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Osteoarthritis (OA) is characterized by the gradual loss of cartilage. Sprifermin, a recombinant FGF18, is being developed as a cartilage anabolic drug. PRO-C2 is a serum marker of type II collagen formation and low levels have been shown to be prognostic of radiographic progression. The aim of the study was to investigate whether the patient groups with either high or low PRO-C2 levels responded differently to sprifermin.PRO-C2 was measured in synovial fluid (SF) (n = 59) and serum samples (n = 225) from participants of the FORWARD study, a 2-year phase IIb clinical trial testing the efficacy of intra-articular (IA) sprifermin over placebo. The difference between sprifermin and placebo in respect to in change cartilage thickness (measured by quantitative (q) MRI) was analyzed in groups with either high or low (3SF levels of PRO-C2 increased over time in response to sprifermin, but not to placebo. In the placebo arm, significantly (p = 0.005) more cartilage was lost in the low vs high PRO-C2 group over the 2-year period. The contrast between sprifermin and placebo was significant (p 0.001), ranging from 0.104 mm at week 26 to 0.229 mm at week 104 in the low PRO-C2 group. This result was not significant in the high PRO-C2 group ranging from -0.034 to 0.142.Patients with low serum PRO-C2 levels lost more cartilage thickness over time and grew more cartilage in response to sprifermin vs a placebo when compared to patients with high PRO-C2 levels.

Quantitative measures of cartilage morphology (“cartilage morphometry”) extracted from high resolution 3D magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) sequences have been shown to be sensitive to osteoarthritis (OA)-related change and also to treatment interventions. Cartilage morphometry is therefore nowadays widely used as outcome measure for observational studies and randomized interventional clinical trials. The objective of this narrative review is to summarize the current status of cartilage morphometry in OA research, to provide insights into aspects relevant for the design of future studies and clinical trials, and to give an outlook on future developments. It covers the aspects related to the acquisition of MRIs suitable for cartilage morphometry, the analysis techniques needed for deriving quantitative measures from the MRIs, the quality assurance required for providing reliable cartilage measures, and the appropriate participant recruitment criteria for the enrichment of study cohorts with knees likely to show structural progression. Finally, it provides an overview over recent clinical trials that relied on cartilage morphometry as a structural outcome measure for evaluating the efficacy of disease-modifying OA drugs (DMOAD).

Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common form of arthritis and a major source of pain and disability in the adult population. There is a significant unmet medical need for the development of effective pharmacological therapies for the treatment of OA. In addition to spontaneously occurring animal models of OA, many experimental animal models have been developed to provide insights into mechanisms of pathogenesis and progression. Many of these animal models are also being used in the drug development pipeline. Here, we provide an overview of commonly used and emerging preclinical small animal models of OA and highlight the strengths and limitations of small animal models in the context of translational drug development. There is limited information in the published literature regarding the technical reliability of these small animal models and their ability to accurately predict clinical drug development outcomes. The cost and complexity of the available models however is an important consideration for pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology startups, and contract research organizations wishing to incorporate preclinical models in target validation, discovery, and development pipelines. Further considerations relevant to industry include timelines, methods of induction, the key issue of reproducibility, and appropriate outcome measures needed to objectively assess outcomes of experimental therapeutics. Preclinical small animal models are indispensable tools that will shine some light on the pathogenesis of OA and its molecular endotypes in the context of drug development. This paper will focus on small animal models used in preclinical OA research. © 2022 The Authors. Current Protocols published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.

Objective To assess pain outcomes and cartilage thickness change in a subgroup at risk (SAR) of further progression in the FORWARD trial of knee osteoarthritis patients treated with sprifermin. Methods Patients were randomised 1:1:1:1:1 to: sprifermin 100 µg every 6 months (q6mo), 100 µg q12mo, 30 µg q6mo, 30 µg q12mo, or placebo for 18 months. SAR was defined as baseline medial or lateral minimum joint-space width (mJSW) 1.5–3.5 mm and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score 40–90 units. Follow-up to 3 years was included in the analysis. Treatment benefit was explored by repeated measures, linear dose-effect trends by timepoint. Results The SAR comprised 161 (29%) of 549 patients. Mean difference (95% CI) in WOMAC pain at year 3 for sprifermin 100 µg q6mo vs placebo SAR was -8.75 (-22.42, 4.92) for SAR vs 0.97 (-6.22, 8.16) for the intent-to-treat population. SAR placebo patients lost more cartilage over 2 years than the modified ITT (mITT) placebo arm (mean change from baseline, mm [SD]: -0.05 [0.10] vs -0.02 [0.07]). Net total femorotibial joint thickness gain with sprifermin 100 µg q6mo (adjusted mean difference from placebo [95% CI] was similar in the SAR and in the mITT group: 0.06 [0.01, 0.11] vs 0.05 [0.03, 0.07]). Conclusions Selection for low mJSW and moderate-to-high pain at baseline resulted in more rapid disease progression and demonstrated translation of structure modification (with maintained net benefit on total cartilage thickness) into symptomatic benefit. This subgroup may represent a target population for future trials. Clinical trial registration : NCT01919164.

Objectives The IMI-APPROACH knee osteoarthritis study used machine learning (ML) to predict structural and/or pain progression, expressed by a structural (S) and pain (P) predicted-progression score, to select patients from existing cohorts. This study evaluates the actual 2-year progression within the IMI-APPROACH, in relation to the predicted-progression scores. Methods Actual structural progression was measured using minimum joint space width (minJSW). Actual pain (progression) was evaluated using the Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcomes Score (KOOS) pain questionnaire. Progression was presented as actual change (Δ) after 2 years, and as progression over 2 years based on a per patient fitted regression line using 0, 0.5, 1 and 2-year values. Differences in predicted-progression scores between actual progressors and non-progressors were evaluated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed and corresponding area under the curve (AUC) reported. Using Youden’s index, optimal cut-offs were chosen to enable evaluation of both predicted-progression scores to identify actual progressors. Results Actual structural progressors were initially assigned higher S predicted-progression scores compared with structural non-progressors. Likewise, actual pain progressors were assigned higher P predicted-progression scores compared with pain non-progressors. The AUC-ROC for the S predicted-progression score to identify actual structural progressors was poor (0.612 and 0.599 for Δ and regression minJSW, respectively). The AUC-ROC for the P predicted-progression score to identify actual pain progressors were good (0.817 and 0.830 for Δ and regression KOOS pain, respectively). Conclusion The S and P predicted-progression scores as provided by the ML models developed and used for the selection of IMI-APPROACH patients were to some degree able to distinguish between actual progressors and non-progressors. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03883568.

