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1. Introduction

Author

Boyer, T, Blunden, J, Dunn, RJH, Ades, Melanie, Adler, Robert, Adusumilli, Susheel, Agyakwah, W, Ahmadpour, Somayeh, Aldeco, Laura S, Alexander, Michael A, Alexe, Mihai, Alfaro, Eric J, Allan, Richard P, Allgood, Adam, Alves, Lincoln M, Amador, Jorge A, Amaya, Dillon J, Amory, Charles, Anderson, John, Andrade, B, Andreassen, Liss Marie, Anneville, Orlane, Aono, Yasuyuki, Arguez, Anthony, Armenteras Pascual, Dolores, Arosio, Carlo, Asher, Elizabeth, Augustine, John A, Avalos, Grinia, Azorin-Molina, Cesar, Baez-Villanueva, Oscar M, Baiman, Rebecca, Ballinger, Thomas J, Banwell, Alison F, Bardin, M Yu, Barichivich, J, Barreira, Sandra, Beadling, Rebecca L, Beauchemin, Marc, Beck, Hylke E, Becker, Emily J, Beckley, Brian, Bekele, E, Bellouin, Nicolas, Benedetti, Angela, Berne, Christine, Berner, Logan T, Bernhard, Germar H, Bhatt, Uma S, Bigalke, Siiri, Bissolli, Peter, Bjerke, Jarle W, Blake, Eric S, Blannin, Josh, Blenkinsop, Stephen, Bochníček, Oliver, Bock, Olivier, Bodin, Xavier, Bonte, Olivier, Bosilovich, Michael G, Boucher, Olivier, Box, Jason E, Bozkurt, Deniz, Brettschneider, Brian, Bringas, Francis G, Brubaker, Mike, Buehler, Stefan A, Bukunt, Brandon, Burgess, David, Butler, Amy H, Byrne, Michael P, Calderón, Blanca, Camargo, Suzana J, Campbell, Jayaka, Campos, Diego, Cappucci, Fabrizio, Carrea, Laura, Carter, Brendan R, Cerveny, Randall, Cetinić, Ivona, Chambers, Don P, Chan, Duo, Chandler, Elise, Chang, Kai-Lan, Charlton, Candice S, Chen, Jack, Chen, Lin, Cheng, Lijing, Cheng, Vincent YS, Chisholm, Lucy, Christiansen, Hanne H, Christy, John R, Chung, Eui-Seok, Ciasto, Laura M, Clarke, Leonardo, Clem, Kyle R, Clingan, Scott, Coelho, Caio AS, Coldewey-Egbers, Melanie, and Colwell, Steve

Subjects
Earth Sciences, Geology, Climate Action, Astronomical and Space Sciences, Atmospheric Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Atmospheric sciences, Climate change science
Abstract

Abstract: —J. Blunden and T. Boyer In 2023, La Niña conditions that generally prevailed in the eastern Pacific Ocean from mid-2020 into early 2023 gave way to a strong El Niño by October. Atmospheric concentrations of Earth’s major greenhouse gases—carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—all increased to record-high levels. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere rose to 419.3±0.1 ppm, which is 50% greater than the pre-industrial level. The growth from 2022 to 2023 was 2.8 ppm, the fourth highest in the record since the 1960s. The combined short-term effects of El Niño and the long-term effects of increasing levels of heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere contributed to new records for many essential climate variables reported here. The annual global temperature across land and oceans was the highest in records dating as far back as 1850, with the last seven months (June–December) having each been record warm. Over land, the globally averaged temperature was also record high. Dozens of countries reported record or near-record warmth for the year, including China and continental Europe as a whole (warmest on record), India and Russia (second warmest), and Canada (third warmest). Intense and widespread heatwaves were reported around the world. In Vietnam, an all-time national maximum temperature record of 44.2°C was observed at Tuong Duong on 7 May, surpassing the previous record of 43.4°C at Huong Khe on 20 April 2019. In Brazil, the air temperature reached 44.8°C in Araçuaí in Minas Gerais on 20 November, potentially a new national record and 12.8°C above normal. The effect of rising temperatures was apparent in the cryosphere, where snow cover extent by June 2023 was the smallest in the 56-year record for North America and seventh smallest for the Northern Hemisphere overall. Heatwaves contributed to the greatest average mass balance loss for Alpine glaciers around the world since the start of the record in 1970. Due to rapid volume loss beginning in 2021, St. Anna Glacier in Switzerland and Ice Worm Glacier in the United States disappeared completely. In August, as a direct result of glacial thinning over the past 20 years, a glacial lake on a tributary of the Mendenhall Glacier in Alaska burst through its ice dam and caused unprecedented flooding on Mendenhall River near Juneau. Across the Arctic, the annual surface air temperature was the fourth highest in the 124-year record, and summer (July–September) was record warm. Smaller-than-normal snow cover extent in May and June contributed to the third-highest average peak tundra greenness in the 24-year record. In September, Arctic minimum sea ice extent was the fifth smallest in the 45-year satellite record. The 17 lowest September extents have all occurred in the last 17 years. In Antarctica, temperatures for much of the year were up to 6°C above average over the Weddell Sea and along coastal Dronning Maud Land. The Antarctic Peninsula also experienced well-above-average temperatures during the 2022/23 melt season, which contributed to its fourth consecutive summer of above-average surface melt. On 21 February, Antarctic sea ice extent and sea ice area both reached all-time lows, surpassing records set just a year earlier. Over the course of the year, new daily record-low sea ice extents were set on 278 days. In some instances, these daily records were set by a large margin, for example, the extent on 6 July was 1.8 million km2 lower than the previous record low for that day. Across the global oceans, the annual sea surface temperature was the highest in the 170-year record, far surpassing the previous record of 2016 by 0.13°C. Daily and monthly records were set from March onward, including an historic-high daily global mean sea surface temperature of 18.99°C recorded on 22 August. Approximately 94% of the ocean surface experienced at least one marine heatwave in 2023, while 27% experienced at least one cold spell. Globally averaged ocean heat content from the surface to 2000-m depth was record high in 2023, increasing at a rate equivalent to ∼0.7 Watts per square meter of energy applied over Earth’s surface. Global mean sea level was also record high for the 12th consecutive year, reaching 101.4 mm above the 1993 average when satellite measurements began, an increase of 8.1±1.5 mm over 2022 and the third highest year-over-year increase in the record. A total of 82 named tropical storms were observed during the Northern and Southern Hemispheres’ storm seasons, below the 1991–2020 average of 87. Hurricane Otis became the strongest landfalling hurricane on record for the west coast of Mexico at 140 kt (72 m s−1), causing at least 52 fatalities and $12–16 billion U.S. dollars in damage. Freddy became the world’s longest-lived tropical cyclones on record, developing into a tropical cyclone on 6 February and finally dissipating on 12 March. Freddy crossed the full width of the Indian Ocean and made one landfall in Madagascar and two in Mozambique. In the Mediterranean Sea—outside of traditional tropical cyclone basins—heavy rains and flooding from Storm Daniel killed more than 4300 people and left more than 8000 missing in Libya. The record-warm temperatures in 2023 created conditions that helped intensify the hydrological cycle. Measurements of total-column water vapor in the atmosphere were the highest on record, while the fraction of cloud area in the sky was the lowest since records began in 1980. The annual global mean precipitation total over land surfaces for 2023 was among the lowest since 1979, but global one-day maximum totals were close to average, indicating an increase in rainfall intensity. In July, record-high areas of land across the globe (7.9%) experienced extreme drought, breaking the previous record of 6.2% in July 2022. Overall, 29.7% of land experienced moderate or worse categories of drought during the year, also a record. Mexico reported its driest (and hottest) year since the start of its record in 1950. In alignment with hot and prolonged dry conditions, Canada experienced its worst national wildfire season on record. Approximately 15 million hectares burned across the country, which was more than double the previous record from 1989. Smoke from the fires were transported far into the United States and even to western European countries. August to October 2023 was the driest three-month period in Australia in the 104-year record. Millions of hectares of bushfires burned for weeks in the Northern Territory. In South America, extreme drought developed in the latter half of the year through the Amazon basin. By the end of October, the Rio Negro at Manaus, a major tributary of the Amazon River, fell to its lowest water level since records began in 1902. The transition from La Niña to El Niño helped bring relief to the prolonged drought conditions in equatorial eastern Africa. However, El Niño along with positive Indian Ocean dipole conditions also contributed to excessive rainfall that resulted in devastating floods over southeastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya during October to December that displaced around 1.5 million people. On 5 September, the town of Zagora, Greece, broke a national record for highest daily rainfall (754 mm in 21 hours, after which the station ceased reporting) due to Storm Daniel; this one-day accumulation was close to Zagora’s normal annual total.

Published
2024

2. Dynamic Arctic weather variability and connectivity

Author

Meng, Jun, Fan, Jingfang, Bhatt, Uma S, and Kurths, Jürgen

Subjects
Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Nonlinear Sciences - Chaotic Dynamics, Physics - Geophysics
Abstract

The rapidly shrinking Arctic sea ice is changing weather patterns and disrupting the balance of nature. Dynamics of Arctic weather variability (WV) plays a crucial role in weather forecasting and is closely related to extreme weather events. Yet, assessing and quantifying the WV for both local Arctic regions and its planetary impacts under anthropogenic climate change is still unknown. Here, we develop a complexity-based approach to systematically evaluate and analyze the dynamic behaviour of WV. We reveal that the WV within and around the Arctic is statistically correlated to the Arctic Oscillation at the intraseasonal time scale. We further find that the variability of the daily Arctic sea ice is increasing due to its dramatic decline under a warming climate. Unstable Arctic weather conditions can disturb regional weather patterns through atmospheric teleconnection pathways, resulting in higher risk to human activities and greater weather forecast uncertainty. A multivariate climate network analysis reveals the existence of such teleconnections and implies a positive feedback loop between the Arctic and global weather instabilities. This enhances the mechanistic understanding of the influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude severe weather. Our framework provides a fresh perspective on the linkage of complexity science, WV and the Arctic.

