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Background: Studies to date have yielded inconclusive results as to whether maternal medical history during pregnancy, and a child's early-life medical history contribute to the development of childhood brain tumours (CBTs). This study examined associations between maternal and childhood medical history and the risk of CBTs. Methods: The Childhood Brain Tumour Epidemiology Study of Ontario (CBREO) examined children 0–15 years of age with newly diagnosed CBTs from 1997 to 2003. Multivariable logistic regression analysis determined associations for prenatal medications and childhood medical history, adjusted for child's demographics, and maternal education. Analyses were stratified by histology. A latency period analysis was conducted using 12- and 24-month lead times. Results: Maternal intake of immunosuppressants during the prenatal period was significantly associated with glial tumours (OR 2.73, 95% CI 1.17–6.39). Childhood intake of anti-epileptics was significantly associated with CBTs overall, after accounting for 12-month (OR 8.51, 95% CI 3.35–21.63) and 24-month (OR 6.04, 95% CI 2.06–17.70) lead time before diagnosis. No associations for other medications were found. Conclusions: This study underscores the need to examine potential carcinogenic effects of the medication classes highlighted and of the indication of medication use. Despite possible reverse causality, increased CBT surveillance for children with epilepsy might be warranted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Suicide is among the top 10 leading causes of premature morality in the United States and its rates continue to increase. Thus, its prevention has become a salient public health responsibility. Risk factors of suicide transcend the individual and societal level as risk can increase based on climatic variables. The purpose of the present study is to evaluate the association between average temperature and suicide rates in the five most populous counties in California using mortality data from 1999 to 2019.Methods: Monthly counts of death by suicide for the five counties of interest were obtained from CDC WONDER. Monthly average, maximum, and minimum temperature were obtained from nCLIMDIV for the same time period. We modelled the association of each temperature variable with suicide rate using negative binomial generalized additive models accounting for the county-specific annual trend and monthly seasonality.Results: There were over 38,000 deaths by suicide in California's five most populous counties between 1999 and 2019. An increase in average temperature of 1 °C corresponded to a 0.82% increase in suicide rate (IRR = 1.0082 per °C; 95% CI = 1.0025-1.0140). Estimated coefficients for maximum temperature (IRR = 1.0069 per °C; 95% CI = 1.0021-1.0117) and minimum temperature (IRR = 1.0088 per °C; 95% CI = 1.0023-1.0153) were similar.Conclusion: This study adds to a growing body of evidence supporting a causal effect of elevated temperature on suicide. Further investigation into environmental causes of suicide, as well as the biological and societal contexts mediating these relationships, is critical for the development and implementation of new public health interventions to reduce the incidence of suicide, particularly in the face increasing temperatures due to climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Various statistical methods have been developed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) from published Kaplan‐Meier (KM) curves for the purpose of performing meta‐analyses. The objective of this study was to determine the reliability, accuracy, and precision of four commonly used methods by Guyot, Williamson, Parmar, and Hoyle and Henley. Design Pivotal randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in oncology were identified from the pan‐Canadian Oncology Drug Review (pCODR) database (primary analysis) and the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) drug approvals page (secondary analysis) between January 2012 and May 2016. Two reviewers independently reconstructed HRs using each method on KM curves extracted from each trial and compared them with reported HRs (gold standard). Bland‐Altman plots and summary statistics were calculated to assess accuracy and precision of these methods. Interrater reliability was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). These four methods were also applied to KM curves of different structures (ie, flat versus steep curves). Results: A total of 118 KM curves (55 RCTs) and 77 KM curves (46 RCTs) were extracted from pCODR and FDA, respectively. In the primary analysis, the Guyot method was the most accurate with the lowest mean error (0.0094; 95% CI, −0.0012‐0.020). All four methods had excellent interrater reliability. The Guyot method showed the smallest bias and greatest precision on the Bland‐Altman plots. The Guyot method was consistently superior in both the secondary and all sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: In the absence of reported HRs, we recommend that researchers consider the Guyot method to reconstruct HRs from KM curves when performing aggregate data meta‐analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background older patients are commonly believed to derive less benefit from cancer drugs, even if they fulfil clinical trial eligibility [Talarico et al. (2004, J Clin Oncol, 22(22):4626–31)]. We aim to examine if novel oncology drugs provide differential age-based treatment outcomes for patients on clinical trials. Methods a systematic review of randomised control trials (RCTs) cited for clinical efficacy evidence in novel oncology drug approvals by the Food and Drug Administration, European Medicines Agency and Health Canada between 2006 and 2017 was conducted. Studies reporting age-based subgroup analyses for overall or progression-free survival (OS/PFS) were included. