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The aim of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the factors associated with mortality before the age of 30 in adults with cystic fibrosis (CF) followed up at a referral center in southern Brazil. This study included individuals over 18 years of age. Clinical data related to childhood and the period of transition to an adult healthcare of individuals with CF were recorded, as well as spirometric and mortality data of individuals between 18 and 30 years of age. A total of 48 patients were included in this study, of which 28 (58.3%) were male. Comparing groups, we observed a higher prevalence of homozygosis for the F508del mutation (P=0.028), massive hemoptysis before the age of 18 (P=0.027), and lower values of pulmonary function, forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) (%) (P=0.002), forced vital capacity (FVC) (%) (P=0.01), and FEV1/FVC (%) (P=0.001) in the group that died before age 30. F508del homozygosis, episodes of massive hemoptysis in childhood, and lower FEV1 values at age 18 were related to mortality before age 30 in a cohort of individuals with CF in southern Brazil.

Background: In current literature there are only scarce data on the host inflammatory response during Burkholderia cepacia complex (Bcc) persistence. The primary objective of the present research was to carry out cross-sectional analyses of biomarkers and evaluate disease progression in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients with chronic Bcc infection and pathogen-free ones. The secondary aim was to assess prospectively overall survival of the study participants during up to 8 years of follow-up., Methods: The study included 116 paediatric patients with CF; 47 CF patients were chronically infected with Bcc, and 69 individuals were Bcc free. Plasma and sputum biomarkers (neutrophil elastase, MMP-8, MMP-9, MMP-12, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-18, IL-22, IL-23, IL-17, IFN-γ, TGFβ 1 , TNF-α) were analysed using commercially available kits. Besides, inhibitory effect of dexamethasone on proliferative response of PHA-stimulated peripheral blood lymphocytes had been assessed., Results: Bcc infected patients did not differ from Bcc free ones in demographic and clinical parameters, but demonstrated an increased rate of glucose metabolism disturbances and survival disadvantage during prolong follow-up period. Biomarkers analyses revealed elevated TNF-α and reduced IL-17F levels in sputum samples of Bcc infected patients. These patients also demonstrated improvement of peripheral blood lymphocyte sensitivity to steroid treatment and reduction in plasma pro-inflammatory (IL-17F and IL-18) and anti-inflammatory (TGFβ1 and IL-10) cytokine concentrations., Conclusions: Reduction in IL-17F levels may have several important consequences including increase in steroid sensitivity and glycemic control disturbances. Further investigations are needed to clarify the role of IL-17 cytokines in CF complication development. Low plasma TGFβ1 and IL-10 levels in Bcc infected group may be a sign of subverted activity of regulatory T cells. Such immune alterations may be one of the factors contributing to the development of the cepacia syndrome., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Shmarina, Pukhalskaya, Shmarin, Semykin, Avakyan, Krasovsky, Goryainova, Kostyuk, Zinchenko and Kashirskaya.)

Background: Children with advanced pulmonary disease due to cystic fibrosis (CF) are at risk of acute respiratory failure due to pulmonary exacerbations leading to their admission to pediatric intensive care units (PICU). The objectives of this study were to determine short and medium-term outcomes of children with CF admitted to PICU for acute respiratory failure due to pulmonary exacerbation and to identify prognosis factors., Methods: This retrospective monocentric study included patients less than 18 years old admitted to the PICU of a French university hospital between 2000 and 2020. Cox proportional hazard regression methods were used to determine prognosis factors of mortality or lung transplant., Results: Prior to PICU admission, the 29 patients included (median age 13.5 years) had a severe lung disease (median Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 s percentage predicted at 29%). Mortality rates were respectively 17%, 31%, 34%, 41% at discharge and at 3, 12 and 36 months post-discharge. Survival rates free of lung transplant were 34%, 32%, 24% and 17% respectively. Risk factors associated with mortality or lung transplant using the univariate analysis were female sex and higher pCO2 and chloride levels at PICU admission, and following pre admission characteristics: home respiratory and nutritional support, registration on lung transplant list and Stenotrophomonas Maltophilia bronchial colonization., Conclusion: Children with CF admitted to PICU for acute respiratory failure secondary to pulmonary exacerbations are at high risk of death, both in the short and medium terms. Lung transplant is their main chance of survival and should be considered early., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Studies investigating the impact of sinus surgery for cystic fibrosis (CF) patients performed early after lung transplantation (Ltx) are scarce. Recent studies evaluating frequency of respiratory infections and graft outcomes are not available., Objectives/hypothesis: To determine whether there is a difference in allograft infection, allograft function and overall survival among CF lung transplant recipients with and without concomitant sinus surgery., Study Design: Retrospective single-center study., Methods: We examined 71 CF patients who underwent Ltx between 2009 and 2019 at our center. Fifty-nine patients had sinus surgery before or/and after transplantation and twelve did not undergo sinus surgery. We assessed the survival, the diagnosis of chronic allograft dysfunction (CLAD) and all elevated (> 5 mg/l) c-reactive protein episodes during the observed period. The infectious events of the upper and lower airways were categorized in mild infections (5-15 mg/l CRP) and severe infections (> 15 mg/l CRP)., Results: There was no difference in the long-time overall survival (p = 0.87) and no benefit in the short-term survival at 4 year post-transplant (p = 0.29) in both groups. There was no difference in both groups concerning CLAD diagnosis (p = 0.92). The incidence of severe upper and lower airway infections (CRP > 15 mg/l) was significantly decreased in the sinus surgery group (p = 0.015), whereas in mild infections there was a trend to decreased infections in the sinus surgery group (p = 0.056)., Conclusions: CF patients undergoing Ltx benefit from extended endoscopic sinus surgery (eESS) in terms of frequency of severe infectious events of the upper and lower airways. There was no difference in overall survival and frequency of CLAD in the two groups., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Importance: Cystic fibrosis, a genetic disorder defined by variants in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene, affects more than 30 000 individuals in the US and approximately 89 000 worldwide. Absent or decreased function of the CFTR protein is associated with multiorgan dysfunction and shortened life expectancy., Observations: CFTR is an anion channel in the apical membrane of epithelial cells. Loss of function leads to obstructed exocrine glands. Of people with cystic fibrosis in the US, approximately 85.5% have the gene variant F508del. Manifestations of cystic fibrosis in patients with the F508del gene variant begin in infancy with steatorrhea, poor weight gain, and respiratory symptoms (coughing, wheezing). As people with cystic fibrosis age, chronic respiratory bacterial infections cause loss of lung function and bronchiectasis. With the availability of universal newborn screening in multiple countries including the US, many people with cystic fibrosis are asymptomatic at diagnosis. With multidisciplinary care teams that included dietitians, respiratory therapists, and social workers, treatment of cystic fibrosis can slow disease progression. Median survival has improved from 36.3 years (95% CI, 35.1-37.9) in 2006 to 53.1 years (95% CI, 51.6-54.7) in 2021. Pulmonary therapies for patients with cystic fibrosis consist of mucolytics (eg, dornase alfa), anti-inflammatories (eg, azithromycin), and antibiotics (such as tobramycin delivered by a nebulizer). Four small molecular therapies, termed CFTR modulators, that facilitate CFTR production and/or function have received regulatory approval. Examples are ivacaftor and elexacaftor-tezacaftor-ivacaftor. For example, in patients with 1 F508del variant, the combination of ivacaftor, tezacaftor, and elexacaftor improved lung function from -0.2% in the placebo group to 13.6% (difference, 13.8%; 95% CI, 12.1%-15.4%) and decreased the annualized estimated rate of pulmonary exacerbations from 0.98 to 0.37 (rate ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.25-0.55). Improved respiratory function and symptoms have lasted up to 144 weeks in postapproval observational studies. An additional 177 variants are eligible for treatment with the elexacaftor-tezacaftor-ivacaftor combination., Conclusion: Cystic fibrosis affects approximately 89 000 people worldwide and is associated with a spectrum of disease related to exocrine dysfunction, including chronic respiratory bacterial infections and reduced life expectancy. First-line pulmonary therapies consist of mucolytics, anti-inflammatories, and antibiotics, and approximately 90% of people with cystic fibrosis who are 2 years or older may benefit from a combination of ivacaftor, tezacaftor, and elexacaftor.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa is of major concern for cystic fibrosis patients where this infection can be fatal. With the emergence of drug-resistant strains, there is an urgent need to develop novel antibiotics against P. aeruginosa . MurB is a promising target for novel antibiotic development as it is involved in the cell wall biosynthesis. MurB has been shown to be essential in P. aeruginosa , and importantly, no MurB homologue exists in eukaryotic cells. A fragment-based drug discovery approach was used to target Pa MurB. This led to the identification of a number of fragments, which were shown to bind to MurB. One fragment, a phenylpyrazole scaffold, was shown by ITC to bind with an affinity of K d = 2.88 mM (LE 0.23). Using a structure guided approach, different substitutions were synthesized and the initial fragment was optimized to obtain a small molecule with K d = 3.57 μM (LE 0.35).

