3,811 results on '"Cholera epidemiology"'
Search Results
2. Non-cholera Vibrio infections in Southeast Asia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Muzembo BA, Kitahara K, Hayashi C, Mashino S, Honda J, Ohno A, Khatiwada J, Dutta S, and Miyoshi SI
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- Humans, Asia, Southeastern epidemiology, Prevalence, Vibrio parahaemolyticus isolation & purification, Seafood microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Vibrio Infections epidemiology, Vibrio Infections microbiology, Vibrio isolation & purification, Diarrhea epidemiology, Diarrhea microbiology
- Abstract
We reviewed and analyzed the existing data on vibriosis in Southeast Asia to better understand its burden and prevalent causal agents. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE for studies published between January 2000 and April 2024. A random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled isolation rate of non-cholera Vibrio species. Among the 1385 retrieved studies, 22 met the inclusion criteria for the systematic review and 11 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled isolation rate of non-cholera Vibrio species among diarrheal patients was 5.0 %. Most species that caused vibriosis included V. parahaemolyticus, V. mimicus, V. vulnificus, non-O1/non-O139 V. cholerae, V. fluvialis, and V. alginolyticus. Pooled isolation rate of V. parahaemolyticus and non-O1 V. cholerae were 7.0, and 4.0, respectively. The prevalence of vibriosis in Southeast Asia is non-negligible. Public health strategies should prioritize enhanced surveillance, and clinicians should consider vibriosis in diarrheal patients with seafood consumption history., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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3. Global prevalence patterns and distribution of Vibrio cholerae: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 176,740 samples.
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Engku Abd Rahman ENS, Irekeola AA, Elmi AH, Chua WC, and Chan YY
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- Animals, Humans, Environmental Microbiology, Food Microbiology, Prevalence, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Global Health, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification
- Abstract
This global systematic review and meta-analysis of Vibrio cholerae prevalence, covering environmental, food, animal, and human samples, analysed 111 studies from five databases. The meta-analysis, adhering to standard reporting guidelines, revealed a pooled prevalence of 10.6 % (95 % CI; 8.2 - 13.5; I
2 = 99.595 %, p < 0.001) from 176,740 samples, including 27,219 cholera cases. Despite significant publication bias (Egger's test, p = 0.00018), prevalence estimate remained stable in leave-one-out analysis. Subgroup analysis showed prevalence varied by region, with Indonesia highest (55.2 %) and Jordan lowest (0.2 %). Asia continent had the highest prevalence (13.9 %), followed by South America (12.1 %), and lowest in Europe (3.8 %). Environmental samples exhibited the highest prevalence (24.9 %), while human samples had the lowest (7.1 %). The pervasive presence of V. cholerae in environmental resources highlights the persistent risk of global cholera outbreaks, necessitating urgent proactive measures and ongoing surveillance for effective cholera control., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2024
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4. Fine-tuning of a CRISPRi screen in the seventh pandemic Vibrio cholerae.
- Author
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Debatisse K, Niault T, Peeters S, Maire A, Toktas B, Darracq B, Baharoglu Z, Bikard D, Mazel D, and Loot C
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- Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Genome, Bacterial, Pandemics, Humans, High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing, Gene Library, Vibrio cholerae genetics, CRISPR-Cas Systems
- Abstract
Background: Vibrio cholerae O1 El Tor, the etiological agent responsible for the last cholera pandemic, has become a well-established model organism for which some genetic tools are available. While CRISPRi technology has been applied to V. cholerae, improvements were necessary to upscale it and enable pooled screening by high-throughput sequencing in this bacterium., Results: In this study, we present a genome-wide CRISPR-dCas9 screen specifically optimized for the N16961 El Tor model strain of V. cholerae. This approach is characterized by a tight control of dCas9 expression and activity, as well as a streamlined experimental setup. Our library allows the depletion of 3,674 (98.9%) annotated genes from the V. cholerae genome. To confirm its effectiveness, we screened for genes that are essential during exponential growth in rich medium and identified 369 genes for which guides were significantly depleted from the library (log2FC < -2). Remarkably, 82% of these genes had previously been described as hypothetical essential genes in V. cholerae or in a closely related bacterium, V. natriegens., Conclusion: We thus validated the robustness and accuracy of our CRISPRi-based approach for assessing gene fitness in a given condition. Our findings highlight the efficacy of the developed CRISPRi platform as a powerful tool for high-throughput functional genomics studies of V. cholerae., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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5. Enablers and barriers to implementing cholera interventions in Nigeria: a community-based system dynamics approach.
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Elimian K, Diaconu K, Ansah J, King C, Dewa O, Yennan S, Gandi B, Forsberg BC, Ihekweazu C, and Alfvén T
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- Humans, Nigeria, Sanitation, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, Cholera Vaccines supply & distribution, Community Participation methods, Delivery of Health Care organization & administration, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology
- Abstract
Nigeria accounts for a substantial cholera burden globally, particularly in its northeast region, where insurgency is persistent and widespread. We used participatory group model building workshops to explore enablers and barriers to implementing known cholera interventions, including water, sanitation and hygiene, surveillance and laboratory, case management, community engagement, oral cholera vaccine, and leadership and coordination, as well as exploring leverage points for interventions and collaboration. The study engaged key cholera stakeholders in the northeastern States of Adamawa and Bauchi, as well as national stakeholders in Abuja. Adamawa and Bauchi States' group modes building participants comprised 49 community members and 43 healthcare providers, while the 23 national participants comprised government ministry, department and agency staff, and development partners. Data were analysed thematically and validated via consultation with selected participants. The study identified four overarching themes regarding the enablers and barriers to implementing cholera interventions: (1) political will, (2) health system resources and structures, (3) community trust and culture, and (4) spill-over effect of COVID-19. Specifically, inadequate political will exerts its effect directly (e.g. limited funding for prepositioning essential cholera supplies) or indirectly (e.g. overlapping policies) on implementing cholera interventions. The healthcare system structure (e.g. centralization of cholera management in a State capital) and limited surveillance tools weaken the capacity to implement cholera interventions. Community trust emerges as integral to strengthening the healthcare system's resilience in mitigating the impacts of cholera outbreaks. Lastly, the spill-over effects of COVID-19 helped promote interventions similar to cholera (e.g. water, sanitation and hygiene) and directly enhanced political will. In conclusion, the study offers insights into the complex barriers and enablers to implementing cholera interventions in Nigeria's cholera-endemic settings. Strong political commitment, strengthening the healthcare system, building community trust and an effective public health system can enhance the implementation of cholera interventions in Nigeria., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.)
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- 2024
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6. Surveillance of travel-associated isolates elucidates the diversity of non-pandemic Vibrio cholerae .
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Bote L, Taylor-Brown A, Maes M, Ingle DJ, Valcanis M, Howden BP, and Thomson NR
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- Humans, Australia epidemiology, Indonesia epidemiology, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Whole Genome Sequencing methods, Genome, Bacterial, Virulence genetics, Genetic Variation, Drug Resistance, Bacterial genetics, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae classification, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Phylogeny, Travel, Virulence Factors genetics
- Abstract
Vibrio cholerae is a Gram-negative bacterium found in aquatic environments and is the aetiological agent of cholera, characterized by acute watery diarrhoea and severe dehydration. Cholera presents a significant global health burden of an estimated 1.3-5 million annual cases, with the current pandemic caused by a toxigenic lineage of the O1 El Tor biotype called seventh pandemic El Tor (7PET) that is still ongoing. Whilst it is known that non-7PET lineages can cause sporadic disease, little is known about the transmission of these non-epidemic lineages. Thirty-four V. cholerae isolates were obtained from travellers returning from Indonesia to Australia between 2005 and 2017. These were whole genome sequenced, placed into a global phylogenetic context with 883 isolates, and screened for known genes associated with antimicrobial resistance and virulence. This analysis revealed that 30 isolates fell within non-7PET lineages and four within the 7PET lineage. Both 7PET and non-7PET isolates carried genes for resistance to antibiotics that are commonly used in cholera treatment such as tetracyclines and fluoroquinolones. Diverse virulence factors were also present in non-7PET isolates, with two isolates notably carrying toxin-coregulated pilus genes, which are primarily responsible for intestinal colonization in 7PET V. cholerae . This study demonstrates the role of travel in long-range carriage of epidemic and non-epidemic lineages of V. cholerae, and how sentinel travel surveillance can enrich our knowledge of V. cholerae diversity, reveal new biology about the spread of diverse lineages with differing disease potential and illuminate disease presence in endemic regions with limited surveillance data.
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- 2024
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7. Genomic evidence of two-staged transmission of the early seventh cholera pandemic.
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Luo Y, Payne M, Kaur S, Octavia S, and Lan R
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- Humans, Genomics methods, Africa epidemiology, Indonesia epidemiology, Middle East epidemiology, Whole Genome Sequencing, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera transmission, Cholera microbiology, Phylogeny, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae classification, Genome, Bacterial, Pandemics
- Abstract
The seventh cholera pandemic started in 1961 in Indonesia and spread across the world in three waves in the decades that followed. Here, we utilised genomic evidence to detail the first wave of the seventh pandemic. Genomes of 22 seventh pandemic Vibrio cholerae isolates from 1961 to 1979 were completely sequenced. Together with 152 publicly available genomes from the same period, they fell into seven phylogenetic clusters (CL1-CL7). By multilevel genome typing (MGT), all were assigned to MGT2 ST1 (Wave 1) except three isolates in CL7 which were typed as MGT2 ST2 (Wave 2). The Wave 1 seventh pandemic expanded in two stages, with Stage 1 (CL1-CL5) spread across Asia and Stage 2 (CL6 and CL7) spread to the Middle East and Africa. Three non-synonymous mutations, one each, in three regulatory genes, csrD (global regulator), acfB (chemotaxis), and luxO (quorum sensing) may have critically contributed to its pandemicity. The three MGT2 ST2 isolates in CL7 were the progenitors of Wave 2 and evolved from within Wave 1 with acquisition of a novel IncA/C plasmid. Our findings provide new insight into the evolution and transmission of the early seventh pandemic, which may aid future cholera prevention and control., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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8. Cholera outbreak trends in Nigeria: policy recommendations and innovative approaches to prevention and treatment.
