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Background: The combination of anatomical MRI and deep learning‐based methods such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) is a promising strategy to build predictive models of multiple sclerosis (MS) prognosis. However, studies assessing the effect of different input strategies on model's performance are lacking. Purpose: To compare whole‐brain input sampling strategies and regional/specific‐tissue strategies, which focus on a priori known relevant areas for disability accrual, to stratify MS patients based on their disability level. Study Type: Retrospective. Subjects: Three hundred nineteen MS patients (382 brain MRI scans) with clinical assessment of disability level performed within the following 6 months (~70% training/~15% validation/~15% inference in‐house dataset) and 440 MS patients from multiple centers (independent external validation cohort). Field Strength/Sequence: Single vendor 1.5 T or 3.0 T. Magnetization‐Prepared Rapid Gradient‐Echo and Fluid‐Attenuated Inversion Recovery sequences. Assessment: A 7‐fold patient cross validation strategy was used to train a 3D‐CNN to classify patients into two groups, Expanded Disability Status Scale score (EDSS) ≥ 3.0 or EDSS < 3.0. Two strategies were investigated: 1) a global approach, taking the whole brain volume as input and 2) regional approaches using five different regions‐of‐interest: white matter, gray matter, subcortical gray matter, ventricles, and brainstem structures. The performance of the models was assessed in the in‐house and the independent external cohorts. Statistical Tests: Balanced accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results: With the in‐house dataset, the gray matter regional model showed the highest stratification accuracy (81%), followed by the global approach (79%). In the external dataset, without any further retraining, an accuracy of 72% was achieved for the white matter model and 71% for the global approach. Data Conclusion: The global approach offered the best trade‐off between internal performance and external validation to stratify MS patients based on accumulated disability. Evidence Level: 4 Technical Efficacy: Stage 2 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibodies (MOG‐Ab) distinguish multiple sclerosis (MS) from MOG‐associated disease in most cases. However, studies analyzing MOG‐Ab at the time of a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS in adults are lacking. We aimed to (1) evaluate the prevalence of MOG‐Ab in a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS and (2) compare clinical and paraclinical features between seropositive (MOG‐Ab+) and seronegative (MOG‐Ab−) patients. Methods: Six hundred thirty adult patients with available serum samples obtained within 6 months from the first event were included. MOG‐Ab were analyzed using a live cell‐based assay. Statistical analyses included parametric and nonparametric tests, logistic regression, and survival models. Results: MOG‐Ab were positive in 17 of 630 (2.7%). Fourteen out of 17 (82.4%) MOG‐Ab+ patients presented with optic neuritis (ON) compared to 227of 613 (37.0%) MOG‐Ab− patients (p = 0.009). Cerebrospinal fluid‐restricted oligoclonal bands (CSF‐OBs) were found in 2 of 16 (12.5%) MOG‐Ab+ versus 371 of 601 (61.7%) MOG‐Ab− subjects (p < 0.001). Baseline brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was normal in 9 of 17 (52.9%) MOG‐Ab+ versus 153 of 585 (26.2%) MOG‐Ab− patients (p = 0.029). Absence of CSF‐OBs and ON at onset were independently associated with MOG‐Ab positivity (odds ratio [OR] = 9.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.04–53.6, p = 0.009; and OR = 4.17, 95% CI = 1.15–19.8, p = 0.042, respectively). Of MOG‐Ab+ patients, 22.9% (95% CI = 0.0–42.7) compared to 67.6% (95% CI = 63.3–71.3) of MOG‐Ab− patients fulfilled McDonald 2017 criteria at 5 years (log‐rank p = 0.003). Interpretation: MOG‐Ab are infrequent in adults with a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS. However, based on our results, we suggest to determine these antibodies in those patients with ON and absence of CSF‐OBs, as long as the brain MRI is not suggestive of MS. