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Background: The aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for 10-year overall survival (OS) after resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) based on patient, tumour and treatment characteristics. Methods: Consecutive patients after complete resection of CRLM were included from two centres (1992-2019). A prediction model providing 10-year OS probabilities was developed using Cox regression analysis, including KRAS, BRAF and histopathological growth patterns. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using cross-validation. A web-based calculator was built to predict individual 10-year OS probabilities. Results: A total of 4112 patients were included. The estimated 10-year OS was 30% (95% CI 29 -32). Fifteen patient, tumour and treatment characteristics were independent prognostic factors for 10-year OS; age, gender, location and nodal status of the primary tumour, disease-free interval, number and diameter of CRLM, preoperative CEA, resection margin, extrahepatic disease, KRAS and BRAF mutation status, histopathological growth patterns, perioperative systemic chemotherapy and hepatic arterial infusion pump chemotherapy. The discrimination at 10-years was 0.73 for both centres. A simplified risk score identified four risk groups with a 10-year OS of 57%, 38%, 24%, and 12%. Conclusions: Ten-year OS after resection of CRLM is best predicted with a model including 15 patient, tumour, and treatment characteristics. The web-based calculator can be used to inform patients. This model serves as a benchmark to determine the prognostic value of novel biomarkers. (C) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Background The practice of adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) varies widely. This meta-analysis investigates the effectiveness of adjuvant HAIC and the influence of variations in HAIC treatment in patients with resected CRLM. Methods PRISMA guidelines were followed for this study. The search was limited to comparative studies (HAIC vs non-HAIC) for overall survival. Subgroup meta-analyses using random-effects were performed for type of intra-arterial drug, method of catheter insertion, use of concomitant adjuvant systemic chemotherapy, and study design. Results Eighteen eligible studies were identified. After excluding overlapping cohorts, fifteen studies were included in the quantitative analysis, corresponding to 3,584 patients. HAIC was associated with an improved overall survival (pooled hazard ratio (HR) 0.77; 95%CI 0.64-0.93). Survival benefit of HAIC was most pronounced in studies using floxuridine (HR 0.76; 95%CI: 0.62-0.94), surgical catheter insertion with subcutaneous pump (HR 0.71; 95%CI: 0.61-0.84), and concomitant adjuvant systemic chemotherapy (HR 0.75; 95%CI: 0.59-0.96). The pooled HR of RCTs was 0.91 (95%CI 0.72-1.14), of which only 3 used floxuridine. Discussion Adjuvant HAIC is a promising treatment for patients with resectable CRLM, in particular HAIC with floxuridine using a surgically placed catheter and a subcutaneous pump, and concomitant systemic chemotherapy.

Background Many prognostic models for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) have been developed to inform patients and doctors about individual prognosis. Previous reviews of these models were qualitative and did not assess performance at external validation. We assessed the performance of prognostic models for HCC and set a benchmark for biomarker studies. Methods All externally validated models predicting survival for patients with resected HCC were systematically reviewed. After selection, we extracted descriptive statistics and aggregated c-indices using meta-analysis. Results Thirty-eight validated prognostic models were included. Models used on average 7 (IQR:4–9) prognostic factors. Tumor size, tumor number, and vascular invasion were almost always included. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was commonly incorporated since 2007. Recently, the more subjective items ascites and encephalopathy have been dropped. Eight established models performed poor to moderate at external validation, with a pooled C-index below 0.7; including the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition, the Cancer of the Liver Italian (CLIP) Program, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score. Out of 24 prognostic models predicting OS, only 6 (25%) had good performance at external validation with pooled C-indices above 0.7; the Li-post (0.77), Li-OS (0.74), Yang-pre (0.74), Yang-post (0.76), Shanghai-score (0.70), and Wang-nomogram (0.71). Models improved over time, but overall performance and study quality remained low. Conclusions Six validated prognostic models demonstrated good performance for predicting survival after resection of HCC. These models can guide patients and doctors and are a benchmark for future models incorporating novel biomarkers.

Background Sarcopenia is defined as either low pre-operative muscle mass or low muscle density on abdominal CT imaging. It has been associated with worse short-term outcomes after surgery for colorectal liver metastases. This study aimed to evaluate whether sarcopenia also impacts long-term survival outcomes in these patients. Methods A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted following the PRISMA guidelines. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) outcomes were evaluated. Results Eleven studies were included, ten reporting on the impact of low muscle mass and four on low muscle density. Sample sizes ranged between 47 and 539 (2124 patients in total). Altogether, 897 (42%) patients were considered sarcopenic, although definitions varied between studies. Median follow-up was 21–74 months. Low muscle mass (hazard ration (HR) 1.35, 95%CI 1.08–1.68) and low muscle density (HR 1.97, 95%CI 1.07–3.62) were associated with impaired OS. Low muscle mass (pooled HR 1.17, 95%CI 0.94–1.46) and low muscle density (pooled HR 1.13, 95%CI 0.85–1.50) were not associated with impaired RFS. Discussion Sarcopenia is associated with poorer OS, but not RFS, in patients with CRLM. Additional studies with standardized sarcopenia definitions are needed to better assess the impact of sarcopenia in patients with CRLM.

Histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) are a reliable, reproducible, and strong prognostic biomarker that can be assessed on haematoxylin and eosin-stained sections of resected colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Assessment estimates the relative fraction of the tumour–liver interface for each of the three growth patterns; the desmoplastic HGP reflects good prognosis. Whether preoperative chemotherapy affects the HGP is currently unclear. The present international multicentre study evaluates this in an original cohort of 877 consecutive patients treated in the Netherlands, an external validation cohort of 1,203 consecutive patients treated in the USA, and a post hoc analysis from the phase III randomised controlled European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 40983 trial (n = 70). All patients underwent resection of CRLM with or without preoperative systemic chemotherapy. Trial patients were randomised between perioperative chemotherapy and resection or resection alone. HGPs were determined according to consensus guidelines and compared for preoperative treatment status. Data from three separate tumour regression grading systems were available for the trial cohort. These were correlated with HGP stratified for treatment arm. In the original cohort, the average presence of desmoplastic HGP was 43% for chemo-naïve versus 67% for preoperatively treated patients (p < 0.001). A significant association between chemotherapy and desmoplastic HGP was found on multivariable analysis (β [95% confidence interval, CI]: 24.57 [18.28–30.87], p < 0.001). In the validation cohort, the average presence of desmoplastic HGP was 40% for chemo-naïve versus 63% for preoperatively treated patients (p < 0.001). This association remained on multivariable analysis (β [95% CI]: 24.18 [18.70–29.66], p < 0.001). In the EORTC 40983 trial, the average desmoplastic HGP presence was 33% in the resection arm versus 61% in the chemotherapy arm (p = 0.005). Chemotherapy was independently associated with an increase in desmoplastic HGP (β [95% CI]: 23.29 [1.78–44.79], p = 0.022). All three tumour regression gradings were significantly associated with the desmoplastic HGP in the chemotherapy arm (all p < 0.04). None were associated in the resection arm (all p > 0.11). Preoperative chemotherapy induces histopathological changes that alter the HGP of CRLM.

Background : This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of intensive follow-up after curative intent treatment for five common solid tumours, in terms of survival and treatment of recurrences. Methods : A systematic literature search was conducted, identifying comparative studies on follow-up for colorectal, lung, breast, upper gastro-intestinal and prostate cancer. Outcomes of interest were overall survival (OS), cancer specific survival (CSS), and treatment of recurrences. Random effects meta-analyses were conducted, with particular focus on studies at low risk of bias. Results : Fourteen out of 63 studies were considered to be at low risk of bias (8 colorectal, 4 breast, 0 lung, 1 upper gastro-intestinal, 1 prostate). These studies showed no significant impact of intensive follow-up on OS (hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval) for colorectal (0.99; 0.92–1.06), breast 1.06 (0.92–1.23), upper gastro-intestinal (0.78; 0.51–1.19) and prostate cancer (1.00; 0.86–1.16). No impact on CSS (hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval) was found for colorectal cancer (0.94; 0.77–1.16). CSS was not reported for other cancer types. Intensive follow-up increased the rate of curative treatment (relative risk; 95% confidence interval) for colorectal cancer recurrences (1.30; 1.05–1.61), but not for upper gastro-intestinal cancer recurrences (0.92; 0.47–1.81). For the other cancer types, no data on treatment of recurrences was available in low risk studies. Conclusion : For colorectal and breast cancer, high quality studies do not suggest an impact of intensive follow-up strategies on survival. Colorectal cancer recurrences are more often treated locally after intensive follow-up. For other cancer types evaluated, limited high quality research on follow-up is available.

Background The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the performance of prognostic survival models for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) when validated in an external dataset. Furthermore, it sought to identify common prognostic factors across models, and assess methodological quality of the studies in which the models were developed. Methods The PRISMA guidelines were followed. External validation studies of prognostic models for patients with iCCA were searched in 5 databases. Model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration. Results Thirteen external validation studies were identified, validating 18 different prognostic models. The Wang model was the sole model with good performance (C-index above 0.70) for overall survival. This model incorporated tumor size and number, lymph node metastasis, direct invasion into surrounding tissue, vascular invasion, Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Methodological quality was poor in 11/12 statistical models. The Wang model had the highest score with 13 out of 17 points. Conclusion The Wang model for prognosis after resection of iCCA has good quality and good performance at external validation, while most prognostic models for iCCA have been developed with poor methodological quality and show poor performance at external validation.

BACKGROUND: The objective was to investigate the impact of adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion pump (HAIP) chemotherapy on the rates and patterns of recurrence and survival in patients with resected colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).METHODS: Recurrence rates, patterns, and survival were compared between patients treated with and without adjuvant HAIP using competing risk analyses.RESULTS: 2128 patients were included, of which 601 patients (28.2%) received adjuvant HAIP and systemic chemotherapy (HAIP + SYS). The overall recurrence rate was similar with HAIP + SYS or SYS (63.5% versus 64.2%,p = 0.74). The 5-year cumulative incidence of initial intrahepatic recurrences was lower with HAIP + SYS (22.9% versus 38.4%,p < 0.001). The 5-year cumulative incidence of initial extrahepatic recurrences was higher with HAIP + SYS (48.5% versus 40.3%,p = 0.005), because patients remained at risk for extrahepatic recurrence in the absence of intrahepatic recurrence, which was largely attributable to more pulmonary recurrences with HAIP + SYS (33.6% versus 23.7%,p < 0.001). HAIP was an independent prognostic factor for DFS (adjusted HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.60-0.79, p < 0.001), and OS (adjusted HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.57-0.78,p < 0.001).CONCLUSION: Adjuvant HAIP chemotherapy is associated with lower intrahepatic recurrence rates and better DFS and OS after resection of CRLM.