- Author
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Eneh S, Onukansi F, Anokwuru C, Ikhuoria O, Edeh G, Obiekwe S, Dauda Z, Praise-God A, and Okpara C
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- Nigeria epidemiology, Humans, Health Policy, Sanitation, Public Health, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera mortality, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control
- Abstract
Cholera, an acute diarrheal infection from ingesting contaminated food or water, remains a significant public health threat in Nigeria, especially in areas lacking safe water and sanitation. Characterized by severe watery diarrhea, cholera can cause dehydration and death if untreated. Historical data shows cholera's endemic nature in Nigeria, with notable outbreaks since 1970, including major ones in 1991, 1999, 2010, 2018, and 2024. According to a descriptive study in Nigeria, the 1991 outbreak reported 59,478 cases and 7,654 deaths, with a Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) of 12.9%. In 2010, there were 41,787 cases and 1,716 deaths, with a CFR of 4.1% across 18 states, mainly affecting impoverished communities and children. The 2018 outbreak had 43,996 cases and 836 deaths, with a CFR of 2% in 20 states, a 240% increase from 2017. By mid-2024, there were 1,579 suspected cases and 54 deaths (CFR 3.4%) in 32 states. This paper evaluates cholera trends in Nigeria and proposes effective preventive and treatment strategies. Policy recommendations highlight the need for improved WASH infrastructure, enhanced surveillance, and rapid response mechanisms. Innovative approaches like case-area targeted interventions (CATI) and increased public health education are crucial for mitigating future outbreaks and achieving the goal of reducing cholera deaths by 90% by 2030., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Eneh, Onukansi, Anokwuru, Ikhuoria, Edeh, Obiekwe, Dauda, Praise-God and Okpara.)
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- 2024
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9. Cholera: Marked increase in cases and deaths globally, data show.
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Wise J
- Subjects
- Humans, Disease Outbreaks, Incidence, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera mortality, Global Health
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- 2024
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10. Analysis of Cholera Risk in India: Insights from 2017-18 Serosurvey Data Integrated with Epidemiologic data and Societal Determinants from 2015-2019.
- Author
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Kanungo S, Nandy RK, Talukdar R, Murhekar M, Azman AS, Hegde ST, Chatterjee P, Chakraborty D, Das M, Kamaraj P, Kumar MS, and Dutta S
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- Humans, India epidemiology, Adolescent, Adult, Child, Young Adult, Female, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Vibrio cholerae O1 immunology, Incidence, Antibodies, Bacterial blood, Disease Outbreaks, Sanitation, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology
- Abstract
Background: Indian subcontinent being an important region in the fight to eliminate cholera needs better cholera surveillance. Current methods miss most infections, skewing disease burden estimates. Triangulating serosurvey data, clinical cases, and risk factors could reveal India's true cholera risk., Methods: We synthesized data from a nationally representative serosurvey, outbreak reports and risk factors like water, sanitation and the Multidimensional Poverty Index, to create a composite vulnerability index for assessing state-wise cholera risk in India. We tested 7,882 stored sera samples collected during 2017-18 from individuals aged 9-45 years, for vibriocidal antibodies to Vibrio cholerae O1 using a cut-off titre ≥320 defining as elevated titre. We also extracted data from the 2015-19 Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme and published cholera reports., Results: Overall, 11.7% (CI: 10.4-13.3%) of the sampled population had an elevated titre of cholera vibriocidal antibodies (≥320). The Southern region experienced the highest incidence (16.8%, CI: 12.1-22.8), followed by the West (13.2%, CI: 10.0-17.3) and North (10.7%, CI: 9.3-12.3). Proportion of samples with an elevated vibriocidal titre (≥320) was significantly higher among individuals aged 18-45 years (13.0% CI: 11.2-15.1) compared to children 9-17 years (8.6%, CI 7.3-10.0, p<0.05); we found no differences between sex or urbanicity. Between 2015-2019, the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program (IDSP) reported 29,400 cases of cholera across the country. Using the composite vulnerability index, we found Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, and West Bengal were the most vulnerable states in India in terms of risk of cholera., Conclusion: The present study showed that cholera infection is present in all five regions across India. The states with high cholera vulnerability could be prioritized for targeted prevention interventions., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Kanungo et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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11. Genomic analysis of Vibrio cholerae O1 isolates from cholera cases, Europe, 2022.
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Rouard C, Greig DR, Tauhid T, Dupke S, Njamkepo E, Amato E, van der Putten B, Naseer U, Blaschitz M, Mandilara GD, Cohen Stuart J, Indra A, Noël H, Sideroglou T, Heger F, van den Beld M, Wester AL, Quilici ML, Scholz HC, Fröding I, Jenkins C, and Weill FX
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- Humans, Europe epidemiology, Whole Genome Sequencing, Microbial Sensitivity Tests, Genome, Bacterial, Genomics, Virulence genetics, Drug Resistance, Bacterial genetics, Vibrio cholerae O1 genetics, Vibrio cholerae O1 isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae O1 classification, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Phylogeny, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology
- Abstract
BackgroundThe number of cholera cases reported to the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2022 was more than double that of 2021. Nine countries of the WHO European Region reported 51 cases of cholera in 2022 vs five reported cases in 2021.AimWe aimed to confirm that the Vibrio cholerae O1 isolates reported by WHO European Region countries in 2022 belonged to the seventh pandemic El Tor lineage (7PET). We also studied their virulence, antimicrobial resistance (AMR) determinants and phylogenetic relationships.MethodsWe used microbial genomics to study the 49 V. cholerae O1 isolates recovered from the 51 European cases. We also used > 1,450 publicly available 7PET genomes to provide a global phylogenetic context for these 49 isolates.ResultsAll 46 good-quality genomes obtained belonged to the 7PET lineage. All but two isolates belonged to genomic Wave 3 and were grouped within three sub-lineages, one of which, Pre-AFR15, predominated (34/44). This sub-lineage, corresponding to isolates from several countries in Southern Asia, the Middle East and Eastern or Southern Africa, was probably a major contributor to the global upsurge of cholera cases in 2022. No unusual AMR profiles were inferred from analysis of the AMR gene content of the 46 genomes.ConclusionReference laboratories in high-income countries should use whole genome sequencing to assign V. cholerae O1 isolates formally to the 7PET or non-epidemic lineages. Periodic collaborative genomic studies based on isolates from travellers can provide useful information on the circulating strains and their evolution, particularly as concerns AMR.
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- 2024
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12. Vibrio cholerae serogroup O5 was responsible for the outbreak of gastroenteritis in Czechoslovakia in 1965.
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Rouard C, Njamkepo E, Quilici ML, Nguyen S, Knight-Connoni V, Šafránková R, and Weill FX
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- Humans, Czechoslovakia, Cholera Toxin genetics, Genomic Islands, Serogroup, Disease Outbreaks, Gastroenteritis microbiology, Gastroenteritis epidemiology, Gastroenteritis history, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae classification, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Cholera history
- Abstract
Several authors have attributed the explosive outbreak of gastroenteritis that occurred in Czechoslovakia in 1965 to a toxigenic strain of Vibrio cholerae serogroup O37 based on unverified metadata associated with three particular strains from the American Type Culture Collection. Here, by sequencing the original strain preserved at the Czech National Collection of Type Cultures since 1966, we show that the strain responsible for this outbreak was actually a V. cholerae O5 that lacks the genes encoding the cholera toxin, the toxin-coregulated pilus protein and Vibrio pathogenicity islands present in V. cholerae O37 strains.
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- 2024
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13. Cost of Cholera for Households and Health Facilities, Somalia.
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Figuereo S, Yoon I, Kaddu SS, Lubogo M, Baruch J, Hossain AA, Mohamed SI, Abubakar AHA, Mohamud KM, and Malik SMMR
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- Humans, Female, Male, Somalia epidemiology, Adult, Child, Adolescent, Child, Preschool, Young Adult, Middle Aged, Infant, Health Care Costs statistics & numerical data, Disease Outbreaks economics, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Cholera economics, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera therapy, Cholera prevention & control, Cost of Illness, Family Characteristics, Health Facilities economics, Health Facilities statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Introduction: Cholera remains a substantial public health challenge in Somalia. Ongoing droughts in the country have caused significant outbreaks which have negatively affected the lives of many individuals and overwhelmed health facilities. We aimed to estimate the costs associated with cholera cases for households and health facilities in Somalia., Methods: This cost-of-illness study was conducted in five cholera treatment centres in Somalia and 400 patients treated in these facilities. Data collection took place during October and November 2023. Given that a significant portion of the patients were children, we interviewed their caregivers to gather cost data. We interviewed staff at the centres and the patients. The data obtained from the household questionnaire covered direct (medical and non-medical) and indirect (lost wages) costs, while direct costs were estimated for the health facility (personnel salaries, drugs and consumables used to treat a patient, and utility expenses). All costs were calculated in US dollars (USD), using 2023 as the base year for the estimation., Results: The average total cost of a cholera episode for a household was US$ 33.94 (2023 USD), with 50.4% (US$ 17.12) being direct costs and 49.6% (US$ 16.82) indirect costs. The average total cost for a health facility to treat an episode of cholera was US$ 82.65. The overall average cost to households and health facilities was US$ 116.59. The average length of stay for a patient was 3.08 days. In the households, patients aged 41 years and older incurred the highest mean total cost (US$ 73.90) while patients younger than 5 years had the lowest cost (US$ 21.02). Additionally, 61.8% of households had to use family savings to cover the cost of the cholera episode, while 14.5% had to borrow money. Most patients (71.8%) were younger than 16 years- 45.3% were 5 years or younger- and 94.0% had never received a cholera vaccine., Conclusion: Our study suggests that preventing one cholera episode in Somalia could avert substantial losses for both the households and cholera treatment centres. The findings shed light on the expenses associated with cholera that extend beyond healthcare, including substantial direct and indirect costs borne by households. Preventing cholera cases could lead to a decrease in this economic burden, consequently our study supports the need for preventive measures., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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14. Facility capacity and provider knowledge for cholera surveillance and diarrhoea case management in cholera hotspots in the Democratic Republic of Congo - a mixed-methods study.
