103 results on '"Bernasconi DP"'
Search Results
2. Prenatal use of indomethacin for preterm labor and renal function among very low birth weight infants
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Sinelli, M, Ornaghi, S, Doni, D, Paterlini, G, Locatelli, A, Bernasconi, D, Vergani, P, Ventura, M, Bernasconi, DP, Ventura, ML, Sinelli, M, Ornaghi, S, Doni, D, Paterlini, G, Locatelli, A, Bernasconi, D, Vergani, P, Ventura, M, Bernasconi, DP, and Ventura, ML
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: Indomethacin is administered as a tocolytic agent for threatening preterm labor <28weeks of gestation. Only a few, not conclusive, studies have investigated its nephrotoxicity in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. We investigated whether indomethacin increases the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) among VLBW infants. METHODS: This is a retrospective study including all VLBW infants born at our center between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2013. Indomethacin was administered to women with preterm labor and intact membranes. Neonatal AKI was defined according to KDIGO classification. Univariate analyses were performed comparing VLBW infants exposed to and not exposed to indomethacin. In the multivariable model, the association of indomethacin and AKI was adjusted for patent ductus arteriosus, use of nephrotoxic medications, birth weight, and gestational age. RESULTS: Five hundred seventy-five VLBW infants were included, 49 (8.5%) of whom were exposed to indomethacin in utero. The univariate analysis showed that infants exposed to indomethacin had lower birth weight, lower gestational age, and higher incidence of AKI than infants not exposed. The multivariable model adjusted for confounding factors confirmed an increased risk of AKI in relation to gestational age at birth <27 weeks, but not to indomethacin. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that extreme prematurity, but not the use of indomethacin, is associated with AKI.
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- 2024
3. Adverse events in survival data: from clinical questions to methods for statistical analysis
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Tassistro E, Antolini L, Bernasconi DP, Valsecchi MG, Tassistro, E, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, D, and Valsecchi, M
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survival analysis, adverse events, competing risks, inverse probability of censoring weighting - Abstract
When studying a novel treatment with a survival time outcome, failure can be defined to include a serious adverse event (AE) among the endpoints typically considered, for instance relapse (RL) or progression. These events act as competing risks, where the occurrence of RL as first event and the subsequent treatment change exclude the possibility of observing AE related to the treatment itself. In principle, the analysis of AE could be tackled by two different approaches: 1. the description of the observed occurrence of AE as first event: treatment ability to protect from RL has an impact on the chance of observing AE due to the competing risks action. The more the treatment protects from RL, the greater is the chance to observe an AE as first event; 2. the assessment of the treatment impact on the development of AE in patients who are RL free in time: one should consider the occurrence of AE as if RL would not exclude the possibility of observing AE related to the treatment itself. In the first part of the presentation we review the strategy of analysis for the two approaches starting from the type of clinical question of interest. Then we identify the suitable quantities and estimators according to two features, usually needed in a survival context: - the estimator should address for the presence of right censoring - the theoretical quantity and estimator should be functions of time. In the second part of the presentation we propose alternative methods, such as regression models, stratified Kaplan-Meier curves and inverse probability of censoring weighting, to relax the assumption of independence between the potential time to AE and the potential time to RL. We show through simulations that these methods overcome the problems related to the use of standard competing risks estimators in the second approach.
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- 2021
4. Adverse events in survival data: from clinical questions to methods for statistical analysis
- Author
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Tassistro, E, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, M, Tassistro E, Antolini L, Bernasconi DP, Valsecchi MG, Tassistro, E, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, M, Tassistro E, Antolini L, Bernasconi DP, and Valsecchi MG
- Abstract
When studying a novel treatment with a survival time outcome, failure can be defined to include a serious adverse event (AE) among the endpoints typically considered, for instance relapse (RL) or progression. These events act as competing risks, where the occurrence of RL as first event and the subsequent treatment change exclude the possibility of observing AE related to the treatment itself. In principle, the analysis of AE could be tackled by two different approaches: 1. the description of the observed occurrence of AE as first event: treatment ability to protect from RL has an impact on the chance of observing AE due to the competing risks action. The more the treatment protects from RL, the greater is the chance to observe an AE as first event; 2. the assessment of the treatment impact on the development of AE in patients who are RL free in time: one should consider the occurrence of AE as if RL would not exclude the possibility of observing AE related to the treatment itself. In the first part of the presentation we review the strategy of analysis for the two approaches starting from the type of clinical question of interest. Then we identify the suitable quantities and estimators according to two features, usually needed in a survival context: - the estimator should address for the presence of right censoring - the theoretical quantity and estimator should be functions of time. In the second part of the presentation we propose alternative methods, such as regression models, stratified Kaplan-Meier curves and inverse probability of censoring weighting, to relax the assumption of independence between the potential time to AE and the potential time to RL. We show through simulations that these methods overcome the problems related to the use of standard competing risks estimators in the second approach.
- Published
- 2021
5. Clustering Reveals the Prognostic Role of Serum Albumin Values Within the Normal Range in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis
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Gerussi, A, Verda, D, Bernasconi, D, Carbone, M, Komori, A, Abe, M, Inao, M, Namisaki, T, Mochida, S, Yoshiji, H, Hirschfield, G, Lindor, K, Pares, A, Corpechot, C, Cazzagon, N, Floreani, A, Marzioni, M, Alvaro, D, Vespasiani-Gentilucci, U, Cristoferi, L, Valsecchi, M, Muselli, M, Hansen, B, Tanaka, A, Invernizzi, P, Bernasconi, DP, Valsecchi, MG, Hansen, BE, Gerussi, A, Verda, D, Bernasconi, D, Carbone, M, Komori, A, Abe, M, Inao, M, Namisaki, T, Mochida, S, Yoshiji, H, Hirschfield, G, Lindor, K, Pares, A, Corpechot, C, Cazzagon, N, Floreani, A, Marzioni, M, Alvaro, D, Vespasiani-Gentilucci, U, Cristoferi, L, Valsecchi, M, Muselli, M, Hansen, B, Tanaka, A, Invernizzi, P, Bernasconi, DP, Valsecchi, MG, and Hansen, BE
- Published
- 2021
6. Modeling the hazard of transition into the absorbing state in the illness-death model
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Tassistro, E, Bernasconi, D, Rebora, P, Valsecchi, M, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, DP, Valsecchi, MG, Tassistro, E, Bernasconi, D, Rebora, P, Valsecchi, M, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, DP, and Valsecchi, MG
- Abstract
The illness-death model is the simplest multistate model where the transition from the initial state 0 to the absorbing state 2 may involve an intermediate state 1 (e.g., disease relapse). The impact of the transition into state 1 on the subsequent transition hazard to state 2 enables insight to be gained into the disease evolution. The standard approach of analysis is modeling the transition hazards from 0 to 2 and from 1 to 2, including time to illness as a time-varying covariate and measuring time from origin even after transition into state 1. The hazard from 1 to 2 can be also modeled separately using only patients in state 1, measuring time from illness and including time to illness as a fixed covariate. A recently proposed approach is a model where time after the transition into state 1 is measured in both scales and time to illness is included as a time-varying covariate. Another possibility is a model where time after transition into state 1 is measured only from illness and time to illness is included as a fixed covariate. Through theoretical reasoning and simulation protocols, we discuss the use of these models and we develop a practical strategy aiming to (a) validate the properties of the illness-death process, (b) estimate the impact of time to illness on the hazard from state 1 to 2, and (c) quantify the impact that the transition into state 1 has on the hazard of the absorbing state. The strategy is also applied to a literature dataset on diabetes.
- Published
- 2020
7. Modelling the hazard of transition into the absorbing state in the illness-death model
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Tassistro, E, Bernasconi, DP, Rebora, P, Valsecchi, MG, Antolini L, Tassistro, E, Bernasconi, D, Rebora, P, Valsecchi, M, and Antolini, L
- Subjects
transition hazard ,time scale ,illness-death ,survival ,Markov model ,MED/01 - STATISTICA MEDICA - Abstract
The illness-death model is the simplest multistate model where the transition from an initial state 0 to an absorbing state 2 may involve also an intermediate state 1 (e.g. disease relapse). The impact of the transition into state 1 on the subsequent hazard of the absorbing state enables to increase the knowledge about the evolution of the disease. The approaches commonly applied to analyse illness-death data depend on the choice of the time scale(s) used to measure follow-up time after the transition to illness. In multistate literature, the original (or “clock forward”) time scale is commonly used to measure follow-up time for subjects in state 0 and can be considered also for those in state 1, since time from the initial state can be measured even after the transition to illness. The time to such transition can be included as covariate in models estimated on the entire set of subjects (full-sample models). The follow-up time after the transition to state 1 can be measured also in the “clock reset” scale, which uses the intermediate state as a new origin. In this case, models are commonly estimated only on the subjects who develop illness (sub-sample models) and the time of occurrence of the intermediate event can be included as a covariate. An approach proposed in literature consists in a model where the follow-up time after the transition into the intermediate state is measured in both scales and time to illness is included as a time-varying covariate. A further possibility is to measure the follow-up time in the clock forward scale before the transition into state 1 and in the clock reset scale after that transition. Through theoretical reasoning and simulation protocols we developed practical strategies a statistician can follow to: (a) validate the Markov, semi-Markov and extended semi-Markov properties of the illness-death process, from which the choice of the scale to measure time after illness, for the transition hazard into the absorbing state, depends; (b) estimate the impact of time to the intermediate event on the hazard from the illness state to the absorbing state, proposing also a novel modelling approach that ensures the interpretability of the model coefficient of the time to illness in case of non-Markov data; (c) quantify the impact that the transition into the intermediate state has on the hazard of the absorbing state.
- Published
- 2019
8. Estimating liver function in a large cirrhotic cohort: Signal intensity of gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine penta-acetic acid-enhanced MRI
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Ippolito, D, Famularo, S, Giani, A, Orsini, E, Pecorelli, A, Pinotti, E, Gandola, D, Romano, F, Sironi, S, Bernasconi, D, Gianotti, L, Orsini, EB, GANDOLA, DAVIDE GIACOMO, Bernasconi, DP, Ippolito, D, Famularo, S, Giani, A, Orsini, E, Pecorelli, A, Pinotti, E, Gandola, D, Romano, F, Sironi, S, Bernasconi, D, Gianotti, L, Orsini, EB, GANDOLA, DAVIDE GIACOMO, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
Background: To assess whether gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine penta-acetic acid-enhanced MRI study is useful to estimate liver function in comparison to the presence or absence of cirrhosis, Child Pugh (CP), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), ALBI scores and biochemical test. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed all consecutive Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced-MRI studies performed between 2010 and 2016 in patients with focal liver lesions undergoing clinical evaluation. Patients were divided in study and control group according to the presence of cirrhosis, and then classified by CP, MELD and ALBI. Signal intensity was calculated through the liver-to-muscle ratio in portal- (SI-POR) and hepatobiliary-phase(SI-HEP). Results: Three-hundred-three Gd-EOB-DTPA liver-enhanced-MRI studies were included. One-hundred-ninety-one patients (63%) were cirrhotic. SI-HEP was significantly lower in cirrhotic group (0.55 ± 0.29 vs 0.66 ± 0.40, p = 0.004).The SI-HEP progressively decreased from CP-A to CP-C (0.59 ± 0.28 to 0.25 ± 0.19, p < 0.0001) and a significant difference was found between MELD ≤ 9 and MELD > 9 groups (0.61 ± 0.31 vs 0.49 ± 0.28, p = 0.007). No differences between ALBI grades were evident. Among biochemical parameters a moderate correlation was found among SI-HEP and total bilirubin, AST and albumin. Conclusion: SI-HEP after Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced-MRI effectively stratified patients with different Child Pugh grades and MELD scores. This technique could hence be useful as a novel radiological marker to estimate the underlying liver function.
