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Abstract Background The prevalence of depression among people with chronic pain remains unclear due to the heterogeneity of study samples and definitions of depression. We aimed to identify sources of variation in the prevalence of depression among people with chronic pain and generate clinical prediction models to estimate the probability of depression among individuals with chronic pain. Methods Participants were from the UK Biobank. The primary outcome was a “lifetime” history of depression. The model’s performance was evaluated using discrimination (optimism-corrected C statistic) and calibration (calibration plot). Results Analyses included 24,405 patients with chronic pain (mean age 64.1 years). Among participants with chronic widespread pain, the prevalence of having a “lifetime” history of depression was 45.7% and varied (25.0–66.7%) depending on patient characteristics. The final clinical prediction model (optimism-corrected C statistic: 0.66; good calibration on the calibration plot) included age, BMI, smoking status, physical activity, socioeconomic status, gender, history of asthma, history of heart failure, and history of peripheral artery disease. Among participants with chronic regional pain, the prevalence of having a “lifetime” history of depression was 30.2% and varied (21.4–70.6%) depending on patient characteristics. The final clinical prediction model (optimism-corrected C statistic: 0.65; good calibration on the calibration plot) included age, gender, nature of pain, smoking status, regular opioid use, history of asthma, pain location that bothers you most, and BMI. Conclusions There was substantial variability in the prevalence of depression among patients with chronic pain. Clinically relevant factors were selected to develop prediction models. Clinicians can use these models to assess patients’ treatment needs. These predictors are convenient to collect during daily practice, making it easy for busy clinicians to use them. more...

Introduction Calcium channel blockers (CCB), a commonly prescribed antihypertensive (AHT) medicine, may be associated with increased risk of breast cancer. The proposed study aims to examine whether long-term CCB use is associated with the development of breast cancer and to characterise the dose–response nature of any identified association, to inform future hypertension management.Methods and analysis The study will use data from 2 of Australia’s largest cohort studies; the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health, and the 45 and Up Study, combined with the Rotterdam Study. Eligible women will be those with diagnosed hypertension, no history of breast cancer and no prior CCB use at start of follow-up (2004–2009). Cumulative dose-duration exposure to CCB and other AHT medicines will be captured at the earliest date of: the outcome (a diagnosis of invasive breast cancer); a competing risk event (eg, bilateral mastectomy without a diagnosis of breast cancer, death prior to any diagnosis of breast cancer) or end of follow-up (censoring event). Fine and Gray competing risks regression will be used to assess the association between CCB use and development of breast cancer using a generalised propensity score to adjust for baseline covariates. Time-varying covariates related to interaction with health services will also be included in the model. Data will be harmonised across cohorts to achieve identical protocols and a two-step random effects individual patient-level meta-analysis will be used.Ethics and dissemination Ethical approval was obtained from the following Human research Ethics Committees: Curtin University (ref No. HRE2022-0335), NSW Population and Health Services Research Ethics Committee (2022/ETH01392/2022.31), ACT Research Ethics and Governance Office approval under National Mutual Acceptance for multijurisdictional data linkage research (2022.STE.00208). Results of the proposed study will be published in high-impact journals and presented at key scientific meetings.Trial registration number NCT05972785. more...

Key points The study estimated a minimum prevalence of Rheumatoid Arthritis of 0.34% in Western Australia based on hospital diagnosis records over 20 years and 0.36% based on biological therapy dispensing over a decade. The study found that older females with Rheumatoid Arthritis who live in rural areas are more likely to experience frequent hospitalisations suggesting unmet needs in their primary care access. more...

