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In this paper a randomized version of the Beverton-Holt type discrete model is proposed. Its solution stochastic process and the random steady state are determined. Its first probability density function and second probability density function are obtained by means of the random variable transformation method, providing a full probabilistic description of the solution. Finally, several numerical examples are shown.

This paper deals with the study, from a probabilistic point of view, of logistic-type differential equations with uncertainties. We assume that the initial condition is a random variable and the diffusion coefficient is a stochastic process. The main objective is to obtain the first probability density function, $f_1(p,t)$, of the solution stochastic process, $P(t,\omega)$. To achieve this goal, first the diffusion coefficient is represented via a truncation of order $N$ of the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion, and second, the Random Variable Transformation technique is applied. In this manner, approximations, say $f_1^N(p,t)$, of $f_1(p,t)$ are constructed. Afterwards, we rigorously prove that $f_1^N(p,t) \longrightarrow f_1(p,t)$ as $N\to \infty$ under mild conditions assumed on input data (initial condition and diffusion coefficient). Finally, three illustrative examples are shown.

The study of the dynamics of the size of a population via mathematical modelling is a problem of interest and widely studied. Traditionally, continuous deterministic methods based on differential equations have been used to deal with this problem. However discrete versions of some models are also available and sometimes more adequate. In this paper, we randomize the Pielou logistic equation in order to include the inherent uncertainty in modelling. Taking advantage of the method of transformation of random variables, we provide a full probabilistic description to the randomized Pielou logistic model via the computation of the probability density functions of the solution stochastic process, the steady state and the time until a certain level of population is reached. The theoretical results are illustrated by means of two examples, the first one consists of a numerical experiment and the second one shows an application to study the diffusion of a technology using real data.

The objective of this paper is to complete certain issues from our recent contribution [J. Calatayud, J.-C. Cort\'es, M. Jornet, L. Villafuerte, Random non-autonomous second order linear differential equations: mean square analytic solutions and their statistical properties, Advances in Difference Equations, 2018:392, 1--29 (2018)]. We restate the main theorem therein that deals with the homogeneous case, so that the hypotheses are clearer and also easier to check in applications. Another novelty is that we tackle the non-homogeneous equation with a theorem of existence of mean square analytic solution and a numerical example. We also prove the uniqueness of mean square solution via an habitual Lipschitz condition that extends the classical Picard Theorem to mean square calculus. In this manner, the study on general random non-autonomous second order linear differential equations with analytic data processes is completely resolved. Finally, we relate our exposition based on random power series with polynomial chaos expansions and the random differential transform method, being the latter a reformulation of our random Fr\"obenius method., Comment: 15 pages, 0 figures, 2 tables

In this paper, we deal with uncertainty quantification for the random Legendre differential equation, with input coefficient $A$ and initial conditions $X_0$ and $X_1$. In a previous study [Calbo G. et al, Comput. Math. Appl., 61(9), 2782--2792 (2011)], a mean square convergent power series solution on $(-1/e,1/e)$ was constructed, under the assumptions of mean fourth integrability of $X_0$ and $X_1$, independence, and at most exponential growth of the absolute moments of $A$. In this paper, we relax these conditions to construct an $\mathrm{L}^p$ solution ($1\leq p\leq\infty$) to the random Legendre differential equation on the whole domain $(-1,1)$, as in its deterministic counterpart. Our hypotheses assume no independence and less integrability of $X_0$ and $X_1$. Moreover, the growth condition on the moments of $A$ is characterized by the boundedness of $A$, which simplifies the proofs significantly. We also provide approximations of the expectation and variance of the response process. The numerical experiments show the wide applicability of our findings. A comparison with Monte Carlo simulations and gPC expansions is performed., Comment: 13 pages; 6 tables

This paper deals with the randomized heat equation defined on a general bounded interval $[L_1,L_2]$ and with non-homogeneous boundary conditions. The solution is a stochastic process that can be related, via changes of variable, with the solution stochastic process of the random heat equation defined on $[0,1]$ with homogeneous boundary conditions. Results in the extant literature establish conditions under which the probability density function of the solution process to the random heat equation on $[0,1]$ with homogeneous boundary conditions can be approximated. Via the changes of variable and the Random Variable Transformation technique, we set mild conditions under which the probability density function of the solution process to the random heat equation on a general bounded interval $[L_1,L_2]$ and with non-homogeneous boundary conditions can be approximated uniformly or pointwise. Furthermore, we provide sufficient conditions in order that the expectation and the variance of the solution stochastic process can be computed from the proposed approximations of the probability density function. Numerical examples are performed in the case that the initial condition process has a certain Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion, being Gaussian and non-Gaussian., Comment: 31 Pages, 10 Figures, 8 Tables

In this paper we study the randomized non-autonomous complete linear differential equation. The diffusion coefficient and the source term in the differential equation are assumed to be stochastic processes and the initial condition is treated as a random variable on an underlying complete probability space. The solution to this random differential equation is a stochastic process. Any stochastic process is determined by its finite-dimensional joint distributions. In this paper, the main goal is to obtain the probability density function of the solution process (the first finite-dimensional distribution) under mild conditions. The solution process is expressed by means of Lebesgue integrals of the data stochastic processes, which, in general, cannot be computed in an exact manner, therefore approximations for its probability density function are constructed. The key tools applied to construct the approximations are the Random Variable Transformation technique and Karhunen-Loeve expansions. Our results can be applied to a large variety of examples. Finally, several numerical experiments illustrate the potentiality of our findings., Comment: pages: 43, Figures: 20, Tables: 3

In this paper we study the randomized heat equation with homogeneous boundary conditions. The diffusion coeffcient is assumed to be a random variable and the initial condition is treated as a stochastic process. The solution of this randomized partial differential equation problem is a stochastic process, which is given by a random series obtained via the classical method of separation of variables. Any stochastic process is determined by its finite-dimensional joint distributions. In this paper, the goal is to obtain approximations to the probability density function of the solution (the first finite-dimensional distributions) under mild conditions. Since the solution is expressed as a random series, we perform approximations of its probability density function. We use two approaches: broadly speaking, first, dealing with the random Fourier coefficients of the random series, and second, taking advantage of the Karhunen-Loeve expansion of the initial condition stochastic process. Finally, several numerical examples illustrating the potentiality of our findings with regard to both approaches are presented., Comment: Pages: 35; Figures: 31 Tables: 5

In this paper a new version of the chain rule for calculating the mean square derivative of a second-order stochastic process is proven. This random operational calculus rule is applied to construct a rigorous mean square solution of the random Chebyshev differential equation (r.C.d.e.) assuming mild moment hypotheses on the random variables that appear as coefficients and initial conditions of the corresponding initial value problem. Such solution is represented through a mean square random power series. Moreover, reliable approximations for the mean and standard deviation functions to the solution stochastic process of the r.C.d.e. are given. Several examples, that illustrate the theoretical results, are included., Comment: 14 pages; 3 tables; paper submitted