Published
2023

10. Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multi-Model Seasonal Skill Comparison

Author

Bushuk, Mitchell, Ali, Sahara, Bailey, David A, Bao, Qing, Batté, Lauriane, Bhatt, Uma S, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Blockley, Ed, Cawley, Gavin, Chi, Junhwa, Counillon, François, Coulombe, Philippe Goulet, Cullather, Richard I, Diebold, Francis X, Dirkson, Arlan, Exarchou, Eleftheria, Göbel, Maximilian, Gregory, William, Guemas, Virginie, Hamilton, Lawrence, He, Bian, Horvath, Sean, Ionita, Monica, Kay, Jennifer E, Kim, Eliot, Kimura, Noriaki, Kondrashov, Dmitri, Labe, Zachary M, Lee, WooSung, Lee, Younjoo J, Li, Cuihua, Li, Xuewei, Lin, Yongcheng, Liu, Yanyun, Maslowski, Wieslaw, Massonnet, François, Meier, Walter N, Merryfield, William J, Myint, Hannah, Navarro, Juan C Acosta, Petty, Alek, Qiao, Fangli, Schröder, David, Schweiger, Axel, Shu, Qi, Sigmond, Michael, Steele, Michael, Stroeve, Julienne, Sun, Nico, Tietsche, Steffen, Tsamados, Michel, Wang, Keguang, Wang, Jianwu, Wang, Wanqiu, Wang, Yiguo, Wang, Yun, Williams, James, Yang, Qinghua, Yuan, Xiaojun, Zhang, Jinlun, Zhang, Yongfei, Bushuk, Mitchell, Ali, Sahara, Bailey, David A, Bao, Qing, Batté, Lauriane, Bhatt, Uma S, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Blockley, Ed, Cawley, Gavin, Chi, Junhwa, Counillon, François, Coulombe, Philippe Goulet, Cullather, Richard I, Diebold, Francis X, Dirkson, Arlan, Exarchou, Eleftheria, Göbel, Maximilian, Gregory, William, Guemas, Virginie, Hamilton, Lawrence, He, Bian, Horvath, Sean, Ionita, Monica, Kay, Jennifer E, Kim, Eliot, Kimura, Noriaki, Kondrashov, Dmitri, Labe, Zachary M, Lee, WooSung, Lee, Younjoo J, Li, Cuihua, Li, Xuewei, Lin, Yongcheng, Liu, Yanyun, Maslowski, Wieslaw, Massonnet, François, Meier, Walter N, Merryfield, William J, Myint, Hannah, Navarro, Juan C Acosta, Petty, Alek, Qiao, Fangli, Schröder, David, Schweiger, Axel, Shu, Qi, Sigmond, Michael, Steele, Michael, Stroeve, Julienne, Sun, Nico, Tietsche, Steffen, Tsamados, Michel, Wang, Keguang, Wang, Jianwu, Wang, Wanqiu, Wang, Yiguo, Wang, Yun, Williams, James, Yang, Qinghua, Yuan, Xiaojun, Zhang, Jinlun, and Zhang, Yongfei

Abstract

Abstract This study quantifies the state-of-the-art in the rapidly growing field of seasonal Arctic sea ice prediction. A novel multi-model dataset of retrospective seasonal predictions of September Arctic sea ice is created and analyzed, consisting of community contributions from 17 statistical models and 17 dynamical models. Prediction skill is compared over the period 2001–2020 for predictions of Pan-Arctic sea ice extent (SIE), regional SIE, and local sea ice concentration (SIC) initialized on June 1, July 1, August 1, and September 1. This diverse set of statistical and dynamical models can individually predict linearly detrended Pan-Arctic SIE anomalies with skill, and a multi-model median prediction has correlation coefficients of 0.79, 0.86, 0.92, and 0.99 at these respective initialization times. Regional SIE predictions have similar skill to Pan-Arctic predictions in the Alaskan and Siberian regions, whereas regional skill is lower in the Canadian, Atlantic, and Central Arctic sectors. The skill of dynamical and statistical models is generally comparable for Pan-Arctic SIE, whereas dynamical models outperform their statistical counterparts for regional and local predictions. The prediction systems are found to provide the most value added relative to basic reference forecasts in the extreme SIE years of 1996, 2007, and 2012. SIE prediction errors do not show clear trends over time, suggesting that there has been minimal change in inherent sea ice predictability over the satellite era. Overall, this study demonstrates that there are bright prospects for skillful operational predictions of September sea ice at least three months in advance.

Published
2024

11. Drivers of heterogeneity in tundra vegetation productivity on the Yamal Peninsula, Siberia, Russia

Author

Tassone, Morgan S, Epstein, Howard E, Armstrong, Amanda H, Bhatt, Uma S, Frost, Gerald V, Heim, Birgit, Raynolds, Martha K, Walker, Donald A, Tassone, Morgan S, Epstein, Howard E, Armstrong, Amanda H, Bhatt, Uma S, Frost, Gerald V, Heim, Birgit, Raynolds, Martha K, and Walker, Donald A

Abstract

Abstract The direction and magnitude of tundra vegetation productivity trends inferred from the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) have exhibited spatiotemporal heterogeneity over recent decades. This study examined the spatial and temporal drivers of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Max NDVI (a proxy for peak growing season aboveground biomass) and time-integrated (TI)-NDVI (a proxy for total growing season productivity) on the Yamal Peninsula, Siberia, Russia between 2001 and 2018. A suite of remotely-sensed environmental drivers and machine learning methods were employed to analyze this region with varying climatological conditions, landscapes, and vegetation communities to provide insight into the heterogeneity observed across the Arctic. Summer warmth index, the timing of snowmelt, and physiognomic vegetation unit best explained the spatial distribution of Max and TI-NDVI on the Yamal Peninsula, with the highest mean Max and TI-NDVI occurring where summer temperatures were higher, snowmelt occurred earlier, and erect shrub and wetland vegetation communities were dominant. Max and TI-NDVI temporal trends were positive across the majority of the Peninsula (57.4% [5.0% significant] and 97.6% [13.9% significant], respectively) between 2001 and 2018. Max and TI-NDVI trends had variable relationships with environmental drivers and were primarily influenced by coastal-inland gradients in summer warmth and soil moisture. Both Max and TI-NDVI were negatively impacted by human modification, highlighting how human disturbances are becoming an increasingly important driver of Arctic vegetation dynamics. These findings provide insight into the potential future of Arctic regions experiencing warming, moisture regime shifts, and human modification, and demonstrate the usefulness of considering multiple NDVI metrics to disentangle the effects of individual drivers across heterogeneous landscapes. Further, the spatial het

Published
2024

14. chapter 10: THE RECORD LOW BERING SEA ICE EXTENT IN 2018: CONTEXT, IMPACTS, AND AN ASSESSMENT OF THE ROLE OF ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE

Author

Thoman, Richard L., Jr., Bhatt, Uma S., Bieniek, Peter A., Brettschneider, Brian R., Brubaker, Michael, Danielson, Seth L., Labe, Zachary, Lader, Rick, Meier, Walter N., Sheffield, Gay, and Walsh, John E.

Subjects
Sea ice -- Environmental aspects, Climate change -- Environmental aspects, Business, Earth sciences
Abstract

Record low Bering Sea sea ice in 2018 had profound regional impacts. According to climate models, human-caused warming was an overwhelmingly likely contributor, and such low levels will likely be [...]

Published
2020
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15. Complexity revealed in the greening of the Arctic

Author

Myers-Smith, Isla H., Kerby, Jeffrey T., Phoenix, Gareth K., Bjerke, Jarle W., Epstein, Howard E., Assmann, Jakob J., John, Christian, Andreu-Hayles, Laia, Angers-Blondin, Sandra, Beck, Pieter S. A., Berner, Logan T., Bhatt, Uma S., Bjorkman, Anne D., Blok, Daan, Bryn, Anders, Christiansen, Casper T., Cornelissen, J. Hans C., Cunliffe, Andrew M., Elmendorf, Sarah C., Forbes, Bruce C., Goetz, Scott J., Hollister, Robert D., de Jong, Rogier, Loranty, Michael M., Macias-Fauria, Marc, Maseyk, Kadmiel, Normand, Signe, Olofsson, Johan, Parker, Thomas C., Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Post, Eric, Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela, Stordal, Frode, Sullivan, Patrick F., Thomas, Haydn J. D., Tømmervik, Hans, Treharne, Rachael, Tweedie, Craig E., Walker, Donald A., Wilmking, Martin, and Wipf, Sonja

Published
2020
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17. Introduction

