95 results on '"David Stück"'
Search Results
2. Digital Activity Tracker-Based Behavioral Characteristics Associated with Comorbid Mental Health Illness Symptoms Among Individuals With Diabetes.
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Shefali Kumar, David Stück, Wei-Nchih Lee, Jessie Juusola, and Luca Foschini 0002
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- 2017
3. Digital Interventions to reduce hospitalization and hospital readmission for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patient: systematic review
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Vineet Mishra, David Stuckler, and Courtney L. McNamara
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Digital intervention ,Avoidable hospitalization ,Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,R858-859.7 - Abstract
Abstract Background The high readmission rate following chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has created a significant global health challenge, with high healthcare costs and a growing burden of care. Digital interventions, including telemonitoring, Telehealth, web, or mobile-based, can address these challenges, but there has yet to be a systematic review of the impact of digital interventions on reducing hospital readmission for patients with COPD. The aim of this systematic review was to assess the effectiveness of digital interventions in lowering hospitalization and rehospitalization for patients with COPD. Methods We conducted a systematic literature search from PubMed and Scopus to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published in English with outcomes related to hospital admission or readmission within 30 days of hospital discharge. Results The search and selection process followed PRISMA guidelines and resulted in a final sample of 12 RCTs. We found mixed results. Of the 12 included studies, only four studies [mobile-based (n=1), Telehealth (n=1), Telemonitoring (n=2)] found positive effect of a digital intervention on hospital readmission. Seven studies [mobile-based (n=1), Telehealth (n=1), Telemonitoring (n=3), Web-based (n=2)] did not demonstrate clear evidence of a significant reduction in hospitalization rate. Based on these findings, the primary factors contributing to the outcome variation were differences in intervention components used and their operator, COPD severity, patient age, and sample size. Conclusions Systematic review provides the first insight into the impact of digital intervention on hospital readmission among patients with COPD . While some studies showed positive results, the evidence is mixed, and further research is needed. COVID-19 has accelerated the use of digital intervention and created the opportunity for comprehensive research and investigation with more updated information and further impact on readmission.
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- 2024
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4. Large-scale influenza vaccination promotion on a mobile app platform: A randomized controlled trial
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Luca Foschini, David Stück, Caitlin Rivers, Wei-Nchih Lee, Kevin J. Konty, Susan M. Zbikowski, and Courtney R. Brown
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,media_common.quotation_subject ,030231 tropical medicine ,Population ,MEDLINE ,Pharmacy ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Promotion (rank) ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,Influenza, Human ,Flu season ,Humans ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education ,media_common ,Text Messaging ,education.field_of_study ,General Veterinary ,General Immunology and Microbiology ,Immunization Programs ,business.industry ,Vaccination ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Mobile Applications ,Infectious Diseases ,Incentive ,Family medicine ,Molecular Medicine ,business - Abstract
While health-care providers have used incentives in an attempt to motivate patients to obtain vaccinations, their effect on vaccination rates has not been systematically evaluated on a large scale. In this study, we examined whether mobile applications may improve population vaccination rates through enhanced communication and incentives education. Our study is the first randomized controlled trial assessing the effect of large-scale messaging combined with individualized incentives on influenza-vaccination rates. In this trial, we delivered messages regarding influenza vaccinations to 50,286 adults, aged 18 through 65, then compared the subsequent vaccination rate, the effectiveness of the message content and the timing. Multiple rounds of messaging occurred over a seven-week period during the 2016 flu season, after which vaccination rates were observed for one week. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three messaging approaches: conspicuous (highlighting the amount of rewards to be received for obtaining a flu shot); generic (promoting vaccinations with no mention of rewards); or no-message. Evidence of vaccination obtainment was indicated by medical and pharmacy claims, augmented by patients self-reporting through the mobile wellness app during the study period. Of the people assigned to receive messaging, 23.2% obtained influenza vaccination, compared to 22.0% of people who obtained vaccination in the no-messaging control arm. This difference was statistically significant (p 0.01). The research revealed that messaging effectiveness decreased after each successive batch sent, suggesting that most participants responsive to messaging would become activated immediately after receiving one alert. Interestingly, in this large-scale study, there were no significant differences between conspicuous incentives and generic messaging, suggesting an important area for future research. Trial Registration: clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT02908893.
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- 2020
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5. False conflict and false confirmation errors are crucial components of AI accuracy in medical decision making
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Rikard Rosenbacke, Åsa Melhus, and David Stuckler
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Science - Published
- 2024
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6. Addressing first derivative discontinuities in orbital-optimised opposite-spin scaled second-order perturbation theory with regularisation
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Martin Head-Gordon, David Stück, and Rostam M. Razban
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Work (thermodynamics) ,Brueckner orbitals ,spin polarisation ,Biophysics ,Perturbation theory ,Classification of discontinuities ,010402 general chemistry ,Physical Chemistry ,Atomic ,01 natural sciences ,Spin contamination ,Particle and Plasma Physics ,Atomic orbital ,Theoretical and Computational Chemistry ,Quantum mechanics ,0103 physical sciences ,regularisation ,Nuclear ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Wave function ,Molecular Biology ,Scaling ,Spin-½ ,Physics ,Chemical Physics ,010304 chemical physics ,Mathematical analysis ,Molecular ,Condensed Matter Physics ,0104 chemical sciences ,Physical Chemistry (incl. Structural) - Abstract
© 2017 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Orbital-optimised opposite-spin scaled second-order perturbation theory (O2) generates a single-reference wave function composed of approximate Brueckner orbitals with fourth-order computational scaling. While O2 provides significantly improved treatment of radicals by reducing spin contamination, it has been shown to suffer from first derivative discontinuities for bond stretching near the unrestriction point. That qualitative failure is resolved in this work by the implementation of regularised O2, which includes a regularisation parameter in the denominator of its second-order term. The value of the regularisation parameter is semi-empirically chosen to qualitatively describe bond stretching energetics of hydrogen, ethane and ethene, while also considering the effect of the regularisation parameter on thermochemical errors for the well-known Gaussian-2 (G2) test set. The generality of the empirical scaling and semi-empirical regularisation parameter is studied by application to the 3dMLBE20, DBH24, RSE43 and W4-11 test sets. We demonstrate that accuracy of O2 is roughly maintained and sometimes even improved by regularisation, with root mean squares of regularised O2 between factors of 1.6 and 0.8 from corresponding root mean squares of O2.
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- 2017
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7. 'Going into the black box': a policy analysis of how the World Health Organization uses evidence to inform guideline recommendations
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Heather Ingold, Gabriela B. Gomez, David Stuckler, Anna Vassall, and Mitzy Gafos
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public health guidelines ,evidence-to-decision framework ,complex interventions ,qualitative research ,stakeholder engagement ,expert opinion ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
BackgroundThe World Health Organization (WHO) plays a crucial role in producing global guidelines. In response to previous criticism, WHO has made efforts to enhance the process of guideline development, aiming for greater systematicity and transparency. However, it remains unclear whether these changes have effectively addressed these earlier critiques. This paper examines the policy process employed by WHO to inform guideline recommendations, using the update of the WHO Consolidated HIV Testing Services (HTS) Guidelines as a case study.MethodsWe observed guideline development meetings and conducted semi-structured interviews with key participants involved in the WHO guideline-making process. The interviews were recorded, transcribed, and analysed thematically. The data were deductively coded and analysed in line with the main themes from a published conceptual framework for context-based evidence-based decision making: introduction, interpretation, and application of evidence.ResultsThe HTS guideline update was characterized by an inclusive and transparent process, involving a wide range of stakeholders. However, it was noted that not all stakeholders could participate equally due to gaps in training and preparation, particularly regarding the complexity of the Grading Recommendations Assessment Development Evaluation (GRADE) framework. We also found that WHO does not set priorities for which or how many guidelines should be produced each year and does not systematically evaluate the implementation of their recommendations. Our interviews revealed disconnects in the evidence synthesis process, starting from the development of systematic review protocols. While GRADE prioritizes evidence from RCTs, the Guideline Development Group (GDG) heavily emphasized “other” GRADE domains for which little or no evidence was available from the systematic reviews. As a result, expert judgements and opinions played a role in making recommendations. Finally, the role of donors and their presence as observers during GDG meetings was not clearly defined.ConclusionWe found a need for a different approach to evidence synthesis due to the diverse range of global guidelines produced by WHO. Ideally, the evidence synthesis should be broad enough to capture evidence from different types of studies for all domains in the GRADE framework. Greater structure is required in formulating GDGs and clarifying the role of donors through the process.
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- 2024
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8. How to Achieve Universal Health Coverage: A Case Study of Uganda Using the Political Process Model; Comment on 'Health Coverage and Financial Protection in Uganda: A Political Economy Perspective'
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Cidalia Eusebio, Maria Bakola, and David Stuckler
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universal health coverage ,low income countries ,middle income countries ,political economy ,uganda ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
How can resource-deprived countries accelerate progress towards universal health coverage (UHC)? Here we extend the analysis of Nanini and colleagues to investigate a case-study of Uganda, where despite high-level commitments, health system priority and funding has shrunk over the past two decades. We draw on the Stuckler-McKee adapted Political Process model to evaluate three forces for effecting change: reframing the debate; acting on political windows of opportunity; and mobilising resources. Our analysis proposes a series of pragmatic steps from academics, nongovernmental organisations, and government officials that can help neutralise the forces that oppose UHC and overcome fragmentation of the pro-UHC movement.
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- 2023
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9. P2‐267: NOVEL DIGITAL VOICE BIOMARKERS OF DEMENTIA FROM THE FRAMINGHAM STUDY
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Christine Lemke, Ting Fang Alvin Ang, Alessio Signorini, David Stück, Brynna Wasserman, Spencer Hardy, Tuka Al Hanai, James Glass, Maggie Sandoval, Rhoda Au, Maria Lavallee, and Christina Nowak
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Gerontology ,Epidemiology ,business.industry ,Health Policy ,medicine.disease ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Cellular and Molecular Neuroscience ,Framingham Heart Study ,Developmental Neuroscience ,Medicine ,Dementia ,Neurology (clinical) ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,business - Published
- 2018
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10. Big food and drink sponsorship of conferences and speakers: a case study of one multinational company’s influence over knowledge dissemination and professional engagement
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Jónas Atli Gunnarsson, Gary Ruskin, David Stuckler, and Sarah Steele
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Industry influence ,Public health event ,Conflict of interest ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseases ,RC620-627 - Abstract
Abstract Objectives: Research identifies that multinational corporations, including The Coca-Cola Company (‘Coca-Cola’), seek to influence public health research and policy through scientific events, such as academic and professional conferences. This study aims to understand how different forms of funding and sponsorship impact the relationship between Coca-Cola, academic institutions, public health organisations, academics and researchers. Design: The study was conducted using Freedom of Information (FOI) requests and systematic website searches. Setting: Data were collected by twenty-two FOI requests to institutions in the USA and UK, resulting in the disclosure of 11 488 pages, including emails and attachments relating to 239 events between 2009 and 2018. We used the Wayback Machine to review historical website data to evaluate evidence from 151 available official conference websites. Participants: N/A Results: Documents suggest that Coca-Cola provides direct financial support to institutions and organisations hosting events in exchange for benefits, including influence over proceedings. Coca-Cola also provided direct financial support to speakers and researchers, sometimes conditional on media interviews. Also, indirect financial support passed through Coca-Cola-financed non-profits. Often, such financial support was not readily identifiable, and third-party involvement further concealed Coca-Cola funding. Conclusion: Coca-Cola exerts direct influence on academic institutions and organisations that convene major public health conferences and events. These events offer Coca-Cola a vehicle for its messaging and amplifying viewpoints favourable to Coca-Cola’s interests. Such corporate-sponsored events should be viewed as instruments of industry marketing. Stronger rules and safeguards are needed to prevent hidden industry influence, such as complete disclosure of all corporate contributions for public health conferences and their speakers.
