108 results on '"Del Manso, M."'
Search Results
2. Impact of the 2023/24 autumn-winter COVID-19 seasonal booster campaign in preventing severe COVID-19 cases in Italy (October 2023–March 2024)
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Fotakis, E.A., Picasso, E., Sacco, C., Petrone, D., Del Manso, M., Bella, A., Riccardo, F., Odone, A., Cannone, A., Tallon, M., De Angelis, L., Sciurti, A., Cescutti, D., Pezzotti, P., Fabiani, M., and Mateo-Urdiales, A.
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- 2024
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3. The impact of rotavirus vaccination in Italy: an eleven-year (2009-2019) nationwide analysis
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Isonne, C, primary, Petrone, D, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Iera, J, additional, Baccolini, V, additional, Costantino, C, additional, Pezzotti, P, additional, and D'Ancona, F, additional
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- 2023
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4. DIAGNOSIS OF DENGUE VIRUS INFECTIONS IN ITALY FROM NOVEMBER 2015 TO NOVEMBER 2021: A NATIONAL REFERENCE LABORATORY SURVEILLANCE REPORT
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Merakou, C., primary, Fortuna, C., additional, Amendola, A., additional, Marsili, G., additional, Argentini, C., additional, Fiorentini, C., additional, Benedetti, E., additional, Riccardo, F., additional, Del Manso, M., additional, Bella, A., additional, Caporali, M.G., additional, Pezzotti, P., additional, and Venturi, G., additional
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- 2023
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5. Co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Gamma variants in Italy, February and March 2021
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Stefanelli, P., Trentini, F., Guzzetta, G., Marziano, V., Mammone, A., Schepisi, M. S., Poletti, P., Grane, C. M., Manica, M., del Manso, M., Andrianou, X., Ajelli, M., Rezza, G., Brusaferro, S., Merler, S., Di Martino, A., Ambrosio, L., Lo Presti, A., Fiore, S., Fabiani, C., Benedetti, E., Di Mario, G., Facchini, M., Puzelli, S., Calzoletti, L., Fontana, S., Venturi, G., Fortuna, C., Marsili, G., Amendola, A., Stuppia, L., Savini, G., Picerno, A., Lopizzo, T., Dell'Edera, D., Minchella, P., Greco, F., Viglietto, G., Atripaldi, L., Limone, A., D'Agaro, P., Licastro, D., Pongolini, S., Sambri, V., Dirani, G., Zannoli, S., Affanni, P., Colucci, M. E., Capobianchi, M. R., Icardi, G., Bruzzone, B., Lillo, F., Orsi, A., Pariani, E., Baldanti, F., Molecolare, U. V., Gismondo, M. R., Maggi, F., Caruso, A., Ceriotti, F., Boniotti, M. B., Barbieri, I., Bagnarelli, P., Menzo, S., Garofalo, S., Scutella, M., Pagani, E., Collini, L., Ghisetti, V., Brossa, S., Ru, G., Bozzetta, E., Chironna, M., Parisi, A., Rubino, S., Serra, C., Piras, G., Coghe, F., Vitale, F., Tramuto, F., Scalia, G., Palermo, C. I., Mancuso, G., Pollicino, T., Di Gaudio, F., Vullo, S., Reale, S., Cusi, M. G., Rossolini, G. M., Pistello, M., Mencacci, A., Camilloni, B., Severini, S., Di Benedetto, M., Terregino, C., Monne, I., Biscaro, V., Stefanelli P, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Mammone A, Sane Schepisi M, Poletti P, Molina Grané C, Manica M, Del Manso M, Andrianou X, Ajelli M, Rezza G, Brusaferro S, Merler S, Vitale F, Tramuto F, Stefanelli P., Trentini F., Guzzetta G., Marziano V., Mammone A., Sane Schepisi M., Poletti P., Molina Grane C., Manica M., Del Manso M., Andrianou X., Ajelli M., Rezza G., Brusaferro S., Merler S., Sambri V, and (membro del COVID-19 National Microbiology Surveillance Study Group)
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Epidemiology ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,COVID-19 ,co-circulation ,lineage ,SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern ,transmissibility ,Humans ,Italy ,Models, Theoretical ,Settore MED/42 - Igiene Generale E Applicata ,SARS-COV-2 VARIANT OF CONCERN, CO-CIRCULATION, LINEAGE, TRANSMISSIBILITY, HUMANS, ITALY, MODELS, THEORETICAL, COVID-19, SARS-COV-2 ,Theoretical ,Models ,Virology ,Human - Abstract
Background Several SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) have emerged through 2020 and 2021. There is need for tools to estimate the relative transmissibility of emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 with respect to circulating strains. Aim We aimed to assess the prevalence of co-circulating VOC in Italy and estimate their relative transmissibility. Methods We conducted two genomic surveillance surveys on 18 February and 18 March 2021 across the whole Italian territory covering 3,243 clinical samples and developed a mathematical model that describes the dynamics of co-circulating strains. Results The Alpha variant was already dominant on 18 February in a majority of regions/autonomous provinces (national prevalence: 54%) and almost completely replaced historical lineages by 18 March (dominant across Italy, national prevalence: 86%). We found a substantial proportion of the Gamma variant on 18 February, almost exclusively in central Italy (prevalence: 19%), which remained similar on 18 March. Nationally, the mean relative transmissibility of Alpha ranged at 1.55–1.57 times the level of historical lineages (95% CrI: 1.45–1.66). The relative transmissibility of Gamma varied according to the assumed degree of cross-protection from infection with other lineages and ranged from 1.12 (95% CrI: 1.03–1.23) with complete immune evasion to 1.39 (95% CrI: 1.26–1.56) for complete cross-protection. Conclusion We assessed the relative advantage of competing viral strains, using a mathematical model assuming different degrees of cross-protection. We found substantial co-circulation of Alpha and Gamma in Italy. Gamma was not able to outcompete Alpha, probably because of its lower transmissibility.
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- 2022
6. Public Health Workforce training Laboratorium: Pilot e-Learning course on CBE and PBL models
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Barbina, D, primary, Riccardo, F, additional, Di Pucchio, A, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Mammoli, M, additional, Croci, R, additional, Vittozzi, A, additional, Mazzaccara, A, additional, Ferrelli, R, additional, and Brusaferro, S, additional
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- 2022
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7. Comorbidity status of deceased COVID-19 in-patients in Italy
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Vetrano, D. L., Tazzeo, C., Palmieri, L., Marengoni, A., Zucchelli, A., Lo Noce, C., Onder, G., Andrianou, X., Barbariol, P., Bella, A., Bellino, S., Benelli, E., Bertinato, L., Boros, S., Brambilla, G., Calcagnini, G., Canevelli, M., Castrucci, M. R., Censi, F., Ciervo, A., Colaizzo, E., D'Ancona, F., Del Manso, M., Di Benedetto, C., Donfrancesco, C., Fabiani, M., Facchiano, F., Filia, A., Floridia, M., Galati, F., Giuliano, M., Grisetti, T., Kodra, Y., Langer, M., Lega, I., Maiozzi, P., Malchiodi Albedi, F., Manno, V., Martini, M., Urdiales, A. M., Mattei, E., Meduri, C., Meli, P., Minelli, G., Nebuloni, M., Nistico, L., Nonis, M., Palmisano, L., Petrosillo, N., Pezzotti, P., Pricci, F., Punzo, O., Puro, V., Raparelli, V., Rezza, G., Riccardo, F., Rota, M. C., Salerno, P., Serra, D., Siddu, A., Stefanelli, P., Tamburo de Bella, M., Tiple, D., Unim, B., Vaianella, L., Vanacore, N., Vichi, M., Villani, E. R., Zona, A., and Brusaferro, S.
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Aging ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Short Communication ,Disease ,Type 2 diabetes ,Comorbidity ,Chronic disease ,NO ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,COVID-19 ,Mortality ,Multimorbidity ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,80 and over ,Diabetes Mellitus ,Dementia ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Stroke ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,COPD ,business.industry ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Atrial fibrillation ,Italy ,Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 ,medicine.disease ,030228 respiratory system ,Heart failure ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,business ,Type 2 - Abstract
Background Most COVID-19-related deaths have occurred in older persons with comorbidities. Specific patterns of comorbidities related to COVID-19 deaths have not been investigated. Methods A random sample of 6085 individuals in Italy who died in-hospital with confirmed COVID-19 between February and December 2020 were included. Observed to expected (O/E) ratios of disease pairs were computed and logistic regression models were used to determine the association between disease pairs with O/E values ≥ 1.5. Results Six pairs of diseases exhibited O/E values ≥ 1.5 and statistically significant higher odds of co-occurrence in the crude and adjusted analyses: (1) ischemic heart disease and atrial fibrillation, (2) atrial fibrillation and heart failure, (3) atrial fibrillation and stroke, (4) heart failure and COPD, (5) stroke and dementia, and (6) type 2 diabetes and obesity. Conclusion In those deceased in-hospital due to COVID-19 in Italy, disease combinations defined by multiple cardio-respiratory, metabolic, and neuropsychiatric diseases occur more frequently than expected. This finding indicates a need to investigate the possible role of these clinical profiles in the chain of events that lead to death in individuals who have contracted SARS-CoV-2.