Sprifermin is under investigation as a potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug. Previously, 2-year results from the FORWARD study showed significant dose-dependent modification of cartilage thickness in the total femorotibial joint (TFTJ), medial and lateral femorotibial compartments (MFTC, LFTC), and central medial and lateral TFTJ subregions, by quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (qMRI) using manual segmentation.To determine whether qMRI findings from FORWARD could be reproduced by an independent method of automated segmentation using an identical dataset and similar anatomical regions in a post-hoc analysis.Cartilage thickness was assessed at baseline and 6, 12, 18 and 24 months, using automated cartilage segmentation with active appearance models, a supervised machine learning method. Images were blinded for treatment and timepoint. Treatment effect was assessed by observed and adjusted changes using a linear mixed model for repeated measures.Based on automated segmentation, statistically significant, dose-dependent structural modification of cartilage thickness was observed over 2 years with sprifermin vs placebo for TFTJ (overall treatment effect and dose response, both P 0.001), MFTC (P = 0.004 and P = 0.044), and LFTC (both P 0.001) regions. For highest dose, in the central medial tibial (P = 0.008), central lateral tibial (P 0.001) and central lateral femoral (P 0.001) regions.Cartilage thickness assessed by automated segmentation provided a consistent dose response in structural modification compared with manual segmentation. This is the first time that two independent quantification methods of image analysis have reached the same conclusions in an interventional trial, strengthening the conclusions that sprifermin modifies structural progression in knee osteoarthritis.

ObjectivesOsteoarthritis (OA) patients with a neuropathic pain (NP) component may represent a specific phenotype. This study compares joint damage, pain and functional disability between knee OA patients with a likely NP component, and those without a likely NP component.MethodsBaseline data from the Innovative Medicines Initiative Applied Public-Private Research enabling OsteoArthritis Clinical Headway knee OA cohort study were used. Patients with a painDETECT score ≥19 (with likely NP component, n=24) were matched on a 1:2 ratio to patients with a painDETECT score ≤12 (without likely NP component), and similar knee and general pain (Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score pain and Short Form 36 pain). Pain, physical function and radiographic joint damage of multiple joints were determined and compared between OA patients with and without a likely NP component.ResultsOA patients with painDETECT scores ≥19 had statistically significant less radiographic joint damage (p≤0.04 for Knee Images Digital Analysis parameters and Kellgren and Lawrence grade), but an impaired physical function (pConclusionsOA patients with a likely NP component, as determined with the painDETECT questionnaire, may represent a specific OA phenotype, where local and overall joint damage is not the main cause of pain and disability. Patients with this NP component will likely not benefit from general pain medication and/or disease-modifying OA drug (DMOAD) therapy. Reserved inclusion of these patients in DMOAD trials is advised in the quest for successful OA treatments.Trial registration numberThe study is registered under clinicaltrials.gov nr: NCT03883568.

ObjectivesOsteoarthritis (OA) patient stratification is an important challenge to design tailored treatments and drive drug development. Biochemical markers reflecting joint tissue turnover were measured in the IMI-APPROACH cohort at baseline and analysed using a machine learning approach in order to study OA-dominant phenotypes driven by the endotype-related clusters and discover the driving features and their disease-context meaning.MethodData quality assessment was performed to design appropriate data preprocessing techniques. The k-means clustering algorithm was used to find dominant subgroups of patients based on the biochemical markers data. Classification models were trained to predict cluster membership, and Explainable AI techniques were used to interpret these to reveal the driving factors behind each cluster and identify phenotypes. Statistical analysis was performed to compare differences between clusters with respect to other markers in the IMI-APPROACH cohort and the longitudinal disease progression.ResultsThree dominant endotypes were found, associated with three phenotypes: C1) low tissue turnover (low repair and articular cartilage/subchondral bone turnover), C2) structural damage (high bone formation/resorption, cartilage degradation) and C3) systemic inflammation (joint tissue degradation, inflammation, cartilage degradation). The method achieved consistent results in the FNIH/OAI cohort. C1 had the highest proportion of non-progressors. C2 was mostly linked to longitudinal structural progression, and C3 was linked to sustained or progressive pain.ConclusionsThis work supports the existence of differential phenotypes in OA. The biomarker approach could potentially drive stratification for OA clinical trials and contribute to precision medicine strategies for OA progression in the future.Trial registration numberNCT03883568.

ObjectiveThe FORWARD (FGF-18 Osteoarthritis Randomized Trial with Administration of Repeated Doses) trial assessed efficacy and safety of the potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD) sprifermin in patients with knee osteoarthritis. Here, we report 5-year efficacy and safety results.MethodsPatients were randomised to intra-articular sprifermin 100 µg or 30 µg every 6 months (q6mo) or 12 months, or placebo, for 18 months. The primary analysis was at year 2, with follow-up at years 3, 4 and 5. Additional post hoc exploratory analyses were conducted in patients with baseline minimum radiographic joint space width 1.5–3.5 mm and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain 40–90, a subgroup at risk (SAR) of progression.Results378 (69%) patients completed the 5-year follow-up. A significant dose-response in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness with sprifermin (trend test, pConclusionIn the longest DMOAD trial reported to date, sprifermin maintained long-term structural modification of articular cartilage over 3.5 years post-treatment. Potential translation to clinical benefit was observed in the SAR.Trial registration numberNCT01919164