Author

Boyer, Tim, primary, Bartow-Gillies, Ellen, additional, Abida, A., additional, Ades, Melanie, additional, Adler, Robert, additional, Adusumilli, Susheel, additional, Agyakwah, W., additional, Ahmasuk, Brandon, additional, Aldeco, Laura S., additional, Alexe, Mihai, additional, Alfaro, Eric J., additional, Allan, Richard P., additional, Allgood, Adam, additional, Alves, Lincoln. M., additional, Amador, Jorge A., additional, Anderson, John, additional, Andrade, B., additional, Anneville, Orlane, additional, Aono, Yasuyuki, additional, Arguez, Anthony, additional, Arosio, Carlo, additional, Atkinson, C., additional, Augustine, John A., additional, Avalos, Grinia, additional, Azorin-Molina, Cesar, additional, Backensto, Stacia A., additional, Bader, Stephan, additional, Baez, Julian, additional, Baiman, Rebecca, additional, Ballinger, Thomas J., additional, Banwell, Alison F., additional, Bardin, M. Yu, additional, Barichivich, Jonathan, additional, Barnes, John E., additional, Barreira, Sandra, additional, Beadling, Rebecca L., additional, Beck, Hylke E., additional, Becker, Emily J., additional, Bekele, E., additional, Bellido, Guillem Martín, additional, Bellouin, Nicolas, additional, Benedetti, Angela, additional, Benestad, Rasmus, additional, Berne, Christine, additional, Berner, Logan. T., additional, Bernhard, Germar H., additional, Bhatt, Uma S., additional, Bhuiyan, A. E., additional, Bigalke, Siiri, additional, Biló, Tiago, additional, Bissolli, Peter, additional, Bjerke Jarle, W., additional, Blagrave, Kevin, additional, Blake, Eric S., additional, Blenkinsop, Stephen, additional, Blunden, Jessica, additional, Bochníček, Oliver, additional, Bock, Olivier, additional, Bodenstein, Barbara, additional, Bodin, Xavier, additional, Bosilovich, Michael, additional, Boucher, Olivier, additional, Bozkurt, Deniz, additional, Brettschneider, Brian, additional, Bringas, Francis G., additional, Bringas, Francis, additional, Buechler, Dennis, additional, Buehler, Stefan A., additional, Bukunt, Brandon, additional, Calderón, Blanca, additional, Camargo, Suzana J., additional, Campbell, Jayaka, additional, Campos, Diego, additional, Carrea, Laura, additional, Carter, Brendan R., additional, Cetinić, Ivona, additional, Chambers, Don P., additional, Chan, Duo, additional, Chandler, Elise, additional, Chang, Kai-Lan, additional, Chen, Hua, additional, Chen, Lin, additional, Cheng, Lijing, additional, Cheng, Vincent Y. S., additional, Chomiak, Leah, additional, Christiansen, Hanne H., additional, Christy, John R., additional, Chung, Eui-Seok, additional, Ciasto, Laura M., additional, Clarke, Leonardo, additional, Clem, Kyle R., additional, Clingan, Scott, additional, Coelho, Caio A.S., additional, Cohen, Judah L., additional, Coldewey-Egbers, Melanie, additional, Colwell, Steve, additional, Cooper, Owen R., additional, Cornes, Richard C., additional, Correa, Kris, additional, Costa, Felipe, additional, Covey, Curt, additional, Coy, Lawrence, additional, Créatux, Jean-François, additional, Crhova, Lenka, additional, Crimmins, Theresa, additional, Cronin, Meghan F., additional, Cropper, Thomas, additional, Crotwell, Molly, additional, Culpepper, Joshua, additional, Cunha, Ana P., additional, Cusicanqui, Diego, additional, Datta, Rajashree T., additional, Davis, Sean M., additional, De Bock, Veerle, additional, de Jeu, Richard A. M., additional, De Laat, Jos, additional, Decharme, Bertrand, additional, Degenstein, Doug, additional, Delaloye, Reynald, additional, Demircan, Mesut, additional, Derksen, Chris, additional, Deus, Ricardo, additional, Dhurmea, K. R., additional, Diamond, Howard J., additional, Dirkse, S., additional, Divine, Dmitry, additional, Dokulil, Martin T., additional, Donat, Markus G., additional, Dong, Shenfu, additional, Dorigo, Wouter A., additional, Drost Jensen, Caroline, additional, Druckenmiller, Matthew L., additional, Drumond, Paula, additional, du Plessis, Marcel, additional, Dugan, Hilary A., additional, Dulamsuren, Dashkhuu, additional, Dunmire, Devon, additional, Dunn, Robert J. H., additional, Durre, Imke, additional, Dusek, Robert, additional, Dutton, Geoff, additional, Duveiller, Gregory, additional, Ekici, Mithat, additional, Elias Chereque, Alesksandra, additional, ElKharrim, M., additional, Epstein, Howard E., additional, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, additional, Estilow, Thomas W., additional, Estrella, Nicole, additional, Fauchereau, Nicolas, additional, Fausto, Robert S., additional, Feely, Richard A., additional, Fenimore, Chris, additional, Fereday, David, additional, Fettweis, Xavier, additional, Fioletov, vitali E., additional, Flemming, Johannes, additional, Fogarty, Chris, additional, Fogt, Ryan L., additional, Forbes, Bruce C., additional, Foster, Michael J., additional, Franz, Bryan A., additional, Freeman, Natalie M., additional, Fricker, Helen A., additional, Frith, Stacey M., additional, Froidevaux, Lucien, additional, Frost, Gerald V. (JJ), additional, Fuhrman, Steven, additional, Füllekrug, Martin, additional, Ganter, Catherine, additional, Gao, Meng, additional, Gardner, Alex S., additional, Garforth, Judith, additional, Garg, Jay, additional, Gerland, Sebastian, additional, Gibbes, Badin, additional, Gille, Sarah T., additional, Gilson, John, additional, Gleason, Karin, additional, Gobron, Nadine, additional, Goetz, Scott J., additional, Goldenberg, Stanley B., additional, Goni, Gustavo, additional, Goodman, Steven, additional, Goto, Atsushi, additional, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, additional, Gruber, Alexander, additional, Gu, Guojun, additional, Guard, Charles “Chip” P., additional, Hagos, S., additional, Hahn, Sebastian, additional, Haimberger, Leopold, additional, Hall, Bradley D., additional, Hamlington, Benjamin D., additional, Hanna, Edward, additional, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, additional, Harnos, Daniel S., additional, Harris, Ian, additional, He, Qiong, additional, Heim, Richard R., additional, Hellström, Sverker, additional, Hemming, Deborah L., additional, Hendricks, Stefan, additional, Hicks, J., additional, Hidalgo, Hugo G., additional, Hirschi, Martin, additional, Ho, Shu-peng (Ben), additional, Hobbs, W., additional, Holmes, Robert M., additional, Holzworth, Robert, additional, Hrbáček, Filip, additional, Hu, Guojie, additional, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, additional, Huang, Boyin, additional, Huang, Hongjie, additional, Hurst, Dale F., additional, Ialongo, Iolanda, additional, Inness, Antje, additional, Isaksen, Ketil, additional, Ishii, Masayoshi, additional, Jadra, Gerardo, additional, Jevrejeva, Svetlana, additional, John, Viju O., additional, Johns, W., additional, Johnsen, Bjørn, additional, Johnson, Bryan, additional, Johnson, Gregory C., additional, Jones, Philip D., additional, Jones, Timothy, additional, Josey, Simon A., additional, Jumaux, G., additional, Junod, Robert, additional, Kääb, Andreas, additional, Kabidi, K., additional, Kaiser, Johannes W., additional, Kaler, Robb S.A., additional, Kaleschke, Lars, additional, Kaufmann, Viktor, additional, Kazemi, Amin Fazl, additional, Keller, Linda M., additional, Kellerer-Pirklbauer, Andreas, additional, Kendon, Mike, additional, Kennedy, John, additional, Kent, Elizabeth C., additional, Kerr, Kenneth, additional, Khan, Valentina, additional, Khiem, Mai Van, additional, Kidd, Richard, additional, Kim, Mi Ju, additional, Kim, Seong-Joong, additional, Kipling, Zak, additional, Klotzbach, Philip J., additional, Knaff, John A., additional, Koppa, Akash, additional, Korshunova, Natalia N., additional, Kraemer, Benjamin M., additional, Kramarova, Natalya A., additional, Kruger, A. C., additional, Kruger, Andries, additional, Kumar, Arun, additional, L’Heureux, Michelle, additional, La Fuente, Sofia, additional, Laas, Alo, additional, Labe, Zachary M., additional, Lader, Rick, additional, Lakatos, Mónika, additional, Lakkala, Kaisa, additional, Lam, Hoang Phuc, additional, Lan, Xin, additional, Landschützer, Peter, additional, Landsea, Chris W., additional, Lang, Timothy, additional, Lankhorst, Matthias, additional, Lantz, Kathleen O., additional, Lara, Mark J., additional, Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo, additional, Lavers, David A., additional, Lazzara, Matthew A., additional, Leblanc, Thierry, additional, Lee, Tsz-Cheung, additional, Leibensperger, Eric M., additional, Lennard, Chris, additional, Leuliette, Eric, additional, Leung, Kinson H. Y., additional, Lieser, Jan L., additional, Likso, Tanja, additional, Lin, I-I., additional, Lindsey, Jackie, additional, Liu, Yakun, additional, Locarnini, Ricardo, additional, Loeb, Norman G., additional, Loomis, Bryant D., additional, Lorrey, Andrew M., additional, Loyola, Diego, additional, Lu, Rui, additional, Lumpkin, Rick, additional, Luo, Jing-Jia, additional, Luojus, Kari, additional, Lyman, John M., additional, Maberly, Stephen C., additional, Macander, Matthew J., additional, MacFerrin, Michael, additional, MacGilchrist, Graeme A., additional, MacLennan, Michelle L., additional, Madelon, Remi, additional, Magee, Andrew D., additional, Magnin, Florence, additional, Mamen, Jostein, additional, Mankoff, Ken D., additional, Manney, Gloria L., additional, Marcinonienė, Izolda, additional, Marengo, Jose A., additional, Marjan, Mohammadi, additional, Martínez, Ana E., additional, Massom, Robert A., additional, Matsuzaki, Shin-Ichiro, additional, May, Linda, additional, Mayer, Michael, additional, Mazloff, Matthew R., additional, McAfee, Stephanie A., additional, McBride, C., additional, McCabe, Matthew F., additional, McClelland, James W., additional, McPhaden, Michael J., additional, Mcvicar, Tim R., additional, Mears, Carl A., additional, Meier, Walter N., additional, Mekonnen, A., additional, Menzel, Annette, additional, Merchant, Christopher J., additional, Merrifield, Mark A., additional, Meyer, Michael F., additional, Meyers, Tristan, additional, Mikolajczyk, David E., additional, Miller, John B., additional, Miralles, Diego G., additional, Misevicius, Noelia, additional, Mishonov, Alexey, additional, Mitchum, Gary T., additional, Moat, Ben I., additional, Moesinger, Leander, additional, Moise, Aurel, additional, Molina-Carpio, Jorge, additional, Monet, Ghislaine, additional, Montzka, Stephan A., additional, Moon, Twila A., additional, Moore, G. W. K., additional, Mora, Natali, additional, Morán, Johnny, additional, Morehen, Claire, additional, Morice, Colin, additional, Mostafa, A. E., additional, Mote, Thomas L., additional, Mrekaj, Ivan, additional, Mudryk, Lawrence, additional, Mühle, Jens, additional, Müller, Rolf, additional, Nance, David, additional, Nash, Eric R., additional, Nerem, R. Steven, additional, Newman, Paul A., additional, Nicolas, Julien P., additional, Nieto, Juan J., additional, Noetzli, Jeannette, additional, Noll, Ben, additional, Norton, Taylor, additional, Nyland, Kelsey E., additional, O’Keefe, John, additional, Ochwat, Naomi, additional, Oikawa, Yoshinori, additional, Okunaka, Yuka, additional, Osborn, Timothy J., additional, Overland, James E., additional, Park, Taejin, additional, Parrington, Mark, additional, Parrish, Julia K., additional, Pasch, Richard J., additional, Pascual Ramírez, Reynaldo, additional, Pellet, Cécile, additional, Pelto, Mauri S., additional, Perčec Tadić, Melita, additional, Perovich, Donald K., additional, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, additional, Petersen, Kyle, additional, Petropavlovskikh, Irina, additional, Petty, Alek, additional, Pezza, Alexandre B., additional, Pezzi, Luciano P., additional, Phillips, Coda, additional, Phoenix, Gareth K., additional, Pierson, Don, additional, Pinto, Izidine, additional, Pires, Vanda, additional, Pitts, Michael, additional, Po-Chedley, Stephen, additional, Pogliotti, Paolo, additional, Poinar, Kristin, additional, Polvani, Lorenzo, additional, Preimesberger, Wolfgang, additional, Price, Colin, additional, Pulkkanen, Merja, additional, Purkey, Sarah G., additional, Qiu, Bo, additional, Quisbert, Kenny, additional, Quispe, Willy R., additional, Rajeevan, M., additional, Ramos, Andrea M., additional, Randel, William J., additional, Rantanen, Mika, additional, Raphael, Marilyn N., additional, Reagan, James, additional, Recalde, Cristina, additional, Reid, Phillip, additional, Rémy, Samuel, additional, Reyes Kohler, Alejandra J., additional, Ricciardulli, Lucrezia, additional, Richardson, Andrew D., additional, Ricker, Robert, additional, Robinson, David A., additional, Robjhon, M., additional, Rocha, Willy, additional, Rodell, Matthew, additional, Rodriguez Guisado, Esteban, additional, Rodriguez-Fernandez, Nemesio, additional, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., additional, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Rosencrans, Matthew, additional, Rosenlof, Karen H., additional, Rösner, Benjamin, additional, Rösner, Henrieke, additional, Rozanov, Alexei, additional, Rozkošný, Jozef, additional, Rubek, Frans, additional, Rusanovskaya, Olga O., additional, Rutishauser, This, additional, Sabeerali, C. T., additional, Salinas, Roberto, additional, Sánchez-Lugo, Ahira, additional, Santee, Michelle L., additional, Santini, Marcelo, additional, Sato, Katsunari, additional, Sawaengphokhai, Parnchai, additional, Sayouri, A., additional, Scambos, Theodore, additional, Schenzinger, Verena, additional, Schimanke, Semjon, additional, Schlegel, Robert W., additional, Schmid, Claudia, additional, Schmid, Martin, additional, Schneider, Udo, additional, Schreck, Carl J., additional, Schultz, Cristina, additional, _, _, additional, Segele, Z. T., additional, Sensoy, Serhat, additional, Serbin, Shawn P., additional, Serreze, Mark C., additional, Setiawan, Amsari Mudzakir, additional, Sezaki, Fumi, additional, Sharma, Sapna, additional, Sharp, Jonathan D., additional, Sheffield, Gay, additional, Shi, Jia-Rui, additional, Shi, Lei, additional, Shiklomanov, Alexander I., additional, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I., additional, Shimaraeva, Svetlana V., additional, Shukla, R., additional, Siegel, David A., additional, Silow, Eugene A., additional, Sima, F., additional, Simmons, Adrian J., additional, Smeed, David A., additional, Smith, Adam, additional, Smith, Matthew M., additional, Smith, Sharon L., additional, Soden, Brian J., additional, Sofieva, Viktoria, additional, Souza, Everaldo, additional, Sparks, Tim H., additional, Spence-Hemmings, Jacqueline, additional, Spencer, Robert G. M., additional, Spillane, Sandra, additional, Sreejith, O. P., additional, Srivastava, A. K., additional, Stackhouse, Paul W., additional, Stammerjohn, Sharon, additional, Stauffer, Ryan, additional, Steinbrecht, Wolfgang, additional, Steiner, Andrea K., additional, Stella, Jose L., additional, Stephenson, Tannecia S., additional, Stradiotti, Pietro, additional, Strahan, Susan E., additional, Streletskiy, Dmitry A., additional, Surendran, Divya E., additional, Suslova, Anya, additional, Svendby, Tove, additional, Sweet, William, additional, Takahashi, Kiyotoshi, additional, Takemura, Kazuto, additional, Tank, Suzanne E., additional, Taylor, Michael A., additional, Tedesco, Marco, additional, Thackeray, Stephen J., additional, Thiaw, W. M., additional, Thibert, Emmanuel, additional, Thoman, Richard L., additional, Thompson, Andrew F., additional, Thompson, Philip R., additional, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, additional, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, additional, Timofeyev, Maxim A., additional, Tobin, Skie, additional, Tømmervik, Hans, additional, Tourpali, Kleareti, additional, Trescilo, Lidia, additional, Tretiakov, Mikhail, additional, Trewin, Blair C., additional, Triñanes, Joaquin A., additional, Trotman, Adrian, additional, Truchelut, Ryan E., additional, Trusel, Luke D., additional, Tye, Mari R., additional, van der A, Ronald, additional, van der Schalie, Robin, additional, van der Schrier, Gerard, additional, Van Hemert, Caroline, additional, Van Meerbeeck, Cedric J., additional, van vliet, Arnold J.H., additional, Vazife, Ahad, additional, Verburg, Piet, additional, Vernier, Jean-Paul, additional, Vimont, Isaac J., additional, Virts, Katrina, additional, Vivero, Sebastián, additional, Volkov, Denis L., additional, Vömel, Holger, additional, Vose, Russell S., additional, Walker, Donald (Skip) A., additional, Walsh, John E., additional, Wang, Bin, additional, Wang, Hui, additional, Wang, Muyin, additional, Wang, Ray H. J., additional, Wang, Xinyue, additional, Wanninkhof, Rik, additional, Warnock, Taran, additional, Weber, Mark, additional, Webster, Melinda, additional, Wehrlé, Adrian, additional, Wen, Caihong, additional, Westberry, Toby K., additional, Widlansky, Matthew J., additional, Wiese, David N., additional, Wild, Jeannette D., additional, Wille, Jonathan D., additional, Willems, An, additional, Willett, Kate M., additional, Williams, Earle, additional, Willis, J., additional, Wong, Takmeng, additional, Wood, Kimberly M., additional, Woolway, Richard Iestyn, additional, Xie, Ping-Ping, additional, Yang, Daqing, additional, Yin, Xungang, additional, Yin, Ziqi, additional, Zeng, Zhenzhong, additional, Zhang, Huai-min, additional, Zhang, Li, additional, Zhang, Peiqun, additional, Zhao, Lin, additional, Zhou, Xinjia, additional, Zhu, Zhiwei, additional, Ziemke, Jerry R., additional, Ziese, Markus, additional, Zolkos, Scott, additional, Zotta, Ruxandra M., additional, Zou, Cheng-Zhi, additional, Allen, Jessicca, additional, Camper, Amy V., additional, Haley, Bridgette O., additional, Hammer, Gregory, additional, Love-Brotak, S. Elizabeth, additional, Ohlmann, Laura, additional, Noguchi, Lukas, additional, Riddle, Deborah B., additional, and Veasey, Sara W., additional

