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Objectives: To characterize the cumulative risk factors of social and behavioral determinants of health (SDoH) and examine their association with self-rated general health, functional limitations, and use of health services among US older adults., Design: Cross-sectional analysis of the 2013-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey., Setting: Nationally representative health interview survey in the United States., Participants: Survey respondents aged 65 or older (n = 1,306 unweighted)., Measurements: A cumulative risk score of SDoH, developed by the National Academy of Medicine expert panel, was assessed using validated measures. Outcome variables included self-rated general health, functional limitations (eg, activities of daily living), and use of health services (eg, usual source of care and overnight hospitalization). We quantified the cumulative risk score of SDoH in older adults and used multivariable-adjusted logistic and Poisson regression analyses to assess the association of SDoH with self-rated health, functional limitations, and use of health services, adjusting for other covariates., Results: About 25.7% of older adults, representative of 11.0 million people nationwide, reported having three or more cumulative SDoH risk factors. These older adults were more likely to have functional limitations (eg, activities of daily living) and less likely to report their general health as "very good" or "excellent" than those with two or fewer cumulative SDoH risk factors (P < .001 for each). Each additional cumulative SDoH risk factor was associated with increased odds of not having a usual source of care (adjusted odds ratio = 1.57; 95% confidence interval = 1.09-2.27)., Conclusion: The SDoH index score may be a useful tool to predict access to care and quality of care in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1731-1738, 2020., (© 2020 The American Geriatrics Society.)

Objectives: To estimate the rate of and risk factors associated with cost-related medication nonadherence among older adults., Design: Cross-sectional analysis of the 2017 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS)., Setting: Nationally representative health interview survey in the United States., Participants: Survey respondents, aged 65 years or older (n = 5701 unweighted) in the 2017 wave of the NHIS., Measurements: Self-reported, cost-related medication nonadherence (due to cost: skip dose, reduce dose, or delay or not fill a prescription) and actions taken due to cost-related medication nonadherence (ask for lower-cost prescription, use alternative therapy, or buy medications from another country) were quantified. We used a series of multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify factors associated with cost-related medication nonadherence. We also reported analyses by chronic disease subgroups., Results: In 2017, 408 (6.8%) of 5901 older adults, representative of 2.7 million older adults nationally, reported cost-related medication nonadherence. Among those with cost-related medication nonadherence, 44.2% asked a physician for lower-cost medications, 11.5% used alternative therapies, and 5.3% bought prescription drugs outside the United States to save money. Correlates independently associated with a higher likelihood of cost-related medication nonadherence included: younger age, female sex, lower socioeconomic levels (eg, low income and uninsured), mental distress, functional limitations, multimorbidities, and obesity (P < .05 for all). Similar patterns were found in subgroup analyses., Conclusion: Cost-related medication nonadherence among older adults is increasingly common, with several potentially modifiable risk factors identified. Interventions, such as medication therapy management, may be needed to reduce cost-related medication nonadherence in older adults. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:2463-2473, 2019., (© 2019 The American Geriatrics Society.)

Objectives: To determine predictors of new activities of daily living (ADLs) disability and worsened mobility disability and secondarily increased daily care hours received, in previously independent hip fracture patients., Design: Retrospective cohort study., Setting: Academic hospital with ambulatory follow-up., Participants: Community-dwelling adults 65 years or older independent in ADLs undergoing hip fracture surgery in 2015 (n = 184)., Measurements: Baseline, 3- and 6-month ADLs, mobility, and daily care hours received were ascertained by telephone survey and chart review. Comorbidities, medications, and characteristics of hospitalization were extracted from patient charts. Models for each outcome used logistic regression with a backward elimination strategy, adjusting a priori for age, sex, and race., Results: Predictors of new ADL disability at 3 months were dementia (odds ratio [OR] = 11.81; P = .001) and in-hospital delirium (OR = 4.20; P = .002), and at 6 months were age (OR = 1.04; P = .014), dementia (OR = 9.91; P = .001), in-hospital delirium (OR = 3.00; P = .031) and preadmission opiates (OR = 7.72; P = .003). Predictors of worsened mobility at 3 months were in-hospital delirium (OR = 4.48; P = .001) and number of medications (OR = 1.13; P = .003), and at 6 months were age (OR = 1.06; P = .001), preadmission opiates (OR = 7.23; P = .005), in-hospital delirium (OR = 3.10; P = .019), and number of medications (OR = 1.13; P = .013). Predictors of increased daily care hours received at 3 and 6 months were age (3 months: OR = 1.07; P = .014; 6 months: OR = 1.06; P = .017) and number of medications (3 months: OR = 1.13; P = .004; 6 months: OR = 1.22; P = .013). The proportion of patients with ADL disability and care hours received did not change from 3 to 6 months, yet there were significant improvements in mobility., Conclusion: Age, dementia, in-hospital delirium, number of medications, and preadmission opiate use were predictors of poor outcomes in independent older adults following hip fracture. Further investigation is needed to identify factors associated with improved mobility measures from 3 to 6 months to ultimately optimize recovery., (© 2019 The American Geriatrics Society.)