ObjectivesTo describe the relations between baseline clinical characteristics of the Applied Public-Private Research enabling OsteoArthritis Clinical Headway (IMI-APPROACH) participants and their predicted probabilities for knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural (S) progression and/or pain (P) progression.MethodsBaseline clinical characteristics of the IMI-APPROACH participants were used for this study. Radiographs were evaluated according to Kellgren and Lawrence (K&L grade) and Knee Image Digital Analysis. Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) and Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) were used to evaluate pain. Predicted progression scores for each individual were determined using machine learning models. Pearson correlation coefficients were used to evaluate correlations between scores for predicted progression and baseline characteristics. T-tests and χ2 tests were used to evaluate differences between participants with high versus low progression scores.ResultsParticipants with high S progressions score were found to have statistically significantly less structural damage compared with participants with low S progression scores (minimum Joint Space Width, minJSW 3.56 mm vs 1.63 mm; pConclusionsThe baseline minJSW of the IMI-APPROACH participants contradicts the idea that the (predicted) course of knee OA follows a pattern of inertia, where patients who have progressed previously are more likely to display further progression. In contrast, for pain progressors the pattern of inertia seems valid, since participants with high P score already have more pain at baseline compared with participants with a low P score.

The heterogeneous nature of osteoarthritis (OA) and the need to subtype patients is widely accepted in the field. The biomarker CRPM, a metabolite of C-reactive protein (CRP), is released to the circulation during inflammation. Blood CRPM levels have shown to be associated with disease activity and response to treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We investigated the level of blood CRPM in OA compared to RA using data from two phase III knee OA and two RA studies (N = 1591). Moreover, the association between CRPM levels and radiographic progression was investigated. The mean CRPM levels were significantly lower in OA (8.5 [95% CI 8.3–8.8] ng/mL, n = 781) compared to the RA patients (12.8 [9.5–16.0] ng/mL, n = 60); however, a significant subset of OA patients (31%) had CRPM levels (≥ 9 ng/mL) comparable to RA. Furthermore, OA patients (n = 152) with CRPM levels ≥ 9 ng/mL were more likely to develop contra-lateral knee OA assessed by X-ray over a two-year follow-up period with an odds ratio of 2.2 [1.0–4.7]. These data suggest that CRPM is a blood-based biochemical marker for early identification OA patients with an inflammatory phenotype.

BackgroundThe heterogeneous nature of osteoarthritis (OA) and the need to subtype patients is widely accepted. The biomarker CRPM, a metabolite of C-reactive protein (CRP), is released to the circulation during inflammation. Blood CRPM levels have shown to be associated with disease activity and response to treatment in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We hypothesized that circulating levels of CRPMs could be used to identify OA patients with an inflammatory phenotype. We investigated the level and the prognostic effect of CRPM using combined data from two phase III OA and two RA studies (N = 1591). The association between serum CRPM levels and radiographic progression was investigated in knees of OA patients without radiographic OA in contra-lateral knee at baseline by dividing the patients into cases (knees with two-year radiographic progression) and controls (knees without radiographic progression). ResultsThe mean CRPM levels were significantly lower in OA (8.5 [95% CI 8.3-8.8] ng/mL) compared to the RA patients (15.6 [9.5-21.6] ng/mL); however, a significant subset of OA patients (31%) had CRPM levels ≥ 9ng/mL, as 75% of patients with early RA. Furthermore, OA patients with CRPM levels ≥ 9ng/mL were more likely to progress on X-ray over a two-year follow-up period; CRPM was prognostic for contralateral incidence knee OA with an odds ratio of 2.2 [1.0 - 4.7]. ConclusionA subset of OA patients, approximately 30%, appear to have tissue inflammation comparable to that of RA patients, reflected by the level of CRPM. Furthermore, high CRPM levels were prognostic of incident knee OA. These data suggest that CRPM is a blood-based biochemical marker for early identification OA patients with an inflammatory phenotype.

Osteoarthritis (OA) is associated with cartilage breakdown, brought about by ADAMTS-5 mediated aggrecan degradation followed by MMP-derived aggrecan and type II collagen degradation. We investigated a novel anti-ADAMTS-5 inhibiting Nanobody&reg, (M6495) on cartilage turnover ex vivo. Bovine cartilage (BEX, n = 4), human osteoarthritic - (HEX, n = 8) and healthy&mdash, cartilage (hHEX, n = 1) explants and bovine synovium and cartilage were cultured up to 21 days in medium alone (w/o), with pro-inflammatory cytokines (oncostatin M (10 ng/mL) + TNF&alpha, (20 ng/mL) (O + T), IL-1&alpha, (10 ng/mL) or oncostatin M (50 ng/mL) + IL-1&beta, (10 ng/mL)) with or without M6495 (1000&minus, 0.46 nM). Cartilage turnover was assessed in conditioned medium by GAG (glycosaminoglycan) and biomarkers of ADAMTS-5 driven aggrecan degradation (huARGS and exAGNxI) and type II collagen degradation (C2M) and formation (PRO-C2). HuARGS, exAGNxI and GAG peaked within the first culture week in pro-inflammatory stimulated explants. C2M peaked from day 14 by O + T and day 21 in co-culture experiments. M6495 dose dependently decreased huARGS, exAGNxI and GAG after pro-inflammatory stimulation. In HEX C2M was dose-dependently reduced by M6495. M6495 showed no effect on PRO-C2. M6495 showed cartilage protective effects by dose-dependently inhibiting ADAMTS-5 mediated cartilage degradation and inhibiting overall cartilage deterioration in ex vivo cartilage cultures.

