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Mathematical modelling plays a major role in assessing, controlling, and forecasting potential outbreaks. This article consists of implementing mathematical forecasting models by Liang [14], Ma [16], and the curve fitting method with the least squares as a standard approach in regression analysis and compares those calculate results obtained from the Covid-19 outbreak data, which is announced by the Turkish Ministry of Health, between March 10, 2020, and May 15, 2020, in Turkey. For this purpose, we presented an overview of three mathematical models and finally, demonstrated their applications using the Ministry of Health of Turkey’s publicly reported data.

PURPOSE: To compare the effects of unfractionated heparin (UH) and a low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) on skin wound healing of rats. METHODS: Forty eight male Sprague-Dawley rats underwent 8mm full thickness dorsal skin wounds and were randomly assigned to three equal groups. In experimental group A, heparin sodium was injected at a concentration of 1000U/kg. In experimental group B, enoxaparin was injected at a concentration of 1mg/kg. Physiologic saline (0.5ml) was administered to the control group. Injections were made subcutaneously, once daily, for seven days. At 7th and 10th days tissue samples were taken from all rats. Histologic examination of these tissues was made under light microscope and scored. RESULTS: Histological examination showed a significant difference between the 7th and 10th day groups in wound healing. It was observed that wound healing of LMWH injected group is better. This difference is statistically significant at 10th day. CONCLUSIONS: Daily administration of single doses of unfractionated heparin and a low molecular weight heparin improves wound healing positively. Low molecular weight heparin induces wound healing more than unfractionated heparin.OBJETIVO: Comparar os efeitos da heparina não fracionada (HNF) e da heparina de baixo peso molecular (HBPM) na cicatrização de feridas cutâneas de ratos. MÉTODOS: Quarenta e oito ratos machos Sprague-Dawley foram submetidos à ferida na pele dorsal com espessura total de 8mm e foram distribuídos aleatoriamente em três grupos iguais. No grupo experimental A, a heparina sódica foi injetada a uma concentração de 1000U/kg. No grupo experimental B, a enoxaparina foi injetada a uma concentração de 1mg/kg. Solução salina fisiológica (0,5ml) foi administrada para o grupo controle. As injeções foram feitas por via subcutânea, uma vez por dia, durante sete dias. Nos dias 7º e 10º amostras de tecido foram obtidas de todos os ratos. O exame histológico destes tecidos foi realizado em microscópio de luz. RESULTADOS: O exame histológico mostrou uma diferença significativa entre os grupos no 7º e 10º dias na cicatrização das feridas. Observou-se que a cicatrização de feridas do grupo com heparina de baixo peso molecular foi melhor. Esta diferença foi estatisticamente significante no 10º dia. CONCLUSÕES: A administração diária de doses únicas de heparina não fracionada e de heparina de baixo peso molecular melhora a cicatrização de feridas. A heparina de baixo peso molecular induz melhor a cicatrização de feridas do que a heparina não fracionada.

Clinical Scenario: Existing studies have posited that incorporating abdominal enhancement techniques during lower-extremity exercises might mitigate compensatory pelvic motions and enhance the engagement of specific hip muscles., Clinical Question: Does performing lower-extremity exercises with abdominal enhancement techniques increase hip muscle activation levels in healthy individuals? Summary of Key Finding: After the literature review, 4 cross-sectional studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this critically appraised topic., Clinical Bottom Line: There is moderate evidence to support that prone hip extension with abdominal enhancement may increase gluteus maximus and hamstring muscle activity. Gluteus medius activity may not be affected by abdominal enhancement during hip abduction exercises. Strength and Recommendation: The collective findings from the 4 cross-sectional trials indicate that the incorporation of abdominal enhancement techniques during lower-extremity exercises may have the potential to enhance targeted muscle activation levels in healthy individuals. Further research is recommended to establish more robust conclusions.

Clinical Scenario: The fascial relationship between scapular muscles and abdominal muscles has been documented from previous studies. However, it is not yet clear whether voluntary abdominal contraction has a beneficial effect on scapular muscle activity during shoulder exercises., Clinical Question: Do scapulothoracic muscle activation levels increase if shoulder exercises are performed with voluntary abdominal activation? Summary of Key Finding: After the literature review, 4 cross-sectional studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this critically appraised topic., Clinical Bottom Line: There is moderate evidence to support dynamic shoulder exercises with voluntary abdominal contraction can increase trapezius and serratus anterior muscle activation level in asymptomatic shoulders. Strength and Recommendation: Findings from 4 cross-sectional trials indicate that there is moderate evidence supporting that dynamic shoulder exercises performed with voluntary abdominal contraction can increase scapular muscle activity.