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- 2023
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11. Impact of Workplace Mistreatment on Employees’ Health and Well-Being in Chinese Firms: A Systematic Review
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Cynthia Atamba, John Kipngetich Mosonik, David Stuckler, Lincoln Jisuvei Sungu, Cornelia Melinda Adi Santoso, and Halima Habuba Mohamed
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History of scholarship and learning. The humanities ,AZ20-999 ,Social Sciences - Abstract
Mistreatment in the workplace is a recurring and persistent threat to employee health and organizational productivity. Research has shown that there are five times as many cases of workplace mistreatment reported in China as in the United States. Therefore, we established the mistreatment-employee health relationship in Chinese companies. The search was conducted in the Web of Science, EBSCOhost, PsycInfo, and Google Scholar databases. The search terms used were “China,” “mistreatment,” “abuse,” “neglect,” “exploitation,” and “violence.” The search was not limited by the year of publication. The search found 1,527 articles, 65 of which met the inclusion/exclusion criteria and were used for data analysis and quality assessment. Our results show that the overall prevalence of abuse varies significantly but ranges from 18.5% to 94.6%. Psychological aggression by supervisors and customers was common in the healthcare industry. The experience of abuse was positively correlated with adverse consequences such as emotional fatigue, addiction, and suicidal ideation. By providing evidence of the effects of mistreatment, this study aims to help researchers and practitioners align their policies with global labor standards.
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- 2023
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12. The Spread of Physical Activity Through Social Networks
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Greg Ver Steeg, David Stück, Alessandro Epasto, Haraldur Tómas Hallgrímsson, and Luca Foschini
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Chronic condition ,Social network ,Computer science ,business.industry ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Physical activity ,Wearable computer ,Context (language use) ,Network science ,02 engineering and technology ,Digital health ,Developmental psychology ,03 medical and health sciences ,Friendship ,0302 clinical medicine ,020204 information systems ,Id, ego and super-ego ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,030212 general & internal medicine ,business ,Body mass index ,Simulation ,media_common ,Social influence - Abstract
Many behaviors that lead to worsened health outcomes are modifiable, social, and visible. Social influence has thus the potential to foster adoption of habits that promote health and improve disease management. In this study, we consider the evolution of the physical activity of 44.5 thousand Fitbit users as they interact on the Fitbit social network, in relation to their health status. The users collectively recorded 9.3 million days of steps over the period of a year through a Fitbit device. 7,515 of the users also self-reported whether they were diagnosed with a major chronic condition. A time-aggregated analysis shows that ego net size, average alter physical activity, gender, and body mass index (BMI) are significantly predictive of ego physical activity. For users who self-reported chronic conditions, the direction and effect size of associations varied depending on the condition, with diabetic users specifically showing almost a 6-fold increase in additional daily steps for each additional social tie. Subsequently, we consider the co-evolution of activity and friendship longitudinally on a month by month basis. We show that the fluctuations in average alter activity significantly predict fluctuations in ego activity. By leveraging a class of novel non-parametric statistical tests we investigate the causal factors in these fluctuations. We find that under certain stationarity assumptions, non-null causal dependence exists between ego and alter's activity, even in the presence of unobserved stationary individual traits. We believe that our findings provide evidence that the study of online social networks have the potential to improve our understanding of factors affecting adoption of positive habits, especially in the context of chronic condition management.
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- 2017
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13. Effectiveness of alternative approaches to integrating SDOH into medical education: a scoping review
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Nehal Nour, David Stuckler, Oluwatobi Ajayi, and Mohamed Elhassan Abdalla
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Social determinants of health ,Curricula ,Medical students ,Medical schools ,Teaching methods ,Curriculum content ,Special aspects of education ,LC8-6691 ,Medicine - Abstract
Abstract Background There is increasing recognition of including social determinants of health (SDOH) in teaching for future doctors. However, the educational methods and the extent of integration into the curriculum vary considerably—this scoping review is aimed at how SDOH has been introduced into medical schools' curricula. Methods A systematic search was performed of six electronic databases, including PubMed, Education Source, Scopus, OVID (Medline), APA Psych Info, and ERIC. Articles were excluded if they did not cover the SDOH curriculum for medical students; were based on service-learning rather than didactic content; were pilot courses, or were not in English, leaving eight articles in the final study. Results The initial search yielded 654 articles after removing duplicates. In the first screening step, 588 articles were excluded after applying inclusion and exclusion criteria and quality assessment; we examined 66 articles, a total of eight included in the study. There was considerable heterogeneity in the content, structure and duration of SDOH curricula. Of the eight included studies, six were in the United States(U.S.), one in the United Kingdom (U.K.) and one in Israel. Four main conceptual frameworks were invoked: the U.S. Healthy People 2020, two World Health Organisation frameworks (The Life Course and the Michael Marmot's Social Determinants of Health), and the National Academic of Science, Engineering, and Medicine's (Framework For educating Health Professionals to Address the Social Determinants of Health). In general, programs that lasted longer appeared to perform better than shorter-duration programmes. Students favoured interactive, experiential-learning teaching methods over the traditional classroom-based teaching methods. Conclusion The incorporation of well-structured SDOH curricula capturing both local specification and a global framework, combined with a combination of traditional and interactive teaching methods over extended periods, may be helpful in steps for creating lifelong learners and socially accountable medical school education.
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- 2023
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14. M2(m-dobdc) (M = Mg, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni) Metal–Organic Frameworks Exhibiting Increased Charge Density and Enhanced H2 Binding at the Open Metal Sites
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David Stück, Dianne J. Xiao, Stephen A. FitzGerald, Jarad A. Mason, Craig M. Brown, Zeric Hulvey, Matthew R. Hudson, Elizabeth Gilmour, Jocienne N. Nelson, Stephen J. Geier, Matthew T. Kapelewski, Martin Head-Gordon, and Jeffrey R. Long
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Ligand field theory ,Spectrophotometry, Infrared ,Iron ,Neutron diffraction ,Inorganic chemistry ,Phthalic Acids ,Infrared spectroscopy ,Biochemistry ,Catalysis ,Metal ,Hydrogen storage ,Colloid and Surface Chemistry ,X-Ray Diffraction ,Nickel ,Organometallic Compounds ,Magnesium ,Manganese ,Binding Sites ,Molecular Structure ,Chemistry ,Charge density ,Cobalt ,General Chemistry ,Crystallography ,visual_art ,Thermogravimetry ,visual_art.visual_art_medium ,Metal-organic framework ,Adsorption ,Powder diffraction ,Hydrogen - Abstract
The well-known frameworks of the type M2(dobdc) (dobdc(4-) = 2,5-dioxido-1,4-benzenedicarboxylate) have numerous potential applications in gas storage and separations, owing to their exceptionally high concentration of coordinatively unsaturated metal surface sites, which can interact strongly with small gas molecules such as H2. Employing a related meta-functionalized linker that is readily obtained from resorcinol, we now report a family of structural isomers of this framework, M2(m-dobdc) (M = Mg, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni; m-dobdc(4-) = 4,6-dioxido-1,3-benzenedicarboxylate), featuring exposed M(2+) cation sites with a higher apparent charge density. The regioisomeric linker alters the symmetry of the ligand field at the metal sites, leading to increases of 0.4-1.5 kJ/mol in the H2 binding enthalpies relative to M2(dobdc). A variety of techniques, including powder X-ray and neutron diffraction, inelastic neutron scattering, infrared spectroscopy, and first-principles electronic structure calculations, are applied in elucidating how these subtle structural and electronic differences give rise to such increases. Importantly, similar enhancements can be anticipated for the gas storage and separation properties of this new family of robust and potentially inexpensive metal-organic frameworks.
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- 2014
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15. Donor support for Health Policy and Systems Research: barriers to financing and opportunities for overcoming them
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Alexander Kentikelenis, Abdul Ghaffar, Martin McKee, Livia Dal Zennaro, and David Stuckler
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Health Policy and Systems Research (HPSR) ,Global health financing ,Donor priorities ,Health Systems ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background The vast investments that have been made in recent decades in new medicines, vaccines, and technologies will only lead to improvements in health if there are appropriate and well-functioning health systems to make use of them. However, despite the growing acceptance by major global donors of the importance of health systems, there is an enthusiasm gap when it comes to disbursing funds needed to understand the intricacies of how, why and when these systems deliver effective interventions. To understand the reasons behind this, we open up the black box of donor decision-making vis-à-vis Health Policy and Systems Research (HPSR) financing: what are the organizational processes behind the support for HPSR, and what are the barriers to increasing engagement? Methods We conducted 27 semi-structured interviews with staff of major global health funders, asking them about four key issues: motivations for HPSR financing; priorities in HPSR financing; barriers for increasing HPSR allocations; and challenges or opportunities for the future. We transcribed the interviews and manually coded responses. Results Our findings point to the growing appreciation that funders have of HPSR, even though it is often still seen as an ‘afterthought’ to larger programmatic interventions. In identifying barriers to funding HPSR, our informants emphasised the perceived lack of mandate and capacities of their organizations. For most funding organisations, a major barrier was that their leadership often voiced scepticism about HPSR’s long time horizons and limited ability to quantify results. Conclusion Meeting contemporary health challenges requires strong and effective health systems. By allocating more resources to HPSR, global donors can improve the quality of their interventions, and also contribute to building up a stock of knowledge that domestic policymakers and other funders can draw on to develop better targeted programmes and policies.
