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As an IT-enabled multi-passenger mobility service, microtransit has the potential to improve accessibility, reduce congestion, and enhance flexibility in transportation options. However, due to its heterogeneous impacts on different communities and population segments, there is a need for better tools in microtransit forecast and revenue management, especially when actual usage data are limited. We propose a novel framework based on an agent-based mixed logit model estimated with microtransit usage data and synthetic trip data. The framework involves estimating a lower-branch mode choice model with synthetic trip data, combining lower-branch parameters with microtransit data to estimate an upper-branch ride pass subscription model, and applying the nested model to evaluate microtransit pricing and subsidy policies. The framework enables further decision-support analysis to consider diverse travel patterns and heterogeneous tastes of the total population. We test the framework in a case study with synthetic trip data from Replica Inc. and microtransit data from Arlington Via. The lower-branch model result in a rho-square value of 0.603 on weekdays and 0.576 on weekends. Predictions made by the upper-branch model closely match the marginal subscription data. In a ride pass pricing policy scenario, we show that a discount in weekly pass (from $25 to $18.9) and monthly pass (from $80 to $71.5) would surprisingly increase total revenue by $102/day. In an event- or place-based subsidy policy scenario, we show that a 100% fare discount would reduce 80 car trips during peak hours at AT&T Stadium, requiring a subsidy of $32,068/year.

The Metropolitan Transit Authority (MTA) proposed building a new light rail route called the Interborough Express (IBX) to provide a direct, fast transit linkage between Queens and Brooklyn. An open-access synthetic citywide trip agenda dataset and a block-group-level mode choice model are used to assess the potential impact IBX could bring to New York City (NYC). IBX could save 28.1 minutes to potential riders across the city. For travelers either going to or departing from areas close to IBX, the average time saving is projected to be 29.7 minutes. IBX is projected to have more than 254 thousand daily ridership after its completion (69% higher than reported in the official IBX proposal). Among those riders, more than 78 thousand people (30.8%) would come from low-income households while 165 thousand people (64.7%) would start or end along the IBX corridor. The addition of IBX would attract more than 50 thousand additional daily trips to transit mode, among which more than 16 thousand would be switched from using private vehicles, reducing potential greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 29.28 metric tons per day. IBX can also bring significant consumer surplus benefits to the communities, which are estimated to be $1.25 USD per trip, or as high as $1.64 per trip made by a low-income traveler. While benefits are proportionately higher for lower-income users, the service does not appear to significantly reduce the proportion of travelers whose consumer surpluses fall below 10% of the population average (already quite low).

With the rise in demand for local deliveries and e-commerce, robotic deliveries are being considered as efficient and sustainable solutions. However, the deployment of such systems can be highly complex due to numerous factors involving stochastic demand, stochastic charging and maintenance needs, complex routing, etc. We propose a model that uses continuous approximation methods for evaluating service trade-offs that consider the unique characteristics of large-scale sidewalk delivery robot systems used to serve online food deliveries. The model captures both the initial cost and the operation cost of the delivery system and evaluates the impact of constraints and operation strategies on the deployment. By minimizing the system cost, variables related to the system design can be determined. First, the minimization problem is formulated based on a homogeneous area, and the optimal system cost can be derived as a closed-form expression. By evaluating the expression, relationships between variables and the system cost can be directly obtained. We then apply the model in neighborhoods in New York City to evaluate the cost of deploying the sidewalk delivery robot system in a real-world scenario. The results shed light on the potential of deploying such a system in the future.

We propose a group-level agent-based mixed (GLAM) logit model that is estimated using market-level choice share data. The model non-parametrically represents taste heterogeneity through market-specific parameters by solving a multiagent inverse utility maximization problem, addressing the limitations of existing market-level choice models with parametric taste heterogeneity. A case study of mode choice in New York State is conducted using synthetic population data of 53.55 million trips made by 19.53 million residents in 2019. These trips are aggregated based on population segments and census block group-level origin-destination (OD) pairs, resulting in 120,740 markets/agents. We benchmark in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance of the GLAM logit model against multinomial logit, nested logit, inverse product differentiation logit, and random coefficient logit (RCL) models. The results show that GLAM logit outperforms benchmark models, improving the overall in-sample predictive accuracy from 78.7% to 96.71% and out-of-sample accuracy from 65.30% to 81.78%. The price elasticities and diversion ratios retrieved from GLAM logit and benchmark models exhibit similar substitution patterns among the six travel modes. GLAM logit is scalable and computationally efficient, taking less than one-tenth of the time taken to estimate the RCL model. The agent-specific parameters in GLAM logit provide additional insights such as value-of-time (VOT) across segments and regions, which has been further utilized to demonstrate its application in analyzing NYS travelers' mode choice response to the congestion pricing. The agent-specific parameters in GLAM logit facilitate their seamless integration into supply-side optimization models for revenue management and system design.

