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OBJECTIVE: The association between vertebral fracture severity and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) was investigated in a subset of patients in the Fracture Prevention Trial. We sought to determine whether vertebral fracture severity was associated with HRQOL scores, and if so, to determine the effects of teriparatide (recombinant human parathyroid hormone 1-34) on vertebral fracture grades that most strongly impact HRQOL in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. METHODS: Vertebral fracture severity was assessed by the visual semiquantitative (SQ) method. A subset of 444 patients with a baseline radiograph completed the Osteoporosis Assessment Questionnaire. Baseline HRQOL scores were modeled as a function of maximum baseline vertebral fracture grade, while controlling for age, bone mineral density, body mass index, and back pain. RESULTS: The effect of baseline vertebral fracture grade on baseline HRQOL was statistically significant, while interactions between vertebral fracture grade and the other variables were not statistically significant. SQ grade 3 (SQ3) vertebral fractures were associated with a significantly lower overall HRQOL score and with significantly lower physical function, symptoms, and emotional status dimension scores. After a median of 19 months of therapy, new or worsening SQ3 vertebral fractures occurred in 21 of 448 patients (4.7%) in the placebo group compared with 3 of 444 patients (0.7%) in the 20 mug/day teriparatide group. The risk of developing a new or worsened SQ3 vertebral fracture was reduced by 86% (P < 0.001) in patients treated with 20 mug/day teriparatide. CONCLUSION: Compared with prevalent fractures of lesser severity, SQ3 vertebral fractures were associated with reduced HRQOL. Teriparatide treatment significantly reduced the risk of new or worsening SQ3 vertebral fractures. These findings suggest, but do not directly demonstrate, a benefit of teriparatide on HRQOL. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The debate as to which statistical methodology is most appropriate for the analysis of the two-sample comparative binomial trial has persisted for decades. Practitioners who favor the conditional methods of Fisher, Fisher's exact test (FET), claim that only experimental outcomes containing the same amount of information should be considered when performing analyses. Hence, the total number of successes should be fixed at its observed level in hypothetical repetitions of the experiment. Using conditional methods in clinical settings can pose interpretation difficulties, since results are derived using conditional sample spaces rather than the set of all possible outcomes. Perhaps more importantly from a clinical trial design perspective, this test can be too conservative, resulting in greater resource requirements and more subjects exposed to an experimental treatment. The actual significance level attained by FET (the size of the test) has not been reported in the statistical literature. Berger (J. R. Statist. Soc. D (The Statistician) 2001; 50:79-85) proposed assessing the conservativeness of conditional methods using p-value confidence intervals. In this paper we develop a numerical algorithm that calculates the size of FET for sample sizes, n, up to 125 per group at the two-sided significance level, alpha = 0.05. Additionally, this numerical method is used to define new significance levels alpha(*) = alpha+epsilon, where epsilon is a small positive number, for each n, such that the size of the test is as close as possible to the pre-specified alpha (0.05 for the current work) without exceeding it. Lastly, a sample size and power calculation example are presented, which demonstrates the statistical advantages of implementing the adjustment to FET (using alpha(*) instead of alpha) in the two-sample comparative binomial trial., (2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd)