Background: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is one of the most common autosomal recessive diseases. Factors contributing to disease exacerbations and survival rate of CF patients are type of mutation in the CFTR gene, poor nutritional status, lung failure, and infection development by Pseudomonas aeruginosa. The study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the severity of mutation, nutritional status, lung function, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa prevalence and survival rate in adult patients with cystic fibrosis., Methods: A study of 124 (68 ♀ and 56 ♂) adults with CF aged 18-51 years were evaluated for (a) type of mutation in the CFTR gene, (b) nutritional status (BMI), (c) lung function (FEV 1 %), and (d) Pseudomonas aeruginosa prevalence. For statistical calculations, Kaplan-Meier analysis of survival, chi-squared test for multiple samples, and logistic regression were used., Results: The type of mutation (χ 2 = 12.73, df = 3, p = 0.005), FEV 1 % (χ 2 = 15.20, df = 2, p = 0.0005), Pseudomonas aeruginosa prevalence (χ 2 = 11.48, df = 3, p = 0.009), and BMI (χ 2 = 31.08, df = 4, p < 0.000) significantly differentiated the probability of survival of patients with CF. The shortest life expectancy was observed in patients with a severe type of mutation on both alleles, FEV 1 % < 40, subjects in whom Pseudomonas culture was extensively drug-resistant or pandrug-resistant, and patients whose BMI was lower than 18.5 kg/m 2 . The period from 30 to 40 years of age was the most critical in CF adults' lifespan. The risk of adults with CF death doubled with Pseudomonas aeruginosa prevalence (OR = 2.06, 95% CI 1.29; 2.28) and eightfold when the bacteria acquired antibiotic resistance (OR = 8.11, 95% CI 1.67; 38.15)., Conclusions: All factors included in the study were significantly related to the survival rate of patients with cystic fibrosis., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Background: New drugs may further decrease the need for lung transplant (LTx) in pediatric patients with cystic fibrosis (CF), but few studies highlight pediatric non-CF LTx characteristics and outcomes., Methods: The ISHLT registry was used to report morbidity, graft failure, and survival for primary pediatric (<18 years) LTx performed 1990-2017. Recipient/donor characteristics and long-term outcomes were analyzed for CF and non-CF recipients. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves., Results: Of 2232 primary LTx, (43% in males), 918 (41%) were performed for non-CF indications; most commonly pulmonary hypertension (43%). Non-CF patients were younger (median age 11 vs. 15, p < .001), and more frequently on inotropes and/or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (15% vs. 2.4%, p < .001) at transplant, compared to CF recipients. In-hospital major complications more commonly affected CF LTx recipients (57% vs. 48%, p = .003), but 30-day mortality was higher in the non-CF group (9% non-CF vs. 5% CF, p < .001). One-, five-, and ten-year mortality was 18%, 50%, and 65% for CF recipients, respectively, and 21%, 45%, and 58% for non-CF recipients (p = .01 at 10 years). Five-year survival was significantly better for non-CF females versus CF females (56% vs. 48%, p = .013), but was similar between groups for males (55% vs. 54%, p = .305). While age was a late outcomes risk factor, pulmonary hypertension and later transplants eras were protective., Conclusions: Early mortality is higher and late mortality is lower in non-CF LTx. Current non-CF LTx outcomes leave room for improvement. Further study is needed to evaluate the effects of center volume and pediatric-specific experience on outcomes., (© 2021 Wiley Periodicals LLC.)