Published
2023
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18. The Arctic

Author

Moon, T. A., primary, Thoman, R., additional, Druckenmiller, M. L., additional, Ahmasuk, Brandon, additional, Backensto, Stacia A., additional, Ballinger, Thomas J., additional, Benestad, Rasmus, additional, Berner, Logan. T., additional, Bernhard, Germar H., additional, Bhatt, Uma S., additional, Bigalke, Siiri, additional, BjerkeJarle, W., additional, Brettschneider, Brian, additional, Christiansen, Hanne H., additional, Cohen, Judah L., additional, Decharme, Bertrand, additional, Derksen, Chris, additional, Divine, Dmitry, additional, Drost, Jensen, additional, Druckenmiller, Matthew L., additional, EliasChereque, Alesksandra, additional, Epstein, Howard E., additional, Fausto, Robert S., additional, Fettweis, Xavier, additional, Fioletov, Vitali E., additional, Forbes, Bruce C., additional, Frost, Gerald V., additional, Gerland, Sebastian, additional, Goetz, Scott J., additional, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, additional, Hanna, Edward, additional, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, additional, Hendricks, Stefan, additional, Holmes, Robert M., additional, Ialongo, Iolanda, additional, Isaksen, Ketil, additional, Johnsen, Bjørn, additional, Jones, Timothy, additional, Kaler, Robb S.A., additional, Kaleschke, Lars, additional, Kim, Seong-Joong, additional, Labe, Zachary M., additional, Lader, Rick, additional, Lakkala, Kaisa, additional, Lara, Mark J., additional, Lindsey, Jackie, additional, Loomis, Bryant D., additional, Luojus, Kari, additional, Macander, Matthew J., additional, Mamen, Jostein, additional, Mankoff, Ken D., additional, Manney, Gloria L., additional, McAfee, Stephanie A., additional, McClelland, James W., additional, Meier, Walter N., additional, Moon, Twila A., additional, Moore, G. W. K., additional, Mote, Thomas L., additional, Mudryk, Lawrence, additional, Müller, Rolf, additional, Nyland, Kelsey E., additional, Overland, James E., additional, Parrish, Julia K., additional, Perovich, Donald K., additional, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, additional, Petty, Alek, additional, Phoenix, Gareth K., additional, Poinar, Kristin, additional, Rantanen, Mika, additional, Ricker, Robert, additional, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., additional, Serbin, Shawn P., additional, Serreze, Mark C., additional, Sheffield, Gay, additional, Shiklomanov, Alexander I., additional, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I., additional, Smith, Sharon L., additional, Spencer, Robert G. M., additional, Streletskiy, Dmitry A., additional, Suslova, Anya, additional, Svendby, Tove, additional, Tank, Suzanne E., additional, Tedesco, Marco, additional, Thoman, Richard L., additional, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, additional, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, additional, Tømmervik, Hans, additional, Tretiakov, Mikhail, additional, Walker, Donald A., additional, Walsh, John E., additional, Wang, Muyin, additional, Webster, Melinda, additional, Wehrlé, Adrian, additional, Yang, Dedi, additional, Zolkos, Scott, additional, Allen, Jessicca, additional, Camper, Amy V., additional, Haley, Bridgette O., additional, Hammer, Gregory, additional, Love-Brotak, S., additional, Ohlmann, Laura, additional, Noguchi, Lukas, additional, Riddle, Deborah B., additional, and Veasey, Sara W., additional

Published
2023
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21. Alaska Terrestrial and Marine Climate Trends, 1957–2021

Author

Ballinger, Thomas J., primary, Bhatt, Uma S., additional, Bieniek, Peter A., additional, Brettschneider, Brian, additional, Lader, Rick T., additional, Littell, Jeremy S., additional, Thoman, Richard L., additional, Waigl, Christine F., additional, Walsh, John E., additional, and Webster, Melinda A., additional

Published
2023
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24. 8. THE HIGH LATITUDE MARINE HEAT WAVE OF 2016 AND ITS IMPACTS ON ALASKA: The 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies

Author

Walsh, John E., Thoman, Richard L., Bhatt, Uma S., Bieniek, Peter A., Brettschneider, Brian, Brubaker, Michael, Danielson, Seth, Lader, Rick, Fetterer, Florence, Holderied, Kris, Iken, Katrin, Mahoney, Andy, McCammon, Molly, and Partain, James

Subjects
Oceans -- Models, Marine ecosystems -- Models, Global temperature changes -- Models, Business, Earth sciences
Abstract

Earth System Observations. The Gulf of Alaska (GOA) and Bering Sea have been anomalously warm for several years with the warmth peaking in 2016. As a consequence of the high [...]

Published
2018
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25. The Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Efficiency and Reliability of Solar, Hydro, and Wind Energy Sources

Author

Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España), European Commission, National Science Foundation (US), State of Alaska, Bhatt, Uma S. [0000-0003-1056-3686], Carreras, Benjamin A. [0000-0001-7921-4690], Bhatt, Uma S., Carreras, Benjamin A., Reynolds-Barredo, José M., Newman, David E., Collet, Pere, Gomila, Damià, Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España), European Commission, National Science Foundation (US), State of Alaska, Bhatt, Uma S. [0000-0003-1056-3686], Carreras, Benjamin A. [0000-0001-7921-4690], Bhatt, Uma S., Carreras, Benjamin A., Reynolds-Barredo, José M., Newman, David E., Collet, Pere, and Gomila, Damià

Abstract

Climate change impacts the electric power system by affecting both the load and generation. It is paramount to understand this impact in the context of renewable energy as their market share has increased and will continue to grow. This study investigates the impact of climate change on the supply of renewable energy through applying novel metrics of intermittency, power production and storage required by the renewable energy plants as a function of historical climate data variability. Here we focus on and compare two disparate locations, Palma de Mallorca in the Balearic Islands and Cordova, Alaska. The main results of this analysis of wind, solar radiation and precipitation over the 1950–2020 period show that climate change impacts both the total supply available and its variability. Importantly, this impact is found to vary significantly with location. This analysis demonstrates the feasibility of a process to evaluate the local optimal mix of renewables, the changing needs for energy storage as well as the ability to evaluate the impact on grid reliability regarding both penetration of the increasing renewable resources and changes in the variability of the resource. This framework can be used to quantify the impact on both transmission grids and microgrids and can guide possible mitigation paths.

