1. Disease Progression Modeling in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
- Author
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Barry J. Make, Venkata Bandi, Douglas Stinson, Ella A. Kazerooni, Harry B. Rossiter, Farnoush Banaei-Kashani, Xavier Soler, Arun C. Nachiappan, Paul J. Friedman, Karen M. Horton, Terri H. Beaty, Christine H. Wendt, Andrew Yen, Philip F. Judy, Ferdouse Begum, Jeffrey L. Curtis, Lystra P. Hayden, Joe W. Ramsdell, Peter J. Castaldi, Alejandro P. Comellas, Emily S. Wan, Susan Murray, Aladin M. Boriek, David Pace, Jessica Bon, Nadia N. Hansel, Chandra Dass, Marilyn G. Foreman, Neil R. MacIntyre, Kartik Shenoy, David A. Lynch, Brian D. Hobbs, Raúl San José Estépar, John D. Newell, Philip Alapat, Karin F. Hoth, Stephen M. Humphries, Robert M. Steiner, Alessandra Adami, R.P. Bowler, Parag Desai, Mustafa Al Qaisi, Anna Rozenshtein, Joel L. Weissfeld, Robert A. Wise, Nan M. Laird, Margaret M. Parker, Felix J. S. Bragman, Camille M. Moore, Abbie Begnaud, Allison A. Lambert, Elizabeth Guy, Michael R. Jacobs, Mario E. Ruiz, Dawn L. DeMeo, Sungho Won, Alex Kluiber, Amit D. Parulekar, John H. M. Austin, Nathaniel Marchetti, Dandi Qiao, Douglas Everett, Joseph H. Tashjian, Juerg Tschirren, Kendra A. Young, Adel Boueiz, James D. Crapo, Gregory L. Kinney, Richard Casaburi, Russell P. Bowler, Daniel C. Alexander, Francis Cordova, Craig P. Hersh, George R. Washko, H. Page McAdams, Amir Sharafkhaneh, A. James Mamary, J. Michael Wells, Lacey Washington, MeiLan K. Han, Mark T. Dransfield, Nirupama Putcha, Craig J. Galbán, Dmitry Prokopenko, Eric A. Hoffman, Gloria Westney, Katerina Kechris, Bojidar Rangelov, Carla Wilson, Charlene McEvoy, Divay Chandra, Edwin J R van Beek, Carlos H. Martinez, Kalpatha Guntupalli, Gregory D.N. Pearson, Diego Maselli-Caceres, James C. Ross, Katherine A. Pratte, Christoph Lange, David Ciccolella, Charlie Lan, R. Graham Barr, Phuwanat Sakornsakolpat, Aditi Satti, Irene Swift, Robert H. Brown, Hans Fischer, Victor Kim, Maria Elena Vega-Sanchez, Sandra G. Adams, Belinda D’Souza, Perry G. Pernicano, Bram van Ginneken, Hrudaya Nath, Byron Thomashow, Jim Crooks, Joanne Billings, Jered Sieren, Eitan Halper-Stromberg, Matthew J. Budoff, William C. Bailey, Eva M. van Rikxoort, Merry-Lynn McDonald, Francine L. Jacobson, Edwin K. Silverman, John E. Hokanson, Robert L. Jensen, John Hughes, Michael H. Cho, Alexandra L. Young, Steven G. Kelsen, Janos Porszasz, Jacqueline B. Hetmanski, Alex Swift, John R. Hurst, Elizabeth A. Regan, Anand S Iyer, Frank C. Sciurba, Mustafa A. Atik, Gerard J. Criner, Antonio Anzueto, Sharon M. Lutz, David J. Hawkes, Carl R. Fuhrman, William W. Stringer, Harvey O. Coxson, Berend C. Stoel, Eugene Berkowitz, Joyce D. Schroeder, Tadashi Allen, Surya P. Bhatt, Matthew Strand, Brad H. Thompson, Nicola A. Hanania, Brian Bell, Teresa Gray, Gilbert E. D'Alonzo, and Richard Rosiello
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Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Pulmonary disease ,Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine ,Machine Learning ,03 medical and health sciences ,Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Aged ,COPD ,business.industry ,Disease progression ,Editorials ,Original Articles ,Middle Aged ,Models, Theoretical ,respiratory system ,medicine.disease ,respiratory tract diseases ,030228 respiratory system ,Disease Progression ,Bronchitis ,Female ,Ct imaging ,business ,Tomography, X-Ray Computed ,Rare cancers Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 9] - Abstract
Contains fulltext : 220761.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Open Access) Rationale: The decades-long progression of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) renders identifying different trajectories of disease progression challenging.Objectives: To identify subtypes of patients with COPD with distinct longitudinal progression patterns using a novel machine-learning tool called "Subtype and Stage Inference" (SuStaIn) and to evaluate the utility of SuStaIn for patient stratification in COPD.Methods: We applied SuStaIn to cross-sectional computed tomography imaging markers in 3,698 Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1-4 patients and 3,479 controls from the COPDGene (COPD Genetic Epidemiology) study to identify subtypes of patients with COPD. We confirmed the identified subtypes and progression patterns using ECLIPSE (Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints) data. We assessed the utility of SuStaIn for patient stratification by comparing SuStaIn subtypes and stages at baseline with longitudinal follow-up data.Measurements and Main Results: We identified two trajectories of disease progression in COPD: a "Tissue-->Airway" subtype (n = 2,354, 70.4%), in which small airway dysfunction and emphysema precede large airway wall abnormalities, and an "Airway-->Tissue" subtype (n = 988, 29.6%), in which large airway wall abnormalities precede emphysema and small airway dysfunction. Subtypes were reproducible in ECLIPSE. Baseline stage in both subtypes correlated with future FEV1/FVC decline (r = -0.16 [P < 0.001] in the Tissue-->Airway group; r = -0.14 [P = 0.011] in the Airway-->Tissue group). SuStaIn placed 30% of smokers with normal lung function at elevated stages, suggesting imaging changes consistent with early COPD. Individuals with early changes were 2.5 times more likely to meet COPD diagnostic criteria at follow-up.Conclusions: We demonstrate two distinct patterns of disease progression in COPD using SuStaIn, likely representing different endotypes. One third of healthy smokers have detectable imaging changes, suggesting a new biomarker of "early COPD."
- Published
- 2020