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- 2022
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16. Investigating longitudinal associations of hair cortisol and cortisone with cognitive functioning and dementia
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Cornelia Santoso, David Stuckler, and Andreas Ihle
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract We rigorously investigated potential longitudinal associations of hair cortisol and cortisone with verbal memory, time orientation, and dementia, adjusting for sociodemographic and health confounders. Data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing wave 6–9 (6-year follow-up, covering 4399 persons aged 50+) were analysed using linear random effects and cox regression models. In unadjusted models, hair cortisol was associated with worsened verbal memory (β 0.19; SE 0.08), but not with time orientation (β 0.02; SE 0.01), or dementia (β 0.07; SE 0.16). Hair cortisone was associated with worsened verbal memory (β 0.74; SE 0.14) and time orientation (β 0.06; SE 0.02), but not with dementia (β 0.47; SE 0.28). However, in the fully adjusted models, neither hair cortisol nor cortisone was associated with verbal memory, time orientation, or dementia. Consistent with prior studies, we found that more advanced age was associated with worsened verbal memory (β 0.15; SE 0.01), time orientation (β 0.01; SE 0.00), and dementia risk (β 0.11; SE 0.02). Our rigorous analyses did not detect robust associations of neither hair cortisol nor cortisone with cognitive functioning or dementia across 6 years. More detailed insights into potential mechanisms are discussed.
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- 2022
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17. Effectiveness of early warning systems in the detection of infectious diseases outbreaks: a systematic review
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Rehab Meckawy, David Stuckler, Adityavarman Mehta, Tareq Al-Ahdal, and Bradley N. Doebbeling
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Early warning system ,Notification ,Alert ,Public health ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background Global pandemics have occurred with increasing frequency over the past decade reflecting the sub-optimum operationalization of surveillance systems handling human health data. Despite the wide array of current surveillance methods, their effectiveness varies with multiple factors. Here, we perform a systematic review of the effectiveness of alternative infectious diseases Early Warning Systems (EWSs) with a focus on the surveillance data collection methods, and taking into consideration feasibility in different settings. Methods We searched PubMed and Scopus databases on 21 October 2022. Articles were included if they covered the implementation of an early warning system and evaluated infectious diseases outbreaks that had potential to become pandemics. Of 1669 studies screened, 68 were included in the final sample. We performed quality assessment using an adapted CASP Checklist. Results Of the 68 articles included, 42 articles found EWSs successfully functioned independently as surveillance systems for pandemic-wide infectious diseases outbreaks, and 16 studies reported EWSs to have contributing surveillance features through complementary roles. Chief complaints from emergency departments’ data is an effective EWS but it requires standardized formats across hospitals. Centralized Public Health records-based EWSs facilitate information sharing; however, they rely on clinicians’ reporting of cases. Facilitated reporting by remote health settings and rapid alarm transmission are key advantages of Web-based EWSs. Pharmaceutical sales and laboratory results did not prove solo effectiveness. The EWS design combining surveillance data from both health records and staff was very successful. Also, daily surveillance data notification was the most successful and accepted enhancement strategy especially during mass gathering events. Eventually, in Low Middle Income Countries, working to improve and enhance existing systems was more critical than implementing new Syndromic Surveillance approaches. Conclusions Our study was able to evaluate the effectiveness of Early Warning Systems in different contexts and resource settings based on the EWSs’ method of data collection. There is consistent evidence that EWSs compiling pre-diagnosis data are more proactive to detect outbreaks. However, the fact that Syndromic Surveillance Systems (SSS) are more proactive than diagnostic disease surveillance should not be taken as an effective clue for outbreaks detection.
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- 2022
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18. Addressing vaccine hesitancy: experimental evidence from nine high-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
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Martin McKee, David Stuckler, Vincenzo Galasso, Vincent Pons, Paola Profeta, Michael Becher, Sylvain Brouard, and Martial Foucault
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Medicine (General) ,R5-920 ,Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 - Abstract
We study the impact of public health messages on intentions to vaccinate and vaccination uptakes, especially among hesitant groups. We performed an experiment comparing the effects of egoistic and altruistic messages on COVID-19 vaccine intentions and behaviour. We administered different messages at random in a survey of 6379 adults in December 2020, following up with participants in the nationally representative survey Citizens’ Attitudes Under COVID-19 Project covering nine high-income countries (Australia, Austria, France, Germany, Italy, New Zealand, Sweden, the UK and the USA). Four alternative interventions were tested, based on narratives of (1) self-protection, (2) protecting others, (3) reducing health risks and (4) economic protection. We measure vaccination intentions in the December 2020 survey and elicit actual vaccination behaviour by respondents in the June/July 2021 survey. Messages conveying self-protection had no effect on vaccine intentions but altruistic messages, emphasising protecting other individuals (0.022, 95% CI −0.004 to 0.048), population health (0.030, 95% CI 0.003 to 0.056) and the economy (0.038, 95% CI 0.013 to 0.064) had substantially stronger effects. These effects were stronger in countries experiencing high COVID-19 mortality (Austria, France, Italy, Sweden, the UK and the USA), where health risks may have been more salient, but weaker and, in several cases, not significant where mortality was low (Australia, Germany and New Zealand). On follow-up at 6 months, these brief communication interventions corresponded to substantially higher vaccination uptake. Our experiments found that commonly employed narratives around self-protection had no effect. However, altruistic messages about protecting individuals, population health and the economy had substantially positive and enduring effects on increasing vaccination intentions. Our results can help structure communication campaigns during pandemics and are likely to generalise to other vaccine-preventable epidemics.
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- 2023
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19. A real world analysis of COVID-19 impact on hospitalizations in older adults with chronic conditions from an Italian region
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Cristina Bosetti, Magda Rognoni, Roberta Ciampichini, Luca Paroni, Marco Scala, Luca Cavalieri d’Oro, Alberto Zucchi, Andrea Amerio, Licia Iacoviello, Simone Ghislandi, Anna Odone, David Stuckler, Silvano Gallus, and Lost in Lombardia Project Investigators
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract Healthcare delivery reorganization during the COVID-19 emergency may have had a significant impact on access to care for older adults with chronic conditions. We investigated such impact among all adults with chronic conditions aged ≥ 65 years, identified through the electronic health databases of two local health agencies—ATS Brianza and ATS Bergamo—from the Lombardy region, Italy. We considered hospitalizations for 2020 compared to the average 2017–2019 and quantified differences using rate ratios (RRs). Overall, in 2017–2019 there were a mean of 374,855 older adults with ≥ 1 chronic condition per year in the two ATS and 405,371 in 2020. Hospitalizations significantly decreased from 84,624 (225.8/1000) in 2017–2019 to 78,345 (193.3/1000) in 2020 (RR 0.86). Declines were reported in individuals with many chronic conditions and for most Major Diagnostic Categories, except for diseases of the respiratory system. The strongest reductions were observed in hospitalizations for individuals with active tumours, particularly for surgical ones. Hospitalization rates increased in individuals with diabetes, likely due to COVID-19-related diseases. Although determinants of the decrease in demand and supply for care among chronic older adults are to be further explored, this raises awareness on their impacts on chronic patients’ health in the medium and long run.
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- 2022
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20. DFT Study of Cycloparaphenylenes and Heteroatom-Substituted Nanohoops
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Steven M. Bachrach and David Stück
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Steric effects ,Molecular Structure ,Stereochemistry ,Chemistry ,Organic Chemistry ,Heteroatom ,Ribbon diagram ,Aromaticity ,Molecular Dynamics Simulation ,Dihedral angle ,Chemical synthesis ,Nanostructures ,Benzene Derivatives ,Molecule - Abstract
Nanohoops are macrocycles formed of aromatic rings linked in a 1,4' fashion. Cycloparaphenylenes 1 and nitrogen analogues formed from the building blocks pyridinyl (2), pyrazinyl (3), pyridazinyl (4), and pyrimidinyl (5) are examined at B3LYP/6-31G(d). The nanohoops contain 3-24 repeat units. The strain energy of the nanohoops exponentially decreases with the number of building blocks n, and this strain strongly correlates with the bend angle at the ipso carbons. Nitrogen substitution reduces the o,o' steric interactions between neighboring rings. Nanohoops 3 and 5 have ribbon-like structure with dihedral angles between neighboring rings near zero. Nanohoops 5 are the least strained and, with their ribbon structure, are suggested as synthetic targets for possible interesting bulk properties and structures.
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- 2010
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21. Wavefunction stability analysis without analytical electronic Hessians: Application to orbital-optimised second-order Møller-Plesset theory and VV10-containing density functionals
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Martin Head-Gordon, Eric J. Sundstrom, Shaama Mallikarjun Sharada, David Stück, and Alexis T. Bell
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Hessian matrix ,Field (physics) ,Møller–Plesset perturbation theory ,Biophysics ,Brueckner orbitals ,orbital optimisation ,stability analysis ,Atomic ,quantum chemistry ,symbols.namesake ,Particle and Plasma Physics ,Theoretical and Computational Chemistry ,Quantum mechanics ,Hurwitz matrix ,Applied mathematics ,Nuclear ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Perturbation theory ,Wave function ,Molecular Biology ,Eigenvalues and eigenvectors ,density functional theory ,Physics ,Chemical Physics ,Molecular ,Condensed Matter Physics ,symbols ,Density functional theory ,Physical Chemistry (incl. Structural) - Abstract
© 2015 Taylor & Francis. Wavefunction stability analysis is commonly applied to converged self-consistent field (SCF) solutions to verify whether the electronic energy is a local minimum with respect to second-order variations in the orbitals. By iterative diagonalisation, the procedure calculates the lowest eigenvalue of the stability matrix or electronic Hessian. However, analytical expressions for the electronic Hessian are unavailable for most advanced post-Hartree-Fock (HF) wave function methods and even some Kohn-Sham (KS) density functionals. To address such cases, we formulate the Hessian-vector product within the iterative diagonalisation procedure as a finite difference of the electronic gradient with respect to orbital perturbations in the direction of the vector. As a model application, following the lowest eigenvalue of the orbital-optimised second-order Møller-Plesset perturbation theory (OOMP2) Hessian during H2 dissociation reveals the surprising stability of the spin-restricted solution at all separations, with a second independent unrestricted solution. We show that a single stable solution can be recovered by using the regularised OOMP2 method (δ-OOMP2), which contains a level shift. Internal and external stability analyses are also performed for SCF solutions of a recently developed range-separated hybrid density functional, ωB97X-V, for which the analytical Hessian is not yet available due to the complexity of its long-range non-local VV10 correlation functional.