Background: We aimed to quantify the association between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality, and to investigate the extent to which this association is mediated by physical activity, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and opioid use. Methods: For this population-based cohort study, we used data from UK Biobank, UK between baseline visit (2006–2010) to 18th December 2020. We assessed the associations between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality using a Cox proportional hazards model. We performed causal mediation analyses to examine the proportion of the association between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality. Findings: Of the 384,367 included participants, a total of 187,269 participants reported chronic musculoskeletal pain. Higher number of pain sites was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to having no pain (e.g., four sites vs no site of pain, Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.46, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.35 to 1.57). The multiple mediator analyses showed that the mediating proportions of all four mediators ranged from 53.4% to 122.6%: among participants with two or more pain sites, the effect estimate reduced substantially, for example, HR reduced from 1.25 (95% CI: 1.21 to 1.30; two pain sites) to 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.11; two pain sites). Interpretation: We found that higher number of pain sites was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to having no pain, and at least half of the association of chronic musculoskeletal pain with increased all-cause mortality may be accounted for by four mediators. Funding: Twins Research Australia. more...

Introduction In January 2005, the Australian Government increased the consumer medication co-payment by 21%. Previous research found that this affected population-level utilisation of statins, which fell by 5% following the co-payment increase. The subsequent health impact on individuals reducing or ceasing use of statins is unknown. Objectives and Approach To explore the two-year risk of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or stroke-related hospitalisation among individuals who discontinued, reduced or continued statin medicines after the 2005 PBS co-payments increase. This was achieved through a retrospective cohort study using linked administrative Commonwealth and State datasets for the Western Australian population. Outcomes were assessed using the Fine and Gray competing risks method, with death as the competing risk, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities and medication history. Results There were 207,066 individuals identified as using statins before the co-payment increase. After the increase, adherence reduced in 12.5% of this cohort, and 3.3% ceased use. There were 4,343 ACS and stroke-related hospitalisations for the cohort in the follow-up period. Multivariate analysis indicated ceasing statins increased the risk of hospitalisation for ACS or stroke-related events by 18% (95%CI=0.1-40%) compared to continuing therapy. The risk was greatest for males more...

BackgroundMigrant women, especially from Indian and African ethnicity, have a higher risk of stillbirth than native-born populations in high-income countries. Differential access or timing of ANC and the uptake of other services may play a role. We investigated the pattern of healthcare utilisation among migrant women and its relationship with the risk of stillbirth (SB)-antepartum stillbirth (AnteSB) and intrapartum stillbirth (IntraSB)-in Western Australia (WA).Methods and findingsA retrospective cohort study using de-identified linked data from perinatal, birth, death, hospital, and birth defects registrations through the WA Data Linkage System was undertaken. All (N = 260,997) non-Indigenous births (2005-2013) were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% CI for AnteSB and IntraSB comparing migrant women from white, Asian, Indian, African, Māori, and 'other' ethnicities with Australian-born women controlling for risk factors and potential healthcare-related covariates. Of all the births, 66.1% were to Australian-born and 33.9% to migrant women. The mean age (years) was 29.5 among the Australian-born and 30.5 among the migrant mothers. For parity, 42.3% of Australian-born women, 58.2% of Indian women, and 29.3% of African women were nulliparous. Only 5.3% of Māori and 9.2% of African migrants had private health insurance in contrast to 43.1% of Australian-born women. Among Australian-born women, 14% had smoked in pregnancy whereas only 0.7% and 1.9% of migrants from Indian and African backgrounds, respectively, had smoked in pregnancy. The odds of AnteSB was elevated in African (odds ratio [OR] 2.22, 95% CI 1.48-2.13, P < 0.001), Indian (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.13-2.44, P = 0.013), and other women (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.07-1.97, P = 0.016) whereas IntraSB was higher in African (OR 5.24, 95% CI 3.22-8.54, P < 0.001) and 'other' women (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.35-3.54, P = 0.002) compared with Australian-born women. When migrants were stratified by timing of first antenatal visit, the odds of AnteSB was exclusively increased in those who commenced ANC later than 14 weeks gestation in women from Indian (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.18-3.95, P = 0.013), Māori (OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.43-6.45, P = 0.004), and 'other' (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.34-3.58, P = 0.002) ethnicities. With midwife-only intrapartum care, the odds of IntraSB for viable births in African and 'other' migrants (combined) were more than 3 times that of Australian-born women (OR 3.43, 95% CI 1.28-9.19, P = 0.014); however, with multidisciplinary intrapartum care, the odds were similar to that of Australian-born group (OR 1.34, 95% CI 0.30-5.98, P = 0.695). Compared with Australian-born women, migrant women who utilised interpreter services had a lower risk of SB (OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.27-0.96, P = 0.035); those who did not utilise interpreters had a higher risk of SB (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.07-1.35, P < 0.001). Covariates partially available in the data set comprised the main limitation of the study.ConclusionLate commencement of ANC, underutilisation of interpreter services, and midwife-only intrapartum care are associated with increased risk of SB in migrant women. Education to improve early engagement with ANC, better uptake of interpreter services, and the provision of multidisciplinary-team intrapartum care to women specifically from African and 'other' backgrounds may reduce the risk of SB in migrants. more...

