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Metabolic‐associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a major cause of liver‐related complications, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). While MAFLD‐related HCC is known to occur in the absence of cirrhosis, our understanding of MAFLD‐related HCC in this setting is limited. Here, we characterize MAFLD‐related HCC and the impact of cirrhosis and screening on survival. This was a multicenter, retrospective, cohort study of MAFLD‐related HCC. MAFLD was defined based on the presence of race‐adjusted overweight, diabetes, or both hypertension and dyslipidemia in the absence of excess alcohol use or other underlying cause of liver disease. The primary outcome of interest was overall survival, and the primary dependent variables were cirrhosis status and prior HCC screening. We used Kaplan‐Meier methods to estimate overall survival and Cox proportional hazards models and random forest machine learning to determine factors associated with prognosis. This study included 1,382 patients from 11 centers in the United States and East/Southeast Asia. Cirrhosis was present in 62% of patients, but under half of these patients had undergone imaging within 12 months of HCC diagnosis. Patients with cirrhosis were more likely to have early stage disease but less often received curative therapy. After adjustment, cirrhosis was not associated with prognosis, but the presence of cancer‐related symptoms at diagnosis was associated with poorer prognosis. Conclusion: Cirrhosis was not associated with overall survival in this cohort of MAFLD‐related HCC, while diagnosis in the presence of symptoms was associated with poorer prognosis. The HCC surveillance rate in patients with MAFLD‐related HCC was disappointingly low in a multicenter cohort. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background/aims: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with a multitude of adverse outcomes. We aimed to estimate the pooled incidence of NAFLD-related adverse events., Methods: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of adults with NAFLD to evaluate the pooled incidence of adverse events., Results: 19,406 articles were screened, 409 full-text articles reviewed, and 79 eligible studies (1,377,466 persons) were included. Mean age was 51.47 years and body mass index 28.90 kg/m2. Baseline comorbidities included metabolic syndrome (41.73%), cardiovascular disease (CVD) (16.83%), cirrhosis (21.97%), and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (58.85%). Incidence rate per 1,000 person-years for mortality included: all-cause (14.6), CVD-related (4.53), non-liver cancer-related (4.53), and liver-related (3.10). Incidence for liver-related events included overall (24.3), fibrosis progression (49.0), cirrhosis (10.9), liver transplant (12.0), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (3.39). Incidence for non-liver events included metabolic syndrome (25.4), hypertension (25.8), dyslipidemia (26.4), diabetes (19.0), CVD (24.77), renal impairment (30.3), depression/anxiety (29.1), and non-liver cancer (10.5). Biopsy-proven NASH had higher incidence of HCC (P=0.043) compared to non-NASH. Higher rates of CVD and mortality were observed in North America and Europe, hypertension and non-liver cancer in North America, and HCC in Western Pacific/Southeast Asia (P<0.05). No significant differences were observed by sex. Time-period analyses showed decreasing rates of cardiovascular and non-liver cancer mortality and increasing rates of decompensated cirrhosis (P<0.05)., Conclusion: People with NAFLD have high incidence of liver and non-liver adverse clinical events, varying by NASH, geographic region, and time-period, but not sex.

Background: Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients., Methods: To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6 months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups., Results: In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p < 0.001). Achieving SVR was independently associated with decreased HCC risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.41, p = 0.002). Next, we stratified the SVR cohort of 5646 patients to cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups. Among cirrhotic SVR patients, aged ≥ 60, having an albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI) of 2 or 3 (aHR: 2.5, p < 0.001), and baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL (aHR: 1.6, p = 0.001) were associated with higher HCC risk, while among the non-cirrhotic SVR group, only baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL was significant (aHR: 4.26, p = 0.005)., Conclusions: Achieving SVR decreases HCC risk; however, among East Asians, patients with elevated pretreatment AFP remained at risk. Pretreatment AFP, an easily obtained serum marker, may provide both prognostic and surveillance value for HCC in East Asian patients who obtained SVR.