Conventional inclusion criteria used in osteoarthritis clinical trials are not very effective in selecting patients who would benefit from a therapy being tested. Typically majority of selected patients show no or limited disease progression during a trial period. As a consequence, the effect of the tested treatment cannot be observed, and the efforts and resources invested in running the trial are not rewarded. This could be avoided, if selection criteria were more predictive of the future disease progression. In this article, we formulated the patient selection problem as a multi-class classification task, with classes based on clinically relevant measures of progression (over a time scale typical for clinical trials). Using data from two long-term knee osteoarthritis studies OAI and CHECK, we tested multiple algorithms and learning process configurations (including multi-classifier approaches, cost-sensitive learning, and feature selection), to identify the best performing machine learning models. We examined the behaviour of the best models, with respect to prediction errors and the impact of used features, to confirm their clinical relevance. We found that the model-based selection outperforms the conventional inclusion criteria, reducing by 20-25% the number of patients who show no progression. This result might lead to more efficient clinical trials., Comment: 22 pages, 12 figures, 10 tables

Sprifermin, recombinant human fibroblast growth factor 18 (rhFGF18), induces cartilage regeneration in knees of patients with osteoarthritis (OA). We hypothesized that a temporal multiphasic process of extracellular matrix (ECM) degradation and formation underlie this effect. We aimed to characterize the temporal ECM remodeling of human knee OA articular cartilage in response to sprifermin treatment. Articular cartilage explants from patients with knee OA (npatients = 14) were cultured for 70 days, with permanent exposure to sprifermin (900, 450, 225 ng/mL), FGF18 (450 ng/mL), insulin-like growth factor-1 (100 ng/mL, positive control) or vehicle (nreplicates/treatment/patient = 2). Metabolic activity (AlamarBlue) and biomarkers of type IIB collagen (PIIBNP) formation (Pro-C2 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay [ELISA]) and aggrecanase-mediated aggrecan neo-epitope NITEGE (AGNx1 ELISA) were quantified once a week. At end of culture (day 70), gene expression (quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction) and proteoglycan content (Safranin O/Fast green staining) were quantified. The cartilage had continuously increased metabolic activity, when treated with sprifermin/FGF18 compared to vehicle. During days 7–28 PIIBNP was decreased and NITEGE was increased, and during days 35–70 PIIBNP was increased. At end of culture, the cartilage had sustained proteoglycan content and relative expression of ACAN

Background The concept of osteoarthritis (OA) heterogeneity is evolving and gaining renewed interest. According to this concept, distinct subtypes of OA need to be defined that will likely require recognition in research design and different approaches to clinical management. Although seemingly plausible, a wide range of views exist on how best to operationalize this concept. The current project aimed to provide consensus-based definitions and recommendations that together create a framework for conducting and reporting OA phenotype research. Methods A panel of 25 members with expertise in OA phenotype research was composed. First, panel members participated in an online Delphi exercise to provide a number of basic definitions and statements relating to OA phenotypes and OA phenotype research. Second, panel members provided input on a set of recommendations for reporting on OA phenotype studies. Results Four Delphi rounds were required to achieve sufficient agreement on 11 definitions and statements. OA phenotypes were defined as subtypes of OA that share distinct underlying pathobiological and pain mechanisms and their structural and functional consequences. Reporting recommendations pertaining to the study characteristics, study population, data collection, statistical analysis, and appraisal of OA phenotype studies were provided. Conclusions This study provides a number of consensus-based definitions and recommendations relating to OA phenotypes. The resulting framework is intended to facilitate research on OA phenotypes and increase combined efforts to develop effective OA phenotype classification. Success in this endeavor will hopefully translate into more effective, differentiated OA management that will benefit a multitude of OA patients.

PurposeThe Applied Public-Private Research enabling OsteoArthritis Clinical Headway (APPROACH) consortium intends to prospectively describe in detail, preselected patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA), using conventional and novel clinical, imaging, and biochemical markers, to support OA drug development.ParticipantsAPPROACH is a prospective cohort study including 297 patients with tibiofemoral OA, according to the American College of Rheumatology classification criteria. Patients were (pre)selected from existing cohorts using machine learning models, developed on data from the CHECK cohort, to display a high likelihood of radiographic joint space width (JSW) loss and/or knee pain progression.Findings to dateSelection appeared logistically feasible and baseline characteristics of the cohort demonstrated an OA population with more severe disease: age 66.5 (SD 7.1) vs 68.1 (7.7) years, min-JSW 2.5 (1.3) vs 2.1 (1.0) mm and Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score pain 31.3 (19.7) vs 17.7 (14.6), except for age, all: pFuture plansPatients will visit the hospital again at 6, 12 and 24 months for physical examination, pain and general health questionnaires, collection of blood and urine, MRI scans, radiographs of knees and hands, CT scan of the knee, low radiation whole-body CT, HandScan, motion analysis and performance-based tests.After two years, data will show whether those patients with the highest probabilities for progression experienced disease progression as compared to those wit lower probabilities (model validation) and whether phenotypes/endotypes can be identified and predicted to facilitate targeted drug therapy.Trial registration numberNCT03883568

Summary Objective Links between pain and joint degradation are poorly understood. We investigated the role of activation of Toll-like receptors (TLR) by cartilage metabolites in initiating and maintaining the inflammatory loop in OA causing joint destruction. Methods Synovial membrane explants (SMEs) were prepared from OA patients’ synovial biopsies. SMEs were cultured for 10 days under following conditions: culture medium alone, OSM + TNFα, TLR2 agonist - Pam2CSK4, Pam3CSK4 or synthetic aggrecan 32-mer, TLR4 agonist - Lipid A. Release of pro-inflammatory and degradation biomarkers (acMMP3 and C3M) were measured by ELISA in conditioned media along with IL-6. Additionally, human cartilage was digested with ADAMTS-5, with or without the ADAMTS-5 inhibiting nanobody - M6495. Digested cartilage solution (DCS) and synthetic 32-mer were tested for TLR activation in SEAP based TLR reporter assay. Results Western blotting confirmed TLR2 and TLR4 in untreated OA synovial biopsies. TLR agonists showed an increase in release of biomarkers - acMMP3 and C3M in SME. Synthetic 32-mer showed no activation in the TLR reporter assay. ADAMTS-5 degraded cartilage fragments activated TLR2 in vitro. Adding M6495 – an anti-ADAMTS-5 inhibiting nanobody®, blocked ADAMTS-5-mediated DCS TLR2 activation. Conclusion TLR2 is expressed in synovium of OA patients and their activation by synthetic ligands causes increased tissue turnover. ADAMTS-5-mediated cartilage degradation leads to release of aggrecan fragments which activates the TLR2 receptor in vitro. M6495 suppressed cartilage degradation by ADAMTS-5, limiting the activation of TLR2. In conclusion, pain and joint destruction may be linked to generation of ADAMTS-5 cartilage metabolites.