Published
2022

28. Introduction STATE OF THE CLIMATE IN 2022

Author

Boyer, Tim, Bartow-Gillies, Ellen, Abida, A, Ades, Melanie, Adler, Robert, Adusumilli, Susheel, Agyakwah, W, Ahmasuk, Brandon, Aldeco, Laura S, Alexe, Mihai, Alfaro, Eric J, Allan, Richard P, Allgood, Adam, Alves, Lincoln M, Amador, Jorge A, Anderson, John, Andrade, B, Anneville, Orlane, Aono, Yasuyuki, Arguez, Anthony, Arosio, Carlo, Atkinson, C, Augustine, John A, Avalos, Grinia, Azorin-Molina, Cesar, Backensto, Stacia A, Bader, Stephan, Baez, Julian, Baiman, Rebecca, Ballinger, Thomas J, Banwell, Alison F, Bardin, M Yu, Barichivich, Jonathan, Barnes, John E, Barreira, Sandra, Beadling, Rebecca L, Beck, Hylke E, Becker, Emily J, Bekele, E, Bellido, Guillem Martín, Bellouin, Nicolas, Benedetti, Angela, Benestad, Rasmus, Berne, Christine, Berner, Logan T, Bernhard, Germar H, Bhatt, Uma S, Bhuiyan, AE, Bigalke, Siiri, Biló, Tiago, Bissolli, Peter, Bjerke Jarle, W, Blagrave, Kevin, Blake, Eric S, Blenkinsop, Stephen, Blunden, Jessica, Bochníček, Oliver, Bock, Olivier, Bodin, Xavier, Bosilovich, Michael, Boucher, Olivier, Bozkurt, Deniz, Brettschneider, Brian, Bringas, Francis G, Bringas, Francis, Buechler, Dennis, Buehler, Stefan A, Bukunt, Brandon, Calderón, Blanca, Camargo, Suzana J, Campbell, Jayaka, Campos, Diego, Carrea, Laura, Carter, Brendan R, Cetinić, Ivona, Chambers, Don P, Chan, Duo, Chandler, Elise, Chang, Kai-Lan, Chen, Hua, Chen, Lin, Cheng, Lijing, Cheng, Vincent YS, Chomiak, Leah, Christiansen, Hanne H, Christy, John R, Chung, Eui-Seok, Ciasto, Laura M, Clarke, Leonardo, Clem, Kyle R, Clingan, Scott, Coelho, Caio AS, Cohen, Judah L, Coldewey-Egbers, Melanie, Colwell, Steve, Cooper, Owen R, Cornes, Richard C, Correa, Kris, Costa, Felipe, Covey, Curt, Coy, Lawrence, Créatux, Jean-François, Crhova, Lenka, Crimmins, Theresa, Cronin, Meghan F, Cropper, Thomas, Crotwell, Molly, Culpepper, Joshua, Cunha, Ana P, Cusicanqui, Diego, Datta, Rajashree T, Davis, Sean M, De Bock, Veerle, de Jeu, Richard AM, De Laat, Jos, Decharme, Bertrand, Degenstein, Doug, Delaloye, Reynald, Demircan, Mesut, Derksen, Chris, Deus, Ricardo, Dhurmea, KR, Diamond, Howard J, Dirkse, S, Divine, Dmitry, Dokulil, Martin T, Donat, Markus G, Dong, Shenfu, Dorigo, Wouter A, Drost Jensen, Caroline, Druckenmiller, Matthew L, Drumond, Paula, du Plessis, Marcel, Dugan, Hilary A, Dulamsuren, Dashkhuu, Dunmire, Devon, Dunn, Robert JH, Durre, Imke, Dutton, Geoff, Duveiller, Gregory, Ekici, Mithat, Elias Chereque, Alesksandra, ElKharrim, M, Epstein, Howard E, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, Estilow, Thomas W, Estrella, Nicole, Fauchereau, Nicolas, Fausto, Robert S, Feely, Richard A, Fenimore, Chris, Fereday, David, Fettweis, Xavier, Fioletov, vitali E, Flemming, Johannes, Fogarty, Chris, Fogt, Ryan L, Forbes, Bruce C, Foster, Michael J, Franz, Bryan A, Freeman, Natalie M, Fricker, Helen A, Frith, Stacey M, Froidevaux, Lucien, Frost, Gerald V, Fuhrman, Steven, Füllekrug, Martin, Ganter, Catherine, Gao, Meng, Gardner, Alex S, Garforth, Judith, Garg, Jay, Gerland, Sebastian, Gibbes, Badin, Gille, Sarah T, Gilson, John, Gleason, Karin, Gobron, Nadine, Goetz, Scott J, Goldenberg, Stanley B, Goni, Gustavo, Goodman, Steven, Goto, Atsushi, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, Gruber, Alexander, Gu, Guojun, Guard, Charles Chip P, Hagos, S, Hahn, Sebastian, Haimberger, Leopold, Hall, Bradley D, Hamlington, Benjamin D, Hanna, Edward, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, Harnos, Daniel S, Harris, Ian, He, Qiong, Heim, Richard R, Hellström, Sverker, Hemming, Deborah L, Hendricks, Stefan, Hicks, J, Hidalgo, Hugo G, Hirschi, Martin, Ho, Shu-peng, Hobbs, W, Holmes, Robert M, Holzworth, Robert, Hrbáček, Filip, Hu, Guojie, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Huang, Boyin, Huang, Hongjie, Hurst, Dale F, Ialongo, Iolanda, Inness, Antje, Isaksen, Ketil, Ishii, Masayoshi, Jadra, Gerardo, Jevrejeva, Svetlana, John, Viju O, Johns, W, Johnsen, Bjørn, Johnson, Bryan, Johnson, Gregory C, Jones, Philip D, Jones, Timothy, Josey, Simon A, Jumaux, G, Junod, Robert, Kääb, Andreas, Kabidi, K, Kaiser, Johannes W, Kaler, Robb SA, Kaleschke, Lars, Kaufmann, Viktor, Kazemi, Amin Fazl, Keller, Linda M, Kellerer-Pirklbauer, Andreas, Kendon, Mike, Kennedy, John, Kent, Elizabeth C, Kerr, Kenneth, Khan, Valentina, Khiem, Mai Van, Kidd, Richard, Kim, Mi Ju, Kim, Seong-Joong, Kipling, Zak, Klotzbach, Philip J, Knaff, John A, Koppa, Akash, Korshunova, Natalia N, Kraemer, Benjamin M, Kramarova, Natalya A, Kruger, AC, Kruger, Andries, Kumar, Arun, L’Heureux, Michelle, La Fuente, Sofia, Laas, Alo, Labe, Zachary M, Lader, Rick, Lakatos, Mónika, Lakkala, Kaisa, Lam, Hoang Phuc, Lan, Xin, Landschützer, Peter, Landsea, Chris W, Lang, Timothy, Lankhorst, Matthias, Lantz, Kathleen O, Lara, Mark J, Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo, Lavers, David A, Lazzara, Matthew A, Leblanc, Thierry, Lee, Tsz-Cheung, Leibensperger, Eric M, Lennard, Chris, Leuliette, Eric, Leung, Kinson HY, Lieser, Jan L, Likso, Tanja, Lin, I-I, Lindsey, Jackie, Liu, Yakun, Locarnini, Ricardo, Loeb, Norman G, Loomis, Bryant D, Lorrey, Andrew M, Loyola, Diego, Lu, Rui, Lumpkin, Rick, Luo, Jing-Jia, Luojus, Kari, Lyman, John M, Maberly, Stephen C, Macander, Matthew J, MacFerrin, Michael, MacGilchrist, Graeme A, MacLennan, Michelle L, Madelon, Remi, Magee, Andrew D, Magnin, Florence, Mamen, Jostein, Mankoff, Ken D, Manney, Gloria L, Marcinonienė, Izolda, Marengo, Jose A, Marjan, Mohammadi, Martínez, Ana E, Massom, Robert A, Matsuzaki, Shin-Ichiro, May, Linda, Mayer, Michael, Mazloff, Matthew R, McAfee, Stephanie A, McBride, C, McCabe, Matthew F, McClelland, James W, McPhaden, Michael J, Mcvicar, Tim R, Mears, Carl A, Meier, Walter N, Mekonnen, A, Menzel, Annette, Merchant, Christopher J, Merrifield, Mark A, Meyer, Michael F, Meyers, Tristan, Mikolajczyk, David E, Miller, John B, Miralles, Diego G, Misevicius, Noelia, Mishonov, Alexey, Mitchum, Gary T, Moat, Ben I, Moesinger, Leander, Moise, Aurel, Molina-Carpio, Jorge, Monet, Ghislaine, Montzka, Stephan A, Moon, Twila A, Moore, GWK, Mora, Natali, Morán, Johnny, Morehen, Claire, Morice, Colin, Mostafa, AE, Mote, Thomas L, Mrekaj, Ivan, Mudryk, Lawrence, Mühle, Jens, Müller, Rolf, Nance, David, Nash, Eric R, Nerem, R Steven, Newman, Paul A, Nicolas, Julien P, Nieto, Juan J, Noetzli, Jeannette, Noll, Ben, Norton, Taylor, Nyland, Kelsey E, O’Keefe, John, Ochwat, Naomi, Oikawa, Yoshinori, Okunaka, Yuka, Osborn, Timothy J, Overland, James E, Park, Taejin, Parrington, Mark, Parrish, Julia K, Pasch, Richard J, Pascual Ramírez, Reynaldo, Pellet, Cécile, Pelto, Mauri S, Perčec Tadić, Melita, Perovich, Donald K, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, Petersen, Kyle, Petropavlovskikh, Irina, Petty, Alek, Pezza, Alexandre B, Pezzi, Luciano P, Phillips, Coda, Phoenix, Gareth K, Pierson, Don, Pinto, Izidine, Pires, Vanda, Pitts, Michael, Po-Chedley, Stephen, Pogliotti, Paolo, Poinar, Kristin, Polvani, Lorenzo, Preimesberger, Wolfgang, Price, Colin, Pulkkanen, Merja, Purkey, Sarah G, Qiu, Bo, Quisbert, Kenny, Quispe, Willy R, Rajeevan, M, Ramos, Andrea M, Randel, William J, Rantanen, Mika, Raphael, Marilyn N, Reagan, James, Recalde, Cristina, Reid, Phillip, Rémy, Samuel, Reyes Kohler, Alejandra J, Ricciardulli, Lucrezia, Richardson, Andrew D, Ricker, Robert, Robinson, David A, Robjhon, M, Rocha, Willy, Rodell, Matthew, Rodriguez Guisado, Esteban, Rodriguez-Fernandez, Nemesio, Romanovsky, Vladimir E, Ronchail, Josyane, Rosencrans, Matthew, Rosenlof, Karen H, Rösner, Benjamin, Rösner, Henrieke, Rozanov, Alexei, Rozkošný, Jozef, Rubek, Frans, Rusanovskaya, Olga O, Rutishauser, This, Sabeerali, CT, Salinas, Roberto, Sánchez-Lugo, Ahira, Santee, Michelle L, Santini, Marcelo, Sato, Katsunari, Sawaengphokhai, Parnchai, Sayouri, A, Scambos, Theodore, Schenzinger, Verena, Schimanke, Semjon, Schlegel, Robert W, Schmid, Claudia, Schmid, Martin, Schneider, Udo, Schreck, Carl J, Schultz, Cristina, _, _, Segele, ZT, Sensoy, Serhat, Serbin, Shawn P, Serreze, Mark C, Setiawan, Amsari Mudzakir, Sezaki, Fumi, Sharma, Sapna, Sharp, Jonathan D, Sheffield, Gay, Shi, Jia-Rui, Shi, Lei, Shiklomanov, Alexander I, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I, Shimaraeva, Svetlana V, Shukla, R, Siegel, David A, Silow, Eugene A, Sima, F, Simmons, Adrian J, Smeed, David A, Smith, Adam, Smith, Sharon L, Soden, Brian J, Sofieva, Viktoria, Souza, Everaldo, Sparks, Tim H, Spence-Hemmings, Jacqueline, Spencer, Robert GM, Spillane, Sandra, Sreejith, OP, Srivastava, AK, Stackhouse, Paul W, Stammerjohn, Sharon, Stauffer, Ryan, Steinbrecht, Wolfgang, Steiner, Andrea K, Stella, Jose L, Stephenson, Tannecia S, Stradiotti, Pietro, Strahan, Susan E, Streletskiy, Dmitry A, Surendran, Divya E, Suslova, Anya, Svendby, Tove, Sweet, William, Takahashi, Kiyotoshi, Takemura, Kazuto, Tank, Suzanne E, Taylor, Michael A, Tedesco, Marco, Thackeray, Stephen J, Thiaw, WM, Thibert, Emmanuel, Thoman, Richard L, Thompson, Andrew F, Thompson, Philip R, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, Timofeyev, Maxim A, Tobin, Skie, Tømmervik, Hans, Tourpali, Kleareti, Trescilo, Lidia, Tretiakov, Mikhail, Trewin, Blair C, Triñanes, Joaquin A, Trotman, Adrian, Truchelut, Ryan E, Trusel, Luke D, Tye, Mari R, van der A, Ronald, van der Schalie, Robin, van der Schrier, Gerard, Van Meerbeeck, Cedric J, van vliet, Arnold JH, Vazife, Ahad, Verburg, Piet, Vernier, Jean-Paul, Vimont, Isaac J, Virts, Katrina, Vivero, Sebastián, Volkov, Denis L, Vömel, Holger, Vose, Russell S, Walker, Donald A, Walsh, John E, Wang, Bin, Wang, Hui, Wang, Muyin, Wang, Ray HJ, Wang, Xinyue, Wanninkhof, Rik, Warnock, Taran, Weber, Mark, Webster, Melinda, Wehrlé, Adrian, Wen, Caihong, Westberry, Toby K, Widlansky, Matthew J, Wiese, David N, Wild, Jeannette D, Wille, Jonathan D, Willems, An, Willett, Kate M, Williams, Earle, Willis, J, Wong, Takmeng, Wood, Kimberly M, Woolway, Richard Iestyn, Xie, Ping-Ping, Yang, Dedi, Yin, Xungang, Yin, Ziqi, Zeng, Zhenzhong, Zhang, Huai-min, Zhang, Li, Zhang, Peiqun, Zhao, Lin, Zhou, Xinjia, Zhu, Zhiwei, Ziemke, Jerry R, Ziese, Markus, Zolkos, Scott, Zotta, Ruxandra M, Zou, Cheng-Zhi, Allen, Jessicca, Camper, Amy V, Haley, Bridgette O, Hammer, Gregory, Love-Brotak, S Elizabeth, Ohlmann, Laura, Noguchi, Lukas, Riddle, Deborah