Mobility service route design requires demand information to operate in a service region. Transit planners and operators can access various data sources including household travel survey data and mobile device location logs. However, when implementing a mobility system with emerging technologies, estimating demand becomes harder because of limited data resulting in uncertainty. This study proposes an artificial intelligence-driven algorithm that combines sequential transit network design with optimal learning to address the operation under limited data. An operator gradually expands its route system to avoid risks from inconsistency between designed routes and actual travel demand. At the same time, observed information is archived to update the knowledge that the operator currently uses. Three learning policies are compared within the algorithm: multi-armed bandit, knowledge gradient, and knowledge gradient with correlated beliefs. For validation, a new route system is designed on an artificial network based on public use microdata areas in New York City. Prior knowledge is reproduced from the regional household travel survey data. The results suggest that exploration considering correlations can achieve better performance compared to greedy choices in general. In future work, the problem may incorporate more complexities such as demand elasticity to travel time, no limitations to the number of transfers, and costs for expansion.

A fast recovery from disruptions is of vital importance for the reliability of transit systems. This study presents a new attempt to tackle the transit disruption mitigation problem in a comprehensive and hierarchical way. A network level strategy selection optimization model is formulated as a joint routing and resource allocation (nJRRA) problem. By constraining the problem further into an epsilon-constrained nJRRA problem, classic solution algorithms can be applied to solve the quadratically constrained quadratic program (QCQP). On top of this "basic model", we propose adding a decision to delay the resource allocation decisions up to a maximum initiation time when the incident duration is stochastic. To test the models, a quasi-dynamic evaluation program with a given incident duration distribution is constructed using discretized time steps and discrete distributions. Five different demand patterns and four different disruption duration distributions (20 combinations) are tested on a toy transit network. The results show that the two models outperform benchmark strategies such as using only line level adjustment or only bus bridging. They also highlight conditions when delaying the decision is preferred.

Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) systems are two-sided markets, with two mutually exclusive sets of agents, i.e., travelers/users and operators, forming a mobility ecosystem in which multiple operators compete or cooperate to serve customers under a governing platform provider. This study proposes a MaaS platform equilibrium model based on many-to-many assignment games incorporating both fixed-route transit services and mobility-on-demand (MOD) services. The matching problem is formulated as a convex multicommodity flow network design problem under congestion that captures the cost of accessing MOD services. The local stability conditions reflect a generalization of Wardrop's principles that include operators' decisions. Due to the presence of congestion, the problem may result in non-stable designs, and a subsidy mechanism from the platform is proposed to guarantee local stability. A new exact solution algorithm to the matching problem is proposed based on a branch and bound framework with a Frank-Wolfe algorithm integrated with Lagrangian relaxation and subgradient optimization, which guarantees the optimality of the matching problem but not stability. A heuristic which integrates stability conditions and subsidy design is proposed, which reaches either an optimal MaaS platform equilibrium solution with global stability, or a feasible locally stable solution that may require subsidy. For the heuristic, a worst-case bound and condition for obtaining an exact solution are both identified. An expanded Sioux Falls network test with 82 nodes and 748 links derives generalizable insights about the model for coopetitive interdependencies between operators sharing the platform, handling congestion effects in MOD services, effects of local stability on investment impacts, and illustrating inequities that may arise under heterogeneous populations.

As various city agencies and mobility operators navigate toward innovative mobility solutions, there is a need for strategic flexibility in well-timed investment decisions in the design and timing of mobility service regions, i.e. cast as "real options" (RO). This problem becomes increasingly challenging with multiple interacting RO in such investments. We propose a scalable machine learning based RO framework for multi-period sequential service region design & timing problem for mobility-on-demand services, framed as a Markov decision process with non-stationary stochastic variables. A value function approximation policy from literature uses multi-option least squares Monte Carlo simulation to get a policy value for a set of interdependent investment decisions as deferral options (CR policy). The goal is to determine the optimal selection and timing of a set of zones to include in a service region. However, prior work required explicit enumeration of all possible sequences of investments. To address the combinatorial complexity of such enumeration, we propose a new variant "deep" RO policy using an efficient recurrent neural network (RNN) based ML method (CR-RNN policy) to sample sequences to forego the need for enumeration, making network design & timing policy tractable for large scale implementation. Experiments on multiple service region scenarios in New York City (NYC) shows the proposed policy substantially reduces the overall computational cost (time reduction for RO evaluation of > 90% of total investment sequences is achieved), with zero to near-zero gap compared to the benchmark. A case study of sequential service region design for expansion of MoD services in Brooklyn, NYC show that using the CR-RNN policy to determine optimal RO investment strategy yields a similar performance (0.5% within CR policy value) with significantly reduced computation time (about 5.4 times faster).