Background Results from the 5-year Phase II FORWARD study showed significant dose-dependent modification of total femorotibial joint (TFTJ) cartilage thickness change with sprifermin at 2 and 3 years, by quantitative MRI. Total Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) scores improved by ∼50% in all treatment groups, including placebo (PBO). Selection of a patient (pt) subgroup with higher pain scores and lower joint space width (JSW) at baseline (BL), to identify pts who are at risk of further structural and symptomatic progression, may facilitate better WOMAC discrimination. Objectives Post-hoc analysis to evaluate cartilage thickness changes and symptomatic outcomes in an “at risk” subgroup of pts (BL medial or lateral minimum [m]JSW 1.5–3.5 mm and BL WOMAC pain score of 40–90). Methods Pts in FORWARD were randomized 1:1:1:1:1 to: sprifermin 100 µg every 6 months (q6mo); 100 µg q12mo; 30 µg q6mo; 30 µg q12mo; and PBO. The treatment period was 2 years, with an extended follow up at 3 years. Post-hoc analysis was conducted in the “at risk” subgroup. Treatment effects were estimated using a repeated measures model, controlling for BL, treatment, time, country and treatment by time interaction. Linear dose-effect trend tests were performed exploratively at each timepoint. Confidence intervals (CIs) were adjusted for multiplicity of treatments using Dunnett adjustment. Results 161/549 (29%) pts met criteria for the “at risk” subgroup. In this subgroup, BL characteristics were balanced between treatment arms. Pts in the PBO arm had more cartilage loss at 2 and 3 years vs the modified intent-to-treat (mITT) PBO arm (mean change from BL in mm [SD]: Year 2 -0.05 [0.10] vs -0.02 [0.07]; Year 3 -0.07 [0.09] vs -0.05 [0.07]), but TFTJ net cartilage modification with sprifermin 100 µg q6mo vs PBO was similar (adjusted mean difference from PBO [95% CI] in the at risk subgroup vs the mITT group: Year 2 0.06 [0.01, 0.11] vs 0.05 [0.02, 0.08]; Year 3 0.05 [-0.01, 0.12] vs 0.05 [0.02, 0.09]). Having both medial or lateral mJSW 1.5–3.5 mm AND pain score ≥40 at BL led to greater differentiation in WOMAC total and pain scores for sprifermin 100 µg q6mo vs PBO than having either BL characteristic alone. At Year 3 (18 mos after last injection), the exploratory dose-effect trend test had a nominal p-value of Conclusion Despite substantial structural and symptomatic progression in the “at risk” subgroup, structural improvement with sprifermin was maintained, and WOMAC score improvements vs PBO increased over time and were significant at Year 3. This supports further investigation of sprifermin as a potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug in a targeted population where structural improvement may translate into symptomatic benefit vs PBO within a reasonable timeframe. Disclosure of Interests Hans Guhring Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Jeffrey Kraines Employee of: Employee of EMD Serono (a business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany), Flavie Moreau Employee of: Employee of EMD Serono (a business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany), Benjamin Daelken Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Christoph Ladel Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Wolfgang Wirth Shareholder of: Shareholder of Chondrometrics GmbH, Ainring, Germany, Employee of: Employee of Chondrometrics GmbH, Ainring, Germany, Philip G Conaghan Consultant for: Flexion Therapeutics, AbbVie, Medivir, Merck Serono, Novartis, GlaxoSmithKline, Felix Eckstein Shareholder of: Shareholder of Chondrometrics GmbH, Consultant for: Consulting fees from Merck KGaA, Samumed LLC, Abbvie, Bioclinica, TissueGene, Servier, and Roche, Employee of: Employee of Chondrometrics GmbH, Marc Hochberg Shareholder of: BriOri Biotech, Theralogix LLC., Consultant for: Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, EMD Serono, Novartis Pharma AG, Pfizer Inc., Samumed LLC, Symic Bio Inc., Theralogix LLC, TissueGene Inc., TLC Biopharmaceuticals, Inc., Zynerba, Galapagos, IQVIA, Hoffman LaRoche.