Objective To quantify differences between three validated algorithms in ascertaining Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children in linked administrative data. Methods Linked administrative health data for children born in WA from 2000-2013, were used to examine the cohorts identified by three methods: A) the Indigenous Status Flag (ISF, derived by the WA Data Linkage Branch using a multistage-median approach) for the children alone; B) the ISF of the children, their parents and grandparents; and C) Indigenous status of the child, mother or father on either of the child’s perinatal records (Midwives or birth registration), to determine differing characteristics of each cohort. Results Method B established a larger cohort (33,697) than Method C (33,510) and Method A (27,482), with all methods identifying a core group of 26,993 children (80-98%). Compared with children identified by Method A, additional children identified by Methods B or C, were from less-disadvantaged and more urban areas, and had better perinatal outcomes (e.g. lower proportions of small-for-gestational age, 10% vs 16%). Differences in demographics and health outcomes between Methods C and B were minimal. Conclusions Demographic and perinatal health characteristics differ by Indigenous identification method. Using perinatal records or the ISF of parents and grandparents (in addition to the ISF of the child) appear to be more inclusive methods for identifying young Indigenous children in administrative datasets. more...

BackgroundChildren's exposure to family and domestic violence (FDV) is a global public health concern and is considered one of the most common and severe stressors children can experience. While it is acknowledged that children who are exposed to FDV have poorer general health, there is a lack of data on the outcomes of children exposed to FDV. The use of longitudinal data has been suggested as a way to gain an understanding of the impact on children's long-term outcomes.MethodsOur cohort study used deidentified individual-level linked administrative data of children born 1987-2010, in Western Australia, who were exposed to FDV in the prenatal period (12 months prior to birth) to five years of age (early years).ResultsChildren exposed to FDV are more likely to be hospitalised than non-exposed children. Children exposed to FDV in both the prenatal and early childhood period had a threefold increased odds of mental health hospitalisation. We found a significant increase in odds of pregnancy-related hospitalisation in FDV exposed children. When stratified by Aboriginal status, Aboriginal children had a higher proportion of hospitalisations than non-Aboriginal children.ConclusionExposed children have an increased likelihood for hospitalisation than non-exposed children. Within the exposed cohort differences were apparent between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children. Aboriginal children had greater odds for hospitalisation in most of the diagnostic groups compared to their non-Aboriginal counterparts. Our findings represent an important advance in the literature with respect to the burden of disease of children exposed to FDV. more...