Modular vehicles (MV) possess the ability to physically connect/disconnect with each other and travel in platoon with less energy consumption. A fleet of demand-responsive transit vehicles with such technology can serve passengers door to door or have vehicles deviate to platoon with each other to travel at lower cost and allow for en-route passenger transfers before splitting. A mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model is formulated to solve this "modular dial-a-ride problem" (MDARP). A heuristic algorithm based on Steiner-tree-inspired large neighborhood search is developed to solve the MDARP for practical scenarios. A set of small-scale synthetic numerical experiments are tested to evaluate the optimality gap and computation time between exact solutions of the MDARP using commercial software and the proposed heuristic. Large-scale experiments are conducted on the Anaheim network with 378 candidate join/split nodes to further explore the potentials and identify the ideal operation scenarios of MVs. The results show that MV technology can save up to 52.0% in vehicle travel cost, 35.6% in passenger service time, and 29.4% in total cost against existing on-demand mobility services in the scenarios tested. Results suggest that MVs best benefit from platooning by serving "enclave pairs" as a hub-and-spoke service.

Emergency vehicles (EMVs) play a crucial role in responding to time-critical calls such as medical emergencies and fire outbreaks in urban areas. Existing methods for EMV dispatch typically optimize routes based on historical traffic-flow data and design traffic signal pre-emption accordingly; however, we still lack a systematic methodology to address the coupling between EMV routing and traffic signal control. In this paper, we propose EMVLight, a decentralized reinforcement learning (RL) framework for joint dynamic EMV routing and traffic signal pre-emption. We adopt the multi-agent advantage actor-critic method with policy sharing and spatial discounted factor. This framework addresses the coupling between EMV navigation and traffic signal control via an innovative design of multi-class RL agents and a novel pressure-based reward function. The proposed methodology enables EMVLight to learn network-level cooperative traffic signal phasing strategies that not only reduce EMV travel time but also shortens the travel time of non-EMVs. Simulation-based experiments indicate that EMVLight enables up to a $42.6\%$ reduction in EMV travel time as well as an $23.5\%$ shorter average travel time compared with existing approaches., Comment: 19 figures, 10 tables. Manuscript extended on previous work arXiv:2109.05429, arXiv:2111.00278

An overwhelming majority of the world's human population lives in urban areas and cities. Understanding a city's transportation typology is immensely valuable for planners and policy makers whose decisions can potentially impact millions of city residents. Despite the value of understanding a city's typology, labeled data (city and it's typology) is scarce, and spans at most a few hundred cities in the current transportation literature. To break this barrier, we propose a supervised machine learning approach to predict a city's typology given the information in its Wikipedia page. Our method leverages recent breakthroughs in natural language processing, namely sentence-BERT, and shows how the text-based information from Wikipedia can be effectively used as a data source for city typology prediction tasks that can be applied to over 2000 cities worldwide. We propose a novel method for low-dimensional city representation using a city's Wikipedia page, which makes supervised learning of city typology labels tractable even with a few hundred labeled samples. These features are used with labeled city samples to train binary classifiers (logistic regression) for four different city typologies: (i) congestion, (ii) auto-heavy, (iii) transit-heavy, and (iv) bike-friendly cities resulting in reasonably high AUC scores of 0.87, 0.86, 0.61 and 0.94 respectively. Our approach provides sufficient flexibility for incorporating additional variables in the city typology models and can be applied to study other city typologies as well. Our findings can assist a diverse group of stakeholders in transportation and urban planning fields, and opens up new opportunities for using text-based information from Wikipedia (or similar platforms) as data sources in such fields.

With advances in emerging technologies, options for operating public transit services have broadened from conventional fixed-route service through semi-flexible service to on-demand microtransit. Nevertheless, guidelines for deciding between these services remain limited in the real implementation. An open-source simulation sandbox is developed that can compare state-of-the-practice methods for evaluating between the different types of public transit operations. For the case of the semi-flexible service, the Mobility Allowance Shuttle Transit (MAST) system is extended to include passenger deviations. A case study demonstrates the sandbox to evaluate and existing B63 bus route in Brooklyn, NY and compares its performance with the four other system designs spanning across the three service types for three different demand scenarios.