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- 2019
9. Determinants of patient and health care services delays for tuberculosis diagnosis in Italy: A cross-sectional observational study
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Peri, A, Bernasconi, D, Galizzi, N, Matteelli, A, Codecasa, L, Giorgio, V, Di Biagio, A, Franzetti, F, Cingolani, A, Gori, A, Lapadula, G, Peri, AM, Bernasconi, DP, Peri, A, Bernasconi, D, Galizzi, N, Matteelli, A, Codecasa, L, Giorgio, V, Di Biagio, A, Franzetti, F, Cingolani, A, Gori, A, Lapadula, G, Peri, AM, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
Background: Prompt diagnosis of active tuberculosis (TB) has paramount importance to reduce TB morbidity and mortality and to prevent the spread of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Few studies so far have assessed the diagnostic delay of TB and its risk factors in low-incidence countries. Methods: We present a cross-sectional multicentre observational study enrolling all consecutive patients diagnosed with TB in seven referral centres in Italy. Information on demographic and clinical characteristics, health-seeking trajectories and patients' knowledge and awareness of TB were collected. Diagnostic delay was assessed as patient-related (time between symptoms onset and presentation to care) and healthcare-related (time between presentation to care and TB diagnosis). Factors associated with patient-related and healthcare-related delays in the highest tertile were explored using uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Results: We enrolled 137 patients, between June 2011 and May 2012. The median diagnostic delay was 66 days (Interquartile Range [IQR] 31-146). Patient-related and healthcare-related delay were 14.5 days (IQR 0-54) and 31 days (IQR: 7.25-85), respectively. Using multivariable analysis, patients living in Italy for < 5 years were more likely to have longer patient-related delay (> 3 weeks) than those living in Italy for > 5 years (Odds Ratio [OR] 3.47; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.09-11.01). The most common self-reported reasons to delay presentation to care were the mild nature of symptoms (82%) and a good self-perceived health (76%). About a quarter (26%) of patients had wrong beliefs and little knowledge of TB, although this was not associated with longer diagnostic delay. Regarding healthcare-related delay, multivariate analysis showed that extra-pulmonary TB (OR 4.3; 95% CI 1.4-13.8) and first contact with general practitioner (OR 5.1; 95% CI 1.8-14.5) were both independently associated with higher risk of healthcare-related delay > 10 weeks. C
- Published
- 2018
10. Non-parametric estimation of survival probabilities with a time-dependent exposure switch: Application to (simulated) heart transplant data
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Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, M, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, DP, Valsecchi, MG, Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, M, Antolini, L, Bernasconi, DP, and Valsecchi, MG
- Abstract
Background: To summarize the survival experience of patients waiting for heart transplant and to compare it with the post-transplant survival it is not possible to use the Kaplan-Meier estimator considering the intervention status as fixed in time because of the well known “immortal time bias” issue. Methods: We reviewed and applied to a simulated dataset the available methods to perform a non-parametric analysis accounting for the time-varying nature of the transplant status. Specifically we considered the Simon-Makuch estimator and the recently proposed “clock-back” estimator. Results: We showed that the Simon-Makuch estimator for the survival of patients on list is unbiased but the corresponding estimator of the post-transplant survival is not reliable for non-markov contexts like the one considered. Instead, if the semi-Markov assumption could be postulated (the post-transplant mortality depends mainly on the time since transplant and not on the waiting time to the intervention), the "clock-back" estimator produces valid results. Conclusion: We enlightened the importance of testing the process memory assumptions (e.g. Markov properties) in order to choose the approach more reliable. Moreover, we recommend the use of the Simon-Makuch method to study the survival of patients before the intervention and the use of the "clock back" estimator for the post-intervention survival in semi-markovian contexts.
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- 2018
11. Incidence and risk factors of third- and fourth-degree perineal tears in a single Italian scenario
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Frigerio, M, Manodoro, S, Bernasconi, D, Verri, D, Milani, R, Vergani, P, Bernasconi, DP, Vergani, P., Frigerio, M, Manodoro, S, Bernasconi, D, Verri, D, Milani, R, Vergani, P, Bernasconi, DP, and Vergani, P.
- Abstract
Objective This study aimed to evaluate III and IV degree tears rates and related risk factors in a single Italian centre. The secondary goal was to build a predictive model based on identified risk factors. Study design This was a retrospective cohort study. All vaginal deliveries from 2011 to 2015 in a single Italian University Hospital were analysed. Univariate analysis was applied to evaluate the overall association between each factor and severe tear. Multivariate logistic regression was used to build a predictive model for the absolute risk of severe tear. We computed a resampling validated measure (AUC) of the predictive accuracy of the model and we provided a nomogram for the risk calculation in clinical practice. Results 62 out of 10133 patients (0.61%) had a severe perineal tear. Univariate analysis identified gestational age >40 weeks, nulliparity, moderate/severe obesity, oxytocin use in pushing stage, sinciput presentation, instrumental delivery, shoulder dystocia, pushing stage ≥90 min, lithotomy position, birth weight >4 kg, head circumference at birth >34 cm and length at birth >50 cm as risk factors. Multivariate analysis identify moderate/severe obesity (OR = 2.8), instrumental delivery (OR = 2.6) and birth weight (OR = 1.1/hg) as independent risk factors. Using the predicted risk score from the final model (bootstrap-validated AUC 70%), we designed a nomogram for severe perineal tears absolute risk calculation. Conclusion Moderate/severe obesity, instrumental delivery and foetal weight resulted as independent risk factors for severe obstetrical tears.
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- 2018
12. Preoperative Oral Carbohydrate Load Versus Placebo in Major Elective Abdominal Surgery (PROCY): A Randomized, Placebo-controlled, Multicenter, Phase III Trial
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Gianotti, L, Biffi, R, Sandini, M, Marrelli, D, Vignali, A, Caccialanza, R, Viganò, J, Sabbatini, A, Di Mare, G, Alessiani, M, Antomarchi, F, Valsecchi, M, Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, MG, Bernasconi, DP, Gianotti, L, Biffi, R, Sandini, M, Marrelli, D, Vignali, A, Caccialanza, R, Viganò, J, Sabbatini, A, Di Mare, G, Alessiani, M, Antomarchi, F, Valsecchi, M, Bernasconi, D, Valsecchi, MG, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
OBJECTIVE:: To explore whether preoperative oral carbohydrate (CHO) loading could achieve a reduction in the occurrence of postoperative infections. BACKGROUND:: Hyperglycemia may increase the risk of infection. Preoperative CHO loading can achieve postoperative glycemic control. METHODS:: This was a randomized, controlled, multicenter, open-label trial. Nondiabetic adult patients who were candidates for elective major abdominal operation were randomized (1:1) to a CHO (preoperative oral intake of 800?mL of water containing 100?g of CHO) or placebo group (intake of 800?mL of water). The blood glucose level was measured every 4?hours for 4 days. Insulin was administered when the blood glucose level was >180?mg/dL. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of postoperative infection. The secondary endpoint was the number of patients needing insulin. RESULTS:: From January 2011 through December 2015, 880 patients were randomly allocated to the CHO (n = 438) or placebo (n = 442) group. From each group, 331 patients were available for the analysis. Postoperative infection occurred in 16.3% (54/331) of CHO group patients and 16.0% (53/331) of placebo group patients (relative risk 1.019, 95% confidence interval 0.720â1.442, P = 1.00). Insulin was needed in 8 (2.4%) CHO group patients and 53 (16.0%) placebo group patients (relative risk 0.15, 95% confidence interval 0.07â0.31, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:: Oral preoperative CHO load is effective for avoiding a blood glucose level >180?mg/dL, but without affecting the risk of postoperative infectious complication
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- 2018
13. Consequences of Increases in Antibiotic Resistance Pattern on Outcome of Pancreatic Resection for Cancer
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Gianotti, L, Tamini, N, Gavazzi, F, Mariani, A, Sandini, M, Ferla, F, Cereda, M, Capretti, G, Di Sandro, S, Bernasconi, D, De Carlis, L, Zerbi, A, CEREDA, MARCO ANGELO, Bernasconi, DP, Gianotti, L, Tamini, N, Gavazzi, F, Mariani, A, Sandini, M, Ferla, F, Cereda, M, Capretti, G, Di Sandro, S, Bernasconi, D, De Carlis, L, Zerbi, A, CEREDA, MARCO ANGELO, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
Background: The role of drug-resistance infections on surgical outcomes is controversial. The aim of the study was to determine whether increase antibiotic resistance was an independent risk factor for development of major non-infectious postoperative complications. Methods: This work included a multicenter cohort study of patients who underwent pancreatic resections for cancer over a 3-year interval. The primary outcome was major non-infectious complication rate developing after the occurrence of multi-drug sensitive (MDS) infection, multi-drug-resistant infection (MDR), and extensive drug-resistant (XDR) infection. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to adjust for patient and operative effects. Results: Eligible patients (517) were selected for the analysis. One hundred and thirteen (21.8%) patients had major non-infectious complications with a rate of 12.9% in the no infection group, 29.3% in the MSD, 41.5% in the MDR, and 58.8% in the XDR (p < 0.001). The median time of infection occurrence was postoperative days 4 (2–7 IQR) and 7 (3–12 IQR) non-infectious complications. At multivariate analysis, the risk of having major non-infectious complications was 2.67 (95% CI 1.24–5.77, P = 0.012) for MDR, 5.04 (95% CI 2.35–10.80, P < 0.001) for MDR, and 9.64 (95% CI 2.71–34.28, P < 0.001) for XDR. Conclusion: Antimicrobial resistance is significantly associated with the risk of major non-infectious morbidity.
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- 2017
14. Incidence of bacterial contamination and predisposing factors during bone and tendon allograft procurement
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Terzaghi, C, Longo, A, Legnani, C, Bernasconi, D, Fare, M, Bernasconi, DP, Terzaghi, C, Longo, A, Legnani, C, Bernasconi, D, Fare, M, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
The aim of this study was to analyze factors contributing to bacteriological contamination of bone and tendon allograft. Between 2008 and 2011, 2,778 bone and tendon allografts obtained from 196 organ and tissue donors or tissue donors only were retrospectively analysed. Several variables were taken into account: donor type (organ and tissue donors vs. tissue donor), cause of death, time interval between death and tissue procurement, duration of the procurement procedure, type of allografts, number of team members, number of trainees members, associated surgical procedures, positivity to haemoculture, type of procurement. The overall incidence of graft contamination was 23 %. The cause of death, the procurement time, the duration of procurement, the associated surgical procedures were not associated with increased risk of contamination. Significant effect on contamination incidence was observed for the number of staff members performing the procurement. In addition, our study substantiated significantly higher contamination rate among bone allografts than from tendon grafts. According to these observations, in order to minimize the contamination rate of procured musculoskeletal allografts, we recommend appropriate donor selection, use of standard sterile techniques, immediate packaging of each allograft to reduce graft exposure. Allograft procurement should be performed by a small surgical team.