ObjectiveTo assess the association between continuity of provider-adjusted regularity of general practitioner (GP) contact and unplanned diabetes-related hospitalisation or emergency department (ED) presentation.DesignCross-sectional study.SettingIndividual-level linked self-report and administrative health service data from New South Wales, Australia.Participants27 409 survey respondents aged ≥45 years with a prior history of diabetes and at least three GP contacts between 1 July 2009 and 30 June 2015.Main outcome measuresUnplanned diabetes-related hospitalisations or ED presentations, associated costs and bed days.ResultsTwenty-one per cent of respondents had an unplanned diabetes-related hospitalisation or ED presentation. Increasing regularity of GP contact was associated with a lower probability of hospitalisation or ED presentation (19.9% for highest quintile, 23.5% for the lowest quintile). Conditional on having an event, there was a small decrease in the number of hospitalisations or ED presentations for the low (−6%) and moderate regularity quintiles (−8%), a reduction in bed days (ranging from −30 to −44%) and a reduction in average cost of between −23% and −41%, all relative to the lowest quintile. When probability of diabetes-related hospitalisation or ED presentation was included, only the inverse association with cost remained significant (mean of $A3798 to $A6350 less per individual, compared with the lowest regularity quintile). Importantly, continuity of provider did not significantly modify the effect of GP regularity for any outcome.ConclusionsHigher regularity of GP contact—that is more evenly dispersed, not necessarily more frequent care—has the potential to reduce secondary healthcare costs and, conditional on having an event, the time spent in hospital, irrespective of continuity of provider. These findings argue for the advocacy of regular care, as distinct from solely continuity of provider, when designing policy and financial incentives for GP-led primary care. more...

Introduction Whilst there is limited published information on the benefits of engaging the public in linked data research, our presentation will add to international knowledge about the benefits of involving the community in a priority setting exercise for future research areas in a new linkage project. Objectives and Approach We’ll co-present with a consumer about our experiences of the community having a role in linked data research over the past 20-years. Community members have provided input into: research projects; feedback to government agencies; submissions to federal/state governments; issues about access to data; and priorities for research. In 2017 community members prioritised broad research areas for a new project involving cross-agency linkage, investigating pathways to wellbeing and social-outcomes across the life-course to improve outcomes and identify cost-efficiencies. Community members completed a survey to rank the broad themes and then attended a workshop to discuss the themes and identify gaps or new ideas. Results Following the workshop all suggestions made on the day were themed into broad areas and then circulated to the attendees to rank in order of importance. These community activities identified the top ten priorities, as shown below, as being the most important areas for future research: • Aboriginal Health and Wellbeing • Children in Care • Disability • Education • Families • Health • Homelessness • Refugees • Alcohol and other drugs • Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorders The community input has provided valuable insights about ‘what is important to them’ and informed the development of the proposal for this new cross-agency project. It also had a positive impact on the community member’s perception of, and support for, this potential new research. Conclusion/Implications The 20 years’ experience gained by the WA Consumer and Community Health Research Network in Western Australia has led to the development of a range of methods for involving the community in linked data research. These methods enable us to clearly demonstrate benefits and value of consumer and community involvement. more...

Introduction Studies of the health of prisoners have proliferated in the past decade. However, relatively few studies have examined health outcomes after release from custody. As such, although >30 million people are released from prison globally each year, the health and health service experiences of this population remain poorly understood. Objectives and Approach Well-powered longitudinal studies are essential for answering these questions but are expensive and difficult to conduct. Internationally, few such studies have been undertaken, and most suffer from either substantial and biased attrition, or recruitment bias. Cross-sectoral linkage of health and justice data circumvents some of these problems but presents its own ethical and methodological challenges. Large longitudinal studies, combining rich survey and clinical data with prospective data linkage, provide unique opportunities to examine and understand health outcomes for these highly marginalised individuals. Results This presentation will describe the process and challenges of establishing the world’s largest (N=2,702) prospective study of adults released from prison: the Health After Release from Prison (HARP) cohort study. The cohort spans two Australian states and includes 538 women and 1,002 Indigenous Australians. An overview of the data collected through face-to-face surveys, medical record review, and prospective linkage with State-based health and correctional records, national Medicare and pharmaceutical records, and the National Death Index, will be provided. Some examples of how these data have been used to answer novel public health questions will be presented. The strengths and limitations of the cohort, and the applicability of this research design for other inclusion health populations, will be discussed. Conclusion/Implications Given their extreme vulnerability, understanding the health of people who cycle through prisons is important to addressing health inequalities at the population level. Novel research designs that combine prospective data linkage with other data sources provide new opportunities to examine the health of socially excluded populations. more...