Background: In this study, we report clinical outcomes in COVID-19 infection in a large cohort of people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) and compare these outcomes to a propensity score matched cohort of people without CF., Methods: Analysis of a multicenter research network TriNETX was performed including patients more than 16 years of age diagnosed with COVID-19. Outcomes in COVID-19 positive pwCF were compared with a propensity-matched cohort of people without CF., Results: A total of 507,810 patients with COVID-19 were included (422 patients, 0.08% with CF; 507,388 patients, 99.92% without CF. Mean age at COVID-19 diagnosis in CF cohort was 46.6 ± 19.3 years, with female predominance (n = 225, 53.32%). Majority of the participants were Caucasian (n = 309, 73.22%). In the crude, unmatched analysis, mortality, hospitalization, critical care need, mechanical ventilation, acute kidney injury and composite (combination of intubation and mortality) outcome at 30 days was higher in the pwCF. Following robust propensity matching, pwCF had higher hospitalization rate (RR 1.56, 95% CI 1.20-2.04), critical care need (RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.13-2.79), and acute renal injury (RR 1.60, 95% CI 1.07-2.39) as compared to patients without CF., Conclusion: People with CF are at risk of poor outcomes with COVID-19.5.2% of these patients died within one month of COVID-19 diagnosis, and more than one in 10 patients required critical care. Therefore, the relatively young median age of cystic fibrosis patients, and lower prevalence of obesity do not protect these patients from severe disease contrary to prior reports., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Understanding how health outcomes differ for patients with advanced cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease living in the United States compared with Canada has health policy implications., Research Question: What are rates of lung transplant (LTx) and rates of death without LTx in the United States and Canada among individuals with FEV 1  < 40% predicted?, Study Design and Methods: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study, 2005 to 2016, using the US CF Foundation, United Network for Organ Sharing, and Canadian CF registries. Individuals with CF and at least two FEV 1 measurements < 40% predicted within a 5-year period, age ≥ 6 years, without prior LTx were included. Multivariable competing risk regression for time to death without LTx (LTx as a competing risk) and time to LTx (death as a competing risk) was performed., Results: There were 5,899 patients (53% male) and 905 patients (54% male) with CF with FEV 1  < 40% predicted living in the United States and Canada, respectively. Multivariable competing risk regression models identified an increased risk of death without LTx (hazard ratio [HR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.52-2.1) and decreased LTx (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.58-0.74) among individuals in the United States compared with Canada. More pronounced differences were seen in the patients in the United States with Medicaid/Medicare insurance compared with Canadians (multivariable HR for death without LTx, 2.24 [95% CI, 1.89-2.64]; multivariable HR for LTx, 0.54 [95% CI, 0.47-0.61]). Patients of nonwhite race were also disadvantaged (multivariable HR for death without LTx, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.32-1.84]; multivariable HR for LTx, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.36-0.62])., Interpretation: There are lower rates of LTx and an increased risk of death without LTx for US patients with CF with FEV 1  < 40% predicted compared with Canadian patients. Findings are more striking among US patients with CF with Medicaid/Medicare health insurance, and nonwhite patients in both countries, raising concerns about underuse of LTx among vulnerable populations., (Copyright © 2021 American College of Chest Physicians. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: To describe the characteristics and outcomes of children with cystic fibrosis (CF) hospitalized with cirrhosis in the United States., Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study of hospitalizations among children with CF using the 2016 Kid's Inpatient Database., Results: In total, 9,615 admissions were analyzed. Diagnosis of cirrhosis was present in 509 (5.3%) and was significantly associated with increased mortality, length of stay, and hospital charges compared with those without cirrhosis. Hepatic encephalopathy was significantly associated with death in children with cirrhosis., Discussion: Future interventions should be designed to support children with CF who have cirrhosis to improve clinical outcomes., (Copyright © 2021 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Background: Viral infections can cause significant morbidity in cystic fibrosis (CF). The current Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic could therefore have a serious impact on the health of people with CF (pwCF)., Methods: We used the 38-country European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR) to collect case data about pwCF and SARS-CoV-2 infection., Results: Up to 30 June 2020, 16 countries reported 130 SARS-CoV-2 cases in people with CF, yielding an incidence of 2.70/1000 pwCF. Incidence was higher in lung-transplanted patients (n=23) versus non-transplanted patients (n=107) (8.43 versus 2.36 cases/1000). Incidence was higher in pwCF versus the age-matched general population in the age groups <15, 15-24, and 25-49 years (p<0.001), with similar trends for pwCF with and without lung transplant. Compared to the general population, pwCF (regardless of transplantation status) had significantly higher rates of admission to hospital for all age groups with available data, and higher rates of intensive care, although not statistically significant. Most pwCF recovered (96.2%), however 5 died, of whom 3 were lung transplant recipients. The case fatality rate for pwCF (3.85%, 95% CI: 1.26-8.75) was non-significantly lower than that of the general population (7.46%; p=0.133)., Conclusions: SARS-CoV-2 infection can result in severe illness and death for pwCF, even for younger patients and especially for lung transplant recipients. PwCF should continue to shield from infection and should be prioritized for vaccination., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest Dr. Naehrlich reports that he has received institutional fees for site participation in clinical trials from Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Boehringer Ingelheim; Dr. Orenti has nothing to disclose; Dr. Dunlevy reports institutional grants from Chiesi, during the conduct of the study; Dr. Kasmi has nothing to disclose; Dr. Harutyunyan has nothing to disclose; Dr. Pfleger has nothing to disclose; Dr. Bobrovnichy has nothing to disclose;Dr. Keegan has nothing to disclose; Dr. Daneau has nothing to disclose; Dr. Petrova has nothing to disclose; Dr. Bambir has nothing to disclose; Dr. Vukić Dugac has nothing to disclose; Dr. Tješić-Drinković has nothing to disclose; Dr. Yiallouros has nothing to disclose; Dr. Drevinek reports personal fees from Vertex Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted work; Prof. Milan Macek reports grants from Vertex Pharmaceuticals,  outside the submitted workr r; Mrs. Bilkova has nothing to disclose; Dr. Olesen has nothing to disclose; Dr. Burgel reports personal fees from Astra-Zeneca, personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, personal fees from Chiesi, personal fees from GSK, personal fees from Insmed, personal fees from Novartis, personal fees from Pfizer, grants and personal fees from Vertex, personal fees from Zambon, outside the submitted work; Dr. Corvol has nothing to disclose; Ms. Lemmonier has nothing to disclose; Dr. Parulava has nothing to disclose; Dr. Hatziagorou has nothing to disclose; Dr. Diamantea has nothing to disclose; Dr. Párniczky has nothing to disclose; G. Fletcher has nothing to disclose; Prof. McKone reports travel support from A Menarini, speaker fees from Roche Pharmaceuticals, consultancy fees from Insmed, consultancy fees from Janssen Pharmaceuticals, grants to institution and consultancy fees from Vertex, outside the submitted work; Dr. Mei-Zahav has nothing to disclose; Dr. Padoan has nothing to disclose; Dr. Salvatore has nothing to disclose; Dr. Colombo has nothing to disclose; Dr. Aleksejeva has nothing to disclose; Dr. Malakauskas has nothing to disclose; Dr. Schlesser has nothing to disclose; Dr. Fustik has nothing to disclose; Dr. Turcu has nothing to disclose; V. Gulmans has nothing to disclose; D. Zomer-van Ommen has nothing to disclose; Dr. Wathne has nothing to disclose; Dr. Bakkeheim has nothing to disclose; Dr. Wozniacki has nothing to disclose; Dr. Pereira has nothing to disclose; Dr. Pop has nothing to disclose; Dr. Kondratyeva has nothing to disclose; Dr. Amelina has nothing to disclose; Dr. Zhekaite has nothing to disclose; Dr. O. Simonova has nothing to disclose; Dr. Kashirskaya has nothing to disclose; Dr. Rodic has nothing to disclose; Dr. Kayserova has nothing to disclose; Dr. Krivec has nothing to disclose; Dr. Mondejar-Lopez has nothing to disclose; Dr. Pastor-Vivero has nothing to disclose; Dr. de Monestrol reports grants from Vertex, outside the submitted work; Dr. Lindblad has nothing to disclose; Dr. Dogru has nothing to disclose; Dr. Gokdemir has nothing to disclose; Dr. Pekcan has nothing to disclose; Dr. Makukh has nothing to disclose; Dr. Brownlee has nothing to disclose; Ms. Cosgriff has nothing to disclose; Mr. McClenaghan has nothing to disclose; Dr. Carr reports personal fees from Chiesi Pharmaceuticals, personal fees and non-financial support from Vertex, personal fees from Zambon, personal fees from Insmed, outside the submitted work; Dr. Lammertyn has nothing to disclose; Dr. Zolin has nothing to disclose; Ms.. Fox reports grants from ECFS, during the conduct of the study; Mr Krasnyk has nothing to disclose; Mrs. Van Rens has nothing to disclose; Dr. van Koningsbruggen-Rietschel reports grants and personal fees from Algipharma (HORIZON2020), personal fees from Deutsches Zentrum für Infektionsforschung, personal fees from Antabio, personal fees from Proteostasis, personal fees from Roche, personal fees from Vertex, outside the submitted work; Dr. Jung reports grants from Chiesi Pharmaceuticals, during the conduct of the study., (Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Objectives: We hypothesized that hospitalizations in cystic fibrosis (CF) would reflect the development of age-related comorbidities., Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (2002-2017). Hospitalizations for which the principal diagnosis was CF were analyzed regarding age at discharge and presence of comorbidities. Trends were assessed for significance using the Cochran-Armitage test., Results: The mean age of patients hospitalized for CF increased from 19.7 years in 2002 to 23.0 years in 2017 (P = 0.017). Several comorbidities are more than 10 times more prevalent among adults as compared with children, including congestive heart failure, substance abuse, and chronic kidney disease (P < 0.001). In addition, diabetes with chronic complications was more prevalent in adults than children (10.0% vs 3.9%; P < 0.001), as was hypertension (7.2% vs 1.3%; P < 0.001) and osteoporosis (10.2% vs 1.9%; P < 0.001). More than 65% of CF hospitalizations in 2017 were in individuals older than 18 years., Conclusions: Hospitalizations for adults with CF are increasing, and individuals with CF are developing age-related comorbidities. Providers equipped to manage the health care needs of adults need to be ready and able to care for this unique and growing patient population., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Previous literature in cystic fibrosis (CF) has shown a 10-year survival gap between Canada and the United States (US). We hypothesized that differential access to and survival after lung transplantation may contribute to the observed gap. The objectives of this study were to compare CF transplant outcomes between Canada and the US and estimate the potential contribution of transplantation to the survival gap., Methods: Data from the Canadian CF Registry and the US Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry supplemented with data from United Network for Organ Sharing were used. The probability of surviving after transplantation between 2005 and 2016 was calculated using the Kaplan‒Meier method. Survival by insurance status at the time of transplantation and transplant center volume in the US were compared with those in Canada using Cox proportional hazard models. Simulations were used to estimate the contribution of transplantation to the survival gap., Results: Between 2005 and 2016, there were 2,653 patients in the US and 470 in Canada who underwent lung transplantation for CF. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 88.3%, 71.8%, and 60.3%, respectively, in the US compared with 90.5%, 79.9%, and 69.7%, respectively, in Canada. Patients in the US were also more likely to die on the waitlist (p < 0.01) than patients in Canada. If the proportion of who underwent transplantation and post-transplant survival in the US were to increase to those observed in Canada, we estimate that the survival gap would decrease from 10.8 years to 7.5 years., Conclusions: Differences in waitlist mortality and post-transplant survival can explain up to a third of the survival gap observed between the US and Canada., (Copyright © 2020 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The International Depression Epidemiological Study (TIDES) found elevated rates of screen positivity for depression and anxiety among individuals with cystic fibrosis (CF). Depression is associated with worse adherence and health-related quality of life in CF. We investigated the relationship with mortality., Methods: Subjects were untransplanted participants in TIDES 12+ years of age receiving care at one of 45 collaborating US CF care centers who completed the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and/or Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale during a stable visit between 2006 and 2010. Clinical characteristics and mortality data were obtained from the CF Foundation Patient Registry. The association of a positive screen with 5-year survival was evaluated using Cox Proportional Hazards modeling., Results: Of 1005 eligible patients, 25% screened positive for depression and 34% screened positive for anxiety. Patients who screened positive for depression were more likely to be older, have a residual function mutation, public insurance, and more pulmonary exacerbations in the screening year. There were 96 deaths. The unadjusted 5-year Hazard Ratio (HR) for death among those with depression was 2.0; 95% CI (1.3, 3.0)]. When adjusted for predetermined potential confounders the HR for the entire population was 1.4; 95% CI (0.9, 2.2). The adjusted HR was higher in adults [1.6; 95% CI (1.0, 2.4)] and those screening in the severe range [2.0; 95% CI (1.2, 3.4)]. Anxiety was not associated with mortality., Conclusions: A positive depression screen is associated with increased mortality among adults with CF. Research into the etiology of this relationship is needed., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors report no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Rationale: Lung transplant is an effective treatment option providing survival benefit in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF). Several studies have suggested survival benefit in adults compared with pediatric patients with CF undergoing lung transplant. However, it remains unclear whether this age-related disparity persists in adult subjects with CF. Objectives: We investigated the impact of age at transplant on post-transplant outcomes in adult patients with CF. Methods: The United Network of Organ Sharing Registry was queried for all adult patients with CF who underwent lung transplantation between 1992 and 2016. Pertinent baseline characteristics, demographics, clinical parameters, and outcomes were recorded. The patients were divided into two groups based on age at transplant (18-29 yr old and 30 yr or older). The primary endpoint was survival time. Assessment of post-transplant survival was performed using Kaplan-Meier tests and log-rank tests with multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis to adjust for confounding variables. Results: A total of 3,881 patients with CF underwent lung transplantation between 1992 and 2016; mean age was 31.0 (± 9.3) years. The 18-29-year-old at transplant cohort consisted of 2,002 subjects and the 30 years or older cohort had 1,879 subjects. Survival analysis demonstrated significantly higher survival in subjects in the 30 years or older cohort (9.47 yr; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7-10.2) compared with the 18-29-year-old cohort (5.21 yr; 95% CI, 4.6-5.8). After adjusting for confounders, survival remained higher in recipients aged 30 years or older (hazard ratio, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.2-0.9). Mortality due to allograft failure was significantly lower in patients with CF aged 30 years or older (28% vs. 36.5%; odds ratio [OR], 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.8), whereas the incidence of malignancy was higher in the 30 years or older cohort (8% vs. 2.9%; OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.9-4.6). Conclusions: Age at transplant influences lung transplant outcomes in recipients with CF. Subjects with CF aged 30 years or older at transplant have superior survival compared with adult subjects with CF transplanted between the ages 18 and 29 years.