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:116–128 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: It remains unclear whether viral infections interfere with multiple sclerosis (MS) disease progression. We evaluated the prognostic role of antibody responses toward viruses determined at disease onset on long-term disease outcomes.Methods: Humoral immune responses against Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-encoded nuclear antigen EBNA1, viral capsid antigen (VCA) and early antigen, and toward cytomegalovirus (HCMV), human herpesvirus 6 and measles were investigated in a cohort of 143 patients with MS for their association with long-term disability and inflammation disease outcomes.Results: Median (IQR) follow-up was 20 (17.2-22.8) years. In univariable analysis, increased HCMV levels were associated with a lower risk to Expanded Disability Status Scale 4.0 (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.91 to 0.99; p=0.03), to develop a secondary progressive MS (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.90 to 0.99; p=0.02) and to first-line treatment (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.96 to 0.99; p=0.04). High HCMV IgG levels were associated with a longer time to first-line treatment (p=0.01). Increased immune responses against EBV-VCA were associated with higher risk for first-line (HR 1.45; 95% CI 1.12 to 1.88; p=0.005) and second-line treatments (HR 2.03; 95% CI 1.18 to 3.49; p=0.01), and high VCA IgG levels were associated with shorter time to first-line (p=0.004) and second-line (p=0.02) therapies. EBNA1-specific IgG levels correlated with disease severity (0.17; p=0.04) and with an increased relapse rate during follow-up (relapse rate 1.26; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.56; p=0.02) that remained stable in multivariable analysis.Conclusions: These results indicate that elevated immune responses against HCMV at disease onset have protective effects on long-term disability and inflammation disease outcomes. Our data also indicate that increased immune responses against EBV in early phases may influence long-term disease prognosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To evaluate whether oral contraceptive (OC) use is associated with the risk of a second attack and disability accrual in women with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and early multiple sclerosis (MS). Methods: Reproductive information from women included in the Barcelona CIS prospective cohort was collected through a self-reported cross-sectional survey. We examined the relationship of OC exposure with the risk of a second attack and confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale of 3.0 using multivariate Cox regression models, adjusted by age, topography of CIS, oligoclonal bands, baseline brain T2 lesions, body size at menarche, smoking, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT). OC and DMT exposures were considered as time-varying variables. Findings were confirmed with sensitivity analyses using propensity score models. Results: A total of 495 women were included, 389 (78.6%) referred to ever use OC and 341 (68.9%) started OC before the CIS. Exposure to OC was not associated with a second attack (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.33–1.61) or disability accrual (aHR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.17–3.76). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these results. Conclusion: OC use does not modify the risk of second attack or disability accrual in patients with CIS and early MS, once considered as a time-dependent exposure and adjusted by other potential confounders. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and purpose: To evaluate the effect of menopause on disability accumulation in women followed from their clinically isolated syndrome (CIS). Methods: We examined the longitudinal changes in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores from CIS until the last follow‐up in women belonging to the Barcelona CIS prospective cohort, followed through their menopausal transition. The analysis is based on 13,718 EDSS measurements, with an average of 28 EDSS measurements per patient. Differences in EDSS trajectories between menopausal and nonmenopausal women, controlling for age and disease duration, were evaluated. We performed two sensitivity analyses in women with confirmed MS and in those experiencing early menopause. Results: From 764 eligible women, 496 (65%) responded to the questionnaire, and 74 (14.9%) reached menopause over the follow‐up. We did not find a significant inflection point in EDSS trajectories around menopause (slope change −0.009; 95% CI −0.066; 0.046). The annual increase in EDSS over the complete course of the disease was significantly higher in menopausal women (0.049; 95% CI, 0.026–0.074) versus nonmenopausal (0.019; 95% CI, 0.008–0.031; interaction p value 0.025). This difference was lost when controlling for age and disease duration (EDSS annual increase of 0.059; 95% CI, 0.025–0.094 vs. 0.038; 95% CI, 0.021–0.057, respectively; interaction p value 0.321). No inflection point was detected when the analysis was restricted to women with confirmed MS or with earlier menopause. Conclusions: Menopause is not associated with an increased risk of disability in a CIS population, considering