Whereas modern clinicians are often reluctant to discuss prognosis with their patients, such discussions were central to medical practice in ancient Greece. A historical analysis has the potential to explain the reasons for this difference in prognostic practices and provide insights into overcoming current challenges. Many scholars consider prognosis to be the principal scientific achievement of the Hippocratic tradition. The earliest treatise on the subject, On Prognostics, defines prognosis broadly as "foreseeing and foretelling, by the side of the sick, the present, the past, and the future." This definition makes clear that prognosis is not simply about predicting the future, but also involves an appreciation for the continuity of past, present, and future as sequences of connected events, or trajectories, that can be pieced together into a comprehensive story of the patient's health. In modern medicine, prognosis has lagged behind diagnosis and treatment in its establishment as a central component of medical care. An important basis for understanding this lies in the paradigm change that occurred with the discovery of pathogens as agents of disease, shifting attention toward individual diseases and away from diseased individuals. With this shift, diagnostics and treatments advanced dramatically and prognosis fell to the background. More recent attempts to advance prognosis have focused on narrower uses of the term, such as estimates of life expectancy and mortality risk. However, physicians have expressed a number of reservations about the use of such estimates in the care of patients, and patients have indicated the desire for a wide variety of predictive information. Adopting the broadness of the Hippocratic definition may allow clinicians to overcome their hesitancy and provide much-needed information to their patients.

Inability to climb stairs safely can lead older adults to miss desired medical appointments. To facilitate adequate access to routine medical care for older adults, affordable transportation assistance up and down stairs should be available. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:663-664, 2019., (© 2019 The American Geriatrics Society.)

Group A streptococcus (GAS) is responsible for a wide range of both invasive and noninvasive infections. Severe invasive group A streptococcal infection is associated with morbidity and mortality and has been linked to chronic medical conditions with skin and soft tissues involvement, and intravenous drug use (IVDU). Invasive diseases are, however, rare and have been recognized to affect the extremes of age (younger than 10 years of age and older than 74). We report a case of Group A streptococcus bacteremia following pharyngitis in a 76-year-old diabetic male with no history of IVDU. This report's main goal is to illustrate that chronic illnesses such as diabetes and congestive heart failure might predispose elderly patients to invasive diseases such as Group A streptococcus bacteremia.

United States census data project dramatic increases in the geriatric population ageing demographics by 2060 with concomitant health-care consequences. The purpose of this replication and continuation study was to collect new 2014 demographic data relative to ageing, swallow evaluation referral rates, and oral feeding status in geriatric-hospitalized patients for comparison with published data from 2000 to 2007. This was a planned data acquisition study of consecutive hospitalized patients referred for swallow assessments. Swallow evaluation referral rates for 2014 were described according to inpatient discharges, age range 60-105 years grouped by decade, gender, admitting diagnostic category, results of swallow evaluations, and oral feeding status. Determination of aspiration risk status was made with the Yale Swallow Protocol and diagnosis of dysphagia made with fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES). There were 1348 referrals and 961 patients ≥60 years of age participated. Overall swallow evaluation referral rates increased an average of 63 % between the comparison years 2007 and 2014 with consistent increases corresponding to the decades, i.e., 60-69 (46 %), 70-79 (68 %), 80-89 (53 %), and 90+ (222 %). A total of 75 % of participants resumed oral alimentation and oral medications. Swallow evaluation referral rates increased by 63 % for 60-90+ year-old acute care geriatric-hospitalized participants despite only a 23 % increase in inpatient discharges for the years 2007 versus 2014. This corroborated previously reported increases for individual years from 2000 to 2007. For timely, safe, and successful initiation of oral alimentation, it is important to perform a reliable swallow screen for aspiration risk assessment with the Yale Swallow Protocol and, if failed, instrumental testing with FEES. More dysphagia specialists are needed through 2060 and beyond due to projections of continued population ageing resulting in ever increasing referral rates for swallow assessments.