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- 2015
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22. Advances in molecular quantum chemistry contained in the Q-Chem 4 program package
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Kristina D. Closser, Trilisa M. Perrine, Tamar Stein, Vitaly A. Rassolov, Roberto Peverati, Alexander Prociuk, William A. Goddard, Barry D. Dunietz, Henry F. Schaefer, Ilya Kaliman, Sina Yeganeh, Martin Head-Gordon, Ben Albrecht, Mark A. Watson, Donald G. Truhlar, Joseph E. Subotnik, Dmytro Kosenkov, Andreas Klamt, Andrew Behn, Caroline M. Krauter, Zhengting Gan, Jia Deng, Bernard R. Brooks, Darragh P. O’Neill, Yan Zhao, David Casanova, Arieh Warshel, Christopher J. Cramer, John M. Herbert, Richard G. Edgar, Yu-Chuan Su, Simon A. Maurer, Andrew T. B. Gilbert, Joseph Gomes, C. David Sherrill, Eric Neuscamman, Michael Wormit, Ethan Alguire, Ryan P. Steele, Yousung Jung, David W. Small, Keith V. Lawler, Eric J. Sundstrom, Tao Wang, Edward G. Hohenstein, Jae-Hoon Kim, Phil Klunzinger, Andreas Dreuw, Paul R. Horn, Alexander J. Sodt, Dirk R. Rehn, Tomasz Kuś, Shaama Mallikarjun Sharada, Ryan M. Richard, Xing Zhang, Roberto Olivares-Amaya, Jan Wenzel, Chao-Ping Hsu, David Stück, Joerg Kussmann, Brian J. Austin, Andreas W. Hauser, Narbe Mardirossian, Leslie Vogt, Debashree Ghosh, Emil Proynov, John Parkhill, Ksenia B. Bravaya, Magnus W. D. Hanson-Heine, Alán Aspuru-Guzik, Young Min Rhee, Zhi-Qiang You, WanZhen Liang, Arie Landau, An Ghysels, Rollin A. King, Jie Liu, Hainam Do, Deborah L. Crittenden, Kirill Khistyaev, Peter Gill, Thomas R. Furlani, Daniel S. Lambrecht, Oleg A. Vydrov, Sandeep Sharma, Lyudmila V. Slipchenko, Shervin Fatehi, Kai Brandhorst, Fenglai Liu, Christopher F. Williams, Yves A. Bernard, Jihan Kim, Laszlo Fusti-Molnar, Shane R. Yost, Xintian Feng, Evgeny Epifanovsky, Troy Van Voorhis, Philipp H. P. Harbach, Alec F. White, Shawn T. Brown, Alex J. W. Thom, Xin Xu, Eric J. Berquist, Rohini C. Lochan, Alexis T. Bell, Thomas-C. Jagau, Adèle D. Laurent, Ester Livshits, Jun Yang, Michael W. Schmidt, H. Lee Woodcock, Steven R. Gwaltney, Roi Baer, Garnet Kin-Lic Chan, Dmitry Zuev, Zachary C. Holden, Vitalii Vanovschi, Takashi Tsuchimochi, Nicholas J. Russ, Aleksandr V. Marenich, Adrian W. Lange, Yihan Shao, C. Melania Oana, Anthony D. Dutoi, Robert A. DiStasio, Leif D. Jacobson, Jing Kong, Yunqing Chen, Michael Diedenhofen, Anna Golubeva-Zadorozhnaya, Mary A. Rohrdanz, Warren J. Hehre, Arne Luenser, Prashant Uday Manohar, Ka Un Lao, Nicholas J. Mayhall, Rustam Z. Khaliullin, Edina Rosta, Samuel F. Manzer, Tim Kowalczyk, Sergey V. Levchenko, Nicholas A. Besley, Benjamin Kaduk, Shan-Ping Mao, Matthew Goldey, Daniel M. Chipman, Anna I. Krylov, Mark S. Gordon, Igor Ying Zhang, Jeng-Da Chai, Siu Hung Chien, Hyunjun Ji, Gregory J. O. Beran, Ching Yeh Lin, Paul M. Zimmerman, Christian Ochsenfeld, Chun-Min Chang, Institut für Physikalische Chemie, Universität Mainz, Department of Chemistry [Berkeley], University of California [Berkeley], University of California-University of California, China Earthquake Networks Center, China Earthquake Administration (CEA), University of Minnesota System, Department of Chemistry, Supercomputing Institute, and Chemical Theory Center, University of Minnesota [Twin Cities] (UMN), University of Minnesota System-University of Minnesota System, COSMOlogic GmbH & Co KG, Institute of Physical and Theoretical Chemistry, Universität Regensburg (UR), Department of Chemistry, Minnesota Supercomputing Institute, and Chemical Theory Center, Franche-Comté Électronique Mécanique, Thermique et Optique - Sciences et Technologies (UMR 6174) (FEMTO-ST), Université de Technologie de Belfort-Montbeliard (UTBM)-Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mécanique et des Microtechniques (ENSMM)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), University of Frankfurt, Department of Mathematics [Shanghai], Shanghai Jiao Tong University [Shanghai], Chemistry, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU), Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen = Eberhard Karls University of Tuebingen, Chaire Sciences des Systèmes et Défis Energétiques EDF/ECP/Supélec (SSEC), Ecole Centrale Paris-Ecole Supérieure d'Electricité - SUPELEC (FRANCE)-CentraleSupélec-EDF R&D (EDF R&D), EDF (EDF)-EDF (EDF), Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Chimie Et Interdisciplinarité : Synthèse, Analyse, Modélisation (CEISAM), Université de Nantes - UFR des Sciences et des Techniques (UN UFR ST), Université de Nantes (UN)-Université de Nantes (UN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Chimie du CNRS (INC), University of California [Berkeley] (UC Berkeley), University of California (UC)-University of California (UC), Université de Technologie de Belfort-Montbeliard (UTBM)-Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mécanique et des Microtechniques (ENSMM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC), and Université de Nantes (UN)-Université de Nantes (UN)-Institut de Chimie du CNRS (INC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
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Physics ,electronic structure theory ,Orbital-free density functional theory ,software ,Implicit solvation ,Intermolecular force ,computational modelling ,Biophysics ,electron correlation ,Condensed Matter Physics ,Quantum chemistry ,quantum chemistry ,[CHIM.THEO]Chemical Sciences/Theoretical and/or physical chemistry ,Coupled cluster ,Atomic orbital ,Quantum mechanics ,Excited state ,Density functional theory ,Statistical physics ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Q-Chem ,Molecular Biology ,density functional theory - Abstract
International audience; A summary of the technical advances that are incorporated in the fourth major release of the Q-Chem quantum chemistry program is provided, covering approximately the last seven years. These include developments in density functional theory methods and algorithms, nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) property evaluation, coupled cluster and perturbation theories, methods for electronically excited and open-shell species, tools for treating extended environments, algorithms for walking on potential surfaces, analysis tools, energy and electron transfer modelling, parallel computing capabilities, and graphical user interfaces. In addition, a selection of example case studies that illustrate these capabilities is given. These include extensive benchmarks of the comparative accuracy of modern density functionals for bonded and non-bonded interactions, tests of attenuated second order Moller-Plesset (MP2) methods for intermolecular interactions, a variety of parallel performance benchmarks, and tests of the accuracy of implicit solvation models. Some specific chemical examples include calculations on the strongly correlated Cr-2 dimer, exploring zeolite-catalysed ethane dehydrogenation, energy decomposition analysis of a charged ter-molecular complex arising from glycerol photoionisation, and natural transition orbitals for a Frenkel exciton state in a nine-unit model of a self-assembling nanotube.
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- 2015
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23. Confronting potential food industry ‘front groups’: case study of the international food information Council’s nutrition communications using the UCSF food industry documents archive
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Sarah Steele, Lejla Sarcevic, Gary Ruskin, and David Stuckler
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Industry influence ,Public Health and nutrition communication ,Commercial determinants of Health ,Vested interests ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background There are growing concerns that the public’s trust in science is eroding, including concerns that vested interests are corrupting what we know about our food. We know the food industry funds third-party ‘front groups’ to advance its positions and profits. Here we ask whether this is the case with International Food Information Council (IFIC) and its associated Foundation, exploring its motivations and the potential for industry influence on communications around nutritional science. Method We systematically searched the University of California San Francisco’s Food Industry Documents Archive, for all documents pertaining to IFIC, which were then thematically evaluated against a science-communication influence model. Results We identified 75 documents which evidence that prominent individuals with long careers in the food industry view IFIC as designed to: 1) advance industry public relations goals; 2) amplify the messages of industry-funded research organizations; and 3) place industry approved experts before the press and media, in ways that conceal industry input. We observed that there were in some cases efforts made to conceal and dilute industry links associated with IFIC from the public’s view. Discussion Instances suggesting IFIC communicates content produced by industry, and other industry-funded organisations like ILSI, give rise to concerns about vested interests going undetected in its outputs. IFIC’s deployment to take on so-called “hard-hitting issues” for industry, summating evidence, while countering evidence that industry opposes, give rise to concerns about IFIC’s purported neutrality. IFIC’s role in coordinating and placing industry allies in online and traditional press outlets, to overcome industry’s global scientific, legislative, regulatory and public relations challenges, leads also to concerns about it thwarting effective public health and safety measures. Conclusions IFIC’s promotion of evidence for the food industry should be interpreted as marketing strategy for those funders. Effective science communication may be obfuscated by undeclared conflicts of interests.
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- 2022
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24. Can closed-loop microbial protein provide sustainable protein security against the hunger pandemic?
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Alex Durkin, Tim Finnigan, Rob Johnson, John Kazer, Jianfeng Yu, David Stuckey, and Miao Guo
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Planetary boundaries ,Microbial protein ,Resource recovery ,Sustainability ,Process design ,Optimization ,Biotechnology ,TP248.13-248.65 - Abstract
Increasing demand for animal-sourced protein is a major driver of the food system’s transgression of the safe environmental operating limits known as planetary boundaries. Microbial proteins are being explored as an alternative to provide sustainable protein security within the planetary boundaries. Here, a design and optimization framework was developed for a closed-loop process in which bioenergy and nutrients are recovered from microbial protein production wastewater. The environmental benefits of a global transition from animal-sourced beef protein toward closed-loop microbial protein with integrated resource recovery was analysed. Microbial protein has a shorter production life cycle than animal-sourced beef protein, thus offering a scalable technology solution to protein security with substantially mitigated environmental impacts. Our results demonstrate the value of environmentally favourable closed-loop food systems to meet projected 2050 protein demand while maintaining food system operations within the safe environmental limits.