Objective: Early survival after lung transplantation has improved in the last decade. Mechanically ventilated recipients are known to be at greater risk for early post-transplant mortality. We hypothesized that post-transplant survival in mechanically ventilated recipients has improved over time., Methods: Using a national registry, we compared hazard of death at 30 days, 4 and 14 months, 3 and 5 years, and overall for adults on mechanical ventilation who underwent lung or heart-lung transplantation from May 4, 2011, to April 4, 2018 (modern group) with those undergoing transplantation from May 4, 2005, to May 3, 2011 (early group). We quantified the impact of mechanical ventilation on survival using population-attributable fractions. We also compared mechanically ventilated recipients with nonmechanically ventilated recipients., Results: Mechanically ventilated recipients from the modern group had lower hazard of death than recipients in the early group at all time-points, lowest at 30-days post-transplant (hazard ratio, 0.04; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.08). In the modern period, mechanically ventilated recipients had greater hazard of death than nonmechanically ventilated recipients at 30 days' post-transplant (9.53; 4.57-19.86). For mechanically ventilated recipients, the population attributable fraction was lower in the modern group compared to the earlier group (0.6% vs 5.7%)., Conclusions: While mechanically ventilated recipients remain at high risk, survival in this patient population has improved over time. This may reflect improvements in perioperative recipient management., (Copyright © 2020 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: There is no consensus about which outcomes should be evaluated in studies of pulmonary exacerbations in people with cystic fibrosis (CF). Outcomes used for evaluation should be meaningful; that is, they should capture how people feel, function or survive and be acknowledged as important to people with CF, or should be reliable surrogates of those outcomes. We aimed to summarise the outcomes and corresponding endpoints which have been reported in studies of pulmonary exacerbations, and to identify those which are most likely to be meaningful., Methods: A PROSPERO registered systematic review (CRD42020151785) was conducted in Medline, Embase and Cochrane from inception until July 2020. Registered trials were also included., Results: 144 studies met the inclusion criteria. A wide range of outcomes and corresponding endpoints were reported. Death, QoL and many patient-reported outcomes are likely to be meaningful as they directly capture how people feel, function or survive. Forced expiratory volume in 1-second [FEV 1 ] is a validated surrogate of risk of death and reduced QoL. The extent of structural lung disease has also been correlated with lung function, pulmonary exacerbations and risk of death. Since no evidence of a correlation between airway microbiology or biomarkers with clinically meaningful outcomes was found, the value of these as surrogates was unclear., Conclusions: Death, QoL, patient-reported outcomes, FEV 1 , and structural lung changes were identified as outcomes that are most likely to be meaningful. Development of a core outcome set in collaboration with stakeholders including people with CF is recommended., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest Nil conflicts to declare., (Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Background: Male sex is associated with better lung function and survival in people with cystic fibrosis but it is unclear whether the survival benefit is solely due to the sex-effect on lung function., Methods: This study analyzes data between 1996 and 2015 from the longitudinal registry study of the UK Cystic Fibrosis Registry. We jointly analyze repeated measurements and time-to-event outcomes to assess how much of the sex effect on lung function also explains survival. These novel methods allow examination of association between percent of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (%FEV1) and covariates such as sex and genotype, and survival, in the same modeling framework. We estimate the probability of surviving one more year with a probit model., Results: The dataset includes 81,129 lung function measurements of %FEV1 on 9,741 patients seen between 1996 and 2015 and captures 1,543 deaths. Males compared with females experienced a more gradual decline in %FEV1 (difference 0.11 per year 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.08, 0.14). After adjusting for confounders, both overall level of %FEV1 and %FEV1 rate of change are associated with the concurrent hazard for death. There was evidence of a male survival advantage (probit coefficient 0.15; 95% CI = 0.10, 0.19) which changed little after adjustment for %FEV1 using conventional approaches but was attenuated by 37% on adjustment for %FEV1 level and slope in the joint model (0.09; 95% CI = 0.06, 0.12)., Conclusions: We estimate that about 37% of the association of sex on survival in cystic fibrosis is mediated through lung function.

As improvements in nutritional and pulmonary care increase the life expectancy of cystic fibrosis (CF) patients, CF-associated liver disease (CFLD) is emerging as a cause of mortality. CFLD is the third leading cause of death in CF patients. We performed a search on PubMed and Google Scholar for published articles on CFLD. We reviewed the articles found in the literature search and gave priority to recent publications and studies with larger sample sizes. The prevalence of CFLD in the CF population is around 23% with a range of 2-62% and that prevalence increases linearly with age from 3.7% at age 5 to 32.2% at age 30. CFLD can present clinically in various ways such as hepatomegaly, variceal hemorrhage, persistent elevation of liver enzymes, and micro-gallbladder. Due to the focal nature of fibrosis in majority cases of CFLD, liver biopsies are sparsely performed for diagnosis or the marker of liver fibrosis. Although the mechanism of CFLD development is still unknown, many potential factors are reported. Some mutations of CFTR such as having a homozygous F508del mutation has been reported to increase the risk of developing CFLD and its severity. Having the SERPINA1 Z allele, a history of pancreatic insufficiency, a history meconium ileus, CF-related diabetes, or being male increases the risk of developing CFLD. Environmental factors do not appear to have significant effect on modulating CFLD development. Ursodeoxycholic acid is commonly used to treat or prevent CFLD, but the efficacy of this treatment is questionable.

Introduction: Long-term outcomes of airway complications (AC) after lung transplantation are unknown. The incidence of AC varies from 1.6% to 32% with the related mortality rate of 2% to 4%. The management of most AC is based on endobronchial methods, including balloon bronchoplasty, endobronchial stent placement, and ablative techniques. The aim of the study was to assess the connection between airway complications treated by bronchial intervention (BI) and the survival of lung transplant recipients., Materials and Methods: The single-center retrospective study reviewed the cases of 165 patients (63 women [38.18%], 103 men [61, 82%]; median age at referral for lung transplantations (LTx), 41 years [range, 15-68 years]). The cohort was stratified into 2 groups comprising those whose procedures were complicated by ACs and those without. The primary outcome measured was mortality, with survival endpoints calculated at 6 months., Results: The comparison of the survival of recipients regarding underlying disease (cystic fibrosis [CF], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension [IPAH], and others) with the use of the Kaplan-Meier estimator indicated that the only statistically significant (P = .0194) differences between patients who underwent BI and patients without BI performed were observed in CF patients (Fig 1). In any other diagnosis, the results were not statistically significant (P > .05)., Conclusions: Bronchoscopic intervention because of airway complications after lung transplantation are often-used procedures, but they have no impact on the survival of patients with cystic fibrosis., (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Advanced lung disease in adult cystic fibrosis (CF) drives most clinical care requirements. The aim was to evaluate outcome (time to death while in the study) in a cohort of adult CF patients with severe lung disease, and to determine the association among baseline patient characteristics and outcome., Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed and clinical records between 2000 and 2015 were reviewed. Severe lung disease was defined as forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV 1 ) < 30% of predicted. Outcomes of all patients, including their date of death or transplantation, were determined till January 1st, 2016. Clinical data were recorded at the entry date., Results: Among 39 subjects included in the study, 20 (51.3%) died, 16 (41.0%) underwent bilateral lung transplantation, and 3 were alive at the end of the study period. Two variables were independently associated with death: body mass index (BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m 2 ) (HR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.64-0.96 and p = 0.017) and use of tobramycin inhalation therapy (HR = 3.82, 95% CI = 1.38-10.6 and p = 0.010). Median survival was 37 (95% CI = 16.4-57.6) months. The best cut-off point for BMI was 18.5 kg/m 2 . Median survival in patients with BMI < 18.5 kg/m 2 was 36 months (95% CI = 18.7-53.3)., Conclusion: Median survival of CF subjects with FEV 1  < 30% was 37 months. BMI and tobramycin inhalation therapy were independently associated with death. Median survival in patients with BMI < 18.5 kg/m 2 was significantly lower than in patients with BMI ≥ 18.5 kg/m 2 . The association of tobramycin inhalation with death was interpreted as confounding by severity (use was reserved for advanced lung disease).

