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Low-dose aspirin and metformin have been individually associated with a reduced risk of cancer. Whether their concurrent use in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) is unclear.Among individuals with T2DM taking metformin, we sought to evaluate the association between low-dose aspirin versus no aspirin and the risk of CRC.A multiple-database new-user cohort study of patients with T2DM taking metformin was conducted between 2007-2010 (Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System [CDARS], Hong Kong) and 2007-2016 (The Health Improvement Network [THIN], UK). The primary outcome was incident CRC. Patients were followed from index date of prescription until the earliest occurrence of an outcome of interest, an incident diagnosis of any cancer, death, or until December 31, 2019. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Estimates were pooled using an inverse variance random effects model, and heterogeneity was assessed using IAfter one-to-one propensity-score matching, 57,534 patients were included (CDARS = 16,276; THIN = 41,258). The median (IQR) follow-up was 9.3 (6.5-10.7) years in CDARS and 3.2 (1.1-5.8) years in THIN. The concurrent use of low-dose aspirin and metformin was not associated with a lower risk of CRC compared to metformin only (HR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.75-1.05, ILow-dose aspirin was not associated with a lower risk of CRC in patients with T2DM taking metformin. Our study does not support the routine use of low-dose aspirin in this population. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Data on the effectiveness of oral antivirals in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 are urgently needed. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the clinical and virological outcomes associated with molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir use in hospitalised patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 during a pandemic wave dominated by the omicron BA.2 subvariant.We analysed data from a territory-wide retrospective cohort of patients in Hong Kong who were hospitalised with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection between Feb 26 and April 26, 2022. Data were extracted from the Hospital Authority, the Department of Health, and the Hong Kong Death Registry. Patients were eligible for inclusion if their admission date was within 3 days before or after confirmation of their COVID-19 diagnosis. Those who were admitted to hospital more than 5 days after symptom onset, were younger than 18 years, had a history of oral antiviral use before admission, required supplemental oxygen on admission, had drug-related contraindications to nirmatrelvir-ritonavir use, or had severe renal or severe liver impairment were excluded. Patients who received the oral antivirals molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir were matched with controls using propensity-score matching in a ratio of 1:1. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and secondary outcomes included a composite outcome of disease progression (all-cause mortality, initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation [IMV], intensive care unit [ICU] admission, or the need for oxygen therapy) and each of these individual disease progression outcomes, and time to reaching a low viral burden (RT-PCR cycle threshold value ≥30). For each event outcome, crude incidence rates were calculated and hazard ratios (HRs) estimated using Cox regression models.We identified 40 776 patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the study period, with a mean follow-up of 41·3 days (total 925 713 person-days). After exclusions and propensity-score matching, we included 1856 molnupiravir recipients and 1856 matched controls, and 890 nirmatrelvir-ritonavir recipients and 890 matched controls. A lower risk of all-cause mortality was observed in molnupiravir recipients (crude incidence rate per 10 000 person-days 19·98 events [95% CI 16·91-23·45]) versus matched controls (38·07 events [33·85-42·67]; HR 0·48 [95% CI 0·40-0·59], p0·0001) and in nirmatrelvir-ritonavir recipients (10·28 events [7·03-14·51]) versus matched controls (26·47 events [21·34-32·46]; HR 0·34 [0·23-0·50], p0·0001). Oral antiviral recipients also had lower risks of the composite disease progression outcome (molnupiravir HR 0·60 [95% CI 0·52-0·69], p0·0001; nirmatrelvir-ritonavir 0·57 [0·45-0·72], p0·0001) and need for oxygen therapy (molnupiravir 0·69 [0·57-0·83], p=0·0001; nirmatrelvir-ritonavir 0·73 [0·54-0·97], p=0·032) compared with controls. Time to achieving a low viral burden was significantly shorter among oral antiviral recipients than matched controls (molnupiravir HR 1·38 [95% CI 1·15-1·64], p=0·0005; nirmatrelvir-ritonavir 1·38 [1·07-1·79], p=0·013). Significant differences in initiation of IMV and ICU admission were not found.During a wave of SARS-CoV-2 omicron BA.2, initiation of novel oral antiviral treatments in hospitalised patients not requiring oxygen therapy on admission showed substantial clinical benefit. Our findings support the early use of oral antivirals in this population of patients.Health and Medical Research Fund (Health Bureau, Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region).For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Aims Concern about the cardiovascular safety of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines among individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) may lead to vaccine hesitancy. We sought to assess the association between two COVID-19 vaccines, BNT162b2 and CoronaVac, and the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in individuals with established CVD. Methods and results We identified individuals with a history of CVD before 23 February 2021 and a diagnosis of MACE between 23 February 2021 and 31 January 2022 in Hong Kong. MACE was defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization, and cardiovascular death. Electronic health records from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority were linked to vaccination records from the Department of Health. A self-controlled case-series method was used to evaluate the risk of MACE for 0–13 and 14–27 days after two doses of COVID-19 vaccine. We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) to compare the risk of MACE between each risk period and the baseline period. A total of 229 235 individuals with CVD were identified, of which 1764 were vaccinated and had a diagnosis of MACE during the observation period (BNT162b2 = 662; CoronaVac = 1102). For BNT162b2, IRRs were 0.48 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.23–1.02] for the first dose and 0.87 (95% CI 0.50–1.52) for the second dose during the 0–13 days risk period, 0.40 (95% CI 0.18–0.93) for the first dose and 1.13 (95% CI 0.70–1.84) for the second dose during the 14–27 days risk period. For CoronaVac, the IRRs were 0.43 (95% CI 0.24–0.75) for the first dose and, 0.73 (95% CI 0.46–1.16) for the second dose during the 0–13 days risk period, 0.54 (95% CI 0.33–0.90) for the first dose and 0.83 (95% CI 0.54–1.29) for the second dose during the 14–27 days risk period. Consistent results were found in subgroup analyses for different sexes, age groups and different underlying cardiovascular conditions. Conclusion Our findings showed no evidence of an increased risk of MACE after vaccination with BNT162b2 or CoronaVac in patients with CVD. Future research is required to monitor the risk after the third dose of each vaccine.