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- 2022
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25. A chromosome-level reference genome and pangenome for barn swallow population genomics
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Simona Secomandi, Guido R. Gallo, Marcella Sozzoni, Alessio Iannucci, Elena Galati, Linelle Abueg, Jennifer Balacco, Manuela Caprioli, William Chow, Claudio Ciofi, Joanna Collins, Olivier Fedrigo, Luca Ferretti, Arkarachai Fungtammasan, Bettina Haase, Kerstin Howe, Woori Kwak, Gianluca Lombardo, Patrick Masterson, Graziella Messina, Anders P. Møller, Jacquelyn Mountcastle, Timothy A. Mousseau, Joan Ferrer Obiol, Anna Olivieri, Arang Rhie, Diego Rubolini, Marielle Saclier, Roscoe Stanyon, David Stucki, Françoise Thibaud-Nissen, James Torrance, Antonio Torroni, Kristina Weber, Roberto Ambrosini, Andrea Bonisoli-Alquati, Erich D. Jarvis, Luca Gianfranceschi, and Giulio Formenti
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CP: Molecular biology ,Biology (General) ,QH301-705.5 - Abstract
Summary: Insights into the evolution of non-model organisms are limited by the lack of reference genomes of high accuracy, completeness, and contiguity. Here, we present a chromosome-level, karyotype-validated reference genome and pangenome for the barn swallow (Hirundo rustica). We complement these resources with a reference-free multialignment of the reference genome with other bird genomes and with the most comprehensive catalog of genetic markers for the barn swallow. We identify potentially conserved and accelerated genes using the multialignment and estimate genome-wide linkage disequilibrium using the catalog. We use the pangenome to infer core and accessory genes and to detect variants using it as a reference. Overall, these resources will foster population genomics studies in the barn swallow, enable detection of candidate genes in comparative genomics studies, and help reduce bias toward a single reference genome.
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- 2023
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26. Social and behavioural determinants of syphilis: Modelling based on repeated cross-sectional surveys from 2010 and 2017 among 278,256 men who have sex with men in 31 European countries
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Ana Mendez-Lopez, David Stuckler, Ulrich Marcus, Ford Hickson, Teymur Noori, Robert N. Whittaker, Klaus Jansen, Asuncion Diaz, Lukasz Henszel, Annie Velter, Jan C. Semenza, and Axel J. Schmidt
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Men who have sex with men ,MSM ,Homosexual ,Syphilis ,Europe ,STI-screening ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Syphilis case notifications among men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) have increased markedly over the past two decades in Europe. We tested several potential factors for this resurgence. Methods: Self-reported data from two cross-sectional waves of the European MSM Internet Survey (EMIS-2010 and EMIS-2017, N = 278,256 participants living in 31 European countries) were used to fit multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models designed to evaluate potential social, behavioural, and interventional determinants of syphilis diagnosis. Additional multivariable hierarchical negative binomial models investigated determinants of the number of non-steady male condomless anal intercourse (CAI) partners. We tested the hypothesis that more CAI and syphilis-screening are associated with syphilis resurgence, both linked to use of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Findings: Between 2010 and 2017, incidence of syphilis diagnosis in the previous 12 months rose from 2.33% (95%CI: 2.26–2.40) of respondents reporting a syphilis diagnosis in 2010 compared with 4.54% (95%CI: 4.42–4.66) in 2017. Major factors contributing to syphilis diagnosis were living with diagnosed HIV (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.67, 95%CI: 2.32–3.07), each additional non-steady male CAI partner (aOR 1.01, 95%CI: 1.01–1.01), recency of STI-screening (previous month vs no screening, aOR 25.76, 95%CI: 18.23–36.41), selling sex (aOR 1.45, 95%CI: 1.27–1.65), and PrEP use (aOR 3.02, 95%CI: 2.30–3.96). Living with diagnosed HIV (adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 3.91, 95%CI: 3.77–4.05), selling sex (aIRR 4.39, 95%CI: 4.19–4.59), and PrEP use (aIRR 5.82, 95%CI: 5.29–6.41) were associated with a higher number of non-steady male CAI partners. The association between PrEP use and increased chance of syphilis diagnosis was mediated by STI-screening recency and number of non-steady male CAI partners, both substantially higher in 2017 compared to 2010. Interpretation: Syphilis cases are concentrated in three MSM population groups: HIV-diagnosed, PrEP users, and sex workers. Behavioural and interventional changes, particularly more non-steady male CAI partners and recency of STI-screening, are major contributing factors for increasing syphilis diagnoses among MSM in Europe. Funding: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control.
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- 2022
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27. Regularized orbital-optimized second-order perturbation theory
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David Stück and Martin Head-Gordon
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Chemical Physics ,Chemistry ,Intermolecular force ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Engineering ,Mean field theory ,Atomic orbital ,Quantum mechanics ,Physical Sciences ,Chemical Sciences ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Perturbation theory ,Wave function ,Degeneracy (mathematics) ,HOMO/LUMO ,Open shell - Abstract
Orbital-optimized second-order perturbation theory (OOMP2) optimizes the zeroth order wave function in the presence of correlations, removing the dependence of the method on Hartree-Fock orbitals. This is particularly important for systems where mean field orbitals spin contaminate to artificially lower the zeroth order energy such as open shell molecules, highly conjugated systems, and organometallic compounds. Unfortunately, the promise of OOMP2 is hampered by the possibility of solutions being drawn into divergences, which can occur during the optimization procedure if HOMO and LUMO energies approach degeneracy. In this work, we regularize these divergences through the simple addition of a level shift parameter to the denominator of the MP2 amplitudes. We find that a large level shift parameter of 400 mEh removes divergent behavior while also improving the overall accuracy of the method for atomization energies, barrier heights, intermolecular interactions, radical stabilization energies, and metal binding energies. © 2013 AIP Publishing LLC.
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- 2013
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28. Impact of Metal and Anion Substitutions on the Hydrogen Storage Properties of M-BTT Metal–Organic Frameworks
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Leslie J. Murray, Kenji Sumida, Lorenzo Mino, Jeffrey R. Long, Mircea Dincă, Sachin Chavan, Olena Zavorotynska, Eric D. Bloch, David Stück, Jeng-Da Chai, Silvia Bordiga, and Martin Head-Gordon
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Anions ,Surface Properties ,Iron ,Inorganic chemistry ,Tetrazoles ,Infrared spectroscopy ,Biochemistry ,Catalysis ,Ion ,hydrogen storage ,Metal ,Hydrogen storage ,Electric Power Supplies ,Colloid and Surface Chemistry ,Adsorption ,Organometallic Compounds ,metal − organic frameworks ,density functional theory ,Manganese ,Chemistry ,General Chemistry ,Microporous material ,Chemical engineering ,visual_art ,variable-temperature infrared spectroscopy ,visual_art.visual_art_medium ,Quantum Theory ,Density functional theory ,Metal-organic framework ,Copper ,Hydrogen - Abstract
Microporous metal-organic frameworks are a class of materials being vigorously investigated for mobile hydrogen storage applications. For high-pressure storage at ambient temperatures, the M(3)[(M(4)Cl)(3)(BTT)(8)](2) (M-BTT; BTT(3-) = 1,3,5-benzenetristetrazolate) series of frameworks are of particular interest due to the high density of exposed metal cation sites on the pore surface. These sites give enhanced zero-coverage isosteric heats of adsorption (Q(st)) approaching the optimal value for ambient storage applications. However, the Q(st) parameter provides only a limited insight into the thermodynamics of the individual adsorption sites, the tuning of which is paramount for optimizing the storage performance. Here, we begin by performing variable-temperature infrared spectroscopy studies of Mn-, Fe-, and Cu-BTT, allowing the thermodynamics of H(2) adsorption to be probed experimentally. This is complemented by a detailed DFT study, in which molecular fragments representing the metal clusters within the extended solid are simulated to obtain a more thorough description of the structural and thermodynamic aspects of H(2) adsorption at the strongest binding sites. Then, the effect of substitutions at the metal cluster (metal ion and anion within the tetranuclear cluster) is discussed, showing that the configuration of this unit indeed plays an important role in determining the affinity of the framework toward H(2). Interestingly, the theoretical study has identified that the Zn-based analogs would be expected to facilitate enhanced adsorption profiles over the compounds synthesized experimentally, highlighting the importance of a combined experimental and theoretical approach to the design and synthesis of new frameworks for H(2) storage applications.
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- 2013
29. Transition to retirement impact on health and lifestyle habits: analysis from a nationwide Italian cohort
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Giacomo Pietro Vigezzi, Giovanni Gaetti, Vincenza Gianfredi, Beatrice Frascella, Leandro Gentile, Angelo d’Errico, David Stuckler, Fulvio Ricceri, Giuseppe Costa, Anna Odone, and on behalf of the Italian Working Group on Retirement and Health
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Ageing ,Retirement ,Physical activity ,Self-rated health ,Cohort study ,Health behaviour ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background Retirement is a life-course transition likely to affect, through different mechanisms, behavioural risk factors’ patterns and, ultimately, health outcomes. We assessed the impact of transitioning to retirement on lifestyle habits and perceived health status in a nationwide cohort of Italian adults. Methods We analysed data from a large cohort of Italian adults aged 55–70, derived from linking six waves of the Participation, Labour, Unemployment Survey (PLUS), a national survey representative of the Italian workforce population, conducted between 2010 and 2018. We estimated relative-risk ratios (RRR) of transition to retirement and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for selected behavioural risk factors and health outcomes using multivariable logistic regression models. We used propensity score matching (PSM) to account for potential confounders. Results We included 5169 subjects in the study population, of which 1653 retired between 2010 and 2018 (exposed, 32%). Transition to retirement was associated with a 36% increased probability of practising sports (RRR 1.36, 95% CI 1.12–1.64). No statistically significant changes were reported for smoking habit (current smoker RRR: 1.18, 95% CI 0.94–1.46) and BMI (overweight/obese RRR: 0.96, 95% CI 0.81–1.15). Overall, retiring was associated with improved self-rated health status (RRR 1.26, 95% CI 1.02–1.58). Conclusion Individual data-linkage of multiple waves of the PLUS can offer great insight to inform healthy ageing policies in Italy and Europe. Transition to retirement has an independent effect on perceived health status, physical activity and selected behavioural risk factors. It should be identified as a target moment for preventive interventions, with particular reference to primary prevention so as to promote health and wellbeing in older ages.
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- 2021
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30. Are Populist Leaders Creating the Conditions for the Spread of COVID-19?; Comment on 'A Scoping Review of Populist Radical Right Parties’ Influence on Welfare Policy and its Implications for Population Health in Europe'
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Martin McKee, Alexi Gugushvili, Jonathan Koltai, and David Stuckler
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populism ,political determinants of health ,covid-19 ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Do populist leaders contribute to the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)? While all governments have struggled to respond to the pandemic, it is now becoming clear that some political leaders have performed much better than others. Among the worst performing are those that have risen to power on populist agendas, such as in the United States, Brazil, Russia, India, and the United Kingdom. Populist leaders have tended to: blame “others” for the pandemic, such as immigrants and the Chinese government; deny evidence and show contempt for institutions that generate it; and portray themselves as the voice of the common people against an out-of-touch ‘elite.’ In our short commentary, focusing on those countries with the most cases, we find that populist leaders appear to be undermining an effective response to COVID-19. Perversely, they may also gain politically from doing so, as historically populist leaders benefit from suffering and ill health. Clearly more research is needed on the curious correlation of populism and public health. Notwithstanding gaps in the evidence, health professionals have a duty to speak out against these practices to prevent avoidable loss of life.