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Schedwin M, Bisumba Furaha A, Elimian K, King C, Malembaka EB, Yambayamba MK, Tylleskär T, Alfvén T, Carter SE, Welo Okitayemba P, Mapatano MA, and Hildenwall H
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- Humans, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Diarrhea epidemiology, Data Accuracy, Case Management, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Wider healthcare-strengthening interventions are recommended in cholera hotspots and could benefit other types of diarrhoeal diseases which contribute to greater mortality than cholera., Objective: Describe facility capacity and provider knowledge for case management of diarrhoea and cholera surveillance in cholera hotspots in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) among health facilities, drug shops, and traditional health practitioners., Methods: We conducted a sequential exploratory mixed-method study, using focus group discussions, facility audits, and provider knowledge questionnaires during September and October 2022 in North Kivu and Tanganyika provinces, Eastern DRC. Content analysis was used for qualitative data. Quantitative data were summarised by facility level and healthcare provider type. Audit and knowledge scores (range 0-100) were generated. Multivariable linear regression estimated association between scores and explanatory factors. Qualitative and quantitative data were triangulated during interpretation., Results: Overall, 244 facilities and 308 providers were included. The mean audit score for health facilities was 51/100 (SD: 17). Private facilities had an -11.6 (95% CI, -16.7 to -6.6) lower adjusted mean score compared to public. Mean knowledge score was 59/100 (95% CI, 57 to 60) for health facility personnel, 46/100 (95% CI, 43 to 48) for drug shop vendors and 37/100 (95% CI, 34 to 39) for traditional health practitioners. Providers had particularly low knowledge concerning when to check for low blood sugar, use of nasogastric tubes, and dosing schedules. Knowledge about case definitions for cholera was similar between groups (range 41-58%) except for traditional health practitioners for the definition during an outbreak 15/73 (21%)., Conclusions: Increasing awareness of cholera case definitions in this context could help improve cholera surveillance and control. Increased support and supervision, especially for private providers, could help ensure facilities are equipped to provide safe care. More nuanced aspects of case management should be emphasised in provider training.
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- 2024
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15. Genomic evolution and rearrangement of CTX-Φ prophage elements in Vibrio cholerae during the 2018-2024 cholera outbreaks in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo.
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Irenge LM, Ambroise J, Bearzatto B, Durant JF, Bonjean M, Wimba LK, and Gala JL
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- Humans, Cholera Toxin genetics, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Evolution, Molecular, Genome, Bacterial, Phylogeny, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae virology, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae classification, Vibrio cholerae O1 genetics, Vibrio cholerae O1 virology, Vibrio cholerae O1 isolation & purification, Whole Genome Sequencing, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks, Prophages genetics
- Abstract
ABSTRACT Between 2018 and 2024, we conducted systematic whole-genome sequencing and phylogenomic analysis on 263 V. cholerae O1 isolates from cholera patients across four provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo (North-Kivu, South-Kivu, Tanganyika, and Kasai Oriental). These isolates were classified into the AFR10d and AFR10e sublineages of AFR10 lineage, originating from the third wave of the seventh El Tor cholera pandemic (7PET). Compared to the strains analysed between 2014 and 2017, both sublineages had few genetic changes in the core genome but recent isolates (2022-2024) had significant CTX prophage rearrangement. AFR10e spread across all four provinces, while AFR10d appeared to be extinct by the end of 2020. Since 2022, most V. cholerae O1 isolates exhibited significant CTX prophage rearrangements, including a tandem repeat of an environmental satellite phage RS1 downstream the ctxB t oxin gene of the CTX-Φ-3 prophage on the large chromosome, as well as two or more arrayed copies of an environmental pre-CTX-Φ prophage precursor on the small chromosome. We used Illumina data for mapping and coverage estimation to identify isolates with unique CTX-Φ genomic features. Gene localization was then determined on MinION-derived assemblies, revealing an organization similar to that of non-O1 V. cholerae isolates found in Asia (O139 VC1374, and environmental O4 VCE232), but never described in V. cholerae O1 El Tor from the third wave. In conclusion, while the core genome of AFR10d and AFR10e showed minimal changes, significant alterations in the CTX-Φ and pre-CTX-Φ prophage content and organization were identified in AFR10e from 2022 onwards.
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- 2024
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16. A protracted cholera outbreak in Nairobi City County accentuated by mass gathering events, Kenya, 2017.
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Ngere P, Langat D, Ngere I, Dawa J, Okunga E, Nasimiyu C, Kiama C, Lokamar P, Ngunu C, Makayotto L, Njenga MK, and Osoro E
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- Humans, Kenya epidemiology, Male, Female, Adult, Adolescent, Child, Child, Preschool, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Aged, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Disease Outbreaks, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification
- Abstract
Cholera continues to cause many outbreaks in low and middle-income countries due to inadequate water, sanitation, and hygiene services. We describe a protracted cholera outbreak in Nairobi City County, Kenya in 2017. We reviewed the cholera outbreak line lists from Nairobi City County in 2017 to determine its extent and factors associated with death. A suspected case of cholera was any person aged >2 years old who had acute watery diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting, whereas a confirmed case was where Vibrio cholerae was isolated from the stool specimen. We summarized cases using means for continuous variables and proportions for categorical variables. Associations between admission status, sex, age, residence, time to care seeking, and outbreak settings; and cholera associated deaths were assessed using odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Of the 2,737 cholera cases reported, we analyzed 2,347 (85.7%) cases including 1,364 (58.1%) outpatients, 1,724 (73.5%) not associated with mass gathering events, 1,356 (57.8%) male and 2,202 (93.8%) aged ≥5 years, and 35 deaths (case fatality rate: 1.5%). Cases were reported from all the Sub Counties of Nairobi City County with an overall county attack rate of 50 per 100,000 people. Vibrio cholerae Ogawa serotype was isolated from 78 (34.8%) of the 224 specimens tested and all isolates were sensitive to tetracycline and levofloxacin but resistant to amikacin. The odds of cholera-related deaths was lower among outpatient cases (aOR: 0.35; [95% CI: 0.17-0.72]), age ≥5 years old (aOR: 0.21 [95% CI: 0.09-0.55]), and mass gathering events (aOR: 0.26 [95% CI: 0.07-0.91]) while threefold higher odds among male (aOR: 3.04 [95% CI: 1.30-7.13]). Nairobi City County experienced a protracted and widespread cholera outbreak with a high case fatality rate in 2017., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Ngere et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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17. Spatial-temporal analysis of climate and socioeconomic conditions on cholera incidence in Mozambique from 2000 to 2018: an ecological longitudinal retrospective study.
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Armando CJ, Rocklöv J, Sidat M, Tozan Y, Mavume AF, Bunker A, and Sewe MO
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- Mozambique epidemiology, Humans, Retrospective Studies, Longitudinal Studies, Incidence, Temperature, Bayes Theorem, Cholera epidemiology, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Socioeconomic Factors, Climate
- Abstract
Objectives: This study aims to assess both socioeconomic and climatic factors of cholera morbidity in Mozambique considering both spatial and temporal dimensions., Design: An ecological longitudinal retrospective study using monthly provincial cholera cases from Mozambican Ministry of Health between 2000 and 2018. The cholera cases were linked to socioeconomic data from Mozambique Demographic and Health Surveys conducted in the period 2000-2018 and climatic data; relative humidity (RH), mean temperature, precipitation and Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). A negative binomial regression model in a Bayesian framework was used to model cholera incidence while adjusting for the spatiotemporal covariance, lagged effect of environmental factors and the socioeconomic indicators., Setting: Eleven provinces in Mozambique., Results: Over the 19-year period, a total of 153 941 cholera cases were notified to the surveillance system in Mozambique. Risk of cholera increased with higher monthly mean temperatures above 24°C in comparison to the reference mean temperature of 23°C. At mean temperature of 19°C, cholera risk was higher at a lag of 5-6 months. At a shorter lag of 1 month, precipitation of 223.3 mm resulted in an 57% increase in cholera risk (relative risk, RR 1.57 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.31)). Cholera risk was greatest at 3 lag months with monthly NDVI of 0.137 (RR 1.220 (95% CI 1.042 to 1.430)), compared with the reference value of 0.2. At an RH of 54%, cholera RR was increased by 62% (RR 1.620 (95% CI 1.124 to 2.342)) at a lag of 4 months. We found that ownership of radio RR 0.29, (95% CI 0.109 to 0.776) and mobile phones RR 0.262 (95% CI 0.097 to 0.711) were significantly associated with low cholera risk., Conclusion: The derived lagged patterns can provide appropriate lead times in a climate-driven cholera early warning system that could contribute to the prevention and management of outbreaks., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2024
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18. Attitude towards cholera vaccination and its related factors in Jordan amid the 2022 Middle East outbreak.