Background Sprifermin is under investigation as a potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD). 2-yr results from the FORWARD study showed significant dose-dependent modification of cartilage thickness in the total femorotibial joint (TFTJ), medial and lateral femorotibial joints (MFTC, LFTC), and central medial and lateral TFTJ subregions, by quantitative (q)MRI.1 Objectives To determine whether qMRI findings from FORWARD (manual segmentation) could be reproduced in the same cartilage regions using an independent method (automated segmentation), on the same dataset/time period. Methods Pts were randomized 1:1:1:1:1 to: sprifermin 100 μg q6mo; 100 μg q12mo; 30 μg q6mo; 30 μg q12mo; and placebo (n=110/110/111/110/108).1 Cartilage thickness was assessed at baseline and 6, 12, 18, and 24 months using 1.5- or 3-Tesla MRI images, analyzed manually.1 The same images were analyzed by automated cartilage segmentation using active appearance models, a supervised machine learning method, to produce maps of cartilage thickness for weight-bearing femoral and tibial cartilage surfaces, subdivided into anatomical masks. Results were blinded for treatment and timepoint for both methods. No statistical comparisons between methods were conducted. Endpoints were change from baseline in: 1) cartilage thickness in the TFTJ, MFTC and LFTC, using regions duplicated based on published data;1 2) cartilage thickness in the central subregion of the medial and lateral tibia and femur (cMT, cMF, cLT, cLF [conventions used by the automated analysis investigators]). As in previous analyses, treatment effect was assessed by observed changes and adjusted using repeated ANCOVA on change from baseline, including treatment group, timepoint, and country as fixed factors, baseline value as covariate and treatment by timepoint as interaction. Results Based on automated segmentation, statistically significant, dose-dependent structural modification of cartilage thickness was observed over 2 yrs with sprifermin vs placebo for the TFTJ (overall treatment effect and dose response across all doses, both P Conclusion Cartilage thickness assessed by automated segmentation provided a consistent pattern of structural modification in FORWARD compared with manual segmentation. This is the first time that two independent methods of image analysis have reached the same conclusions in an interventional DMOAD trial. The findings strengthen the conclusions that sprifermin modifies cartilage loss/structural progression in knee OA. References [1] Hochberg, et al. ACR 2017 Disclosure of Interests Alan Brett Employee of: Employee of Imorphics, Manchester, UK, Michael A Bowes Employee of: Employee of Imorphics, Manchester, UK, Philip G Conaghan Consultant for: Flexion Therapeutics, AbbVie, Medivir, Merck Serono, Novartis, GlaxoSmithKline, Christoph Ladel Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Jeffrey Kraines Employee of: Employee of EMD Serono (a business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany), Hans Guhring Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Flavie Moreau Employee of: Employee of EMD Serono (a business of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany), Felix Eckstein Shareholder of: Shareholder of Chondrometrics GmbH, Consultant for: Consulting fees from Merck KGaA, Samumed LLC, Abbvie, Bioclinica, TissueGene, Servier, and Roche, Employee of: Employee of Chondrometrics GmbH

Background: Patients with joint diseases such as osteoarthritis (OA) are believed to have an abundance of endogenous Toll like receptor (TLR) ligands in their joints, which might be responsible for activating TLRs that may ultimately initiate a self-perpetuating inflammatory loop in the disease. TLR ligands may be generated from the breakdown of articular cartilage, which in turn arises from the activity of two key enzymes: A disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 5 (ADAMTS-5) and Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). Objectives: In this study, we investigate the effect of M6495, a novel anti ADAMTS-5 inhibiting nanobody® on TLR2 activation by ADAMTS-5 derived cartilage cleaved fragments Methods: Human cartilage biopsies were retrieved from OA patients undergoing total knee replacement. The tissue cartilage was snap frozen in liquid nitrogen to eliminate underlying metabolic activity and then digested with recombinant human ADAMTS-5 (4 μg/ml) for 24, 48 and 72 hours respectively at 37 oC. The undigested remaining cartilage was discarded after each timeframe and the digested cartilage solution (DS) was used for further testing. Tissue cleavage was assessed by measuring the release of aggrecan degradation biomarkers: Aggrecanase mediated aggrecan degradation (AGNx1) and MMP mediated aggrecan degradation (FFGV). DS was tested for TLR activation in a secreted embryonic alkaline phosphatase (SEAP) reporter gene based HEK hTLR2 (human Toll like receptors) cell line. Cartilage tissue in buffer alone was used as control at each time point. Results: Aggrecan degradation in cartilage was confirmed by increased release of AGNx1 (p Conclusion: ADAMTS-5-mediated cartilage degradation leads to release of aggrecan fragments, which activate the TLR2 receptor in vitro in a specialised reporter system. Anti-ADAMTS-5 inhibiting nanobody®, M6495, showed a suppression in release of degradation biomarkers leading to limited activation of TLR2. The data suggest a potential chondro-protective effect by M6495. Disclosure of Interests: Neha Sharma: None declared, Christian Thudium Employee of: I am a full time employee of Nordic Bioscience, Morten Karsdal Shareholder of: I own shares of Nordic Bioscience, Employee of: I am a full-time employee in Nordic Bioscience, Anne-Christine Bay-Jensen Shareholder of: I own shares of Nordic Bioscience, Employee of: I am a full-time employee in Nordic Bioscience, Thorbjorn Gantzel: None declared, Martin Michaelis Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Christoph Ladel Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Daniela Werkmann Employee of: Employee of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, Sven Lindemann Employee of: Employed by Merck KGaA

Osteoarthritis (OA) is the biggest unmet medical need among the many musculoskeletal conditions and the most common form of arthritis. It is a major cause of disability and impaired quality of life in the elderly. We review several ambitious but failed attempts to develop joint structure-modifying treatments for OA. Insights gleaned from these attempts suggest that these failures arose from unrealistic hypotheses, sub-optimal selection of patient populations or drug dose, and/or inadequate sensitivity of the trial endpoints. The long list of failures has prompted a paradigm shift in OA drug development with redirection of attention to: (1) consideration of the benefits of localized vs systemic pharmacological agents, as indicated by the increasing number of intra-articularly administered compounds entering clinical development; (2) recognition of OA as a complex disease with multiple phenotypes, that may each require somewhat different approaches for optimizing treatment; and (3) trial enhancements based on guidance regarding biomarkers provided by regulatory agencies, such as the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), that could be harnessed to help turn failures into successes.