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- 2021
8. The relationship between human mobility and viral transmissibility during the COVID-19 epidemics in Italy
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Cintia P., Fadda D., Giannotti F., Pappalardo L., Rossetti G., Pedreschi D., Rinzivillo S., Bonato P., Fabbri F., Penone F., Bavarese M., Checchi D., Chiaromonte F., Vineis P., Gazzetta G., Riccardo F., Marziano V., Poletti P., Trentini F., Bella A., Xanthi A., Del Manso M., Fabiani M., Bellino S., Boros S., Urdiales A.M., Vescia M.F., Brusaferro S., Rezza G., Pezzotti P., Ajelli M., and Merler S.
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covid-19 ,big data ,mobile phone data ,human mobility ,data science - Abstract
We describe in this report our studies to understand the relationship between human mobility and the spreading of COVID-19, as an aid to manage the restart of the social and economic activities after the lockdown and monitor the epidemics in the coming weeks and months. We compare the evolution (from January to May 2020) of the daily mobility flows in Italy, measured by means of nation-wide mobile phone data, and the evolution of transmissibility, measured by the net reproduction number, i.e., the mean number of secondary infections generated by one primary infector in the presence of control interventions and human behavioural adaptations. We find a striking relationship between the negative variation of mobility flows and the net reproduction number, in all Italian regions, between March 11th and March 18th, when the country entered the lockdown. This observation allows us to quantify the time needed to "switch off" the country mobility (one week) and the time required to bring the net reproduction number below 1 (one week). A reasonably simple regression model provides evidence that the net reproduction number is correlated with a region's incoming, outgoing and internal mobility. We also find a strong relationship between the number of days above the epidemic threshold before the mobility flows reduce significantly as an effect of lockdowns, and the total number of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections per 100k inhabitants, thus indirectly showing the effectiveness of the lockdown and the other non-pharmaceutical interventions in the containment of the contagion. Our study demonstrates the value of "big" mobility data to the monitoring of key epidemic indicators to inform choices as the epidemics unfolds in the coming months.
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- 2020
9. Who is at risk for measles in Italy? Continued measles outbreaks in 2019 and barriers to elimination
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Filia, A., primary, Bella, A., additional, Del Manso, M., additional, and Rota, M.C., additional
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- 2020
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10. Who is at risk for measles in Italy? Continued measles outbreaks in 2019 and barriers to elimination
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Filia, A, primary, Bella, A, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Baggieri, M, additional, Magurano, F, additional, Iannazzo, S, additional, Sabbatucci, M, additional, Nicoletti, L, additional, and Rota, M C, additional
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- 2020
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11. National immunization policies and practices for migrants in EU/EEA countries
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Marchetti, G, primary, Giambi, C, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Ranghiasci, A, additional, Nacca, G, additional, Dente, M G, additional, Marceca, M, additional, Adel Ali, K, additional, and Declich, S, additional
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- 2020
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12. The challenges of the outbreak: the Italian COVID-19 integrated surveillance system
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Pezzotti, P, primary, Punzo, O, additional, Bella, A, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Urdiales, A M, additional, Fabiani, M, additional, Ciervo, A, additional, Andrianou, X, additional, Riccardo, F, additional, and Stefanelli, P, additional
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- 2020
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13. Letter to the editor: Measles outbreak linked to an international dog show in Slovenia - primary cases and chains of transmission identified in Italy, November to December 2014
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Antonietta Filia, Riccardo, F., Del Manso, M., D’agaro, P., Magurano, F., Bella, A., Filia, A, Riccardo, F, Del Manso, M, D'Agaro, Pierlanfranco, Magurano, F, and Bella, A.
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outbreak ,genotyping ,Measle ,Slovenia ,sequences ,epidemiology ,sequence ,Measles - Abstract
In the letter epidemiological and virological investigations on Italian measles cases associated to a measles outbreak in Slovenia, linked to an international dog show from 8 to 9 November 2014, are described.
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- 2015
14. Congenital rubella still a public health problem in Italy: analysis of national surveillance data from 2005 to 2013
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Giambi, C, primary, Filia, A, additional, Rota, M C, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Declich, S, additional, Nacca, G, additional, Rizzuto, E, additional, Bella, A, additional, and regional contact points for rubella, Collective, additional
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- 2015
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15. Letter to the editor: Measles outbreak linked to an international dog show in Slovenia – primary cases and chains of transmission identified in Italy, November to December 2014
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Filia, A, primary, Riccardo, F, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, D’Agaro, P, additional, Magurano, F, additional, Bella, A, additional, and Regional contact points for measles surveillance, Collective, additional
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- 2015
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16. Malattie trasmesse attraverso gli alimenti: indagine sui laboratori regionali di riferimento in Italia
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DEL MANSO, M, DE CRESCENZO, M, Bella, A, D'Ancona, F, Giannitelli, S, Lana, S, and Rizzo, C
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- 2009
17. Ongoing outbreak with well over 4,000 measles cases in Italy from January to end August 2017 - what is making elimination so difficult?
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Filia, A., Bella, A., Del Manso, M., Baggieri, M., Magurano, F., and Rota, M. C.
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- 2017
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18. Measles outbreak on a cruise ship in the western Mediterranean, February 2014, preliminary report
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Lanini, S, primary, Capobianchi, M R, additional, Puro, V, additional, Filia, A, additional, Del Manso, M, additional, Kärki, T, additional, Nicoletti, L, additional, Magurano, F, additional, Derrough, T, additional, Severi, E, additional, Bonfigli, S, additional, Lauria, F N, additional, Ippolito, G, additional, Vellucci, L, additional, Pompa, M G, additional, and the Central task force for the measles outbreak, Collective, additional
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- 2014
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19. Outbreak of a new measles B3 variant in the Roma/Sinti population with transmission in the nosocomial setting, Italy, November 2015 to April 2016.
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Filia, A, Amendola, A., Faccini, M., Del Manso, M., Senatore, S., Bianchi, S., Borrini, B. M., Ciampelli, A., Tanzi, E., Filipponi, M. T., Piccirilli, G., Lazzarotto, T., Pascucci, M. G., Baggieri, M., and Magurano, F.
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- 2016
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20. Measles outbreak on a cruise ship in the western Mediterranean, February 2014, preliminary report
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Lanini, S., Capobianchi, M. R., Puro, V., Filia, A., Del Manso, M., Kärki, T., Nicoletti, L., Fabio Magurano, Derrough, T., Severi, E., Bonfigli, S., Lauria, F. N., Ippolito, G., Vellucci, L., and Pompa, M. G.
21. Measles outbreak linked to an international dog show in Slovenia - primary cases and chains of transmission identified in Italy, November to December 2014
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Filia A, Flavia Riccardo, Del Manso M, D'Agaro P, Magurano F, Bella A, and Regional contact points for measles surveillance
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Crowding ,Dogs ,Measles virus ,Animals ,Humans ,Disease Outbreaks ,Measles
22. Measles outbreak linked to an international dog show in Slovenia - primary cases and chains of transmission identified in Italy, November to December 2014
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Filia, A., Riccardo, F., Del Manso, M., D Agaro, P., Fabio Magurano, and Bella, A.
23. Food-borne illnesses: a survey of regional reference laboratories in Italy,Malattie trasmesse attraverso gli alimenti: indagine sui laboratori regionali di riferimento in Italia
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Del Manso, M., Crescenzo, M., Bella, A., Fortunato D'Ancona, Giannitelli, S., Lana, S., Salmaso, S., and Rizzo, C.