Background Little is known whether patients with lower health literacy could retain the practice and knowledge of home blood pressure monitoring (HBPM) after an educational programme. Methods A cluster randomised controlled trial in five primary care clinics recruited participants with uncontrolled hypertension. Clinics were randomised either to a HBPM group education (Risk Assessment and Management Programme (RAMP-group), or individual counselling of self-management (RAMP-individual). Health literacy was assessed by the Chinese Health Literacy Scale for Chronic Care. Practice and knowledge of HBPM were surveyed by a 10-item HBPM knowledge checklist and patient record review 6 months after interventions. Predictors for regular HBPM and good HBPM knowledge were assessed by multivariate logistic regression models. Results 287 participants (RAMP-group: 151; RAMP-individual: 136) were follow-up for 6 months. 272 participants completed the knowledge questionnaires (response rate 94.8%). 67.8% of the participants performed HBPM regularly, and there was no statistical difference between both interventions. Age more than 65 (adjusted odds ratios (aOR) 2.58, 95% CI 1.37 to 4.86, p=0.003), not working (aOR 2.34, 95% CI 1.10 to 4.97, p=0.027)and adequate health literacy (aOR 2.25, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.95, p=0.005) predicted regular HBPM. Participants in RAMP-group demonstrated a significant lower body weight than those in RAMP-individual (−0.3±2.0 kg vs +0.7 ±1.7 kg, p Conclusion Patients could retain HBPM knowledge better after RAMP-group than RAMP-individual. Older, retired and patients with adequate health literacy were more likely to continue weekly HBPM 6 months after education. Trial registration number NCT02551393.

Study objective We aimed to evaluate and characterize the scale and relationships of emergency department (ED) visits and excess mortality associated with the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the territory of Hong Kong. Methods We conducted a territory-wide, retrospective cohort study to compare ED visits and the related impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality. All ED visits at 18 public acute hospitals in Hong Kong between January 1 and August 31 of 2019 (n=1,426,259) and 2020 (n=1,035,562) were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in the 28 days following an ED visit. The secondary outcomes were weekly number of ED visits and diagnosis-specific mortality. Results ED visits decreased by 27.4%, from 1,426,259 in 2019 to 1,035,562 in 2020. Overall period mortality increased from 28,686 (2.0%) in 2019 to 29,737 (2.9%) in 2020. The adjusted odds ratio for 28-day, all-cause mortality in the pandemic period of 2020 relative to 2019 was 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.24 to 1.28). Both sexes, age more than 45 years, all triage categories, all social classes, all ED visit periods, epilepsy (odds ratio 1.58, 95% confidence interval 1.20 to 2.07), lower respiratory tract infection, and airway disease had higher adjusted ORs for all-cause mortality. Conclusion A significant reduction in ED visits in the first 8 months of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an increase in deaths certified in the ED. The government must make provisions to encourage patients with alarming symptoms, mental health conditions, and comorbidities to seek timely emergency care, regardless of the pandemic.

Objectives The aim of this study is to quantify the mortality rate, direct healthcare costs, and cumulative life costs of pediatric patients with spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) type 1, type 2, and type 3 born in Hong Kong. Methods Data were collected from genetically confirmed SMA patients born in or after 2000 from the Hospital Authority medical database. Patients were followed up from birth until they died, left Hong Kong, reached 18 years, or initiated disease-modifying treatment. Study outcomes included incidence risks of mortality, cumulative direct medical costs—attendances of special outpatient clinics, emergency department, allied health services, and mean length of stay in hospitals over time. Total direct medical costs were calculated as unit costs multiplied by utilization frequencies of corresponding healthcare services at each age. Results Seventy-one patients with SMA were included. Over a median follow-up period of 6 years, the overall incidence rate of death was 5.422/100 person-years (95%CI 3.542–7.945/100 person-years). 67.7% and 11% of deaths occurred in SMA1 and SMA2 groups, respectively. The median age of death was 0.8 years in SMA1 and 10.9 years in SMA2. The mean cumulative direct medical costs in overall SMA, SMA1, SMA2 and SMA3 groups per patient were US$935,570, US$2,393,250, US$413,165, and US$40,735, respectively. Interpretation: Our results confirmed a significantly raised mortality and extremely high healthcare burden for patients with SMA especially SMA type 1 and 2 without disease-modifying treatment. Study evaluating health and economic impact of newborn screening and early treatment is needed.