Background:It is challenging to monitor treatment effects after intra-articular (IA) injection with tissue modifying drugs. Assessment of biomarker levels in synovial fluid may be one solution to the challenge. Sprifermin is a truncated form of fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 18 known to induce chondrocyte proliferation and type II collagen formation [1,2]. Data from preclinical investigations show that cartilage formation happens in different phases after therapy with sprifermin, starting with a phase of cartilage degradation during the induction of proliferation of chondrocytes followed by a phase of cartilage formation/production of extracellular matrix.Objectives:The aim was to investigate the effect of IA administrated sprifermin on cartilage turnover activity as compared to placebo in the injected joint by measurement of markers using longitudinal synovial fluid samples of patients participating in the FORWARD study.Methods:Each included patient had baseline and at least one FU sample available. Synovial fluid (SF) from participants receiving injections at three consecutive weeks in six month intervals through to week (wk) 80 (fig.A) available from the phase II clinical trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of intraarticularly delivered sprifermin [3] were selected for the investigations. Biochemical markers were measured in available SF samples of the placebo (containing saline IA, n=38) and the highest sprifermin dose group (100 mcg/IAx4, n=59). Samples were pretreated with ultrasound and centrifugation to decrease viscosity. Markers measured were PRO-C2 (type II collagen formation), huARGS (aggrecan degradation), and FBN-C (fibronectin). Markers are technically validated for synovial fluid measurement. Data were individually normalized to baseline to investigate the median proportional change over time.Results:Baseline mean (SD) levels of the markers in SF at BL were: PRO-C2, 21.4 (13.6) ng/mL, huARGS, 1117 (516) pM and FBN-C, 2556 (1959) ng/mL. PRO-C2 was initially decreased (from BL to wk 2) after injection with sprifermin; however, the level was increased at the beginning of each new injection cycle followed by a decrease after injection of sprifermin (Fig.B). Overall synovial PRO-C2 levels increased over time in therapy with sprifermin, while no change was observed for the placebo arm. huARGS showed a similar pattern as PRO-C2 – there was an overall increase in ARGS over time in the sprifermin group (fig.C). Interestingly ARGS continuously decreased over time in the placebo group. FBN-C is continuously increased after injection’s cycles, whereas no effect was seen in the placebo group (fig.D).Conclusion:Confirmatory of the preclinical investigations a biphasic response on cartilage turnover after injection with sprifermin was observed. Biochemical indications of cartilage formation and chondrocyte proliferation was only modulated in the sprifermin group, and cartilage degradation (ARGS) was temporal induced and reduced by sprifermin and placebo injections, respectively.References:[1]Gigout A, et al. “Sprifermin (rhFGF18) enables proliferation of chondrocytes producing a hyaline cartilage matrix”. Osteoarthr Cartil. 2017;25.[2]Reker D, et al. “Sprifermin (rhFGF18) modulates extracellular matrix turnover in cartilage explants ex vivo”. J Transl Med. 2017;15.[3]Hochberg MC, et al. “Effect of Intra-Articular Sprifermin vs Placebo on Femorotibial Joint Cartilage Thickness in Patients With Osteoarthritis”. JAMA. 2019; Oct 8;322(14).Disclosure of Interests:Anne-Christine Bay-Jensen Shareholder of: Nordic Bioscience A/S, Employee of: Full time employee at Nordic Bioscience A/S., Angela Manginelli Employee of: Merck KGaA, Flavie Moreau Employee of: Merck KGaA, Yi He Employee of: YH is a full time employee of Nordic Bioscience A/S, Yunyun Luo Employee of: Nordic Bioscience A/S, Jeppe Ragnar Andersen Shareholder of: Nordic Bioscience A/S., Employee of: Full time employee of Nordic Bioscience., Asger Reinstrup Bihlet Shareholder of: Nordic Bioscience A/S., Morten Karsdal Shareholder of: Nordic Bioscience A/S., Employee of: Full time employee at Nordic Bioscience A/S., Hans Gühring Employee of: Merck KGaA, Christoph Ladel Employee of: Merck KGaA

Objective.To assess the uptake of the OMERACT-OARSI (Outcome Measures in Rheumatology- Osteoarthritis Research Society International) core outcome set (COS) domains in hip and/or knee osteoarthritis (OA) trials.Methods.There were 382 trials of hip and/or knee OA identified from the ClinicalTrial.gov registry from 1997 to 2017. Frequency of COS adoption was assessed by year and per 5-yearly phases.Results.COS adoption decreased from 61% between 1997 and 2001 to 38% between 2012 and 2016. Pain (95%) and physical function (86%) were most consistently adopted. Patient’s global assessment (48%) was the principal missing domain.Conclusion.Limited adoption of the COS domains indicates that further consideration to improve uptake is required.

N-terminal propeptide of type II collagen (PIINP) is a biomarker reflecting cartilage formation. PIINP exists in two main splice variants termed as type IIA and type IIB collagen NH2-propeptide (PIIANP, PIIBNP). PIIANP has been widely recognized as a cartilage formation biomarker. However, the utility of PIIBNP as a marker in preclinical and clinical settings has not been fully investigated yet. In this study, we aimed to characterize an antibody targeting human PIIBNP and to develop an immunoassay assessing type II collagen synthesis in human blood samples. A high sensitivity electrochemiluminescence immunoassay, hsPRO-C2, was developed using a well-characterized antibody against human PIIBNP. Human cartilage explants from replaced osteoarthritis knees were cultured for ten weeks in the presence of growth factors, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) or recombinant human fibroblast growth factor 18 (rhFGF-18). The culture medium was changed every seven days, and levels of PIIBNP, PIIANP, and matrix metalloproteinase 9-mediated degradation of type II collagen (C2M) were analyzed herein. Serum samples from a cross-sectional knee osteoarthritis cohort, as well as pediatric and rheumatoid arthritis samples, were assayed for PIIBNP and PIIANP. Western blot showed that the antibody recognized PIIBNP either as a free fragment or attached to the main molecule. Immunohistochemistry demonstrated that PIIBNP was predominately located in the extracellular matrix of the superficial and deep zones and chondrocytes in both normal and osteoarthritic articular cartilage. In addition, the hsPRO-C2 immunoassay exhibits acceptable technical performances. In the human cartilage explants model, levels of PIIBNP, but not PIIANP and C2M, were increased (2 to 7-fold) time-dependently in response to IGF-1. Moreover, there was no significant correlation between PIIBNP and PIIANP levels when measured in knee osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, and pediatric serum samples. Serum PIIBNP was significantly higher in controls (KL0/1) compared to OA groups (KL2/3/4, p = 0.012). The hsPRO-C2 assay shows completely different biological and clinical patterns than PIIANP ELISA, suggesting that it may be a promising biomarker of cartilage formation.