Introduction There is a small body of literature examining the relationship between “regularity” of contact with General Practitioners (GPs), i.e. the pattern of visits over time, and health outcomes. Methods previously used to measure regularity may be conflated with the number of GP visits (frequency) which may impact on effect estimates. Objectives and Approach Two published regularity measures, one derived from the variance in the days between GP visits and the second a categorical indicator, were assessed alongside a new measure designed to be uncorrelated with frequency. A cohort at risk of diabetes-related hospitalisation was identified from primary care and hospitalisation data. Associations between regularity and frequency were assessed for each measure using negative binomial regression. Hospitalisation outcomes were regressed on regularity scores using negative binomial models, with and without frequency included, to assess whether associations between regularity and frequency biased estimates. Simulated data tested each measure’s responsiveness to changes in GP visit patterns. Results The new regularity measure showed a substantially weaker association between regularity and frequency than the two previously published scores. According to the new measure, more regular GP contact was associated with a reduction in the rate of hospitalisation and this association was unchanged by the inclusion of frequency as a covariate. Under the existing measures regular contact was also associated with reduced hospitalisation, but the association differed depending on whether frequency was included in the model, suggesting that associations between regularity and frequency may confound relationships with health outcomes if uncontrolled for. Simulated data suggested that the measures responded differently to changes in visitation pattern with the existing categorical indicator being the least responsive. Conclusion/Implications Despite a large body of literature on provider continuity, little research has examined regularity of GP contact. This is the first work to compare measures of regularity and represents an important methodological advancement. Researchers should consider regularity of contact as a dimension of continuity of care when designing studies. more...

Introduction Studies in the general population suggest that varenicline is more effective than nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) for smoking cessation. However, clinical guidelines recommend against the use of varenicline during pregnancy and suggest NRT be used when the expected benefits outweigh the potential risks. Objectives and Approach We evaluated whether varenicline was more effective than NRT for smoking cessation when used during pregnancy. Routinely-collected records of all births (01/01/2011-12/31/2012) in New South Wales and Western Australia were used to identify a cohort of women who smoked during the first 20 weeks of pregnancy. Pharmaceutical dispensing data were then linked to identify varenicline or NRT dispensing in the first 20 weeks of pregnancy. Smoking cessation was defined as women reported not smoking after the first 20 weeks of pregnancy. Inverse probability of treatment weighting with propensity scores were used to account for differences between the two treatment groups. Results Overall, 117 women used varenicline and 135 NRT in the first 20 weeks of pregnancy. In the unweighted sample, more women who used varenicline quit smoking after the first 20 weeks than women using NRT (28.2% vs. 11.1%, crude rate difference:17.1%, 95% confidence intervals[CI]:7.4-26.8%). In the weighted sample, quitting rate was 12.7% (95%CI:0.8-24.6%) higher in pregnant smokers who used varenicline (27.4% vs. 14.7%) when compared to those who used NRT. Conclusion/Implications Pregnant smokers using varenicline were more likely to quit smoking than those using NRT. This information will assist healthcare providers to make informed recommendations, but data regarding safety of varenicline in pregnancy are also urgently needed. Future studies with greater statistical power are required to confirm our results. more...