Objectives: To identify the domains of health-related characteristics of older hospitalized adults and nursing home residents most strongly associated with short-term mortality., Design: Systematic review., Setting: Studies published in English in MEDLINE, Scopus, or Web of Science before August 1, 2010., Participants: Prospective studies consisting of persons aged 65 and older that evaluated the association between at least one health-related participant characteristic and mortality within a year in multivariable analysis., Measurements: All health-related characteristics associated with mortality in multivariable analysis were extracted and categorized into domains. The frequency, with all studies combined, with which particular domains were associated with mortality in multivariable analysis was determined., Results: Thirty-three studies (28 in hospitalized individuals, five in nursing home residents) reported a large number of characteristics associated with mortality that could be categorized in seven domains: cognitive function, disease diagnosis, laboratory values, nutrition, physical function, pressure ulcers, and shortness of breath. Measures of physical function and nutrition were the domains most frequently associated with mortality up to 1 year from the time of evaluation for hospitalized individuals and nursing home residents; measures of physical function, cognitive function, and nutrition were the domains most frequently associated with in-hospital mortality for hospitalized individuals., Conclusion: Of a large number of health-related characteristics of older persons shown to be associated with short-term mortality, measures of nutrition, physical function, and cognitive function were the domains of health most frequently associated with mortality. These domains provide easily measurable factors that may serve as helpful markers for individuals at high mortality risk., (© 2013, Copyright the Authors Journal compilation © 2013, The American Geriatrics Society.)

Objectives: To determine the acceptance rate of new Medicare patients by all primary care physicians. Among primary care physicians accepting new patients, to determine whether demographic and geographic factors are associated with the likelihood of accepting new Medicare patients., Design: Cross-sectional., Setting: Primary care physicians drawn from a national sample., Participants: Eight hundred forty-eight primary care physicians., Measurements: Percentage of physicians accepting, not accepting, or conditionally accepting new Medicare patients., Results: Of the 848 primary care physicians contacted, only 58% unconditionally accepted all new Medicare patients; 20% accepted new patients but restricted new Medicare patients using policies of nonacceptance or conditional acceptance. Of the 665 physicians accepting new patients, those in the south and west were more likely not to accept new Medicare patients than those in the northeast, with multivariable odds ratios (ORs) of 2.79 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.34-5.78) and 3.14 (95% CI=1.35-7.33), respectively. Similarly, family physicians were more likely than internists not to accept new Medicare patients (OR=2.36, 95% CI=1.39-3.99). Primary care physicians in the Midwest were more likely to conditionally accept new Medicare patients than those in the northeast (OR=4.84, 95% CI=1.32-17.76), and primary care physicians in metropolitan areas with a population less than 100,000 were more likely to conditionally accept new Medicare patients than those in areas with a population greater than 100,000 (OR=2.39, 95% CI=1.18-4.84)., Conclusion: Medicare beneficiaries' access to primary care is limited and varies significantly by region, population size, and type of provider.

While the courts have final responsibility, physicians are often asked to evaluate the ability of an older individual to remain living alone in the community. A person's capacity to make this decision can be more difficult to assess than the capacity to make medical decisions. Unsafe actions alone do not restrict the choice of individuals. Inability to understand the implications of these actions may also limit this choice. Decision-making ability is not well measured by global tests of cognitive function. Deficits in executive function resulting in impaired insight, problem-solving ability, and goal-directed planning limit one's ability to make and carry out decisions. Unsafe actions and deficits in executive function, combined with the refusal to accept help from family and social agencies, may indicate that independent living in the community presents unacceptable risks.