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- 2021
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31. On the nature of electron correlation in C60
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David Stück, Thomas A. Baker, Paul M. Zimmerman, Westin Kurlancheek, and Martin Head-Gordon
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Physics ,Electronic correlation ,Atomic orbital ,Physics::Atomic and Molecular Clusters ,Hartree–Fock method ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Unrestricted Hartree–Fock ,Symmetry breaking ,Singlet state ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Triplet state ,Atomic physics ,Ground state - Abstract
The ground state restricted Hartree Fock (RHF) wave function of C(60) is found to be unstable with respect to spin symmetry breaking, and further minimization leads to a significantly spin contaminated unrestricted Hartree Fock (UHF) solution (S(2)= 7.5, 9.6 for singlet and triplet, respectively). The nature of the symmetry breaking in C(60) relative to the radicaloid fullerene, C(36), is assessed by energy lowering of the UHF solution,S(2), and the unpaired electron number. We conclude that the high value of each of these measures in C(60) is not attributable to strong correlation behavior as is the case for C(36). Instead, their origin is from the collective effect of relatively weak, global correlations present in the π space of both fullerenes. Second order perturbation (MP2) calculations of the singlet triplet gap are significantly more accurate with RHF orbitals than UHF orbitals, while orbital optimized opposite spin second order correlation (O2) performs even better.
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- 2011
32. Using volunteered geographic information to assess mobility in the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-city time series analysis of 41 cities in 22 countries from March 2nd to 26th 2020
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Matia Vannoni, Martin McKee, Jan C. Semenza, Chris Bonell, and David Stuckler
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Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Objectives Restricting mobility is a central aim for lowering contact rates and preventing COVID-19 transmission. Yet the impact on mobility of different non-pharmaceutical countermeasures in the earlier stages of the pandemic is not well-understood. Design Trends were evaluated using Citymapper’s mobility index covering 2nd to 26th March 2020, expressed as percentages of typical usage periods from 0% as the lowest and 100% as normal. China and India were not covered. Multivariate fixed effects models were used to estimate the association of policies restricting movement on mobility before and after their introduction. Policy restrictions were assessed using the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Stringency Index as well as measures coding the timing and degree of school and workplace closures, transport restrictions, and cancellation of mass gatherings. Setting 41 cities worldwide. Main outcome measures Citymapper’s mobility index. Results Mobility declined in all major cities throughout March. Larger declines were seen in European than Asian cities. The COVID-19 Government Response Stringency Index was strongly associated with declines in mobility (r = − 0.75, p
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- 2020
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33. The Impact of COVID-19 Confinement on Tinnitus and Hearing Loss in Older Adults: Data From the LOST in Lombardia Study
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Carlotta Micaela Jarach, Alessandra Lugo, Chiara Stival, Cristina Bosetti, Andrea Amerio, Luca Cavalieri d'Oro, Licia Iacoviello, Anna Odone, David Stuckler, Alberto Zucchi, Piet van den Brandt, Werner Garavello, Christopher R. Cederroth, Winfried Schlee, Silvano Gallus, The LOST in Lombardia Study Investigators, Gianluca Serafini, Mario Amore, Roberto De Sena, Simone Ghislandi, Yuxi Wang, Marialaura Bonaccio, Francesco Gianfagna, Carlo Signorelli, Giansanto Mosconi, Giacomo Vigezzi, Magda Rognoni, Luca Paroni, and Roberta Ciampichini
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tinnitus ,hearing loss ,older adults ,COVID-19 ,cross-sectional study ,Neurology. Diseases of the nervous system ,RC346-429 - Abstract
BackgroundAlthough a direct relationship between tinnitus or hearing difficulties and COVID-19 has been suggested, current literature provides inconsistent results, and no research has been undertaken in older adults.MethodsIn November 2020, we conducted the LOST in Lombardia survey, a telephone-based cross-sectional study on a sample of 4,400 individuals representative of the general population aged ≥65 years from Lombardy region, Northern Italy. Individuals with diagnosed tinnitus and/or hearing loss were asked whether their conditions had improved or deteriorated in 2020 compared to 2019.ResultsOverall, 8.1% of older adults reported a diagnosis of tinnitus and 10.5% of hearing loss. In 2020 compared to 2019, among individuals with tinnitus, those with increasing severity (5.0%) were similar to those decreasing it (5.3%). Among individuals with hearing loss, more people reported an increase (13.6%) than a decrease (3.2%) in their disease severity. No individual with a diagnosis in 2020 of tinnitus (n = 6) or hearing loss (n = 13) had COVID-19. The incidence of tinnitus was lower in 2020 (rate: 14.8 per 10,000 person-years) than in previous years (rate in 1990–2019: 36.0 per 10,000 person-years; p = 0.026). There was no change in the incidence of hearing loss (p = 0.134).ConclusionsIn this large representative sample of older adults, on average neither COVID-19 confinement nor SARS-CoV-2 infection appeared to increase the severity or incidence of tinnitus. The increased severity of hearing difficulties may totally or partially be explained by physiologic deterioration of the condition, or by a misperception due to the use of face-masks.
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- 2022
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34. The mental health crisis during the COVID-19 pandemic in older adults and the role of physical distancing interventions and social protection measures in 26 European countries
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Ana Mendez-Lopez, David Stuckler, Martin McKee, Jan C. Semenza, and Jeffrey V. Lazarus
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COVID-19 ,Mental health ,Older adults ,Europe ,Socioeconomic inequalities ,Containment measures ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and associated policy responses, such as physical distancing interventions, pose risks to mental health that could be mitigated by social support systems. We examine associations between changes in mental health in the population aged 50 years and older in Europe and stringency of pandemic responses and social protection. Methods: We analysed data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe: n = 50,278 individuals aged 50 years and older in 26 European countries between June and August 2020. Linear multivariable regression models were used to evaluate potential risk factors for deterioration in self-reported mental health and investigate whether social protection systems mitigate it. Results: Across the European Union, 28.1% (95% CI:27.1–29.2) of participants reported worsening mental health since the beginning of the pandemic, ranging from 16.1% in Slovakia to 54.8% in Portugal. Factors associated with increased risk of deterioration included: being female (12.7 percentage points (ppt), 95%CI:9.2–16.2); experiencing unmet healthcare needs during the pandemic (14.6 ppt, 95%CI:11.2–18.1); job loss during the pandemic (6.2 ppt, 95%CI:1.1–11.8); and financial hardship (5.1 ppt, 95%CI:2.9–7.2). Greater stringency of physical distancing measures in countries was associated with worsening mental health (0.2 ppt per each one point increase on a stringency index, 95% CI:0.09–0.4); however, country-level pre-pandemic expenditures on various social protection packages was associated with decreased probability of worsening mental health (−1.3 ppt, 95%CI: 0.3 to −2.3 per €1,000 increase in health care expenditures per capita and, among the unemployed, −3.8 ppt, 95%CI: 1.6 to −2.4 per €100 increase in unemployment expenditure per capita). Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with substantial mental health deterioration exhibiting social inequalities. Adverse mental health has been exacerbated by policy responses to the pandemic regulating physical distancing, but social protection expenditure might have helped mitigate the impact. Strengthening social protection systems might render the mental health of the population more resilient to the consequences of crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic.
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- 2022
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35. Ethnic/racial minorities’ and migrants’ access to COVID-19 vaccines: A systematic review of barriers and facilitators
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Mohammed Abba-Aji, David Stuckler, Sandro Galea, and Martin McKee
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Migrants ,Ethnic/racial minorities ,Vaccine hesitancy ,Vaccine uptake/coverage ,Barriers/facilitators to vaccination ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,Colonies and colonization. Emigration and immigration. International migration ,JV1-9480 - Abstract
Background: There are widespread concerns that ethnic minorities and migrants may have inadequate access to COVID-19 vaccines. . Improving vaccine uptake among these vulnerable groups is important towards controlling the spread of COVID-19 and reducing unnecessary mortality. Here we perform a systematic review of ethnic minorities’ and migrants’ access to and acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines. Methods: We searched PubMed and Web of Science databases for papers published between 1 January 2020 and 7 October 2021. Studies were included if they were peer-reviewed articles; written in English, included data or estimates of ethnic minorities’ or migrants’ access to vaccines; and employed either qualitative or quantitative methods. Of a total of 248 studies screened, 33 met these criteria and included in the final sample. Risk of bias in the included studies was assessed using Newcastle Ottawa Scale and Critical Appraisal Skills Program tools. We conducted a Synthesis Without Meta-analysis for quantitative studies and a Framework synthesis for qualitative studies. Results: 31 of the included studies were conducted in high-income countries, including in the US (n = 17 studies), UK (n = 10), Qatar (n = 2), Israel (n = 1) and France (n = 1). One study was in an upper middle-income country -China (n = 1) and another covered multiple countries (n = 1). 26 studies reported outcomes for ethnic minorities while 9 studies reported on migrants. Most of the studies were quantitative -cross sectional studies (n = 24) and ecological (n = 4). The remaining were qualitative (n = 4) and mixed methods (n = 1). There was consistent evidence of elevated levels of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among Black/Afro-Caribbean groups in the US and UK, while studies of Hispanic/Latino populations in the US and Asian populations in the UK provided mixed pictures, with levels higher, lower, or the same as their White counterparts. Asians in the US had the highest COVID-19 vaccine acceptance compared to other ethnic groups. There was higher vaccine acceptance among migrant groups in Qatar and China than in the general population. However, migrants to the UK experienced barriers to vaccine access, mainly attributed to language and communication issues. Lack of confidence, mainly due to mistrust of government and health systems coupled with poor communication were the main barriers to uptake among Black ethnic minorities and migrants. Conclusions: Our study found that low confidence in COVID-19 vaccines among Black ethnic minorities driven by mistrust and safety concerns led to high vaccine hesitancy in this group. Such vaccine hesitancy rates constitute a major barrier to COVID-19 vaccine uptake among this ethnic minority. For migrants, convenience factors such as language barriers, fear of deportation and reduced physical access reduced access to COVID-19 vaccines. Building trust, reducing physical barriers and improving communication and transparency about vaccine development through healthcare workers, religious and community leaders can improve access and facilitate uptake of COVID-19 vaccines among ethnic minority and migrant communities.