Introduction: Teriparatide is a bone formation agent that increases bone turnover and mass, resulting in an increase in bone strength and a decrease in fracture risk., Methods: The primary purpose of this analysis was to evaluate the association between pretreatment bone turnover marker (BTM) concentrations and the absolute and relative fracture risks after adjusting for baseline femoral neck BMD, number of prevalent vertebral fractures, and age. Because femoral neck BMD is commonly attained in the assessment of patients at risk for osteoporosis, we examined the ability of a multivariate assessment including pretreatment BTM concentration and femoral neck BMD to predict future fracture risk after adjusting for the number of prevalent vertebral fractures. We examined data from the Fracture Prevention Trial, a study designed to determine the effect of teriparatide 20 mcg/day and teriparatide 40 mcg/day on vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. BTM were analyzed in two subsets of women within the Fracture Prevention Trial, and included serum bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP), serum carboxy-terminal extension peptide of procollagen type I (PICP), serum amino-terminal extension peptide of procollagen type I (PINP), urinary free deoxypyridinoline (DPD), and urinary N-terminal telopeptide (NTX)., Results: Teriparatide significantly reduced the risk of fracture [four BTM subset (n = 520), placebo = 14.3%, teriparatide = 5.8%, P < 0.05; PINP subset (n = 771), placebo = 17.7%, teriparatide = 5.5%, P < 0.05]. Subjects with the highest pretreatment BTM concentrations had the greatest fracture risk. Teriparatide-mediated absolute risk reduction was greatest for women with high pretreatment bone turnover; however, the relative fracture risk reduction was independent of pretreatment bone turnover. After adjusting for pretreatment BTM and number of prevalent vertebral fractures, baseline femoral neck BMD was not a significant predictor of fracture risk., Conclusion: Teriparatide-mediated relative fracture risk reduction was independent of pretreatment bone turnover, demonstrating that this therapy offers clinical benefit to patients across a range of disease severity.

In the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial, raloxifene reduced the risk of vertebral fracture. However, a systematic analysis of the anti-vertebral fracture efficacy of raloxifene, which includes the results of newly reported studies, has not been performed. A meta-analysis was carried out using all randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials to determine whether the reduction in the risk for vertebral fracture, reported with raloxifene, was consistent among studies, and to define more accurately the point estimate of the odds ratio. Three prevention studies, two arms of the MORE trial, and three additional treatment studies in which fracture data were available from prospectively scheduled spinal radiographs were included in the analysis. A systematic review of the literature (MedLine, EMBASE) confirmed that no studies with raloxifene had been excluded from this analysis. The effects of raloxifene 60 mg/day (RLX60) and 120 mg/day pooled with 150 mg/day (RLX120/150) were analyzed by intention to treat. There was no significant heterogeneity among the studies included in the meta-analysis. Odds ratio estimates (95% CI) were 0.60 (0.49, 0.74) for RLX60 and 0.51 (0.41, 0.64) for RLX120/150. From these data we infer that raloxifene consistently reduces the risk of vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women.

Introduction: Raloxifene improves spine bone mineral density (BMD), and its ability to reduce vertebral fractures by 40-50% suggests that it increases vertebral strength. Positive effects on hip BMD suggest a similar strengthening of the hip, but dimensional ambiguities in BMD by dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) make it difficult to infer strength effects directly. Hip fractures may be too infrequent to evaluate in practical clinical trials; even the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) study with 7,705 subjects was insufficiently powered to show a comparable reduction in hip fractures., Methods: An alternative evaluation of hip DXA data in structural terms should provide more direct evidence of treatment effects on hip strength. Hip scans from a subset of the MORE study, including 4,806 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis randomized to daily oral doses of placebo, 60 mg, or 120 mg of raloxifene were reanalyzed by the hip structure analysis (HSA) method. Scans acquired at baseline, 1, 2, and 3 years were evaluated to extract BMD and cross-sectional geometry across the narrowest point on the neck (NN), the intertrochanteric region (IT), and the proximal shaft 1.5 times the minimum neck width distal to the intersection of the neck and shaft axes., Results: While femur outer diameter expanded during follow-up at all three regions, there were no differences in expansion between groups; treatment influenced mainly the amount and distribution of bone within cross-sections. Effects were similar at the two dose levels at the NN region although the 120 mg dose produced a greater effect on section modulus (SM) at the IT region and on BMD, bone cross-sectional area (CSA), SM, average cortical thickness (CT), and buckling ratio (BR) at the shaft region. Compared with placebo after 3 years, treatment groups showed 0.4-2% higher BMD, CSA, SM, and CT and 1-2% lower BR. The smallest treatment effects were evident at the shaft at 60 mg., Conclusions: We conclude that raloxifene does not influence periosteal apposition in the proximal femur but it nevertheless produces small but significant improvement in resistance to axial and bending stresses (CSA and SM, respectively) at all analyzed regions. The significant reductions in buckling ratio suggest that additional strength loss due to cortical instability is also ameliorated by treatment.