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Sallam M, Athamneh RY, Alkhazaleh R, Alzayadneh L, Jaradat L, Majali T, Obeidat S, Shhab A, Hallit S, Barakat M, and Mahafzah A
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- Humans, Jordan, Male, Adult, Female, Young Adult, Surveys and Questionnaires, Middle Aged, Adolescent, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Vaccination psychology, Patient Acceptance of Health Care statistics & numerical data, Patient Acceptance of Health Care psychology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera psychology, Cholera epidemiology, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage
- Abstract
Background: An outbreak of cholera was reported in the Middle East by the second half of 2022. Raising public awareness and vaccination against cholera represent critical factors in the preventive efforts. The current study aimed to assess the knowledge of cholera and attitude towards its vaccination among a sample of the general public residing in Jordan., Methods: An online self-administered questionnaire was distributed to the residents in Jordan using a snowball convenience-based sampling approach. The questionnaire based on previously published studies included items to evaluate sociodemographic variables, knowledge about cholera symptoms, transmission, and prevention and the willingness to accept cholera vaccination. Additionally, four items based on the validated 5 C scale in Arabic were included to assess the psychological factors influencing attitude to cholera vaccination., Results: The final study sample comprised 1339 respondents, of whom 1216 (90.8%) heard of cholera before the study. Among those who heard of cholera, and on a scale from 0 to 20, the overall mean cholera Knowledge score (K-score) was 12.9 ± 3.8. In multivariate analysis, being over 30 years old and occupation as healthcare workers or students in healthcare-related colleges were significantly associated with a higher K-score compared to younger individuals and students in non-healthcare-related colleges. Overall, the acceptance of cholera vaccination if cases are recorded in Jordan, and if the vaccine is safe, effective, and provided freely was reported among 842 participants (69.2%), while 253 participants were hesitant (20.8%) and 121 participants were resistant (10.0%). In linear regression, the significant predictors of cholera vaccine acceptance were solely the three psychological factors namely high confidence, low constraints, and high collective responsibility., Conclusions: In this study, the identified gaps in cholera knowledge emphasize the need to enhance educational initiatives. Although cholera vaccine acceptance was relatively high, a significant minority of the respondents exhibited vaccination hesitancy or resistance. The evident correlation between the psychological determinants and attitudes toward cholera vaccination emphasizes the need to consider these factors upon designing public health campaigns aimed at cholera prevention. The insights of the current study highlight the importance of addressing both knowledge gaps and psychological barriers to optimize cholera control strategies., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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19. The forgotten pandemic: how understanding cholera illuminated mechanisms of chloride channels in multiple diseases.
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Al-Awqati Q
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- Humans, Pandemics, Vibrio cholerae metabolism, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Chloride Channels metabolism, Chloride Channels genetics, Animals, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Cholera metabolism
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- 2024
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20. An unusual two-strain cholera outbreak in Lebanon, 2022-2023: a genomic epidemiology study.
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Abou Fayad A, Rafei R, Njamkepo E, Ezzeddine J, Hussein H, Sinno S, Gerges JR, Barada S, Sleiman A, Assi M, Baakliny M, Hamedeh L, Mahfouz R, Dabboussi F, Feghali R, Mohsen Z, Rady A, Ghosn N, Abiad F, Abubakar A, Barakat A, Wauquier N, Quilici ML, Hamze M, Weill FX, and Matar GM
- Subjects
- Lebanon epidemiology, Humans, Genome, Bacterial genetics, Genomics methods, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae classification, Male, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Female, Vibrio cholerae O1 genetics, Vibrio cholerae O1 isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae O1 classification, Adolescent, Adult, Young Adult, Middle Aged, Child, Molecular Epidemiology, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Disease Outbreaks, Phylogeny
- Abstract
Cholera is a life-threatening gastrointestinal infection caused by a toxigenic bacterium, Vibrio cholerae. After a lull of almost 30 years, a first case of cholera was detected in Lebanon in October 2022. The outbreak lasted three months, with 8007 suspected cases (671 laboratory-confirmed) and 23 deaths. In this study, we use phenotypic methods and microbial genomics to study 34 clinical and environmental Vibrio cholerae isolates collected throughout this outbreak. All isolates are identified as V. cholerae O1, serotype Ogawa strains from wave 3 of the seventh pandemic El Tor (7PET) lineage. Phylogenomic analysis unexpectedly reveals the presence of two different strains of the seventh pandemic El Tor (7PET) lineage. The dominant strain has a narrow antibiotic resistance profile and is phylogenetically related to South Asian V. cholerae isolates and derived African isolates from the AFR15 sublineage. The second strain is geographically restricted and extensively drug-resistant. It belongs to the AFR13 sublineage and clusters with V. cholerae isolates collected in Yemen. In conclusion, the 2022-2023 Lebanese cholera outbreak is caused by the simultaneous introduction of two different 7PET strains. Genomic surveillance with cross-border collaboration is therefore crucial for the identification of new introductions and routes of circulation of cholera, improving our understanding of cholera epidemiology., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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21. Silences and Omissions in Reporting Epidemics in Russian and Soviet Prisons, 1890-2021.
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Nakonechnyi M and Pallot J
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- Humans, History, 20th Century, Russia epidemiology, History, 19th Century, USSR, History, 21st Century, Cholera history, Cholera epidemiology, Tuberculosis, Pulmonary history, Tuberculosis, Pulmonary epidemiology, Prisons history, Prisons statistics & numerical data, Epidemics history, COVID-19 history, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Penitentiary systems serve as breeding grounds for all kinds of diseases. Drawing upon new archival materials, this article examines the history of the management and reporting of epidemics in the Russian prison system from the late Imperial period to the present day. We use the case studies of cholera (1892-1893), typhus (1932-1933), and pulmonary tuberculosis (the 1990s) to examine how the general political and social conjuncture at different times affected the response of prison authorities to epidemics to show that, notwithstanding major shifts in society and polity, there was continuity in the management of epidemics by prison authorities in the long twentieth century. However, there were fundamental discrepancies in the way late Imperial, Soviet, and post-Soviet Russia reported epidemiological emergencies in prisons. We argue that Russia's tumultuous past has reinforced the tendency among the Russian penal administration towards a lack of transparency that has persisted to the present day, in relation to the latest, COVID-19, epidemic., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press.)
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- 2024
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22. Outbreak of Vibrio cholerae , Mayotte, France, April to July 2024.
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Mazzilli S, Youssouf H, Durand J, Soler M, Cholin T, Herry F, Collet L, Jean M, Ransay-Colle M, Benoit-Cattin T, Rouard C, Figoni J, Noël H, Piarroux R, and Lapostolle A
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- Humans, France epidemiology, Adult, Middle Aged, Male, Adolescent, Female, Child, Aged, Drinking Water microbiology, Child, Preschool, Young Adult, Infant, Sanitation, Disease Outbreaks, Cholera epidemiology, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification
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On 22 April 2024, a locally-acquired case of cholera was confirmed in Mayotte. Subsequently, local transmission resulted in eight outbreak clusters with 221 notified cases in densely populated neighbourhoods with limited or no access to drinking water. The last case was detected on 12 July. A case-area targeted intervention strategy was applied to contain the outbreak. However, improving access to drinking water and basic sanitation is crucial to prevent further exposure.
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- 2024
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23. Outbreak of cholera due to contaminated pond water utilisation in a rural area of West Bengal, India, 2021.
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Roy D, Mondal TR, and Indwar P
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- Humans, India epidemiology, Male, Female, Adult, Adolescent, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Case-Control Studies, Child, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Rural Population statistics & numerical data, Child, Preschool, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks, Ponds microbiology, Water Microbiology
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Background: On March 31, 2021, an outbreak of diarrhoeal disease was reported in Dangapara village of Purba Bardhaman district, West Bengal, India. The outbreak was investigated to estimate the magnitude, identify aetiological agents and source of infection, and guide prevention control measures., Methods: We did an active search for case patients at Dangapara village. We excluded children under five years of age from the epidemiological analysis. We described the outbreak by time, place, and person. We conducted a case control study with 133 controls and 65 cases. Water samples from different sources and rectal swabs from case patients were collected and sent for laboratory investigations., Results: We identified 95 case patients among 330 residents of Dangapara village (attack rate 29 %). Three stool samples were positive for Vibrio cholerae, and two pond water samples were contaminated with coliform organisms. Washing utensils [adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 69.8, (95% confidence interval (CI) 6.5-749.5)] and taking a bath in pond water [AOR: 3.4, (95% CI 1.2-9)] were associated with increased risk of illness. About 97% of cases were attributed to washing utensils in pond water. Washing hands before taking food was associated with a lower risk of developing disease with AOR: 0.1 (95% CI 0.03-0.33)., Conclusion: A cholera outbreak occurred among residents of Dangapara village due to theuse of contaminated pond water for washing utensils and bathing. Prompt management of cases and immediate discontinuation of pond water use stopped the outbreak., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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24. Strain variation and anomalous climate synergistically influence cholera pandemics.
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Rodó X, Bouma MJ, Rodríguez-Arias MÀ, Roy M, De Yebra P, Petrova D, García-Díez M, and Pascual M
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- Humans, History, 19th Century, Bangladesh epidemiology, Climate Change, India epidemiology, History, 20th Century, Climate, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Cholera epidemiology, Pandemics
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Background: Explanations for the genesis and propagation of cholera pandemics since 1817 have remained elusive. Evolutionary pathogen change is presumed to have been a dominant factor behind the 7th "El Tor" pandemic, but little is known to support this hypothesis for preceding pandemics. The role of anomalous climate in facilitating strain replacements has never been assessed. The question is of relevance to guide the understanding of infectious disease emergence today and in the context of climate change., Methodology/principal Findings: We investigate the roles of climate and putative strain variation for the 6th cholera pandemic (1899-1923) using newly assembled historical records for climate variables and cholera deaths in provinces of former British India. We compare this historical pandemic with the 7th (El Tor) one and with the temporary emergence of the O139 strain in Bangladesh and globally. With statistical methods for nonlinear time series analysis, we examine the regional synchrony of outbreaks and associations of the disease with regional temperature and rainfall, and with the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). To establish future expectations and evaluate climate anomalies accompanying historical strain replacements, climate projections are generated with multi-model climate simulations for different 50-year periods. The 6th cholera pandemic featured the striking synchronisation of cholera outbreaks over Bengal during the El Niño event of 1904-07, following the invasion of the Bombay Presidency with a delay of a few years. Accompanying anomalous weather conditions are similar to those related to ENSO during strain replacements and pandemic expansions into Africa and South America in the late 20th century. Rainfall anomalies of 1904-05 at the beginning of the large cholera anomaly fall in the 99th percentile of simulated changes for the regional climate., Conclusions/significance: Evolutionary pathogen change can act synergistically with climatic conditions in the emergence and propagation of cholera strains. Increased climate variability and extremes under global warming provide windows of opportunity for emerging pathogens., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Rodó et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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25. Spatiotemporal Modeling of Cholera, Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2016-2020.