24. SARS‐CoV‐2 infection among hospitalised pregnant women and impact of different viral strains on COVID‐19 severity in Italy: a national prospective population‐based cohort study
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Donati, S, Corsi, E, Maraschini, A, Salvatore, M A, Maria Grazia Arena, Rosaria, Boldrini, Roberto, Brunelli, Angelo, Cagnacci, Paola, Casucci, Irene, Cetin, Luigi, Cobellis, Gabriella, Dardanoni, Elena De Ambrosi, Martina Del Manso, Sara, D'Eusanio, Lorenza, Driul, Giorgio, Epicoco, Massimo, Fabiani, Franchi, Massimo Piergiuseppe, Livio, Leo, Marco, Liberati, Mariavittoria, Locci, Antonino Lo Re, Claudio, Martini, Gianpaolo, Maso, Federico, Mecacci, Alessandra, Meloni, Anna Domenica Mignuoli, Luisa, Mondo, Enrica, Perrone, Lucia, Porcino, Luca, Ramenghi, Valeria, Savasi, Sergio Crescenzo Antonio Schettini, Gabriella, Scorpio, Daniela, Simeone, Serena, Simeone, Martin, Steinkasserer, Fabrizio, Taddei, Saverio, Tateo, Vito, Trojano, Caterina, Tronci, Antonella, Vimercati, Donati, S., Corsi, E., Maraschini, A., Salvatore, M. A., Arena, M. G., Boldrini, R., Brunelli, R., Cagnacci, A., Casucci, P., Cetin, I., Cobellis, L., Dardanoni, G., De Ambrosi, E., Del Manso, M., D'Eusanio, S., Driul, L., Epicoco, G., Fabiani, M., Franchi, M. P., Leo, L., Liberati, M., Locci, M., Lo Re, A., Martini, C., Maso, G., Mecacci, F., Meloni, A., Mignuoli, A. D., Mondo, L., Perrone, E., Porcino, L., Ramenghi, L., Savasi, V., Schettini, S. C. A., Scorpio, G., Simeone, D., Simeone, S., Steinkasserer, M., Taddei, F., Tateo, S., Trojano, V., Tronci, C., Vimercati, A., S., Donati, E., Corsi, A., Maraschini, M. A., Salvatore, and Cobellis, Luigi
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Pediatrics ,Comorbidity ,Severity of Illness Index ,SARS‐CoV‐2 ,law.invention ,COVID-19 Testing ,Risk Factors ,Pregnancy ,law ,Pregnancy Complications, Infectious ,Prospective cohort study ,Research Articles ,education.field_of_study ,Infectious ,Pregnancy Outcome ,Obstetrics and Gynecology ,Intensive care unit ,Hospitals ,Hospitalization ,Intensive Care Units ,Italy ,Cohort ,Premature Birth ,Cohort studies ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,Human ,Research Article ,Cohort study ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Maternity ,Intensive Care Unit ,Population ,Hospitals, Maternity ,Risk Assessment ,Asymptomatic ,medicine ,Humans ,COVID-19 pneumonia ,education ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,Risk Factor ,COVID-19 ,medicine.disease ,Pregnancy Complications ,pregnancy ,Cohort Studies ,Pneumonia ,Pregnancy Complications, Infectiou ,Mini Commentary ,Pregnant Women ,Cohort Studie ,business ,COVID‐19 pneumonia - Abstract
Objective The primary aim of this article was to describe SARS‐CoV‐2 infection among pregnant women during the wild‐type and Alpha‐variant periods in Italy. The secondary aim was to compare the impact of the virus variants on the severity of maternal and perinatal outcomes. Design National population‐based prospective cohort study. Setting A total of 315 Italian maternity hospitals. Sample A cohort of 3306 women with SARS‐CoV‐2 infection confirmed within 7 days of hospital admission. Methods Cases were prospectively reported by trained clinicians for each participating maternity unit. Data were described by univariate and multivariate analyses. Main outcome measures COVID‐19 pneumonia, ventilatory support, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mode of delivery, preterm birth, stillbirth, and maternal and neonatal mortality. Results We found that 64.3% of the cohort was asymptomatic, 12.8% developed COVID‐19 pneumonia and 3.3% required ventilatory support and/or ICU admission. Maternal age of 30–34 years (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.09–1.87) and ≥35 years (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.23–2.13), citizenship of countries with high migration pressure (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.36–2.25), previous comorbidities (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.13–1.98) and obesity (OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.29–2.27) were all associated with a higher occurrence of pneumonia. The preterm birth rate was 11.1%. In comparison with the pre‐pandemic period, stillbirths and maternal and neonatal deaths remained stable. The need for ventilatory support and/or ICU admission among women with pneumonia increased during the Alpha‐variant period compared with the wild‐type period (OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.99–5.28). Conclusions Our results are consistent with a low risk of severe COVID‐19 disease among pregnant women and with rare adverse perinatal outcomes. During the Alpha‐variant period there was a significant increase of severe COVID‐19 illness. Further research is needed to describe the impact of different SARS‐CoV‐2 viral strains on maternal and perinatal outcomes., Tweetable abstract The rate of severe COVID‐19 disease increased during the Alpha‐variant period compared with the wild‐type period.
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- 2021
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25. Towards measles elimination in Italy: Virological surveillance and genotypes trend (2013-2015)
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Fabio Magurano, Tiziana Lazzarotto, Antonella Amendola, Melissa Baggieri, Antonietta Filia, Loredana Nicoletti, Pierlanfranco D'Agaro, Filippo Ansaldi, Stefania Iannazzo, Antonella Marchi, Paola Bucci, Martina Del Manso, Maria Chironna, Magurano, Fabio, Baggieri, Melissa, Filia, Antonietta, Del Manso, Martina, Lazzarotto, Tiziana, Amendola, Antonella, D'Agaro, Pierlanfranco, Chironna, Maria, Ansaldi, Filippo, Iannazzo, Stefania, Bucci, Paola, Marchi, Antonella, Nicoletti, Loredana, Magurano, F, Baggieri, M, Filia, A, Del Manso, M, Lazzarotto, T, Amendola, A, D'Agaro, P, Chironna, M, Ansaldi, F, Iannazzo, S, Bucci, P, Marchi, A, and Nicoletti, L
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0301 basic medicine ,Male ,Cancer Research ,Disease Outbreaks ,Elimination ,Genotyping ,Measles ,Measles outbreak ,Phylogenetic analysis ,Rubella ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Aged ,Child ,Child, Preschool ,Female ,Genotype ,Humans ,Infant ,Italy ,Measles virus ,Middle Aged ,Molecular Epidemiology ,Phylogeny ,RNA, Viral ,Sentinel Surveillance ,Young Adult ,Virology ,Infectious Diseases ,0302 clinical medicine ,Measle ,Cumulative incidence ,Viral ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education.field_of_study ,Disease Outbreak ,biology ,Transmission (medicine) ,Human ,030106 microbiology ,Population ,Infectious Disease ,03 medical and health sciences ,Phylogenetic analysi ,medicine ,Preschool ,education ,Molecular epidemiology ,medicine.disease ,biology.organism_classification ,Measles viru ,RNA ,Demography - Abstract
In accordance with the goal of the World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe, the Italian National Measles and Rubella Elimination Plan aimed to interrupt indigenous measles transmission in Italy by the end of 2015. However, from 2013 to 2015, Italy experienced high measles burden with 4902 measles cases (49.3% laboratory-confirmed) reported to the enhanced measles surveillance system (cumulative incidence in the triennium reference period: 2.4/100,000 population). The measles elimination goal was not reached. Laboratory surveillance of measles circulating genotypes is performed by the Measles and Rubella National Reference Laboratory (NRL) at the Italian National Institute of Health (Istituto Superiore di Sanità - ISS), in Rome. Samples received from 1 January 2013-31 December 2015 were analysed. Those positive for measles genome by molecular tests were sequenced and phylogenetically analysed. Phylogenetic analysis performed by NRL identified that genotypes D4 and D8 were endemic and co-circulated in 2011-2013: study results show that genotype D4 disappeared during 2013. Sporadic cases were associated to genotype B3 during 2011-2013, which became endemic in Italy during 2014 and co-circulated with D8 until 2015. Sporadic cases were found belonging to genotypes D9 and H1 all over the period in exam. Similar trend has been observed in European WHO Region.
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- 2017
26. Outbreak of a new measles B3 variant in the Roma/Sinti population with transmission in the nosocomial setting, Italy, November 2015 to April 2016
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Antonella Amendola, Sabrina Senatore, Melissa Baggieri, Maria Teresa Filipponi, Antonietta Filia, Martina Del Manso, Giulia Piccirilli, Alessio Ciampelli, Marino Faccini, Bianca Maria Borrini, Maria Grazia Pascucci, Silvia Bianchi, Fabio Magurano, Elisabetta Tanzi, Tiziana Lazzarotto, Filia, A, Amendola, A, Faccini, M, Del Manso, M, Senatore, S, Bianchi, S, Borrini, Bm, Ciampelli, A, Tanzi, E, Filipponi, Mt, Piccirilli, G, Lazzarotto, T, Pascucci, Mg, Baggieri, M, and Magurano, F.