B, Veasey, Sara W, Boyer, Tim, Bartow-Gillies, Ellen, Abida, A, Ades, Melanie, Adler, Robert, Adusumilli, Susheel, Agyakwah, W, Ahmasuk, Brandon, Aldeco, Laura S, Alexe, Mihai, Alfaro, Eric J, Allan, Richard P, Allgood, Adam, Alves, Lincoln M, Amador, Jorge A, Anderson, John, Andrade, B, Anneville, Orlane, Aono, Yasuyuki, Arguez, Anthony, Arosio, Carlo, Atkinson, C, Augustine, John A, Avalos, Grinia, Azorin-Molina, Cesar, Backensto, Stacia A, Bader, Stephan, Baez, Julian, Baiman, Rebecca, Ballinger, Thomas J, Banwell, Alison F, Bardin, M Yu, Barichivich, Jonathan, Barnes, John E, Barreira, Sandra, Beadling, Rebecca L, Beck, Hylke E, Becker, Emily J, Bekele, E, Bellido, Guillem Martín, Bellouin, Nicolas, Benedetti, Angela, Benestad, Rasmus, Berne, Christine, Berner, Logan T, Bernhard, Germar H, Bhatt, Uma S, Bhuiyan, AE, Bigalke, Siiri, Biló, Tiago, Bissolli, Peter, Bjerke Jarle, W, Blagrave, Kevin, Blake, Eric S, Blenkinsop, Stephen, Blunden, Jessica, Bochníček, Oliver, Bock, Olivier, Bodin, Xavier, Bosilovich, Michael, Boucher, Olivier, Bozkurt, Deniz, Brettschneider, Brian, Bringas, Francis G, Bringas, Francis, Buechler, Dennis, Buehler, Stefan A, Bukunt, Brandon, Calderón, Blanca, Camargo, Suzana J, Campbell, Jayaka, Campos, Diego, Carrea, Laura, Carter, Brendan R, Cetinić, Ivona, Chambers, Don P, Chan, Duo, Chandler, Elise, Chang, Kai-Lan, Chen, Hua, Chen, Lin, Cheng, Lijing, Cheng, Vincent YS, Chomiak, Leah, Christiansen, Hanne H, Christy, John R, Chung, Eui-Seok, Ciasto, Laura M, Clarke, Leonardo, Clem, Kyle R, Clingan, Scott, Coelho, Caio AS, Cohen, Judah L, Coldewey-Egbers, Melanie, Colwell, Steve, Cooper, Owen R, Cornes, Richard C, Correa, Kris, Costa, Felipe, Covey, Curt, Coy, Lawrence, Créatux, Jean-François, Crhova, Lenka, Crimmins, Theresa, Cronin, Meghan F, Cropper, Thomas, Crotwell, Molly, Culpepper, Joshua, Cunha, Ana P, Cusicanqui, Diego, Datta, Rajashree T, Davis, Sean M, De Bock, Veerle, de Jeu, Richard AM, De Laat, Jos, Decharme, Bertrand, Degenstein, Doug, Delaloye, Reynald, Demircan, Mesut, Derksen, Chris, Deus, Ricardo, Dhurmea, KR, Diamond, Howard J, Dirkse, S, Divine, Dmitry, Dokulil, Martin T, Donat, Markus G, Dong, Shenfu, Dorigo, Wouter A, Drost Jensen, Caroline, Druckenmiller, Matthew L, Drumond, Paula, du Plessis, Marcel, Dugan, Hilary A, Dulamsuren, Dashkhuu, Dunmire, Devon, Dunn, Robert JH, Durre, Imke, Dutton, Geoff, Duveiller, Gregory, Ekici, Mithat, Elias Chereque, Alesksandra, ElKharrim, M, Epstein, Howard E, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, Estilow, Thomas W, Estrella, Nicole, Fauchereau, Nicolas, Fausto, Robert S, Feely, Richard A, Fenimore, Chris, Fereday, David, Fettweis, Xavier, Fioletov, vitali E, Flemming, Johannes, Fogarty, Chris, Fogt, Ryan L, Forbes, Bruce C, Foster, Michael J, Franz, Bryan A, Freeman, Natalie M, Fricker, Helen A, Frith, Stacey M, Froidevaux, Lucien, Frost, Gerald V, Fuhrman, Steven, Füllekrug, Martin, Ganter, Catherine, Gao, Meng, Gardner, Alex S, Garforth, Judith, Garg, Jay, Gerland, Sebastian, Gibbes, Badin, Gille, Sarah T, Gilson, John, Gleason, Karin, Gobron, Nadine, Goetz, Scott J, Goldenberg, Stanley B, Goni, Gustavo, Goodman, Steven, Goto, Atsushi, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, Gruber, Alexander, Gu, Guojun, Guard, Charles Chip P, Hagos, S, Hahn, Sebastian, Haimberger, Leopold, Hall, Bradley D, Hamlington, Benjamin D, Hanna, Edward, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, Harnos, Daniel S, Harris, Ian, He, Qiong, Heim, Richard R, Hellström, Sverker, Hemming, Deborah L, Hendricks, Stefan, Hicks, J, Hidalgo, Hugo G, Hirschi, Martin, Ho, Shu-peng, Hobbs, W, Holmes, Robert M, Holzworth, Robert, Hrbáček, Filip, Hu, Guojie, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Huang, Boyin, Huang, Hongjie, Hurst, Dale F, Ialongo, Iolanda, Inness, Antje, Isaksen, Ketil, Ishii, Masayoshi, Jadra, Gerardo, Jevrejeva, Svetlana, John, Viju O, Johns, W, Johnsen, Bjørn, Johnson, Bryan, Johnson, Gregory C, Jones, Philip D, Jones, Timothy, Josey, Simon A, Jumaux, G, Junod, Robert, Kääb, Andreas, Kabidi, K, Kaiser, Johannes W, Kaler, Robb SA, Kaleschke, Lars, Kaufmann, Viktor, Kazemi, Amin Fazl, Keller, Linda M, Kellerer-Pirklbauer, Andreas, Kendon, Mike, Kennedy, John, Kent, Elizabeth C, Kerr, Kenneth, Khan, Valentina, Khiem, Mai Van, Kidd, Richard, Kim, Mi Ju, Kim, Seong-Joong, Kipling, Zak, Klotzbach, Philip J, Knaff, John A, Koppa, Akash, Korshunova, Natalia N, Kraemer, Benjamin M, Kramarova, Natalya A, Kruger, AC, Kruger, Andries, Kumar, Arun, L’Heureux, Michelle, La Fuente, Sofia, Laas, Alo, Labe, Zachary M, Lader, Rick, Lakatos, Mónika, Lakkala, Kaisa, Lam, Hoang Phuc, Lan, Xin, Landschützer, Peter, Landsea, Chris W, Lang, Timothy, Lankhorst, Matthias, Lantz, Kathleen O, Lara, Mark J, Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo, Lavers, David A, Lazzara, Matthew A, Leblanc, Thierry, Lee, Tsz-Cheung, Leibensperger, Eric M, Lennard, Chris, Leuliette, Eric, Leung, Kinson HY, Lieser, Jan L, Likso, Tanja, Lin, I-I, Lindsey, Jackie, Liu, Yakun, Locarnini, Ricardo, Loeb, Norman G, Loomis, Bryant D, Lorrey, Andrew M, Loyola, Diego, Lu, Rui, Lumpkin, Rick, Luo, Jing-Jia, Luojus, Kari, Lyman, John M, Maberly, Stephen C, Macander, Matthew J, MacFerrin, Michael, MacGilchrist, Graeme A, MacLennan, Michelle L, Madelon, Remi, Magee, Andrew D, Magnin, Florence, Mamen, Jostein, Mankoff, Ken D, Manney, Gloria L, Marcinonienė, Izolda, Marengo, Jose A, Marjan, Mohammadi, Martínez, Ana E, Massom, Robert A, Matsuzaki, Shin-Ichiro, May, Linda, Mayer, Michael, Mazloff, Matthew R, McAfee, Stephanie A, McBride, C, McCabe, Matthew F, McClelland, James W, McPhaden, Michael J, Mcvicar, Tim R, Mears, Carl A, Meier, Walter N, Mekonnen, A, Menzel, Annette, Merchant, Christopher J, Merrifield, Mark A, Meyer, Michael F, Meyers, Tristan, Mikolajczyk, David E, Miller, John B, Miralles, Diego G, Misevicius, Noelia, Mishonov, Alexey, Mitchum, Gary T, Moat, Ben I, Moesinger, Leander, Moise, Aurel, Molina-Carpio, Jorge, Monet, Ghislaine, Montzka, Stephan A, Moon, Twila A, Moore, GWK, Mora, Natali, Morán, Johnny, Morehen, Claire, Morice, Colin, Mostafa, AE, Mote, Thomas L, Mrekaj, Ivan, Mudryk, Lawrence, Mühle, Jens, Müller, Rolf, Nance, David, Nash, Eric R, Nerem, R Steven, Newman, Paul A, Nicolas, Julien P, Nieto, Juan J, Noetzli, Jeannette, Noll, Ben, Norton, Taylor, Nyland, Kelsey E, O’Keefe, John, Ochwat, Naomi, Oikawa, Yoshinori, Okunaka, Yuka, Osborn, Timothy J, Overland, James E, Park, Taejin, Parrington, Mark, Parrish, Julia K, Pasch, Richard J, Pascual Ramírez, Reynaldo, Pellet, Cécile, Pelto, Mauri S, Perčec Tadić, Melita, Perovich, Donald K, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, Petersen, Kyle, Petropavlovskikh, Irina, Petty, Alek, Pezza, Alexandre B, Pezzi, Luciano P, Phillips, Coda, Phoenix, Gareth K, Pierson, Don, Pinto, Izidine, Pires, Vanda, Pitts, Michael, Po-Chedley, Stephen, Pogliotti, Paolo, Poinar, Kristin, Polvani, Lorenzo, Preimesberger, Wolfgang, Price, Colin, Pulkkanen, Merja, Purkey, Sarah G, Qiu, Bo, Quisbert, Kenny, Quispe, Willy R, Rajeevan, M, Ramos, Andrea M, Randel, William J, Rantanen, Mika, Raphael, Marilyn N, Reagan, James, Recalde, Cristina, Reid, Phillip, Rémy, Samuel, Reyes Kohler, Alejandra J, Ricciardulli, Lucrezia, Richardson, Andrew D, Ricker, Robert, Robinson, David A, Robjhon, M, Rocha, Willy, Rodell, Matthew, Rodriguez Guisado, Esteban, Rodriguez-Fernandez, Nemesio, Romanovsky, Vladimir E, Ronchail, Josyane, Rosencrans, Matthew, Rosenlof, Karen H, Rösner, Benjamin, Rösner, Henrieke, Rozanov, Alexei, Rozkošný, Jozef, Rubek, Frans, Rusanovskaya, Olga O, Rutishauser, This, Sabeerali, CT, Salinas, Roberto, Sánchez-Lugo, Ahira, Santee, Michelle L, Santini, Marcelo, Sato, Katsunari, Sawaengphokhai, Parnchai, Sayouri, A, Scambos, Theodore, Schenzinger, Verena, Schimanke, Semjon, Schlegel, Robert W, Schmid, Claudia, Schmid, Martin, Schneider, Udo, Schreck, Carl J, Schultz, Cristina, _, _, Segele, ZT, Sensoy, Serhat, Serbin, Shawn P, Serreze, Mark C, Setiawan, Amsari Mudzakir, Sezaki, Fumi, Sharma, Sapna, Sharp, Jonathan D, Sheffield, Gay, Shi, Jia-Rui, Shi, Lei, Shiklomanov, Alexander I, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I, Shimaraeva, Svetlana V, Shukla, R, Siegel, David A, Silow, Eugene A, Sima, F, Simmons, Adrian J, Smeed, David A, Smith, Adam, Smith, Sharon L, Soden, Brian J, Sofieva, Viktoria, Souza, Everaldo, Sparks, Tim H, Spence-Hemmings, Jacqueline, Spencer, Robert GM, Spillane, Sandra, Sreejith, OP, Srivastava, AK, Stackhouse, Paul W, Stammerjohn, Sharon, Stauffer, Ryan, Steinbrecht, Wolfgang, Steiner, Andrea K, Stella, Jose L, Stephenson, Tannecia S, Stradiotti, Pietro, Strahan, Susan E, Streletskiy, Dmitry A, Surendran, Divya E, Suslova, Anya, Svendby, Tove, Sweet, William, Takahashi, Kiyotoshi, Takemura, Kazuto, Tank, Suzanne E, Taylor, Michael A, Tedesco, Marco, Thackeray, Stephen J, Thiaw, WM, Thibert, Emmanuel, Thoman, Richard L, Thompson, Andrew F, Thompson, Philip R, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, Timofeyev, Maxim A, Tobin, Skie, Tømmervik, Hans, Tourpali, Kleareti, Trescilo, Lidia, Tretiakov, Mikhail, Trewin, Blair C, Triñanes, Joaquin A, Trotman, Adrian, Truchelut, Ryan E, Trusel, Luke D, Tye, Mari R, van der A, Ronald, van der Schalie, Robin, van der Schrier, Gerard, Van Meerbeeck, Cedric J, van vliet, Arnold JH, Vazife, Ahad, Verburg, Piet, Vernier, Jean-Paul, Vimont, Isaac J, Virts, Katrina, Vivero, Sebastián, Volkov, Denis L, Vömel, Holger, Vose, Russell S, Walker, Donald A, Walsh, John E, Wang, Bin, Wang, Hui, Wang, Muyin, Wang, Ray HJ, Wang, Xinyue, Wanninkhof, Rik, Warnock, Taran, Weber, Mark, Webster, Melinda, Wehrlé, Adrian, Wen, Caihong, Westberry, Toby K, Widlansky, Matthew J, Wiese, David N, Wild, Jeannette D, Wille, Jonathan D, Willems, An, Willett, Kate M, Williams, Earle, Willis, J, Wong, Takmeng, Wood, Kimberly M, Woolway, Richard Iestyn, Xie, Ping-Ping, Yang, Dedi, Yin, Xungang, Yin, Ziqi, Zeng, Zhenzhong, Zhang, Huai-min, Zhang, Li, Zhang, Peiqun, Zhao, Lin, Zhou, Xinjia, Zhu, Zhiwei, Ziemke, Jerry R, Ziese, Markus, Zolkos, Scott, Zotta, Ruxandra M, Zou, Cheng-Zhi, Allen, Jessicca, Camper, Amy V, Haley, Bridgette O, Hammer, Gregory, Love-Brotak, S Elizabeth, Ohlmann, Laura, Noguchi, Lukas, Riddle, Deborah B, and Veasey, Sara W