BACKGROUND: Histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) may be an expression of biological tumour behaviour impacting the risk of positive resection margins. The current study aimed to investigate whether non-desmoplastic growth pattern (non-dHGP) is associated with a higher risk of positive resection margins after resection of CRLM. METHODS: All patients treated surgically for CRLM between January 2000 and March 2015 at the Erasmus MC Cancer Institute and between January 2000 and December 2012 at the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center were considered for inclusion. Positive resection margin (R1) was defined as tumour cells at the resection margin. RESULTS: Of all patients (n=1302) included for analysis, 13% (n=170) had positive resection margins. Factors independently associated with positive resection margins were the non-dHGP (odds ratio (OR): 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-2.87, p=0.016) and a greater number of CRLM (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.08-1.23 p

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the impact of perioperative systemic chemotherapy on the recurrence rate and pattern following resection of colorectal liver metastases.METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in two centers. Rates and patterns of recurrence and overall survival (OS) were compared between patients treated with and without perioperative systemic chemotherapy. The clinical risk score (CRS) was used to stratify patients in low risk (CRS 0-2) and high risk (CRS 3-5) of recurrence.RESULTS: A total of 2020 patients were included, of whom 1442 (71%) received perioperative systemic chemotherapy. The median follow-up was 88 months, and 1289 patients (64%) developed a recurrence. The recurrence pattern was independent of chemotherapy in low-risk patients: intrahepatic recurrences (30% vs. 30%, p = 0.97) and extrahepatic recurrences (38% vs. 39%, p = 0.52). In high-risk patients, no difference in intrahepatic recurrences was found (48% vs. 50%, p = 0.59). However, a lower rate of extrahepatic recurrences (43% vs. 55%, p = 0.007) was observed with perioperative systemic chemotherapy, mainly due to a reduction in pulmonary recurrences (25% vs. 35%, p = 0.007). In competing risk analysis, the cumulative incidence of extrahepatic recurrence was significantly lower with perioperative systemic chemotherapy in high-risk patients only (5-year cumulative incidence 44% vs. 59%, p CONCLUSIONS: Perioperative systemic chemotherapy had no association with intrahepatic recurrence, but was associated with fewer pulmonary recurrences and superior OS in high-risk patients only.

Introduction: Recurrence risk after curative surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains high, underlining the need for novel prognostic markers. Liquid biopsies provide promising biomarkers to detect minimal residual disease (MRD) after local treatment. The aim of this study was to determine and compare the characteristics of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in liquid biopsies taken before and after surgical treatment of CRLM. Materials & Methods: Patients with isolated CRLM were recruited before undergoing potentially curative hepatic resection. Only patients who did not receive per-operative chemotherapy were selected. Peripheral blood samples were collected in CellSave preservative tubes at four different time points and processed into plasma within 96 hours after withdrawal. Subsequently, cfDNA was isolated from 4mL plasma, in which the total cfDNA concentration was measured. Mutations characterizing ctDNA were determined before surgery by next generation sequencing (NGS) using a colon-specific targeted panel (Oncomine Colon cfDNA assay, 14 genes). Samples were sequenced at >20.000 average reads depth and variants were called mutations when the variant allele frequency was above their predefined limit of detection. Longitudinal blood samples of ctDNA-positive patients were evaluated by digital PCR (dPCR) using mutation-specific assays, in which samples were considered ctDNA positive when >5 mutant copies were detected. Results: Blood samples of 231 patients were collected one day before surgery (T0), and were repeated one day (T1), one week (T2), and three weeks (T3) after surgery. The cfDNA yields per mL plasma were higher at T1 and T2 (median 93 ng and 64 ng, respectively) compared to T0 (6 ng, p Discussion/Conclusion: ctDNA is a potential biomarker to detect MRD after curative treatment for CRLM. Our results demonstrate that out of all patients with detectable ctDNA at baseline (before surgery), ctDNA is still present in 36% of patients three weeks after resection. Citation Format: Lissa Wullaert, Maurice P. Jansen, Jaco Kraan, Jan M. van Rees, Corine M. Beaufort, Yannick M. Meyer, Boris Galjart, Pieter M. Nierop, Florian E. Buisman, Diederik J. Höppener, Erik P. van der Stok, Gianmarco Motta, Dirk J. Grünhagen, Henk M. Verheul, Stefan Sleijfer, Saskia M. Wilting, Cornelis Verhoef, John W. Martens. Circulating tumor DNA in colorectal cancer patients with resectable liver metastases: Preliminary results of the MIRACLE study. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 5715.