Introduction Almost half of Australian women assaulted by their partner have children in their care. Evidence suggests a link between children’s exposure to violence, and subsequent maltreatment allegations. However, this evidence is limited by small sample sizes. Linked administrative data present an opportunity to further investigate this sensitive topic. Objectives and Approach This study investigated the relationship between assaults on mothers and subsequent child maltreatment allegations. The sample included all live births in Western Australia from 1990 to 2009 (N=524,534) and their parents, with follow up to 2013. Linked administrative data on child maltreatment allegations and mothers’ assault-related hospital admissions were obtained. Multivariate Cox regression estimated the risk of maltreatment allegation following maternal assault admission. Adjusted and unadjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95\% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for the risk of maltreatment allegation, and time (in months) between assault admission and the first maltreatment allegation. Results One in five children whose mother had an assault admission had a subsequent maltreatment allegation, increasing to more than one in three children when restricted to assault admissions in the prenatal period. More than half of the children who had a maltreatment allegation after their mother was admitted for assault were Aboriginal. After adjusting for covariates, children whose mother had an assault admission had two-fold increased risk of having a maltreatment allegation. The risk of maltreatment allegation was greatest in young children, 5.5-year-old (SD=4.6), when restricted to maternal assault admissions in the prenatal period the children were younger at 4-year-old (SD=4.1). The time from maternal assault admission to maltreatment allegation was around 12 months longer for Aboriginal children than for non-Aboriginal children. Conclusion/Implications Children of mothers who have been assaulted are at higher risk of child maltreatment allegation. Targeted early intervention is required for families with young children, and pregnant women experiencing violence. The time to maltreatment allegation for Aboriginal children warrants community developed culturally-safe partnerships between Aboriginal communities and government services. more...

Introduction Linked data are increasingly used in pharmacoepidemiology studies to enhance value beyond that which can be achieve from stand-alone pharmaceutical data. The complexity of pharmaceutical data can make any linked data analysis challenging and it is imperative that this is matched by the human capacity to perform this work. Objectives and Approach Research is needed to understand the state of the current pharmacoepidemiology workforce and to prioritise its capacity building needs. We aim to profile the Australian pharmacoepidemiology workforce to explore views, needs, priority areas and perspectives relevant to capacity building. Participants are the regular pharmacoepidemiology workforce (Group 1) and senior medicines stakeholders (Group 2). Following a literature review and consultation with a group of key informants, we developed survey and interview instruments for each group. We piloted the instruments in February 2018 and study data collection is planned for March 2018. We will use a mixed-methods approach to analyse the data. Results We conducted a review of existing literature and identified workforce views, needs and priorities at four levels: personal, team, organisation and wider community. During the consultative process, the informants highlighted the multidisciplinary nature of the pharmacoepidemiology workforce including many with non-health related backgrounds. They also raised concerns about attracting applicants with suitable skills and experience, job satisfaction, career progression and workforce retention. We developed instruments to (i) further explore these issues, (ii) ascertain their experience with linked health data, (iii) determine their training needs, and, (iv) learn about their future intentions. We will present findings on issues pertinent to the Australian pharmacoepidemiology landscape and suggest priorities for building workforce capacity. Conclusion/Implications This study will provide empirical evidence to support and prioritise capacity building in the Australian pharmacoepidemiology workforce to improve their ability to work with linked data. The instruments that we developed and findings may be relevant to phamacoepidemiology workforce in other countries and other emerging fields that use linked data. more...

