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Background: Over the last decades relevant epidemiological changes of liver diseases have occurred, together with greatly improved treatment opportunities. Aim: To investigate how the indications for elective adult liver transplantation and the underlying disease etiologies have evolved in Italy. Methods: We recruited from the National Transplant Registry a cohort comprising 17,317 adults patients waitlisted for primary liver transplantation from January-2004 to December-2020. Patients were divided into three Eras:1(2004–2011),2(2012–2014) and 3(2015–2020). Results: Waitlistings for cirrhosis decreased from 65.9% in Era 1 to 46.1% in Era 3, while those for HCC increased from 28.7% to 48.7%. Comparing Eras 1 and 3, waitlistings for HCV-related cirrhosis decreased from 35.9% to 12.1%, yet those for HCV-related HCC increased from 8.5% to 26.7%. Waitlistings for HBV-related cirrhosis remained almost unchanged (13.2% and 12.4%), while those for HBV-related HCC increased from 4.0% to 11.6%. ALD-related cirrhosis decreased from 16.9% to 12.9% while ALD-related HCC increased from 1.9% to 3.9%. Conclusions: A sharp increase in liver transplant waitlisting for HCC and a concomitant decrease of waitlisting for cirrhosis have occurred In Italy. Despite HCV infection has noticeably decreased, still remains the primary etiology of waitlisting for HCC, while ALD and HBV represent the main causes for cirrhosis.

Summary There are reports of pretransplant sofosbuvir (SOF) plus ribavirin being effective in preventing recurrent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after liver transplantation (LT). The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of this strategy in the area served by the North Italy Transplant program. We retrospectively assessed the impact of HCV infection on post-LT survival in 2376 consecutive adult patients (MELD ≤ 25, unknown genotype, period 2004-2009) and the prevalence costs of conventional standard of care (SOC) antiviral therapy (pegylated interferon plus ribavirin) after LT. A Markov model was developed to compare two strategies: 12-24 weeks of SOF+ ribavirin for pre-LT anti-HCV treatment versus on-demand post-LT SOC antiviral therapy. Among the 1794 patients undergoing LT, 860 (48%) were HCV+ and 50% of them were given SOC therapy after LT (mean cost of drugs and adverse effect management = 14 421€ per patient). HCV etiology had a strong impact on post-LT survival (hazard ratio = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.22-2.09, P = 0.0007). After Monte Carlo simulation, pre-LT SOF therapy showed a median survival benefit of 1.5 quality-adjusted life years and an Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 30 663€/QALY, proving cost-effective in our particular Italian scenario. The costs of SOF therapy, sustained viral response rate 12 weeks after LT, and recipient's age were the main ICER predictors at multivariate analysis. This study proposes a dynamic model based on real-life data from northern Italy for adjusting the costs of pre-LT direct-acting antiviral therapies to the actual sustained virological response reached after LT.

In situ split liver extended right grafts (SL-ERGs) are still considered marginal grafts. Our aim was to verify this statement at the present time. From 1997 to 2011, a multicenter, retrospective study based on a prospective database was performed at 9 liver transplantation (LT) centers in northern Italy; it included 382 in situ SL-ERG transplants in adults. There were 358 primary LTs and 24 retransplantations (RETXs). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall graft survival rate for LT with in situ SL-ERGs were 73.5%, 63.3%, and 60.7%, respectively, from 1997 to 2004 and 83.5%, 80.3%, and 80.3%, respectively, thereafter (P=0.0001). A shorter total ischemia time and fewer RETX grafts were the main differences between the characteristics of the 2 periods. From 1997 to 2011, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year graft survival rates showed a significant difference between the 358 primary LT in situ SL-ERGs and the 24 RETX in situ SL-ERGs (P<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, the main prognostic factor for 60-day graft survival was a total ischemia time<8 hours for the 358 primary in situ SL-ERGs. From 2005 to 2011, in 2473 LTs, the 5-year graft survival for 184 in situ SL-ERGs and 2289 whole grafts was 75% and 80% (P=0.3), respectively. Univariate and multivariate studies alike failed to indicate that the type of graft was a prognostic factor for graft survival. A donor age>60 years, RETX grafts, and urgency were the main prognostic factors for failure for all of the grafts. Although caution should be taken regarding the choice of appropriate donors, in situ SL-ERGs should no longer be considered marginal grafts for experienced LT centers. SL-ERGs should not be used in RETX settings, and when SL-ERGs are used as primary grafts, the total ischemia time should be less than 8 hours. Liver Transpl 21:500-511, 2015.