EDSS trajectories throughout the course of the disease together with age and disease duration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To explore the long-term outcomes of patients with clinically isolated syndromes from the Barcelona cohort. Methods: We selected patients with a follow-up longer than 10 years to (1) estimate the risks of multiple sclerosis (MS) and disability accumulation according to the baseline number of T2 lesions and to compare treated versus untreated patients and early versus delayed treatment, and (2) to study baseline features of patients with aggressive MS (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩾6.0 at 10 years). Results: In all, 401 patients were included (mean follow-up of 14.4 (standard deviation of 2.9) years). A higher number of T2 lesions was associated with an earlier MS diagnosis and an earlier risk of irreversible disability. Early treatment was associated with a decreased risk of EDSS of 3.0: adjusted hazard ratio = 0.4, 95% confidence interval = (0.2, 0.7). Patients with aggressive MS differed in their baseline brain magnetic resonance images: The median (interquartile range) number of T2 lesions and contrast-enhancing lesions (CEL) was 71 (28–95) versus 7 (1–19) and 3 (1–24) versus 0 (0–1), respectively. The cut-offs that better classified patients with aggressive MS were 20 for T2 lesions and 2 for CEL. Conclusion: Although MS natural history is changing, a high lesion load at onset is helpful to identify patients at risk of presenting an aggressive MS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Limited data exist regarding treatment response prediction to oral disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS)., Objectives: We assessed the capacity of available scoring systems to anticipate disease activity parameters in naïve relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients initiating daily oral DMTs, hypothesizing that they exhibit different predictive potentials., Methods: We conducted a retrospective study and applied the Rio Score (RS), modified Rio Score (mRS), and MAGNIMS Score 12 months after DMT initiation. At 36 months, we examined their ability to predict evidence of disease activity (EDA) components and treatment failure by logistic regression analysis., Results: Notably, 218 patients (62.4% females) initiating dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, and fingolimod were included. At 36 months, the RS high-risk group predicted evidence of clinical activity (odds ratio (OR) 10 [2.7-36.9]) and treatment failure (OR 10.6 [3.4-32.5]) but did not predict radiological activity (OR 1.9 [0.7-5]). The mRS non-responders group did not predict EDA and treatment failure. RS, mRS, and MAGNIMS 0 categories showed significantly lower EDA and treatment failure than the remainder., Conclusion: Scoring systems present different predictive abilities for disease activity parameters at 36 months in MS patients initiating daily oral therapies, warranting further adjustments (i.e. introduction of fluid biomarkers) to depict disease activity status fully., Competing Interests: Declaration of Conflicting InterestsThe author(s) declared the following potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: A.P. has received funding travel from Roche and speaking honoraria from Novartis; he developed this project during a 2021 ECTRIMS Clinical Training Fellowship program and is currently performing an MSIF-ARSEP Fellowship program. R.C. has received consulting services and speaking honoraria from Roche, Novartis, BIIB-Colombia, Merck, Sanofi, and was funded by an ECTRIMS Clinical Training Fellowship program. C.T. is currently being funded by a Junior Leader La Caixa Fellowship; she has also received the 2021 Merck’s Award for the Investigation in Multiple Sclerosis (Spain) and a grant (PI/01860) from Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; and she has also received speaker honoraria from Roche and Novartis. A.C.C. has received a grant from Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; JR19/00007. P.C.M.’s yearly salary is supported by a grant from Biogen to Fundació Privada Cemcat for statistical analysis. N.B. has received travel expenses for scientific meetings and speaking honoraria from Roche, Novartis, Biogen, and Merck, and is currently being funded by ECTRIMS Fellowship. A.V.J. receives support for contracts Juan Rodes (JR16/00024) from Fondo de Investigaciones Sanitarias, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain; and has received speaking honoraria and travel expenses from Novartis, Roche, Teva, Biogen, and Sanofi-Genzyme. G.A. has received speaking honoraria, compensation for consulting services or participation in advisory boards from Sanofi, Merck, Roche, and Horizon