Background: In cystic fibrosis (CF) airways excessive levels of serine trypsin-like proteases (TLPs) activate the epithelial sodium channel (ENaC) resulting in airways dehydration and promotion of mucus secretion. Despite this the relationship of TLP activity and clinical outcome has not been studied., Methods: We analysed supernatant (sol) prepared from CF sputum from adult CF patients in two study cohorts (29 and 33 samples, respectively). Protease activities were determined by measuring the hydrolysis of peptide-based substrates or by ELISA. Lung function was assessed by spirometry (FEV 1 ). Mortality data was retrospectively obtained and time in months until death or transplantation used for subsequent survival analysis., Results: TLP activity inversely correlated with percent predicted FEV 1 (r = -0.4, p = 0.03) and was greater in individuals who did not survive beyond 5-years from the time of sample collection. A Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significantly reduced survival (p = 0.04) for individuals with high TLP activity [hazard ratio (HR) of 7.21 per log unit TLP activity (p = 0.03)]. In contrast, neutrophil elastase displayed no significant associations with lung function or patient survival. Similar findings were evident in the second study cohort., Conclusions: Sputum TLP activity may represent a novel non-invasive biomarker and/or therapeutic target for CF lung disease., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest Prof. Martin is a co-founder of ProAxsis Ltd and has received research grants from ProAxsis Ltd. and Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Therapeutics Inc. Prof. Elborn has served as a medical advisor for ProAxsis Ltd, provided consultancy for Bayer and Vertex, and received a grant from Novartis. Dr Rehill, Dr Jones and Dr Moffitt declare no potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Background/aim: The patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) are living longer compared to the past, but respiratory failure is still the most common cause of mortality. The aim of this study is to investigate factors associated with severe lung disease in a cohort of adult patients with CF., Materials and Methods: Demographic data, clinical and laboratory findings of the patients aged 18 years and more were collected and the patients were grouped according to forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) as severe group: <40% and nonsevere ≥40%. Associations were investigated between groups and clinical outcomes., Results: A total of 76 patients were enrolled in the study. The mean age was 24.5 ± 5.25 years and 36 (47.4%) patients were female. In the severe group; the mean age was higher (27.1 ± 6.0 vs 23.6 ± 4.7, P = 0.013), the median Chrispin-Norman score of severe lung disease group was higher (14 (6–22) vs 5.5 (0–20), P < 0.001), hospitalization at least once in a year for intravenous antibiotic was more common (12/18 (66%) vs 19/58 (32%), P = 0.014). There was a positive correlation between body mass index (BMI) and lung function, indicating that lower nutritional status was related to lower FEV1, r2 = 0.21, P < 0.001. The median FEV1% was lower in patients with CF-related diabetes (38 (14–95) vs 66 (13–121), P = 0.042). Dornase alpha use and physiotherapy rate were higher in severe lung disease group (P = 0.008 and P < 0.001, respectively)., Conclusion: Lower BMI, older age, presence of CF-related diabetes, higher radiologic scores, use of dornase alpha and physiotherapy and higher hospitalization rate for intravenous antibiotic therapy are significantly associated with severe lung disease., (This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.)

Background: The contribution of lung transplantation to the treatment of patients with end-stage cystic fibrosis (CF) has been debated. We aimed to describe achievable outcomes from high-volume CF and lung transplant programs. This study reports on the largest single-center experience of lung transplantation for adult and pediatric patients with CF. It also highlights the evolution of practice and outcomes over time., Methods: A retrospective analysis of the prospectively collected Toronto Lung Transplant database was carried out. Post-transplant survival in CF was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and analyzed with log-rank tests., Results: From 1983 to 2016, a total of 1,885 transplants were performed at our institution, where 364 (19.3%) were CF recipients and another 39 (2.1%) were CF retransplants. The mean age at first transplant was 29.5 ± 9.7 years where 56.6% were males and 91.5% were adults. Pre-transplantation, 88 patients (24.2%) were Burkholderia cepacia complex (BCC)-positive, 143 (39.3%) had diabetes mellitus, and the mean forced expiratory volume in one second was 26.0 ± 7.2%, as predicted at listing. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year probabilities of survival in adults who were BCC-negative were 94%, 70%, and 53%, respectively. Pediatric, BCC-positive, and retransplant recipients had worse survival than adult patients who were BCC-negative. Strategies to improve the donor pool did not affect survival but possibly reduced waitlist mortality. For the entire cohort, the most common causes of death after lung transplant were infection and chronic lung allograft dysfunction., Conclusions: Lung transplantation for CF provides excellent short- and long-term outcomes. These results strongly support lung transplantation as the standard of care for patients with CF having advanced lung disease., (Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Objectives: Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) is an important predictor of outcome in cystic fibrosis (CF). This study aimed to describe the change in lung function, nutritional status, and mortality of children with CF at a single center in Cape Town, South Africa, and identify factors associated with poor lung function and mortality., Methods: A retrospective study was conducted of children aged between 5 and 18 years between January 2007 and December 2016. At least two separate best annual FEV1 measurements were required for inclusion in the study., Results: A total of 143 children were followed up from which 107 study participants (median diagnosis age 5.5 months) were included. There was no statistically significant improvement from 2007 to 2016 in population mean FEV1 (2.5 ± 1.70 to -1.9 ± 1.70 [P = .1]) and body mass index (-0.7 ± 1.2 to -0.4 ± 1.2 [P = .3]) Z scores. FEV1 Z score declined by 0.17 per year. No significant correlation between FEV1 and age of diagnosis, sex, ethnicity, genotype, geographical location, pancreatic status, or infections was identified. On multiple stepwise regression analysis, FEV1 at age 6 was found to be the only independent predictor of mortality (adjusted odds ratio [95% CI] 0.5 [0.3-0.8]; P = .005)., Conclusion: FEV1 at age 6 was an independent predictor for CF-related mortality. Measurement of lung function in preschool children in SA with CF using more sensitive methods than spirometry is important to identify children at risk of poor outcomes., (© 2020 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Accounting for time-varying confounding when assessing the causal effects of time-varying exposures on survival time is challenging. Standard survival methods that incorporate time-varying confounders as covariates generally yield biased effect estimates. Estimators using weighting by inverse probability of exposure can be unstable when confounders are highly predictive of exposure or the exposure is continuous. Structural nested accelerated failure time models (AFTMs) require artificial recensoring, which can cause estimation difficulties. Here, we introduce the structural nested cumulative survival time model (SNCSTM). This model assumes that intervening to set exposure at time t to zero has an additive effect on the subsequent conditional hazard given exposure and confounder histories when all subsequent exposures have already been set to zero. We show how to fit it using standard software for generalized linear models and describe two more efficient, double robust, closed-form estimators. All three estimators avoid the artificial recensoring of AFTMs and the instability of estimators that use weighting by the inverse probability of exposure. We examine the performance of our estimators using a simulation study and illustrate their use on data from the UK Cystic Fibrosis Registry. The SNCSTM is compared with a recently proposed structural nested cumulative failure time model, and several advantages of the former are identified., (© 2019 The Authors. Biometrics published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of International Biometric Society.)