Teriparatide is the first bone-building drug available for the treatment of osteoporosis. We investigated the efficacy of this compound as assessed by spinal deformity index (SDI) using data from the Fracture Prevention Trial (FPT). The FPT was a randomized, double blind trial of placebo versus teriparatide 20 microg (TPTD20) versus teriparatide 40 microg (TPTD40) administered by daily self-injection. Patients included in the current analyses were those patients from the placebo (n = 398) and TPTD20 (the approved dose, n = 403) groups with baseline and follow-up radiographs and at least one vertebral fracture at baseline. For each vertebra, a visual semiquantitative grade of 0, 1, 2, or 3 was assigned for no fracture or mild, moderate, or severe fracture, respectively; the SDI was calculated by summing the fracture grades of all T4 to L4 vertebrae. The mean SDI increased in the placebo and TPTD20 groups by 0.485 and 0.134, respectively (P < 0.001). The proportions of patients with SDI increases >1, >2, and >3 were reduced by 85%, 80%, and 80%, respectively. In the placebo group, increasing baseline SDI was correlated with the mean increase in SDI during the trial (r = 0.080, P = 0.01), consistent with the progressive natural history of osteoporosis. However, in the TPTD20 group, increasing baseline SDI was not correlated with the mean increase in SDI during the trial (P = 0.297) indicating that teriparatide mitigated or eliminated the increased risk associated with increasing fracture burden. Increases in SDI during the trial were associated with increasing proportions of patients with new or worsening back pain and greater mean height loss (P < 0.0001), demonstrating an association with important clinical consequences. The results indicate that teriparatide greatly reduced the increase in fracture burden in the FPT and mitigated or eliminated the risk for future fractures imparted by increasing baseline fracture burden.

The semiquantitative spinal deformity index (SDI) is a summary measure of the vertebral fracture status of the spine incorporating both the number and severity of vertebral fractures. For each vertebra, a visual semiquantitative grade of 0, 1, 2, or 3 is assigned for no fracture or mild, moderate, or severe fracture, respectively, and the SDI is calculated by summing the fracture grades of all vertebrae (T4 to L4). We investigated the effect of prevalent vertebral fracture number and severity, as integrated by the SDI, on 3-year vertebral fracture risk by performing logistic regression modeling with data from the MORE trial. There was a striking linear relationship between baseline SDI and the model-based vertebral fracture risk estimates, with a near-perfect correlation (r = 0.98, P < 0.001). However, the SDI may be overly simplistic, as a given SDI value can be attained through differing vertebral fracture scenarios (i.e., an SDI of 3 can be realized three ways), each corresponding to potentially different vertebral fracture risk. To address this issue, a second, more complex model was constructed that included individual predictor variables for number of mild, number of moderate, and number of severe prevalent vertebral fractures. The model-based risk estimates for vertebral fracture using the SDI and the more complex model were highly correlated (r = 0.91, P < 0.001), giving almost identical values up to an SDI of 5. Thus, for most clinical scenarios, it is not necessary to consider the particular fracture configuration that led to a given SDI score for predicting a patient's future vertebral fracture risk. These results validate the SDI as an accurate tool for assessing future vertebral fracture risk; patients with greater baseline SDI had greater future risk for vertebral fractures.

The relationship between prior fractures and risk of new fractures was evaluated in 931 postmenopausal women with prevalent vertebral fractures randomized to daily placebo or teriparatide (20 mug) in the Fracture Prevention Trial. The median observation time was 21 months. Among placebo patients with one, two, or three or more prevalent vertebral fractures, 7%, 16%, and 23%, respectively, developed vertebral fractures (by Cochran-Armitage trend test, P < 0.001), and 3%, 9%, and 17% developed moderate or severe vertebral fractures (P < 0.001). Among placebo patients with mild, moderate, or severe prevalent vertebral fractures, 10%, 13%, and 28%, respectively, developed vertebral fractures (P < 0.001), and 4%, 8%, and 23% developed moderate or severe vertebral fractures (P < 0.001). Among placebo patients with zero, one, or two or more prior nonvertebral fragility fractures, 4%, 8%, and 18%, respectively, developed nonvertebral fragility fractures (P < 0.001). In the teriparatide-treated group, there was no significant increase in vertebral or nonvertebral fracture risk in these subgroups. In summary, the number and severity of prevalent vertebral fractures independently predicted the risk for new vertebral fractures, and the number of prior nonvertebral fractures predicted the risk for new nonvertebral fractures in placebo patients. However, in teriparatide-treated patients, the increased fracture risk associated with prior number and severity of fracture was not observed.