Background The extent of thyroid surgery remains controversial for differentiated thyroid cancers (DTCs) that measure more than 1 cm but are not considered high risk. This study aimed to compare survival outcomes between hemithyroidectomy (HT) and total thyroidectomy (TT) in non-high-risk DTCs. Methods A population-based retrospective cohort of patients with non-high-risk DTCs more than 1 cm undergoing HT or TT between 1997 and 2017 in a territory with 41 public hospitals and clinics serving a population of 7 million was analysed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for patient demographics and clinical parameters were used to compare the overall, disease-specific, and recurrence-free survival between TT and HT. Risks of postoperative complications were compared between the two groups. Results A total of 4771 patients (HT, 1368; TT, 3403) underwent thyroid surgery as a primary treatment. Median (range) follow-up was 117 (range: 72–179) months. Patients in the TT and HT groups had comparable risks of overall survival (HR 0.87; 95 per cent c.i. 0.73 to 1.04; P = 0.119) and disease-specific survival (HR 0.85; 95 per cent c.i. 0.52 to 1.40; P = 0.518). The TT group had better recurrence-free survival (HR 0.37; 95 per cent c.i. 0.26 to 0.52; P < 0.001) than the HT group. The temporary and permanent hypoparathyroidism rates in TT group were 14.96 per cent and 7.49 per cent respectively; none were reported in the HT group. Conclusions Despite the comparable overall and disease-specific survivals, TT was associated with better recurrence-free survival than HT in a 10-year follow-up. This was at the expense of higher surgical morbidity rate in TT.

Background Evidence is lacking about any additional benefits of introducing remdesivir on top of dexamethasone, and the optimal timing of initiation. Methods In a territory-wide cohort of 10 445 coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients from Hong Kong who were hospitalized between 21 January 2020 and 31 January 2021, 1544 had received dexamethasone during hospitalization. The exposure group consisted of patients who had initiated remdesivir prior to dexamethasone (n = 93) or co-initiated the 2 drugs simultaneously (n = 373), whereas the nonexposure group included patients who were given remdesivir after dexamethasone (n = 149) or those without remdesivir use (n = 929). Multiple imputation and inverse probability of treatment weighting for propensity score were applied and hazard ratios (HRs) of event outcomes were estimated using Cox regression models. Results Time to clinical improvement (HR = 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02–1.49; P = .032) and positive IgG antibody (HR = 1.22; 95% CI, 1.02–1.46; P = .029) were significantly shorter in the exposure group than that of nonexposure. The exposure group had a shorter hospital length of stay by 2.65 days among survivors, lower WHO clinical progression scale scores from 5 days of follow-up onwards, and lower risks of in-hospital death (HR = .59; 95% CI, .36–.98; P = .042) and composite outcomes; and without experiencing an increased risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Differences in the cumulative direct medical costs between groups were no longer significant from 17 days of follow-up onwards. Conclusions Initiation of remdesivir prior to or simultaneously with dexamethasone was associated with significantly shorter time to clinical improvement and positive IgG antibody, lower risk of in-hospital death, in addition to shorter length of hospital stay in patients with moderate COVID-19.

Developed as an antidiabetic drug, recent evidence suggests that several sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), especially canagliflozin and dapagliflozin, may exhibit in vitro and in vivo anticancer activities in selected cancer types, including an inhibition of tumor growth and induction of cell death. When used in combination with chemotherapy or radiotherapy, SGLT2i may offer possible synergistic effects in enhancing their treatment efficacy while alleviating associated side effects. Potential mechanisms include a reduction of glucose uptake into cancer cells, systemic glucose restriction, modulation of multiple signaling pathways, and regulation of different gene and protein expression. Furthermore, preliminary clinical findings have reported potential anticancer properties of canagliflozin and dapagliflozin in patients with liver and colon cancers respectively, with reference to decreases in their tumor marker levels. Given its general tolerability and routine use in diabetes management, SGLT2i may be a good candidate for drug repurposing in cancer treatment and as adjunct to conventional therapies. While current evidence reveals that only certain SGLT2i appear to be effective against selected cancer types, further studies are needed to explore the antitumor abilities of each SGLT2i in various cancers. Moreover, clinical trials are called for to evaluate the safety and feasibility of introducing SGLT2i in the treatment regimen of patients with specific cancers, and to identify the preferred route of drug administration for targeted delivery to selected tumor sites.

Background Evidence remains inconclusive on any significant benefits of remdesivir in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19. This study explored the disease progression, various clinical outcomes, changes in viral load, and costs associated with early remdesivir treatment among COVID-19 patients. Methods A territory-wide retrospective cohort of 10 419 patients with COVID-19 hospitalized from 21 January 2020 to 31 January 2021 in Hong Kong was identified. Early remdesivir users were matched with controls using propensity-score matching in a ratio ≤1:4. Study outcomes were time to clinical improvement of at least 1 point on WHO clinical progression scale, hospital discharge, recovery, viral clearance, low viral load, positive IgG antibody, in-hospital death, and composite outcomes of in-hospital death requiring invasive ventilation or intensive care. Results After multiple imputation and propensity-score matching, median follow-up was 14 days for both remdesivir (n = 352) and control (n = 1347) groups. Time to clinical improvement was significantly shorter in the remdesivir group than that of control (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01–1.29; P = .038), as well as for achieving low viral load (1.51; 1.24–1.83; P Conclusions Early remdesivir treatment could be extended to hospitalized patients with moderate COVID-19 not requiring oxygen therapy on admission.