Microtransit and other flexible transit fleet services can reduce costs by incorporating transfers. However, transfers are costly to users if they must get off a vehicle and wait at a stop for another pickup. A mixed integer linear programming model (MILP) is proposed to solve pickup and delivery problems with vehicle-synchronized en-route transfers (PDPSET). The transfer location is determined by the model and can be located at any candidate node in the network rather than a static facility defined in advance. The transfer operation is strictly synchronized between vehicles within a hard time window. A heuristic algorithm is proposed to solve the problem with an acceptable solution in a much shorter computation time than commercial software. Two sets of synthetic numerical experiments are tested: small-scale instances based on a 5x5 grid network, and large-scale instances of varying network sizes up to 250x250 grids to test scalability. The results show that adding synchronized en-route transfers in microtransit can further reduce the total cost by 10% on average and maximum savings can reach up to 19.6% in our small-scale test instances. The heuristic on average has an optimality gap less than 1.5% while having a fraction of the run time and can scale up to 250x250 grids with run times within 1 minute. Two large-scale examples demonstrate that over 50% of vehicle routes can be further improved by synchronized en-route transfers and the maximum savings in vehicle travel distance that can reach up to 20.37% for the instance with 100 vehicles and 300 requests on a 200x200 network.

A dynamic transit flow estimation model based on congested schedule-based transit equilibrium assignment is proposed using observations from stop count data. A solution algorithm is proposed for the mathematical program with schedule-based transit equilibrium constraints (MPEC) with polynomial computational complexity. The equilibrium constraints corresponding to the schedule-based hyperpath flow are modified from the literature to fit into an estimation problem. Computational experiments are conducted first to verify the methodology with two synthetic data sets (one of which is Sioux Falls), followed by a validation of the method using bus data from Qingpu District in Shanghai, China, with 4 bus lines, 120 segments, 55 bus stops, and 120 one-minute intervals. The estimation model converged to 0.005 tolerance of relative change in 10 iterations. The estimated average of segment flows are only 2.5% off from the average of the observed segment flows; relative errors among segments are 42.5%.

Viability of electric vehicle car sharing operations depends on rebalancing algorithms. Earlier methods in the literature suggest a trend toward Markovian stochastic demand with server relocation with queueing constraints. We propose a new model formulation based on a node-charge graph structure that extends the relocation model to include transshipment relocation flows. Computational tests with up to 1000 node (and 4000 node-charges) suggest promising avenues for further study., Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2001.07282

Despite the dependency of electric vehicle (EV) fleets on charging station availability, charging infrastructure remains limited in many cities. Three contributions are made. First, we propose an EV-to-charging station user equilibrium (UE) assignment model with a M/D/C queue approximation as a nondifferentiable nonlinear program. Second, to address the non-differentiability of the queue delay function, we propose an original solution algorithm based on the derivative-free Method of Successive Averages. Computational tests with a toy network show that the model converges to a UE. A working code in Python is provided free on Github with detailed test cases. Third, the model is applied to the large-scale case study of New York City Department of Citywide Administrative Services (NYC DCAS) fleet and EV charging station configuration as of July 8, 2020, which includes unique, real data for 563 Level 2 chargers and 4 Direct Current Fast Chargers (DCFCs) and 1484 EVs distributed over 512 Traffic Analysis Zones. The arrival rates of the assignment model are calibrated in the base scenario to fit an observed average utilization ratio of 7.6% in NYC. The model is then applied to compare charging station investment policies of DCFCs to Level 2 charging stations based on two alternative criteria. Results suggest a policy based on selecting locations with high utilization ratio instead of with high queue delay.

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected travel behaviors and transportation system operations, and cities are grappling with what policies can be effective for a phased reopening shaped by social distancing. This edition of the white paper updates travel trends and highlights an agent-based simulation model's results to predict the impact of proposed phased reopening strategies. It also introduces a real-time video processing method to measure social distancing through cameras on city streets.

New York City (NYC) is entering Phase 4 of the state's reopening plan, starting July 20, 2020. This white paper updates travel trends observed during the first three reopening phases and highlights the spatial distributions in terms of bus speeds and Citi Bike trips, and further investigates the role of micro-mobility in the pandemic response.

Six months into the pandemic and one month after the phase four reopening in New York City (NYC), restrictions are lifting, businesses and schools are reopening, but global infections are still rising. This white paper updates travel trends observed in the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak in NYC and highlight some findings toward the "new normal."