BACKGROUND: Regrowth after ablation is common, but predictive factors for local control are scarce. This study investigates whether histopathological growth patterns (HGP) can be used as a predictive biomarker for local control after ablation of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).METHODS: Patients who received simultaneous resection and ablation as first treatment for CRLM between 2000 and 2019 were considered eligible. HGPs were determined on resected CRLM according to international guidelines and were classified as desmoplastic or non-desmoplastic. As minimal inter-tumoural heterogeneity has been demonstrated, the HGP of resected and ablated CRLM were presumed to be identical. Local tumour progression (LTP) was assessed on postoperative surveillance imaging. Uni- and multivariable competing risk methods were used to compare LTP.RESULTS: In total 221 patients with 443 ablated tumours were analysed. A desmoplastic HGP was found in 60 (27.1%) patients who had a total of 159 (34.7%) ablated lesions. Five-year LTP [95%CI] was significantly higher for ablated CRLM with a presumed non-desmoplastic HGP (37% [30-43] vs 24% [17-32], Gray's-test p = 0.014). On multivariable analysis, a non-desmoplastic HGP (adjusted HR [95%CI]; 1.55 [1.03-2.35]) was independently associated with higher LTP rates after ablation.CONCLUSION: HGP is an independent predictor of local tumour progression following ablation of CRLM.

BACKGROUND: Distinct Histopathological Growth Patterns can be identified in liver metastases from melanoma, breast and colorectal cancers. For each of these distinct liver metastasis types the HGP has proven a biomarker for survival after partial hepatectomy, with the desmoplastic type marking favourable prognosis. Whether HGPs can be considered a pan-cancer phenomenon remains unknown. This study therefore evaluates the presence of HGPs and their prognostic value across non-colorectal non-neuroendocrine liver metastases.METHODS: A retrospective multicentre cohort study was performed in patients who underwent curative intent resection of non-colorectal non-neuroendocrine liver metastasis. HGPs were assessed on Haematoxylin and Eosin slides according to consensus guidelines and classified as desmoplastic or non-desmoplastic. Overall- and recurrence-free survival were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analysis.RESULTS: In total, 132 patients with liver metastasis from 25 different tumour types were eligible for analysis, of which 26 (20%) had a desmoplastic HGP. Five-year OS and RFS (95%CI) were 53% (36-78%) versus 40% (30-53%), and 33% (19-61%) versus 15% (9-27%) for patients with desmoplastic compared to non-desmoplastic metastases, respectively (p = 0.031 & p = 0.004). On multivariable analysis (adjusted HR [95%CI]) a desmoplastic HGP was prognostic for both OS (0.46 [0.25-0.86]) and RFS (0.38 [0.21-0.69]).CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that HGPs apply to liver metastases across a wide variety of primary tumour origins. They hold a prognostic value in these cases, suggesting that HGPs could represent a pan-cancer biomarker for survival after surgical resection of liver metastases.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is associated with impaired short- and long-term outcomes in gastrointestinal cancers. Whether sarcopenia is associated with impaired survival after local therapy of Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases (CRLM) remains controversial. This study aimed to determine the influence of sarcopenia on long-term outcomes after curative-intent therapy for CRLM.METHODS: Patients undergoing local therapy for CRLM between 2003 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed using the skeletal muscle index at the level of the third lumbar vertebra as an indicator of sarcopenia. Factors associated with overall (OS) and disease-free (DFS) survival were analyzed using univariable and multivariable cox regression.RESULTS: In total 213/465 patients (46%) were considered sarcopenic. Sarcopenic patients had no impaired 5-year OS or DFS compared to non-sarcopenic patients, 38% vs 44% (p = 0.153) and 19 vs 23% (p = 0.339) respectively. Sarcopenia was not associated with impaired OS (HR = 1.11, 95%CI = 0.85-1.46, p = 0.43) or DFS (HR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.77-1.28, p = 0.96) in multivariable analysis. There were no significant differences in postoperative complications (p = 0.47), the incidence (p = 0.65) and treatment (p = 0.37) of recurrent metastases. Five-year OS after resection for recurrences was 14% (sarcopenic) and 22% (non-sarcopenic) p 0.716.CONCLUSION: Sarcopenia assessed by computed tomography was not associated with impaired survival outcomes in the group of CRLM patients overall.

BACKGROUND: Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and synchronous liver metastases (sRLM) can be treated according to the liver-first approach. This study aimed to evaluate prognostic factors for completing treatment and in how many patients extensive lower pelvic surgery might have been omitted.METHODS: Retrospective analysis of all patients with LARC and sRLM treated at the Erasmus MC Cancer Institute according to the liver-first between 2003 and 2016.RESULTS: In total 129 consecutive patients were included. In 90 patients (70%) the liver-first was completed. Ten patients had a (near) complete response (ypT0-1N0) of their primary tumour. In 36 out of 39 patients not completing the liver-first protocol palliative rectum resection was withheld. Optimal cut-offs for CEA level (53.15 μg/L), size (3.85 cm) and number (4) of RLMs were identified. A preoperative CEA level above 53.15 μg/L was an independent predictor for non-completion of the liver-first protocol (p = 0.005).CONCLUSION: Ten patients had a (near) complete response of their primary tumour and, in retrospect, rectum sparing therapies could have been considered. Together with 36 patient in whom palliative rectum resection was not necessary this entails that nearly 40% patients with LARC and sRLM might be spared major pelvic surgery if the liver-first approach is applied. A predictor (CEA) was found for non-completion of the liver-first protocol. The majority of patients underwent resection of both primary tumour and hepatic metastasis with curative intent. These findings together entail that the liver-first approach may be considered in patients with LARC and sRLM.