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- 2015
15. Stillbirths in singletons, dichorionic and monochorionic twins: a comparison of risks and causes
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Russo, F, Pozzi, E, Pelizzoni, F, Todyrenchuk, L, Bernasconi, D, Cozzolino, S, Vergani, P, Russo, FM, Bernasconi, DP, Russo, F, Pozzi, E, Pelizzoni, F, Todyrenchuk, L, Bernasconi, D, Cozzolino, S, Vergani, P, Russo, FM, and Bernasconi, DP
- Abstract
Objectives To estimate the risk of stillbirth in dichorionic and monochorionic twins compared with singletons, and to evaluate the relevant causes of stillbirth in each group. Study design A retrospective cohort analysis of all pregnancies ≥22 weeks of gestation was performed at a tertiary care center from January 1995 to June 2011. The overall fetal survival and the prospective risk of stillbirth were compared in monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twins, dichorionic diamniotic (DCDA) twins, and singletons. Causes of stillbirth were classified using the ReCoDe classification and were compared among the three study groups. Results A total of 46,200 singletons, 462 MCDA twins and 1108 DCDA twins were included in the study. Both Kaplan-Meier analysis and prospective risk calculation showed that MCDA twins had the highest risk of stillbirth (OR ranging between 13.5 95% CI 8.7-20.7 at 22.0-24.6 weeks and 4.0 95% CI 1.1-13.1 at 31.0-33.6 weeks, compared to singletons), while singletons had the lowest. Main causes of stillbirth were major congenital malformations in singletons (25.1%) and in DCDA twins (75%), and twin-twin transfusion syndrome in MCDA twins (81.5%). When excluding fetuses affected by major congenital anomalies, MCDA twins (p < 0.001) but not DCDA twins (p = 0.2) remained at increased risk for stillbirth compared with singletons. Conclusion The risk of stillbirth is significantly higher both in MCDA and DCDA twins compared with singletons. Stillbirths are mainly due to twin-twin transfusion syndrome in MCDA twins and major congenital anomalies in DCDA twins. When major congenital anomalies are excluded, DCDA twins have a similar in utero mortality to singletons
- Published
- 2013
16. Functional liver imaging score (FLIS) can predict adverse events in HCC patients.
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Maino C, Romano F, Franco PN, Ciaccio A, Garancini M, Talei Franzesi C, Scotti MA, Gandola D, Fogliati A, Bernasconi DP, Del Castello L, Corso R, Ciulli C, and Ippolito D
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Reproducibility of Results, Postoperative Complications diagnostic imaging, Gadolinium DTPA, Contrast Media, Aged, Liver Failure diagnostic imaging, Adult, Survival Rate, Retrospective Studies, Liver Neoplasms diagnostic imaging, Liver Neoplasms surgery, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular diagnostic imaging, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular surgery, Magnetic Resonance Imaging methods, Hepatectomy
- Abstract
Purpose: To assess the performance of FLIS in predicting adverse outcomes, namely post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and death, in patients who underwent liver surgery for malignancies., Methods: All consecutive patients who underwent liver resection and 1.5 T gadoxetic acid MR were enrolled. PHLF and overall survival (OS) were collected. Two radiologists with 18 and 8 years of experience in abdominal imaging, blinded to clinical data, evaluated all images. Radiologists evaluated liver parenchymal enhancement (EnQS), biliary contrast excretion (ExQS), and signal intensity of the portal vein relative to the liver parenchyma (PVsQs). Reliability analysis was computed with Cohen's Kappa. Cox regression analysis was calculated to determine which factors are associated with PHLF and OS. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC) was computed., Results: 150 patients were enrolled, 58 (38.7 %) in the HCC group and 92 (61.3 %) in the non-HCC group. The reliability analysis between the two readers was almost perfect (κ = 0.998). The multivariate Cox analysis showed that only post-surgical blood transfusions and major resection were associated with adverse events [HR=8.96 (7.98-9.88), p = 0.034, and HR=0.99 (0.781-1.121), p = 0.032, respectively] in the whole population. In the HCC group, the multivariable Cox analysis showed that blood transfusions, major resection and FLIS were associated with adverse outcomes [HR=13.133 (2.988-55.142), p = 0.009, HR=0.987 (0.244-1.987), p = 0.021, and HR=1.891 (1.772-3.471), p = 0.039]. The FLIS AUROC to predict adverse outcomes was 0.660 (95 %CIs = 0.484-0.836), with 87 % sensitivity and 33.3 % specificity (81.1-94.4 and 22.1-42.1)., Conclusions: FLIS can be considered a promising tool to preoperative depict patients at risk of PHLF and death., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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17. Quantitative Computed Tomography and Response to Pronation in COVID-19 ARDS.
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Zadek F, Berta L, Zorzi G, Ubiali S, Bonaiti A, Tundo G, Brunoni B, Marrazzo F, Giudici R, Rossi A, Rizzetto F, Bernasconi DP, Vanzulli A, Colombo PE, Fumagalli R, Torresin A, and Langer T
- Subjects
- Humans, Prone Position, Male, Retrospective Studies, Female, Middle Aged, Aged, Carbon Dioxide, SARS-CoV-2, Blood Gas Analysis, Oxygen blood, Patient Positioning methods, Critical Illness, COVID-19 complications, COVID-19 diagnostic imaging, COVID-19 therapy, COVID-19 physiopathology, Tomography, X-Ray Computed methods, Respiration, Artificial, Respiratory Distress Syndrome therapy, Respiratory Distress Syndrome diagnostic imaging, Respiratory Distress Syndrome physiopathology, Pulmonary Gas Exchange, Lung diagnostic imaging, Lung physiopathology
- Abstract
Background: The use of prone position (PP) has been widespread during the COVID-19 pandemic. Whereas it has demonstrated benefits, including improved oxygenation and lung aeration, the factors influencing the response in terms of gas exchange to PP remain unclear. In particular, the association between baseline quantitative computed tomography (CT) scan results and gas exchange response to PP in invasively ventilated subjects with COVID-19 ARDS is unknown. The present study aimed to compare baseline quantitative CT results between subjects responding to PP in terms of oxygenation or CO
2 clearance and those who did not., Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective observational study including critically ill, invasively ventilated subjects with COVID-19-related ARDS admitted to the ICUs of Niguarda Hospital between March 2020-November 2021. Blood gas samples were collected before and after PP. Subjects in whom the PaO /F2 IO increase was ≥ 20 mm Hg after PP were defined as oxygen responders. CO2 2 responders were defined when the ventilatory ratio (VR) decreased during PP. Automated quantitative CT analyses were performed to obtain tissue mass and density of the lungs., Results: One hundred twenty-five subjects were enrolled, of which 116 (93%) were O2 responders and 51 (41%) CO2 responders. No difference in quantitative CT characteristics and oxygen were observed between responders and non-responders (tissue mass 1,532 ± 396 g vs 1,654 ± 304 g, P = .28; density -544 ± 109 HU vs -562 ± 58 HU P = .42). Similar findings were observed when dividing the population according to CO2 response (tissue mass 1,551 ± 412 g vs 1,534 ± 377 g, P = .89; density -545 ± 123 HU vs -546 ± 94 HU, P = .99)., Conclusions: Most subjects with COVID-19-related ARDS improved their oxygenation at the first pronation cycle. The study suggests that baseline quantitative CT scan data were not associated with the response to PP in oxygenation or CO2 in mechanically ventilated subjects with COVID-19-related ARDS., Competing Interests: The authors have disclosed no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2024 by Daedalus Enterprises.)- Published
- 2024
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18. How Are Diagnosis-Related Groups and Staffing Allocation Systems Associated with the Complexity of Nursing Care? An Observational Study.
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Fabrizi D, Bernasconi DP, Locatelli G, Luciani M, Beretta G, Di Mauro S, Rebora P, and Ausili D
- Abstract
Background: In Italy, Diagnosis-Related Groups (DRGs) have been adopted for hospital services reimbursement. In some Italian regions, nurse staffing allocation is purely volume-based, with different minutes/patient/day categories determined by the type of hospital ward. The Information System of Nursing Performance (SIPI) is a valid and reliable tool assessing nursing care complexity as an indicator of the actual nursing care demand. Evidence is lacking about the ability of current resource allocation methods to account for the nursing care demand., Objective: To evaluate the association between (1) DRG rates and nursing care complexity and (2) hospital ward categories of nurse staffing and nursing care complexity., Methods: All patients discharged from the medical department of an Italian hospital over a data collection period were eligible. To assess the association between nursing care complexity (SIPI) and DRGs, the distribution of the DRG rate (median and first-third quartile) was compared for cases with high or low complexity. To evaluate the association between nursing care complexity (SIPI) and nurse staffing, the frequency of high complexity within nurse staffing categories (120/180/240 min/patient/day) was compared. Because the sample was very large, methods of statistical inference were not applied, and only descriptive measures were reported., Results: 6872 hospitalizations were included. The median DRG rate for high and low complexity admissions were very similar (EUR 3536 and EUR 3285, respectively). The proportion of admissions with high complexity decreased for wards with higher staffing allocation rates., Conclusion: DRG reimbursement and the nurse staffing allocation systems were ineffective in accounting for nursing care complexity. The SIPI could help identify areas requiring more financial and staffing resources for nursing care.
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- 2024
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19. Cardiometabolic comorbidities and cardiovascular events in "non-functioning" adrenal incidentalomas: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Favero V, Parazzoli C, Bernasconi DP, and Chiodini I
- Subjects
- Humans, Comorbidity, Diabetes Mellitus epidemiology, Hypertension epidemiology, Prediabetic State epidemiology, Prevalence, Adrenal Gland Neoplasms complications, Adrenal Gland Neoplasms epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Metabolic Syndrome epidemiology
- Abstract
Objective: Recent studies investigated the prevalence of arterial hypertension (AH), diabetes mellitus (DM) and/or prediabetes, dyslipidemia (DL), metabolic syndrome (MS) and cardiovascular events (CVE) in patients with non-functioning adrenal incidentalomas (NFAI). We aimed to investigate the available literature to determine the prevalence of AH, DM, DM and/or prediabetes (Composite DM, C-DM), DL, MS and CVE in patients with NFAI as compared to patients without adrenal incidentalomas (AI)., Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis., Methods: A meta-analysis was performed using studies that evaluated the prevalence of AH, DM, C-DM, DL, MS and CVE in patients with NFAI versus matched subjects without AI. A random-effects model (DerSimonian and Laird) was used to calculate the pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% Confidence Interval (95%CI) for each outcome., Results: Among the 36 available studies, 19 studies provided the necessary data (4716 subjects, mean age 57.6 ± 4.6). The association between AH, DM, C-DM, DL, MS and CVE was reported in 18 (4546 subjects), 7 (1743 subjects), 5 (4315 subjects), 11 (3820 subjects), 8 (1170 subjects) and 5 (2972 subjects), respectively. The presence of NFAI was associated with AH (OR 1.87, 95%CI 1.39-2.51), C-DM (OR 2.04, 95%CI 1.70-2.45) and MS (OR 2.89, 95%CI 1.93-4.32), but not with DM, DL and CVE., Conclusions: Patients with NFAI have higher prevalence of AH, C-DM and MS than control subjects without NFAI., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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20. Plasma, intracellular and lymph node antiretroviral concentrations and HIV DNA change during primary HIV infection: Results from the INACTION P25 study.
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De Nicolò A, Palermiti A, Dispinseri S, Marchetti G, Trunfio M, De Vivo E, D'Avolio A, Muscatello A, Gori A, Rusconi S, Bruzzesi E, Gabrieli A, Bernasconi DP, Bandera A, Nozza S, and Calcagno A
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Adult, Female, Anti-HIV Agents therapeutic use, Anti-HIV Agents pharmacokinetics, Anti-HIV Agents blood, Oxazines, Middle Aged, RNA, Viral blood, Plasma chemistry, Plasma virology, Piperazines blood, Emtricitabine therapeutic use, Emtricitabine pharmacokinetics, Emtricitabine blood, Heterocyclic Compounds, 3-Ring pharmacokinetics, Heterocyclic Compounds, 3-Ring therapeutic use, Heterocyclic Compounds, 3-Ring blood, Pyridones therapeutic use, Darunavir therapeutic use, Darunavir pharmacokinetics, Darunavir blood, HIV-1 drug effects, Viral Load, Alanine blood, Anti-Retroviral Agents therapeutic use, Anti-Retroviral Agents pharmacokinetics, Anti-Retroviral Agents blood, HIV Infections drug therapy, HIV Infections virology, DNA, Viral blood, Leukocytes, Mononuclear virology, Lymph Nodes virology, Tenofovir therapeutic use, Tenofovir pharmacokinetics, Tenofovir blood
- Abstract
Despite its effectiveness, combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) has a limited effect on HIV DNA reservoir, which establishes early during primary HIV infection (PHI) and is maintained by latency, homeostatic T-cells proliferation, and residual replication. This limited effect can be associated with low drug exposure in lymphoid tissues and/or suboptimal adherence to antiretroviral drugs (ARVs). The aim of this study was to assess ARV concentrations in plasma, peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and lymph nodes (LNs), and their association to HIV RNA and HIV DNA decay during PHI. Participants were randomised to receive standard doses of darunavir/cobicistat (Arm I), dolutegravir (Arm II) or both (Arm III), with a backbone of tenofovir alafenamide and emtricitabine. Total HIV DNA was measured using digital-droplet PCR in PBMCs at baseline, 12 and 48 weeks. Drug concentrations in plasma and PBMCs were determined at 2, 12 and 48 weeks (LNs at 12 weeks) by UHPLC-MS/MS. Seventy-two participants were enrolled, mostly male (n=68), with a median age of 34 years and variable Fiebig stages (V-VI 57.7%, I-II 23.9%, and III-IV 18.3%). Twenty-six patients were assigned to Arm I, 27 to Arm II and 19 to Arm III. After 48 weeks, most patients had undetectable viremia, with minor differences in HIV RNA decay between arms. Patients with Fiebig I-II showed faster HIV RNA and HIV DNA decay. Intracellular tissue penetration was high for nucleoside analogues and low-moderate for darunavir and dolutegravir. Only tenofovir diphosphate concentrations in PBMCs showed correlation with HIV DNA decay. Overall, these results indicate that the timing of treatment initiation and intracellular tenofovir penetration are primary and secondary factors, respectively, affecting HIV reservoir., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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21. Improving predictive accuracy in primary biliary cholangitis: A new genetic risk score.
