Search

PURPOSE: To assess changes in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) diagnosis in single and serial retinal images. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Cases of ROP recruited from the Imaging and Informatics in Retinopathy of Prematurity (i-ROP) consortium evaluated by 7 graders. METHODS: Seven ophthalmologists reviewed both single and 3 consecutive serial retinal images from 15 cases with ROP, and severity was assigned as plus, preplus, or none. Imaging data were acquired during routine ROP screening from 2011 to 2015, and a reference standard diagnosis was established for each image. A secondary analysis was performed using the i-ROP deep learning system to assign a vascular severity score (VSS) to each image, ranging from 1 to 9, with 9 being the most severe disease. This score has been previously demonstrated to correlate with the International Classification of ROP. Mean plus disease severity was calculated by averaging 14 labels per image in serial and single images to decrease noise. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Grading severity of ROP as defined by plus, preplus, or no ROP. RESULTS: Assessment of serial retinal images changed the grading severity for > 50% of the graders, although there was wide variability. Cohen’s kappa ranged from 0.29 to 1.0, which showed a wide range of agreement from slight to perfect by each grader. Changes in the grading of serial retinal images were noted more commonly in cases of preplus disease. The mean severity in cases with a diagnosis of plus disease and no disease did not change between single and serial images. The ROP VSS demonstrated good correlation with the range of expert classifications of plus disease and overall agreement with the mode class (P = 0.001). The VSS correlated with mean plus disease severity by expert diagnosis (correlation coefficient, 0.89). The more aggressive graders tended to be influenced by serial images to increase the severity of their grading. The VSS also demonstrated agreement with disease progression across serial images, which progressed to preplus and plus disease. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians demonstrated variability in ROP diagnosis when presented with both single and serial images. The use of deep learning as a quantitative assessment of plus disease has the potential to standardize ROP diagnosis and treatment.

Purpose To evaluate the clinical usefulness of a quantitative deep learning-derived vascular severity score for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) by assessing its correlation with clinical ROP diagnosis and by measuring clinician agreement in applying a novel scale. Design Analysis of existing database of posterior pole fundus images and corresponding ophthalmoscopic examinations using 2 methods of assigning a quantitative scale to vascular severity. Participants Images were from clinical examinations of patients in the Imaging and Informatics in ROP Consortium. Four ophthalmologists and 1 study coordinator evaluated vascular severity on a scale from 1 to 9. Methods A quantitative vascular severity score (1–9) was applied to each image using a deep learning algorithm. A database of 499 images was developed for assessment of interobserver agreement. Main Outcome Measures Distribution of deep learning-derived vascular severity scores with the clinical assessment of zone (I, II, or III), stage (0, 1, 2, or 3), and extent (6 clock hours) of stage 3 evaluated using multivariate linear regression and weighted κ values and Pearson correlation coefficients for interobserver agreement on a 1-to-9 vascular severity scale. Results For deep learning analysis, a total of 6344 clinical examinations were analyzed. A higher deep learning-derived vascular severity score was associated with more posterior disease, higher disease stage, and higher extent of stage 3 disease (P < 0.001 for all). For a given ROP stage, the vascular severity score was higher in zone I than zones II or III (P < 0.001). Multivariate regression found zone, stage, and extent all were associated independently with the severity score (P < 0.001 for all). For interobserver agreement, the mean ± standard deviation weighted κ value was 0.67 ± 0.06, and the Pearson correlation coefficient ± standard deviation was 0.88 ± 0.04 on the use of a 1-to-9 vascular severity scale. Conclusions A vascular severity scale for ROP seems feasible for clinical adoption; corresponds with zone, stage, extent of stage 3, and plus disease; and facilitates the use of objective technology such as deep learning to improve the consistency of ROP diagnosis.

Purpose Retinopathy of prematurity is a leading cause of childhood blindness worldwide, but clinical diagnosis is subjective, which leads to treatment differences. Our goal was to determine objective differences in the diagnosis of plus disease between clinicians using an automated retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) vascular severity score. Design This retrospective cohort study used data from the Imaging and Informatics in ROP Consortium, which comprises 8 tertiary care centers in North America. Fundus photographs of all infants undergoing ROP screening examinations between July 1, 2011, and December 31, 2016, were obtained. Participants Infants meeting ROP screening criteria who were diagnosed with plus disease and treatment initiated by an examining physician based on ophthalmoscopic examination results. Methods An ROP severity score (1–9) was generated for each image using a deep learning (DL) algorithm. Main Outcome Measures The mean, median, and range of ROP vascular severity scores overall and for each examiner when the diagnosis of plus disease was made. Results A total of 5255 clinical examinations in 871 babies were analyzed. Of these, 168 eyes were diagnosed with plus disease by 11 different examiners and were included in the study. The mean ± standard deviation vascular severity score for patients diagnosed with plus disease was 7.4 ± 1.9, median was 8.5 (interquartile range, 5.8–8.9), and range was 1.1 to 9.0. Within some examiners, variability in the level of vascular severity diagnosed as plus disease was present, and 1 examiner routinely diagnosed plus disease in patients with less severe disease than the other examiners (P Conclusions We observed variability both between and within examiners in the diagnosis of plus disease using DL. Prospective evaluation of clinical trial data using an objective measurement of vascular severity may help to define better the minimum necessary level of vascular severity for the diagnosis of plus disease or how other clinical features such as zone, stage, and extent of peripheral disease ought to be incorporated in treatment decisions.

