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6. Introduction

Author

Bengtsson, Tommy, Keilman, Nico, Alho, Juha M., Christensen, Kaare, Palmer, Edward, Vaupel, James W., Myrskylä, Mikko, Editor-in-Chief, Bengtsson, Tommy, editor, and Keilman, Nico, editor

Published
2019
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15. A hazards approach to the biometric analysis of infant mortality

Author

Broström, Göran, Bengtsson, Tommy, Broström, Göran, and Bengtsson, Tommy

Abstract

A variation of the Bourgeois-Pichat biometric analysis of infant mortality is suggested. In the original model, cumulative mortality in the last eleven months of infancy is assumed to follow a uniform distribution given a log-cube transformation of age. Instead, we assume an exponential distribution. The difference is that while the denominator is constant in the Bourgeois-Pichat model, equal to the number of births, in our model, the denominator is the current population at risk. We argue that our assumption is more satisfactory from a theoretical point of view, since it focus on the conditional probability of dying. Our model gives different estimates of endogenous and exogenous mortality and, in addition, the model fit is slightly better, especially in cases with higher levels of infant mortality.

Published
2023

22. Introduction

Author

Bengtsson, Tommy, Mineau, Geraldine P., Bengtsson, Tommy, editor, and Mineau, Geraldine P., editor

Published
2008
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39. Extending working life: experiences from Sweden, 1981–2011. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research|Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2019

Author

Qi, Haodong, Scott, Kirk, and Bengtsson, Tommy

Subjects
Sociology and Economics
Abstract

Population ageing is making it increasingly diffcult for countries to sustain their current levels social welfare transfers from the economically active population to the dependent elderly. To meet this challenge, the Swedish government has implemented various reforms since the 1990s aimed at reducing incentives to take early retirement. However, a critical question has emerged in response to these reforms: namely, whether members of certain socially and demographically disadvantaged groups will, in practice, be able to work longer. This paper provides a detailed overview of retirement trends in Sweden, disaggregated by educational attainment, health status, and country of birth. Our results show that the growth pattern in the average effective retirement age since the mid-1990s was shared by individuals regardless of their educational level, health status, or country of birth. This shared growth pattern suggests that it is possible to extend the working lives of all groups of individuals, regardless of their socio-economic and demographic characteristics.

Published
2019

40. Immigrant consumption of sickness benefits in Sweden, 1982-1991

Author

Bengtsson, Tommy and Scott, Kirk

Subjects
Immigrants -- Compensation and benefits, Immigrants -- Health aspects, Health insurance -- Consumption data, Business, Social sciences
Abstract

The determinants of diverse sickness benefits consumption level of the immigrants and natives of Sweden are assessed. The nationality and education level are the key determinants. A considerable difference between nationalities in sickness benefit consumption is revealed.

Published
2006

41. Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting

Author

Bengtsson, Tommy and Keilman, Nico

Subjects
Social sciences, Demography, Population, Statistics, thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics, thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography, thema EDItEUR::K Economics, Finance, Business and Management::KC Economics::KCP Political economy
Abstract

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.

Published
2019
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