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Gerussi A, Cappadona C, Bernasconi DP, Cristoferi L, Valsecchi MG, Carbone M, Invernizzi P, and Asselta R
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- Humans, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Case-Control Studies, Italy, Aged, Risk Factors, Risk Assessment, Genome-Wide Association Study, Multifactorial Inheritance, HLA Antigens genetics, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Area Under Curve, Adult, Sex Factors, Genetic Risk Score, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary genetics, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary diagnosis, Genetic Predisposition to Disease
- Abstract
Background and Aims: Genetic variants influence primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) risk. We established and tested an accurate polygenic risk score (PRS) using these variants., Methods: Data from two Italian cohorts (OldIT 444 cases, 901 controls; NewIT 255 cases, 579 controls) were analysed. The latest international genome-wide meta-analysis provided effect size estimates. The PRS, together with human leukocyte antigen (HLA) status and sex, was included in an integrated risk model., Results: Starting from 46 non-HLA genes, 22 variants were selected. PBC patients in the OldIT cohort showed a higher risk score than controls: -.014 (interquartile range, IQR, -.023, .005) versus -.022 (IQR -.030, -.013) (p < 2.2 × 10
-16 ). For genetic-based prediction, the area under the curve (AUC) was .72; adding sex increased the AUC to .82. Validation in the NewIT cohort confirmed the model's accuracy (.71 without sex, .81 with sex). Individuals in the top group, representing the highest 25%, had a PBC risk approximately 14 times higher than that of the reference group (lowest 25%; p < 10-6 )., Conclusion: The combination of sex and a novel PRS accurately discriminated between PBC cases and controls. The model identified a subset of individuals at increased risk of PBC who might benefit from tailored monitoring., (© 2024 The Authors. Liver International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)- Published
- 2024
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22. Bloodstream infections due to multi-drug resistant bacteria in the emergency department: prevalence, risk factors and outcomes-a retrospective observational study.
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Capsoni N, Azin GM, Scarnera M, Bettina M, Breviario R, Ferrari L, Ferrari C, Privitera D, Vismara C, Bielli A, Galbiati F, Bernasconi DP, Merli M, and Bombelli M
- Abstract
Multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) are prevalent in patients admitted to the Emergency Department (ED) and increase the risk of inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy. Risk stratification for MDRO infection is essential to early identify patients requiring empirical broad-spectrum antibiotic therapy, but it remains challenging for emergency physicians. This study aimed to evaluate prevalence, risk factors, and outcomes of patients admitted to the ED with a bloodstream infection (BSI) caused by MDROs. A retrospective observational study enrolling all consecutive adult patients admitted with a BSI to the ED of Niguarda Hospital, Italy, from January 2019 to December 2021 was performed. 757 patients were enrolled, 14.1% with septic shock. 156 (20%) patients had a BSI caused by MDRO: extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL) producing Enterobacterales were the most prevalent followed by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). Risk factors for BSI due to MDRO and specifically for ESBL were chronic renal failure (OR 2.2; 95%CI 1.4-3.6), nursing home residency (OR 4.4; 95%CI 1.9-10.2) and antibiotic therapy in the last 90-days (OR 2.6; 95%CI 1.7-4), whereas for MRSA were dialysis (OR 12.3; 95%CI 1.8-83), antibiotic therapy and/or hospital admission in the past 90-days (OR 3.6; 95%CI 1.2-10.6) and ureteral stent or nephrostomy (OR 7.8; 95%CI 1.5-40.9). Patients with BSI due to MDRO had a higher rate of inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy (50%) and longer length of stay, but no higher in-hospital mortality. Among patients admitted to the ED with a BSI, MDROs are frequent and often associated with inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy. Specific updated risk factors for MDRO may help clinicians to better identify patients requiring a broader antibiotic therapy in the ED, while awaiting microbiological results., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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23. Predicting the Risk of Morbidity by GLIM-Based Nutritional Assessment and Body Composition Analysis in Oncologic Abdominal Surgery in the Context of Enhanced Recovery Programs : The PHase Angle Value in Abdominal Surgery (PHAVAS) Study.
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Sandini M, Gianotti L, Paiella S, Bernasconi DP, Roccamatisi L, Famularo S, Donadon M, Di Lucca G, Cereda M, Baccalini E, Capretti G, Nappo G, Casirati A, Braga M, Zerbi A, Torzilli G, Bassi C, Salvia R, Cereda E, and Caccialanza R
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Prognosis, Aged, Follow-Up Studies, Enhanced Recovery After Surgery, Liver Neoplasms surgery, Morbidity, Electric Impedance, Stomach Neoplasms surgery, Stomach Neoplasms pathology, Nutrition Assessment, Postoperative Complications epidemiology, Body Composition, Pancreatic Neoplasms surgery, Pancreatic Neoplasms pathology, Malnutrition epidemiology, Malnutrition etiology, Nutritional Status
- Abstract
Background: Preoperative nutritional status and body structure affect short-term prognosis in patients undergoing major oncologic surgery. Bioimpedance vectorial analysis (BIVA) is a reliable tool to assess body composition. Low BIVA-derived phase angle (PA) indicates a decline of cell membrane integrity and function. The aim was to study the association between perioperative PA variations and postoperative morbidity following major oncologic upper-GI surgery., Patients and Methods: Between 2019 and 2022 we prospectively performed BIVA in patients undergoing surgical resection for pancreatic, hepatic, and gastric malignancies on the day before surgery and on postoperative day (POD) 1. Malnutrition was defined as per the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria. The PA variation (ΔPA) between POD1 and preoperatively was considered as a marker for morbidity. Uni and multivariable logistic regression models were applied., Results: Overall, 542 patients with a mean age of 64.6 years were analyzed, 279 (51.5%) underwent pancreatic, 201 (37.1%) underwent hepatobiliary, and 62 (11.4%) underwent gastric resections. The prevalence of preoperative malnutrition was 16.6%. The overall morbidity rate was 53.3%, 59% in those with ΔPA < -0.5 versus 46% when ΔPA ≥ -0.5. Age [odds ratio (OR) 1.11; 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.00; 1.22)], pancreatic resections [OR 2.27; 95% CI (1.24; 4.18)], estimated blood loss (OR 1.20; 95% CI (1.03; 1.39)], malnutrition [OR 1.77; 95% CI (1.27; 2.45)], and ΔPA [OR 1.59; 95% CI (1.54; 1.65)] were independently associated with postoperative complications in the multivariate analysis., Conclusions: Patients with preoperative malnutrition were significantly more likely to develop postoperative morbidity. Moreover, a decrease in PA on POD1 was independently associated with a 13% increase in the absolute risk of complications. Whether proactive interventions may reduce the downward shift of PA and the complication rate need further investigation., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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24. Estimation of Right Atrial Pressure by Ultrasound-Assessed Jugular Vein Distensibility in Patients With Heart Failure.
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Ammirati E, Marchetti D, Colombo G, Pellicori P, Gentile P, D'Angelo L, Masciocco G, Verde A, Macera F, Brunelli D, Occhi L, Musca F, Perna E, Bernasconi DP, Moreo A, Camici PG, Metra M, Oliva F, and Garascia A
- Subjects
- Humans, Atrial Pressure, Cardiac Catheterization, Catheterization, Swan-Ganz, Jugular Veins diagnostic imaging, Pulmonary Wedge Pressure, Stroke Volume, Heart Failure diagnostic imaging, Heart Failure therapy
- Abstract
Background: Clinical evaluation of central venous pressure is difficult, depends on experience, and is often inaccurate in patients with chronic advanced heart failure. We assessed the ultrasound-assessed internal jugular vein (JV) distensibility by ultrasound as a noninvasive tool to identify patients with normal right atrial pressure (RAP ≤7 mm Hg) in this population., Methods: We measured JV distensibility as the Valsalva-to-rest ratio of the vein diameter in a calibration cohort (N=100) and a validation cohort (N=101) of consecutive patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction who underwent pulmonary artery catheterization for advanced heart failure therapies workup., Results: A JV distensibility threshold of 1.6 was identified as the most accurate to discriminate between patients with RAP ≤7 versus >7 mm Hg (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.64-0.84]) and confirmed in the validation cohort (receiver operating characteristic, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.73-0.92]). A JV distensibility ratio >1.6 had predictive positive values of 0.86 and 0.94, respectively, to identify patients with RAP ≤7 mm Hg in the calibration and validation cohorts. Compared with patients from the calibration cohort with a high JV distensibility ratio (>1.6; n=42; median RAP, 4 mm Hg; pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, 11 mm Hg), those with a low JV distensibility ratio (≤1.6; n=58; median RAP, 8 mm Hg; pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, 22 mm Hg; P <0.0001 for both) were more likely to die or undergo a left ventricular assist device implant or heart transplantation (event rate at 2 years: 42.7% versus 18.2%; log-rank P =0.034)., Conclusions: Ultrasound-assessed JV distensibility identifies patients with chronic advanced heart failure with normal RAP and better outcomes., Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03874312., Competing Interests: Disclosures The authors disclose that Dr Ammirati received a grant from the Italian Ministry of Health (GR-2019-12368506) and a grant from the NextGenerationEU (M6C2/2.1 PNRR-MAD-2022-12376225—CUP H43C21000140006) and served as a consultant for Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Cytokinetics, and AstraZeneca. Dr Pellicori has received consultancy honoraria and sponsorship support from Boehringer Ingelheim, Pharmacosmos, Novartis, Vifor, AstraZeneca, and Caption Health and research support from Bristol Myers Squibb in the past 5 years, not connected with this article. Prof Metra is the outgoing Editor-in-Chief of the European Journal of Heart Failure. The other authors report no conflicts.
- Published
- 2024
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25. Prenatal use of indomethacin for preterm labor and renal function among very low birth weight infants.
- Author
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Sinelli M, Ornaghi S, Doni D, Paterlini G, Locatelli A, Bernasconi DP, Vergani P, and Ventura ML
- Subjects
- Infant, Newborn, Pregnancy, Humans, Female, Infant, Indomethacin adverse effects, Retrospective Studies, Birth Weight, Infant, Very Low Birth Weight, Kidney, Obstetric Labor, Premature chemically induced, Obstetric Labor, Premature drug therapy, Acute Kidney Injury chemically induced, Acute Kidney Injury epidemiology, Acute Kidney Injury drug therapy
- Abstract
Background: Indomethacin is administered as a tocolytic agent for threatening preterm labor <28weeks of gestation. Only a few, not conclusive, studies have investigated its nephrotoxicity in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. We investigated whether indomethacin increases the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) among VLBW infants., Methods: This is a retrospective study including all VLBW infants born at our center between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2013. Indomethacin was administered to women with preterm labor and intact membranes. Neonatal AKI was defined according to KDIGO classification. Univariate analyses were performed comparing VLBW infants exposed to and not exposed to indomethacin. In the multivariable model, the association of indomethacin and AKI was adjusted for patent ductus arteriosus, use of nephrotoxic medications, birth weight, and gestational age., Results: Five hundred seventy-five VLBW infants were included, 49 (8.5%) of whom were exposed to indomethacin in utero. The univariate analysis showed that infants exposed to indomethacin had lower birth weight, lower gestational age, and higher incidence of AKI than infants not exposed. The multivariable model adjusted for confounding factors confirmed an increased risk of AKI in relation to gestational age at birth <27 weeks, but not to indomethacin., Conclusions: Our data suggest that extreme prematurity, but not the use of indomethacin, is associated with AKI.