Unlabelled: The change in BMD is a poor predictor of vertebral fracture risk after raloxifene treatment. One-year percent change in bone turnover and BMD was used to predict vertebral fracture risk. The percent change in osteocalcin was determined to be a better predictor of vertebral fracture risk than BMD., Introduction: The association between baseline BMD and fracture risk is well understood. However, the relationship between changes in BMD and fracture risk is not well defined. It has previously been demonstrated that BMD change was a poor predictor of vertebral fracture risk in raloxifene-treated women, whereas bone turnover markers were significantly associated with fracture risk. In the current analysis, we explore the prediction of vertebral fracture risk using changes in both BMD and bone turnover., Materials and Methods: The Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial was a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of 7705 women with osteoporosis treated with raloxifene 60 or 120 mg/day for 3 years. Markers of bone turnover were measured in one-third of the study population (n = 2503), and the present analyses include these women. Logistic regression models were constructed using one-year percent changes in BMD and bone turnover and relevant baseline demographics to predict the risk of vertebral fracture with pooled raloxifene therapy at 3 years. All covariates were standardized before modeling to facilitate direct comparisons between changes in BMD and bone turnover., Results and Conclusion: Prevalent vertebral fracture status (p < 0.0001), baseline lumbar spine BMD (p < 0.0001), and number of years postmenopausal (p = 0.0005) were independent predictors of fracture risk in raloxifene-treated patients. Therapy-by-change in femoral neck BMD (p = 0.02) and therapy-by-change in osteocalcin (OC; p = 0.01) were also significant for all treatment groups, indicating that changes in BMD and OC have different effects on fracture risk for the placebo and pooled raloxifene groups. The final model included significant baseline variables and change in OC (p = 0.01), whereas change in femoral neck BMD was not significant. After adjustment of each significant baseline variable, the percent change in OC was better able to predict the reduction in vertebral fracture risk than the percent change in femoral neck BMD in patients treated with raloxifene.

Prevalent vertebral fractures and baseline bone mineral density (BMD) predict subsequent fracture risk. The objective of this analysis is to examine whether baseline vertebral fracture severity can predict new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk. In the randomized, double-blind 3-year Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial, 7705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis (low BMD or prevalent vertebral fractures) were randomly assigned to placebo, raloxifene 60 mg/day, or raloxifene 120 mg/day. Post hoc analyses studied the association between baseline fracture severity and new fracture risk in the placebo group and the effects of placebo, raloxifene 60 mg/day, and raloxifene 120 mg/day on new fracture risk in women with the most severe prevalent vertebral fractures (n = 614). Vertebral fracture severity was visually assessed using semiquantitative analysis of radiographs and categorized by estimated decreases in vertebral heights. Reported new nonvertebral fractures were radiographically confirmed. Baseline vertebral fracture severity predicted vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk at 3 years. In women without prevalent vertebral fractures, 4.3 and 5.5% had new vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, respectively. In women with mild, moderate, and severe prevalent vertebral fractures, 10.5, 23.6, and 38.1% respectively had new vertebral fractures, whereas 7.2, 7.7, and 13.8% respectively experienced new nonvertebral fractures. Number of prevalent vertebral fractures and baseline BMD also predicted vertebral fracture risk, but the severity of prevalent vertebral fractures was the only predictor of nonvertebral fracture risk and remained a significant predictor after adjustment for baseline characteristics, including baseline BMD. In patients with severe baseline vertebral fractures, raloxifene 60 mg/day decreased the risks of new vertebral [RR 0.74 (95% Cl 0.54, 0.99); P = 0.048] and nonvertebral (clavicle, humerus, wrist, pelvis, hip, and leg) fractures [RH 0.53 (95% CI 0.29, 0.99); P = 0.046] at 3 years. To prevent one new fracture at 3 years in women with severe baseline vertebral fractures with raloxifene 60 mg/day, the number needed to treat (NNT) was 10 for vertebral and 18 for nonvertebral fractures. Similar results were observed in women receiving raloxifene 120 mg/day. In summary, baseline vertebral fracture severity was the best independent predictor for new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk. Raloxifene decreased new vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk in the subgroup of women with severe vertebral fractures at baseline. These fractures may reflect architectural deterioration, independent of BMD, leading to increased skeletal fragility.

