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Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) holds promise as a biomarker for guiding adjuvant treatment decisions in solid tumors. This review systematically assembles ongoing and published trials investigating ctDNA-directed adjuvant treatment strategies. A total of 57 phase II/III trials focusing on ctDNA in minimal residual disease (MRD) detection were identified, with a notable increase in initiation over recent years. Most trials target stage II or III colon/colorectal cancer, followed by breast cancer and non-small cell lung cancer. Trial methodologies vary, with some randomizing ctDNA-positive patients between standard-of-care (SoC) treatment and intensified regimens, while others aim to de-escalate therapy in ctDNA-negative patients. Challenges in trial design include the need for randomized controlled trials to establish clinical utility for ctDNA, ensuring adherence to standard treatment in control arms, and addressing the ethical dilemma of withholding treatment in high-risk ctDNA-positive patients. Longitudinal ctDNA surveillance emerges as a strategy to improve sensitivity for recurrence, particularly in less proliferative tumor types. However, ctDNA as longitudinal marker is often not validated yet. Ultimately, designing effective ctDNA interventional trials requires careful consideration of feasibility, meaningful outcomes, and potential impact on patient care.

Purpose: HER2 overexpressing circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are observed in up to 25% of HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer patients. Since targeted anti-HER2 therapy has drastically improved clinical outcomes of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer, we hypothesized that patients with HER2 overexpressing CTCs might benefit from the addition of trastuzumab to chemotherapy. Methods: In this single-arm, phase II trial, patients with HER2-positive CTCs received trastuzumab as addition to first-line treatment with taxane chemotherapy. Patients with detectable CTCs but without HER2 overexpression that received taxane chemotherapy only, were used as control group. The primary outcome measure was progression-free rate at 6 months (PFR6), with a target of 80%. In November 2022, the study was terminated early due to slow patient accrual. Results: 63 patients were screened, of which eight patients had HER2-positive CTCs and were treated with trastuzumab. The median number of CTCs was 15 per 7.5 ml of blood (range 1–131) in patients with HER2-positive CTCs, compared to median 5 (range 1–1047) in the control group. PFR6 was 50% in the trastuzumab group and 54% in the taxane monotherapy group, with no significant difference in median PFS (8 versus 9 months, p = 0.51). Conclusion: No clinical benefit of trastuzumab was observed, although this study was performed in a limited number of patients. Additionally, we observed a strong correlation between the number of evaluable CTCs and the presence of HER2-positive CTCs. We argue that randomized studies investigating agents that are proven to be solely effective in the HER2-positive patient group in patients with HER2-positive CTCs and HER2-negative tissue are currently infeasible. Several factors contribute to this impracticality, including the need for more stringent thresholds, and the rapidly evolving landscape of cancer treatments.

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Mutations in the estrogen receptor gene (ESR1), its transcriptional regulators, and the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway are enriched in patients with endocrine-resistant metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Here, we integrated whole genome sequencing with RNA sequencing data from the same samples of 101 ER-positive/HER2-negative MBC patients who underwent a tumor biopsy prior to the start of a new line of treatment for MBC (CPCT-02 study, NCT01855477) to analyze the downstream effects of DNA alterations previously linked to endocrine resistance, thereby gaining a better understanding of the associated mechanisms. Hierarchical clustering was performed using expression of ESR1 target genes. Genomic alterations at the DNA level, gene expression levels, and last administered therapy were compared between the identified clusters. Hierarchical clustering revealed two distinct clusters, one of which was characterized by increased expression of ESR1 and its target genes. Samples in this cluster were significantly enriched for mutations in ESR1 and amplifications in FGFR1 and TSPYL. Patients in the other cluster showed relatively lower expression levels of ESR1 and its target genes, comparable to ER-negative samples, and more often received endocrine therapy as their last treatment before biopsy. Genes in the MAPK-pathway, including NF1, and ESR1 transcriptional regulators were evenly distributed. In conclusion, RNA sequencing identified a subgroup of patients with clear expression of ESR1 and its downstream targets, probably still benefiting from ER-targeting agents. The lower ER expression in the other subgroup might be partially explained by ER activity still being blocked by recently administered endocrine treatment, indicating that biopsy timing relative to endocrine treatment needs to be considered when interpreting transcriptomic data.

ESR1 methylation was proposed as mechanism for endocrine resistance in metastatic breast cancer patients. To evaluate its potential as a minimally invasive biomarker, we investigated the feasibility of measuring ESR1 methylation in cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and its association with endocrine resistance. First, we provided evidence that demethylation in vitro restores ER expression. Subsequently, we found that ESR1 methylation in cfDNA was not enriched in endocrine-resistant versus endocrine-sensitive patients. Interestingly, we found a correlation between ESR1 methylation and age. Publicly available data confirm an age-related increase in ESR1 methylation in leukocytes, confounding the determination of the ESR1 methylation status of tumors using cfDNA.