Therapeutics; travel support for scientific meetings from Novartis, Roche, and ECTRIMS; is editor for Europe of the Multiple Sclerosis Journal—Experimental, Translational and Clinical; is a member of the International Women in Multiple Sclerosis (iWiMS) network executive committee; and is a member of the European Biomarkers in MS (BioMS-eu) consortium steering committee. N.M.O. has a predoctoral grant Rio Hortega, from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Spain). C.N. has received funding for travel from Biogen Idec and F. Hoffmann-La Roche, and speaker honoraria from Novartis. B.R.A. has received honoraria for consulting services from Wellspect. A.Z. has received travel expenses for scientific meetings from Biogen Idec, Merck Serono, and Novartis; speaking honoraria from Eisai; and a study grant from Novartis. M.C. has received compensation for consulting services and speaking honoraria from Bayer Schering Pharma, Merck Serono, Biogen Idec, Teva Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi-Aventis, and Novartis. J.S.G. has received compensation for participating on Advisory Boards, speaking honoraria, and travel expenses for scientific meetings, consulting services, or research support from Celgene, Novartis, Biogen, Teva, Merck, Almirall, and Genzyme. M.T. has received compensation for consulting services, speaking honoraria from Almirall, Bayer Schering Pharma, Biogen Idec, Genzyme, Merck Serono, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi Aventis, and Teva Pharmaceuticals, and is co-editor of Multiple Sclerosis Journal—ETC. A.R. serves on scientific advisory boards for Novartis, Sanofi Genzyme, Icometrix, SyntheticMR, Bayer, Biogen, and OLEA Medical, and has received speaker honoraria from Bayer, Sanofi Genzyme, Bracco, Merck Serono, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., Novartis, Roche, and Biogen. X.M. has received speaking honoraria and travel expenses for participation in scientific meetings, has been a steering committee member of clinical trials or participated in advisory boards of clinical trials in the past years with Abbvie, Actelion, Alexion, Biogen, Bristol Myers Squibb/Celgene, EMD Serono, Genzyme, Hoffmann-La Roche, Immunic, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, MedDay, Merck, Mylan, NervGen, Novartis, Sandoz, Sanofi Genzyme, Teva Pharmaceutical, TG Therapeutics, Excemed, MSIF, and NMSS. J.R. has received speaking honoraria and personal compensation for participating on Advisory Boards from Almirall, Bayer Schering Healthcare, Biogen Idec, Genzyme, Merck Serono, Novartis, Teva, and Sanofi Aventis. C.A., A.S.A., J.C.J., L.B., L.M., A.S., I.G., and M.R.B. report no disclosures.

Objective: Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibodies (MOG-Ab) distinguish multiple sclerosis (MS) from MOG-associated disease in most cases. However, studies analyzing MOG-Ab at the time of a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS in adults are lacking. We aimed to (1) evaluate the prevalence of MOG-Ab in a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS and (2) compare clinical and paraclinical features between seropositive (MOG-Ab+) and seronegative (MOG-Ab-) patients., Methods: Six hundred thirty adult patients with available serum samples obtained within 6 months from the first event were included. MOG-Ab were analyzed using a live cell-based assay. Statistical analyses included parametric and nonparametric tests, logistic regression, and survival models., Results: MOG-Ab were positive in 17 of 630 (2.7%). Fourteen out of 17 (82.4%) MOG-Ab+ patients presented with optic neuritis (ON) compared to 227of 613 (37.0%) MOG-Ab- patients (p = 0.009). Cerebrospinal fluid-restricted oligoclonal bands (CSF-OBs) were found in 2 of 16 (12.5%) MOG-Ab+ versus 371 of 601 (61.7%) MOG-Ab- subjects (p < 0.001). Baseline brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was normal in 9 of 17 (52.9%) MOG-Ab+ versus 153 of 585 (26.2%) MOG-Ab- patients (p = 0.029). Absence of CSF-OBs and ON at onset were independently associated with MOG-Ab positivity (odds ratio [OR] = 9.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.04-53.6, p = 0.009; and OR = 4.17, 95% CI = 1.15-19.8, p = 0.042, respectively). Of MOG-Ab+ patients, 22.9% (95% CI = 0.0-42.7) compared to 67.6% (95% CI = 63.3-71.3) of MOG-Ab- patients fulfilled McDonald 2017 criteria at 5 years (log-rank p = 0.003)., Interpretation: MOG-Ab are infrequent in adults with a first demyelinating event suggestive of MS. However, based on our results, we suggest to determine these antibodies in those patients with ON and absence of CSF-OBs, as long as the brain MRI is not suggestive of MS. ANN NEUROL 2023., (© 2023 The Authors. Annals of Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.)