Abstract: Can, EN, Harput, G, and Turgut, E. Shoulder and scapular muscle activity during low and high plank variations with different body-weight-bearing statuses. J Strength Cond Res 38(2): 245-252, 2024-This study investigated the activation levels and activation ratios of shoulder and scapular muscles during low plank (LP) and high plank (HP) variations, with varying levels of body-mass support, including 4-point, 3-pod, and 2-point body-weight-bearing (BWB) statuses. The study was conducted with 21 healthy men (mean ± SD , 26 ± 6.5 years of age and 24.4 ± 2.4 kg·m -2 BMI). Ten different plank exercises were performed in a mixed order by changing elbow joint positions (LP and HP) and BWB statuses (2-point, 3-pod, and 4-point). Activation levels of the lower trapezius (LT), middle trapezius (MT), upper trapezius (UT), biceps brachii, triceps brachii, infraspinatus, and serratus anterior (SA) muscles were assessed with a surface electromyography device. Results of this study showed that elbow position changes resulted in higher LT ( p = 0.01) and TB ( p = 0.001) activation in HP exercises. In general, it was observed that an increase in BWB status was effective in increasing activation for the scapula and shoulder girdle muscles. The ratios of the UT muscle to the SA, LT, and MT muscles were less than 1 during side plank, bird dog, front reach, shoulder taps, and plank with shoulder external rotation exercises. High plank with toe touch exercise resulted in a marked increase in the UT activation. Therefore, it was concluded plank variations alter activation levels and activation ratios of shoulder and scapular muscles. Plank exercises may be used in shoulder rehabilitation and the progression in plank variations can be achieved by changing elbow position and BWB status based on individual requirements., (Copyright © 2023 National Strength and Conditioning Association.)

Taping is a popular approach and is often used as part of a multifactorial injury prevention programme for athletes. The aim of this study was to evaluate the current literature regarding the effects of shoulder taping in overhead athletes. Literature search was performed related to rotational range of motion (RoM), posterior shoulder tightness (PST), kinematics, muscular activity, acromiohumeral distance (AHD), proprioception, strength, and performance. Twenty studies were eligible. The majority of the applied taping methods were scapular and humeral head repositioning taping. Across all studies, there was limited to moderate evidence in favour of taping in overhead athletes with regard to rotational RoM, AHD, proprioception, and altering scapular kinematics, while taping did not enhance PST, muscular activity, shoulder strength, and performance. Therefore, the current evidence showed taping can alter some of the investigated factors that may have a therapeutic or preventive role. However, in the management of the athlete shoulder, taping-only approaches should not be focused on, and taping can be integrated in a more comprehensive approach for the overhead athletes.

Context: The University of Wisconsin Running Injury and Recovery Index (UWRI) was developed to evaluate the key elements that runners use to self-assess their own running ability following common running-related injuries. The aim of this study was to translate and culturally adapt the UWRI and to evaluate the psychometric properties of its Turkish version (UWRI-Tr) in runners., Design: Prospective cohort study., Methods: The study included 129 runners. The UWRI-Tr, the Lower Extremity Functional Scale, the Oswestry Disability Index, the Hip Outcome Score, the International Knee Documentation Committee Subjective Knee Evaluation Form, and the Foot and Ankle Ability Measure were applied for the validation purposes. Internal consistency, reliability, construct validity, and discriminant validity of the UWRI-Tr were tested., Results: The test-retest reliability of the UWRI-Tr was excellent with an intraclass correlation coefficient of .85 and a Cronbach α value of .84. There was a small to strong correlation among the UWRI-Tr and Lower Extremity Functional Scale (r = .278), Oswestry Disability Index (r = -.744), Hip Outcome Score (r = .684), The International Knee Documentation Committee Subjective Knee Evaluation Form (r = .758), and Foot and Ankle Ability Measure (r = .498 and .767), indicating that its construct validity was appropriate for use with Turkish runners., Conclusions: The UWRI-Tr was shown to be a valid and reliable tool to use in clinical and research settings as a sport-specific measurement tool.