Summary: Background: People with mental illness and substance use disorder are over-represented in prisons. Injury-related mortality is elevated in people released from prison, and both mental illness and substance use disorder are risk factors for injury. Effective care coordination during the transition between criminal justice and community service providers improves health outcomes for people released from prison. However, the health outcomes and support needs of people with dual diagnosis (co-occurring mental illness and substance use disorder) released from prison are poorly understood. Here we aim to examine the association between dual diagnosis and non-fatal injury in adults released from prison. Methods: Pre-release interview data collected between Aug 1, 2008, and July 31, 2010, from a representative sample of sentenced adults (≥18 years) in Queensland, Australia, were linked, retrospectively and prospectively, to person-level, state-wide emergency department and hospital records. We identified dual diagnoses from inpatient, emergency department, and prison medical records. We modelled the association between mental health status and all injury resulting in hospital contact by fitting a multivariate Cox regression, adjusting for sociodemographic, health, and criminogenic covariates, and replacing missing covariate data by multiple imputation. Findings: In 1307 adults released from prison, there were 2056 person-years of follow-up (median 495 days, IQR 163–958). The crude injury rates were 996 (95% CI 893–1112) per 1000 person-years for the dual diagnosis group, 538 (441–657) per 1000 person-years for the mental illness only group, 413 (354–482) per 1000 person-years for the substance use disorder only group, and 275 (247–307) per 1000 person-years for the no mental disorder group. After adjusting for model covariates, the dual diagnosis (adjusted hazard rate ratio 3·27, 95% CI 2·30–4·64; p more...

BACKGROUND:The linkage of routine data collections are valuable for population-based evaluation of smoking cessation pharmacotherapy in pregnancy where little is known about the utilisation or safety of these pharmacotherapies antenatally. The use of routine data collections to study smoking cessation pharmacotherapy is limited by disparities among data sources. This study developed an algorithm to resolve disparity between the evidence of pharmacotherapy utilisation for smoking cessation and the recording of smoking in pregnancy, examined its face validity and assessed the implications on estimates of smoking cessation pharmacotherapy utilisation. METHODS:Perinatal records (n = 1,098,203) of women who gave birth in the Australian States of Western Australia and New South Wales (2004-2012) were linked to hospital admissions and pharmaceutical dispensing data. An algorithm, based on dispensing information about the type of smoking therapy, timing and quantity of supply reclassified certain groups of women as smoking during pregnancy. Face validity of the algorithm was tested by examining the distribution of factors associated with inaccurate recording of smoking status among women that the algorithm classified as misreporting smoking in pregnancy. Rate of utilisation among smokers, according to original and reclassified smoking status, was measured, to demonstrate the utility of the algorithm. RESULTS:Smoking cessation pharmacotherapy were dispensed to 2184 women during pregnancy, of those 1013 women were originally recorded as non-smoking as per perinatal and hospital data. Application of the algorithm reclassified 730 women as smoking during pregnancy. The algorithm satisfied the test of face validity-the expected demographic factors of marriage, private hospital delivery and higher socioeconomic status, were more common in women whom the algorithm identified as misreporting their smoking status. Application of the algorithm resulted in smoking cessation pharmacotherapy utilisation estimates ranging from 2.3-3.6% of all pregnancies. CONCLUSION:Researchers can use the algorithm presented herein to improve the identification of smoking among women who use cessation pharmacotherapies during pregnancy. Improved identification can improve the validity of safety analyses of smoking cessation pharmacotherapy-providing clinicians with valuable evidence to use when counselling women on the role of pharmacotherapy for smoking cessation during pregnancy. more...

BackgroundTraumatic brain injury (TBI) may be a risk factor for criminal behaviour however multiple factors potentially confound the association.MethodsRecord linkage and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to examine the association between hospital-recorded TBI (n = 7,694) and subsequent first criminal conviction in a retrospective cohort matched 1:3 with 22,905 unaffected community controls and full-sibling controls (n = 2,397). Aboriginality, substance abuse, social disadvantage, and mental illness were included in analyses as potential confounders.ResultsIn multivariable models, relative to general population controls, TBI was associated with any conviction (males: Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.58 (95% CI 1.46 to 1.72); females: HR = 1.52 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.81)); and similar Hazard Ratios were obtained for the sibling analyses in males (HR = 1.68 (95% CI 1.31-2.18)) and females (HR 1.27 (95% CI 0.71-2.29)). TBI was also associated with violent convictions relative to the general population, (males: HR = 1.65 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.92); females HR = 1.73 (95% CI 1.21 to 2.47)), and in analyses with sibling controls in men (HR = 1.89 (95% CI 1.20-3.00)), but not in women (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.29-1.81)).ConclusionThe results support a modest causal link between TBI and criminality after comprehensive adjustment for confounding. Reducing the rate of TBI, a major public health imperative, might have benefits in terms of crime reduction. more...