Emergency vehicle (EMV) service is a key function of cities and is exceedingly challenging due to urban traffic congestion. A main reason behind EMV service delay is the lack of communication and cooperation between vehicles blocking EMVs. In this paper, we study the improvement of EMV service under V2I connectivity. We consider the establishment of dynamic queue jump lanes (DQJLs) based on real-time coordination of connected vehicles. We develop a novel Markov decision process formulation for the DQJL problem, which explicitly accounts for the uncertainty of drivers' reaction to approaching EMVs. We propose a deep neural network-based reinforcement learning algorithm that efficiently computes the optimal coordination instructions. We also validate our approach on a micro-simulation testbed using Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO). Validation results show that with our proposed methodology, the centralized control system saves approximately 15\% EMV passing time than the benchmark system., Comment: 20 pages, 6 figures

Evaluation of the demand for emerging transportation technologies and policies can vary by time of day due to spillbacks on roadways, rescheduling of travelers' activity patterns, and shifting to other modes that affect the level of congestion. These effects are not well-captured with static travel demand models. We calibrate and validate the first open-source multi-agent simulation model for New York City, called MATSim-NYC, to support agencies in evaluating policies such as congestion pricing. The simulation-based virtual test bed is loaded with an 8M+ synthetic 2016 population calibrated in a prior study. The road network is calibrated to INRIX speed data and average annual daily traffic for a screenline along the East River crossings, resulting in average speed differences of 7.2% on freeways and 17.1% on arterials, leading to average difference of +1.8% from the East River screenline. Validation against transit stations shows an 8% difference from observed counts and median difference of 29% for select road link counts. The model is used to evaluate a congestion pricing plan proposed by the Regional Plan Association and suggests a much higher (127K) car trip reduction compared to their report (59K). The pricing policy would impact the population segment making trips within Manhattan differently from the population segment of trips outside Manhattan. The multiagent simulation can show that 37.3% of the Manhattan segment would be negatively impacted by the pricing compared to 39.9% of the non-Manhattan segment, which has implications for redistribution of congestion pricing revenues. The citywide travel consumer surplus decreases when the congestion pricing goes up from $9.18 to $14 both ways even as it increases for the Charging-related population segment. This implies that increasing pricing from $9.18 to $14 benefits Manhattanites at the expense of the rest of the city.

Real-time vehicle dispatching operations in traditional car-sharing systems is an already computationally challenging scheduling problem. Electrification only exacerbates the computational difficulties as charge level constraints come into play. To overcome this complexity, we employ an online minimum drift plus penalty (MDPP) approach for SAEV systems that (i) does not require a priori knowledge of customer arrival rates to the different parts of the system (i.e. it is practical from a real-world deployment perspective), (ii) ensures the stability of customer waiting times, (iii) ensures that the deviation of dispatch costs from a desirable dispatch cost can be controlled, and (iv) has a computational time-complexity that allows for real-time implementation. Using an agent-based simulator developed for SAEV systems, we test the MDPP approach under two scenarios with real-world calibrated demand and charger distributions: 1) a low-demand scenario with long trips, and 2) a high-demand scenario with short trips. The comparisons with other algorithms under both scenarios show that the proposed online MDPP outperforms all other algorithms in terms of both reduced customer waiting times and vehicle dispatching costs.

We propose a new mechanism to design risk-pooling contracts between operators to facilitate horizontal cooperation to mitigate those costs and improve service resilience during disruptions. We formulate a novel two-stage stochastic multicommodity flow model to determine the cost savings of a coalition under different disruption scenarios and solve it using L-shaped method along with sample average approximation. Computational tests of the L-shaped method against deterministic equivalent method with sample average approximation are conducted for network instances with up to 64 nodes, 10 OD pairs, and 1024 scenarios. The results demonstrate that the solution algorithm only becomes computationally effective for larger size instances (above 128 nodes) and that SAA maintains a close approximation. The proposed model is applied to a regional multi-operator network in the Randstad area of the Netherlands, for four operators, 40 origin-destination pairs, and over 1400 links where disruption data is available. Using the proposed method, we identify stable cost allocations among four operating agencies that could yield a 66% improvement in overall network performance over not having any risk-pooling contract in place. Furthermore, the model allows policymakers to evaluate the sensitivity of any one operator's bargaining power to different network structures and disruption scenario distributions, as we illustrate for the HTM operator in Randstad.

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected travel behaviors and transportation system operations, and cities are grappling with what policies can be effective for a phased reopening shaped by social distancing. A baseline model was previously developed and calibrated for pre-COVID conditions as MATSim-NYC. A new COVID model is calibrated that represents travel behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic by recalibrating the population agendas to include work-from-home and re-estimating the mode choice model for MATSim-NYC to fit observed traffic and transit ridership data. Assuming the change in behavior exhibits inertia during reopening, we analyze the increase in car traffic due to the phased reopen plan guided by the state government of New York. Four reopening phases and two reopening scenarios (with and without transit capacity restrictions) are analyzed. A Phase 4 reopening with 100% transit capacity may only see as much as 73% of pre-COVID ridership and an increase in the number of car trips by as much as 142% of pre-pandemic levels. Limiting transit capacity to 50% would decrease transit ridership further from 73% to 64% while increasing car trips to as much as 143% of pre-pandemic levels. While the increase appears small, the impact on consumer surplus is disproportionately large due to already increased traffic congestion. Many of the trips also get shifted to other modes like micromobility. The findings imply that a transit capacity restriction policy during reopening needs to be accompanied by (1) support for micromobility modes, particularly in non-Manhattan boroughs, and (2) congestion alleviation policies that focus on reducing traffic in Manhattan, such as cordon-based pricing.