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0301 basic medicine ,Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Epidemiology ,030106 microbiology ,Population ,Ethnic group ,Measles outbreak ,Measles ,Measles virus ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,healthcare-associated infection ,Virology ,medicine ,measle ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education ,education.field_of_study ,Surveillance ,outbreak ,biology ,Transmission (medicine) ,business.industry ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Outbreak ,medicine.disease ,biology.organism_classification ,vaccine-preventable diseases ,Vaccine-preventable diseases ,business ,laboratory surveillance ,Demography - Abstract
A measles outbreak occurred from November 2015 to April 2016 in two northern Italian regions, affecting the Roma/Sinti ethnic population and nosocomial setting. Overall, 67 cases were reported. Median age of 43 cases in three Roma/Sinti camps was four years, nosocomial cases were mainly adults. The outbreak was caused by a new measles virus B3.1 variant. Immunisation resources and strategies should be directed at groups with gaps in vaccine coverage, e.g. Roma/Sinti and healthcare workers.
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- 2016
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27. Sex differences in response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines in Italian population.
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Ferroni E, Mateo-Urdiales A, Bietta C, Cesaroni G, Anticoli S, Di Maggio E, Ancona A, Petrone D, Cannone A, Sacco C, Fabiani M, Del Manso M, Riccardo F, Bella A, Ruggieri A, and Pezzotti P
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Adult, Retrospective Studies, Aged, Young Adult, Sex Factors, Adolescent, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Vaccine Efficacy, Aged, 80 and over, mRNA Vaccines, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, COVID-19 Vaccines immunology, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Since the beginning of mass vaccination campaign for COVID-19 in Italy (December 2020) and following the rapidly increasing vaccine administration, sex differences have been emphasized. Nevertheless, incomplete and frequently incoherent sex-disaggregated data for COVID-19 vaccinations are currently available, and vaccines clinical studies generally do not include sex-specific analyses for safety and efficacy. We looked at sex variations in the COVID-19 vaccine's effectiveness against infection and severe disease outcomes. We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study on Italian population, linking information on COVID-19 vaccine administrations obtained through the Italian National Vaccination Registry, with the COVID-19 integrated surveillance system, held by the Istituto Superiore di Sanità. The results showed that, in all age groups, vaccine effectiveness (VE) was higher in the time-interval ≤120 days post-vaccination. In terms of the sex difference in vaccination effectiveness, men and women were protected against serious illness by vaccination in a comparable way, while men were protected against infection to a somewhat greater extent than women. To fully understand the mechanisms underlying the sex difference in vaccine response and its consequences for vaccine effectiveness and development, further research is required. The sex-related analysis of vaccine response may contribute to adjust vaccination strategies, improving overall public health programmes.
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- 2024
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28. Case-time series study on the short-term impact of meteorological factors on West Nile Virus incidence in Italy at the local administrative unit level, 2012 to 2021.
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De Angelis L, Ancona A, Moirano G, Oradini-Alacreu A, Bella A, Fabiani M, Petrone D, Piervitali E, Perconti W, Fraschetti P, Settanta G, Del Manso M, Fotakis EA, Riccardo F, Rizzo C, Pezzotti P, and Mateo-Urdiales A
- Abstract
Introduction: West Nile Virus (WNV) is a significant public health concern in southern Europe, with meteorological, climatic, and environmental factors playing a critical role in its transmission dynamics. This study aims to assess the short-term effects of meteorological variables on the incidence of WNV in five Italian regions in Northern Italy from 2012 to 2021., Methods: Linking epidemiological data from the national surveillance system and local meteorological data, we conducted a Case-Time Series analysis to examine the association between WNV incident cases and temperature, humidity, and precipitation recorded up to ten weeks before case occurrence at the local administrative unit level. We employed conditional quasi-Poisson regression and distributed lag non-linear models to explore delayed effects., Results: Our study analyzed 1110 autochthonous human cases of WNV. We found a positive association between WNV incidence and weekly mean temperature recorded between one to nine weeks before the diagnosis, with the highest effect at one week lag (IRR: 1.16; 95% CI 1.11-1.21). An increase in weekly precipitations between the sixth and ninth weeks before diagnosis was also positively associated with WNV incidence. Variations in minimum weekly humidity did not show a consistent impact., Conclusions: Our findings underscore the influence of temperature and, to a lesser extent, precipitation on WNV incidence in Northern Italy, highlighting the potential of climatic data in developing early warning systems for WNV surveillance and public health interventions., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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29. Autochthonous dengue outbreak in Marche Region, Central Italy, August to October 2024.
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Sacco C, Liverani A, Venturi G, Gavaudan S, Riccardo F, Salvoni G, Fortuna C, Marinelli K, Marsili G, Pesaresi A, Grané CM, Mercuri I, Manica M, Caucci S, Morelli D, Sebastianelli L, Marcacci M, Ferraro F, Di Luca M, Pascucci I, Merakou C, Duranti A, Pati I, Lombardini L, Fiacchini D, Filipponi G, Maraglino F, Palamara AT, Poletti P, Pezzotti P, Filippetti F, Merler S, Del Manso M, and Menzo S
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- Italy epidemiology, Humans, Male, Adult, Female, Middle Aged, Adolescent, Aged, Child, Young Adult, Child, Preschool, Serogroup, Aedes virology, Animals, Seasons, Infant, Disease Outbreaks, Dengue epidemiology, Dengue diagnosis, Dengue Virus isolation & purification
- Abstract
Between August and 28 October 2024, 199 autochthonous cases of dengue virus serotype 2 were notified in the city of Fano, central Italy. We describe the ongoing epidemiological and microbiological investigation and public health measures implemented to contain the outbreak. The high transmissibility and the extension of the outbreak suggest that dengue should be expected in temperate regions during favourable seasons, highlighting the need for heightened awareness among healthcare providers and the public to ensure timely detection and response.
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- 2024
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30. Effectiveness against severe COVID-19 of a seasonal booster dose of bivalent (original/Omicron BA.4-5) mRNA vaccines in persons aged ≥60 years: Estimates over calendar time and by time since administration during prevalent circulation of different Omicron subvariants, Italy, 2022-2023.
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Fabiani M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Fotakis EA, Battilomo S, Petrone D, Del Manso M, Bella A, Riccardo F, Stefanelli P, Palamara AT, and Pezzotti P
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- Humans, Aged, Male, Italy epidemiology, Female, Retrospective Studies, Middle Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Seasons, mRNA Vaccines, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, Immunization, Secondary, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, COVID-19 Vaccines immunology, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, Vaccine Efficacy
- Abstract
Evaluating how a COVID-19 seasonal vaccination program performed might help to plan future campaigns. This study aims to estimate the relative effectiveness (rVE) against severe COVID-19 of a seasonal booster dose over calendar time and by time since administration. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis among 13,083,855 persons aged ≥60 years who were eligible to receive a seasonal booster at the start of the 2022-2023 vaccination campaign in Italy. We estimated rVE against severe COVID-19 (hospitalization or death) of a seasonal booster dose of bivalent (original/Omicron BA.4-5) mRNA vaccines by two-month calendar interval and at different times post-administration. We used multivariable Cox regression models, including vaccination as time-dependent exposure, to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and rVEs as [(1-HR)X100]. The rVE of a seasonal booster decreased from 64.9% (95% CI: 59.8-69.4) in October-November 2022 to 22.0% (95% CI: 15.4-28.0) in April-May 2023, when the majority of vaccinated persons (67%) had received the booster at least 4-6 months earlier. During the epidemic phase with prevalent circulation of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant, rVE of a seasonal booster received ≤90 days earlier was 83.0% (95% CI: 79.1-86.1), compared to 37.4% (95% CI: 25.5-47.5) during prevalent circulation of the Omicron XBB subvariant. During the XBB epidemic phase, rVE was estimated at 15.8% (95% CI: 9.1-20.1) 181-369 days post-administration of the booster dose. In all the analyses we observed similar trends of rVE between persons aged 60-79 and those ≥80 years, although estimates were somewhat lower for the oldest group. A seasonal booster dose received during the vaccination campaign provided additional protection against severe COVID-19 up to April-May 2023, after which the incidence of severe COVID-19 was much reduced. The results also suggest that the Omicron XBB subvariant might have partly escaped the immunity provided by the seasonal booster targeting the original and Omicron BA.4-5 strains of SARS-CoV-2., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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31. Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number.