We evaluated a multivariable logistic regression model predicting 5-year survival derived from a 1993-1997 cohort from the United States Cystic Fibrosis (CF) Foundation Patient Registry to assess whether therapies introduced since 1993 have altered applicability in cohorts, non-overlapping in time, from 1993-1998, 1999-2004, 2005-2010 and 2011-2016. We applied Kaplan-Meier statistics to assess unadjusted survival. We tested logistic regression model discrimination using the C-index and calibration using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests to examine original model performance and guide updating as needed. Kaplan-Meier age-adjusted 5-year probability of death in the CF population decreased substantially during 1993-2016. Patients in successive cohorts were generally healthier at entry, with higher average age, weight and lung function and fewer pulmonary exacerbations annually. CF-related diabetes prevalence, however, steadily increased. Newly derived multivariable logistic regression models for 5-year survival in new cohorts had similar estimated coefficients to the originals. The original model exhibited excellent calibration and discrimination when applied to later cohorts despite improved survival and remains useful for predicting 5-year survival. All models may be used to stratify patients for new studies, and the original coefficients may be useful as a baseline to search for additional but rare events that affect survival in CF.

Background: Cystic fibrosis related diabetes (CFRD) has been associated with pulmonary function decline, nutritional status decline and increased mortality. In 2010, the CFRD Clinical Care Guideline were updated, recommending all patients with CF begin CFRD screening at 10 years old. This study uses CF Foundation Patient Registry to examine the impact of screening practices at centers across the United States from 2008 to 2015. We examined the association of screening practices and CFRD diagnosis at individual centers and trends in ppFEV1 and BMI percentile prior to and after diagnosis., Methods: The cohort was defined as patients with CF and without CFRD who turned 10 years old from 2009 to 2015. Centers were classified based on their CFRD screening rates. Kaplan-Meier curves summarized the distribution of age at CFRD diagnosis. Among patients diagnosed with CFRD, we examined differences in ppFEV1 and BMI percentile two years prior to diagnosis and two years post-diagnosis by clinic screening rate., Results: Of 3553 patients, 445 (13%) were diagnosed with CFRD. The average age of diagnosis was 13 years old. The screening rate of the patients' clinic was significantly associated with time to diagnosis (pvalue=0.0001). Among patients diagnosed with CFRD, clinics with lower screening rates of CFRD had steeper rates of pulmonary decline two years prior to diagnosis., Conclusion: Centers that screen for CFRD more tend to diagnose a larger percent of patients with CFRD and at a younger age. Additionally, patients at centers with lower screening rates have faster rates of pulmonary decline prior to CFRD diagnosis., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest All authors involved in the collection of data, its analysis and interpretation and in the reporting of results have declared no conflict of interest in relation to this manuscript., (Copyright © 2019 European Cystic Fibrosis Society. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a common life-limiting genetic condition. As the disease progresses access to specialist tertiary multi-disciplinary care services may become necessary. For patients living in regional/remote Australia, accessing such services may be a challenge. Here, we describe long-term outcomes for CF patients according to their access to specialist CF centre care in childhood., (© 2020 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Purpose: To review safety and efficacy of bronchial artery embolization (BAE) for treatment of hemoptysis in adult patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) and to report 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year outcomes., Materials and Methods: Between January 2001 and April 2018, 242 patients with CF were evaluated for hemoptysis. Thirty-eight BAEs were performed in 28 patients with hemoptysis. Technical success was defined as freedom from repeat embolization and hemoptysis-related mortality. Clinical success was defined as freedom from repeat embolization and mortality from any cause. Technical and clinical success were examined at 30 days, 1 year, and 3 years after initial BAE. Mean patient age was 32 years, and median follow-up was 4.8 years (range, 10 mo to 16.7 y)., Results: Technical and clinical success rates at 30 days were 89% (25/28) and 82% (23/28), respectively. Success rates at 1 year were 86% (24/28) and 79% (22/28), respectively, and at 3 years were 82% (23/28) and 75% (21/28), respectively. The 30-day overall complication rate was 7.9% (3/38) with 2.6% (1/38) major complication rate and 5.2% (2/38) minor complication rate. Overall 3-year mortality rate was 25% (7/28)., Conclusions: BAE is safe and effective in patients with CF presenting with life-threatening hemoptysis. BAE results in high rates of long-term technical and clinical success in this patient population despite progressive chronic disease. Repeat embolization is necessary only in a minority of patients., (Copyright © 2019 SIR. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Currently available risk prediction methods are limited in their ability to deal with complex, heterogeneous, and longitudinal data such as that available in primary care records, or in their ability to deal with multiple competing risks. This paper develops a novel deep learning approach that is able to successfully address current limitations of standard statistical approaches such as landmarking and joint modeling. Our approach, which we call Dynamic-DeepHit, flexibly incorporates the available longitudinal data comprising various repeated measurements (rather than only the last available measurements) in order to issue dynamically updated survival predictions for one or multiple competing risk(s). Dynamic-DeepHit learns the time-to-event distributions without the need to make any assumptions about the underlying stochastic models for the longitudinal and the time-to-event processes. Thus, unlike existing works in statistics, our method is able to learn data-driven associations between the longitudinal data and the various associated risks without underlying model specifications. We demonstrate the power of our approach by applying it to a real-world longitudinal dataset from the U.K. Cystic Fibrosis Registry, which includes a heterogeneous cohort of 5883 adult patients with annual follow-ups between 2009 to 2015. The results show that Dynamic-DeepHit provides a drastic improvement in discriminating individual risks of different forms of failures due to cystic fibrosis. Furthermore, our analysis utilizes post-processing statistics that provide clinical insight by measuring the influence of each covariate on risk predictions and the temporal importance of longitudinal measurements, thereby enabling us to identify covariates that are influential for different competing risks.

Although survival of individuals with cystic fibrosis (CF) has been continuously improving for the past 40 years, respiratory failure secondary to recurrent pulmonary infections remains the leading cause of mortality in this patient population. Certain pathogens such as Pseudomonas aeruginosa , methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus , and species of the Burkholderia cepacia complex continue to be associated with poorer clinical outcomes including accelerated lung function decline and increased mortality. In addition, other organisms such as anaerobes, viruses, and fungi are increasingly recognized as potential contributors to disease progression. Culture-independent molecular methods are also being used for diagnostic purposes and to examine the interaction of microorganisms in the CF airway. Given the importance of CF airway infections, ongoing initiatives to promote understanding of the epidemiology, clinical course, and treatment options for these infections are needed., Competing Interests: None declared., (Thieme Medical Publishers 333 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY 10001, USA.)

Cystic fibrosis (CF) remains the most common indication for lung transplantation in children and the third most common in adults and has the highest median survival posttransplant for all pretransplant diagnoses. Criteria for transplant in patients with CF vary widely among transplant centers and early referral to multiple centers may be needed to maximize opportunities for lung transplantation. Comorbidities unique to CF such as resistant and atypical pathogens like Burkholderia and Mycobacterium abscessus , and cirrhosis require special consideration for lung transplantation but should not be considered as absolute contraindications. For those patients who are listed for lung transplantation, mechanical support with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation and mechanical ventilation can be efficacious as bridges to lung transplantation in experienced centers with adequate resources. Liver and pancreas transplantations are also acceptable options for end-organ disease related to CF and can provide improvements in both quantity and quality of life., Competing Interests: None declared., (Thieme Medical Publishers 333 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY 10001, USA.)