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) for age-based subgroups were extracted. Meta-analyses with random effects were conducted, examining patient subgroups <65 and ≥65 years separately and pooled HRs of studies primary endpoints (OS or PFS) compared to examine if differences existed between age-based subgroups. Sensitivity analyses were conducted for cancer type, primary endpoint and systemic treatment. Results one-hundred-two RCTs, including 65,122 patients, met the inclusion criteria. One study reported age-based toxicity and none reported age-based quality of life (QOL) results. Pooled HRs [95% CIs] for patients <65 and ≥65 years were 0.61 [0.57–0.65] and 0.65 [0.61–0.70], respectively, with no difference between them (P = 0.14). Sensitivity analyses revealed similar results. Conclusion our results suggest that older and young patients, who fulfil clinical trial eligibility, may derive similar relative survival benefits from novel oncology drugs. There is, however, a need to report age-based toxicity and QOL results to support patient discussions regarding the balance of treatment benefit and harm, to encourage informed decision-making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Treatment in patients with ALK + early stage disease is similar to unselected patients. • Durvalumab appears safe in patients with unresectable stage III ALK + disease. • Degree of benefit of durvalumab in unresectable stage III ALK + disease remains unclear. We evaluated the baseline demographics, treatment patterns, and outcomes of patients with ALK-rearranged early stage (Stage I-III) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We also evaluated the efficacy and toxicity of durvalumab consolidation treatment in patients with ALK-rearranged unresectable stage III disease. Retrospective chart-review analysis of all patients with histologically confirmed stage I-III reflexively tested ALK-rearranged NSCLC managed with curative intent at two Canadian Centers. Of 48 patients, 19 (40%) were stage I, 5 (10%) were stage II and 24 (50%) were stage-III. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 27.6 months overall (95%CI: 20.5–51.4) and 144.4 months in stage-I, 27.6 months in stage-II and 14.9 months in stage III patients. Of 20 patients with unresectable stage-III disease treated with chemoradiation (9 also received durvalumab consolidation), 18/90% have relapsed. Median PFS was 10.9 months (95%CI:5.9–22.5). A non-significant trend toward improved PFS was seen in patients receiving additional durvalumab compared to patients treated with chemoradiation alone (median PFS, 12.5 vs 5.9 months, p = 0.16). Toxicity-related treatment modifications on subsequent first ALK-TKI at time of metastatic disease were needed in three (33%) patients who had received chemoradiation alone and two (29%) patients with consolidation durvalumab; no relevant pulmonary or hepato-toxicity was observed overall. Treatment strategies and PFS of patients with Stage I-III ALK-rearranged NSCLC are similar to patients without molecular driver alterations. Durvalumab consolidation treatment appears generally safe in patients with unresectable stage III ALK-rearranged disease; however, the degree of benefit of such an approach remains unclear. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: In Ontario, FOLFIRINOX (FFX) and gemcitabine + nab‐paclitaxel (GnP) have been publicly funded for first‐line unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer (uLAPC) or metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) since April 2015. We examined the real‐world effectiveness and safety of FFX vs GnP for advanced pancreatic cancer, and in uLAPC and mPC. Methods: Patients receiving first‐line FFX or GnP from April 2015 to March 2017 were identified in the New Drug Funding Program database. Baseline characteristics and outcomes were obtained through the Ontario Cancer Registry and other population‐based databases. Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan‐Meier and weighted Cox proportional hazard models, weighted by the inverse propensity score adjusting for baseline characteristics. Weighted odds ratio (OR) for hospitalization and emergency department visits (EDV) were estimated from weighted logistic regression models. Results: For 1130 patients (632 FFX, 498 GnP), crude median OS was 9.6 and 6.1 months for FFX and GnP, respectively. Weighted OS was improved for FFX vs GnP (HR = 0.77, 0.70‐0.85). Less frequent EDV and hospitalization were observed in FFX (EDV: 67.8%; Hospitalization: 49.2%) than GnP (EDV: 77.7%; Hospitalization: 59.3%). More frequent febrile neutropenia‐related hospitalization was observed in FFX (5.8%) than GnP (3.3%). Risk of EDV and hospitalization were significantly lower for FFX vs GnP (EDV: OR = 0.68, P =.0001; Hospitalization: OR = 0.76, P =.002), whereas the risk of febrile neutropenia‐related hospitalization was significantly higher (OR = 2.12, P =.001). Outcomes for uLAPC and mPC were similar. Conclusion: In the real world, FFX had longer OS, less frequent all‐cause EDV and all‐cause hospitalization, but more febrile neutropenia‐related hospitalization compared to GnP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine if clinical benefits of novel anticancer drugs, measured by the ASCO Value Framework and European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) Magnitude of Clinical Benefit Scale, have increased over time in parallel with increasing costs. Methods: Anticancer drugs from phase III randomized controlled trials cited for clinical efficacy evidence in drug approvals between January 2006 to December 2015 were identified and scored using both frameworks. For each drug, the monthly price and incremental anticancer drug costs were calculated. Relationships between cost and year of approval were examined using generalized linear regressions models. Ordinary least square models were used to evaluate relationships between ASCO and ESMO scores and year of approval. Spearman correlation coefficients between costs and clinical benefit scores were calculated. Results: In total, 42 randomized controlled trials were included. Both monthly prices and incremental anticancer drug costs were significantly associated with year of approval and showed an average annual increase of 9% and 21%, respectively. The predicted mean incremental anticancer drug cost increased from $30,447 in 2006 to $161,141 in 2015 (greater than five-fold increase). Both ASCO and ESMO scores were not statistically associated with year of approval or correlated with monthly prices or incremental anticancer drug costs. Conclusion: Over the past decade, costs of novel oncology drugs have increased, while clinical benefits of these medications have not experienced a proportional positive change. The incremental anticancer drug costs have increased at a much greater rate than monthly prices, indicating that the increase in anticancer drug costs may be higher than commonly reported. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]