PURPOSE: To evaluate a tele-education system developed to improve diagnostic competency in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) by ophthalmologists-in-training in Mexico. DESIGN: Prospective, randomized cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-eight ophthalmology residents and fellows from a training program in Mexico consented to participate. Twenty-nine of 58 trainees (50%) were randomized to the educational intervention (pretest, ROP tutorial, ROP educational chapters, and posttest), and 29 of 58 trainees (50%) were randomized to a control group (pretest and posttest only). METHODS: A secure web-based educational system was created using clinical cases (20 pretest, 20 posttest, and 25 training chapter-based) developed from a repository of over 2500 unique image sets of ROP. For each image set used, a reference standard ROP diagnosis was established by combining the clinical diagnosis by indirect ophthalmoscope examination and image-based diagnosis by multiple experts. Trainees were presented with image-based clinical cases of ROP during a pretest, posttest, and training chapters. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The accuracy of ROP diagnosis (e.g., plus disease, zone, stage, category) was determined using sensitivity and specificity calculations from the pretest and posttest results of the educational intervention group versus control group. The unweighted kappa statistic was used to analyze the intragrader agreement for ROP diagnosis by the ophthalmologists-in-training during the pretest and posttest for both groups. RESULTS: Trainees completing the tele-education system had statistically significant improvements (P < 0.01) in the accuracy of ROP diagnosis for plus disease, zone, stage, category, and aggressive posterior ROP (AP-ROP). Compared with the control group, trainees who completed the ROP tele-education system performed better on the posttest for accurately diagnosing plus disease (67% vs. 48%; P = 0.04) and the presence of ROP (96% vs. 91%; P < 0.01). The specificity for diagnosing AP-ROP (94% vs. 78%; P < 0.01), type 2 ROP or worse (92% vs. 84%; P = 0.04), and ROP requiring treatment (89% vs. 79%; P < 0.01) was better for the trainees completing the tele-education system compared with the control group. Intragrader agreement improved for identification of plus disease, zone, stage, and category of ROP after completion of the educational intervention. CONCLUSIONS: A tele-education system for ROP education was effective in improving the diagnostic accuracy of ROP by ophthalmologists-in-training in Mexico. This system has the potential to increase competency in ROP diagnosis and management for ophthalmologists-in-training from middle-income nations.

Purpose Accurate image-based ophthalmic diagnosis relies on fundus image clarity. This has important implications for the quality of ophthalmic diagnoses and for emerging methods such as telemedicine and computer-based image analysis. The purpose of this study was to implement a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) for automated assessment of fundus image quality in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP). Design Experimental study. Participants Retinal fundus images were collected from preterm infants during routine ROP screenings. Methods Six thousand one hundred thirty-nine retinal fundus images were collected from 9 academic institutions. Each image was graded for quality (acceptable quality [AQ], possibly acceptable quality [PAQ], or not acceptable quality [NAQ]) by 3 independent experts. Quality was defined as the ability to assess an image confidently for the presence of ROP. Of the 6139 images, NAQ, PAQ, and AQ images represented 5.6%, 43.6%, and 50.8% of the image set, respectively. Because of low representation of NAQ images in the data set, images labeled NAQ were grouped into the PAQ category, and a binary CNN classifier was trained using 5-fold cross-validation on 4000 images. A test set of 2109 images was held out for final model evaluation. Additionally, 30 images were ranked from worst to best quality by 6 experts via pairwise comparisons, and the CNN’s ability to rank quality, regardless of quality classification, was assessed. Main Outcome Measures The CNN performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A Spearman’s rank correlation was calculated to evaluate the overall ability of the CNN to rank images from worst to best quality as compared with experts. Results The mean AUC for 5-fold cross-validation was 0.958 (standard deviation, 0.005) for the diagnosis of AQ versus PAQ images. The AUC was 0.965 for the test set. The Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient on the set of 30 images was 0.90 as compared with the overall expert consensus ranking. Conclusions This model accurately assessed retinal fundus image quality in a comparable manner with that of experts. This fully automated model has potential for application in clinical settings, telemedicine, and computer-based image analysis in ROP and for generalizability to other ophthalmic diseases.