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Bizzotto A, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Del Manso M, Mateo Urdiales A, Petrone D, Cannone A, Sacco C, Poletti P, Manica M, Zardini A, Trentini F, Fabiani M, Bella A, Riccardo F, Pezzotti P, Ajelli M, and Merler S
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Algorithms, Pandemics, Basic Reproduction Number, Awareness, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Background: The time-varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks; however, delays between infection and reporting of cases hinder its accurate estimation in real-time. A number of nowcasting methods, leveraging available information on data consolidation delays, have been proposed to mitigate this problem., Methods: In this work, we retrospectively validate the use of a nowcasting algorithm during 18 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy by quantitatively assessing its performance against standard methods for the estimation of R., Results: Nowcasting significantly reduced the median lag in the estimation of R from 13 to 8 days, while concurrently enhancing accuracy. Furthermore, it allowed the detection of periods of epidemic growth with a lead of between 6 and 23 days., Conclusions: Nowcasting augments epidemic awareness, empowering better informed public health responses., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. The author(s) declared that they were an editorial board member of Frontiers, at the time of submission. This had no impact on the peer review process and the final decision., (Copyright © 2024 Bizzotto, Guzzetta, Marziano, Del Manso, Mateo Urdiales, Petrone, Cannone, Sacco, Poletti, Manica, Zardini, Trentini, Fabiani, Bella, Riccardo, Pezzotti, Ajelli and Merler.)
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- 2024
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32. Risk of breakthrough infection and hospitalisation after COVID-19 primary vaccination by HIV status in four Italian regions during 2021.
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Mateo-Urdiales A, Fabiani M, Mayer F, Sacco C, Belleudi V, Da Cas R, Fotakis EA, De Angelis L, Cutillo M, Petrone D, Morciano C, Cannone A, Del Manso M, Riccardo F, Bella A, Menniti-Ippolito F, Pezzotti P, Spila Alegiani S, and Massari M
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Adult, Aged, SARS-CoV-2, Registries, Young Adult, Risk Factors, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Incidence, Breakthrough Infections, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, HIV Infections epidemiology, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage
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Background: As of 2024, vaccination remains the main mitigation measure against COVID-19, but there are contradictory results on whether people living with HIV (PLWH) are less protected by vaccines than people living without HIV (PLWoH). In this study we compared the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalisation following full vaccination in PLWH and PLWoH., Methods: We linked data from the vaccination registry, the COVID-19 surveillance system and from healthcare/pharmacological registries in four Italian regions. We identified PLWH fully vaccinated (14 days post completion of the primary cycle) and matched them at a ratio of 1:4 with PLWoH by week of vaccine administration, age, sex, region of residence and comorbidities. Follow-up started on January 24, 2021, and lasted for a maximum of 234 days. We used the Kaplan-Meier estimator to calculate the cumulative incidence of infection and COVID-19 hospitalisation in both groups, and we compared risks using risk differences and ratios taking PLWoH as the reference group., Results: We matched 42,771 PLWH with 171,084 PLWoH. The overall risk of breakthrough infection was similar in both groups with a rate ratio (RR) of 1.10 (95% confidence interval (CI):0.80-1.53). The absolute difference between groups at the end of the study period was 8.28 events per 10,000 person-days in the PLWH group (95%CI:-18.43-40.29). There was a non-significant increase the risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation among PLWH (RR:1.90; 95%CI:0.93-3.32) which corresponds to 6.73 hospitalisations per 10,000 individuals (95%CI: -0.57 to 14.87 per 10,000)., Conclusions: Our findings suggest PLWH were not at increased risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 hospitalisation following a primary cycle of mRNA vaccination., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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33. Spatial spread of COVID-19 during the early pandemic phase in Italy.
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d'Andrea V, Trentini F, Marziano V, Zardini A, Manica M, Guzzetta G, Ajelli M, Petrone D, Del Manso M, Sacco C, Andrianou X, Bella A, Riccardo F, Pezzotti P, Poletti P, and Merler S
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Retrospective Studies, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Pandemics, Models, Statistical, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission, COVID-19 prevention & control, SARS-CoV-2
- Abstract
Quantifying the potential spatial spread of an infectious pathogen is key to defining effective containment and control strategies. The aim of this study is to estimate the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at different distances in Italy before the first regional lockdown was imposed, identifying important sources of national spreading. To do this, we leverage on a probabilistic model applied to daily symptomatic cases retrospectively ascertained in each Italian municipality with symptom onset between January 28 and March 7, 2020. Results are validated using a multi-patch dynamic transmission model reproducing the spatiotemporal distribution of identified cases. Our results show that the contribution of short-distance ( ≤ 10 k m ) transmission increased from less than 40% in the last week of January to more than 80% in the first week of March 2020. On March 7, 2020, that is the day before the first regional lockdown was imposed, more than 200 local transmission foci were contributing to the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy. At the time, isolation measures imposed only on municipalities with at least ten ascertained cases would have left uncontrolled more than 75% of spillover transmission from the already affected municipalities. In early March, national-wide restrictions were required to curb short-distance transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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34. Diagnosis of Imported Dengue and Zika Virus Infections in Italy from November 2015 to November 2022: Laboratory Surveillance Data from a National Reference Laboratory.
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Merakou C, Amendola A, Fortuna C, Marsili G, Fiorentini C, Argentini C, Benedetti E, Rezza G, Maraglino F, Del Manso M, Bella A, Pezzotti P, Riccardo F, Palamara AT, Venturi G, and The Arbovirus Working Group
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- Humans, Animals, Mosquito Vectors, Italy epidemiology, Zika Virus, Zika Virus Infection diagnosis, Aedes, Dengue diagnosis, Dengue epidemiology
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Dengue (DENV) and Zika (ZIKV) viruses are mosquito-borne human pathogens. In Italy, the presence of the competent vector Aedes albopictus increases the risk of autochthonous transmission, and a national plan for arboviruses prevention, surveillance, and response (PNA 2020-2025) is in place. The results of laboratory diagnosis of both viruses by the National Reference Laboratory for arboviruses (NRLA) from November 2015 to November 2022 are presented. Samples from 655 suspected cases were tested by both molecular and serological assays. Virus and antibody kinetics, cross-reactivity, and diagnostic performance of IgM ELISA systems were analysed. Of 524 cases tested for DENV, 146 were classified as confirmed, 7 as probable, while 371 were excluded. Of 619 cases tested for ZIKV, 44 were classified as confirmed, while 492 were excluded. All cases were imported. Overall, 75.3% (110/146) of DENV and 50% (22/44) of ZIKV cases were confirmed through direct virus detection methods. High percentages of cross reactivity were observed between the two viruses. The median lag time from symptoms onset to sample collection was 7 days for both DENV molecular (range 0-20) and NS1 ELISA (range 0-48) tests, with high percentages of positivity also after 7 days (39% and 67%, respectively). For ZIKV, the median lag time was 5 days (range 0-22), with 16% positivity after 7 days. Diagnostic performance was assessed with negative predictive values ranging from 92% to 95% for the anti-DENV systems, and of 97% for the ZIKV one. Lower positive predictive values were seen in the tested population (DENV: 55% to 91%, ZIKV: 50%). DENV and ZIKV diagnosis by molecular test is the gold standard, but sample collection time is a limitation. Serological tests, including Plaque Reduction Neutralization Test, are thus necessary. Co-circulation and cross-reactivity between the two viruses increase diagnostic difficulty. Continuous evaluation of diagnostic strategies is essential to improve laboratory testing.
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- 2023
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35. Relative effectiveness of monovalent and bivalent mRNA boosters in preventing severe COVID-19 due to omicron BA.5 infection up to 4 months post-administration in people aged 60 years or older in Italy: a retrospective matched cohort study.
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Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Fotakis EA, Del Manso M, Bella A, Riccardo F, Bressi M, Rota MC, Petrone D, Siddu A, Fedele G, Stefanelli P, Palamara AT, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Pezzotti P, and Fabiani M
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- Humans, Middle Aged, Aged, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, Cohort Studies, Retrospective Studies, Italy epidemiology, RNA, Messenger genetics, Vaccines, Combined, mRNA Vaccines, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Limited evidence is available on the additional protection conferred by second mRNA vaccine boosters against severe COVID-19 caused by omicron BA.5 infection, and whether the adapted bivalent boosters provide additional protection compared with the monovalent ones. In this study, we aimed to estimate the relative effectiveness of a second booster with monovalent or bivalent mRNA vaccines against severe COVID-19 in Italy., Methods: Linking data from the Italian vaccination registry and the SARS-CoV-2 surveillance system, between Sept 12, 2022, and Jan 7, 2023, we matched 1:1 each person aged 60 years or older receiving a second booster with a person who had received the first booster only at least 120 days earlier. We used hazard ratios, estimated through Cox proportional hazard models, to compare the hazard of severe COVID-19 between the first booster group and each type of second booster (monovalent mRNA vaccine targeting the original strain of SARS-CoV-2, bivalent mRNA vaccine targeting the original strain plus omicron BA.1 [bivalent original/BA.1], and bivalent mRNA vaccine targeting the original strain plus omicron BA.4 and BA.5 [bivalent original/BA.4-5]). Relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) was calculated as (1-hazard ratio) × 100., Findings: We analysed a total of 2 129 559 matched pairs. The estimated rVE against severe COVID-19 with the bivalent original/BA.4-5 booster was 50·6% (95% CI 46·0-54·8) in the overall time interval 14-118 days post-administration. Overall, rVE was 49·3% (43·6-54·4) for the bivalent original/BA.1 booster and 26·9% (11·8-39·3) for the monovalent booster. For the bivalent original/BA.4-5 booster, we did not observe relevant differences in rVE between the 60-79-year age group (overall, 53·6%; 46·8-59·5) and those aged 80 years or older (overall, 48·3%; 41·9-54·0)., Interpretation: These findings suggest that a second booster with mRNA vaccines provides additional protection against severe COVID-19 due to omicron BA.5 (the predominant circulating subvariant in Italy during the study period) in people aged 60 years or older. Although rVE decreased over time, a second booster with the original/BA.4-5 mRNA vaccine, currently the most used in Italy, was found to be still providing protection 4 months post-administration., Funding: NextGenerationEU-MUR-PNRR Extended Partnership initiative on Emerging Infectious Diseases (project number PE00000007, INF-ACT)., Translation: For the Italian translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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36. Estimated Effectiveness of a Primary Cycle of Protein Recombinant Vaccine NVX-CoV2373 Against COVID-19.