Abstract

Abstract —J. BLUNDEN, T. BOYER, AND E. BARTOW-GILLIES Earth’s global climate system is vast, complex, and intricately interrelated. Many areas are influenced by global-scale phenomena, including the “triple dip” La Niña conditions that prevailed in the eastern Pacific Ocean nearly continuously from mid-2020 through all of 2022; by regional phenomena such as the positive winter and summer North Atlantic Oscillation that impacted weather in parts the Northern Hemisphere and the negative Indian Ocean dipole that impacted weather in parts of the Southern Hemisphere; and by more localized systems such as high-pressure heat domes that caused extreme heat in different areas of the world. Underlying all these natural short-term variabilities are long-term climate trends due to continuous increases since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in the atmospheric concentrations of Earth’s major greenhouse gases. In 2022, the annual global average carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere rose to 417.1±0.1 ppm, which is 50% greater than the pre-industrial level. Global mean tropospheric methane abundance was 165% higher than its pre-industrial level, and nitrous oxide was 24% higher. All three gases set new record-high atmospheric concentration levels in 2022. Sea-surface temperature patterns in the tropical Pacific characteristic of La Niña and attendant atmospheric patterns tend to mitigate atmospheric heat gain at the global scale, but the annual global surface temperature across land and oceans was still among the six highest in records dating as far back as the mid-1800s. It was the warmest La Niña year on record. Many areas observed record or near-record heat. Europe as a whole observed its second-warmest year on record, with sixteen individual countries observing record warmth at the national scale. Records were shattered across the continent during the summer months as heatwaves

Published
2023

29. The Arctic

Author

Moon, TA, Thoman, R, Druckenmiller, ML, Ahmasuk, Brandon, Backensto, Stacia A, Ballinger, Thomas J, Benestad, Rasmus, Berner, Logan T, Bernhard, Germar H, Bhatt, Uma S, Bigalke, Siiri, BjerkeJarle, W, Brettschneider, Brian, Christiansen, Hanne H, Cohen, Judah L, Decharme, Bertrand, Derksen, Chris, Divine, Dmitry, Drost, Jensen, Druckenmiller, Matthew L, EliasChereque, Alesksandra, Epstein, Howard E, Fausto, Robert S, Fettweis, Xavier, Fioletov, Vitali E, Forbes, Bruce C, Frost, Gerald V, Gerland, Sebastian, Goetz, Scott J, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, Hanna, Edward, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, Hendricks, Stefan, Holmes, Robert M, Ialongo, Iolanda, Isaksen, Ketil, Johnsen, Bjørn, Jones, Timothy, Kaler, Robb SA, Kaleschke, Lars, Kim, Seong-Joong, Labe, Zachary M, Lader, Rick, Lakkala, Kaisa, Lara, Mark J, Lindsey, Jackie, Loomis, Bryant D, Luojus, Kari, Macander, Matthew J, Mamen, Jostein, Mankoff, Ken D, Manney, Gloria L, McAfee, Stephanie A, McClelland, James W, Meier, Walter N, Moon, Twila A, Moore, GWK, Mote, Thomas L, Mudryk, Lawrence, Müller, Rolf, Nyland, Kelsey E, Overland, James E, Parrish, Julia K, Perovich, Donald K, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, Petty, Alek, Phoenix, Gareth K, Poinar, Kristin, Rantanen, Mika, Ricker, Robert, Romanovsky, Vladimir E, Serbin, Shawn P, Serreze, Mark C, Sheffield, Gay, Shiklomanov, Alexander I, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I, Smith, Sharon L, Spencer, Robert GM, Streletskiy, Dmitry A, Suslova, Anya, Svendby, Tove, Tank, Suzanne E, Tedesco, Marco, Thoman, Richard L, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, Tømmervik, Hans, Tretiakov, Mikhail, Walker, Donald A, Walsh, John E, Wang, Muyin, Webster, Melinda, Wehrlé, Adrian, Yang, Dedi, Zolkos, Scott, Allen, Jessicca, Camper, Amy V, Haley, Bridgette O, Hammer, Gregory, Love-Brotak, S, Ohlmann, Laura, Noguchi, Lukas, Riddle, Deborah B, Veasey, Sara W, Moon, TA, Thoman, R, Druckenmiller, ML, Ahmasuk, Brandon, Backensto, Stacia A, Ballinger, Thomas J, Benestad, Rasmus, Berner, Logan T, Bernhard, Germar H, Bhatt, Uma S, Bigalke, Siiri, BjerkeJarle, W, Brettschneider, Brian, Christiansen, Hanne H, Cohen, Judah L, Decharme, Bertrand, Derksen, Chris, Divine, Dmitry, Drost, Jensen, Druckenmiller, Matthew L, EliasChereque, Alesksandra, Epstein, Howard E, Fausto, Robert S, Fettweis, Xavier, Fioletov, Vitali E, Forbes, Bruce C, Frost, Gerald V, Gerland, Sebastian, Goetz, Scott J, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, Hanna, Edward, Hanssen-Bauer, Inger, Hendricks, Stefan, Holmes, Robert M, Ialongo, Iolanda, Isaksen, Ketil, Johnsen, Bjørn, Jones, Timothy, Kaler, Robb SA, Kaleschke, Lars, Kim, Seong-Joong, Labe, Zachary M, Lader, Rick, Lakkala, Kaisa, Lara, Mark J, Lindsey, Jackie, Loomis, Bryant D, Luojus, Kari, Macander, Matthew J, Mamen, Jostein, Mankoff, Ken D, Manney, Gloria L, McAfee, Stephanie A, McClelland, James W, Meier, Walter N, Moon, Twila A, Moore, GWK, Mote, Thomas L, Mudryk, Lawrence, Müller, Rolf, Nyland, Kelsey E, Overland, James E, Parrish, Julia K, Perovich, Donald K, Petersen, Guðrún Nína, Petty, Alek, Phoenix, Gareth K, Poinar, Kristin, Rantanen, Mika, Ricker, Robert, Romanovsky, Vladimir E, Serbin, Shawn P, Serreze, Mark C, Sheffield, Gay, Shiklomanov, Alexander I, Shiklomanov, Nikolay I, Smith, Sharon L, Spencer, Robert GM, Streletskiy, Dmitry A, Suslova, Anya, Svendby, Tove, Tank, Suzanne E, Tedesco, Marco, Thoman, Richard L, Tian-Kunze, Xiangshan, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, Tømmervik, Hans, Tretiakov, Mikhail, Walker, Donald A, Walsh, John E, Wang, Muyin, Webster, Melinda, Wehrlé, Adrian, Yang, Dedi, Zolkos, Scott, Allen, Jessicca, Camper, Amy V, Haley, Bridgette O, Hammer, Gregory, Love-Brotak, S, Ohlmann, Laura, Noguchi, Lukas, Riddle, Deborah B, and Veasey, Sara W

