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Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) are affected by solar modulation while they propagate through the heliosphere. The study of the time variation of GCR spectra observed at Earth can shed light on the underlying physical processes, specifically diffusion and particle drifts. We combine a state-of-the art 3D numerical model of GCR transport in the heliosphere with a neural-network-accelerated Markov chain Monte Carlo to constrain the rigidity and time dependence of the global transport coefficients, using precise GCR data from the PAMELA and AMS-02 experiments between 2006 and 2019., Comment: 8 pages, 3 figures. Proceeding of the 38th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC23). Fixed typos in last paragraph

We study the predictions for the p/He ratio in galactic cosmic rays according to the force-field approximation. The dependence of the time variation of p/He on the local interstellar spectrum (LIS) shape and on the mass-to-charge ratio, A/Z, is analyzed in detail. We find that, depending on the rigidity range and the sign of the spectral index of the p/He LIS ratio, the p/He time variation can be correlated or anti-correlated with the phase of the solar cycle. We show that the A/Z dependence is the most probable cause for the p/He decrease recently observed by AMS-02 after 2015 between 2 and 3 GV., Comment: Proceeding of the 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC19)

Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) entering the heliosphere are disturbed by the magnetic field of the Sun, which varies the shape and intensity of their local interstellar spectrum. The force-field approximation is a popular way of dealing with solar modulation, especially for studies focused on galactic transport of cosmic rays. The validity of this approach to reproduce the modulated GCR fluxes at Earth is tested using monthly proton fluxes measured by PAMELA between July 2006 and January 2014 and monthly proton and helium fluxes measured by AMS-02 between May 2011 and May 2017. We show that the precision of the new AMS-02 data requires a rigidity-dependent modification of the force-field approximation., Comment: Proceeding of the 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC19)

The newly published spectra of protons and helium over time directly measured in space by the AMS-02 experiment for the period 2011--2017 provide a unique opportunity to calibrate ground-based neutron monitors (NMs). Here, calibration of several stable sealevel NMs (Inuvik, Apatity, Oulu, Newark, Moscow, Hermanus, Athens) was performed using these spectra. Four modern NM yield functions were verified: Mi13 (Mishev et al., 2013), Ma16 (Mangeard et al., 2016), CM12 (Caballero-Lopez & Moraal, 2012) and CD00 (Clem & Dorman, 2000), on the basis of the cosmic-ray spectra measured by AMS-02. The Mi13 yield function was found to realistically represent the NM response to galactic cosmic rays. CM12 yield function leads to a small skew in the solar cycle dependence of the scaling factor. In contrast, Ma16 and CD00 yield functions tend to overestimate the NM sensitivity to low-rigidity (<10 GV) cosmic rays. This effect may be important for an analysis of ground level enhancements, leading to a potential underestimate of fluxes of solar energetic particles as based on NM data. The Mi13 yield function is recommended for quantitative analyses of NM data, especially for ground-level enhancements. The validity the force-field approximation was studied, and it was found that it fits well the directly measured proton spectra, within a few % for periods of low to moderate activity and up to ~10% for active periods. The results of this work strengthen and validate the method of the cosmic-ray variability analysis based on the NM data and yield-function formalism, and improves its accuracy., Comment: J. Geophys. Res. in press

Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) are affected by solar modulation while they propagate through the heliosphere. The study of the time variation of GCR spectra observed at Earth can shed light on the underlying physical processes, specifically diffusion and particle drifts. Recently, the AMS-02 experiment measured with very high accuracy the time variation of the cosmic ray proton and helium flux between May 2011 and May 2017 in the rigidity range from 1 to 60 GV. In this work, a comprehensive three-dimensional (3D) steady-state numerical model is used to solve Parker's transport equation and is used to reproduce the monthly proton fluxes observed by AMS-02. We find that the rigidity slope of the perpendicular mean free path above 4 GV remains constant, while below 4 GV it increases during solar maximum. Assuming the same mean free paths for helium and protons, the models are able to reproduce the time behavior of the p/He ratio observed by AMS-02. The dependence of the diffusion tensor on the particle mass-to-charge ratio, A/Z, is found to be the main cause of the time dependence of p/He below 3 GV., Comment: 21 pages, 8 figures, 3 tables, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

The authors of this report met on 28-30 March 2018 at the New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, New Jersey, for a 3-day workshop that brought together a group of data providers, expert modelers, and computer and data scientists, in the solar discipline. Their objective was to identify challenges in the path towards building an effective framework to achieve transformative advances in the understanding and forecasting of the Sun-Earth system from the upper convection zone of the Sun to the Earth's magnetosphere. The workshop aimed to develop a research roadmap that targets the scientific challenge of coupling observations and modeling with emerging data-science research to extract knowledge from the large volumes of data (observed and simulated) while stimulating computer science with new research applications. The desire among the attendees was to promote future trans-disciplinary collaborations and identify areas of convergence across disciplines. The workshop combined a set of plenary sessions featuring invited introductory talks and workshop progress reports, interleaved with a set of breakout sessions focused on specific topics of interest. Each breakout group generated short documents, listing the challenges identified during their discussions in addition to possible ways of attacking them collectively. These documents were combined into this report-wherein a list of prioritized activities have been collated, shared and endorsed., Comment: Workshop Report

In recent years, the increasing precision of direct cosmic rays measurements opened the door to indirect searches of dark matter with high-sensitivity and to more accurate predictions for radiation doses received by astronauts and electronics in space. The key ingredients in the study of these phenomena are the knowledge of the local interstellar spectrum (LIS) of galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) and the understanding of how the solar modulation affects the LIS inside the heliosphere. Voyager 1, AMS-02 and PAMELA measurements of proton fluxes provide invaluable information, allowing us to shed light on the shape of the LIS and the details of the solar modulation during solar cycles 23 and 24. A new parametrization of the proton LIS is presented, based on the latest data from Voyager 1 and AMS-02. Using the framework of the force-field approximation, the solar modulation parameter is extracted from the time-dependent proton fluxes measured by PAMELA. A modified version of the force-field approximation with an energy-dependent modulation parameter is introduced, yielding better results on proton data than the force-field approximation. The results are compared with the modulation parameter inferred by neutron monitors., Comment: 8 pages, 13 figures, 3 tables

The direct measurements of electrons and positrons over the last 30 years, corrected for the solar effect in the force-field approximation, are considered. The resulting overall electron spectrum may be fitted with a single power law above few GeV with spectral index ($\gamma_{-} = 3.41 \pm 0.02$), consistent with the spectral index of the positron spectrum ($\gamma_{+} = 3.40 \pm 0.06$), therefore suggesting a common acceleration process for both species. We propose that the engine was a shock wave originating from the last supernova explosion among those that formed the local bubble. In addition, at low energy, the electron spectrum measured during the last $A+$ solar phase is damped, whereas the positron spectrum is well represented by a single power law down to the lowest inferred local interstellar energy (0.8 GeV). We suggest that this difference arises from a time- and charge-dependent effect of the solar modulation that is not taken into account by the force-field approximation., Comment: 10 pages, 9 figures, 1 table. OBSOLETE: please refer to ApJ 612 (2004) 262-267, that is the final version of this work