Objectives: To estimate the hospital costs among persons with obesity undergoing bariatric surgery compared with those without bariatric surgery. Methods: We analysed the UK Biobank Cohort study linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, for all adults with obesity undergoing bariatric surgery at National Health Service hospitals in England, Scotland, or Wales from 2006 to 2017. Surgery patients were matched with controls who did not have bariatric surgery using propensity scores approach with a ratio of up to 1-to-5 by year. Inverse probability of censoring weighting was used to correct for potential informative censoring. Annual and cumulative hospital costs were assessed for the surgery and control groups. Results: We identified 348 surgical patients (198 gastric bypass, 73 sleeve gastrectomy, 77 gastric banding) during the study period. In total, 324 surgical patients and 1506 matched control participants were included after propensity score matching. Mean 5-year cumulative hospital costs were €11,659 for 348 surgical patients. Compared with controls, surgical patients (n = 324) had significantly higher inpatient expenditures in the surgery year (€7289 vs. €2635, P Conclusions: Bariatric surgery significantly increased the inpatient costs in the surgery year, but was associated with decreased costs in the subsequent 4 years. However, any cost savings made up to 4 years were not enough to compensate for the initial surgical expenditure.

Epidemic nowcasting broadly refers to assessing the current state by understanding key pathogenic, epidemiologic, clinical and socio-behavioral characteristics of an ongoing outbreak. Its primary objective is to provide situational awareness and inform decisions on control responses. In the event of large-scale sustained emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, scientists need to constantly update their aims and analytics with respect to the rapidly evolving emergence of new questions, data and findings in order to synthesize real-time evidence for policy decisions. In this Perspective, we share our views on the functional aims, rationale, data requirements and challenges of nowcasting at different stages of an epidemic, drawing on the ongoing COVID-19 experience. We highlight how recent advances in the computational and laboratory sciences could be harnessed to complement traditional approaches to enhance the scope, timeliness, reliability and utility of epidemic nowcasting.

ImportanceDiabetes and COVID-19 are both global pandemics, and type 2 diabetes is a common comorbidity in patients with acute COVID-19 and is proven to be a key determinant of COVID-19 prognosis. Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir are oral antiviral medications recently approved for nonhospitalized patients with mild to moderate COVID-19, following demonstration of their efficacies in reducing adverse outcomes of the disease; it is crucial to clarify whether both oral antiviral medications are efficacious in a population consisting exclusively of patients with type 2 diabetes.ObjectiveTo evaluate the effectiveness of molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in a contemporary population-based cohort comprising exclusively nonhospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes and SARS-CoV-2 infection.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective cohort study was performed using population-based electronic medical record data for patients in Hong Kong with type 2 diabetes and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between February 26 and October 23, 2022. Each patient was followed up until death, outcome event, crossover of oral antiviral treatment, or end of the observational period (October 30, 2022), whichever came first. Outpatient oral antiviral users were divided into molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir treatment groups, respectively, and nontreated control participants were matched through 1:1 propensity score matching. Data analysis was performed on March 22, 2023.ExposuresMolnupiravir (800 mg twice daily for 5 days) or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (300 mg nirmatrelvir and 100 mg ritonavir twice daily for 5 days, or 150 mg nirmatrelvir and 100 mg ritonavir for patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 30-59 mL/min per 1.73 m2).Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality and/or hospitalization. The secondary outcome was in-hospital disease progression. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated with Cox regression.ResultsThis study identified 22 098 patients with type 2 diabetes and COVID-19. A total of 3390 patients received molnupiravir and 2877 received nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in the community setting. After application of exclusion criteria followed by 1:1 propensity score matching, this study comprised 2 groups. One group included 921 molnupiravir users (487 men [52.9%]), with a mean (SD) age of 76.7 (10.8) years, and 921 control participants (482 men [52.3%]), with a mean (SD) age of 76.6 (11.7) years. The other group included 793 nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users (401 men [50.6%]), with a mean (SD) age of 71.7 (11.5) years, and 793 control participants (395 men [49.8%]), with a mean (SD) age of 71.9 (11.6) years. At a median follow-up of 102 days (IQR, 56-225 days), molnupiravir use was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and/or hospitalization (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.64-0.79]; P P P P = .73) compared with nonuse.Conclusions and RelevanceThese findings suggest that both molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir oral antiviral medications were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and hospitalization among patients with COVID-19 and type 2 diabetes. Further studies in specific populations, such as individuals in residential care homes and individuals with chronic kidney disease, are suggested.