Published
2023

32. Decadal Variability in Spring Sea Ice Concentration Linked to Summer Temperature and NDVI on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta

Author

Hendricks, Amy S., primary, Bhatt, Uma S., additional, Frost, Gerald V., additional, Walker, Donald A., additional, Bieniek, Peter A., additional, Raynolds, Martha K., additional, Lader, Rick T., additional, Epstein, Howard E., additional, Pinzon, Jorge E., additional, Tucker, Compton J., additional, and Comiso, Josefino C., additional

Published
2023
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34. Cumulative Effects of Rapid Land-Cover and Land-Use Changes on the Yamal Peninsula, Russia

Author

Walker, Donald A., Forbes, Bruce C., Leibman, Marina O., Epstein, Howard E., Bhatt, Uma S., Comiso, Josefino C., Drozdov, Dmitri S., Gubarkov, Anatoly A., Jia, Gensuo J., Kaarlejärvi, Elina, Kaplan, Jed O., Khomutov, Artem V., Kofinas, Gary P., Kumpula, Timo, Kuss, Patrick, Moskalenko, Natalia G., Meschtyb, Nina A., Pajunen, Anu, Raynolds, Martha K., Romanovsky, Vladimir E., Stammler, Florian, Yu, Qin, Gutman, Garik, editor, and Reissell, Anni, editor

Published
2011
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39. The Arctic

Author

Thoman, Richard L., primary, Druckenmiller, Matthew L., additional, Moon, Twila A., additional, Andreassen, L. M., additional, Baker, E., additional, Ballinger, Thomas J., additional, Berner, Logan T., additional, Bernhard, Germar H., additional, Bhatt, Uma S., additional, Bjerke, Jarle W., additional, Boisvert, L.N., additional, Box, Jason E., additional, Brettschneider, B., additional, Burgess, D., additional, Butler, Amy H., additional, Cappelen, John, additional, Christiansen, Hanne H., additional, Decharme, B., additional, Derksen, C., additional, Divine, Dmitry, additional, Drozdov, D. S., additional, Elias, Chereque A., additional, Epstein, Howard E., additional, Farrell, Sinead L., additional, Fausto, Robert S., additional, Fettweis, Xavier, additional, Fioletov, Vitali E., additional, Forbes, Bruce C., additional, Frost, Gerald V., additional, Gerland, Sebastian, additional, Goetz, Scott J., additional, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, additional, Haas, Christian, additional, Hanna, Edward, additional, Hanssen, -Bauer Inger, additional, Heijmans, M. M. P. D., additional, Hendricks, Stefan, additional, Ialongo, Iolanda, additional, Isaksen, K., additional, Jensen, C. D., additional, Johnsen, Bjørn, additional, Kaleschke, L., additional, Kholodov, A. L., additional, Kim, Seong-Joong, additional, Kohler, J., additional, Korsgaard, Niels J., additional, Labe, Zachary, additional, Lakkala, Kaisa, additional, Lara, Mark J., additional, Lee, Simon H., additional, Loomis, Bryant, additional, Luks, B., additional, Luojus, K., additional, Macander, Matthew J., additional, Magnússon, R. Í, additional, Malkova, G. V., additional, Mankoff, Kenneth D., additional, Manney, Gloria L., additional, Meier, Walter N., additional, Mote, Thomas, additional, Mudryk, Lawrence, additional, Müller, Rolf, additional, Nyland, K. E., additional, Overland, James E., additional, Pálsson, F., additional, Park, T., additional, Parker, C. L., additional, Perovich, Don, additional, Petty, Alek, additional, Phoenix, Gareth K., additional, Pinzon, J. E., additional, Ricker, Robert, additional, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., additional, Serbin, S. P., additional, Sheffield, G., additional, Shiklomanov, Nikolai I., additional, Smith, Sharon L., additional, Stafford, K. M., additional, Steer, A., additional, Streletskiy, Dimitri A., additional, Svendby, Tove, additional, Tedesco, Marco, additional, Thomson, L., additional, Thorsteinsson, T., additional, Tian-Kunze, X., additional, Timmermans, Mary-Louise, additional, Tømmervik, Hans, additional, Tschudi, Mark, additional, Tucker, C. J., additional, Walker, Donald A., additional, Walsh, John E., additional, Wang, Muyin, additional, Webster, Melinda, additional, Wehrlé, A., additional, Winton, Øyvind, additional, Wolken, G., additional, Wood, K., additional, Wouters, B., additional, and Yang, D., additional

Published
2022
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42. Forecast Skill of the Arctic Sea Ice Outlook 2008–2022.

Author

Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Edward, Bushuk, Mitchell, Massonnet, François, Hamilton, Lawrence C., Bitz, Cecilia M., Meier, Walter N., and Bhatt, Uma S.

Subjects
SEA ice, ATMOSPHERIC circulation, FORECASTING
Abstract

We assess the skill of forecasts of Arctic September sea ice in the Sea Ice Outlook over 2008–2022. The multi‐model median June initialized forecast of September sea ice extent (SIE) is slightly more skilled (RMSE = 0.48 million km2) than a damped anomaly forecast, but July and August initialized forecasts (RMSE = 0.52 and 0.36 million km2 respectively) do not beat this benchmark. The skill of individual dynamical and statistical SIE forecasts is lower than the multi‐model median forecast skill. Overall skill is lower than expected from retrospective forecasts. Several forecasts initialized in early September 2021 and 2022 imply physically improbable values. Spatial forecasts of sea ice concentration show multi‐model forecast skill and an improvement in individual forecast skill in recent years. Initial conditions show large spread in sea ice volume and a positive correlation between initialized sea ice volume and September SIE forecast. Summer weather has an impact on forecast error. Plain Language Summary: We have collected, analyzed, and disseminated seasonal forecasts of September sea ice over 2008–2022. Here, we analyze the skill of these forecasts. We show that individual forecasts of September sea ice extent (SIE) have limited skill, but the median forecast shows skill that is at least as good as a statistical benchmark. Overall the skill is lower than expected from existing retrospective forecasts. Shorter‐term forecasts produced in early September show that many forecasts imply physically unprecedented rates of SIE change. The skill of spatial forecasts from individual models is also limited, but the multi‐model forecast is twice as skilled, showing the value of a multi‐model forecast ensemble. To explore the spread across forecasts we have assessed sea ice initial conditions and found large differences in the sea ice volume used to initialize forecasts, which has an impact on the forecast. We also find that summer weather has a modest impact on forecast error, which tends to underpredict September SIE during summers with circulation patterns that favor high September SIE and vice versa. Key Points: The skill of September sea ice extent (SIE) forecasts over 2008–2022 is modest. The multi‐model forecast has the highest skillSea ice forecast initial conditions are variable. Forecasts initialized with more sea ice volume forecast greater September SIESummer atmospheric circulation has an impact on forecast error [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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43. Climate Divisions for Alaska Based on Objective Methods

Author

Bieniek, Peter A., Bhatt, Uma S., Thoman, Richard L., Angeloff, Heather, Partain, James, Papineau, John, Fritsch, Frederick, Holloway, Eric, Walsh, John E., Daly, Christopher, Shulski, Martha, Hufford, Gary, Hill, David F., Calos, Stavros, and Gens, Rudiger

Published
2012

45. Changing Seasonality of Panarctic Tundra Vegetation in Relationship to Climatic Variables

Author

Bhatt, Uma S, Walker, Donald A, Raynolds, Martha K, Bieniek, Peter A, Epstein, Howard E, Comiso, Josefino C, Pinzon, Jorge E, Tucker, Compton J, Steele, Michael, Ermold, Wendy, and Zhang, Jinlun

Subjects
Geosciences (General)
Abstract

Potential climate drivers of Arctic tundra vegetation productivity are investigated to understand recent greening and browning trends documented by maximum normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (MaxNDVI) and time-integrated NDVI (TI-NDVI) for 19822015. Over this period, summer sea ice has continued to decline while oceanic heat content has increased. The increases in summer warmth index (SWI) and NDVI have not been uniform over the satellite record. SWI increased from 1982 to the mid-1990s and remained relatively flat from 1998 onwards until a recent upturn. While MaxNDVI displays positive trends from 19822015, TI-NDVI increased from 1982 until 2001 and has declined since. The data for the first and second halves of the record were analyzed and compared spatially for changing trends with a focus on the growing season. Negative trends for MaxNDVI and TI-NDVI were more common during 19992015 compared to 19821998.

Published
2017
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49. Climate Indicators of Landslide Risks on Alaska National Park Road Corridors.

Author

Lader, Rick, Sousanes, Pamela, Bhatt, Uma S., Walsh, John E., and Bieniek, Peter A.

Subjects
LANDSLIDES, NATIONAL parks & reserves, ATMOSPHERIC models, ATMOSPHERIC temperature
Abstract

Landslides along road corridors in Alaska national parks pose threats to public safety, visitor access, subsistence activities, and result in costly remediation of damaged infrastructure. Landslide risk in these areas, which contain near-surface permafrost, is associated with mean annual air temperatures (MAATs) above freezing and heavy precipitation events. Historical (1981–2020) values of MAAT and summer precipitation (JJA PCPT) from the fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (Reading, UK) atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) were compared to mid-century (2021–2060) and late-century (2061–2100) downscaled climate model projections across Gates of the Arctic National Park and Preserve (GAAR), Denali National Park and Preserve (DENA), and Wrangell-St. Elias National Park and Preserve (WRST). ERA5 showed that all locations historically had MAAT values below freezing, but all three parks were warming significantly (0.3–0.6 °C per decade). Observed trends of MAAT from 18 stations showed warming trends with 11 of the 18 being significant at the 95% confidence level using the Mann–Kendall non-parametric test. Road corridor values are given for the: (1) proposed Ambler Road through GAAR, (2) Denali Park Road in DENA, and (3) McCarthy Road in WRST. Elevated risk from MAAT was projected in the mid-century period for the Denali Park Road and McCarthy Road and across all three park road corridors in the late-century period; elevated risk from JJA PCPT was projected in all periods for all road corridors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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