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Ratnayake R, Knee J, Cumming O, Saidi JM, Rumedeka BB, Finger F, Azman AS, Edmunds WJ, Checchi F, and Gallandat K
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- Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Humans, History, 21st Century, Cluster Analysis, Cholera epidemiology, Spatio-Temporal Analysis
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We evaluated the spatiotemporal clustering of rapid diagnostic test-positive cholera cases in Uvira, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. We detected spatiotemporal clusters that consistently overlapped with major rivers, and we outlined the extent of zones of increased risk that are compatible with the radii currently used for targeted interventions.
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- 2024
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26. Vibrio mimicus Lineage Carrying Cholera Toxin and Vibrio Pathogenicity Island, United States and China.
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Morgado SM, Dos Santos Freitas F, Lourenço da Fonseca E, and Vicente ACP
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- China epidemiology, Humans, United States epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Phylogeny, Vibrio Infections microbiology, Vibrio Infections epidemiology, Virulence Factors genetics, Vibrio mimicus genetics, Vibrio mimicus pathogenicity, Cholera Toxin genetics, Genomic Islands
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Vibrio mimicus bacteria have caused sporadic cases and outbreaks of cholera-like diarrhea throughout the world, but the association of lineages with such events is unexplored. Genomic analyses revealed V. mimicus lineages carrying the virulence factors cholera toxin and toxin coregulated pilus, one of which has persisted for decades in China and the United States.
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- 2024
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27. Prevalence and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of Vibrio cholerae isolates from cholera outbreak sites in Ethiopia.
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Bitew A, Gelaw A, Wondimeneh Y, Ayenew Z, Getie M, Tafere W, Gebre-Eyesus T, Yimer M, Beyene GT, Bitew M, Abayneh T, Abebe M, Mihret A, Yeshitela B, Teferi M, and Gelaw B
- Subjects
- Humans, Ethiopia epidemiology, Prevalence, Cross-Sectional Studies, Adult, Female, Adolescent, Male, Young Adult, Feces microbiology, Middle Aged, Microbial Sensitivity Tests, Child, Child, Preschool, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae drug effects, Disease Outbreaks, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology
- Abstract
Background: Cholera is an acute infectious disease caused by ingestion of contaminated food or water with Vibrio cholerae. Cholera remains a global threat to public health and an indicator of inequity and lack of social development. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of V. cholerae from cholera outbreak sites in Ethiopia., Methods: Across-sectional study was conducted from May 2022 to October 2023 across different regions in Ethiopia: Oromia National Regional State, Amhara National Regional State and Addis Ababa City Administration. A total of 415 fecal samples were collected from the three regions. Two milliliter fecal samples were collected from each study participants. The collected samples were cultured on Blood Agar, MacConkey Agar and Thiosulfate Citrate Bile Salt Sucrose Agar. A series of biochemical tests Oxidase test, String test, Motility, Indole, Citrate, Gas production, H
2 S production, Urease test were used to identify V. cholerae species. Both polyvalent and monovalent antisera were used for agglutination tests to identify and differentiate V. cholerae serogroup and serotypes. In addition, Kirby-Bauer Disk diffusion antibiotic susceptibility test method was done. Data were registered in epi-enfo version 7 and analyzed by Statistical Package for Social Science version 25. Descriptive statistics were used to determine the prevalence of Vibrio cholerae. Logistic regression model was fitted and p-value < 0.05 was considered as statically significant., Results: The prevalence of V. cholerae in the fecal samples was 30.1%. Majority of the isolates were from Oromia National Regional State 43.2% (n = 54) followed by Amhara National Regional State 31.2% (n = 39) and Addis Ababa City Administration 25.6% (n = 32). Most of the V. cholerae isolates were O1 serogroups 90.4% (n = 113) and Ogawa serotypes 86.4% (n = 108). Majority of the isolates were susceptible to ciprofloxacin 100% (n = 125), tetracycline 72% (n = 90) and gentamycin 68% (n = 85). More than half of the isolates were resistant to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole 62.4% (n = 78) and ampicillin 56.8% (n = 71). In this study, participants unable to read and write were about four times more at risk for V. cholerae infection (AOR: 3.8, 95% CI: 1.07-13.33). In addition, consumption of river water were about three times more at risk for V. cholerae infection (AOR: 2.8, 95% CI: 1.08-7.08)., Conclusion: our study revealed a high prevalence of V. cholerae from fecal samples. The predominant serogroups and serotypes were O1 and Ogawa, respectively. Fortunately, the isolates showed susceptible to most tested antibiotics. Drinking water from river were the identified associated risk factor for V. cholerae infection. Protecting the community from drinking of river water and provision of safe and treated water could reduce cholera outbreaks in the study areas., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
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28. Discovery of Vibrio cholerae in Urban Sewage in Copenhagen, Denmark.
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Brinch C, Otani S, Munk P, van den Beld M, Franz E, and Aarestrup FM
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- Denmark, Genome, Bacterial, Wastewater microbiology, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Sewage microbiology, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae classification
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We report the discovery of a persistent presence of Vibrio cholerae at very low abundance in the inlet of a single wastewater treatment plant in Copenhagen, Denmark at least since 2015. Remarkably, no environmental or locally transmitted clinical case of V. cholerae has been reported in Denmark for more than 100 years. We, however, have recovered a near-complete genome out of 115 metagenomic sewage samples taken over the past 8 years, despite the extremely low relative abundance of one V. cholerae read out of 500,000 sequenced reads. Due to the very low relative abundance, routine screening of the individual samples did not reveal V. cholerae. The recovered genome lacks the gene responsible for cholerae toxin production, but although this strain may not pose an immediate public health risk, our finding illustrates the importance, challenges, and effectiveness of wastewater-based pathogen surveillance., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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29. Cholera disease dynamics with vaccination control using delay differential equation.
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Singh JP, Kumar S, Akgül A, and Hassani MK
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- Humans, Cholera Vaccines, Models, Theoretical, SARS-CoV-2, Pandemics prevention & control, Computer Simulation, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, Vaccination
- Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic came with many setbacks, be it to a country's economy or the global missions of organizations like WHO, UNICEF or GTFCC. One of the setbacks is the rise in cholera cases in developing countries due to the lack of cholera vaccination. This model suggested a solution by introducing another public intervention, such as adding Chlorine to water bodies and vaccination. A novel delay differential model of fractional order was recommended, with two different delays, one representing the latent period of the disease and the other being the delay in adding a disinfectant to the aquatic environment. This model also takes into account the population that will receive a vaccination. This study utilized sensitivity analysis of reproduction number to analytically prove the effectiveness of control measures in preventing the spread of the disease. This analysis provided the mathematical evidence for adding disinfectants in water bodies and inoculating susceptible individuals. The stability of the equilibrium points has been discussed. The existence of stability switching curves is determined. Numerical simulation showed the effect of delay, resulting in fluctuations in some compartments. It also depicted the impact of the order of derivative on the oscillations., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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30. Genomic insights into the 2022-2023Vibrio cholerae outbreak in Malawi.
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Chaguza C, Chibwe I, Chaima D, Musicha P, Ndeketa L, Kasambara W, Mhango C, Mseka UL, Bitilinyu-Bangoh J, Mvula B, Kipandula W, Bonongwe P, Munthali RJ, Ngwira S, Mwendera CA, Kalizang'oma A, Jambo KC, Kambalame D, Kamng'ona AW, Steele AD, Chauma-Mwale A, Hungerford D, Kagoli M, Nyaga MM, Dube Q, French N, Msefula CL, Cunliffe NA, and Jere KC
- Subjects
- Malawi epidemiology, Humans, Genomics, Genome, Bacterial genetics, Prophages genetics, Genotype, Serogroup, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera microbiology, Disease Outbreaks, Phylogeny, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae classification
- Abstract
Malawi experienced its deadliest Vibrio cholerae (Vc) outbreak following devastating cyclones, with >58,000 cases and >1700 deaths reported between March 2022 and May 2023. Here, we use population genomics to investigate the attributes and origin of the Malawi 2022-2023 Vc outbreak isolates. Our results demonstrate the predominance of ST69 clone, also known as the seventh cholera pandemic El Tor (7PET) lineage, expressing O1 Ogawa (~ 80%) serotype followed by Inaba (~ 16%) and sporadic non-O1/non-7PET serogroups (~ 4%). Phylogenetic reconstruction revealed that the Malawi outbreak strains correspond to a recent importation from Asia into Africa (sublineage AFR15). These isolates harboured known antimicrobial resistance and virulence elements, notably the ICE
GEN /ICEVchHai1/ICEVchind5 SXT/R391-like integrative conjugative elements and a CTXφ prophage with the ctxB7 genotype compared to historical Malawian Vc isolates. These data suggest that the devastating cyclones coupled with the recent importation of 7PET serogroup O1 strains, may explain the magnitude of the 2022-2023 cholera outbreak in Malawi., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
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31. Participatory Disease Surveillance for the Early Detection of Cholera-Like Diarrheal Disease Outbreaks in Rural Villages in Malawi: Prospective Cohort Study.