Objectives: To describe the Hospital Elder Life Program, a new model of care designed to prevent functional and cognitive decline of older persons during hospitalization. PROGRAM STRUCTURE AND PROCESS: All patients aged > or =70 years on specified units are screened on admission for six risk factors (cognitive impairment, sleep deprivation, immobility, dehydration, vision or hearing impairment). Targeted interventions for these risk factors are implemented by an interdisciplinary team-including a geriatric nurse specialist, Elder Life Specialists, trained volunteers, and geriatricians--who work closely with primary nurses. Other experts provide consultation at twice-weekly interdisciplinary rounds., Intervention: Adherence is carefully tracked. Quality assurance procedures and performance reviews are an integral part of the program., Program Outcomes: To date, 1,507 patients have been enrolled during 1,716 hospital admissions. The overall intervention adherence rate was 89% for at least partial adherence with all interventions during 37,131 patient-days. Our results indicate that only 8% of admissions involved patients who declined by 2 or more points on MMSE and only 14% involved patients who declined by 2 or more points on ADL score. Comparative results for the control group from the clinical trial were 26% and 33%, and from previous studies 14 to 56% and 34 to 50% for cognitive and functional decline, respectively. Effectiveness of the program for delirium prevention and of the program's nonpharmacologic sleep protocol have been demonstrated previously., Conclusions: These results suggest that the Hospital Elder Life Program successfully prevents cognitive and functional decline in at-risk older patients. The program is unique in its hospital-wide focus; in providing skilled staff and volunteers to implement interventions; and in targeting practical interventions toward evidence-based risk factors. Future studies are needed to evaluate cost-effectiveness and longterm outcomes of the program as well as its effectiveness in non-hospital settings.

Objectives: Increasing age, socioeconomic factors, and declining function and health have been linked to driving cessation, but little is known about the consequences of stopping driving. This study was designed to test the hypothesis that driving cessation leads to a decline in out-of-home activity levels., Methods: In 1989 a survey of driving practices was administered to surviving noninstitutionalized members of the New Haven Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (EPESE) cohort. Of 1,316 respondents, 502 were active drivers as of 1988, 92 had stopped driving between 1982 and 1987, and 722 never drove or stopped before 1982. Information on sociodemographic and health-related variables came from in-home EPESE interviews in 1982, 1985, and 1988, and from yearly phone interviews. Activity was measured at all three in-home interviews, and an activity measure was created based on self-reported participation in nine out-of-home activities. A repeated measures random-effects model was used to test the effect of driving cessation on activity while controlling for potential confounders., Results: Driving cessation was strongly associated with decreased out-of-home activity levels (coefficient-1.081, standard error 0.264, p < .001) after adjustment for sociodemographic and health-related factors., Discussion: The potential consequences of driving limitations or cessation should be taken into account when advising older drivers and developing alternative transportation strategies to help maintain their mobility.

Shoulder pain is encountered commonly in older people. Most of the conditions are amenable to nonoperative treatment, but a clear understanding of the anatomy and those conditions encountered most commonly is essential. A careful history and physical examination, as well as limited diagnostic tests, point to a clear diagnosis in the majority of patients. Most often, conservative measures are effective. Steroid injections are often helpful for both diagnostic and therapeutic reasons. A small percentage of patients do not respond to conservative management and require operative intervention.