In healthy Caucasian postmenopausal women, raloxifene increases bone mineral density (BMD), decreases biochemical markers of bone turnover, and lowers low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, without effects on high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and triglycerides. This randomized, double-blind study examines the effects of raloxifene 60 mg/d (n = 483) or placebo (n = 485) in healthy postmenopausal Asian women (mean age 57 yr) from Australia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand. Serum osteocalcin, serum N-telopeptide, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and triglycerides were assessed at baseline and 6 months. Lumbar spine BMD was measured at baseline and 1 yr in 309 women from 4 countries. Clinical adverse events were recorded at each interim visit. At 6 months, raloxifene 60 mg/d significantly decreased osteocalcin, N-telopeptide, total cholesterol, and LDL cholesterol by medians of 15.9%, 14.6%, 5.3%, and 7.7%, respectively, from placebo. Changes in HDL cholesterol and triglycerides were similar between raloxifene and placebo. Raloxifene 60 mg/d increased mean lumbar spine BMD (1.9%) from placebo at 1 yr (P = 0.0003). The incidences of hot flashes (placebo 3.5%, raloxifene 5.6%, P = 0.12), and leg cramps (placebo 2.7%, raloxifene 4.3%, P = 0.16) were not different between groups. No case of venous thromboembolism was reported. The effects of raloxifene 60 mg/d on bone turnover, BMD, and serum lipids in healthy postmenopausal Asian women were similar to that previously reported in Caucasian women.

Raloxifene reduces the risk of new vertebral fractures, but its effect on the severity of these new fractures has not been determined. The MORE (Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation) trial studied the effects of placebo, raloxifene 60 or 120 mg/day in 7,705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. Radiologists assessed new vertebral fractures from radiographs and graded the fracture severity as normal (no fracture) or mild, moderate or severe. New clinical vertebral fractures were defined as new vertebral fractures associated with symptoms, such as back pain, and confirmed in radiographs. In the total study population, the majority (76.4%) of the women who experienced clinical vertebral fractures were diagnosed with new moderate/severe vertebral fractures. In turn, women with moderate/severe vertebral fractures in the overall population were more likely to experience clinical symptoms suggestive of fracture than were women who had new mild-only vertebral fractures. The incidence of new mild-only and moderate/severe fractures was the same in women without prevalent vertebral fractures, but the incidence of new moderate/severe fractures was 2 to 3 times higher than that for new mild-only fractures in women with prevalent vertebral fractures. Raloxifene 60 mg/day decreased the risk of at least 1 new moderate/severe vertebral fracture by 61% in women without prevalent vertebral fractures [RR 0.39 (95% CI 0.17, 0.69)], and by 37% in women with prevalent vertebral fractures [RR 0.63 (95% CI 0.49, 0.83)] at 3 years. The risk reductions for at least 1 new moderate/severe vertebral fracture were not significantly different between the raloxifene doses, in women with and without prevalent vertebral fractures. The effects of raloxifene on significantly decreasing the risk of new moderate/severe vertebral fractures may explain the risk reduction for new painful clinical vertebral fractures observed with raloxifene, and is particularly important in postmenopausal women with severe osteoporosis who are at higher risk for moderate or severe fractures.