1. Race adjustments in clinical algorithms can help correct for racial disparities in data quality.
- Author
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Zink, Anna, Obermeyer, Ziad, and Pierson, Emma
- Subjects
clinical algorithms ,colorectal cancer ,family history ,race adjustments ,Humans ,Algorithms ,Colorectal Neoplasms ,Male ,Female ,Middle Aged ,Data Accuracy ,White People ,Black or African American ,Risk Factors ,Aged ,Adult ,Cohort Studies ,Racial Groups ,Risk Assessment - Abstract
Despite ethical and historical arguments for removing race from clinical algorithms, the consequences of removal remain unclear. Here, we highlight a largely undiscussed consideration in this debate: varying data quality of input features across race groups. For example, family history of cancer is an essential predictor in cancer risk prediction algorithms but is less reliably documented for Black participants and may therefore be less predictive of cancer outcomes. Using data from the Southern Community Cohort Study, we assessed whether race adjustments could allow risk prediction models to capture varying data quality by race, focusing on colorectal cancer risk prediction. We analyzed 77,836 adults with no history of colorectal cancer at baseline. The predictive value of self-reported family history was greater for White participants than for Black participants. We compared two cancer risk prediction algorithms-a race-blind algorithm which included standard colorectal cancer risk factors but not race, and a race-adjusted algorithm which additionally included race. Relative to the race-blind algorithm, the race-adjusted algorithm improved predictive performance, as measured by goodness of fit in a likelihood ratio test (P-value:
- Published
- 2024