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- 2024
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26. Adverse events in single-arm clinical trials with non-fatal time-to-event efficacy endpoint: from clinical questions to methods for statistical analysis.
- Author
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Tassistro E, Bernasconi DP, Valsecchi MG, and Antolini L
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- Humans, Bias, Probability, Clinical Trials as Topic, Models, Statistical, Research Design
- Abstract
Background: In any single-arm trial on novel treatments, assessment of toxicity plays an important role as occurrence of adverse events (AEs) is relevant for application in clinical practice. In the presence of a non-fatal time-to-event(s) efficacy endpoint, the analysis should be broadened to consider AEs occurrence in time. The AEs analysis could be tackled with two approaches, depending on the clinical question of interest. Approach 1 focuses on the occurrence of AE as first event. Treatment ability to protect from the efficacy endpoint event(s) has an impact on the chance of observing AEs due to competing risks action. Approach 2 considers how treatment affects the occurrence of AEs in the potential framework where the efficacy endpoint event(s) could not occur., Methods: In the first part of the work we review the strategy of analysis for these two approaches. We identify theoretical quantities and estimators consistent with the following features: (a) estimators should address for the presence of right censoring; (b) theoretical quantities and estimators should be functions of time. In the second part of the work we propose the use of alternative methods (regression models, stratified Kaplan-Meier curves, inverse probability of censoring weighting) to relax the assumption of independence between the potential times to AE and to event(s) in the efficacy endpoint for addressing Approach 2., Results: We show through simulations that the proposed methods overcome the bias due to the dependence between the two potential times and related to the use of standard estimators., Conclusions: We demonstrated through simulations that one can handle patients selection in the risk sets due to the competing event, and thus obtain conditional independence between the two potential times, adjusting for all the observed covariates that induce dependence., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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27. The analysis of saliva as screening in patients with COVID-like symptoms.
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Novelli G, Moretti M, Meazzini MC, Bernasconi DP, Malandrin SMI, Raggi M, Cassé CMA, Pavesi LA, and Sozzi D
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest: All authors – none to declare.
- Published
- 2023
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28. Patient perceptions of altering chemotherapy treatment due to peripheral neuropathy.
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Hertz DL, Tofthagen C, Rossi E, Bernasconi DP, Lim J, Carlson M, Sheffield KE, Nekhlyudov L, Grech L, Von Ah D, Mayo SJ, Ruddy KJ, Chan A, Alberti P, Lustberg MB, and Tanay M
- Subjects
- Humans, Middle Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Treatment Outcome, Quality of Life, Antineoplastic Agents therapeutic use, Peripheral Nervous System Diseases diagnosis, Neoplasms drug therapy
- Abstract
Purpose: Clinical practice guidelines recommend altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment in patients experiencing intolerable chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN). The primary objective of this survey was to understand patient's perspectives on altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment, including their perceptions of the benefits of preventing irreversible CIPN and the risks of reducing treatment efficacy., Methods: A cross-sectional online survey was distributed via social networks to patients who were currently receiving or had previously received neurotoxic chemotherapy for cancer. Survey results were analyzed using descriptive statistics and qualitative analysis., Results: Following data cleaning, 447 participants were included in the analysis. The median age was 57 years, 93% were white, and most were from the UK (53%) or USA (38%). Most participants who were currently or recently treated expected some CIPN symptom resolution (86%), but 45% of those who had completed treatment more than a year ago reported experiencing no symptom resolution. Participants reported that they would discontinue chemotherapy treatment for less severe CIPN if they knew their symptoms would be permanent than if symptoms would disappear after treatment. Most patients stated that the decision to alter chemotherapy or not was usually made collaboratively between the patient and their treating clinician (61%). The most common reason participants were reluctant to talk with their clinician about CIPN was fear that treatment would be altered. Participants noted a need for improved understanding of CIPN symptoms and their permanence, better patient education relating to CIPN prior to and after treatment, and greater clinician understanding and empathy around CIPN., Conclusions: This survey highlights the importance of shared decision-making, including a consideration of both the long-term benefits and risks of altering neurotoxic chemotherapy treatment due to CIPN. Additional work is needed to develop decision aids and other communication tools that can be used to improve shared decision making and help patients with cancer achieve their treatment goals., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.)
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- 2023
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29. Association of chronic statin use, myopenia, myosteatosis and major morbidity in surgical patients with upper gastrointestinal cancer.
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Cereda M, Bernasconi DP, Uggeri F, Ippolito D, Di Lucca G, Maino C, Gandola D, Braga M, Sandini M, and Gianotti L
- Subjects
- Humans, Aged, Retrospective Studies, Morbidity, Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors adverse effects, Sarcopenia complications, Colorectal Neoplasms surgery, Gastrointestinal Neoplasms surgery
- Abstract
Derangements of body composition affect surgical outcomes. Chronic statin use may induce muscle wasting and impair muscle tissue quality. Aim of this study was to evaluate the association of chronic statin use, skeletal muscle area (SMA), myosteatosis and major postoperative morbidity. Between 2011 and 2021, patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy or total gastrectomy for cancer, and using statins since at least 1 year, were retrospective studied. SMA and myosteatosis were measured at CT scan. The cut-off for SMA and myosteatosis were determined using ROC curve and considering severe complications as the binary outcome. The presence of myopenia was defined when SMA was lower that the cut-off. A multivariable logistic regression was applied to assess the association between several factors and severe complications. After a matching procedure (1:1) for key baseline risk factors (ASA; age; Charlson comorbidity index; tumor site; intraoperative blood loss), a final sample of 104 patients, of which 52 treated and 52 not treated with statins, was obtained. The median age was 75 years, with an ASA score ≥ 3 in 63% of the cases. SMA (OR 5.119, 95% CI 1.053-24.865) and myosteatosis (OR 4.234, 95% CI 1.511-11.866) below the cut-off values were significantly associated with major morbidity. Statin use was predictive of major complication only in patients with preoperative myopenia (OR 5.449, 95% CI 1.054-28.158). Myopenia and myosteatosis were independently associated with an increased risk of severe complications. Statin use was associated with a higher risk of having major morbidity only in the subgroup of patients with myopenia., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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30. The impact of postoperative complications on oncological outcomes of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: A competing risk analysis.
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Incarbone N, De Carlis R, Centonze L, Bernasconi DP, Valsecchi MG, Lauterio A, and De Carlis L
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- Humans, Retrospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Postoperative Complications epidemiology, Postoperative Complications etiology, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local epidemiology, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular pathology, Liver Transplantation adverse effects, Liver Neoplasms pathology
- Abstract
Objective: To investigate the influence of postoperative complications on tumor-related (TRD), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)., Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 425 LTs for HCC from 2010 to 2019. Postoperative complications were classified according to Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) and the posttransplant risk of TRD assessed through Metroticket 2.0 calculator. The population was stratified into high-risk and low-risk cohorts based on the predicted TRD risk of 80%. In a second step, we re-evaluated TRD, DFS and OS of both cohorts according to a further stratification based on 47.3 points of CCI cut-off., Results: In the low-risk cohort, we observed a significantly better DFS (84% vs. 46%, p<0.001), TRD (3% vs. 26%, p<0.001) and OS (89% vs. 62%, p<0.001) in the group with CCI < 47.3. In the high-risk cohort, patients with CCI < 47.3 had significantly better DFS (50% vs. 23%, p = 0.003) and OS (68% vs. 42%, p = 0.02) and a comparable TRD (22% vs. 31%, p = 0.142)., Conclusions: A complicated postoperative course negatively influenced long-term survival. This poorer oncological outcome associated with in-hospital postoperative complications suggests that every effort should be made to improve the early posttransplant course in HCC patients, including a careful donor-to recipient match and use of new perfusion technologies., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest We have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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31. Learning curve of laparoscopic cholecystectomy: a risk-adjusted cumulative summation (RA-CUSUM) analysis of six general surgery residents.
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Lombardi PM, Mazzola M, Veronesi V, Granieri S, Cioffi SPB, Baia M, Del Prete L, Bernasconi DP, Danelli P, and Ferrari G
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- Humans, Learning Curve, Prospective Studies, Clinical Competence, Retrospective Studies, Cholecystectomy, Laparoscopic, Internship and Residency, Laparoscopy methods
- Abstract
Background: Laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LapC) is one of the most frequently performed surgical procedures worldwide. Reaching technical competency in performing LapC is considered one essential task for young surgeons. Investigating the learning curve for LapC (LC-LapC) may provide important information regarding the learning process and guide the training pathway of residents, improving educational outcomes. The present study aimed to investigate LC-LapC among general surgery residents (GSRs)., Methods: Operative surgical reports of consecutive patients undergoing LapC performed by GSRs attending the General Surgery Residency Program at the University of Milan were analysed. Data on patient- and surgery-related variables were obtained from the ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes and gathered. A multidimensional assessment of the LC was performed through Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and Risk-Adjusted (RA)-CUSUM analysis., Results: 340 patients operated by 6 GSRs were collected. The CUSUM and RA-CUSUM graphs based on surgical failures allowed to distinguish two defined phases for all GSRs: an initial phase ending at the peak, so-called learning phase, followed by a phase in which there was a significant decrease in failure incidence, so-called proficiency phase. The learning phase was completed for all GSRs at most within 25 procedures, but the trend of the curves and the number of procedures needed to achieve technical competency varied among operators ranging between 7 and 25., Conclusions: The present study suggested that at most 25 procedures might be sufficient to acquire technical competency in LapC. The variability in the number of procedures needed to complete the LC, ranging between 7 and 25, could be due to the heterogeneous scenarios in which LapC was performed, and deserves to be investigated through a prospective study involving a larger number of GSRs and institutions., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)
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- 2023
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32. Effectiveness and Safety of Remdesivir in Treating Hospitalised Patients with COVID-19: A Propensity Score Analysis of Real-Life Data from a Monocentric Observational Study in Times of Health Emergency.
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Ughi N, Bernasconi DP, Del Gaudio F, Dicuonzo A, Maloberti A, Giannattasio C, Tarsia P, Travi G, Scaglione F, Colombo F, Bertuzzi M, Adinolfi A, Valsecchi MG, Rossetti C, and Epis OM
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- Humans, Retrospective Studies, Propensity Score, Treatment Outcome, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Alanine adverse effects, Antiviral Agents adverse effects, COVID-19
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Background and Objectives: Remdesivir is an antiviral agent, which was shown to be safe and effective in treating early COVID-19, but its favourable impact in hospitalised patients with non-critical disease is still under investigation. The present study aimed to assess the effectiveness and safety of remdesivir as a treatment for hospitalised patients with COVID-19 by a propensity score analysis of observational data., Methods: In this monocentric retrospective cohort study, the effectiveness and safety of a 5-day course of remdesivir (200 mg intravenously at Day 1, then 100 mg from Days 2-5) in association with the standard of care were assessed in comparison with the standard of care only. The primary endpoint was the proportion of recovery on Day 14., Results: Of 3662 eligible inpatients who tested positive for the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 genome by nasopharyngeal swab at admission, 861 (24%) non-critical patients were included in a propensity score analysis and 281 (33%) were exposed to remdesivir. In total, 242/281 (86.1%) and 435/580 (75.0%) patients recovered in exposed and non-exposed, respectively, with a relative improvement of 11.1% (95% CI + 5.8 to 16.5%; unadjusted odds ratio: 2.07, 95% CI 1.40-3.05, p = 0.0001; after adjustment by propensity score weighting, odds ratio: 1.92, 95% CI 1.30-2.83, p = 0.001). In treated patients, 1 (0.03%) anaphylactic reaction and 1 (0.03%) acute reaction during drug injection were reported, and 24 (8.5%) patients stopped the treatment due to adverse reactions. No significant differences were found with respect to the secondary efficacy endpoints (in-hospital all-cause death, need for intensive care treatments, clinical improvement score at Day 28) and safety endpoints (any and serious adverse reactions)., Conclusion: A 5-day course of remdesivir in association with the standard of care effectively promoted recovery from COVID-19 among non-critical in-hospital patients and had an acceptable safety profile., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.)