Background: The effect of disease-modifying therapies on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine response is unclear., Objectives: We aim to determine the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 in multiple sclerosis (MS) and anti-CD20-treated patients with other autoimmune diseases (AID)., Methods: Humoral and cellular responses we determined before and 30-90 days after vaccination in patients with MS and anti-CD20-treated patients with other AID in two Catalan centers., Results: 457 patients were enrolled. Findings showed that humoral response decreased under anti-CD20s or sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulators (S1PRM) and with longer treatment duration and increased after 4.5 months from the last anti-CD20 infusion. Cellular response decreased in S1PRM-treated. Patients on anti-CD20 can present cellular responses even in the absence of antibodies., Conclusion: Anti-CD20s and S1PRM modify the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

Objective: To explore the long-term outcomes of patients with clinically isolated syndromes from the Barcelona cohort., Methods: We selected patients with a follow-up longer than 10 years to (1) estimate the risks of multiple sclerosis (MS) and disability accumulation according to the baseline number of T2 lesions and to compare treated versus untreated patients and early versus delayed treatment, and (2) to study baseline features of patients with aggressive MS (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩾6.0 at 10 years)., Results: In all, 401 patients were included (mean follow-up of 14.4 (standard deviation of 2.9) years). A higher number of T2 lesions was associated with an earlier MS diagnosis and an earlier risk of irreversible disability. Early treatment was associated with a decreased risk of EDSS of 3.0: adjusted hazard ratio = 0.4, 95% confidence interval = (0.2, 0.7). Patients with aggressive MS differed in their baseline brain magnetic resonance images: The median (interquartile range) number of T2 lesions and contrast-enhancing lesions (CEL) was 71 (28-95) versus 7 (1-19) and 3 (1-24) versus 0 (0-1), respectively. The cut-offs that better classified patients with aggressive MS were 20 for T2 lesions and 2 for CEL., Conclusion: Although MS natural history is changing, a high lesion load at onset is helpful to identify patients at risk of presenting an aggressive MS.

Background: People with multiple sclerosis (MS) may be at higher risk for complications from the 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic due to use of immunomodulatory disease modifying therapies (DMTs) and greater need for medical services., Objectives: To evaluate risk factors for COVID-19 susceptibility and describe the pandemic's impact on healthcare delivery., Methods: Surveys sent to MS patients at Cleveland Clinic, Johns Hopkins, and Vall d'Hebron-Centre d'Esclerosi Múltiple de Catalunya in April and May 2020 collected information about comorbidities, DMTs, exposures, COVID-19 testing/outcomes, health behaviors, and disruptions to MS care., Results: There were 3028/10,816 responders. Suspected or confirmed COVID-19 cases were more likely to have a known COVID-19 contact (odds ratio (OR): 4.38; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 18.54). In multivariable-adjusted models, people who were younger, had to work on site, had a lower education level, and resided in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas were less likely to follow social distancing guidelines. 4.4% reported changes to therapy plans, primarily delays in infusions, and 15.5% a disruption to rehabilitative services., Conclusion: Younger people with lower socioeconomic status required to work on site may be at higher exposure risk and are potential targets for educational intervention and work restrictions to limit exposure. Providers should be mindful of potential infusion delays and MS care disruption.