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Valerio MGP, Laher B, Phuka J, Lichand G, Paolotti D, and Leal Neto O
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- Malawi epidemiology, Humans, Prospective Studies, Male, Female, Adult, Child, Preschool, Longitudinal Studies, Cohort Studies, Child, Adolescent, Infant, Early Diagnosis, Middle Aged, Population Surveillance methods, Rural Population statistics & numerical data, Diarrhea epidemiology, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks
- Abstract
Background: Cholera-like diarrheal disease (CLDD) outbreaks are complex and influenced by environmental factors, socioeconomic conditions, and population dynamics, leading to limitations in traditional surveillance methods. In Malawi, cholera is considered an endemic disease. Its epidemiological profile is characterized by seasonal patterns, often coinciding with the rainy season when contamination of water sources is more likely. However, the outbreak that began in March 2022 has extended to the dry season, with deaths reported in all 29 districts. It is considered the worst outbreak in the past 10 years., Objective: This study aims to evaluate the feasibility and outcomes of participatory surveillance (PS) using interactive voice response (IVR) technology for the early detection of CLDD outbreaks in Malawi., Methods: This longitudinal cohort study followed 740 households in rural settings in Malawi for 24 weeks. The survey tool was designed to have 10 symptom questions collected every week. The proxies' rationale was related to exanthematic, ictero-hemorragica for endemic diseases or events, diarrhea and respiratory/targeting acute diseases or events, and diarrhea and respiratory/targeting seasonal diseases or events. This work will focus only on the CLDD as a proxy for gastroenteritis and cholera. In this study, CLDD was defined as cases where reports indicated diarrhea combined with either fever or vomiting/nausea., Results: During the study period, our data comprised 16,280 observations, with an average weekly participation rate of 35%. Maganga TA had the highest average of completed calls, at 144.83 (SD 10.587), while Ndindi TA had an average of 123.66 (SD 13.176) completed calls. Our findings demonstrate that this method might be effective in identifying CLDD with a notable and consistent signal captured over time (R
2 =0.681404). Participation rates were slightly higher at the beginning of the study and decreased over time, thanks to the sensitization activities rolled out at the CBCCs level. In terms of the attack rates for CLDD, we observed similar rates between Maganga TA and Ndindi TA, at 16% and 15%, respectively., Conclusions: PS has proven to be valuable for the early detection of epidemics. IVR technology is a promising approach for disease surveillance in rural villages in Africa, where access to health care and traditional disease surveillance methods may be limited. This study highlights the feasibility and potential of IVR technology for the timely and comprehensive reporting of disease incidence, symptoms, and behaviors in resource-limited settings., (©Mariana Gasparoto Pereira Valerio, Beverly Laher, John Phuka, Guilherme Lichand, Daniela Paolotti, Onicio Leal Neto. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 16.07.2024.)- Published
- 2024
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32. Healthcare Seeking Behavior and Disease Perception Toward Cholera and Acute Diarrhea Among Populations Living in Cholera High-Priority Hotspots in Shashemene, Ethiopia.
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Getahun T, Hailu D, Mogeni OD, Mesfin Getachew E, Yeshitela B, Jeon Y, Gedefaw A, Ayele Abebe S, Hundito E, Mukasa D, Jang GH, Pak GD, Kim DR, Worku Demlie Y, Hussen M, Teferi M, and Park SE
- Subjects
- Humans, Ethiopia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Adult, Female, Male, Adolescent, Young Adult, Middle Aged, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Child, Child, Preschool, Infant, Surveys and Questionnaires, Cholera epidemiology, Patient Acceptance of Health Care statistics & numerical data, Diarrhea epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Healthcare seeking behavior (HSB) and community perception on cholera can influence its management. We conducted a cross-sectional survey to generate evidence on cholera associated HSB and disease perception in populations living in cholera hotspots in Ethiopia., Methods: A total of 870 randomly selected households (HHs) in Shashemene Town (ST) and Shashemene Woreda (SW) participated in our survey in January 2022., Results: Predominant HHs (91.0%; 792/870) responded "primary health center" as the nearest healthcare facility (HCF). Around 57.4% (247/430) of ST HHs traveled <30 minutes to the nearest HCF. In SW, 60.2% (265/440) of HHs travelled over 30 minutes and 25.9% (114/440) over 4 km. Two-thirds of all HHs paid
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- 2024
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33. Dissecting Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WaSH) to Assess Risk Factors for Cholera in Shashemene, Oromia Region, Ethiopia.
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Hailu D, Jeon Y, Gedefaw A, Kim JH, Mraidi R, Getahun T, Mogeni OD, Mesfin Getachew E, Jang GH, Mukasa D, Pak GD, Kim DR, Ayele Abebe S, Yeshitela B, Edosa M, Worku Demlie Y, Park SE, and Teferi M
- Subjects
- Humans, Ethiopia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Risk Factors, Male, Female, Adult, Adolescent, Disease Outbreaks, Retrospective Studies, Drinking Water microbiology, Young Adult, Child, Family Characteristics, Middle Aged, Water Supply standards, Child, Preschool, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Sanitation, Hygiene standards
- Abstract
Background: Cholera outbreaks have afflicted Ethiopia, with nearly 100 000 cases and 1030 deaths reported from 2015 to 2023, emphasizing the critical need to understand water, sanitation, and hygiene (WaSH) risk factors., Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional household (HH) survey among 870 HHs in Shashemene Town and Shashemene Woreda, alongside extracting retrospective cholera case data from the Ethiopian Public Health Institute database. Relationships between WaSH and sociodemographic/economic-levels of HHs were examined. WaSH status and cholera attack rates (ARs) were described at kebele-level using geospatial mapping, and their association was statistically analyzed., Results: Access to basic drinking water, sanitation, and hygiene facilities was limited, with 67.5% (95% confidence interval, 64.4-70.6), 73.4% (70.3-76.3), and 30.3% (27.3-33.3) of HHs having access, respectively. Better WaSH practices were associated with urban residence (adjusted odds ratio, 1.7, [95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.7]), higher educational levels (2.7 [1.2-5.8]), and wealth (2.5 [1.6-4.0]). The association between cholera ARs and at least basic WaSH status was not statistically significant (multiple R2 = 0.13; P = .36), although localized effects were suggested for sanitation (Moran I = 0.22; P = .024)., Conclusions: Addressing gaps in WaSH access and hygiene practices is crucial for reducing cholera risk. Further analyses with meaningful covariates and increased sample sizes are necessary to understand the association between cholera AR and specific WaSH components., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: No reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2024
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34. Comprehensive Review on the Use of Oral Cholera Vaccine (OCV) in Ethiopia: 2019 to 2023.
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Edosa M, Jeon Y, Gedefaw A, Hailu D, Mesfin Getachew E, Mogeni OD, Jang GH, Mukasa D, Yeshitela B, Getahun T, Lynch J, Bouhenia M, Worku Demlie Y, Hussen M, Wossen M, Teferi M, and Park SE
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- Ethiopia epidemiology, Humans, Administration, Oral, Retrospective Studies, Mass Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Immunization Programs, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Cholera outbreaks in Ethiopia necessitate frequent mass oral cholera vaccine (OCV) campaigns. Despite this, there is a notable absence of a comprehensive summary of these campaigns. Understanding national OCV vaccination history is essential to design appropriate and effective cholera control strategies. Here, we aimed to retrospectively review all OCV vaccination campaigns conducted across Ethiopia between 2019 and 2023., Methods: The OCV request records from 2019 to October 2023 and vaccination campaign reports for the period from 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively accessed from the Ethiopia Public Health Institute (EPHI) database. Descriptive analysis was conducted using the retrospective data collected., Results: From 2019 to October 2023, Ethiopian government requested 32 044 576 OCV doses (31 899 576 doses to global stockpile; 145 000 doses to outside of stockpile). Around 66.3% of requested doses were approved; of which 90.4% were received. Fifteen OCV campaigns (12 reactive and 3 pre-emptive) were conducted, including five two-dose campaigns with varying dose intervals and single-dose campaigns partially in 2019 and entirely in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Overall vaccine administrative coverage was high; except for Tigray region (41.8% in the 1st round; 2nd round didn't occur). The vaccine administrative coverage records were documented, but no OCV coverage survey data was available., Conclusions: This study represents the first comprehensive review of OCV campaigns in Ethiopia spanning the last five years. Its findings offer valuable insights into informing future cholera control strategies, underscoring the importance of monitoring and evaluation despite resource constraints. Addressing the limitations in coverage survey data availability is crucial for enhancing the efficacy of future campaigns., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: No reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2024
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35. Coverage of Two-Dose Preemptive Cholera Mass Vaccination Campaign in High-Priority Hotspots in Shashemene, Oromia Region, Ethiopia.
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Park SE, Gedefaw A, Hailu D, Jeon Y, Mogeni OD, Jang GH, Mukasa D, Mraidi R, Kim DR, Getahun T, Mesfin Getachew E, Yeshitela B, Ayele Abebe S, Hussen M, Worku Demlie Y, and Teferi M
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- Humans, Ethiopia epidemiology, Adolescent, Child, Male, Adult, Child, Preschool, Female, Young Adult, Infant, Middle Aged, Vaccination Coverage statistics & numerical data, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage, Mass Vaccination
- Abstract
Background: Cholera is a public health priority in Ethiopia. The Ethiopian National Cholera Plan elaborates a multi-year scheme of oral cholera vaccine (OCV) use. Aligned with this, a preemptive OCV campaign was conducted under our Ethiopia Cholera Control and Prevention project. Here, we present the OCV vaccination outcomes., Method: Cholera high-priority hotspots in the Oromia Region, Shashemene Town (ST) and Shashemene Woreda (SW), were selected. Four kebelles (Abosto, Alelu, Arada, and Awasho) in ST and 4 clusters (Faji Gole, Harabate, Toga, and Chabi) in SW were study sites with OCV areas nested within. A total of 40 000 and 60 000 people in ST and SW, respectively, were targeted for a 2-dose OCV (Euvichol-Plus) campaign in 11-15 May (first round [R1]) and 27-31 May (second round [R2]) 2022. Daily administrative OCV coverage and a coverage survey in 277 randomly selected households were conducted., Results: The administrative OCV coverage was high: 102.0% for R1 and 100.5% for R2 in ST and 99.1% (R1) and 100.0% (R1) in SW. The coverage survey showed 78.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 73.1-82.9) of household members with 2-dose OCV and 16.8% (95% CI: 12.4-21.3) with no OCV in ST; and 83.1% (95% CI: 79.6-86.5) with 2-dose OCV and 11.8% (95% CI: 8.8-14.8) with no OCV in SW. The 2-dose coverages in 1-4-, 5-14-, and ≥15-year age groups were 88.3% (95% CI: 70.6-96.1), 88.9% (95% CI: 82.1-95.7), and 71.3% (95% CI: 64.2-78.3), respectively, in ST and 78.2% (95% CI: 68.8-87.7), 91.0% (95% CI: 86.6-95.3), and 78.7% (95% CI: 73.2-84.1) in SW., Conclusions: High 2-dose OCV coverage was achieved. Cholera surveillance is needed to assess the vaccine impact and effectiveness., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: No reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2024
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36. Ethiopia National Cholera Elimination Plan 2022-2028: Experiences, Challenges, and the Way Forward.