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- 2023
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33. Placental pathology in perinatal asphyxia: a case-control study.
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Alongi S, Lambicchi L, Moltrasio F, Botto VA, Bernasconi DP, Cuttin MS, Paterlini G, Malguzzi S, and Locatelli A
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Introduction: Placentas of term infants with birth asphyxia are reported to have more lesion such as maternal vascular malperfusion (MVM), fetal vascular malperfusion (FVM) and chorioamnionitis with fetal response (FIR) than those of term infants without birth asphyxia. We compared the placental pathology of asphyxiated newborns, including those who developed hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE), with non-asphyxiated controls., Methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control study of placentas from neonates with a gestational age ≥ 35 weeks, a birthweight ≥ 1,800 g, and no malformations. Cases were asphyxiated newborns (defined as those with an umbilical artery pH ≤ 7.0 or base excess ≤ -12 mMol, 10-minute Apgar score ≤ 5, or the need for resuscitation lasting >10 min) from a previous cohort, with ( n =32) and without ( n =173) diagnosis of HIE. Controls were non-asphyxiated newborns from low-risk l ( n = 50) or high-risk ( n = 68) pregnancies. Placentas were analyzed according to the Amsterdam Placental Workshop Group Consensus Statement 2014., Results: Cases had a higher prevalence of nulliparity, BMI>25, thick meconium, abnormal fetal heart monitoring, and acute intrapartum events than controls ( p <0.001). MVM and FVM were more frequent among non-asphyxiated than asphyxiated newborns ( p <0.001). There was no significant difference in inflammatory lesions or abnormal umbilical insertion site. Histologic meconium-associated changes (MAC) were observed in asphyxiated newborns only ( p = 0.039)., Discussion: Our results confirm the role of antepartum and intrapartum risk factors in neonatal asphyxia and HIE. No association between neonatal asphyxia and placental lesions was found, except for in the case of MAC. The association between clinical and placental data is crucial to understanding and possibly preventing perinatal asphyxia in subsequent pregnancies., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Alongi, Lambicchi, Moltrasio, Botto, Bernasconi, Cuttin, Paterlini, Malguzzi and Locatelli.)
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- 2023
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34. Response: Risk factors for obstetric anal sphincter injury recurrence: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Barba M, Bernasconi DP, Manodoro S, and Frigerio M
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- Pregnancy, Female, Humans, Anal Canal injuries, Delivery, Obstetric adverse effects, Risk Factors, Obstetric Labor Complications etiology, Fecal Incontinence etiology
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- 2023
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35. Trends in severe outcomes in SARS-CoV-2-positive hospitalized patients with rheumatic diseases: a monocentric observational and case-control study in northern Italy.
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Ughi N, Bernasconi DP, Gagliardi C, Del Gaudio F, Dicuonzo A, Maloberti A, Giannattasio C, Rossetti C, Valsecchi MG, and Epis OM
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- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Case-Control Studies, Comorbidity, SARS-CoV-2, Aged, 80 and over, COVID-19 epidemiology, Rheumatic Diseases drug therapy, Rheumatic Diseases epidemiology
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Rheumatic disease patients are at greater risk of infection due to their disease, comorbidities, and immunosuppressive therapy. COVID-19 outcomes in this patient setting appeared to be similar to those of the general population. However, data on this topic were mainly related to small studies on a limited number of patients. Consequently, to date, this field remains poorly explored, particularly in the pre-vaccine era. This monocentric study aimed to describe the intrahospital mortality in rheumatic patients with SARS-CoV-2 consecutively hospitalized from 21 February to 31 December 2020, before anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccine administration spread, compared with non-rheumatic patients. Of 2491 included patients, 65 [3%, median (interquartile range) age 75 (64.76-82.239 years, 65% women] were suffering from rheumatic diseases. A total of 20 deaths were reported [case fatality rate 31%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 19-42] compared with 433 deaths (19%, 95% CI: 17-20) in patients without rheumatic diseases (p=0.024). However, the rheumatic disease was not associated with a significant increase in univariate mortality hazards (hazard ratio 1.374, 95% CI: 0.876-2.154), and after adjustment (hazard ratio 1.199, 95% CI: 0.759-1.894) by age, sex and Charlson comorbidity index. The incidence of intensive care unit admission, death, and discharge in the case-control study was comparable between rheumatic and non-rheumatic patients. The presence of rheumatic diseases in SARS-CoV-2-hospitalized patients did not represent an independent risk factor for severe disease or mortality.
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- 2023
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36. Multidimensional evaluation of the learning curve for totally laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy: a risk-adjusted cumulative summation analysis.
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Mazzola M, Giani A, Veronesi V, Bernasconi DP, Benedetti A, Magistro C, Bertoglio CL, De Martini P, and Ferrari G
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- Humans, Learning Curve, Retrospective Studies, Anastomosis, Surgical, Operative Time, Pancreaticoduodenectomy adverse effects, Pancreaticoduodenectomy methods, Laparoscopy adverse effects, Laparoscopy methods
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Introduction: Laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) is a challenging procedure. We investigated the learning curve (LC) for LPD with a multidimensional analysis., Methods: Data of patients undergoing LPD between 2017 and 2021, operated by a single surgeon, were considered. A multidimensional assessment of the LC was performed through Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and Risk-Adjusted (RA)-CUSUM analysis., Results: 113 patients were selected. Rates of conversion, overall postoperative complication, severe complication and mortality were 4%, 53%, 29% and 4%, respectively. RA-CUSUM analysis showed a LC with three phases: competency (procedures 1-51), proficiency (procedures 52-94), and mastery (after procedure 94). Operative time was lower in both phase two (588.17 vs 541.13 min, p = 0.001) and three (534.72 vs 541.13 min, p = 0.004) with respect to phase one. Severe complication rate was lower in mastery as compared to competency phase (42% vs 6%, p = 0.005). During mastery phase a greater number of lymph nodes was harvested in comparison to proficiency phase., Conclusions: According to our LC analysis, 52 procedures were required to achieve technical competency in LPD. Mastery, which corresponded to a reduction in operative time and surgical failures, was acquired after 94 procedures., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association Inc. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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37. ERAS with or without supplemental artificial nutrition in open pancreatoduodenectomy for cancer. A multicenter, randomized, open labeled trial (RASTA study protocol).
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Gianotti L, Paiella S, Frigerio I, Pecorelli N, Capretti G, Sandini M, and Bernasconi DP
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Purpose: The role of supplemental artificial nutrition in patients perioperatively treated according to enhanced recovery programs (ERAS) on surgery-related morbidity is not known. Therefore, there is a need of a clinical trials specifically designed to explore whether given a full nutritional requirement by parenteral feeding after surgery coupled with oral food "at will" compared to oral food "at will" alone, within an established ERAS program, could achieve a reduction of the morbidity burden., Materials and Analysis: RASTA will be a multicenter, randomized, parallel-arm, open labeled, superiority trial. The trial will be conducted in five Italian Institutions with proven experience in pancreatic surgery and already applying an established ERAS program. Adult patients (age ≥ 18 and < 90 years of age) candidate to elective open pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for any periampullary or pancreatic cancer will be randomized to receive a full ERAS protocol that establishes oral food "at will" plus parenteral nutrition (PN) from postoperative day 1 to day 5 (treatment arm), or to ERAS protocol without PN (control arm). The primary endpoint of the trial is the complication burden within 90 days after the day of surgery. The complication burden will be assessed by the Comprehensive Complication Index, that incorporates all complications and their severity as defined by the Clavien-Dindo classification, and summarizes postoperative morbidity with a numerical scale ranging from 0 to 100. The H0 hypothesis tested is that he administration of a parenteral nutrition added to the ERAS protocol will not affect the CCI as compared to standard of care (ERAS). The H1 hypothesis is that the administration of a parenteral nutrition added to the ERAS protocol will positively affect the CCI as compared to standard of care (ERAS). The trial has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (number: NCT04438447; date: 18/05/2020)., Conclusion: This upcoming trial will permit to establish if early postoperative artificial nutritional support after PD may improve postoperative outcomes compared to oral nutrition alone within an established ERAS program., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Gianotti, Paiella, Frigerio, Pecorelli, Capretti, Sandini and Bernasconi.)
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- 2023
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38. A quantitative MRCP-derived score for medium-term outcome prediction in primary sclerosing cholangitis.
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Cristoferi L, Porta M, Bernasconi DP, Leonardi F, Gerussi A, Mulinacci G, Palermo A, Gallo C, Scaravaglio M, Stucchi E, Maino C, Ippolito D, D'Amato D, Ferreira C, Nardi A, Banerjee R, Valsecchi MG, Antolini L, Corso R, Sironi S, Fagiuoli S, Invernizzi P, and Carbone M
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- Humans, Retrospective Studies, Artificial Intelligence, Prognosis, Cholangiopancreatography, Magnetic Resonance methods, Cholangitis, Sclerosing complications
- Abstract
Background: Magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) is the gold standard for diagnosis of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). The semi-quantitative MRCP-derived Anali scores proposed for risk stratification, have poor-to-moderate inter-reader agreement., Aims: To evaluate the prognostic performance of quantitative MRCP metrics in PSC., Methods: This is a retrospective study of PSC patients undergoing MRCP. Images were processed using MRCP+ software (Perspectum Ltd, Oxford) that provides quantitative biliary features, semi-automatically extracted by artificial intelligence-driven analysis of MRCP-3D images. The prognostic value of biliary features has been assessed for all hepato-biliary complications., Results: 87 PSC patients have been included in the analysis. Median follow-up from MRCP to event/censoring of 30.9 months (Q1-Q3=13.6-46.6). An adverse outcome occurred in 27 (31.0%) patients. The number of biliary strictures (HR=1.05 per unit, 95%CI 1.02-1.08, p < 0.0001), spleen length (HR=1.16 per cm, 95%CI 1.01-1.34, p = 0.039), adjusted for height, age at MRCP, and time from diagnosis to MRCP predicted higher risk of hepatobiliary complications. These were incorporated into a the quantitative MRCP-derived PSC (qMRCP-PSC) score (C-statistic=0.80). After 3-fold cross-validation, qMRCP-PSC outperformed the Anali score in our cohort (C-statistic of 0.78 vs 0.64) and enabled the discrimination of survival of PSC patients (log-rank p < 0.0001)., Conclusions: The qMRCP-PSC score identified patients at higher risk of hepatobiliary complications and outperformed the available radiological scores. It represents a novel quantitative biomarker for disease monitoring and a potential surrogate endpoint for clinical trials., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest RB is CEO at Perspectum Ltd, CF is employed by Perspectum Ltd. MC is a consultant without fee at Perspetum Ltd. LC, MP, DPB, FL, GM, AP, CG, MS, ES, CM, DI, DD, AN, MGV, LA, RC, SS, SF and PI have nothing to disclose., (Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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39. Machine Learning Predictive Model to Guide Treatment Allocation for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgery.