Objectives: The purposes of this study were (1) to develop a battery of tests that assessed a wide range of functional abilities relevant to driving yet could be performed in a clinician's office and (2) to determine which of these tests were most closely associated with self-reported adverse driving events., Design: A cohort study., Setting: An urban community., Participants: Participants were drawn from the Project Safety cohort, a probability sample of noninstitutionalized older persons in New Haven, Connecticut, initiated in 1989. The current study included surviving, active drivers in the cohort (N=125)., Measures: The test battery assessed visual, cognitive, and physical abilities potentially relevant to driving, and was administered in participants' homes by trained interviewers between October 1994 and July 1995. Outcome measures included the self-report of a crash, moving violation, or being stopped by police in any Project Safety interview since the inception of the cohort. Analyses compared performance on the elements of the test battery with participants' histories of adverse driving events., Results: Of the 125 drivers, 50 (40%) had reported an adverse event in a mean period of 5.76 (+/-.25) years before the current interview. The elements of the test battery independently associated with a history of events, adjusting for driving frequency, included near visual acuity worse than 20/40 (adjusted odds ratio 11.90), limited neck rotation (OR 6.10), and poor performance on a test of visual attention, the number cancellation task (OR 3.00). The resulting regression equation yielded a sensitivity of 80%, a specificity of 55%, and an area under the curve of .75 by receiver operating characteristic analysis., Conclusion: These findings suggest it may be possible to identify individuals potentially at risk for self-reported adverse driving events using simple tests of functional ability. If validated, such an approach could be used to identify individuals who need a more detailed assessment of functional abilities to determine the severity and etiology of impairments, and their effect on driving performance, as well as possible interventions to correct or compensate for the impairments.

Background: There is growing concern about the potential safety implications of the increasing number of older drivers. A primary consideration in determining risk is the method of outcome ascertainment. In the case of motor vehicle crashes, the two most common methods are self-report and state records of events., Methods: The self-report of motor vehicle crashes was compared to state records among all active drivers (n = 358) in a representative cohort of community-living individuals age 72 years and older in New Haven, Connecticut, in 1989. In the baseline interview, participants who reported driving were asked if they had had any crashes in the previous year. This was compared to state-recorded crashes over the same period., Results: Of the 358 drivers, 33 either reported or had a state record of a crash in the previous year. Of the 33, 20 were identified by self-report only, 9 by both self-report and state records, and 4 by state records only. In the two cases where license reexamination was requested by the officer at the scene, both drivers reported the event in the interview., Conclusions: Self-report and state records provide complementary information for the ascertainment of crashes among older drivers, although in this sample self-report yielded more events.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine the association between driving cessation and depressive symptoms among older drivers. Previous efforts in this area have focused on the factors associated with cessation, not the consequences of having stopped., Design: Cohort study., Setting: Urban community., Participants: A driving survey was administered in 1989 to surviving noninstitutionalized members of the New Haven Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (EPESE) cohort. Of 1316 respondents, 502 were active drivers as of 1988, 92 had stopped driving between 1982 and 1987, and the remainder had either never driven or had stopped before 1982., Measurements: Information about independent and dependent variables other than driving status came from the in person EPESE interviews in 1982, 1985, and 1988, except for medical conditions, which were updated yearly. Depressive symptoms were assessed by the Centers for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression (CES-D) scale. Analyses focused on the changes in depressive symptoms before and after driving cessation. Repeated measures multivariable analysis accounted for the effect of cessation on the outcome adjusting for the potential confounding due to sociodemographic and health-related factors., Results: Individuals who stopped driving exhibited substantial increases in depressive symptoms during the 6-year interval. Driving cessation was among the strongest predictors of increased depressive symptoms (Coefficient 2.464, SE 0.758, P = .001) even when adjusting for sociodemographic and health-related factors., Conclusions: Driving cessation was associated with an increase in depressive symptoms even when accounting for sociodemographic and health-related factors. These consequences need to be taken into account when advising older drivers and when developing alternative transportation strategies.

Objective: To identify the factors associated with automobile crashes, moving violations, and being stopped by police in a cohort of elderly drivers., Design: Prospective cohort study., Setting: Urban community., Participants: All 283 persons who drove between 1990 and 1991, selected from a representative cohort of community-living persons aged 72 years and older in New Haven, Connecticut., Measurements: Data on independent variables in five domains (demographic, health, psychosocial, activity, and physical performance) were collected in structured interviews before events occurred. The outcome measure was the self-report of involvement in automobile crashes, moving violations, or being stopped by police in a 1-year period., Results: Of the 283 drivers, 13% reported a crash, a moving violation, or being stopped by police in 1 year. The baseline factors associated with the occurrence of adverse events in multivariable analysis (with adjustment for driving frequency and housing type) were the following: poor design copying on the Mini-Mental State Examination (relative risk, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.5 to 5.0), fewer blocks walked (relative risk, 2.3; CI, 1.3 to 4.0), and more foot abnormalities (relative risk, 1.9; CI, 1.1 to 3.3). These risk factors were combined for assessment of their ability to predict the occurrence of adverse driving events. If no factors were present, 6% of drivers had events; if 1 factor was present, 12% had events; if 2 factors were present, 26% had events; and if 3 factors were present, 47% had events., Conclusions: In this urban population, several simple clinical measures correlated with the risk for adverse driving events.