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Hussen M, Worku Demlie Y, Edosa M, Kebede M, Wossen M, Mulugeta Chane A, Abate G, Hailu Asfaw W, Hailu D, Teferi M, Jeon Y, Gedefaw A, and Park SE
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- Ethiopia epidemiology, Humans, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage, Cholera Vaccines economics, Cholera Vaccines supply & distribution, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Disease Eradication
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Cholera remains a significant public health concern in Ethiopia. More than 15.9 million Ethiopians, constituting 15% of the total population, live in areas with a history of recurrent cholera outbreaks. The last 9 years of national cholera surveillance data show the country has been experiencing cholera outbreaks every year. The current cholera outbreak, starting in August 2022, has affected the entire country, with 841 reported cases and a 3.13% case fatality rate (CFR) in 2022, and >30 000 cases with nearly a 1.4% CFR in 2023. In line with "Ending Cholera-A Global Roadmap to 2030," the government of Ethiopia is committed to eliminate cholera in the country and has prepared its "National Cholera Elimination Plan (NCP): 2022-2028" with aims to achieve zero local transmission in cholera hotspot areas by 2028 and 90% fatality reduction from the recent (2020-2022) average of 1.8% CFR. The plan is multisectoral, has a clear coordination platform, contains all interventions with in-depth situational analysis, is concordant with existing plans and strategies, and is cascaded at the regional level and implemented with existing government and public structures. Nationwide, total 118 cholera hotspot woredas (districts) were identified, and a comprehensive situation analysis of the existing cholera outbreak response capacity was assessed. This multisectoral and multiyear NCP has forecasted around US$404 million budget estimates with >90% allocated to improving the country's water, sanitation, and hygiene (US$222 million; 55% of total NCP budget) and case management (US$149 million; 37%). The cholera vaccination strategy included in the NCP exhibited a 5-year oral cholera vaccine (OCV) introduction plan with 2 doses (30 604 889 doses) and single dose (3 031 266 doses) in selected cholera hotspot areas. However, its implementation is challenged due to a lack of financial support, inability to get the requested vaccine for targeted hotspot woredas (due to the current shortage of doses in the OCV global stockpile), recurrent cholera outbreaks, and high humanitarian needs in the country. It is recommended to have a sustainable financial mechanism to support implementation, follow the requested vaccine doses, and reorganize the planned coordination platform to foster the implementation., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: No reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2024
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37. Retrospective Analysis of Cholera/Acute Watery Diarrhea Outbreaks in Ethiopia From 2001 To 2023: Incidence, Case Fatality Rate, and Seasonal and Multiyear Epidemic Patterns.
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Worku Demlie Y, Gedefaw A, Jeon Y, Hailu D, Getahun T, Mogeni OD, Mukasa D, Jang GH, Pak GD, Kim DR, Getachew EM, Yeshitela B, Ayele Abebe S, Edosa M, Wossen M, Teferi M, and Park SE
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- Humans, Ethiopia epidemiology, Incidence, Adolescent, Adult, Retrospective Studies, Young Adult, Child, Preschool, Male, Female, Child, Middle Aged, Infant, Aged, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera mortality, Diarrhea epidemiology, Diarrhea mortality, Diarrhea microbiology, Disease Outbreaks, Seasons
- Abstract
Background: The Ethiopian government has developed the multisectoral cholera elimination plan (NCP) with an aim of reducing cholera incidence and case fatality rate (CFR). To better understand and monitor the progress of this plan, a comprehensive review of national cholera epidemiology is needed., Methods: Reported data on cholera/acute watery diarrhea (AWD) cases in the past 20 years were extracted from the Ethiopian Public Health Institute and World Health Organization databases. Descriptive statistics, Pearson χ2, and logistic regression analyses were conducted., Results: From January 2001 to November 2023, a total of 215 205 cholera/AWD cases, 2355 deaths with a cumulative CFR of 1.10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.092-1.095), and a mean annual incidence rate of 8.9/100 000 (95% CI, 6.5-11.3) were reported. Two major upsurges of cholera epidemics were found in the last two decades with mean attack rate (AR) of 20.57/100 000 in 2006-2010 and 14.83/100 000 in 2016-2020. Another resurgence of outbreaks occured in 2021-2023 (mean AR, 8.63/100 000). In 2015-2023, 54.0% (53 990/99 945) of cases were aged 15-44 years. National cholera CFR (3.13% [95% CI: 2.1-4.5]) was the highest in 2022. The 2015-2023 cumulative cholera CFR was different across regions: Benishangul Gumuz (6.07%), Gambela (1.89%), Sidama (1.42%), Southern Nation, Nationalities, and Peoples' (1.34%), Oromia (1.10%), and Amhara (1.09%). Cholera/AWD patients in older adults (≥45 years), severe dehydration, peak rainy season (June-August), and outpatients were associated with higher risk of death., Conclusions: Cholera has been a public health problem in Ethiopia with case fatalities still above the global target. Case management needs to be improved particularly in outpatients and older populations. Outbreak preparedness should be rolled out well in advance of the typical rainy seasons. Significant investments are essential to advance the cholera surveillance system at healthcare setting and community level. Underlying factors of cholera deaths per areas should be further investigated to guide appropriate interventions to meet the NCP target by 2028., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: No reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2024
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38. Improved water supply infrastructure to reduce acute diarrhoeal diseases and cholera in Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo: Results and lessons learned from a pragmatic trial.
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Gallandat K, Macdougall A, Jeandron A, Mufitini Saidi J, Bashige Rumedeka B, Malembaka EB, Azman AS, Bompangue D, Cousens S, Allen E, and Cumming O
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- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Drinking Water microbiology, Incidence, Water Quality, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Diarrhea prevention & control, Diarrhea epidemiology, Water Supply standards
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Background: Safely managed drinking water is critical to prevent diarrhoeal diseases, including cholera, but evidence on the effectiveness of piped water supply in reducing these diseases in low-income and complex emergency settings remains scarce., Methods: We conducted a trial of water supply infrastructure improvements in Uvira (DRC). Our primary objective was to estimate the relationship between a composite index of water service quality and the monthly number of suspected cholera cases admitted to treatment facilities and, as a secondary analysis, the number of cases confirmed by rapid diagnostic tests. Other exposures included the quantity of supplied water and service continuity. We used Poisson generalised linear models with generalised estimating equations to estimate incidence rate ratios., Findings: Associations between suspected cholera incidence and water service quality (RR 0·86, 95% CI 0·73-1·01), quantity (RR 0·80, 95% CI 0·62-1·02) and continuity (RR 0·81, 95% CI 0·77-0·86) were estimated. The magnitudes of the associations were similar between confirmed cholera incidence and water service quality (RR 0·84, 95% CI 0·73-0·97), quantity (RR 0·76, 95% CI 0·61-0·94) and continuity (RR 0·75, 95% CI 0·69-0·81). These results suggest that an additional 5 L/user/day or 1.2 hour per day of water production could reduce confirmed cholera by 24% (95% CI 6-39%) and 25% (95% CI 19-31%), respectively., Interpretation: Ensuring a sufficient and continuous piped water supply may substantially reduce the burden of endemic cholera and diarrhoeal diseases but evaluating this rigorously is challenging. Pragmatic strategies are needed for public health research on complex interventions in protracted emergency settings., Trial Registration: The trial is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02928341. https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02928341., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Gallandat et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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39. Development of a laboratory-based model to study the interaction between nutrients and Vibrio cholerae and predicting the spread of cholera outbreaks in the Indian subcontinent.
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Jaiswal S, Panja AK, and Haldar S
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- India epidemiology, Humans, Rivers microbiology, Nutrients, Nitrates, Nitrites, Water Microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Vibrio cholerae, Disease Outbreaks
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Cholera is an infectious disease that is transmitted through contaminated water. The disease includes a long back history of epidemics. Despite the numerous hygiene and prevention techniques that have been developed for Cholera, outbreaks of cholera are still reported worldwide. The resolution to this issue lies in promptly identifying the area susceptible to cholera outbreaks, a matter that continues to perplex scientists and medical professionals. It has been reported that Vibrio is effective in nitrogen digestion because it contains the nasA gene. In this study, initially the impact of nutrients (nitrate and nitrite) on growth of Vibrio cholerae was determined, subsequently a relationship was developed between nutrient substrates and V. cholerae growth rate, using Monod model. Subsequently, the model was applied to large national river quality data set (2012-2014) developed by Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) and a possible cholerae outbreak zone was predicted. This work will definitely help the policy makers to develop management strategy for keeping rivers safe from future cholera outbreak., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.)
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- 2024
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40. Modelling techniques in cholera epidemiology: A systematic and critical review.
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Anteneh LM, Lokonon BE, and Kakaï RG
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- Humans, Epidemiological Models, Disease Outbreaks statistics & numerical data, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera transmission, Cholera prevention & control
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Diverse modelling techniques in cholera epidemiology have been developed and used to (1) study its transmission dynamics, (2) predict and manage cholera outbreaks, and (3) assess the impact of various control and mitigation measures. In this study, we carry out a critical and systematic review of various approaches used for modelling the dynamics of cholera. Also, we discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each modelling approach. A systematic search of articles was conducted in Google Scholar, PubMed, Science Direct, and Taylor & Francis. Eligible studies were those concerned with the dynamics of cholera excluding studies focused on models for cholera transmission in animals, socio-economic factors, and genetic & molecular related studies. A total of 476 peer-reviewed articles met the inclusion criteria, with about 40% (32%) of the studies carried out in Asia (Africa). About 52%, 21%, and 9%, of the studies, were based on compartmental (e.g., SIRB), statistical (time series and regression), and spatial (spatiotemporal clustering) models, respectively, while the rest of the analysed studies used other modelling approaches such as network, machine learning and artificial intelligence, Bayesian, and agent-based approaches. Cholera modelling studies that incorporate vector/housefly transmission of the pathogen are scarce and a small portion of researchers (3.99%) considers the estimation of key epidemiological parameters. Vaccination only platform was utilized as a control measure in more than half (58%) of the studies. Research productivity in cholera epidemiological modelling studies have increased in recent years, but authors used diverse range of models. Future models should consider incorporating vector/housefly transmission of the pathogen and on the estimation of key epidemiological parameters for the transmission of cholera dynamics., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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41. New measures to tackle the global cholera surge.