This paper proposes a stochastic variant of the stable matching model from Rasulkhani and Chow [1] which allows microtransit operators to evaluate their operation policy and resource allocations. The proposed model takes into account the stochastic nature of users' travel utility perception, resulting in a probabilistic stable operation cost allocation outcome to design ticket price and ridership forecasting. We applied the model for the operation policy evaluation of a microtransit service in Luxembourg and its border area. The methodology for the model parameters estimation and calibration is developed. The results provide useful insights for the operator and the government to improve the ridership of the service., Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1912.01984

Emergency vehicle (EMV) service is a key function of cities and is exceedingly challenging due to urban traffic congestion. The main reason behind EMV service delay is the lack of communication and cooperation between vehicles blocking EMVs. In this paper, we study the improvement of EMV service under V2X connectivity. We consider the establishment of dynamic queue jump lanes (DQJLs) based on real-time coordination of connected vehicles in the presence of non-connected human-driven vehicles. We develop a novel Markov decision process formulation for the DQJL coordination strategies, which explicitly accounts for the uncertainty of drivers' yielding pattern to approaching EMVs. Based on pairs of neural networks representing actors and critics for agent vehicles, we develop a multi-agent actor-critic deep reinforcement learning algorithm that handles a varying number of vehicles and a random proportion of connected vehicles in the traffic. Approaching the optimal coordination strategies via indirect and direct reinforcement learning, we present two schemata to address multi-agent reinforcement learning on this connected vehicle application. Both approaches are validated, on a micro-simulation testbed SUMO, to establish a DQJL fast and safely. Validation results reveal that, with DQJL coordination strategies, it saves up to 30% time for EMVs to pass a link-level intelligent urban roadway than the baseline scenario., Comment: 42 pages, 13 figures, 7 tables

Viability of electric car-sharing operations depends on rebalancing algorithms. Earlier methods in the literature suggest a trend toward non-myopic algorithms using queueing principles. We propose a new rebalancing policy using cost function approximation. The cost function is modeled as a p-median relocation problem with minimum cost flow conservation and path-based charging station capacities on a static node-charge graph structure. The cost function is NP-complete, so a heuristic is proposed that ensures feasible solutions that can be solved in an online system. The algorithm is validated in a case study of electric carshare in Brooklyn, New York, with demand data shared from BMW ReachNow operations in September 2017 (262 vehicle fleet, 231 pickups per day, 303 traffic analysis zones (TAZs)) and charging station location data (18 charging stations with 4 port capacities). The proposed non-myopic rebalancing heuristic reduces the cost increase compared to myopic rebalancing by 38%. Other managerial insights are further discussed.

With the prevalence of MaaS systems, route choice models need to consider characteristics unique to them. MaaS systems tend to involve service systems with fleets of vehicles; as a result, the available service capacity depends on the choices of other travelers in different parts of the system. We model this with a new concept of "congestible capacity"; that is, link capacities are a function of flow instead of link costs. This dependency is also non-separable; the capacity in one link can depend on flows from multiple links. An offline-online estimation method is introduced to capture the structural effects that flows have on capacities and the resulting impacts on route choice utilities. The method is first applied to obtain unique congestible capacity shadow prices in a multimodal network to verify the capability to capture congestion effects on capacities. The capacities are shown to vary and impact the utility of a route. The method is validated using real system data from Citi Bike in New York City. The results show that the model can fit to the data quite well and performs better than a baseline modeling approach that ignores congestible capacity effects. By relating the route choice to congestible capacities using a random utility model, modelers can monitor and quantify the impacts to traveler consumer surplus in real time. Applications of the model and online method include monitoring capacity effects on consumer surplus, using the model to direct incentives programs for rebalancing and other revenue management strategies, and to guide resource allocation to mitigate consumer surplus impacts due to disruptions from incidents.

We tackle the problem of evaluating the impact of different operation policies on the performance of a microtransit service. This study is the first empirical application using the stable matching modeling framework to evaluate different operation cost allocation and pricing mechanisms on microtransit service. We extend the deterministic stable matching model to a stochastic reliability-based one to consider user's heterogeneous perceptions of utility on the service routes. The proposed model is applied to the evaluation of Kussbus microtransit service in Luxembourg. We found that the current Kussbus operation is not a stable outcome. By reducing their route operating costs of 50%, it is expected to increase the ridership of 10%. If Kussbus can reduce in-vehicle travel time on their own by 20%, they can significantly increase profit several folds from the baseline.