Background The prognostic implication of mutant KRAS (mKRAS) among patients with primary disease in the rectum remains unknown. Methods From 2000 to 2018, patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases at 10 collaborating international institutions with documented KRAS status were surveyed. Results A total of 834 (65.8%) patients with primary colon cancer and 434 (34.2%) patients with primary rectal cancer were included. In patients with primary colon cancer, mKRAS served as a reliable prognostic biomarker of poor overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% CI 1.28-1.95) in the multivariable analysis. Although a trend towards significance was noted, mKRAS was not found to be an independent predictor of OS in patients with primary rectal tumors (HR 1.34, 95% CI 0.98-1.80). For colon cancer, the specific codon impacted in mKRAS appears to reflect underlying disease biology and oncologic outcomes, with codon 13 being associated with particularly poor OS in patients with left-sided tumors (codon 12, HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.22-1.99; codon 13, HR 2.10 95% CI 1.43-3.08;). Stratifying the rectal patient population by codon mutation did not confer prognostic significance following hepatectomy. Conclusions While the left-sided colonic disease is frequently grouped with rectal disease, our analysis suggests that there exist fundamental biologic differences that drive disparate outcomes. Although there was a trend toward significance of KRAS mutations for patients with primary rectal cancers, it failed to achieve statistical significance.

Background After resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM), 2 main histopathological growth patterns can be observed: a desmoplastic and a nondesmoplastic subtype. The desmoplastic subtype has been associated with superior survival. These findings require external validation. Methods An international multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted in patients treated surgically for CRLM at 3 tertiary hospitals in the United States and the Netherlands. Determination of histopathological growth patterns was performed on hematoxylin and eosin–stained sections of resected CRLM according to international guidelines. Patients displaying a desmoplastic histopathological phenotype (only desmoplastic growth observed) were compared with patients with a nondesmoplastic phenotype (any nondesmoplastic growth observed). Cutoff analyses on the extent of nondesmoplastic growth were performed. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox analysis. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results In total 780 patients were eligible. A desmoplastic phenotype was observed in 19.1% and was associated with microsatellite instability (14.6% vs 3.6%, P = .01). Desmoplastic patients had superior 5-year OS (73.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 64.1% to 84.0% vs 44.2%, 95% CI = 38.9% to 50.2%, P .1). Conclusions This external validation study confirms the remarkably good prognosis after surgery for CRLM in patients with a desmoplastic phenotype. The extent of nondesmoplastic growth does not affect prognosis.

Purpose This population-based study determined the cumulative incidence (CI) of local, regional, and distant recurrences, examined metastatic patterns, and identified risk factors for recurrence after curative treatment for CRC. Methods All patients undergoing resection for pathological stage I–III CRC between January 2015 and July 2015 and registered in the Netherlands Cancer Registry were selected (N = 5412). Additional patient record review and data collection on recurrences was conducted by trained administrators in 2019. Three-year CI of recurrence was calculated according to sublocation (right-sided: RCC, left-sided: LCC and rectal cancer: RC) and stage. Cox competing risk regression analyses were used to identify risk factors for recurrence. Results The 3-year CI of recurrence for stage I, II, and III RCC and LCC was 0.03 vs. 0.03, 0.12 vs. 0.16, and 0.31 vs. 0.24, respectively. The 3-year CI of recurrence for stage I, II, and III RC was 0.08, 0.24, and 0.38. Distant metastases were found in 14, 12, and 16% of patients with RCC, LCC, and RC. Multiple site metastases were found often in patients with RCC, LCC, and RC (42 vs. 32 vs. 28%). Risk factors for recurrence in stage I–II CRC were age 65–74 years, pT4 tumor size, and poor tumor differentiation whereas in stage III CRC, these were ASA III, pT4 tumor size, N2, and poor tumor differentiation. Conclusions Recurrence rates in recently treated patients with CRC were lower than reported in the literature and the metastatic pattern and recurrence risks varied between anatomical sublocations.

Background In patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), distinct histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) develop at the interface between the tumour and surrounding tissue. The desmoplastic (d) HGP is characterised by angiogenesis and a peripheral fibrotic rim, whereas non-angiogenic HGPs co-opt endogenous sinusoidal hepatic vasculature. Evidence from previous studies has suggested that patients with dHGP in their CRLM have improved prognosis as compared to patients with non-desmoplastic HGPs. However, these studies were relatively small and applied arbitrary cut-off values for the determination of the predominant HGP. We have now investigated the prognostic effect of dHGP in a large cohort of patients with CRLM resected either with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods All consecutive patients undergoing a first partial hepatectomy for CRLM between 2000 and 2015 at a tertiary referral centre were considered for inclusion. HGPs were assessed in archival H&E stained slides according to recently published international consensus guidelines. The dHGP was defined as desmoplastic growth being present in 100% of the interface between the tumour and surrounding liver. Results In total, HGPs in CRLMs from 732 patients were assessed. In the chemo-naive patient cohort (n = 367), the dHGP was present in 19% (n = 68) and the non-dHGP was present in 81% (n = 299) of patients. This dHGP subgroup was independently associated with good overall survival (OS) (HR: 0.39, p