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- 2022
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36. Are we making the same mistakes in fighting COVID‑19 as in past pandemics? Lessons from HIV show the urgent need to invest in HPSR
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David Stuckler, Martin McKee, and Alexander Kentikelenis
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covid-19 ,hiv ,health policy and systems research ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Are we repeating the mistakes of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic in our approach to combating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)? Is the world’s emphasis on developing vaccines overshadowing investment in the health systems that can deliver them? We analyse a report on the politics of investing in health policy and systems research (HPSR) and conclude by outlining three critical actions, using the Stuckler–McKee model of social change in health. These are: exploiting a political window of opportunity; changing the conversation; and mobilising a campaign to drive the agenda. When implemented together, these actions could help accelerate investment in health systems to combat the immediate COVID-19 pandemic and prepare health systems for the next crisis.
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- 2021
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37. Linkage of community composition and function over short response time in anaerobic digestion systems with food fermentation wastewater
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Weiwei Cai, Mingxing Zhao, Jianyao Kong, Silvio Riggio, Tim Finnigan, David Stuckey, and Miao Guo
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Biological sciences ,Biomass ,Biotechnology ,Chemical engineering ,Microbiology ,Science - Abstract
Summary: We investigated the short-term dynamics of microbial composition and function in bioreactors with inocula collected from full-scale and laboratory-based anaerobic digestion (AD) systems. The Bray-Curtis dissimilarity of both inocula was approximately 10% of the predicted Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathway and 40% of the taxonomic composition and yet resulted in a similar performance in methane production, implying that the variation of community composition may be decoupled from performance. However, the significant correlation of volatile fatty acids with taxonomic variation suggested that the pathways of AD could be different because of the varying genus. The predicted function of the significantly varying genus was mostly related to fermentation, which strengthened the conclusion that most microbial variation occurred within the fermentative species and led to alternative routes to result in similar methane production in methanogenic bioreactors. This finding sheds some light on the understanding of AD community regulation, which depends on the aims to recover intermediates or methane.
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- 2021
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38. Prevalence and changes in food-related hardships by socioeconomic and demographic groups during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK: A longitudinal panel study
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Jonathan Koltai, Veronica Toffolutti, Martin McKee, and David Stuckler
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Food-related hardships ,Food insecurity ,COVID-19 ,Lockdown measures ,Job Retention Scheme ,Furlough ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Background: Food insecurity concerns have featured prominently in the UK response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We assess changes in the prevalence of food-related hardships in the UK population from April to July 2020. Method: We analysed longitudinal data on food-related hardships for 11,104 respondents from the April-July 2020 waves of the Understanding Society COVID-19 web survey with linked data from the 2017-9 wave of the annual Understanding Society survey. Outcome variables were reports of being hungry but not eating and of being unable to eat healthy and nutritious food in the last week, which were adapted from the Food Insecurity Experience Scale. We used unadjusted estimates to examine changes in population prevalence and logistic regression to assess the association between employment transitions and both outcomes at the individual level. Findings: The prevalence of reporting an inability to eat healthy or nutritious food rose from 3•2% in April to 16•3% in July 2020. The largest increases in being unable to eat healthy or nutritious food were among Asian respondents, the self-employed, and 35-44-year-olds. The prevalence of being hungry but not eating rose from 3•3% in April to 5•1% in July, with the largest increases observed among unemployed individuals below age 65. Those moving from employment to unemployment had higher odds of being hungry but not eating in the last week relative to furloughed individuals (OR = 2•2; p < 0•05; 95% CI: 1•1 to 4•2) and to the persistently employed (OR = 3•5; p < 0•001; 95% CI: 1•8 to 6•9), adjusting for age, highest qualification in 2017-19, net household income in 2017-19 (equivalized), gender, race/ethnicity, number children at home (aged 0-4, 5-15, and 16-18), cohabitation status, and government office region. Respondents moving from employment to unemployment also had higher odds of reporting an inability to eat healthy and nutritious food relative to furloughed individuals (OR = 1•9; p < 0•05; 95% CI: 1•4 to 3•2) and to the persistently employed (OR = 2•0; p < 0•01; 95% CI: 1•2 to 3•4). No statistically significant differences were found between furloughed individuals and the persistently employed in their probability of reporting either outcome. Interpretation: Food-related hardships increased substantially in the UK between April and July 2020, largely driven by reports of an inability to eat healthy and nutritious food. The Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme and Self-Employment Income Support Scheme appeared to have conferred some protection, but more could have been done to mitigate the problems we describe in obtaining affordable food. Funding: DS is funded by the Wellcome Trust investigator award. JK and DS are funded by the European Research Council n. 313590 – HRES. VT is funded by the European Research Council n. 694145- IFAMID.
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- 2021
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39. Are industry-funded charities promoting 'advocacy-led studies' or 'evidence-based science'?: a case study of the International Life Sciences Institute
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Sarah Steele, Gary Ruskin, Lejla Sarcevic, Martin McKee, and David Stuckler
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International Life Sciences Institute ,Industry funding ,Lobbying ,Advocacy ,Conflicts of interest ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background Industry sponsorship of public health research has received increasing scrutiny, and, as a result, many multinational corporations (MNCs), such as The Coca-Cola Company and Mars Inc., have committed to transparency with regard to what they fund, and the findings of funded research. However, these MNCs often fund charities, both national and international, which then support research and promote industry-favourable policy positions to leaders. We explore whether one industry funded charity, the International Life Sciences Institute (‘ILSI’), is the scientifically objective, non-lobby, internationally-credible body that it suggests it is, so as to aid the international health and scientific communities to judge ILSI’s outputs. Methods Between June 2015 and February 2018, U.S. Right to Know), a non-profit consumer and public health group, submitted five U.S. state Freedom of Information requests (FOIs) to explore ILSI engagement with industry, policy makers, and/or researchers, which garnered a total of 17,163 pages for analysis. Two researchers explored these documents to assess the activities and conduct of ILSI against its purported objectives. Results Within the received documents we identified instances of ILSI seeking to influence research, conferences, public messages, and policy, including instances of punishments for ILSI bodies failing to promote industry-favourable messaging. We identified ILSI promoting its agenda with national and international bodies to influence policy and law, causing the World Health Organization to withdraw from official relations with what it now considers a private sector entity. Conclusions ILSI seeks to influence individuals, positions, and policy, both nationally and internationally, and its corporate members deploy it as a tool to promote their interests globally. Our analysis of ILSI serves as a caution to those involved in global health governance to be wary of putatively independent research groups, and to practice due diligence before relying upon their funded studies and/or engaging in relationship with such groups.
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- 2019
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40. COVID-19 and the collapse of global trade: building an effective public health response
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Pepita Barlow, DPhil, May CI van Schalkwyk, MPH, Martin McKee, ProfDSc, Ron Labonté, ProfPhD, and David Stuckler, ProfPhD
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Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Summary: The scale of the COVID-19 pandemic is a consequence of international trade and globalisation, with the virus spreading along established trade and travel routes. However, the pandemic also affects international trade through reductions in both supply and demand. In this Viewpoint we describe the many implications for health and propose ways to mitigate them. Problems include reduced access to medical supplies (in particular, personal protective equipment and tests), budgetary shortfalls as a result of reduced tariffs and taxes, and a general decline in economic activity—leading, in many cases, to recessions, threats to social safety nets, and to increased precariousness of income, employment, and food security. However, in exceptional cases, the pandemic has also brought some transient benefits, including to the environment. Looking ahead, there will be great pressure to further liberalise rules on trade to encourage economic recovery, but it is essential that trade policy be informed by its many consequences for health to ensure that the benefits are maximised and threats are minimised through active identification and mitigation.
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- 2021
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41. Determinants of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in the Older Adult Population: Data from the LOST in Lombardia Study
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Giansanto Mosconi, Chiara Stival, Alessandra Lugo, Carlo Signorelli, Andrea Amerio, Luca Cavalieri d’Oro, Licia Iacoviello, David Stuckler, Alberto Zucchi, Anna Odone, Silvano Gallus, and the LOST in Lombardia Project Investigators
- Subjects
determinants ,infection ,SARS-CoV-2 ,COVID-19 ,older adults ,chronic diseases ,Medicine - Abstract
Most COVID-19 fatalities have occurred among older adults; however, evidence regarding the determinants of SARS-CoV-2 infection in this population is limited. Telephone interviews were conducted in November 2020 with a representative sample of 4400 Italians aged ≥65 years from the Lombardy region. We determined the prevalence of a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Through unconditional multiple logistic regression models, we estimated the odds ratios (ORs) of infection and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We further evaluated whether infection was related to a reduction in mental wellbeing. Of the participants, 4.9% reported a previous infection. No significant relationship between sex and infection was observed. Prior infection was less frequently reported in subjects aged ≥70 (OR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.41–0.74) compared to 65–69 years, with no trend after 70 years of age. Those with at least one chronic condition reported a lower infection rate compared to healthy subjects (OR = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.49–0.93). Participants who lived alone more frequently reported infection than those who cohabited (OR = 2.33; 95% CI: 1.29–4.20). Prior infection was related to increased depressive symptoms (OR = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.17–2.10). This representative study of people aged ≥65 years suggests that in Italy, the oldest subjects and chronic patients less frequently exposed themselves to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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- 2022
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42. Mechanisms for addressing and managing the influence of corporations on public health policy, research and practice: a scoping review
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Lisa Bero, Mark Petticrew, David Stuckler, Gary Sacks, Melissa Mialon, Stefanie Vandevijvere, Angela Carriedo-Lutzenkirchen, and Fabio Gomes
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Medicine - Abstract
Objective We identified mechanisms for addressing and/or managing the influence of corporations on public health policy, research and practice, as well as examples of where these mechanisms have been adopted from across the globe.Design We conducted a scoping review. We conducted searches in five databases on 4 June 2019. Twenty-eight relevant institutions and networks were contacted to identify additional mechanisms and examples. In addition, we identified mechanisms and examples from our collective experience working on the influence of corporations on public health policy, research and practice.Setting We identified mechanisms at the national, regional and global levels.Results Thirty-one documents were included in our review. Eight were peer-reviewed scientific articles. Nine discussed mechanisms to address and/or manage the influence of different types of industries; while other documents targeted specific industries. In total, we identified 49 mechanisms for addressing and/or managing the influence of corporations on public health policy, research and practice, and 43 of these were adopted at the national, regional or global level. We identified four main types of mechanisms: transparency; management of interactions with industry and of conflicts of interest; identification, monitoring and education about the practices of corporations and associated risks to public health; prohibition of interactions with industry. Mechanisms for governments (n=17) and academia (n=13) were most frequently identified, with fewer for the media and civil society.Conclusions We identified several mechanisms that could help address and/or manage the negative influence of corporations on public health policy, research and practice. If adopted and evaluated more widely, many of the mechanisms described in this manuscript could contribute to efforts to prevent and control non-communicable diseases.Trial registration details The protocol was registered with the Open Science Framework on 27 May 2019 (https://osf.io/xc2vp).