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Famularo S, Donadon M, Cipriani F, Fazio F, Ardito F, Iaria M, Perri P, Conci S, Dominioni T, Lai Q, La Barba G, Patauner S, Molfino S, Germani P, Zimmitti G, Pinotti E, Zanello M, Fumagalli L, Ferrari C, Romano M, Delvecchio A, Valsecchi MG, Antonucci A, Piscaglia F, Farinati F, Kawaguchi Y, Hasegawa K, Memeo R, Zanus G, Griseri G, Chiarelli M, Jovine E, Zago M, Abu Hilal M, Tarchi P, Baiocchi GL, Frena A, Ercolani G, Rossi M, Maestri M, Ruzzenente A, Grazi GL, Dalla Valle R, Romano F, Giuliante F, Ferrero A, Aldrighetti L, Bernasconi DP, and Torzilli G
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- Humans, Female, Aged, Male, Sorafenib therapeutic use, Retrospective Studies, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local pathology, Hepatectomy, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular surgery, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular pathology, Liver Neoplasms surgery, Liver Neoplasms pathology, Chemoembolization, Therapeutic
- Abstract
Importance: Clear indications on how to select retreatments for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still lacking., Objective: To create a machine learning predictive model of survival after HCC recurrence to allocate patients to their best potential treatment., Design, Setting, and Participants: Real-life data were obtained from an Italian registry of hepatocellular carcinoma between January 2008 and December 2019 after a median (IQR) follow-up of 27 (12-51) months. External validation was made on data derived by another Italian cohort and a Japanese cohort. Patients who experienced a recurrent HCC after a first surgical approach were included. Patients were profiled, and factors predicting survival after recurrence under different treatments that acted also as treatment effect modifiers were assessed. The model was then fitted individually to identify the best potential treatment. Analysis took place between January and April 2021., Exposures: Patients were enrolled if treated by reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, chemoembolization, or sorafenib., Main Outcomes and Measures: Survival after recurrence was the end point., Results: A total of 701 patients with recurrent HCC were enrolled (mean [SD] age, 71 [9] years; 151 [21.5%] female). Of those, 293 patients (41.8%) received reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, 188 (26.8%) received sorafenib, and 220 (31.4%) received chemoembolization. Treatment, age, cirrhosis, number, size, and lobar localization of the recurrent nodules, extrahepatic spread, and time to recurrence were all treatment effect modifiers and survival after recurrence predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the predictive model was 78.5% (95% CI, 71.7%-85.3%) at 5 years after recurrence. According to the model, 611 patients (87.2%) would have benefited from reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, 37 (5.2%) from sorafenib, and 53 (7.6%) from chemoembolization in terms of potential survival after recurrence. Compared with patients for which the best potential treatment was reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, sorafenib and chemoembolization would be the best potential treatment for older patients (median [IQR] age, 78.5 [75.2-83.4] years, 77.02 [73.89-80.46] years, and 71.59 [64.76-76.06] years for sorafenib, chemoembolization, and reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, respectively), with a lower median (IQR) number of multiple recurrent nodules (1.00 [1.00-2.00] for sorafenib, 1.00 [1.00-2.00] for chemoembolization, and 2.00 [1.00-3.00] for reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation). Extrahepatic recurrence was observed in 43.2% (n = 16) for sorafenib as the best potential treatment vs 14.6% (n = 89) for reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation as the best potential treatment and 0% for chemoembolization as the best potential treatment. Those profiles were used to constitute a patient-tailored algorithm for the best potential treatment allocation., Conclusions and Relevance: The herein presented algorithm should help in allocating patients with recurrent HCC to the best potential treatment according to their specific characteristics in a treatment hierarchy fashion.
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- 2023
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40. Self-Reported Assessment of the Socio-Economic Impact of Anticancer Chemotherapy-Related Neurotoxicity.
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Cavaletti G, D'Acunti A, Porcu A, Masiello G, Del Campo L, Traclò G, De Lorenzo F, and Bernasconi DP
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Chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity is a well-known complication of several very effective systemic anticancer treatments, mainly presenting as cognitive impairment ("chemo-brain") and peripheral neuropathy. The social and economic effects of long-lasting chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on patients' lifestyles and their relationships are under-investigated, and their impact is, therefore, largely unknown. In this study, we used a web-based questionnaire to record the self-reported perception of chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on cancer patients' health status, but also on several different aspects of their daily life. From the study results, it emerged that the impact of chemotherapy-induced neurotoxicity on personal, social, and working activities is very high. A similar effect was also observed when the psychological impact is assessed. Moreover, there is evidence suggesting that the management of CIPN is suboptimal; this is partially due to a lack of effective drugs, but also of appropriate advice from healthcare providers. In conclusion, this study provides evidence for the relevance of the impact on the explored aspects of the daily life of cancer patients and spotlights the need for a larger and more structured investigation on these long-term side effects of anticancer chemotherapy.
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- 2023
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41. K index utility as diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in the assessment of patients with suspected Multiple Sclerosis.
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Cutellè C, Balducci C, Cereda D, Fusco ML, Iacobucci D, Perugini J, Pirro F, Brivio R, Bernasconi DP, Ferrarese C, Frigo M, and Cavaletti G
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- Humans, Prognosis, Biomarkers, Immunoglobulin kappa-Chains, Multiple Sclerosis diagnosis
- Abstract
The aim of the present study is to evaluate the composite role of k index in the initial assessment of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients and to select useful cut-offs exportable in clinical practice. We analysed CSF/serum samples of 140 patients and followed-up the CIS/MS subgroup for 7 years. Our results suggest κ index as a quantitative diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in MS, significantly associated to baseline lesion load and to successive clinical course. We propose k index ≥106 as a prognostic cut-off to select patients at major risk of relapse, potentially influencing initial therapeutic decisions., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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42. Patterns of recurrences in sinonasal cancers undergoing an endoscopic surgery-based treatment: Results of the MUSES* on 940 patients: *MUlti-institutional collaborative Study on Endoscopically treated Sinonasal cancers.
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Arosio AD, Bernasconi DP, Valsecchi MG, Pacifico C, Battaglia P, Bignami M, Ferrari M, Mattavelli D, Rampinelli V, Tomasoni M, Schreiber A, Gualtieri T, Piazza C, Magrini SM, Tartaro T, Molteni M, Lambertoni A, Sileo G, Bossi P, Orlandi E, Bertazzoni G, Fiaux-Camous D, Jourdaine C, Verillaud B, Herman P, Nicolai P, Castelnuovo P, and Turri-Zanoni M
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- Endoscopy methods, Humans, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local pathology, Paranasal Sinus Neoplasms pathology
- Abstract
Objectives: The improvements in survival with expansion of the survivors' population, along with evolution of endoscopically-based treatment modalities, have contributed to emphasize the clinical relevance of recurrences in sinonasal cancers. However, at present, literature is scant regarding the pattern of recurrences and the therapeutic strategies available to manage long survivors who experienced single or multiple failures. The aim of the present study was to analyze sinonasal cancers recurrences to provide data regarding rates and patterns of relapse, predictors of failure and prognostic impact of the recurrence., Materials and Methods: All patients receiving multimodal treatments including endoscopic surgery between 1995 and 2021 in three European referral centers were included. Statistical analysis of survival was performed through univariable, multivariable and unidirectional multistate models. Survival after recurrence analysis was implemented for patients experiencing at least one recurrence., Results: The 5- and 10-year recurrence free survival rates were 34.1% and 38.4% for the whole population. With a mean follow-up time of 60 months, a global recurrence rate of 32.9% was observed. The 5- and 10-year survival after recurrence rates were 27.2% and 21.7%, respectively. Incidence and rates of recurrences were significantly associated with histology subtypes., Conclusion: This study provides valuable oncologic outcomes regarding a large homogenous cohort of patients affected by sinonasal malignances treated within a multimodal framework, emphasizing the strong correlation of histologic type with prognosis, as well as with pattern of recurrences., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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43. Long pentraxin 3 (PTX3) levels predict death, intubation and thrombotic events among hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
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Lapadula G, Leone R, Bernasconi DP, Biondi A, Rossi E, D'Angiò M, Bottazzi B, Bettini LR, Beretta I, Garlanda C, Valsecchi MG, Mantovani A, and Bonfanti P
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- Humans, Hospital Mortality, Serum Amyloid P-Component metabolism, Intubation, Intratracheal, COVID-19, Thrombosis etiology
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Background: PTX3 is an important mediator of inflammation and innate immunity. We aimed at assessing its prognostic value in a large cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19., Methods: Levels of PTX3 were measured in 152 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 at San Gerardo Hospital (Monza, Italy) since March 2020. Cox regression was used to identify predictors of time from admission to in-hospital death or mechanical ventilation. Crude incidences of death were compared between patients with PTX3 levels higher or lower than the best cut-off estimated with the Maximally Selected Rank Statistics Method., Results: Upon admission, 22% of the patients required no oxygen, 46% low-flow oxygen, 30% high-flow nasal cannula or CPAP-helmet and 3% MV. Median level of PTX3 was 21.7 (IQR: 13.5-58.23) ng/ml. In-hospital mortality was 25% (38 deaths); 13 patients (8.6%) underwent MV. PTX3 was associated with risk of death (per 10 ng/ml, HR 1.08; 95%CI 1.04-1.11; P<0.001) and death/MV (HR 1.04; 95%CI 1.01-1.07; P=0.011), independently of other predictors of in-hospital mortality, including age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, D-dimer and C-reactive protein (CRP). Patients with PTX3 levels above the optimal cut-off of 39.32 ng/ml had significantly higher mortality than the others (55% vs 8%, P<0.001). Higher PTX3 plasma levels were found in 14 patients with subsequent thrombotic complications (median [IQR]: 51.4 [24.6-94.4] versus 21 [13.4-55.2]; P=0.049)., Conclusions: High PTX3 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 are associated with a worse outcome. The evaluation of this marker could be useful in prognostic stratification and identification of patients who could benefit from immunomodulant therapy., Competing Interests: AM, BB, and CG receive royalties for reagents related to innate immunity and are inventors of patents related to PTX3 and other innate immunity molecules. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Lapadula, Leone, Bernasconi, Biondi, Rossi, D’Angiò, Bottazzi, Bettini, Beretta, Garlanda, Valsecchi, Mantovani and Bonfanti.)
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- 2022
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44. LLM-PBC: Logic Learning Machine-Based Explainable Rules Accurately Stratify the Genetic Risk of Primary Biliary Cholangitis.
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Gerussi A, Verda D, Cappadona C, Cristoferi L, Bernasconi DP, Bottaro S, Carbone M, Muselli M, Invernizzi P, Asselta R, and On Behalf Of The Italian Pbc Genetics Study Group
- Abstract
Background: The application of Machine Learning (ML) to genetic individual-level data represents a foreseeable advancement for the field, which is still in its infancy. Here, we aimed to evaluate the feasibility and accuracy of an ML-based model for disease risk prediction applied to Primary Biliary Cholangitis (PBC)., Methods: Genome-wide significant variants identified in subjects of European ancestry in the recently released second international meta-analysis of GWAS in PBC were used as input data. Quality-checked, individual genomic data from two Italian cohorts were used. The ML included the following steps: import of genotype and phenotype data, genetic variant selection, supervised classification of PBC by genotype, generation of "if-then" rules for disease prediction by logic learning machine (LLM), and model validation in a different cohort., Results: The training cohort included 1345 individuals: 444 were PBC cases and 901 were healthy controls. After pre-processing, 41,899 variants entered the analysis. Several configurations of parameters related to feature selection were simulated. The best LLM model reached an Accuracy of 71.7%, a Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.29, a Youden's value of 0.21, a Sensitivity of 0.28, a Specificity of 0.93, a Positive Predictive Value of 0.66, and a Negative Predictive Value of 0.72. Thirty-eight rules were generated. The rule with the highest covering (19.14) included the following genes: RIN3, KANSL1, TIMMDC1, TNPO3. The validation cohort included 834 individuals: 255 cases and 579 controls. By applying the ruleset derived in the training cohort, the Area under the Curve of the model was 0.73., Conclusions: This study represents the first illustration of an ML model applied to common variants associated with PBC. Our approach is computationally feasible, leverages individual-level data to generate intelligible rules, and can be used for disease prediction in at-risk individuals.