Purpose To determine expert agreement on relative retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) disease severity and whether computer-based image analysis can model relative disease severity, and to propose consideration of a more continuous severity score for ROP. Design We developed 2 databases of clinical images of varying disease severity (100 images and 34 images) as part of the Imaging and Informatics in ROP (i-ROP) cohort study and recruited expert physician, nonexpert physician, and nonphysician graders to classify and perform pairwise comparisons on both databases. Participants Six participating expert ROP clinician-scientists, each with a minimum of 10 years of clinical ROP experience and 5 ROP publications, and 5 image graders (3 physicians and 2 nonphysician graders) who analyzed images that were obtained during routine ROP screening in neonatal intensive care units. Methods Images in both databases were ranked by average disease classification (classification ranking), by pairwise comparison using the Elo rating method (comparison ranking), and by correlation with the i-ROP computer-based image analysis system. Main Outcome Measures Interexpert agreement (weighted κ statistic) compared with the correlation coefficient (CC) between experts on pairwise comparisons and correlation between expert rankings and computer-based image analysis modeling. Results There was variable interexpert agreement on diagnostic classification of disease (plus, preplus, or normal) among the 6 experts (mean weighted κ, 0.27; range, 0.06–0.63), but good correlation between experts on comparison ranking of disease severity (mean CC, 0.84; range, 0.74–0.93) on the set of 34 images. Comparison ranking provided a severity ranking that was in good agreement with ranking obtained by classification ranking (CC, 0.92). Comparison ranking on the larger dataset by both expert and nonexpert graders demonstrated good correlation (mean CC, 0.97; range, 0.95–0.98). The i-ROP system was able to model this continuous severity with good correlation (CC, 0.86). Conclusions Experts diagnose plus disease on a continuum, with poor absolute agreement on classification but good relative agreement on disease severity. These results suggest that the use of pairwise rankings and a continuous severity score, such as that provided by the i-ROP system, may improve agreement on disease severity in the future.

Purpose To determine the accuracy of image-based diagnosis for stage 4 or worse retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) disease. Design Prospective cohort study. Participants We prospectively obtained data, from 8 major ROP centers, for 1220 eye examinations from 230 infants. Methods An ophthalmologist at each center provided a clinical diagnosis using indirect ophthalmoscopy. Wide-angle retinal images (RetCam; Clarity Medical Systems, Pleasanton, CA) were then obtained, and these were independently read by 2 ROP experts using a web-based system for an image-based diagnosis. Main Outcome Measures Sensitivity and specificity of image-based diagnosis from the ROP experts were calculated using the clinical diagnosis as the reference standard. Results Of 1220 examinations, 28 (2%) had a clinical diagnosis of stage 4 or worse. Sensitivity and specificity for stage 4 or worse disease were 75% and 99% for expert 1, and 86% and 99% for expert 2. Sensitivity and specificity for the detection of stage 5 disease were 69% and 99% for both experts. Conclusions There are inconsistencies in the accuracy of image-based diagnosis of stage 4 and stage 5 ROP when compared with the clinical diagnosis.

To identify any temporal trends in the diagnosis of plus disease in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) by experts.Reliability analysis.ROP experts were recruited in 2007 and 2016 to classify 34 wide-field fundus images of ROP as plus, pre-plus, or normal, coded as "3," "2," and "1," respectively, in the database. The main outcome was the average calculated score for each image in each cohort. Secondary outcomes included correlation on the relative ordering of the images in 2016 vs 2007, interexpert agreement, and intraexpert agreement.The average score for each image was higher for 30 of 34 (88%) images in 2016 compared with 2007, influenced by fewer images classified as normal (P.01), a similar number of pre-plus (P = .52), and more classified as plus (P.01). The mean weighted kappa values in 2006 were 0.36 (range 0.21-0.60), compared with 0.22 (range 0-0.40) in 2016. There was good correlation between rankings of disease severity between the 2 cohorts (Spearman rank correlation ρ = 0.94), indicating near-perfect agreement on relative disease severity.Despite good agreement between cohorts on relative disease severity ranking, the higher average score and classifications for each image demonstrate that experts are diagnosing pre-plus and plus disease at earlier stages of disease severity in 2016, compared with 2007. This has implications for patient care, research, and teaching, and additional studies are needed to better understand this temporal trend in image-based plus disease diagnosis.