Background Two of the most commonly used techniques for treatment of lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) include full-endoscopic interlaminar decompression (MIS) and conventional microsurgical decompression (CD). Although these procedures have proven efficacy for relief of stenotic symptoms, in this age of increased concerns for healthcare cost, weighing the respective accumulative costs is essential for deciding which approach to adopt. The aim of this study is to perform a cost analysis comparison between MIS and CD for LSS. Methods A decision analysis model comparing MIS and CD for patients with LSS over a 1-year time horizon was conducted. Relevant unit costs associated with each surgical procedure and each possible complication treatment were estimated. Regarding the respective complication rates for each procedure, data was retrieved from the literature. Reoperation was considered for epidural hematoma, inadequate decompression or iatrogenic instability requiring fusion. Nonoperative treatment for complications like infection was also considered. Results The average total costs for MIS and CD were found to be HKD$54,863 and HKD$52,748 respectively. Both procedures carried similar costs in terms of hospitalization, radiology and routine follow-up visits. A 3.9% (HKD$2,115) difference in total cost was largely due to the differences in cost of surgery and complications. MIS costs 5.7% more than CD for an operation but was 28.1% less costly than MIS for complications. Conclusions Given the similar clinical effectiveness of either procedure and only a small difference in overall cost, our findings suggest that surgeons should perform the procedure that they are competent with which guarantees adequacy of decompression.

Little is known about the real-world effectiveness of oral antivirals against the SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. We aimed to assess the clinical effectiveness of two oral antiviral drugs among community-dwelling COVID-19 outpatients in Hong Kong.In this observational study, we used data from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority to identify an unselected, territory-wide cohort of non-hospitalised patients with an officially registered diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection between Feb 26 and June 26, 2022, during the period in which the omicron subvariant BA.2.2 was dominant in Hong Kong. We used a retrospective cohort design as primary analysis, and a case-control design as sensitivity analysis. We identified patients with COVID-19 who received either molnupiravir (800 mg twice daily for 5 days) or nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir (nirmatrelvir 300 mg and ritonavir 100 mg twice daily for 5 days, or nirmatrelvir 150 mg and ritonavir 100 mg if estimated glomerular filtration rate was 30-59 mL/min per 1·73 mAmong 1 074 856 non-hospitalised patients with COVID-19, 5383 received molnupiravir and 6464 received nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir in the community setting. Patients were followed up for a median of 103 days in the molnupiravir group and 99 days in the nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir group. Compared with nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir users, those on molnupiravir were older (4758 [85·9%] vs 4418 [88.7%] aged60 years) and less likely to have been fully vaccinated (1850 [33·4%] vs 800 [16·1%]). Molnupiravir use was associated with lower risks of death (HR 0·76 [95% CI 0·61-0·95]) and in-hospital disease progression (0·57 [0·43-0·76]) than non-use was, whereas risk of hospitalisation was similar in both groups (0·98 [0·89-1·06]). Nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir use was associated with lower risks of death (0·34 [0·22-0·52]), hospitalisation (0·76 [0·67-0·86]), and in-hospital disease progression (0·57 [0·38-0·87]) than non-use was. We consistently found reduced risks of mortality and hospitalisation associated with early oral antiviral use among older patients. The findings from the case-control analysis broadly supported those from the primary analysis.During Hong Kong's wave of SARS-CoV-2 omicron subvariant BA.2.2, among non-hospitalised patients with COVID-19, early initiation of novel oral antivirals was associated with reduced risks of mortality and in-hospital disease progression. Nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir use was additionally associated with a reduced risk of hospitalisation.Health and Medical Research Fund, Health Bureau, Government of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Background The relationship between good early control of thyroid hormone levels after thyroidectomy for Graves’ disease (GD) and subsequent risks of mortality and morbidities is not well known. The aim of this study was to examine the association between thyroid hormone levels within a short interval after surgery and long-term mortality and morbidity risks from a population-based database. Methods Patients with GD who underwent complete/total thyroidectomy between 2006 and 2018 were selected from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority clinical management system. All patients were classified into three groups (euthyroidism, hypothyroidism, and hyperthyroidism) according to their thyroid hormone levels at 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to compare the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), Graves’ ophthalmopathy, and cancer. Results Over a median follow-up of 68 months with 5709 person-years, 949 patients were included for analysis (euthyroidism, n = 540; hypothyroidism, n = 282; and hyperthyroidism, n = 127). The hypothyroidism group had an increased risk of CVD (HR = 4.20, 95 per cent c.i. 2.37 to 7.44, P Conclusions This study showed a higher risk of CVD in postsurgical hypothyroidism and a higher risk of cancer in hyperthyroidism compared with achieving euthyroidism early after thyroidectomy. Patients who were euthyroid at 6 months and 12 months had better outcomes than those achieving euthyroidism only at 6 months or 12 months. Attaining biochemical euthyroidism early after thyroidectomy should become a priority.

There was initially insufficient understanding regarding suitable pharmacological treatment for pediatric Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Lopinavir-ritonavir (LPV/r) was originally used for the treatment of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV-1) infection. It was also used in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) with positive results. Nonetheless, results from recent randomized controlled trials and observational studies on COVID-19 patients were unfavorable. We sought to evaluate the clinical outcomes associated with early treatment with LPV/r for pediatric COVID-19 patients.A total of 933 COVID-19 patients aged ≤ 18 years were admitted between 21 January 2020 and 31 January 2021 in Hong Kong. Exposure was receiving LPV/r within the first two days of admission. Time to clinical improvement, hospital discharge, seroconversion and hyperinflammatory syndrome, cumulative costs, and hospital length of stay were assessed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard and linear models were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of time-to-event and continuous outcomes, respectively.LPV/r users were associated with longer time to clinical improvement (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.38-0.70; p 0.001), hospital discharge (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.38-0.70; p 0.001) and seroconversion (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.43-0.80; p 0.001) when compared with controls. LPV/r users were also associated with prolonged hospital length of stay (6.99 days, 95% CI 6.23-7.76; p 0.001) and higher costs at 30 days (US$11,709 vs US$8270; p 0.001) as opposed to controls.Early treatment with LPV/r for pediatric COVID-19 patients was associated with longer time to clinical improvement. Our study advocates the recommendation against LPV/r use for pediatric patients across age groups.