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- 2020
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43. Softening the blow of the pandemic: will the International Monetary Fund and World Bank make things worse?
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Alexander Kentikelenis, Daniela Gabor, Isabel Ortiz, Thomas Stubbs, Martin McKee, and David Stuckler
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Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Published
- 2020
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44. Recession hardships, personal control, and the amplification of psychological distress: Differential responses to cumulative stress exposure during the U.S. Great Recession
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Jonathan Koltai and David Stuckler
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Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
Recessions pose risks to mental health, yet the psychosocial mechanisms involved are less clear. One critical factor may be people's perceived control when faced with multiple recession hardships. Here we test a structural amplification hypothesis by assessing the role of perceived control as a mediator and moderator of the relation between recession shocks and psychological distress. We draw on waves 2 (2004–2006) and 3 (2013–2014) of the Midlife in the United States study (MIDUS), covering 1,739 US adults under age 75 from before and after the Great Recession. Our statistical models reveal that perceived control declines while distress rises in association with a greater accumulation of recession-related hardships. Perceived control partially mediated the recession hardships-distress association,attenuating it by about one-fifth. Further, perceived control modified the association between recession hardships and distress; individuals who reported larger declines in personal control had greater increases in distress, whereas those who experienced hardships but increased their perceived control did not exhibit significant changes in distress levels. Taken together, our findings support the structural amplification hypothesis, whereby an accumulation of recession hardships erode coping resources that would otherwise protect individuals from the mental health effects of stress exposure. Future research is needed to better understand sources of resilience at individual, community, and societal levels to help ameliorate sentiments of powerlessness and lack of perceived control during economic recessions.
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- 2020
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45. CNP mediated selective toxicity on melanoma cells is accompanied by mitochondrial dysfunction.
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Elif Aplak, Claudia von Montfort, Lisa Haasler, David Stucki, Bodo Steckel, Andreas S Reichert, Wilhelm Stahl, and Peter Brenneisen
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Cerium (Ce) oxide nanoparticles (CNP; nanoceria) are reported to have cytotoxic effects on certain cancerous cell lines, while at the same concentration they show no cytotoxicity on normal (healthy) cells. Redox-active CNP exhibit both selective prooxidative as well as antioxidative properties. The former is proposed to be responsible for impairment of tumor growth and invasion and the latter for rescuing normal cells from reactive oxygen species (ROS)-induced damage. Here we address possible underlying mechanisms of prooxidative effects of CNP in a metastatic human melanoma cell line. Malignant melanoma is the most aggressive form of skin cancer, and once it becomes metastatic the prognosis is very poor. We have shown earlier that CNP selectively kill A375 melanoma cells by increasing intracellular ROS levels, whose basic amount is significantly higher than in the normal (healthy) counterpart, the melanocytes. Here we show that CNP initiate a mitochondrial increase of ROS levels accompanied by an increase in mitochondrial thiol oxidation. Furthermore, we observed CNP-induced changes in mitochondrial bioenergetics, dynamics, and cristae morphology demonstrating mitochondrial dysfunction which finally led to tumor cell death. CNP-induced cell death is abolished by administration of PEG-conjugated catalase. Overall, we propose that cerium oxide nanoparticles mediate cell death via hydrogen peroxide production linked to mitochondrial dysfunction.
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- 2020
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46. Correction to: Confronting potential food industry ‘front groups’: case study of the international food information Council’s nutrition communications using the UCSF food industry documents archive
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Sarah Steele, Lejla Sarcevic, Gary Ruskin, and David Stuckler
- Subjects
Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Published
- 2022
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47. Tuberculosis outbreak investigation using phylodynamic analysis
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Denise Kühnert, Mireia Coscolla, Daniela Brites, David Stucki, John Metcalfe, Lukas Fenner, Sebastien Gagneux, and Tanja Stadler
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Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 - Abstract
The fast evolution of pathogenic viruses has allowed for the development of phylodynamic approaches that extract information about the epidemiological characteristics of viral genomes. Thanks to advances in whole genome sequencing, they can be applied to slowly evolving bacterial pathogens like Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In this study, we investigate and compare the epidemiological dynamics underlying two M. tuberculosis outbreaks using phylodynamic methods. Specifically, we (i) test if the outbreak data sets contain enough genetic variation to estimate short-term evolutionary rates and (ii) reconstruct epidemiological parameters such as the effective reproduction number.The first outbreak occurred in the Swiss city of Bern (1987–2012) and was caused by a drug-susceptible strain belonging to the phylogenetic M. tuberculosis Lineage 4. The second outbreak was caused by a multidrug-resistant (MDR) strain of Lineage 2, imported from the Wat Tham Krabok (WTK) refugee camp in Thailand into California.There is little temporal signal in the Bern data set and moderate temporal signal in the WTK data set. Thanks to its high sampling proportion (90%) the Bern outbreak allows robust estimation of epidemiological parameters despite the poor temporal signal. Conversely, there is much uncertainty in the epidemiological estimates concerning the sparsely sampled (9%) WTK outbreak. Our results suggest that both outbreaks peaked around 1990, although they were only recognized as outbreaks in 1993 (Bern) and 2004 (WTK). Furthermore, individuals were infected for a significantly longer period (around 9 years) in the WTK outbreak than in the Bern outbreak (4–5 years).Our work highlights both the limitations and opportunities of phylodynamic analysis of outbreaks involving slowly evolving pathogens: (i) estimation of the evolutionary rate is difficult on outbreak time scales and (ii) a high sampling proportion allows quantification of the age of the outbreak based on the sampling times, and thus allows for robust estimation of epidemiological parameters. Keywords: Phylodynamic analysis, Tuberculosis outbreak, Epidemic dynamics, Transmission dynamics
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- 2018
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48. Barriers and prospects of India’s conditional cash transfer program to promote institutional delivery care: a qualitative analysis of the supply-side perspectives
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Adyya Gupta, Jasmine Fledderjohann, Hanimi Reddy, V. R. Raman, David Stuckler, and Sukumar Vellakkal
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National Health Mission ,Janani Suraksha Yojana ,Conditional cash transfer ,Maternal healthcare ,Institutional delivery care ,Supply side perspectives ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background Under the National Health Mission (NHM) of India, Janani Suraksha Yojana (JSY) offers conditional cash transfer and support services to pregnant women to use institutional delivery care facilities. This study aims to understand community health workers’ (ASHAs) and program officials’ perceptions regarding barriers to and prospects for the uptake of facilities offered under the JSY. Methods Fifty in-depth interviews of a purposively selected sample of ASHAs (n = 12), members of Village Health and Sanitation Committees (n = 11), and officials at different tiers of healthcare facilities (n = 27) were conducted in three Indian states. The data were analyzed thematically using ATLAS.ti software. Results Although the JSY has triggered considerable advancement on the Indian maternal and child health front, there are several barriers to be resolved pertaining to i) delivering quality care at health-facility; ii) linkages between home and health-facility; and iii) the community/household context. At the facility level, respondents cited an inability to treat birth complications as a barrier to JSY uptake, resulting in referrals to other (mostly private) facilities. Despite increased investment in health infrastructure under the program, shortages in emergency obstetric-care facilities, specialists and staff, essential drugs, diagnostics, and necessary equipment persisted. Weaker linkages between various vertical (standalone) elements of maternal and primary healthcare programs, and nearly uniform resource allocation to all facilities irrespective of caseloads and actual need also constrained the provision of quality healthcare. Barriers affecting the linkages between home and facility arose mainly due to the mismatch between the multiple demands and the availability of transport facilities, especially in emergency situations. Regarding community/household context, several socio-cultural issues such as resistance towards the ASHA’s efforts of counselling, particularly from elderly family members, often adversely affected people’s decision to seek healthcare. Conclusion Adequate interventions at the community level, capacity building for healthcare providers, and measures to address underlying structural and systemic barriers are needed to improve the uptake of institutional maternal healthcare.
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- 2018
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49. 'Enemies of the People?' Public Health in the Era of Populist Politics; Comment on 'The Rise of Post-truth Populism in Pluralist Liberal Democracies: Challenges for Health Policy'
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Martin McKee and David Stuckler
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Public Health ,Advocacy ,Political Economy ,Fake News ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
In this commentary, we review the growth of populist politics, associated with exploitation of what has been termed fake news. We explore how certain words have been used in similar contexts historically, in particular the term “enemy of the people,” especially with regard to public health. We then set out 6 principles for public health professionals faced with these situations. First, using their epidemiological skills, they can provide insights into the reasons underlying the growth of populist politics. Second using their expertise in modelling and health impact assessment, they can anticipate and warn about the consequences of populist policies. Third, they can support the institutions that are necessary for effective public health. Fourth they can reclaim the narrative, rejecting hatred and division, to promote social solidarity. Fifth, they can support fact checking and the use of evidence. Finally, they should always remember the lessons of history, and in particular, the way that public health has, on occasions, collaborated with totalitarian and genocidal regimes.
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- 2017
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50. Multiple Introductions of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Lineage 2–Beijing Into Africa Over Centuries
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Liliana K. Rutaihwa, Fabrizio Menardo, David Stucki, Sebastian M. Gygli, Serej D. Ley, Bijaya Malla, Julia Feldmann, Sonia Borrell, Christian Beisel, Kerren Middelkoop, E. Jane Carter, Lameck Diero, Marie Ballif, Levan Jugheli, Klaus Reither, Lukas Fenner, Daniela Brites, and Sebastien Gagneux
- Subjects
tuberculosis ,genetic diversity ,migration ,whole genome sequencing ,drug resistance ,Evolution ,QH359-425 ,Ecology ,QH540-549.5 - Abstract
The Lineage 2–Beijing (L2–Beijing) sub-lineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis has received much attention due to its high virulence, fast disease progression, and association with antibiotic resistance. Despite several reports of the recent emergence of L2–Beijing in Africa, no study has investigated the evolutionary history of this sub-lineage on the continent. In this study, we used whole genome sequences of 781 L2 clinical strains from 14 geographical regions globally distributed to investigate the origins and onward spread of this lineage in Africa. Our results reveal multiple introductions of L2–Beijing into Africa linked to independent bacterial populations from East- and Southeast Asia. Bayesian analyses further indicate that these introductions occurred during the past 300 years, with most of these events pre-dating the antibiotic era. Hence, the success of L2–Beijing in Africa is most likely due to its hypervirulence and high transmissibility rather than drug resistance.
- Published
- 2019
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