Objectives: Hip fractures can have devastating effects on the lives of older individuals. We determined the frequency of occurrence of hip fracture and the baseline factors predicting death and institutionalization at 6 months after hip fracture., Methods: A representative cohort of 2812 individuals aged 65 years and older was followed prospectively for 6 years. Hip fractures were identified, and the occurrence of death and institutionalization within 6 months of the fracture was determined. Prefracture information on physical and mental function, social support, and demographic features and in-hospital data on comorbid diagnoses, fracture site, and complications were analyzed to determine predictors of death and institutionalization after hip fracture., Results: Of 120 individuals suffering a hip fracture, 22 (18%) died within 6 months and 35 (29%) were institutionalized at 6 months. The predictors of death in multiple logistic regression included fracture site, a high number of comorbid conditions, a high number of complications, and poor baseline mental status. The primary predictor of institutionalization was poor baseline mental status., Conclusions: The frequency of death, institutionalization, and loss of function after hip fracture should prompt a reevaluation of the current approach to this problem.

Objective: To describe the structure and implementation of the Yale Geriatric Care Program, an innovative, nursing-centered model for developing geriatric nursing expertise throughout an acute-care hospital., Design: Descriptive study of an intervention in a prospective cohort of patients., Setting: University teaching hospital., Patients: Two hundred forty four patients aged 70 years and older on four non-intensive care intervention units during the study period (July 9, 1990 to July 31, 1991)., Intervention: The Geriatric Care Program involved an integrated model of primary nurses, specially trained unit-based geriatric resource nurses, gerontological nurse specialists, and geriatric physicians. The intervention included surveillance and identification of frail older patients, unit-based geriatric educational programs for all nurses, special education and support for the geriatric resource nurses, and twice-weekly rounds of the Geriatric Care Team., Results: The Geriatric Care Program has been successfully implemented on four units. The interventions ranged from general clarification of goals in 226 (92%) to specific recommendations for management of immobility in 100 (41%), bladder/bowel problems in 99 (41%), pressure ulcer treatment or prevention in 61 (25%), confusion evaluation or management in 62 (25%), and adjustment of medications in 43 (18%). Overall, 68% of the specific recommendations were documented to have been implemented. Barriers to implementation of the program have included initial difficulties with recruitment and retainment of geriatric resource nurses (due to high nursing turnover and the increased time commitment required), breakdown in communication and carryover of recommendations between nursing shifts, and obstacles to communication between the nursing and medical staff., Conclusions: An innovative model of care, in which geriatric nursing was integrated as part of standard nursing care on selected medical and surgical units, has been designed and implemented. Evaluation of the effectiveness and costs of this intervention are currently underway.

Objective: To test the effectiveness of a nursing-centered intervention to prevent functional decline among hospitalized elderly medical patients., Design: Prospective cohort study with stratified and matched cohort analyses., Setting: General medicine wards of a university teaching hospital., Patients: Two hundred sixteen patients aged > or = 70 years (85 intervention and 131 control patients)., Intervention: The intervention included identification and surveillance of frail older patients, twice-weekly rounds of the Geriatric Care Team, and a nursing-centered educational program., Main Outcome Measure: Functional decline, defined as a net decline in five activities of daily living (ADLs)., Results: In stratified analyses, the intervention resulted in a beneficial effect with a relative risk of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.54 to 1.24) in patients (n = 106) with one of four geriatric target conditions at baseline (eg, delirium, functional impairment, incontinence, and pressure sores). The intervention had no effect in patients without target conditions at baseline (n = 110); thus, this subgroup was excluded from further analyses. When patients were matched on number of target conditions and risk for functional decline at baseline (n = 66), the intervention resulted in a significant beneficial effect, with a reduction in functional decline from 64% in controls to 41% in the intervention group, for a relative risk of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.43 to 0.96). The intervention group had significantly less decline in ADL score and in individual ADLs than control subjects. Specific interventions aimed at maximizing function, such as physical therapy, were received more often by intervention patients; however, the beneficial effects of the intervention were achieved without increasing per-day hospital costs., Conclusions: The intervention appears effective to decrease functional decline in targeted elderly hospitalized medical patients.