In this paper, a berth mooring for a vessel at a terminal is evaluated by analytical studies. The passing induced loads and motions are calculated for representative vessels moored for offloading in a river channel. The channel is modelled as a prismatic geometry. Passing induced loads are calculated using the ROPES software and are interfaced with ANSYS AQWA with which a series of dynamic mooring simulations are conducted for the moored vessel. The passing induced mooring line tensions, fender reactions, and vessel motions, velocities and accelerations at the moored ship's manifold are evaluated for a series of load conditions and mooring designs. The effects of changing some of the passing parameters on the mooring loads and motions are also evaluated and discussed briefly. Finally, the risks associated with damage of a single line are reviewed and the means to mitigate this risk are commented upon.

Atrial myxomatous embolization into the coronary arteries is a rare event. Management of large myxomas is usually via surgical resection involving a median sternotomy. Echocardiography is not a routine part of non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) management. Here, we present the case of a 70-year-old Caucasian man with a history of hypertension and hyperlipidemia who presented to the emergency department with an NSTEMI. Transthoracic echocardiogram and transesophageal echocardiogram revealed a large and highly mobile atrial mass, traversing through the mitral valve orifice during diastole. Coronary angiography revealed a focal 60% lesion in the right coronary artery and no other significant obstructive coronary artery disease, suggesting that the cause of his presentation was tumor embolization into the coronary circulation. The patient underwent robot-assisted endoscopic resection of his atrial mass and was discharged in stable condition on postoperative day 2. Pathology revealed atrial myxoma. To our knowledge, this is the first reported case of an atrial myxoma presenting with an NSTEMI and managed with a robot-assisted endoscopic approach. This case also highlights the importance of routine early echocardiography in patients presenting with NSTEMI.

In light of the challenges facing the pharmaceutical industry, a distinguished group of pharma executives and strategic and financial advisers discusses the following corporate decisions: Strategy: What business model is most likely to maximize long-term shareholder value? For example, is diversification by big pharma into areas like consumer healthcare and generics a reliable way to create sustainable value? Capital allocation: What are the best methods for evaluating investments in pharma R&D, and for deciding which programs should be terminated and which assets divested? If conventional DCF isn't much help in a world where R&D outcomes are so uncertain, what about proposed models like real options? Corporate governance and incentive systems: Should big pharma continue to outsource ever more of its R&D functions to biotech and venture capital? Or can it overcome the problems associated with size by creating more decentralized business units and trying to replicate the accountability and incentives of smaller biotech firms? Capital structure and payout policy: Are the large cash and equity positions and minimal payouts of big pharma, typically justified as cushioning the uncertainties associated with pharma R&D, likely to be the value-maximizing capital structure in the future? With many biotechs struggling and venture capital scarce, where are the new sources of capital for the industry? And can future deals be structured in ways that help bring about higher returns for big pharma as well as the R&D providers? Disclosure: What should management tell investors to help ensure that their companies' policies and promising investments are reflected in their stock prices?

Information systems managing image-based data for telemedicine or clinical research applications require a reference standard representing the correct diagnosis. Accurate reference standards are difficult to establish because of imperfect agreement among physicians, and discrepancies between clinical vs. image-based diagnosis. This study is designed to describe the development and evaluation of reference standards for image-based diagnosis, which combine diagnostic impressions of multiple image readers with the actual clinical diagnoses. We show that agreement between image reading and clinical examinations was imperfect (689 [32%] discrepancies in 2148 image readings), as was inter-reader agreement (kappa 0.490-0.652). This was improved by establishing an image-based reference standard defined as the majority diagnosis given by three readers (13% discrepancies with image readers). It was further improved by establishing an overall reference standard that incorporated the clinical diagnosis (10% discrepancies with image readers). These principles of establishing reference standards may be applied to improve robustness of real-world systems supporting image-based diagnosis.

Analysis between two local Emergency Departments (EDs) suggested an oscillatory phenomenon for ambulance diversion: When one hospital went on diversion it led to a disproportionate flow of ambulance traffic to a neighboring facility that subsequently was forced to go on divert. We hypothesized if one hospital could avoid diversion status, the need for diversion could be averted in the neighboring facility. ED A secured additional resources and made a commitment to no diversion for 1 week. No changes in operations occurred in hospital B. We found no differences in ambulance runs or ED census at either facility comparing the week before, during, and after the trial. There was a dramatic decline in diversion hours from 19.7 to 1.4 and 27.7 to 0 at hospitals A and B, respectively, during the trial period (p < 0.05) compared to the weeks before and after. We conclude that reciprocating effects can be decreased with one institution's commitment to avoid diversion, thus decreasing the need for diversion at a neighboring facility.