BACKGROUND: Recently numerous studies have reported primary tumor location as a potential prognostic factor after surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). The aim of this study was to comprehensively review and analyze all the available literature on the impact of primary tumor location in patients after local treatment of CRLM.METHODS: Studies examining the association of right- and left-sided colorectal cancer and overall survival (OS) and recurrence free survival (RFS) after local treatment (resection and/or ablation) of CRLM were identified. Random-effects models were used for both clinicopathological and outcome variables. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were shown for both OS and RFS.RESULTS: Ten studies (including 11 patient cohorts) were eligible for inclusion, representing 3962 patients. Right-sided tumors (i.e. proximal to the splenic flexure) were observed in 1340 patients (33.8%). Median follow-up ranged from 25 to 137 months. Patients with right-sided tumors had a significantly decreased OS (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.30-1.98, p < 0.001) and RFS (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.04-1.77, p = 0.03), when compared to patients with left-sided tumors.CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggests that patients with right-sided primaries suffer from a worse prognosis, compared to patients with left-sided primaries in patients after local treatment of CRLM.

Background and Objectives: In contrast with sporadic colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD)-related CRLM have not been studied to date. Methods: Patients who underwent resection for IBD-related and sporadic CRLM from 2000 to 2015 were identified from an international registry and matched for pertinent prognostic variables. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were subsequently assessed. Results: Twenty-eight patients had IBD-related CRLM. Synchronous extrahepatic disease was more common in IBD-related CRLM patients than patients with sporadic CRLM (28.6% vs 8.3%; P < 0.001), most commonly located in the lungs. In multivariable analysis, IBD did not have a significant influence on OS (P = 0.835), and had a hazard ratio (HR) close to 1 (HR, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57-1.57). IBD was also not associated with inferior RFS (HR, 1.07; 95%CI, 0.68-1.68; P = 0.780). Among patients with IBD-related CRLM, 9(50%) had isolated intrahepatic recurrence and 8(44.4%) isolated extrahepatic recurrence, while only 1(5.6%) developed combined recurrence. Of those who experienced recurrence after resection of IBD-related CRLM, 10 had their recurrence treated with curative intent. Conclusions: Patients with IBD-related CRLM had similar survival compared with patients with sporadic CRLM, even though they more often present with extrahepatic disease. In addition, patients with IBD-related CRLM may experience patterns of recurrence different from patients with sporadic CRLM.

Background and objectives Patients with isolated colorectal-cancer-liver-metastases (CRCLM) frequently undergo metastatectomy. Tumor-infiltrating-lymphocytes (TILs) have prognostic potential in the setting of primary colorectal cancer, however, their role in CRCLM is less studied. We aimed to study the spatial distribution and prognostic role of tumor-infiltrating CD8+ cytotoxic T-cells and FoxP3+ regulatory T-cells at the metastatic site of CRCLM patients. Methods TILs were isolated from fresh metastatic tissues of 47 patients with CRCLM. Archived paraffin-embedded tissue, from the same patients, was retrieved. CD8+ and FoxP3+ cells, both in the intra-tumoral and the peri-tumoral compartments, were measured by immunohistochemistry on full tissue sections. Proportions of cytotoxic T-cells (CD8+ ) and regulatory T-cells (CD4+ CD25+ FoxP3+ ), within CD45+ TILs, were measured by flow-cytometry. Results By immunohistochemistry, individual densities of intra-tumoral or peri-tumoral CD8+ and FoxP3+ cells were not prognostic of survival. However, the intra-tumoral, but not the peri-tumoral, CD8+ /FoxP3+ ratio was an independent predictor of survival (HR 0.43, 95%CI 0.19-0.95, P = 0.032). By flow cytometry, the intra-tumoral CD8+ /regulatory T-cell ratio was also an independent predictor of survival (HR 0.45, 95%CI 0.20-0.99, P = 0.044). Conclusions The ratio of cytotoxic (CD8+ ) to regulatory (FoxP3+ ) T-cells, in the intra-tumoral compartment, but not in the peri-tumoral compartment, can predict survival after resection of CRCLM.

Adjuvant systemic chemotherapy (CTx) is widely administered in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) are an independent prognostic factor for survival after complete resection. This study evaluates whether HGPs can predict the effectiveness of adjuvant CTx in patients with resected CRLM. Two main types of HGPs can be distinguished; the desmoplastic type and the non-desmoplastic type. Uni- and multivariable analyses for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were performed, in both patients treated with and without preoperative chemotherapy. A total of 1236 patients from two tertiary centers (Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA; Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands) were included (period 2000–2016). A total of 656 patients (53.1%) patients received preoperative chemotherapy. Adjuvant CTx was only associated with a superior OS in non-desmoplastic patients that had not been pretreated (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37–0.73, p