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Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Petrone D, Bella A, Riccardo F, Del Manso M, Bressi M, Siddu A, Brusaferro S, Palamara AT, Rezza G, Pezzotti P, and Fabiani M
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- Adult, Humans, Female, Middle Aged, Male, Cohort Studies, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, Vaccines, Synthetic, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Importance: Protein recombinant vaccine NVX-CoV2373 (Novavax) against COVID-19 was authorized for its use in adults in late 2021, but evidence on its estimated effectiveness in a general population is lacking., Objective: To estimate vaccine effectiveness of a primary cycle with NVX-CoV2373 against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19., Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study linking data from the national vaccination registry and the COVID-19 surveillance system in Italy during a period of Omicron predominance. All adults starting a primary vaccination with NVX-CoV2373 between February 28 and September 4, 2022, were included, with follow-up ending on September 25, 2022. Data were analyzed in February 2023., Exposures: Partial (1 dose only) vaccination and full vaccination (2 doses) with NVX-CoV-2373., Main Outcomes and Measures: Notified SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19. Poisson regression models were used to estimate effectiveness against both outcomes. Adjusted estimated vaccine effectiveness was calculated as (1 - incidence rate ratio) × 100., Results: The study included 20 903 individuals who started the primary cycle during the study period. Median (IQR) age of participants was 52 (39-61) years, 10 794 (51.6%) were female, and 20 592 participants (98.5%) had no factors associated with risk for severe COVID-19. Adjusted estimated vaccine effectiveness against notified SARS-CoV-2 infection in those partially vaccinated with NVX-CoV2373 was 23% (95% CI, 13%-33%) and was 31% (95% CI, 22%-39%) in those fully vaccinated. Estimated vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 was 31% (95% CI, 16%-44%) in those partially vaccinated and 50% (95% CI, 40%-58%) in those fully vaccinated. Estimated effectiveness during the first 4 months after completion of the primary cycle decreased against SARS-CoV-2 infection but remained stable against symptomatic COVID-19., Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that, in an Omicron-dominant period, protein recombinant vaccine NVX-CoV2373 was associated with protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19. The use of this vaccine could remain an important element in reducing the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
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- 2023
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37. Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections and associated changes in COVID-19 severity and fatality.
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Marziano V, Guzzetta G, Menegale F, Sacco C, Petrone D, Mateo Urdiales A, Del Manso M, Bella A, Fabiani M, Vescio MF, Riccardo F, Poletti P, Manica M, Zardini A, d'Andrea V, Trentini F, Stefanelli P, Rezza G, Palamara AT, Brusaferro S, Ajelli M, Pezzotti P, and Merler S
- Subjects
- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Pandemics, Hospitalization, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: The difficulty in identifying SARS-CoV-2 infections has not only been the major obstacle to control the COVID-19 pandemic but also to quantify changes in the proportion of infections resulting in hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or death., Methods: We developed a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and vaccination informed by official estimates of the time-varying reproduction number to estimate infections that occurred in Italy between February 2020 and 2022. Model outcomes were compared with the Italian National surveillance data to estimate changes in the SARS-CoV-2 infection ascertainment ratio (IAR), infection hospitalization ratio (IHR), infection ICU ratio (IIR), and infection fatality ratio (IFR) in five different sub-periods associated with the dominance of the ancestral lineages and Alpha, Delta, and Omicron BA.1 variants., Results: We estimate that, over the first 2 years of pandemic, the IAR ranged between 15% and 40% (range of 95%CI: 11%-61%), with a peak value in the second half of 2020. The IHR, IIR, and IFR consistently decreased throughout the pandemic with 22-44-fold reductions between the initial phase and the Omicron period. At the end of the study period, we estimate an IHR of 0.24% (95%CI: 0.17-0.36), IIR of 0.015% (95%CI: 0.011-0.023), and IFR of 0.05% (95%CI: 0.04-0.08)., Conclusions: Since 2021, changes in the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant, vaccination rollout, and the shift of infection to younger ages have reduced SARS-CoV-2 infection ascertainment. The same factors, combined with the improvement of patient management and care, contributed to a massive reduction in the severity and fatality of COVID-19., Competing Interests: MA has received research funding from Seqirus. The funding is not related to COVID‐19. PS has received funding from GSK, not related to this project. All other authors declare no conflicts of interest., (© 2023 The Authors. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2023
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38. Relative effectiveness of bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccine in preventing severe COVID-19 in persons 60 years and above during SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB.1.5 and other XBB sublineages circulation, Italy, April to June 2023.
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Fabiani M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Rota MC, Fotakis EA, Petrone D, Del Manso M, Siddu A, Stefanelli P, Bella A, Riccardo F, Rezza G, Palamara AT, Brusaferro S, and Pezzotti P
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, mRNA Vaccines, RNA, Messenger, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, Middle Aged, Aged, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage
- Abstract
During predominant circulation of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB.1.5 and other XBB sublineages (April-June 2023), we found that a second or third booster of Comirnaty bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccine, versus a first booster received at least 120 days earlier, was effective in preventing severe COVID-19 for more than 6 months post-administration in persons 60 years and above. In view of autumn 2023 vaccination campaigns, use of bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccines might be warranted until monovalent COVID-19 vaccines targeting Omicron XBB.1 sublineages become available.
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- 2023
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39. The Impact of Rotavirus Vaccination on Discharges for Pediatric Gastroenteritis in Italy: An Eleven Year (2009-2019) Nationwide Analysis.
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Isonne C, Petrone D, Del Manso M, Iera J, Caramia A, Bandini L, Fadda G, Grossi A, Baccolini V, Costantino C, Pezzotti P, Siddu A, and D'Ancona F
- Abstract
In Italy, despite the documented positive effects of rotavirus (RV) vaccination on reducing the burden of RV disease, an updated national assessment of its impact on clinical outcomes is still lacking. This study aims to analyze the implementation of RV vaccination in Italy, evaluating its impact on discharges for acute pediatric gastroenteritis (AGE). A retrospective analysis, including hospital discharge records and data on vaccination coverage for children aged 0-71 months from 2009 to 2019, was conducted. We examined trends in hospital discharge standardized incidence before and after vaccine introduction using a negative binomial mixture model with fixed effects to evaluate the impact of universal vaccination. The percentage of vaccination coverage increased over the years, from <5% between 2009 and 2013 to 26% in 2017, reaching 70% in 2019. The standardized incidence of discharges decreased over the period from 16.6/100,000 inhabitants in 2009-2013 to 9.9/100,000 inhabitants in 2018-2019. In this phase, about 15% of the estimated hospital discharges were avoided compared with those estimated in the first phase. The implementation of RV vaccination reduced AGE incidence discharges in children aged 0-71 months. Further efforts are needed to continue monitoring the vaccination effect over time and to increase vaccination coverage.
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- 2023
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40. Reduction of the risk of severe COVID-19 due to Omicron compared to Delta variant in Italy (November 2021 - February 2022).