Understanding variability in cystic fibrosis (CF) health outcomes requires an understanding of factors that go far beyond Cystic Fibrosis Transmembrane Receptor (CFTR) function caused by different gene mutations. Social and environmental factors that influence health have a significant influence on the trajectory of health in CF and in other chronic diseases. In this article, we review demographic factors associated with poorer health outcomes in CF, known and postulated biological mechanisms of these outcomes, and interventions that healthcare teams can implement that may reduce outcome disparities., (© 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Background: Since lung transplantation became a viable option for cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease, adult transplant recipients with CF have superior survival than all the other major diagnostic indications. However, among adults, recipients with CF have a younger age at transplant than other transplant recipients. Over time, the frequency and proportion of lung transplants for CF has increased for adults compared with children. Using a large international transplant registry, we investigated time trends in numbers of transplants, age at transplant, and post-transplant survival and cause of death for recipients with CF., Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of primary lung-alone deceased-donor transplants with a primary diagnostic indication of CF reported to the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation Thoracic Transplant Registry from January 2005 through December 2014. We assessed outcomes through December 31, 2015. The study defined the pediatric group as age <18 years at transplant and the adult as ≥18 years at transplant. We assessed time trends (Era I 2005-2009, Era II 2010-2014) in age and compared post-transplant outcomes of age sub-groups with Kruskal-Wallis or chi-square tests. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis estimated the incidence of survival, censoring for loss to follow-up, end of study, and retransplant. In addition, we compared outcomes in age groups and transplant eras with the log-rank test., Results: Of the 5,613 transplanted recipients with CF, the pediatric group comprised 10.9% and the adult group comprised 89.1%. Of the adults, 73.3% were aged 18 to 39 years and 15.9% were ≥40 years old. During Era I, 2,508 of transplant recipients had CF, whereas 3,105 recipients had CF in Era II (p < 0.001). Comparing Era I with Era II, recipient mean age increased from 28.4 years to 29.5 years (p < 0.001) and the proportion of pediatric CF recipients dropped from 12.4% to 9.6% (p < 0.001), whereas the proportion with age ≥40 years increased from 14.2% to 17.2% (p < 0.001). Mean donor age was significantly lower in children than in recipients aged 18 to 39 years and ≥40 years (17.0 vs 37.0 vs 41.0 years, p < 0.001). Pediatric CF transplant recipients had lower survival in the first 3 years post-transplant than adults (p < 0.0001). Chronic graft failure caused most pediatric deaths, whereas infection was the leading cause of death in adult recipients., Conclusion: As survival of patients with CF has improved in recent decades, the mean age of lung transplant recipients with CF has increased. Currently, an increasing number of adults undergoes lung transplant for this indication. Adult CF transplant recipients continue to have better survival than pediatric recipients, and among adults, older adults have had better survival than younger adults., (Copyright © 2019 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: We aimed to develop a clinical tool for predicting 1- and 2-year risk of death for patients with cystic fibrosis (CF). The model considers patients' overall health status as well as risk of intermittent shock events in calculating the risk of death., Methods: Canadian CF Registry data from 1982 to 2015 were used to develop a predictive risk model using threshold regression. A 2-year risk of death estimated conditional probability of surviving the second year given survival for the first year. UK CF Registry data from 2007 to 2013 were used to externally validate the model., Results: The combined effect of CF chronic health status and CF intermittent shock risk provided a simple clinical scoring tool for assessing 1-year and 2-year risk of death for an individual CF patient. At a threshold risk of death of ≥20%, the 1-year model had a sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 96%. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for the 2-year mortality model was significantly greater than the AUC for a model that predicted survival based on forced expiratory volume in 1 s <30% predicted (AUC 0.95 versus 0.68 respectively, p<0.001). The Canadian-derived model validated well with the UK data and correctly identified 79% of deaths and 95% of survivors in a single year in the UK., Conclusions: The prediction models provide an accurate risk of death over a 1- and 2-year time horizon. The models performed equally well when validated in an independent UK CF population., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: S. Stanojevic has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: J. Sykes has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: A.L. Stephenson has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: S.D. Aaron has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: G.A. Whitmore has nothing to disclose., (Copyright ©ERS 2019.)

Advances in fertility treatment mean that men with CF are increasingly able to become fathers. Here we report clinical outcomes in 22 men with CF who have become fathers for the first time. Overall mean (SD) FEV 1% predicted declined from 60.1(18.0)% to 57.4(20.2)% from baseline to 1 year (p = 0.15). Weight declined from mean (SD) 70.6 kg (10.4) to 68.3 kg (10.2), p = 0.0001. Six men had an FEV 1 % predicted ≤40% at the time of birth: 50% died or received lung transplantation within the 12-15 month follow up period. Becoming a parent is a major life event, and as with new mothers, fathers with CF may be at risk of significant decline., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

Background: The cystic fibrosis (CF) pathogen, Mycobacterium abscessus complex, covers three subspecies: M. abscessus, M. massiliense, and M. bolletii. There are no clinical outcome data concerning M. bolletii. Our aim was to characterize M. bolletii lung infections in patients with CF., Methods: We included patients with M. bolletii lung infection recorded between 1994 and 2012 in France. Data were collected from the CF registry, medical records, and questionnaires submitted to the CF primary physician. Strains were typed by multilocus sequence typing analysis., Results: Fifteen cases were identified in nine CF centers. Nine patients (60%) presented with nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease. Follow-up of 13 patients showed a trend to more rapid decline in FEV 1 in the first year of colonization (-9.4%; SD 19.3) in comparison with noninfected control subjects (-2.3%; SD 12.1) (P = .16). Twelve patients were treated, and 11 received oral macrolides. Treatment-induced eradication occurred in five patients (41.7%). Four patients died (26.7%), including one patient with fatal nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease. Inducible macrolide resistance was demonstrated in all strains. Patients always harbored unique strains., Conclusions: Our study reports the largest study cohort of CF patients infected with M. bolletii. M. bolletii infection affects both children and young adults, is most often symptomatic, and may be fatal. Macrolide-based therapies have poor effectiveness. There is no evidence of patient-to-patient transmission., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Rationale: Survival in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) is improving over time. Traditionally, there has been concern about high mortality in individuals with CF requiring invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for respiratory failure. Objectives: We hypothesized that mortality has decreased over time in this population because of improvements in disease-specific therapies. Methods: The U.S. Nationwide Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project database was used to identify adult patients with CF undergoing IMV between 2002 and 2014. Patients with nonurgent/nonemergent admissions, pregnancy, and encounters related to lung transplantation were excluded. Demographic, geographic, and comorbidities were analyzed. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to examine trends in mortality over time. Multivariate mixed effects logistic regression was used to account for possible differences in hospital mortality patterns. Results: We identified 58,799 CF admissions from 2002 to 2014, with 3,727 (6.3%) undergoing IMV. After exclusions, 1,711 admissions remained. In 762 (44.5%) of adult hospitalizations, the patient died. Annual mortality per hospitalization ranged from 29.9 to 55.3%. The Cochran-Armitage trend test suggested an increased probability of survival over time. Factors significantly associated with mortality in multivariate analysis included female sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-2.09), acute renal failure (OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.32-3.01), and malnutrition (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.01-2.06). IMV greater than 96 hours was associated with increased mortality in univariate analysis (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.14-1.98); however, after adjustment for potential confounders, the association was no longer statistically significant (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.77-1.43). Conclusions: Mortality per hospitalization in adults with CF who are not bridging to lung transplant and require emergent IMV is 44.5%, suggesting IMV is not futile. Furthermore, mortality decreased over the study period. These finding may help providers, families, and patients with CF weigh the risks and benefits of IMV for respiratory failure.

Cystic fibrosis (CF) is an autosomal recessive disease characterized by mutations in the gene that encodes for the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator protein (CFTR). CFTR gene mutations manifest as epithelial cell dysfunction in the airways, biliary tract, pancreas, gut, sweat glands, paranasal sinuses, and genitourinary tract. The clinical manifestations of this dysfunction include respiratory tract infections, bronchiectasis, pancreatic insufficiency, malabsorption, intestinal obstruction, liver disease, and male infertility. The liver disease manifestations of CF can include biliary disease, multilobular cirrhosis, and portal hypertension with and without cirrhosis. Pulmonary disease is the main cause for morbidity and mortality in individuals with CF, and according to the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation, CF is the third most common indication for lung transplantation in adults, accounting for 16% of procedures performed. The survival after lung transplantation in individuals with CF continues to improve and is now the highest among end-stage lung diseases requiring transplant. The survival rate at 10 years is close to 50%. Given the potential presence of liver disease in CF patients undergoing an evaluation for lung transplantation and in lung transplant recipients, it is important to understand the manifestations of liver disease in CF patients and the recommended workup and follow-up. This review aims to discuss the current literature and provide guidance in the management of these patients., (Copyright © 2019 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Lung Transplant recipients are at increased risk of complicated diverticular disease. We aim to assess the rate of diverticular surgery in a postlung transplantation population and identify risk factors for surgery. We performed a retrospective cohort study of lung transplant recipients from 2007 to 2011. Demographic variables were evaluated with the Mann-Whitney U and chi-squared tests. Cox regression was performed to evaluate 1- and 2-year landmark survival, assess predictor variables of diverticular surgery and evaluate impact of surgery on CLAD development. Of 17 of 158 patients (10.7%) underwent diverticular-related surgery. Surgical patients had significantly worse survival than nonsurgical patients at 1 year [aHR 2.93 (1.05-8.21), P = 0.041] and 2 year [aHR 4.17 (1.26-13.84), P = 0.020] landmark analyses. Transplant indication of alpha-1 antitrypsin disease and cystic fibrosis were significantly associated with the need for diverticular surgery. Emergent surgery was associated with poorer survival [aHR 5.12(1.00-26.27), P = 0.050]. Lung transplant patients requiring surgery for complicated diverticular disease have significantly poorer survival than those who do not require surgery. Surgery was more common in patients transplanted for A1AT and CF. Optimal assessment and risk stratification of diverticular disease is necessary to prevent excessive morbidity and mortality following transplantation., (© 2019 Steunstichting ESOT.)