Introduction The disease-free interval (DFI) between resection of primary colorectal cancer (CRC) and diagnosis of liver metastases is considered an important prognostic indicator; however, recent analyses in metastatic CRC found limited evidence to support this notion. Objective The current study aims to determine the prognostic value of the DFI in patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Methods Patients undergoing first surgical treatment of CRLM at three academic centers in The Netherlands were eligible for inclusion. The DFI was defined as the time between resection of CRC and detection of CRLM. Baseline characteristics and Kaplan–Meier survival estimates were stratified by DFI. Cox regression analyses were performed for overall (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), with the DFI entered as a continuous measure using a restricted cubic spline function with three knots. Results In total, 1374 patients were included. Patients with a shorter DFI more often had lymph node involvement of the primary, more frequently received neoadjuvant chemotherapy for CRLM, and had higher number of CRLM at diagnosis. The DFI significantly contributed to DFS prediction (p =0.002), but not for predicting OS (p =0.169). Point estimates of the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for a DFI of 0 versus 12 months and 0 versus 24 months were 1.284 (1.114–1.480) and 1.444 (1.180–1.766), respectively, for DFS, and 1.111 (0.928–1.330) and 1.202 (0.933–1.550), respectively, for OS. Conclusion The DFI is of prognostic value for predicting disease recurrence following surgical treatment of CRLM, but not for predicting OS outcomes. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1245/s10434-019-07481-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Introduction Posttreatment surveillance protocols most often endure for 5 years after resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). Most recurrences happen within 3 years after surgical removal of the tumour. This study analysed the need of surveillance for patients with at least 3 years of disease-free survival after potentially curative resection of CRLM. Methods A single-centre, retrospective analysis of all consecutive patients who underwent treatment for CRLM with curative intent between 2000 and 2011. Results In total, 152 of 545 patients (28 %) remained disease-free for 3 years after successful resection of the CRLM. The estimated recurrence rate after 10 years of follow-up in this group of 152 patients was 27 %. More than half of these patients (55 %) could be treated with curative intent for their recurrences. Multivariable analysis revealed that the nodal status of the primary tumour is of significant prognostic value for developing recurrences after 3 years of disease-free survival. A disease-free interval of less than 12 months between resection of primary tumour and detection of CRLM shows a trend towards significance. Both factors were used to create a risk score, showing that patients with a low-risk profile (node-negative status and a disease-free interval

The majority of patients recur after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Patients with CRLM displaying a desmoplastic histopathological growth pattern (dHGP) have a better prognosis and lower probability of recurrence than patients with non-dHGP CRLM. The current study evaluates the impact of HGP type on the pattern and treatment of recurrences after first resection of CRLM. A retrospective cohort study was performed, including patients with known HGP type after complete resection of CRLM. All patients were treated between 2000 and 2015. The HGP was determined on the CRLM resected at first partial hepatectomy. The prognostic value of HGPs, in terms of survival outcome, in the current patient cohort were previously published. In total 690 patients were included, of which 492 (71%) developed recurrent disease. CRLM displaying dHGP were observed in 103 patients (21%). Amongst patients with dHGP CRLM diagnosed with recurrent disease, more liver-limited recurrences were seen (43% vs. 31%, p = 0.030), whereas patients with non-dHGP more often recurred at multiple locations (34% vs. 19%, p = 0.005). Patients with dHGP CRLM were more likely to undergo curatively intended local treatment for recurrent disease (adjusted odds ratio: 2.37; 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.46-3.84]; p

Aims: Several anti-tumour properties have been ascribed to the tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinases-3 (TIMP3) gene, including inhibition of neovascularisation in tumour xenografts. Reduced protein expression has been linked to promoter hypermethylation and allelic loss of heterozygosity in various human malignancies. In melanoma-positive lymph nodes from patients, we evaluated the association between TIMP3 expression, vessel density, macrophage infiltration and potential correlations with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Patients and methods: TIMP3 expression was analysed by immunohistochemistry (IHC) in melanoma lymph node biopsies of stage III melanoma patients (n = 43). Blood vessel density and macrophage infiltration were quantitatively assessed and correlation with TIMP3 expression was investigated. Methylation status of the gene promoter was determined using methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction (MSP). Protein expression and promoter methylation status were investigated for associations with DFS and OS. Results: Reduced expression of TIMP3, as determined by IHC, was observed in 74% of the cases (32 in 43). A significant inverse correlation was observed between TIMP3 expression and vessel density (p = 0.031). Correlation between TIMP3 expression and macrophage infiltration was not statistically significant (p = 0.369). MSP analysis revealed methylation of the gene promoter in 18% (7 in 38) of the analysed cases. No differences in OS and DFS were observed between cases with high and low TIMP3 expression. Gene promoter methylation was significantly associated with both poor 5-year DFS (p = 0.024) and OS (p = 0.034). Conclusions: Our data indicate that TIMP3 is a dominant negative regulator of angiogenesis in cutaneous melanoma and gene silencing by promoter methylation is associated with poor outcome. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Background and Objectives Patients with isolated colorectal‐cancer‐liver‐metastases (CRCLM) frequently undergo metastatectomy. Tumor‐infiltrating‐lymphocytes (TILs) have prognostic potential in the setting of primary colorectal cancer, however, their role in CRCLM is less studied. We aimed to study the spatial distribution and prognostic role of tumor‐infiltrating CD8+ cytotoxic T‐cells and FoxP3+ regulatory T‐cells at the metastatic site of CRCLM patients. Methods TILs were isolated from fresh metastatic tissues of 47 patients with CRCLM. Archived paraffin‐embedded tissue, from the same patients, was retrieved. CD8+ and FoxP3+ cells, both in the intra‐tumoral and the peri‐tumoral compartments, were measured by immunohistochemistry on full tissue sections. Proportions of cytotoxic T‐cells (CD8+) and regulatory T‐cells (CD4+CD25+FoxP3+), within CD45+TILs, were measured by flow‐cytometry. Results By immunohistochemistry, individual densities of intra‐tumoral or peri‐tumoral CD8+ and FoxP3+ cells were not prognostic of survival. However, the intra‐tumoral, but not the peri‐tumoral, CD8+/FoxP3+ ratio was an independent predictor of survival (HR 0.43, 95%CI 0.19‐0.95, P = 0.032). By flow cytometry, the intra‐tumoral CD8+/regulatory T‐cell ratio was also an independent predictor of survival (HR 0.45, 95%CI 0.20‐0.99, P = 0.044). Conclusions The ratio of cytotoxic (CD8+) to regulatory (FoxP3+) T‐cells, in the intra‐tumoral compartment, but not in the peri‐tumoral compartment, can predict survival after resection of CRCLM.