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Petrone D, Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Riccardo F, Bella A, Ambrosio L, Lo Presti A, Di Martino A, Ceccarelli E, Del Manso M, Fabiani M, Stefanelli P, Pezzotti P, and Palamara A
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Europe, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Objectives: During 2022, Omicron became the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in Europe. This study aims to assess the impact of such variant on severe disease from SARS-CoV-2 compared with the Delta variant in Italy., Methods: Using surveillance data, we assessed the risk of developing severe COVID-19 with Omicron infection compared with Delta in individuals aged ≥12 years using a multilevel negative binomial model adjusting for sex, age, vaccination status, occupation, previous infection, weekly incidence, and geographical area. We also analyzed the interaction between the sequenced variant, age, and vaccination status., Results: We included 21,645 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection where genome sequencing found Delta (10,728) or Omicron (10,917), diagnosed from November 15, 2021 to February 01, 2022. Overall, 3,021 cases developed severe COVID-19. We found that Omicron cases had a reduced risk of severe COVID-19 compared with Delta cases (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70-0.86). The largest difference was observed in cases aged 40-59 (IRR = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.55-0.79), while no protective effect was found in those aged 12-39 (IRR = 1.03; 95% CI: 0.79-1.33). Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of developing severe COVID-19 in both variants., Conclusion: The Omicron variant is associated with a lower risk of severe COVID-19 compared to infection with the Delta variant, but the degree of protection varies with age., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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41. Decline in reported measles cases in Italy in the COVID-19 era, January 2020 - July 2022: The need to prevent a resurgence upon lifting non-pharmaceutical pandemic measures.
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Facchin G, Bella A, Del Manso M, Rota MC, and Filia A
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- Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, RNA, Viral, Lifting, SARS-CoV-2, Communicable Disease Control, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Italy epidemiology, Measles Vaccine, Vaccination, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Measles epidemiology, Measles prevention & control
- Abstract
From January 2020 to July 2022, 120 measles cases were reported to the Italian national surveillance system, of which 105 had symptom onset in 2020, nine in 2021 and six in the first seven months of 2022. This represents a sharp decline compared to the time period immediately preceding the COVID-19 pandemic, most likely due to the non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented to prevent SARS-CoV2 transmission. Of 105 cases reported in 2020, 103 acquired the infection before a national lockdown was instituted on 9 March 2020. Overall, one quarter of cases reported at least one complication. As non-pharmaceutical pandemic measures are being eased worldwide, and considering measles seasonality, infectiousness, and its potential severity, it is important that countries ensure high vaccination coverage and close immunity gaps, to avoid risk of future outbreaks., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2023
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42. Protection against severe COVID-19 after second booster dose of adapted bivalent (original/Omicron BA.4-5) mRNA vaccine in persons ≥ 60 years, by time since infection, Italy, 12 September to 11 December 2022.
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Fabiani M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Fotakis EA, Rota MC, Petrone D, Bressi M, Del Manso M, Siddu A, Fedele G, Stefanelli P, Bella A, Riccardo F, Palamara AT, Rezza G, Brusaferro S, and Pezzotti P
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, RNA, Messenger, Vaccination, mRNA Vaccines, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Effectiveness against severe COVID-19 of a second booster dose of the bivalent (original/BA.4-5) mRNA vaccine 7-90 days post-administration, relative to a first booster dose of an mRNA vaccine received ≥ 120 days earlier, was ca 60% both in persons ≥ 60 years never infected and in those infected > 6 months before. Relative effectiveness in those infected 4-6 months earlier indicated no significant additional protection (10%; 95% CI: -44 to 44). A second booster vaccination 6 months after the latest infection may be warranted.
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- 2023
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43. Relative effectiveness of a 2nd booster dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine up to four months post administration in individuals aged 80 years or more in Italy: A retrospective matched cohort study.
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Fabiani M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Sacco C, Rota MC, Petrone D, Bressi M, Del Manso M, Siddu A, Proietti V, Battilomo S, Menniti-Ippolito F, Popoli P, Bella A, Riccardo F, Palamara AT, Rezza G, Brusaferro S, and Pezzotti P
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- Aged, Humans, Cohort Studies, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Italy epidemiology, mRNA Vaccines, COVID-19 Vaccines, COVID-19 prevention & control
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Several countries started a 2nd booster COVID-19 vaccination campaign targeting the elderly population, but evidence around its effectiveness is still scarce. This study aims to estimate the relative effectiveness of a 2nd booster dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in the population aged ≥ 80 years in Italy, during predominant circulation of the Omicron BA.2 and BA.5 subvariants. We linked routine data from the national vaccination registry and the COVID-19 surveillance system. On each day between 11 April and 6 August 2022, we matched 1:1, according to several demographic and clinical characteristics, individuals who received the 2nd booster vaccine dose with individuals who received the 1st booster vaccine dose at least 120 days earlier. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to compare the risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 (hospitalisation or death) between the two groups, calculating the relative vaccine effectiveness (RVE) as (1 - risk ratio)X100. Based on the analysis of 831,555 matched pairs, we found that a 2nd booster dose of mRNA vaccine, 14-118 days post administration, was moderately effective in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to a 1st booster dose administered at least 120 days earlier [14.3 %, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 2.2-20.2]. RVE decreased from 28.5 % (95 % CI: 24.7-32.1) in the time-interval 14-28 days to 7.6 % (95 % CI: -14.1 to 18.3) in the time-interval 56-118 days. However, RVE against severe COVID-19 was higher (34.0 %, 95 % CI: 23.4-42.7), decreasing from 43.2 % (95 % CI: 30.6-54.9) to 27.2 % (95 % CI: 8.3-42.9) over the same time span. Although RVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection was much reduced 2-4 months after a 2nd booster dose, RVE against severe COVID-19 was about 30 %, even during prevalent circulation of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant. The cost-benefit of a 3rd booster dose for the elderly people who received the 2nd booster dose at least four months earlier should be carefully evaluated., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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44. Characteristics of COVID-19 cases in Italy from a sex/gender perspective.
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D'Archivio M, Cataldo C, Del Manso M, Petrone D, Sacco C, Vescio MF, Spuri M, Rota MC, Bressi M, Fabiani M, Boros S, Urdiales AM, Riccardo F, Bella A, Masella R, Pezzotti P, and Busani L
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- Male, Female, Humans, Aged, 80 and over, Aged, SARS-CoV-2, Risk Factors, Italy epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Introduction: Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). To date, few data on clinical features and risk factors for disease severity and death by gender are available., Aim: The current study aims to describe from a sex/gender perspective the characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2 cases occurred in the Italian population from February 2020 until October 2021., Method and Results: We used routinely collected data retrieved from the Italian National Surveillance System. The highest number of cases occurred among women between 40 and 59 years, followed by men in the same age groups. The proportion of deaths due to COVID-19 was higher in men (56.46%) compared to women (43.54%). Most of the observed deaths occurred in the elderly. Considering the age groups, the clinical outcomes differed between women and men in particular in cases over 80 years of age; with serious or critical conditions more frequent in men than in women., Conclusions: Our data clearly demonstrate a similar number of cases in women and men, but with more severe disease and outcome in men, thus confirming the importance to analyse the impact of sex and gender in new and emerging diseases.
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- 2022
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45. Rapid increase in neuroinvasive West Nile virus infections in humans, Italy, July 2022.
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Riccardo F, Bella A, Monaco F, Ferraro F, Petrone D, Mateo-Urdiales A, Andrianou XD, Del Manso M, Venturi G, Fortuna C, Di Luca M, Severini F, Caporali MG, Morelli D, Iapaolo F, Pati I, Lombardini L, Bakonyi T, Alexandra O, Pezzotti P, Perrotta MG, Maraglino F, Rezza G, and Palamara AT
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- Animals, Birds, Humans, Italy epidemiology, Mosquito Vectors, Culicidae, West Nile Fever epidemiology, West Nile Fever veterinary, West Nile virus
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As in 2018, when a large West Nile virus (WNV) epidemic occurred, the 2022 vector season in Italy was marked by an early onset of WNV circulation in mosquitoes and birds. Human infections were limited until early July, when we observed a rapid increase in the number of cases. We describe the epidemiology of human infections and animal and vector surveillance for WNV and compare the more consolidated data of June and July 2022 with the same period in 2018.
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- 2022
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46. Effectiveness of BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in children aged 5-11 years in Italy: a retrospective analysis of January-April, 2022.
