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166 results on '"Bayona, José A."'

2. Melphalan Dose in Combination With Fludarabine Affects Gastrointestinal Toxicity and Graft-Versus-Host Disease After Allogeneic Transplantation in Acute Myeloid Leukemia and Myelodysplastic Syndromes

Author

Albanyan, Omar, Elmariah, Hany, Kalos, Denise, Kim, Jongphil, Faramand, Rawan, Sallman, David, Mishra, Asmita, Sweet, Kendra, Perez, Lia, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose, Nieder, Michael, Komrokji, Rami, Lancet, Jeffery, Fernandez, Hugo, Nishihori, Taiga, Pidala, Joseph, Anasetti, Claudio, and Bejanyan, Nelli

Published
2024
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4. Developing, Testing, and Communicating Earthquake Forecasts: Current Practices and Future Directions.

Author

Mizrahi, Leila, Dallo, Irina, van der Elst, Nicholas J., Christophersen, Annemarie, Spassiani, Ilaria, Werner, Maximilian J., Iturrieta, Pablo, Bayona, José A., Iervolino, Iunio, Schneider, Max, Page, Morgan T., Zhuang, Jiancang, Herrmann, Marcus, Michael, Andrew J., Falcone, Giuseppe, Marzocchi, Warner, Rhoades, David, Gerstenberger, Matt, Gulia, Laura, and Schorlemmer, Danijel

Subjects
EARTHQUAKE prediction, SEISMIC event location, TEST methods, PROBABILITY theory, FORECASTING
Abstract

While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible, earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes occurring within some region over time. To enable informed decision‐making of civil protection, governmental agencies, or the public, Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) systems aim to provide authoritative earthquake forecasts based on current earthquake activity in near‐real time. Establishing OEF systems involves several nontrivial choices. This review captures the current state of OEF worldwide and analyzes expert recommendations on the development, testing, and communication of earthquake forecasts. An introductory summary of OEF‐related research is followed by a description of OEF systems in Italy, New Zealand, and the United States. Combined, these two parts provide an informative and transparent snapshot of today's OEF landscape. In Section 4, we analyze the results of an expert elicitation that was conducted to seek guidance for the establishment of OEF systems. The elicitation identifies consensus and dissent on OEF issues among a non‐representative group of 20 international earthquake forecasting experts. While the experts agree that communication products should be developed in collaboration with the forecast user groups, they disagree on whether forecasting models and testing methods should be user‐dependent. No recommendations of strict model requirements could be elicited, but benchmark comparisons, prospective testing, reproducibility, and transparency are encouraged. Section 5 gives an outlook on the future of OEF. Besides covering recent research on earthquake forecasting model development and testing, upcoming OEF initiatives are described in the context of the expert elicitation findings. Plain Language Summary: The exact location, time, and magnitude of future earthquakes cannot be predicted. However, based on past earthquake sequences, it is possible to assess probabilities for future earthquakes. This is called earthquake forecasting. Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) systems are designed to provide near‐real‐time authoritative earthquake forecasts, based on current earthquake activity, to aid the decision‐making of various societal stakeholders. Setting up these systems is complex, involving decisions about which model to use, how to best test the model, and how to turn earthquake probability estimates into practical information. This review captures the current state of OEF worldwide and analyzes expert recommendations on the development, testing, and communication of earthquake forecasts. Section 2 provides an overview of OEF‐related research and the background knowledge required to understand the other parts. Section 3 describes existing OEF systems of Italy, New Zealand, and the United States in detail. Section 4 discusses an elicitation of expert views on modeling, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts (Mizrahi, Dallo, & Kuratle, 2023, https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz‐b‐000637239). Data from the elicitation allow to identify consensus and dissent on OEF issues and provide guidance for future earthquake forecasting efforts. Finally, Section 5 gives an outlook on future OEF‐related research and planned OEF efforts at various institutions. Key Points: We capture the state of earthquake forecasting systems in Italy, New Zealand, and the United States, and future plans in these and other countriesExperts encourage benchmark comparison, prospective testing, reproducibility and transparency, but avoid endorsing specific models or testsExperts stress the need to co‐design forecast communication products with end‐users to ensure their societal relevance and usefulness [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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9. Hypoalbuminemia at Day +90 Is Associated with Inferior Nonrelapse Mortality and Overall Survival in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Recipients: A Confirmatory Study