As Mobility as a Service (MaaS) systems become increasingly popular, travel is changing from unimodal trips to personalized services offered by a platform of mobility operators. Evaluation of MaaS platforms depends on modeling both user route decisions as well as operator service and pricing decisions. We adopt a new paradigm for traffic assignment in a MaaS network of multiple operators using the concept of stable matching to allocate costs and determine prices offered by operators corresponding to user route choices and operator service choices without resorting to nonconvex bilevel programming formulations. Unlike our prior work, the proposed model allows travelers to make multimodal, multi-operator trips, resulting in stable cost allocations between competing network operators to provide MaaS for users. An algorithm is proposed to efficiently generate stability conditions for the stable outcome model. Extensive computational experiments demonstrate the use of the model to handling pricing responses of MaaS operators in technological and capacity changes, government acquisition, consolidation, and firm entry, using the classic Sioux Falls network. The proposed algorithm replicates the same stability conditions as explicit path enumeration while taking only 17 seconds compared to explicit path enumeration timing out over 2 hours.

In prior research, a statistically cheap method was developed to monitor transportation network performance by using only a few groups of agents without having to forecast the population flows. The current study validates this "multi-agent inverse optimization" method using taxi GPS probe data from the city of Wuhan, China. Using a controlled 2062-link network environment and different GPS data processing algorithms, an online monitoring environment is simulated using the real data over a 4-hour period. Results show that using only samples from one OD pair, the multi-agent inverse optimization method can learn network parameters such that forecasted travel times have a 0.23 correlation with the observed travel times. By increasing to monitoring from just two OD pairs, the correlation improves further to 0.56.

An e-scooter trip model is estimated from four U.S. cities: Portland, Austin, Chicago and New York City. A log-log regression model is estimated for e-scooter trips based on user age, population, land area, and the number of scooters. The model predicts 75K daily e-scooter trips in Manhattan for a deployment of 2000 scooters, which translates to 77 million USD in annual revenue. We propose a novel nonlinear, multifactor model to break down the number of daily trips by the alternative modes of transportation that they would likely substitute based on statistical similarity. The model parameters reveal a relationship with direct trips of bike, walk, carpool, automobile and taxi as well as access/egress trips with public transit in Manhattan. Our model estimates that e-scooters could replace 32% of carpool; 13% of bike; and 7.2% of taxi trips. The distance structure of revenue from access/egress trips is found to differ from that of other substituted trips., Comment: 30 pages, 9 figures

Witnessing the rapid progress and accelerated commercialization made in recent years for the introduction of air taxi services in near future across metropolitan cities, our research focuses on one of the most important consideration for such services, i.e., infrastructure planning (also known as skyports). We consider design of skyport locations for air taxis accessing airports, where we present the skyport location problem as a modified single-allocation p-hub median location problem integrating choice-constrained user mode choice behavior into the decision process. Our approach focuses on two alternative objectives i.e., maximizing air taxi ridership and maximizing air taxi revenue. The proposed models in the study incorporate trade-offs between trip length and trip cost based on mode choice behavior of travelers to determine optimal choices of skyports in an urban city. We examine the sensitivity of skyport locations based on two objectives, three air taxi pricing strategies, and varying transfer times at skyports. A case study of New York City is conducted considering a network of 149 taxi zones and 3 airports with over 20 million for-hire-vehicles trip data to the airports to discuss insights around the choice of skyport locations in the city, and demand allocation to different skyports under various parameter settings. Results suggest that a minimum of 9 skyports located between Manhattan, Queens and Brooklyn can adequately accommodate the airport access travel needs and are sufficiently stable against transfer time increases. Findings from this study can help air taxi providers strategize infrastructure design options and investment decisions based on skyport location choices., Comment: 25 pages

We propose a ridesharing strategy with integrated transit in which a private on-demand mobility service operator may drop off a passenger directly door-to-door, commit to dropping them at a transit station or picking up from a transit station, or to both pickup and drop off at two different stations with different vehicles. We study the effectiveness of online solution algorithms for this proposed strategy. Queueing-theoretic vehicle dispatch and idle vehicle relocation algorithms are customized for the problem. Several experiments are conducted first with a synthetic instance to design and test the effectiveness of this integrated solution method, the influence of different model parameters, and measure the benefit of such cooperation. Results suggest that rideshare vehicle travel time can drop by 40-60% consistently while passenger journey times can be reduced by 50-60% when demand is high. A case study of Long Island commuters to New York City (NYC) suggests having the proposed operating strategy can substantially cut user journey times and operating costs by up to 54% and 60% each for a range of 10-30 taxis initiated per zone. This result shows that there are settings where such service is highly warranted.