Objective: To prospectively develop and validate a predictive index to identify on admission elderly hospitalized medical patients at risk for functional decline., Design: Two prospective cohort studies, in tandem. The predictive model developed in the initial cohort was subsequently validated in a separate cohort., Setting: General medical wards of a university teaching hospital., Patients: For the development cohort, 188 hospitalized general medical patients aged > or = 70 years. For the validation cohort, 142 comparable patients., Measurement and Main Results: The subjects and their nurses were interviewed twice weekly using standardized, validated instruments. Functional decline occurred among 51/188 (27%) patients in the development cohort. Four independent baseline risk factors (RFs) for functional decline were identified: decubitus ulcer (adjusted relative risk [RR] 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4, 5.2); cognitive impairment (RR 1.7; CI 0.9, 3.1); functional impairment (RR 1.8; CI 1.0, 3.3); and low social activity level (RR 2.4; CI 1.2, 5.1). A risk-stratification system was developed by adding the numbers of RFs. Rates of functional decline for the low- (0 RF), intermediate- (1-2 RFs), and high- (3-4 RFs) risk groups were 8%, 28%, and 63%, respectively (p < 0.0001). The corresponding rates in the validation cohort, of whom 34/142 (24%) developed functional decline, were 6%, 29%, and 83% (p < 0.0001). The rates of death or nursing home placement, clinical outcomes associated with functional decline in the hospital, were 6%, 19%, and 41% (p < 0.002) in the development cohort and 10%, 32%, and 67% (p < 0.001) in the validation cohort, respectively, for the three risk groups., Conclusions: Functional decline among hospitalized elderly patients is common, and a simple predictive model based on four risk factors can be used on admission to identify elderly persons at greatest risk.

Objective: To prospectively study the incidence of and risk factors for home health care (HHC) use in a cohort of elderly medical and surgical patients discharged from acute care. Although HHC is commonly received by patients in this group, its predictors have not been well studied., Design: Prospective cohort study., Setting: Medical and surgical wards at a university teaching hospital, followed by 23 Medicare-certified HHC agencies in the study catchment area., Patients: 226 medical and surgical patients aged 70 years and older immediately after discharge from acute care., Measurements: HHC initiated within 14 days after hospital discharge, measured by direct review of HHC agency records., Results: The incidence of HHC initiated within 2 weeks post-discharge was 75/226 (34%). The median duration of service was 30 days (range 3-483) with a median of 3 visits per week. Four independent predictors of HHC were identified through multivariate analysis: educational level < or = 12 years (relative risk (RR) 3.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6 to 6.6); less accessible social support (RR, 1.7; CI 0.9 to 3.1); impairment in at least one instrumental activity of daily living (RR, 1.9; CI, 1.0, 3.4); and prior HHC use (RR, 2.1; CI, 1.2 to 3.6). Risk strata were created by adding one point for each risk factor present: with 0-1 risk factors, 8% used HHC; with two risk factors, 28%; with three risk factors, 45%, with four risk factors, 76%. This trend was statistically significant (P < 0.001)., Conclusions: HHC use is common among elderly patients after discharge from acute care. A simple predictive model based on four risk factors can be used on admission to predict HHC use. This model may be useful for discharge planning and health care utilization planning for the elderly population.

The factors associated with driving cessation, number of miles driven, and changes in mileage were assessed in a community-living elderly population. A driving survey was administered in 1989 to surviving members of the New Haven EPESE cohort. Of 1,331 respondents, 456 had driven and 139 had stopped driving between 1983 and 1989. Independent predictors of driving cessation from a multiple logistic regression model included higher age, lower income, not working, neurologic disease, cataracts, lower physical activity level, and functional disability. These risk factors were combined to assess their ability to predict driving cessation. If no factors were present, no subjects stopped driving; if one or two factors were present, 17 percent stopped; if three or more factors were present, 49 percent stopped. Along with the expected medical factors, physical activity level and social and economic factors contributed to driving cessation. High mileage drivers tended to be younger, active males who still worked. Increasing age and disability were associated with mileage reduction compared to five years earlier.