Author

Murthy, Hemant S., Sheets, Kyle, Kumar, Ambuj, Nishihori, Taiga, Mina, Alain, Chavez, Julio C., Ayala, Ernesto, Field, Teresa, Mathews, John, Locke, Frederick, Perez, Lia, Betts, Brian C., Khimani, Farhad, Miladinovic, Branco, Tsalatsanis, Athanasios, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose Leonel, Alsina, Melissa, Fernandez, Hugo, Pidala, Joseph, Anasetti, Claudio, and Kharfan-Dabaja, Mohamed A.

Published
2018
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11. pyCSEP: A Python Toolkit for Earthquake Forecast Developers

Author

Savran, William H., Bayona, José A., Iturrieta, Pablo, Khawaja, Asim M., Bao, Han, Bayliss, Kirsty, Herrmann, Marcus, Schorlemmer, Danijel, Maechling, Philip J., and Werner, Maximilian J.

Subjects
pycsep, statistical seismology, Geophysics, earthquake forecasting
Abstract

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an open and global community whose mission is to accelerate earthquake predictability research through rigorous testing of probabilistic earthquake forecast models and prediction algorithms. pyCSEP supports this mission by providing open-source implementations of useful tools for evaluating earthquake forecasts. pyCSEP is a Python package that contains the following modules: (1) earthquake catalog access and processing, (2) representations of probabilistic earthquake forecasts, (3) statistical tests for evaluating earthquake forecasts, and (4) visualization routines and various other utilities. Most significantly, pyCSEP contains several statistical tests needed to evaluate earthquake forecasts, which can be forecasts expressed as expected earthquake rates in space–magnitude bins or specified as large sets of simulated catalogs (which includes candidate models for governmental operational earthquake forecasting). To showcase how pyCSEP can be used to evaluate earthquake forecasts, we have provided a reproducibility package that contains all the components required to re-create the figures published in this article. We recommend that interested readers work through the reproducibility package alongside this article. By providing useful tools to earthquake forecast modelers and facilitating an open-source software community, we hope to broaden the impact of the CSEP and further promote earthquake forecasting research.

Published
2022

14. The need for open, transdisciplinary, and ethical science in seismology

Author

Dallo, Irina, Herrmann, Marcus, Supino, Mariano, Bayona, José A., Khawaja, Asim M., and Scaini, Chiara

Subjects
Transdisciplinarity, Ethics, Opinion, Dynamic seismic risk, Open science, Seismology
Abstract

The devastating 2023 M7.8 Türkiye–Syria earthquake sequence once again highlighted the gap between (seismological) knowledge and action: Although the impacted region is known to be at high seismic risk (i.e., highly seismically active and densely populated), the political and societal conditions have complicated and delayed protective measures. To reduce the seismic risk and prepare local communities, experts from different disciplines must collaborate effectively in redesigning the built environment and engaging the community in risk education and management (Comfort et al., 2023). In recent years, three subjects have become increasingly relevant to build that needed bridge between scientific knowledge and societal action: open science, transdisciplinarity, and ethics (see Figure 1). They have influenced scientific discussions on how to transition from purely scientific research to practical and societally relevant applications that increase societies’ resilience to disasters (e.g., Marti et al., 2022) – just as envisioned by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 project ‘Real-time earthquake rIsk reduction for a reSilient Europe’ (RISE) concerning earthquake risk. We and other early career scientists of RISE identified these three subjects in several virtual discussions while reflecting on our needs to better understand how we can make our research efforts more societally meaningful and effective. Eventually, together with several senior scientists of RISE, we discussed and evaluated these subjects during a three-day workshop under the theme “Bringing research to practical applications that increase society’s earthquake resilience” (Supplement 1). This theme resembled RISE’s overall goal to advance the scientific and societal knowledge on dynamic seismic risk, the overarching topic we additionally wanted to explore. First, keynotes from experts gave us a background on the three subjects, and lightning talks by all participants revealed the range of our expertise. Second, we drew a rich picture for the overarching topic and each subject following the Soft Systems Methodology (Pohl, 2020): separate groups sketch and express their ideas as mental models, receive feedback from the other groups, and revise it accordingly (see Supplement S2a-d for the evolution of the rich pictures). This approach allowed us to integrate all our expertise on the topic and subjects. We provide the conceptual background of the three main subjects, stress their relevance in current research, and illustrate their link to dynamic seismic risk (Figure 1). We believe that these reflections can be transferred to any other research field since the subjects affect various disciplines.