Objective To explore whether baseline to 12-month followup change in femorotibial cartilage thickness differs between subjects who received a total knee arthroplasty (TKA) between 24 and 60 months from those without TKA (non-TKA). Methods In this prospective cohort study, 531 right knees from Osteoarthritis Initiative participants with definite radiographic knee osteoarthritis (Kellgren/Lawrence [K/L] grades 2–4) were studied. Segmentation was applied to coronal fast low-angle shot magnetic resonance images, to quantitatively determine cartilage thickness in 16 femorotibial subregions. Unadjusted P values (t-tests) and P values adjusted for age, baseline body mass index (BMI), K/L grade, and sex (generalized estimating equation models) were used to evaluate differences in longitudinal 1-year rates of cartilage thickness between TKAs and non-TKAs, with total knee arthroplasty status as fixed effect. Results Of the 531 participants (mean ± SD ages 63 ± 9 years, BMI 30 ± 4.8 kg/m2), 40 received a femorotibial TKA within 4 years. At baseline, TKAs had thinner medial and lateral femorotibial cartilage (−15%; P < 0.001) than non-TKAs. Longitudinal cartilage thickness change was significantly greater in TKAs than in non-TKAs in the total femorotibial joint (area under the curve [AUC] 0.64), the lateral compartment (AUC 0.66), both tibiae (AUC ≥ 0.61), and the first 9 (of 16) ordered values of subregion change (AUC 0.64–0.69). Discrimination was stronger for TKAs that occurred at 24 and 36 months (n = 18) than for those at 48 and 60 months (n = 22). Conclusion Knees with incident TKA displayed smaller baseline cartilage thickness and greater lateral as well as location-independent ordered value femorotibial cartilage loss than non-TKAs. Discrimination of cartilage loss was greater for TKAs occurring within 2 years after the measurement than for those occurring later.

Summary Background/Purpose The aim of this study was to identify key characteristics of disease progression through investigation of the association of radiographic progression over two years with baseline Joint Space Width (JSW), Kellgren–Lawrence (KL) grade, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC) pain, Joint Space Narrowing (JSN), and BMI. Methods Data from 2206 subjects (4390 knees) were combined for this post-hoc analysis of two randomized, double-blind, multi-center, placebo-controlled phase III trials (NCT00486434 and NCT00704847) that evaluated the efficacy and safety of 2-years treatment with oral salmon calcitonin of subjects with painful knee osteoarthritis (OA). Results There was a clear positive and significant correlation between KL grade and WOMAC pain and total WOMAC, albeit the variance in pain measures was from min-to-max for all KL categories, emphasizing the heterogeneity of this patient population and pain perception. 32% of target knees did not progress, and only 51% had changes over minimum significant change (MSC). BMI, KL-Score and WOMAC pain was diagnostic, but only KL-score and pain had prognostic value, albeit pain in a non-linear manner. Conclusion These data clearly describe significant associations between KL grade, JSW, pain and BMI in patients with symptomatic knee OA. KL grade, BMI and WOMAC pain were diagnostically associated with OA based on JSW but only KL-score and pain in a non-linier fashion was prognostic. 50% of patients did not progress more than MSC, highlighting the importance for identification of structural progressors and the phenotypes associated with these. These results suggest that disease phenotypes, rather than disease status, are responsible for disease progression.

Summary Objective Fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 18 has been shown to increase cartilage volume when injected intra-articularly in animal models of osteoarthritis (OA) and in patients with knee OA (during clinical development of the recombinant human FGF18, sprifermin). However, the exact nature of this effect is still unknown. In this study, we aimed to investigate the effects of sprifermin at the cellular level. Design A combination of different chondrocyte culture systems was used and the effects of sprifermin on proliferation, the phenotype and matrix production were evaluated. The involvement of MAPKs in sprifermin signalling was also studied. Results In monolayer, we observed that sprifermin promoted a round cell morphology and stimulated both cellular proliferation and Sox9 expression while strongly decreasing type I collagen expression. In 3D culture, sprifermin increased the number of matrix-producing chondrocytes, improved the type II:I collagen ratio and enabled human OA chondrocytes to produce a hyaline extracellular matrix (ECM). Furthermore, we found that sprifermin displayed a ‘hit and run' mode of action, with intermittent exposure required for the compound to fully exert its anabolic effect. Finally, sprifermin appeared to signal through activation of ERK. Conclusions Our results indicate that intermittent exposure to sprifermin leads to expansion of hyaline cartilage-producing chondrocytes. These in vitro findings are consistent with the increased cartilage volume observed in the knees of OA patients after intra-articular injection with sprifermin in clinical studies.

To identify genes that maintain the homeostasis of adult articular cartilage and regenerate its lesions, we initially compared four types of chondrocytes: articular (AA) versus growth plate (AG) cartilage chondrocytes in adult rats, and superficial layer (IS) versus deep layer (ID) chondrocytes of epiphyseal cartilage in infant rats. Microarray analyses revealed that 40 and 186 genes had ≥10-fold higher expression ratios of AA/AG and IS/ID, respectively, and 16 genes showed ≥10-fold of both AA/AG and IS/ID ratios. The results were validated by real-time RT-PCR analysis. Among them, Hoxd1, Fgf18, and Esm1 were expressed more strongly in AA than in IS. Fgf18 was the extracellular and secreted factor that decreased glycosaminoglycan release and depletion from the cartilage, and enhanced proliferation of articular chondrocytes. Fgf18 was strongly expressed in the articular cartilage chondrocytes of adult rats. In a surgical rat osteoarthritis model, a once-weekly injection of recombinant human FGF18 (rhFGF18) given 3 weeks after surgery prevented cartilage degeneration in a dose-dependent manner at 6 and 9 weeks after surgery, with significant effect at 10 μg/week of rhFGF18. As the underlying mechanism, rhFGF18 strongly up-regulated Timp1 expression in the cell and organ cultures, and inhibition of aggrecan release by rhFGF18 was restored by addition of an antibody to Timp1. In conclusion, we have identified Fgf18 as a molecule that protects articular cartilage by gene expression profiling, and the anticatabolic effects may at least partially be mediated by the Timp1 expression.