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Venkatesan P
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- Humans, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera transmission, Global Health
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- 2024
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42. Evaluation of a rapid diagnostic test for detection of Vibrio cholerae O1 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: Preventative intervention for cholera for 7 days (PICHA7 program).
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George CM, Namunesha A, Felicien W, Endres K, Luo W, Bisimwa L, Williams C, Bisimwa JC, Sanvura P, Perin J, Bengehya J, Maheshe G, Sack DA, Cikomola C, and Mwishingo A
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- Humans, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Male, Female, Adult, Adolescent, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Sensitivity and Specificity, Child, Diarrhea prevention & control, Diarrhea microbiology, Diarrhea diagnosis, Child, Preschool, Polymerase Chain Reaction, Diagnostic Tests, Routine methods, Infant, Aged, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Rapid Diagnostic Tests, Cholera diagnosis, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Vibrio cholerae O1 isolation & purification, Feces microbiology
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Objective: Globally, there are estimated to be 2.9 million cholera cases annually. Early detection of cholera outbreaks is crucial for resource allocation for case management and for targeted interventions to be delivered to stop the spread of cholera. In resource limited settings such as Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), there is often limited laboratory capacity for analysing stool samples for cholera by bacterial culture. Therefore, rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for cholera present a promising tool to rapidly test stool samples in a health facility setting for cholera. Our objective is to evaluate the Crystal VC O1 RDT for cholera detection compared with bacterial culture and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for Vibrio cholerae., Methods: From March 2020 to December 2022, stool samples were collected from 644 diarrhoea patients admitted to 94 health facilities in Bukavu in Eastern DRC. Patient stool samples were analysed by Crystal VC O1 RDT for cholera and by bacterial culture and PCR for V. cholerae O1., Results: Twenty six percent of diarrhoea patients (166/644) had stool samples positive for cholera by RDT, and 24% (152/644) had stool samples positive for V. cholerae O1 by bacterial culture or PCR. The overall specificity and sensitivity of the Crystal VC O1 RDT by direct testing was 94% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 92%-96%) and 90% (95% CI, 84%-94%), respectively, when compared with either a positive result by bacterial culture or PCR., Conclusion: Our findings suggest that the Crystal VC O1 RDT presents a promising tool for cholera surveillance in this cholera endemic setting in sub-Saharan Africa., (© 2024 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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43. Vaccine shortages worsen the deadliest cholera outbreaks in years.
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Feinmann J
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- Humans, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Cholera Vaccines supply & distribution, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Competing interests: None to declare.
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- 2024
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44. Epidemiological and genetic characterization of multidrug-resistant non-O1 and non-O139 Vibrio cholerae from food in southern China.
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Xu Y, Zheng Z, Sun R, Ye L, Chan EW, and Chen S
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- China epidemiology, Animals, Humans, Microbial Sensitivity Tests, Cholera microbiology, Cholera epidemiology, Vibrio cholerae genetics, Vibrio cholerae drug effects, Vibrio cholerae isolation & purification, Vibrio cholerae non-O1 genetics, Vibrio cholerae non-O1 drug effects, Vibrio cholerae non-O1 isolation & purification, Plasmids genetics, Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial genetics, Food Microbiology, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology
- Abstract
This study reports a comprehensive epidemiological and genetic analysis of V. cholerae strains, specifically non-O1/non-O139 serogroups, isolated from animal-derived food samples in Guangdong province from 2015 to 2019. A total of 21 V. cholerae strains were obtained, which exhibited high resistance rates for nalidixic acid (57.14 %, 12/21), ampicillin (33.33 %, 7/21), and ciprofloxacin (19.05 %, 4/21). The quinolone resistance-related gene, qnrVC, was prevalent in 80.95 % (17/21) of the isolates. Additionally, chromosomally mediated quinolone-resistance mutations, including mutations in GyrA at position 83 (S83I) and ParC at position 85 (S85L), were detected in 47.62 % of the isolates. The combination of target mutation and qnrVC genes was shown to mediate resistance or intermediate resistance to ciprofloxacin in V. cholerae. Furthermore, an IncC-type conjugative plasmid carrying thirteen antibiotic resistance genes, including genes conferring resistance to two clinically important antibiotics, cephalosporins and fluoroquinolones, was identified in the shrimp-derived strain Vc516. While none of our food isolates harbored the toxigenic CTX- and TCP-encoding genes, they did possess genes encoding toxins such as HlyA and Autoinducer-2. Notably, some V. cholerae strains from this study exhibited a close genetic relationship with clinical strains, suggesting their potential to cause human infections. Taken together, this study provides a comprehensive view of the epidemiological features and genetic basis of antimicrobial resistance and virulence potential of V. cholerae strains isolated from food in southern China, thereby advancing our understanding of this important pathogen., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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45. [The history of the fight against cholera epidemics in the Krasnodar territory in 1892 and 1910 (based on archival data)].
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Abramyan SK and Golubkina KV
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- Humans, History, 19th Century, History, 20th Century, Russia epidemiology, Cholera history, Cholera epidemiology, Epidemics history
- Abstract
Epidemics of a wide variety of infectious diseases were constantly recorded in Russia. Asian cholera occupied a special place among epidemic diseases. In 1892, cholera was imported into the Russian Empire through the Black Sea ports, which reached the territory of the Kuban region by the summer of the same year. In 1892, about 300 thousand people died of cholera in Russia. They still did not know how to treat this terrible disease, did not know its mechanism of spread, as well as the peculiarities of its course. The article, prepared on the basis of an analysis of documentary data from the Archive Department of the administration of the municipal formation of the city of Novorossiysk and the archival Department of the Administration of the municipal formation of the Mostovsky district, examines the cholera epidemic that swept the territories of the Kuban region in 1892 and 1910. The authors characterize the main factors that contributed to the rapid spread of infection and assess the measures that were taken to combat the disease: the implementation of anti-cholera measures organized by the authorities was greatly hampered by the lack of education, prejudices and superstitions of the vast majority of the population; representatives of the nonresident population not only did not comply with basic standards of personal hygiene, but also expressed distrust, and sometimes and hostility towards doctors. Using archival data, the authors investigate the impact of infectious diseases on the demographic indicators of these settlements.
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- 2024
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46. Global action to improve access to tools for cholera.
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Jesudason T
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- Humans, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage, Health Services Accessibility, Cholera epidemiology, Global Health
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- 2024
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47. Harmonizing vaccine and infrastructure development to tame cholera outbreaks across Africa.
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Taha AM, Mahmoud H, Hassan EM, and Ghonaim MM
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- Humans, Africa epidemiology, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera Vaccines immunology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control
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- 2024
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48. Reporting of deaths during cholera outbreaks: case fatality ratio and community deaths.
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Finger F, Heitzinger K, Berendes D, Ciglenecki I, Dominguez M, Alberti K, Baron E, and Barboza P
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- Humans, Cholera mortality, Cholera epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks
- Abstract
Competing Interests: We declare no conflict of interest. The findings and conclusions of this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
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- 2024
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49. A simplified vaccine for cholera outbreak control.
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The Lancet Infectious Diseases
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- Humans, Cholera prevention & control, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera Vaccines administration & dosage, Cholera Vaccines immunology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control
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- 2024
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50. Existence of cholera outbreak, challenges, and way forward on public health interventions to control cholera outbreak in Guraghe Zones, southern Ethiopia, 2023.
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Berhe TM, Fikadu Y, Sahle T, Hailegebireal AH, Eanga S, Ketema T, and Wolde SG
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- Ethiopia epidemiology, Humans, Adolescent, Female, Male, Sanitation, Public Health, Adult, Child, Middle Aged, Young Adult, Child, Preschool, Incidence, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control
- Abstract
Introduction: In Ethiopia, despite major improvements seen in health service delivery system, the country continues to be significantly affected by cholera outbreaks. Cholera remains a significant public health problem among the vulnerable populations living in many resource-limited settings with poor access to safe and clean water and hygiene practices. Recurring cholera outbreaks are an indication of deprived water and sanitation conditions as well as weak health systems, contributing to the transmission and spread of the cholera infection., Objective: To assess the cholera outbreak, its challenges, and the way forward on public health interventions to solve the knowledge and health service delivery gaps related to cholera control in Guraghe Zone, Ethiopia, 2023., Methods: Active surveillance of the cholera outbreak was conducted in all kebeles and town administrative of Guraghe zone from 7/8/2023 to 30/10/2023. A total of 224 cholera cases were detected during the active surveillance method. Data obtained from Guraghe zone offices were exported to SPSS version 25 for additional analysis. The case fatality rate, incidence of the cases, and other descriptive variables were presented and described using figures and tables., Result: A total of 224 cholera cases were detected through an active surveillance system. In this study, the case fatality rate of cholera outbreak was 2.6%. To tackle the cholera outbreak, the Guraghe zone health office collaborated with other stakeholders to prepare four cholera treatment centers. The absence of OCV, inaccessible safe water, low latrine coverage, inappropriate utilization of latrines, and absence of cholera laboratory rapid diagnostics test in Guraghe Zone are barriers to tackling the outbreak., Conclusion: Ethiopia National Cholera Plan targeted eradicating cholera by 2030, 222 cholera outbreak occurred in Guraghe Zone, Ethiopia. To minimize and control cholera mortality rate oral cholera vaccinations should be employed in all areas of the region. Sustainable WASH measures should be guaranteed for the use of safe water and good hygiene practices. Early diagnosis and treatment should be initiated appropriately for those who are infected., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Berhe, Fikadu, Sahle, Hailegebireal, Eanga, Ketema and Wolde.)
- Published
- 2024
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