Purpose: Liver metastasis develops in >50% of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), and is a leading cause of CRC-related mortality. We aimed to identify which inhibitory immune checkpoint pathways can be targeted to enhance functionality of intra-tumoral T-cells in mismatch repair-proficient liver metastases of colorectal cancer (LM-CRC). Methodology: Intra-tumoral expression of multiple inhibitory molecules was compared among mismatch repair-proficient LM-CRC, peritoneal metastases of colorectal cancer (PM-CRC) and primary CRC. Expression of inhibitory molecules was also analyzed on leukocytes isolated from paired resected metastatic liver tumors, tumor-free liver tissues, and blood of patients with mismatch repair-proficient LM-CRC. The effects of blocking inhibitory pathways on tumor-infiltrating T-cell responses were studied in ex vivo functional assays. Results: Mismatch repair-proficient LM-CRC showed higher expression of inhibitory receptors on intra-tumoral T-cells and contained higher proportions of CD8+ T-cells, dendritic cells and monocytes than mismatch repair-proficient primary CRC and/or PM-CRC. Inhibitory receptors LAG3, PD-1, TIM3 and CTLA4 were higher expressed on CD8+ T-cells, CD4+ T-helper and/or regulatory T-cells in LM-CRC tumors compared with tumor-free liver and blood. Antibody blockade of LAG3 or PD-L1 increased proliferation and effector cytokine production of intra-tumoral T-cells isolated from LM-CRC in response to both polyclonal and autologous tumor-specific stimulations. Higher LAG3 expression on intra-tumoral CD8+ T-cells associated with longer progression-free survival of LM-CRC patients. Conclusion: Mismatch repair-proficient LM-CRC may be more sensitive to immune checkpoint inhibitors than mismatch repair-proficient primary CRC. Blocking LAG3 enhances tumor-infiltrating T-cell responses of mismatch repair-proficient LM-CRC, and therefore may be a new promising immunotherapeutic target for LM-CRC.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to validate the commonly used prognostic models and staging systems for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) in a large multi-center patient cohort. METHODS: The overall (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) prognostic discriminatory ability of various commonly used models were assessed in a large retrospective cohort. Harrell's concordance index (c-index) was used to determine accuracy of model prediction. RESULTS: Among 1054 ICC patients, median OS was 37.7 months and 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, were 78.8%, 51.5%, and 39.3%, respectively. Recurrence of disease occurred in 454 (43.0%) patients with a median DFS of 29.6 months. One-, 3- and 5- year DFS were 64.6%, 46.5 % and 44.4%, respectively. The prognostic models associated with the best OS prediction were the Wang nomogram (c-index 0.668) and the Nathan staging system (c-index 0.639). No model was proficient in predicting DFS. Only the Wang nomogram exceeded a c-index of 0.6 for DFS (c-index 0.602). The c-index for the AJCC staging system was 0.637 for OS and 0.582 for DFS. CONCLUSIONS: While the Wang nomogram had the best discriminatory ability relative to OS and DFS, no ICC staging system or nomogram demonstrated excellent prognostic discrimination. The AJCC staging for ICC performed reasonably, although its overall discrimination was only modest-to-good. info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

Background Gastrointestinal endoscopy plays a crucial role in the diagnosis and management of gastrointestinal disorders. When endoscopy is indicated during pregnancy, concerns about the effects on pregnancy outcome often arise. The aim of this study was to assess whether lower gastrointestinal endoscopies (LGEs) across all three trimesters of pregnancy affects pregnancy outcomes. Methods A systematic literature search was performed using Embase (including MEDLINE), Medline OvidSP, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web-of-Science, Google scholar and Pubmed. All original research articles from 1990 until May 2014 involving pregnant women who underwent LGE for any indication were included. Adverse pregnancy events like spontaneous abortion, preterm birth and fetal demise were assessed for a temporal and etiological relation with the LGE. Results In total, 5514 references were screened by two independent reviewers. Eighty-two references met the inclusion criteria and were selected. Two retrospective, controlled studies, one uncontrolled study and 79 case reports were identified. In the three studies, birth outcomes did not differ between women undergoing LGE during pregnancy, compared to women that had an indication for LGE but in whom LGE was not performed because of pregnancy. In 79 case reports, 92 patients are described who underwent 100 LGE’s during pregnancy. LGEs performed in all trimesters (n = 32, 39 and 29) were both temporally and etiologically related to 1, 3 and 2 adverse events, respectively. Conclusion Based on the available literature, this review concludes that lower gastrointestinal endoscopy during pregnancy is of low risk for mother and child in all three trimesters of pregnancy. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12876-015-0244-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.