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Jeffrey Apland, Timothy M. Smith, and Derya Eryilmaz
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021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,business.industry ,020209 energy ,Electricity pricing ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Scheduling (production processes) ,02 engineering and technology ,Environmental economics ,Electricity generation ,Manufacturing ,Dynamic pricing ,Production schedule ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Production (economics) ,Business ,Electricity - Abstract
Dynamic pricing, also known as real-time pricing, provides electricity users with an economic incentive to adjust electricity use based on changing market conditions. This paper studies the economic implications of real-time pricing mechanisms in a cement manufacturing plant. Production for a representative cement manufacturing plant is modeled using stochastic mathematical programming. The results show that a cement plant can a) reduce electricity costs by shifting electricity load of certain processes to times when electricity prices are lower, and b) profitably reduce electricity use during peak prices through more efficient scheduling of production under real-time pricing compared to fixed pricing. The results suggest that building scheduling flexibility into certain industrial manufacturing processes to reschedule electricity consumption when the electricity prices at their peak may be economical. The results also suggest that shifts in the production schedule of a cement manufacturer that result from real-time pricing may also influence environmental impacts. The modelling framework modeled real-time pricing as a source of risk in this study, which is also applicable to other energy intensive industries. As such, dynamic pricing strategies that include the non-market impacts of electricity generation should be further explored.
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- 2019
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11. Social availability of residual woody biomass from nonindustrial private woodland owners in Minnesota and Wisconsin
- Author
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Jonathan J. Klapperich, Dennis R. Becker, Derya Eryilmaz, and Michael A. Kilgore
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Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Agroforestry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Forestry ,Woodland ,Payment ,Soil quality ,Agricultural economics ,Bioenergy ,Energy independence ,Environmental impact assessment ,Land tenure ,Waste Management and Disposal ,Agronomy and Crop Science ,Renewable resource ,media_common - Abstract
An important and potentially underused source of biomass that could be utilized in energy production is from nonindustrial private woodlands. We employ the Theory of Planned Behavior to estimate the social availability of woody biomass as a function of landowner behavior intent, landowner characteristics, forest land characteristics, and biomass price on stated willingness to harvest biomass in conjunction with a commercial timber harvest. A mail survey was administered to 1109 nonindustrial private woodland owners in a 26county region in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin during the fall of 2009. Using binary logistic regression, we found payment level offered to harvest biomass plays a significant role in landowners’ decisions, but that non-monetary factors are also important. Landowner attitudes and opinions regarding soil impacts, aesthetics, and energy independence were important predictors of stated willingness to harvest. Social norms as manifested through the influence of neighbors were also significant. These findings expand existing research and are useful for profiling nonindustrial private woodland owners to identify sustainable sources of biomass to supply a burgeoning bioenergy sector in the Lake States.
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- 2013
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12. Price Responsiveness in Electricity Markets: Implications for Demand Response in the Midwest
- Author
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Derya Eryilmaz, Timothy M. Smith, and Frances R. Homans
- Subjects
Price elasticity of demand ,Producer price index ,Wholesale price index ,Economics and Econometrics ,020209 energy ,05 social sciences ,Mid price ,02 engineering and technology ,Monetary economics ,Price discrimination ,Microeconomics ,General Energy ,Demand curve ,0502 economics and business ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electricity market ,Business ,050207 economics ,Limit price - Abstract
This paper provides an empirical analysis of price responsiveness in retail and wholesale markets in the Midcontinent ISO electricity markets. In the retail market, consumers do not often observe real-time price changes and pay a pre-determined flat rate, but are able to respond to price over longer time periods. In the wholesale electricity market, buyers are able to adjust their electricity purchases based on real-time price changes. Our findings show that retail industrial customers respond differently in different across states in the Midwest. We also find differences in real-time wholesale price elasticities between sub-regional pricing hubs in the MISO footprint. Results suggest that the observed differences in price responsiveness of demand across market levels and sub-regions are associated with demand response program adoption.
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- 2017
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13. A Comparative Case Study on Sustainable Community Development: Applications from Hagaby, Sweden in Sahmuratli, Turkey
- Author
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Derya Eryilmaz
- Subjects
Sustainable community ,Sociology and Political Science ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Comparative case ,Political science ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,Environmental planning - Published
- 2013
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14. Demand response for industrial-scale energy users in midwest ISO: A dynamic programming approach for curtailing energy use
- Author
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Sairaj V. Dhople, Timothy M. Smith, Derya Eryilmaz, Jennifer Schmitt, and Elizabeth J. Wilson
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Demand response ,Dynamic programming ,Engineering ,business.industry ,Industrial scale ,Profitability index ,Electricity ,Environmental economics ,Cement manufacturing ,business ,Civil engineering ,Energy (signal processing) - Abstract
This paper investigates demand response implementation in Midwest ISO from the perspective of large energy consumers. Acknowledging uncertain electricity prices, we develop a dynamic programming-based model using real-options theory to identify a profitability threshold for demand response (DR) schemes. Our model is tailored to energy-intensive industries, and the cement industry is used as illustrative example in the case study. Simulation results demonstrate season-dependent profitability threshold for a representative cement manufacturing plant.
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