Australian clinical guidelines recommend endocrine therapy for all women with hormone-dependent early breast cancer. Guidelines specify tamoxifen as first-line therapy for pre-menopausal women, and tamoxifen or an aromatase inhibitor (AI) for post-menopausal women depending on the risk of recurrence based on tumour characteristics including size. Therapies have different side effect profiles; therefore comorbidity may also influence choice. We examined comorbidity, and the clinical and demographic characteristics of women commencing different therapies.We identified the first dispensing of tamoxifen, anastrozole or letrozole for women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the 45 and Up Study from 2004-2009 (N = 1266). Unit-level pharmacy and medical service claims, hospital, Cancer Registry, and self-reported data were linked to determine menopause status at diagnosis, tumour size, age, comorbidities, and change in subsidy restrictions. Chi-square tests and generalised regression models were used to compare the characteristics of women commencing different therapies.Most pre-menopausal women commenced therapy with tamoxifen (91%). Anastrozole was the predominant therapy for post-menopausal women (57%), followed by tamoxifen (28%). Women with osteoporosis were less likely to commence anastrozole compared with tamoxifen (anastrozole RR = 0.7, 95% CI = 0.5-0.9). Women with arthritis were 1.6-times more likely to commence letrozole than anastrozole (95% CI = 1.1-2.1). Tamoxifen was more often initiated in women with tumours >1 cm, who were also ≥75 years. Subsidy restriction changes were associated with substantial increases in the proportion of women commencing AIs (anastrozole RR = 4.3, letrozole RR = 8.3).The findings indicate interplay of comorbidity and therapy choice for women with invasive breast cancer. Most post-menopausal women commenced therapy with anastrozole; however, letrozole and tamoxifen were more often initiated for women with comorbid arthritis and osteoporosis, respectively. Tamoxifen was also more common for women with tumours >1 cm and aged ≥75 years. Subsidy restrictions appear to have strongly influenced therapy choice. more...

BackgroundThe Australian Private Health Insurance Incentive (PHII) policy reforms implemented in 1997-2000 increased PHI membership in Australia by 50%. Given the higher rate of obstetric interventions in privately insured patients, the reforms may have led to an increase in surgical deliveries and deliveries with longer hospital stays. We aimed to investigate the effect of the PHII policy introduction on birth characteristics in Western Australia (WA).Methods and findingsAll 230,276 birth admissions from January 1995 to March 2004 were identified from administrative birth and hospital data-systems held by the WA Department of Health. Average quarterly birth rates after the PHII introduction were estimated and compared with expected rates had the reforms not occurred. Rate and percentage differences (including 95% confidence intervals) were estimated separately for public and private patients, by mode of delivery, and by length of stay in hospital following birth. The PHII policy introduction was associated with a 20% (-21.4 to -19.3) decrease in public birth rates, a 51% (45.1 to 56.4) increase in private birth rates, a 5% (-5.3 to -5.1) and 8% (-8.9 to -7.9) decrease in unassisted and assisted vaginal deliveries respectively, a 5% (-5.3 to -5.1) increase in caesarean sections with labour and 10% (8.0 to 11.7) increase in caesarean sections without labour. Similarly, birth rates where the infant stayed 0-3 days in hospital following birth decreased by 20% (-21.5 to -18.5), but rates of births with >3 days in hospital increased by 15% (12.2 to 17.1).ConclusionsFollowing the PHII policy implementation in Australia, births in privately insured patients, caesarean deliveries and births with longer infant hospital stays increased. The reforms may not have been beneficial for quality obstetric care in Australia or the burden of Australian hospitals. more...