Judith Balmaña, Douglas F. Easton, Adeline Cuggia, Kenneth Offit, Heli Nevanlinna, Judy Garber, Florentia Fostira, Kelly A. Metcalfe, Jana Soukupova, Carlo Tondini, Orland Diez, George Zogopoulos, James Scarth, Marketa Janatova, Tuya Pal, Mark E. Robson, James E. Redman, Laura Ottini, Patrick Concannon, Ann S.G. Lee, Åke Borg, Anders Kvist, Sandra Schneider, Valentina Silvestri, Christoph Engel, Rachel Silva-Smith, Antoine De Pauw, Tu Nguyen-Dumont, Inga Plaskocinska, Katherine L. Nathanson, Hans Ehrencrona, Susan J. Ramus, Rita K. Schmutzler, Craig Luccarini, Mitul Shah, Sophia George, Goska Leslie, Jeffrey N. Weitzel, Irene Konstantopoulou, Carl Blomqvist, William D. Foulkes, Georgia Chenevix-Trench, Marc Tischkowitz, Thomas van Overeem Hansen, Pei Sze Ng, Kathleen Claes, Ellen L. Goode, Olufunmilayo I. Olopade, Sarah M. Nielsen, Andy C. H. Lee, Melissa C. Southey, Ramunas Janavicius, Jill S. Dolinsky, Alfons Meindl, Paolo Peterlongo, Julie O. Culver, Kristiina Aittomäki, Robert Winqvist, Alison H. Trainer, Tuomas Heikkinen, Paolo Radice, David E. Goldgar, Florian Obermair, Marie E. Wood, Jonine L. Bernstein, Sook-Yee Yoon, Paul D.P. Pharoah, Christopher R. Hake, Claude Houdayer, Irene L. Andrulis, Aaron Elliott, Zaki El-Haffaf, Petra Kleiblova, Jukka S. Moilanen, Judith Hurley, Antonis C. Antoniou, Siranoush Manoukian, Fergus J. Couch, Anne-Bine Skytte, Susan L. Neuhausen, Gary Unzeitig, D. Gareth Evans, Eamonn R. Maher, John L. Hopper, Rachel McFarland, James A. G. Whitworth, Judith Penkert, Julian Barwell, Susan M. Domchek, Zdenek Kleibl, Leila Dorling, Lisa Golmard, Peter Ang, Brennan Decker, Cheng Har Yip, Nur Aishah Taib, Vilius Rudaitis, Julian Adlard, Xin Yang, Jamie Allen, Lydia Usha, Francesca Damiola, Amal Yussuf, Katri Pylkäs, Alicja Doroszuk, Eric Hahnen, Muriel A. Adank, Karen A. Pooley, Soo Hwang Teo, Kristie Bobolis, Paul A. James, Alison M. Dunning, Holly LaDuca, Stephen B. Gruber, Wendy McKinnon, Fabienne Lesueur, Lucy Side, Arto Mannermaa, Thomas P. Slavin, Medicum, Kristiina Aittomäki / Principal Investigator, HUSLAB, Department of Medical and Clinical Genetics, University of Helsinki, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Department of Oncology, Clinicum, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, and HUS Gynecology and Obstetrics
PURPOSE To estimate age-specific relative and absolute cancer risks of breast cancer and to estimate risks of ovarian, pancreatic, male breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers associated with germline PALB2 pathogenic variants (PVs) because these risks have not been extensively characterized. METHODS We analyzed data from 524 families with PALB2 PVs from 21 countries. Complex segregation analysis was used to estimate relative risks (RRs; relative to country-specific population incidences) and absolute risks of cancers. The models allowed for residual familial aggregation of breast and ovarian cancer and were adjusted for the family-specific ascertainment schemes. RESULTS We found associations between PALB2 PVs and risk of female breast cancer (RR, 7.18; 95% CI, 5.82 to 8.85; P = 6.5 × 10−76), ovarian cancer (RR, 2.91; 95% CI, 1.40 to 6.04; P = 4.1 × 10−3), pancreatic cancer (RR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.24 to 4.50; P = 8.7 × 10−3), and male breast cancer (RR, 7.34; 95% CI, 1.28 to 42.18; P = 2.6 × 10−2). There was no evidence for increased risks of prostate or colorectal cancer. The breast cancer RRs declined with age ( P for trend = 2.0 × 10−3). After adjusting for family ascertainment, breast cancer risk estimates on the basis of multiple case families were similar to the estimates from families ascertained through population-based studies ( P for difference = .41). On the basis of the combined data, the estimated risks to age 80 years were 53% (95% CI, 44% to 63%) for female breast cancer, 5% (95% CI, 2% to 10%) for ovarian cancer, 2%-3% (95% CI females, 1% to 4%; 95% CI males, 2% to 5%) for pancreatic cancer, and 1% (95% CI, 0.2% to 5%) for male breast cancer. CONCLUSION These results confirm PALB2 as a major breast cancer susceptibility gene and establish substantial associations between germline PALB2 PVs and ovarian, pancreatic, and male breast cancers. These findings will facilitate incorporation of PALB2 into risk prediction models and optimize the clinical cancer risk management of PALB2 PV carriers.