Aims/Introduction There is uncertainty about the direct medical costs of type 2 diabetes patients with cancers. Materials and Methods A population‐based retrospective cohort of 99,915 type 2 diabetes patients from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 2006 and 2017 was assembled. A total of 16,869 patients who had an initial cancer diagnosis after type 2 diabetes diagnosis were matched with 83,046 patients without cancer (controls) using a matching ratio of up to one‐to‐five propensity score‐matching method. Patients were divided into four categories according to life expectancy. Healthcare service utilization and direct medical costs during the index year, subsequent years and mortality year were compared between patients with and without cancer in each category. Results Medical costs of cancer patients in the index year ranged from $US27,533 for patients who died in 3 years. Cancer patients had significantly greater expenditures than controls in the index year (all P 3 years after the index year ($US32,558 vs $US28,260). For patients in both groups, patients who survived >3 years had significantly lower costs than those who died in 90% of the medical costs for both groups in the mortality year. Conclusions Type 2 diabetes patients with cancers incurred greater medical costs in the diagnosis, ensuing and mortality years than type 2 diabetes patients without cancers., Type 2 diabetes increases the risks of cancers, which have a tremendously heavy economic burden. Type 2 diabetes patients with cancers had significantly greater costs in the cancer diagnosis year, ensuing years and mortality year. Current type 2 diabetes economic models can be further refined by incorporating cancer as a model event subgraph (b), the p‐value for year of mortality should be 0.594 instead of p < 0.001.

Background Parent-child exercises involve children and parents to do workout together and have positive effects on physical and mental health. We developed a mobile app on parent-child exercises called Family Move, which combines coaching videos with game features such as points and level system to enhance the health and wellbeing of both children and parents through parent-child exercises. This pilot pre-post study investigated whether the Family Move app-based intervention had a positive effect on children’s health-related quality of life (HRQOL), psychosocial wellbeing, and physical activity (PA) level. Methods We recruited 67 parent-child pairs. During the 8-week intervention, these pairs were invited to perform parent-child exercises using the Family Move app. Points were automatically added to the user account after viewing a coaching video. In-game ranking was available to enhance user engagement. Parent proxy-report questionnaires on children’s HRQOL, psychosocial wellbeing, and PA were administered at baseline and 1- and 6-month follow-up. Paired samples t-tests were conducted to evaluate post-intervention changes in child outcomes (HRQOL, psychosocial wellbeing, and PA). Multiple linear regressions were used to examine these changes as a function of in-game ranking. Results 52 (78%) viewed at least one coaching video in the Family Move app. Children’s PA level significantly increased at 1-month (d = 0.32, p = 0.030) and 6-month (d = 0.30, p = 0.042) follow-up, whereas their psychosocial problems declined at 6-month follow-up (d = 0.35, p = 0.005). Higher in-game ranking was significantly associated with fewer psychosocial problems at 1-month follow-up (β = − 0.15, p = 0.030). Conclusions Our findings suggest that the Family Move app could be a possible intervention to increase children’s PA level and psychosocial wellbeing through parent-child exercise. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03279354, registered September 11, 2017 (Prospectively registered).

Impaired health-related quality of life is commonly observed in patients with obesity who are scheduled for bariatric surgery. However, bariatric surgery tends to improve quality of life physically, with no final conclusion regarding mental domains.To assess changes of patient-reported outcomes in terms of health-related quality of life, depression, anxiety status, and physical activity (PA) after bariatric surgery among patients with obesity.Queen Mary Hospital, Tung Wah Hospital, and United Christian Hospital, Hong Kong SAR; a longitudinal study.A multicenter, prospective, observational cohort study was conducted in Hong Kong between 2017 and 2018. Follow-up interviews at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months postoperatively were administrated via telephone. Short Form-12 Health Survey Version 2, Euroqol 5-dimension-5-level, and Impact of Weight on Quality of Life-Lite were used to assess health-related quality of life. Scores of anxiety and depression were evaluated by Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. Walking, moderate, and vigorous metabolic equivalent tasks and PA levels were measured by International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form. Demographic and clinical characteristics, including age, sex, body mass index, and preexisting co-morbidities at baseline were collected. Comparisons of scores were made between baseline and 12 months using paired t test or McNemar test.A total of 25 patients who have received bariatric surgery (laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy: 96%; laparoscopic gastric bypass: 4%) and 25 control patients matched using propensity scores derived by baseline covariates were involved. Significant improvements were observed in health-related quality of life regarding physical functioning (P.001), role physical (P = .013), bodily pain (P = .011), general health (P.011), vitality (P = .029), social functioning (P = .017), and physical composite summary (P.001) of Short Form-12 Health Survey Version 2 from baseline to follow-up 12 months after surgery. Scores of physical composite summary, mental composite summary, and Short Form-6 D of surgical patients all had an overall upward trend during observation compared with those in the control group. All domains in Impact of Weight on Quality of Life-Lite were significantly higher at 12 months compared with baseline (P = .001 in sexual life domain, P.001 in other domains). Patients experienced a decrease in depression score of Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale 12 months after bariatric surgery (P = .026), while anxiety score was not found to differ from baseline (P = .164). No significant differences in total metabolic equivalent tasks (P = .224) and PA levels (P = .180) between baseline and 12-month follow-up were found.After 12 months of follow-up, increase in physical quality of life, reduction in depression status and less impairment caused by weight were observed, without significant changes in anxiety score and postoperative PA.