Ubiquitous taxi trajectory data has made it possible to apply it to different types of travel analysis. Of interest is the need to allow someone to monitor travel momentum and associated congestion in any location in space in real time. However, despite an abundant literature in taxi data visualization and its applicability to travel analysis, no easy method exists. To measure taxi travel momentum at a location, current methods require filtering taxi trajectories that stop at a location at a particular time range, which is computationally expensive. We propose an alternative, computationally cheaper way based on pre-processing vector fields from the trajectories. Algorithms are formalized for generating vector kernel density to estimate a travel-model-free vector field-based representation of travel momentum in an urban space. The algorithms are shared online as an open source GIS 3D extension called VectorKD. Using 17 million daily taxi GPS points within Beijing over a four-day period, we demonstrate how to generate in real time a series of projections from a continuously updated vector field of taxi travel momentum to query a point of interest anywhere in a city, such as the CBD or the airport. This method allows a policy-maker to automatically identify temporal net influxes of travel demand to a location. The proposed methodology is shown to be over twenty times faster than a conventional selection query of trajectories. We also demonstrate, using taxi data entering the Beijing Capital International Airport and the CBD, how we can quantify in nearly real time the occurrence and magnitude of inbound or outbound queueing and congestion periods due to taxis cruising or waiting for passengers, all without having to fit any mathematical queueing model to the data.

We propose a generalized market equilibrium model using assignment game criteria for evaluating transportation systems that consist of both operators' and users' decisions. The model finds stable pricing, in terms of generalized costs, and matches between user populations in a network to set of routes with line capacities. The proposed model gives a set of stable outcomes instead of single point pricing that allows operators to design ticket pricing, routes/schedules that impact access/egress, shared policies that impact wait/transfer costs, etc., based on a desired mechanism or policy. The set of stable outcomes is proven to be convex from which assignment-dependent unique user-optimal and operator-optimal outcomes can be obtained. Different user groups can benefit from using this model in a prescriptive manner or within a sequential design process. We look at several different examples to test our model: small examples of fixed transit routes and a case study using a small subset of taxi data in NYC. The case study illustrates how one can use the model to evaluate a policy that can require passengers to walk up to 1 block away to meet with a shared taxi without turning away passengers.

Despite the ubiquity of transportation data, methods to infer the state parameters of a network either ignore sensitivity of route decisions, require route enumeration for parameterizing descriptive models of route selection, or require complex bilevel models of route assignment behavior. These limitations prevent modelers from fully exploiting ubiquitous data in monitoring transportation networks. Inverse optimization methods that capture network route choice behavior can address this gap, but they are designed to take observations of the same model to learn the parameters of that model, which is statistically inefficient (e.g. requires estimating population route and link flows). New inverse optimization models and supporting algorithms are proposed to learn the parameters of heterogeneous travelers' route behavior to infer shared network state parameters (e.g. link capacity dual prices). The inferred values are consistent with observations of each agent's optimization behavior. We prove that the method can obtain unique dual prices for a network shared by these agents in polynomial time. Four experiments are conducted. The first one, conducted on a 4-node network, verifies the methodology to obtain heterogeneous link cost parameters even when multinomial or mixed logit models would not be meaningfully estimated. The second is a parameter recovery test on the Nguyen-Dupuis network that shows that unique latent link capacity dual prices can be inferred using the proposed method. The third test on the same network demonstrates how a monitoring system in an online learning environment can be designed using this method. The last test demonstrates this learning on real data obtained from a freeway network in Queens, New York, using only real-time Google Maps queries.

Given the rapid advances in unmanned aerial vehicles, or drones, and increasing need to monitor traffic at a city level, one of the current research gaps is how to systematically deploy drones over multiple periods. We propose a real-time data-driven approach: we formulate the first deterministic arc-inventory routing problem and derive its stochastic dynamic policy. The policy is expected to be of greatest value in scenarios where uncertainty is highest and costliest, such as city traffic monitoring during major events. The Bellman equation for an approximation of the proposed inventory routing policy is formulated as a selective vehicle routing problem. We propose an approximate dynamic programming algorithm based on Least Squares Monte Carlo simulation to find that policy. The algorithm has been modified so that the least squares dependent variable is defined to be the "expected stock out cost upon the next replenishment". The new algorithm is tested on 30 simulated instances of real time trajectories over 5 time periods of the selective VRP to evaluate the proposed policy and algorithm. Computational results on the selected instances show that the algorithm can outperform the myopic policy by 23% to 28% over those tests, depending on the parametric design. Further tests are conducted on classic benchmark arc routing problem instances. The 11-link instance gdb19 is expanded into a sequential 15-period stochastic dynamic example and used to demonstrate why a naive static multi-period deployment plan would not be effective in real networks.