Background: This study aimed to examine the association between colonizing respiratory tract organism and frequency, duration, and time between subsequent hospitalizations among hospitalized patients with cystic fibrosis (CF)., Methods: This retrospective cohort study of 312 CF patients from 2 New York City hospitals (2006-2016) examined the effects of colonization with Pseudomonas aeruginosa, methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) or methicillin-resistant S aureus (MRSA), co-colonization on incidence of hospitalization, time to next hospitalization, and total length of stay (LOS)., Results: Annual rate of subsequent hospitalizations was highest in patients with P aeruginosa: adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) were 2.75 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72-4.41) for P aeruginosa versus MSSA, 2.57 (95% CI, 1.52-4.31) for co-colonization versus MSSA, and 1.77 (95% CI, 1.04-3.01) for P aeruginosa versus MRSA. Time to readmission was shortest for P aeruginosa: aIRRs were 1.75 (95% CI, 1.05-2.94) for MRSA versus P aeruginosa, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.03-2.59) for MSSA versus P aeruginosa, and 1.61 (95% CI, 1.04-2.47) for co-colonization versus P aeruginosa. LOS was longest for P aeruginosa: aIRRs were 3.41 (95% CI, 2.19-5.32) for P aeruginosa versus MSSA, 1.66 (95% CI, 1.01-2.75) for co-colonization versus MSSA, 2.50 (95% CI, 1.58-3.93) for P aeruginosa versus MRSA, and 2.05 (95% CI, 1.32-3.18) for P aeruginosa versus co-colonization., Conclusions: CF patients with P aeruginosa alone experienced more hospitalizations, longer LOS, and shorter time to readmission versus patients with S aureus or both organisms., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Objectives: Lung transplantation is a well-established treatment for selected patients with advanced cystic fibrosis (CF)- and non-cystic fibrosis (non-CF)--related bronchiectasis. Because the number of lung transplants performed for patients with non-CF bronchiectasis is much smaller than for patients with CF, little data is available regarding patient selection, choice of procedure, and outcomes., Methods: Between November 1997 and December 2013, 42 patients with CF and 33 patients with non-CF bronchiectasis underwent lung transplantation at the Rabin Medical Center, Israel. We analyzed and compared pretransplant evaluation data and short- and long-term results in both groups., Results: Median survival for the CF group in our study was 8.4 years, compared with 7.1 years for the non-CF group (P = .098), similarly to that reported by the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation Registry data. The main survival difference between groups was in the early postoperative period. Both groups achieved similar peak forced expiratory volume in 1 second values and had stable lung function at the 3-year follow-up. Biopsy-proven rates of acute cellular rejection were low for both groups. Rates of chronic lung allograft dysfunction development did not differ between CF and non-CF recipients., Conclusion: Our institutional experience confirms that lung transplantation is feasible for non-CF bronchiectasis, and results are comparable to our CF cohort. The increased early mortality in this study occurred from 1999 to 2008 and was probably related to surgical techniques used at the time. Overall, 3-year and 5-year survival were comparable with the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation Registry data. Non-CF bronchiectasis patients achieved and maintained satisfactory lung function., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Many longitudinal studies observe time to occurrence of a clinical event such as death, while also collecting serial measurements of one or more biomarkers that are predictive of the event, or are surrogate outcomes of interest. Joint modeling can be used to examine the relationship between the biomarker and the event, and also as a way of adjusting analyses of the biomarker for non-ignorable dropout. In settings such as registry studies, an additional complexity is caused when follow-up of subjects is delayed, referred to as left-truncation of follow-up in the survival analysis setting. If not adjusted for, this can cause bias in estimation of parameters of the survival distribution for the clinical event and in parameters of the longitudinal outcome such as the profile or rate of change over time because subjects may die or have the clinical event before follow-up starts. This paper illustrates how a broad class of shared parameter models can be used to jointly model a time to event outcome along with a longitudinal marker using available nonlinear mixed modeling software, when follow-up times are left truncated. Methods are applied to jointly model survival and decline in lung function in cystic fibrosis patients.

Studies of large CF populations using registry data are important to identify people at high risk for death. Nkam et al. published a prognostic score developed on French CF registry data to predict death or lung transplantation (LT) over a 3-year period in the adult CF population. The goal of our study was to validate the proposed tool using the Canadian CF registry. Using data between 2011 and 2014, a total of 2043 adult CF patients were included. We found that the French prognostic score was a good predictor of death or LT in the Canadian CF population (OR for each unit increase: 3.12, 95% CI: 2.74-3.55; p value < 0.001). The proposed prognostic score accurately categorizes patients when applied to an external dataset. This score provides an important tool for early identification of patients at high risk for death or LT, in whom specific therapeutic intervention can be proposed., (Copyright © 2018 European Cystic Fibrosis Society. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a severe, monogenic, autosomal recessive disease caused by mutations in the CFTR (cystic fibrosis transmembrane regulator) gene, where disturbed chloride and bicarbonate transportation in epithelial cells results in a multiorgan disease with primarily pulmonary infections and pancreatic insufficiency. In 1968, the Copenhagen CF Center was established, and centralized care of CF patients with monthly control was introduced. Close monitoring and treatment of Pseudomonas lung infection as well as segregation of patients with different infection status improved the clinical outcome as well as survival. Prophylactic basic treatment as well as infection treatments follow specific algorithms. A variety of comorbidities have all along the pulmonary infection control necessitated personalized care, adjusted to the patients' phenotype. With the introduction of CFTR modulators, the treatment has shifted from prophylactic, symptomatic type toward a new era of precision medicine targeting the basic defect according to the patients' CFTR genotype. Future directions will focus on further improvement of the CFTR modulators and gene therapy, as well as modifier genes and CF phenotype., (© 2019 APMIS. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: The presence of pan-resistant organisms in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) potentially impacts mortality after lung transplant (LT). In this study we aimed to study LT mortality in CF patients with and without pan-resistant infection., Methods: The International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) Thoracic Transplant Registry was used to identify adults with CF, first-time, bilateral LT from 1991 to 2015. Extracted data included demographics, clinical characteristics, post-transplant outcomes, and mortality (infection-related, overall). Multivariate binary logistic regression models were created with 90-day and 1-year mortality as primary outcomes., Results: Among 3,256 LT recipients with CF, 697 were labeled as having pan-resistant infection, the others were included as controls (n = 2,649). Pre-transplant, those labeled as pan-resistant were more likely to require ventilator support, have an infection requiring intravenous antibiotics, and have had ≥2 pneumonia episodes within 1 year. Ninety-day and 1-year mortality was similar between groups, but infection-related mortality at 90days (3.3% vs 1.88%, p = 0.01) and 1 year (6.6% vs 4.6%, p < 0.001) was higher in those labeled as pan-resistant. In multivariate analysis, presence of organisms labeled as pan-resistant was not associated with 90-day (odds ratio [OR] 1.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93 to 2.42, p = 0.09) or 1-year mortality (OR 1.32, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.83, p = 0.097)., Conclusions: CF patients with pre-transplant infection from organisms labeled as pan-resistant had similar 90-day and 1-year mortality as those without. Despite increased infection-related mortality in these patients, it was not predictive of mortality in multivariate analysis. The higher occurrence of post-transplant infections in these patients warrants diligent follow-up. A multicenter cohort study will be required to validate the findings of our study., (Copyright © 2019 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Up to 10% of patients with Cystic Fibrosis develop cirrhotic CF-related liver disease with portal hypertension: CF cirrhosis (CFC). In a nationwide study, we aimed to determine the role of CFC on survival in the Netherlands between 1 and 1-2009 and1-1-2015., Methods: We identified all CFC patients in the Netherlands, based on ultrasonographic liver nodularity and portal hypertension. A non-cirrhotic control group was obtained from the national Dutch CF patient registry. We compared groups with regards to baseline lung function and nutritional status and survival and age at death over a 6-year period. In case of death of CFC patients, the clinical reported cause was recorded., Results: At baseline, we found no significant difference in lung function and nutritional status between the CFC patients (N = 95) and controls (N = 980). Both the 6-year survival rate (77 vs. 93%; P < .01) and the median age at death (27 vs. 37 years; P = .02) was significantly lower in CFC compared to controls. In the deceased CFC patients, the reported primary cause of death was pulmonary in 68% of cases, and liver failure related in 18% of cases., Conclusions: In the Netherlands, the presence of CFC is associated with a higher risk for early mortality and an approximately 10-year lower median age at death. This substantial poorer outcome of CFC patients was not reflected in a lower baseline lung function or a diminished nutritional status. However, in the case of mortality, the reported primary cause of death in CFC patients is predominantly pulmonary failure and not end-stage liver disease., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier B.V.)