Objectives Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a serious public health issue worldwide, and DM patients have higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), which is the leading cause of DM-related deaths. China has the largest DM population, yet a robust model to predict CVDs in Chinese DM patients is still lacking. This systematic review is carried out to summarize existing models and identify potentially important predictors for CVDs in Chinese DM patients. Study design Systematic review. Methods Medline and Embase were searched for data from April 1st, 2011 to May 31st, 2018. A study was eligible if it developed CVD (defined as total CVD or any major cardiovascular component) risk prediction models or explored potential predictors of CVD specifically for Chinese people with type 2 DM. Standardized forms were utilized to extract information, appraise applicability, risk of bias, and availabilities. Results Five models and 29 studies focusing on potential predictors were identified. Models for a primary care setting, or to predict total CVD, are rare. A number of common predictors (e.g. age, sex, diabetes duration, smoking status, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), blood pressure, lipid profile, and treatment modalities) were observed in existing models, in which urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are highly recommended for the Chinese population. Variability of blood pressure (BP) and HbA1c should be included in prediction model development as novel factors. Meanwhile, interactions between age, sex, and risk factors should also be considered. Conclusions A 10-year prediction model for CVD risk in Chinese type 2 DM patients is lacking and urgently needed. There is insufficient evidence to support the inclusion of other novel predictors in CVDs risk prediction functions for routine clinical use.

To revisit the population norms of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and health utility for the Hong Kong general population, compare these scores over past health surveys, and assess the association of scores with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and their risk factors. HRQoL data measured by the standard Short Form 12 Health Survey-version 2 (SF-12v2) were extracted from the surveys in 1998, 2003/2004, 2008/2009 and 2014/2015. SF-12v2 data were mapped to the Short-form 6-dimension (SF-6D) preference-based measure to generate the health utility scores. Population weighting based on the sex and age in the second quarter of 2015 was applied when generating population normative values. Linear regression models were fitted to assess the effect of the number of NCDs and modifiable lifestyle factors on HRQoL and health utility. The general population mean scores of SF-12v2 domains and SF-6D in 2014/15 were higher compared to past surveys. Linear increases in General Health, Vitality and Mental Health domains were observed from 1998 to 2014/15. More doctor-diagnosed NCDs, insufficient physical activity and fruit/vegetable consumption, poor sleep quality and insufficient or excessive amount of sleep (

Background and aims Sustained psychosocial support via online social groups may help former tobacco users maintain abstinence. This study aims to examine the effectiveness of participating in a WhatsApp social group for long-term smoking cessation. Design Two-arm, open-labelled, pragmatic, individually randomized controlled trial. Setting All participants are service users of smoking cessation clinics, and all interventions are delivered via mobile phones. Participants Participants included 1008 adult quitters who self-report no tobacco use in the past 3-30 days. Interventions The intervention group (n = 504) will join a WhatsApp social group to receive standardized and theory-based reminders of smoking relapse prevention and participate in discussion with other WhatsApp group members using their own mobile phones. All social groups will be led by counselors or specialist nurse practitioners. The control group (n = 504) will receive similar reminders via short messages to their own mobile phones but will not interact with other participants. The intervention duration for both groups is 8 weeks. Both groups will receive a booklet at baseline about how to prevent smoking relapse. Measurements The primary outcome is biochemically validated tobacco abstinence at 12 months after consent. Comments The findings will provide evidence concerning the utility of operating online social group discussion for prevention of smoking relapse and sustaining long-term abstinence.

Study design Prospective cohort study. Objective To compare feasibility of self-reported and proxy-reported youth version of EuroQoL Five-Dimension Three-Level Questionnaire (EQ-5D-3L-Y), to estimate the agreement of health outcome between patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) and their proxies, and to examine factors that may affect patient-proxy agreement. Summary of background data The EQ-5D-3L-Y questionnaire has both self-reported and proxy-reported versions. Despite previous studies have indicated that proxies tended to respond with higher or lower levels of severity in specific dimensions than patients report, the level of agreement between children with AIS and their proxies remained unknown. Methods A consecutive sample of patients with AIS and their caregivers were recruited. Feasibility was tested according to the proportion of missing responses. Agreements between self-report and proxy EQ-5D-3L-Y were evaluated using percentage agreement, Gwet agreement coefficients and the intraclass correlation coefficients. Linear regressions and logistic regressions were conducted to assess the factors associated with the agreement in health outcome between self-reported and proxy-reported EQ-5D-3L-Y. Results A total of 130 patient-proxy pairs were involved in the study. Agreement of EQ-5D-3L-Y responses between the self-report and proxy version was good for "Feeling worried/sad/unhappy" dimension, and very good for other dimensions. Poor agreement in visual analog scale score was observed between patient and proxy versions. Proxy's education level, patient's curvature type, and treatment modality were the significant determinants of the agreement in "Mobility," "usual activities," and "pain/discomfort" dimension, respectively. Conclusion Proxy-reported EQ-5D-3L-Y demonstrates good feasibility and satisfactory agreement with patient version. Proxy's education appears to have positive influence in agreement between patient-proxy dyads. Level of evidence 2.