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- 2022
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45. Risk factors for obstetric anal sphincter injury recurrence: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
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Barba M, Bernasconi DP, Manodoro S, and Frigerio M
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- Anal Canal injuries, Delivery, Obstetric adverse effects, Female, Humans, Perineum injuries, Pregnancy, Risk Factors, Fecal Incontinence etiology, Obstetric Labor Complications epidemiology, Obstetric Labor Complications etiology
- Abstract
Background: Women with previous obstetric anal sphincter injuries (OASIs) are at a higher risk of recurrence in the subsequent pregnancy, which may lead to the development or worsening of anal incontinence. Due to a lack of evidence, few recommendations can be made about the factors that may affect the risk of OASI recurrence., Objective: We sought to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate potential risk factors for recurrent OASIs., Search Strategy: Studies up to May 2019 were identified from PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, and ISI Web of Science., Selection Criteria: Studies assessing the impact of risk factors on OASI recurrence in subsequent pregnancies were included. Reviews, letters to the editor, conference abstracts, book chapters, guidelines, Cochrane reviews, and expert opinions were excluded., Data Collection and Analysis: Data were extracted by two independent reviewers. Odds ratio and standardized mean difference were chosen as effect measures. Pooled estimates were calculated using the random-effects model., Main Results: The meta-analysis showed that maternal age, gestational age, occiput posterior presentation, oxytocin augmentation, operative delivery, and shoulder dystocia were associated with the risk of recurrent OASIs in the subsequent delivery., Conclusion: Prenatal and intrapartum risk factors are associated with recurrence of OASI. PROSPERO registration no. CRD42020178125., (© 2021 The Authors. International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics.)
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- 2022
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46. Multidimensional evaluation of the learning curve for laparoscopic complete mesocolic excision for right colon cancer: a risk-adjusted cumulative summation analysis.
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Giani A, Veronesi V, Bertoglio CL, Mazzola M, Bernasconi DP, Grimaldi S, Gualtierotti M, Magistro C, and Ferrari G
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- Colectomy methods, Humans, Learning Curve, Retrospective Studies, Carcinoma, Renal Cell surgery, Colonic Neoplasms surgery, Kidney Neoplasms, Laparoscopy methods
- Abstract
Aim: Despite the suggested potential benefit of complete mesocolic excision (CME) for right-sided colon cancer (RCC) for patient survival, concerns about its safety and feasibility have contributed to delayed acceptance of the procedure, especially when performed by a minimally invasive approach. Thus, the aim of this work was to evaluate the actual learning curve (LC) of laparoscopic CME for experienced colorectal surgeons., Method: Prospectively collected data for consecutive patients undergoing laparoscopic CME for RCC between October 2015 and January 2021 at our institution, operated on by experienced surgeons, were analysed. A multidimensional assessment of the LC was performed through cumulative sum (CUSUM) and risk-adjusted (RA) CUSUM analysis., Results: Two hundred and two patients operated by on by three surgeons were considered. The CUSUM graphs based on operating time showed one peak of the curve between 17 and 27 cases. The CUSUM graphs based on surgical failure showed one peak of the curve between 20 and 24 cases The RA-CUSUM curve also showed one preeminent peak at 24-33 cases. Based on the CUSUM and RA-CUSUM analyses all the surgeons reached proficiency in 24-33 cases., Conclusions: Our study showed that an experienced minimally invasive colorectal surgeon acquires proficiency in laparoscopic CME for RCC after performing 24-33 cases., (© 2022 The Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland.)
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- 2022
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47. Diversified Effects of Bile Contamination, Postoperative Infections, and Antimicrobial Resistance Level on the Oncologic Prognosis After Pancreatoduodenectomy for Ductal Adenocarcinoma.
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Gianotti L, Honselmann KC, Angrisani M, Gavazzi F, Keck T, Wellner U, Bolm L, Petruch N, Capretti G, Nappo G, Bernasconi DP, Sandini M, and Zerbi A
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- Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Bile, Drug Resistance, Bacterial, Humans, Postoperative Complications etiology, Preoperative Care, Prognosis, Adenocarcinoma drug therapy, Pancreaticoduodenectomy adverse effects
- Abstract
Background/aim: Whether the presence of bacteria in the bile or postoperative infections sustained by microorganisms with different levels of drug-resistance are associated with changes in the oncologic prognosis of patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic cancer has not been thoroughly investigated. The aim was to study the association of bile contamination, postoperative infections, and multi-level resistance with long-term outcome., Patients and Methods: Prospectively maintained databases were queried for patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). Patients who underwent preoperative biliary stenting prior to PD and an intraoperative bile culture were included. The levels of bacterial resistance of intraoperative bile cultures and of specimens of postoperative infections were stratified into multidrug sensitive (MDS), multidrug-resistant (MDR), and extensive drug-resistant (XDR)., Results: A total of 267 patients met the inclusion criteria. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves for overall survival (OS) of patients having no bacteriobilia or positive cultures with MDS versus MDR/XDR bacteria were not statistically different (log-rank=0.9). OS of patients stratified for no postoperative infection or infections by MDS was significantly better than those having MRD/XDR isolates (log-rank=0.04). A Cox multivariate model showed that having MRD/XDR postoperative infections was and independent variable for worse OS (HR=1.227; 95%CI=1.189-1.1918; p=0.036)., Conclusion: Postoperative drug resistant infections are a significant risk factor for poor OS after pancreatoduodenectomy for ductal adenocarcinoma., (Copyright © 2022 International Institute of Anticancer Research (Dr. George J. Delinasios), All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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48. Different antecedents and neonatal condition in neonatal arterial ischemic stroke and hypoxic-ischemic neonatal encephalopathy.
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Lambicchi L, Ornaghi S, Dal Molin G, Paterlini G, Bernasconi DP, Moltrasio F, and Vergani P
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- Apgar Score, Case-Control Studies, Female, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Placenta, Pregnancy, Retrospective Studies, Asphyxia Neonatorum complications, Asphyxia Neonatorum epidemiology, Hypoxia-Ischemia, Brain complications, Hypoxia-Ischemia, Brain epidemiology, Ischemic Stroke
- Abstract
Objective: To define similarities and differences between neonatal arterial ischemic stroke (NAIS) and hypoxic-ischemic neonatal encephalopathy (HINE)., Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted of neonates born at 35 weeks or more and weighing 1800 g or more at a tertiary care university hospital, between 2005 and 2016, with NAIS (group A), perinatal asphyxia (PA) with Stage II-III HINE (group B), and PA with or without Stage I HINE (group C). Ante- and intrapartum data, neonatal characteristics, and placental histopathology were compared., Results: Eleven neonates were identified in group A, 10 in group B, and 227 in group C. Sentinel events occurred exclusively in groups B (80%) and C (41.4%). Umbilical cord blood gas values and Apgar score were worse in groups B and C compared to group A. No group A neonates required resuscitation at birth, whereas all group B and one-third of group C neonates did. Seizures developed only in neonates in groups A and B. One neonatal death occurred in group A. There were no significant differences in placental histopathology., Conclusion: NAIS and PA/HINE cases have different intrapartum and neonatal features. PA does not seem necessary for the occurrence of NAIS. More research is needed regarding associated placental abnormalities., (© 2021 The Authors. International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics.)
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- 2022
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49. Hepatectomy Versus Sorafenib in Advanced Nonmetastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Real-life Multicentric Weighted Comparison.
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Famularo S, Donadon M, Cipriani F, Giuliante F, Ferri S, Celsa C, Ferrero A, Foschi FG, Baiocchi GL, Biasini E, Campani C, Valle RD, Pelizzaro F, Baroni GS, Raimondo G, Mega A, Chiarelli M, Maestri M, Gasbarrini A, Jovine E, Grazi GL, Rapaccini GL, Ruzzenente A, Morisco F, Sacco R, Memeo R, Crespi M, Antonucci A, Bernasconi DP, Romano F, Griseri G, Aldrighetti L, Torzilli G, and Trevisani F
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- Hepatectomy, Humans, Neoplasm Staging, Niacinamide therapeutic use, Phenylurea Compounds therapeutic use, Retrospective Studies, Sorafenib therapeutic use, Treatment Outcome, Antineoplastic Agents therapeutic use, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular drug therapy, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular pathology, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular surgery, Liver Neoplasms drug therapy, Liver Neoplasms pathology, Liver Neoplasms surgery
- Abstract
Objective: The aim of the study was to compare SURG vs SOR regarding the OS and progression-free survival (PFS) in a real-world clinical scenario., Background Data: The treatment for advanced nonmetastatic HCC belonging to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C (BCLC C) is still controversial., Methods: BCLC C patients without extrahepatic spread and tumoral invasion of the main portal trunk were considered. Surgical patients were obtained from the HE.RC.O.LE.S. Register, whereas sorafenib patients were obtained from the ITA.LI.CA register The inverse probability weighting (IPW) method was adopted to balance the confounders between the 2 groups., Results: Between 2008 and 2019, 478 patients were enrolled: 303 in SURG and 175 in SOR group. Eastern Cooperative Oncological Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS), presence of cirrhosis, steatosis, Child-Pugh grade, hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus, alcohol intake, collateral veins, bilobar disease, localization of the tumor thrombus, number of nodules, alpha-fetoprotein, age, and Charlson Comorbidity index were weighted by IPW to create two balanced pseudo-populations: SURG = 374 and SOR = 263. After IPW, 1-3-5 years OS was 83.6%, 68.1%, 55.9% for SURG, and 42.3%, 17.8%, 12.8% for SOR (P < 0.001). Similar trends were observed after subgrouping patients by ECOG-PS = 0 and ECOG-PS >0, and by the intrahepatic location of portal vein invasion. At Cox regression, sorafenib treatment (hazard ratio 4.436; 95% confidence interval 3.19-6.15; P < 0.001) and Charlson Index (hazard ratio 1.162; 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.27; P = 0.010) were the only independent predictors of mortality. PFS at 1-3-5 years were 65.9%, 40.3%, 24.3% for SURG and 21.6%, 3.5%, 2.9% for SOR (P = 0.007)., Conclusions: In BCLC C patients without extrahepatic spread but with intrahepatic portal invasion, liver resection, if feasible, was followed by better OS and PFS compared with sorafenib., Competing Interests: The authors report no conflicts of interests., (Copyright © 2022 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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50. Machine learning in primary biliary cholangitis: A novel approach for risk stratification.
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Gerussi A, Verda D, Bernasconi DP, Carbone M, Komori A, Abe M, Inao M, Namisaki T, Mochida S, Yoshiji H, Hirschfield G, Lindor K, Pares A, Corpechot C, Cazzagon N, Floreani A, Marzioni M, Alvaro D, Vespasiani-Gentilucci U, Cristoferi L, Valsecchi MG, Muselli M, Hansen BE, Tanaka A, and Invernizzi P
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- Cholagogues and Choleretics therapeutic use, Humans, Machine Learning, Prognosis, Risk Assessment, Ursodeoxycholic Acid therapeutic use, Cholangitis complications, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary drug therapy
- Abstract
Background & Aims: Machine learning (ML) provides new approaches for prognostication through the identification of novel subgroups of patients. We explored whether ML could support disease sub-phenotyping and risk stratification in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC)., Methods: ML was applied to an international dataset of PBC patients. The dataset was split into a derivation cohort (training set) and a validation cohort (validation set), and key clinical features were analysed. The outcome was a composite of liver-related death or liver transplantation. ML and standard survival analysis were performed., Results: The training set was composed of 11,819 subjects, while the validation set was composed of 1,069 subjects. ML identified four clusters of patients characterized by different phenotypes and long-term prognosis. Cluster 1 (n = 3566) included patients with excellent prognosis, whereas Cluster 2 (n = 3966) consisted of individuals at worse prognosis differing from Cluster 1 only for albumin levels around the limit of normal. Cluster 3 (n = 2379) included young patients with florid cholestasis and Cluster 4 (n = 1908) comprised advanced cases. Further sub-analyses on the dynamics of albumin within the normal range revealed that ursodeoxycholic acid-induced increase of albumin >1.2 x lower limit of normal (LLN) is associated with improved transplant-free survival., Conclusions: Unsupervised ML identified four novel groups of PBC patients with different phenotypes and prognosis and highlighted subtle variations of albumin within the normal range. Therapy-induced increase of albumin >1.2 x LLN should be considered a treatment goal., (© 2022 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2022
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