Search

Your search keyword '"Boult, Victoria L."' showing total 17 results
Start Over Author "Boult, Victoria L."
17 results on '"Boult, Victoria L."'

2. Using co-production to improve the appropriate use of sub-seasonal forecasts in Africa

Author

Hirons, Linda, Thompson, Elisabeth, Dione, Cheikh, Indasi, Victor S., Kilavi, Mary, Nkiaka, Elias, Talib, Joshua, Visman, Emma, Adefisan, Elijah A., de Andrade, Felipe, Ashong, Jesse, Mwesigwa, Jasper Batureine, Boult, Victoria L., Diédhiou, Tidiane, Konte, Oumar, Gudoshava, Masilin, Kiptum, Chris, Amoah, Richmond Konadu, Lamptey, Benjamin, Lawal, Kamoru Abiodun, Muita, Richard, Nzekwu, Richard, Nying'uro, Patricia, Ochieng, Willis, Olaniyan, Eniola, Opoku, Nana Kofi, Endris, Hussen Seid, Segele, Zewdu, Igri, Pascal Moudi, Mwangi, Emmah, and Woolnough, Steve

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

9. Progress and Challenges of Demand-Led Co-Produced Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Climate Forecasts in Nigeria

Author

Lawal, Kamoru A., primary, Olaniyan, Eniola, additional, Ishiyaku, Ibrahim, additional, Hirons, Linda C., additional, Thompson, Elisabeth, additional, Talib, Joshua, additional, Boult, Victoria L., additional, Ogungbenro, Stephen Bunmi, additional, Gbode, Imoleayo Ezekiel, additional, Ajayi, Vincent Olanrewaju, additional, Okogbue, Emmanuel Chilekwu, additional, Adefisan, Elijah A., additional, Indasi, Victor S., additional, Youds, Lorraine, additional, Nkiaka, Elias, additional, Stone, Dáithí A., additional, Nzekwu, Richard, additional, Folorunso, Olusegun, additional, Oyedepo, John A., additional, New, Mark G., additional, and Woolnough, Steve J., additional

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

10. Progress and challenges of demand-led co-produced sub-seasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) climate forecasts in Nigeria

Author

Lawal, Kamoru A., Olaniyan, Eniola, Ishiyaku, Ibrahim, Hirons, Linda C., Thompson, Elisabeth, Talib, Joshua, Boult, Victoria L., Ogungbenro, Stephen Bunmi, Gbode, Imoleayo Ezekiel, Ajayi, Vincent Olanrewaju, Okogbue, Emmanuel Chilekwu, Adefisan, Elijah A., Indasi, Victor S., Youds, Lorraine, Nkiaka, Elias, Stone, Daithi A., Nzekwu, Richard, Folorunso, Olusegun, Oyedepo, John A., New, Mark G., Woolnough, Steve J., Lawal, Kamoru A., Olaniyan, Eniola, Ishiyaku, Ibrahim, Hirons, Linda C., Thompson, Elisabeth, Talib, Joshua, Boult, Victoria L., Ogungbenro, Stephen Bunmi, Gbode, Imoleayo Ezekiel, Ajayi, Vincent Olanrewaju, Okogbue, Emmanuel Chilekwu, Adefisan, Elijah A., Indasi, Victor S., Youds, Lorraine, Nkiaka, Elias, Stone, Daithi A., Nzekwu, Richard, Folorunso, Olusegun, Oyedepo, John A., New, Mark G., and Woolnough, Steve J.

Abstract

This paper identifies fundamental issues which prevent the effective uptake of climate information services in Nigeria. We propose solutions which involve the extension of short-range (1 to 5 days) forecasts beyond that of medium-range (7 to 15 days) timescales through the operational use of current forecast data as well as improve collaboration and communication with forecast users. Using newly available data to provide seamless operational forecasts from short-term to sub-seasonal timescales, we examine evidence to determine if effective demand-led sub-seasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) climate forecasts can be co-produced. This evidence involves: itemization of forecast products delivered to stakeholders, with their development methodology; enumeration of inferences of forecast products and their influences on decisions taken by stakeholders; user-focused discussions of improvements on co-produced products; and the methods of evaluating the performance of the forecast products. We find that extending the production pipeline of short-range forecast timescales beyond the medium-range, such that the medium-range forecast timescales can be fed into existing tools for applying short-range forecasts, assisted in mitigating the risks of sub-seasonal climate variability on socio-economic activities in Nigeria. We also find that enhancing of collaboration and communication channels between the producers and the forecast product users helps to: enhance the development of user-tailored impact-based forecasts; increases users' trusts in the forecasts; and, seamlessly improves forecast evaluations. In general, these measures lead to more smooth delivery and increase in uptake of climate information services in Nigeria.

Published
2021

17. Modelling large herbivore movement decisions: Beyond food availability as a predictor of ranging patterns.

Author

Boult, Victoria L., Sibly, Richard M., Quaife, Tristan, Fishlock, Vicki, Moss, Cynthia, and Lee, Phyllis C.

Subjects
*HERBIVORES, *AFRICAN elephant, *ELEPHANTS, *ECOSYSTEMS, *HABITATS, *DECISION making
Abstract

The ability of animals to adapt to their changing environment will depend in part on shifts in their ranging patterns, but when and why individuals choose to move requires detailed understanding of their decision‐making processes. We develop a simple decision‐making model accounting for resource availability in habitually used ranges. We suggest that disparities between model predictions and animal tracking data indicate additional factors influencing movement decisions, which may be identified given detailed system‐specific knowledge. The model was evaluated using movement data from satellite‐tracked elephants (Loxodonta africana) inhabiting the Amboseli basin in Kenya, moving from savannah areas with low quality but constant resource availability, to areas with temporally constrained higher nutrient availability. Overall, the model fits the data well: There was a good correlation between predicted and observed locations for the combined data from all elephants, but variation between individuals in how well the model fits. For those elephants where model predictions were less successful, additional factors likely to affect movement decisions, including reproduction, anthropogenic threats, memory and perception are suggested. This protocol for building and testing decision‐making models should contribute to success in attempts to preserve sufficient space for large herbivores in their increasingly human‐dominated ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2019
Full Text
View/download PDF

Catalog

Books, media, physical & digital resources
See catalog results