Objective: The main objective of the study was to determine the change in physical function following hip fractures in a community-living elderly population. A secondary objective was the determination of baseline factors predictive of altered function following hip fracture., Design: Prospective, cohort study., Setting: Urban, community-living elders., Participants: 120 members of a cohort of 2806 individuals age 65 and older in New Haven, CT who sustained a hip fracture from 1982 to 1988 and were treated in the two New Haven hospitals., Outcome Measure: Self-reported performance of dressing, transferring, walking across a room, climbing stairs, and walking one-half mile before the fracture occurred and 6 weeks and 6 months post-fracture. Baseline factors were assessed before the hip fracture occurred., Results: Of the 120 cohort members who sustained a hip fracture in the 6-year study period, 22 died within 6 months of the fracture. Among survivors there was a sustained decline in function at 6 weeks after the fracture with little improvement by 6 months. At baseline, 86% could dress independently versus 49% at 6 months; 90% could transfer independently versus 32% at 6 months; 75% could walk across a room independently versus 15% at 6 months; 63% could climb a flight of stairs versus 8% at 6 months; and 41% could walk one-half mile versus 6% at 6 months. Physical function and mental status were the only baseline factors significantly associated with physical function at 6 months after the fracture in bivariate analysis, while physical function and depression were associated in multivariate analysis., Conclusion: We found a substantial decline in physical function following hip fracture in a prospectively followed community-living elderly population. Only pre-morbid physical and mental function predicted this decline.

We propose a short, simple approach that can be used by general internists to routinely screen the functional status of elderly patients in office practice. The approach relies on checking a limited number of targets that are commonly dysfunctional but often unappreciated when conventional histories and physical examinations are done for elderly patients. The new focus is on carefully selected tests of vision, hearing, arm and leg function, urinary incontinence, mental status, instrumental and basic activities of daily living, environmental hazards, and social support systems. Brief questions and easily observed tasks are used to obtain the information needed for a suitable, effective screening while minimizing the time for administration. The approach can be incorporated into routine practice if certain relatively unproductive procedures are eliminated from the routine clinical examination, and particularly if internists are suitably compensated for the additional time.

The seventh patient with rheumatoid arthritis undergoing successful aortic valve replacement and the first to receive a porcine heterograft is reported. The implications of rheumatoid heart disease are discussed.

A patient with systemic lupus erythematosus developed insidious bilateral infrapatellar tendon rupture initially diagnosed as steroid myopathy. Simultaneous loss of extension at the knee due to quadriceps or infrapatellar tendon ruptures is reviewed.

A companion article describes the development of a patient classification system for long-term care patients, Resource Utilization Groups (RUGs). Three potential limitations of this system and its development are addressed here: the use of a subjectively determined dependent variable, geographic limitation of the data to Connecticut skilled nursing facilities, and limited assessment of the quality of the facilities studied. Additional systems of Resource Utilization Groups were derived, using the same clustering technique but employing two separate data sets from the Battelle Human Affairs Research Center. These data bases provided an objective dependent variable, wide geographic distribution of both skilled nursing facilities and intermediate care facilities, and homes specifically selected on the basis of quality. The RUGs derived from the two sets of Battelle data and the initial RUG system showed remarkable similarity in their patient groupings and in the case-mix indexes developed for nursing homes. The concurrence of the results obtained for these three systems greatly strengthens the basis for the use of this classification system as a case mix measure for long-term care.

The ability to understand, control, manage, regulate, and reimburse nursing home care has been hampered by the unavailability of a classification system of long-term care patients. A study of 1,469 patients in Connecticut nursing homes has resulted in such a classification system that clusters patients with similar relative needs for resources, in particular, for nursing time. The nine groups formed can be used to develop a case-mix profile of the relative care needs of these patients, and their development demonstrates that only a few measures of the functional status of patients, rather than diagnosis or psychosocial/behavioral problems, are sufficient to form such a system.