Published
2023
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15. Seasonal Dynamic of NO3−and K+in a Citrus Crop Irrigated by Different Water Qualities

Author

Mira-García, Ana Belén, Romero-Trigueros, Cristina, Bayona, José María, and Nicolás-Nicolás, Emilio

Abstract

This study evaluated the effect of (i) irrigation water source: transfer (TW) and reclaimed water (RW), and (ii) crop phenological stage: winter rest (WR), flowering-sprouting (FS), and fruit growth (FG), on NO3−and K+dynamics in soil and leaf of a citrus crop. The experiment was carried out during the 2018 and 2019 growing seasons on adult ‘Star Ruby’ grapefruit trees (Citrus paradisiMacf.). The concentration of both nutrients was periodically measured in soil and leaf samples and continuously monitored in the soil soluble fraction with nutrient sensors. Moreover, soil NO3−leaching was indirectly estimated by the periodic measurement of the leaf enrichment in 15N isotope (15Nleaf). The two water sources showed a different nutrient loading. Thus, NO3−and K+, were approximately 5 and 7 times higher, respectively, in the RW. Furthermore, the average contents of NO3−and K+in the soil samples from the RW treatment were 10.1 and 19.7%, respectively, higher than in TW, with the highest soil NO3−leaching observed in RW treatment. In line with this, the mean contents of NO3−and K+in the leaves from the RW treatment were 106.9 and 30.4% higher than the TW ones. As for the different phenological stages, in the FG stage, the lowest concentrations of NO3−in the soil samples and the highest in the leaf tissue were observed after a high soil leaching event. In this study the nutrient sensors measurements varied according to the dynamic of NO3−and K+in the soil samples. The use of RW promoted an accumulation of NO3−and K+in the soil and leaves of grapefruit trees, but also enhanced soil NO3−leaching, indicating that the proper management of this water source is necessary to avoid soil contamination. The mobilization of NO3−and K+from soil to leaf was the highest in the FG stage, to ensure fruit development and vegetative growth.

Published
2024
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16. Prospective evaluation of multiplicative hybrid earthquake forecasting models in California

Author

Bayona, José A., Savran, William H., Rhoades, David A., and Werner, Maximilian J.

Subjects
Probabilistic forecasting, Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction, Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction, Geophysics, Probabilistic forecasting, Geochemistry and Petrology, Seismicity and tectonics, Statistical seismology
Abstract

SUMMARY The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) experiment, conducted within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP), showed that the smoothed seismicity (HKJ) model by Helmstetter et al. was the most informative time-independent earthquake model in California during the 2006–2010 evaluation period. The diversity of competing forecast hypotheses and geophysical data sets used in RELM was suitable for combining multiple models that could provide more informative earthquake forecasts than HKJ. Thus, Rhoades et al. created multiplicative hybrid models that involve the HKJ model as a baseline and one or more conjugate models. In retrospective evaluations, some hybrid models showed significant information gains over the HKJ forecast. Here, we prospectively assess the predictive skills of 16 hybrids and 6 original RELM forecasts at a 0.05 significance level, using a suite of traditional and new CSEP tests that rely on a Poisson and a binary likelihood function. In addition, we include consistency test results at a Bonferroni-adjusted significance level of 0.025 to address the problem of multiple tests. Furthermore, we compare the performance of each forecast to that of HKJ. The evaluation data set contains 40 target events recorded within the CSEP California testing region from 2011 January 1 to 2020 December 31, including the 2016 Hawthorne earthquake swarm in southwestern Nevada and the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence. Consistency test results show that most forecasting models overestimate the number of earthquakes and struggle to explain the spatial distribution of epicenters, especially in the case of seismicity clusters. The binary likelihood function significantly reduces the sensitivity of spatial log-likelihood scores to clustering, however; most models still fail to adequately describe spatial earthquake patterns. Contrary to retrospective analyses, our prospective test results show that none of the models are significantly more informative than the HKJ benchmark forecast, which we interpret to be due to temporal instabilities in the fit that forms hybrids. These results suggest that smoothing high-resolution, small earthquake data remains a robust method for forecasting moderate-to-large earthquakes over a period of 5–15 yr in California.