A cross-sectional analysis of a dataset of 156 participants in a health assessment program explored whether negative emotional states mediated the association between intimate partner violence (IPV) and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Compared with IPV screen-negative participants, those who screened positive had significantly lower HRQoL and significantly higher levels of depression, anxiety, and stress. The inverse associations between the presence of IPV and HRQoL were found to be mediated by depression, anxiety, and stress. Therefore, interventions to alleviate negative emotions in women suffering from IPV have the potential to be useful in improving their HRQoL.

AimThis study was conducted in order to evaluate the association between metformin use and clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).MethodsPatients with T2DM with confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and admitted between January 21, 2020, and January 31, 2021 in Hong Kong were identified in our cohort. Exposure was defined as metformin use within 90 days prior to admission until hospital discharge for COVID-19. Primary outcome was defined as clinical improvement of ≥1 point on the WHO Clinical Progression Scale (CPS). Other outcomes were hospital discharge, recovery, in-hospital death, acidosis, hyperinflammatory syndrome, length of hospitalization, and changes in WHO CPS score.ResultsMetformin use was associated with greater odds of clinical improvement (OR = 2.74, p = 0.009), hospital discharge (OR = 2.26, p = 0.009), and recovery (OR = 2.54, p = 0.005), in addition to lower odds of hyperinflammatory syndrome (OR = 0.71, p = 0.021) and death (OR = 0.41, p = 0.010) than control. Patients on metformin treatment had a shorter hospital stay (−2.76 days, p = 0.017) than their control counterparts. The average WHO CPS scores were significantly lower in metformin users than non-users since day 15 (p < 0.001). However, metformin use was associated with higher odds of acidosis.ConclusionsMetformin use was associated with lower mortality and lower odds for hyperinflammatory syndrome. This provides additional insights into the potential mechanisms of the benefits of metformin use in T2DM patients with COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with worse outcomes for patients with COVID-19. Commonly used glucose-lowering medications, metformin, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i), or insulin, were found to impact the level of inflammatory and cytokine, therefore potentially influence the clinical outcomes in SARS-CoV-2 infected patients. Concerns remain on the early in-hospital use of these medications. This territory-wide retrospective observational study evaluated clinical improvement, virality, acidosis, hypoglycemia, hyperinflammation status, composite clinical outcomes associated with use of metformin, DPP4i, or insulin for hospitalized T2DM patients with COVID-19 infection. METHODS: Baseline covariate between the two groups were balanced by multiple imputation followed by inverse probability of treatment weighting for propensity score. Multivariable cox proportional hazard models were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of time-to-event outcomes. Exposure was defined as receiving glucose-lowering drug class within 3 days of admission. RESULTS: After propensity-score weighting, baseline characteristics were generally balanced. Metformin users (n = 609) were associated with quicker time to clinical improvement (HR = 1.41, 95%CI 1.19 to 1.65, P < 0.001), hospital discharge (HR = 1.43, 95%CI 1.20 to 1.69, P < 0.001) and recovery (HR = 2.09, 95%CI 1.42 to 3.06, P < 0.001), shorter hospital length of stay among survivors (-6.45 days, 95%CI -8.34 to -4.56, P < 0.001), reduced costs from 30-days onward, lower risk of composite outcome (HR = 0.41, 95%CI 0.23 to 0.74, P = 0.003) and macrophage activation (HR = 0.64, 95%CI 0.47 to 0.87, P < 0.004) when compared to non-metformin users. Shorter hospital length of stay was also observed in DPP4i users (n = 144) compared with non-DPP4i users (-5.32 days, 95%CI to 7.30 to -3.34, P < 0.001). Insulin users (n = 414) have greater risk of hypoglycemia during admission (HR = 2.61, 95%CI 1.23 to 5.53, P = 0.013) when compared to non-insulin users. CONCLUSION: Metformin and DPP4i have exhibited association with improved clinical outcomes while insulin has proved to be associated with increased risk of hypoglycemia for in hospitalized T2DM patients with COVID-19.

Background The COVID‐19 pandemic has been associated with excess mortality and reduced emergency department attendance. However, the effect of varying wave periods of COVID‐19 on in‐hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS) for non‐COVID disease for non‐COVID diseases remains unexplored. Methods We examined a territory‐wide observational cohort of 563,680 emergency admissions between January 1 and November 30, 2020, and 709,583 emergency admissions during the same 2019 period in Hong Kong, China. Differences in 28‐day in‐hospital mortality risk and LOS due to COVID‐19 were evaluated. Results The cumulative incidence of 28‐day in‐hospital mortality increased overall from 2.9% in 2019 to 3.6% in 2020 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.22, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.25). The aHR was higher among patients with lower respiratory tract infection (aHR: 1.30 95% CI 1.26 to 1.34), airway disease (aHR: 1.35 95% CI 1.22 to 1.49), and mental disorders (aHR: 1.26 95% CI 1.15 to 1.37). Mortality risk in the first‐ and third‐wave periods was significantly greater than that in the inter‐wave period (p‐interaction