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Sacco C, Del Manso M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Rota MC, Petrone D, Riccardo F, Bella A, Siddu A, Battilomo S, Proietti V, Popoli P, Menniti Ippolito F, Palamara AT, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Pezzotti P, and Fabiani M
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- BNT162 Vaccine, COVID-19 Vaccines, Child, Humans, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Viral Vaccines
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Background: By April 13, 2022, more than 4 months after the approval of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) for children, less than 40% of 5-11-year-olds in Italy had been vaccinated against COVID-19. Estimating how effective vaccination is in 5-11-year-olds in the current epidemiological context dominated by the omicron variant (B.1.1.529) is important to inform public health bodies in defining vaccination policies and strategies., Methods: In this retrospective population analysis, we assessed vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19, defined as an infection leading to hospitalisation or death, by linking the national COVID-19 surveillance system and the national vaccination registry. All Italian children aged 5-11 years without a previous diagnosis of infection were eligible for inclusion and were followed up from Jan 17 to April 13, 2022. All children with inconsistent vaccination data, diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection before the start date of the study or without information on the municipality of residence were excluded from the analysis. With unvaccinated children as the reference group, we estimated vaccine effectiveness in those who were partly vaccinated (one dose) and those who were fully vaccinated (two doses)., Findings: By April 13, 2022, 1 063 035 (35·8%) of the 2 965 918 children aged 5-11 years included in the study had received two doses of the vaccine, 134 386 (4·5%) children had received one dose only, and 1 768 497 (59·6%) were unvaccinated. During the study period, 766 756 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection and 644 cases of severe COVID-19 (627 hospitalisations, 15 admissions to intensive care units, and two deaths) were notified. Overall, vaccine effectiveness in the fully vaccinated group was 29·4% (95% CI 28·5-30·2) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and 41·1% (22·2-55·4) against severe COVID-19, whereas vaccine effectiveness in the partly vaccinated group was 27·4% (26·4-28·4) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and 38·1% (20·9-51·5) against severe COVID-19. Vaccine effectiveness against infection peaked at 38·7% (37·7-39·7) at 0-14 days after full vaccination and decreased to 21·2% (19·7-22·7) at 43-84 days after full vaccination., Interpretation: Vaccination against COVID-19 in children aged 5-11 years in Italy showed a lower effectiveness in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 than in individuals aged 12 years and older. Effectiveness against infection appears to decrease after completion of the current primary vaccination cycle., Funding: None., Translation: For the Italian translation of the summary see Supplementary Materials section., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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47. Effectiveness of an mRNA vaccine booster dose against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in persons aged ≥60 years and other high-risk groups during predominant circulation of the delta variant in Italy, 19 July to 12 December 2021.
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Fabiani M, Puopolo M, Filia A, Sacco C, Mateo-Urdiales A, Spila Alegiani S, Del Manso M, D'Ancona F, Vescio F, Bressi M, Petrone D, Spuri M, Rota MC, Massari M, Da Cas R, Morciano C, Stefanelli P, Bella A, Tallon M, Proietti V, Siddu A, Battilomo S, Palamara AT, Popoli P, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Riccardo F, Menniti Ippolito F, and Pezzotti P
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- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccines, Synthetic, mRNA Vaccines, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
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Background: Consolidated information on the effectiveness of COVID-19 booster vaccination in Europe are scarce., Research Design and Methods: We assessed the effectiveness of a booster dose of an mRNA vaccine against any SARS-CoV-2 infection (symptomatic or asymptomatic) and severe COVID-19 (hospitalization or death) after over two months from administration among priority target groups (n = 18,524,568) during predominant circulation of the Delta variant in Italy (July-December 2021)., Results: Vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and, to a lesser extent, against severe COVID-19, among people ≥60 years and other high-risk groups (i.e. healthcare workers, residents in long-term-care facilities, and persons with comorbidities or immunocompromised), peaked in the time-interval 3-13 weeks (VE against infection = 67.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 62.5-71.3; VE against severe disease = 89.5%, 95% CI: 86.1-92.0) and then declined, waning 26 weeks after full primary vaccination (VE against infection = 12.2%, 95% CI: -4.7-26.4; VE against severe disease = 65.3%, 95% CI: 50.3-75.8). After 3-10 weeks from the administration of a booster dose, VE against infection and severe disease increased to 76.1% (95% CI: 70.4-80.7) and 93.0% (95% CI: 90.2-95.0), respectively., Conclusions: These results support the ongoing vaccination campaign in Italy, where the administration of a booster dose four months after completion of primary vaccination is recommended.
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- 2022
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48. Risk and protective factors for SARS-CoV-2 reinfections, surveillance data, Italy, August 2021 to March 2022.
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Sacco C, Petrone D, Del Manso M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Fabiani M, Bressi M, Bella A, Pezzotti P, Rota MC, and Riccardo F
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Middle Aged, Protective Factors, Reinfection, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2
- Abstract
We explored the risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in Italy between August 2021 and March 2022. Regardless of the prevalent virus variant, being unvaccinated was the most relevant risk factor for reinfection. The risk of reinfection increased almost 18-fold following emergence of the Omicron variant compared with Delta. A severe first SARS-CoV-2 infection and age over 60 years were significant risk factors for severe reinfection.
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- 2022
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49. Winning during a pandemic: epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 during EURO2020 in Italy.
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Riccardo F, Frisicale EM, Guzzetta G, Ferraro F, Merler S, Maringhini G, Spuri M, Petrone D, Rota MC, Rapiti A, Angeloni U, Rossi P, Tallon M, Giannitelli S, Pezzotti P, Del Manso M, Bella A, and Maraglino FP
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- Humans, Italy epidemiology, Male, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, Pandemics prevention & control
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Introduction: EURO2020 generated a growing media and population interest across the month period, that peaked with large spontaneous celebrations across the country upon winning the tournament., Methods: We retrospectively analysed data from the national surveillance system (indicator-based) and from event-based surveillance to assess how the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) changed in June-July 2021 and to describe cases and clusters linked with EURO2020., Results: Widespread increases in transmission and case numbers, mainly among younger males, were documented in Italy, none were linked with stadium attendance. Vaccination coverage against SARS-CoV-2 was longer among cases linked to EURO2020 than among the general population., Conclusions: Transmission increased across the country, mainly due to gatherings outside the stadium, where, conversely, strict infection control measures were enforced. These informal 'side' gatherings were dispersed across the entire country and difficult to control. Targeted communication and control strategies to limit the impact of informal gatherings occurring outside official sites of mass gathering events should be further developed.
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- 2022
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50. Effectiveness of mRNA vaccines and waning of protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe covid-19 during predominant circulation of the delta variant in Italy: retrospective cohort study.
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Fabiani M, Puopolo M, Morciano C, Spuri M, Spila Alegiani S, Filia A, D'Ancona F, Del Manso M, Riccardo F, Tallon M, Proietti V, Sacco C, Massari M, Da Cas R, Mateo-Urdiales A, Siddu A, Battilomo S, Bella A, Palamara AT, Popoli P, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Menniti Ippolito F, and Pezzotti P
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- 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 administration & dosage, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, BNT162 Vaccine administration & dosage, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 immunology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Immunogenicity, Vaccine, Incidence, Italy epidemiology, Male, Middle Aged, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification, Severity of Illness Index, Time Factors, Treatment Outcome, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Young Adult, 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 immunology, BNT162 Vaccine immunology, COVID-19 epidemiology, Immunization, Secondary statistics & numerical data, SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity
- Abstract
Objectives: To estimate the effectiveness of mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe covid-19 at different time after vaccination., Design: Retrospective cohort study., Setting: Italy, 27 December 2020 to 7 November 2021., Participants: 33 250 344 people aged ≥16 years who received a first dose of BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) or mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine and did not have a previous diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection., Main Outcome Measures: SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe covid-19 (admission to hospital or death). Data were divided by weekly time intervals after vaccination. Incidence rate ratios at different time intervals were estimated by multilevel negative binomial models with robust variance estimator. Sex, age group, brand of vaccine, priority risk category, and regional weekly incidence in the general population were included as covariates. Geographic region was included as a random effect. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness was calculated as (1-IRR)×100, where IRR=incidence rate ratio, with the time interval 0-14 days after the first dose of vaccine as the reference., Results: During the epidemic phase when the delta variant was the predominant strain of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection significantly decreased (P<0.001) from 82% (95% confidence interval 80% to 84%) at 3-4 weeks after the second dose of vaccine to 33% (27% to 39%) at 27-30 weeks after the second dose. In the same time intervals, vaccine effectiveness against severe covid-19 also decreased (P<0.001), although to a lesser extent, from 96% (95% to 97%) to 80% (76% to 83%). High risk people (vaccine effectiveness -6%, -28% to 12%), those aged ≥80 years (11%, -15% to 31%), and those aged 60-79 years (2%, -11% to 14%) did not seem to be protected against infection at 27-30 weeks after the second dose of vaccine., Conclusions: The results support the vaccination campaigns targeting high risk people, those aged ≥60 years, and healthcare workers to receive a booster dose of vaccine six months after the primary vaccination cycle. The results also suggest that timing the booster dose earlier than six months after the primary vaccination cycle and extending the offer of the booster dose to the wider eligible population might be warranted., Competing Interests: Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/disclosure-of-interest/ and declare: no support from any organisation for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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