Published
2022

21. Statistical power of spatial earthquake forecast tests.

Author

Khawaja, Asim M, Hainzl, Sebastian, Schorlemmer, Danijel, Iturrieta, Pablo, Bayona, José A, Savran, William H, Werner, Maximilian, and Marzocchi, Warner

Subjects
EARTHQUAKE prediction, STATISTICAL power analysis, FORECASTING, EARTHQUAKES, SPATIAL resolution
Abstract

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an international effort to evaluate earthquake forecast models prospectively. In CSEP, one way to express earthquake forecasts is through a grid-based format: the expected number of earthquake occurrences within 0.1° × 0.1° spatial cells. The spatial distribution of seismicity is thereby evaluated using the Spatial test (S-test). The high-resolution grid combined with sparse and inhomogeneous earthquake distributions leads to a huge number of cells causing disparity in the number of cells, and the number of earthquakes to evaluate the forecasts, thereby affecting the statistical power of the S-test. In order to explore this issue, we conducted a global earthquake forecast experiment, in which we computed the power of the S-test to reject a spatially non-informative uniform forecast model. The S-test loses its power to reject the non-informative model when the spatial resolution is so high that every earthquake of the observed catalog tends to get a separate cell. Upon analysing the statistical power of the S-test, we found, as expected, that the statistical power of the S-test depends upon the number of earthquakes available for testing, e.g. with the conventional high-resolution grid for the global region, we would need more than 32 000 earthquakes in the observed catalog for powerful testing, which would require approximately 300 yr to record M ≥ 5.95. The other factor affecting the power is more interesting and new; it is related to the spatial grid representation of the forecast model. Aggregating forecasts on multi-resolution grids can significantly increase the statistical power of the S-test. Using the recently introduced Quadtree to generate data-based multi-resolution grids, we show that the S-test reaches its maximum power in this case already for as few as eight earthquakes in the test period. Thus, we recommend for future CSEP experiments the use of Quadtree-based multi-resolution grids, where available data determine the resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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24. Good practice report: new developments in physics- and statistics-based earthquake forecasting

Author

Mizrahi, Leila, Savran, William H., and Bayona, José A.

Subjects
Statistical seismology, Physics-based modelling, Earthquake forecasting
Abstract

ETAS is currently the most widely accepted state-of-the-art when it comes to time-dependent earthquake forecasting. This model is based on a few simple assumptions and well-established empirical principles about earthquakes’ triggering behaviour. In ETAS, earthquakes can either be “background” events, or “triggered” events, and all of them can trigger cascades of aftershocks, following triggering laws, such as the Omori-Utsu law for the temporal distribution of aftershocks or the Gutenberg-Richter law for the frequency distribution of earthquake magnitudes. While it has been around for many years, ETAS hits a sweet spot between simplicity and accuracy, which makes it difficult for newer models to establish themselves as the new state-of-the-art.

Published
2022
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25. Reading and storage of library resources using UHF RFID technology with IoT.

Author

Durán-Bayona, José, Quintero-Ayala, Sergio, Castro-Casadiego, Sergio, NiñoRondón, Carlos, and Sandoval-Martínez, Gloria

Subjects
*LIBRARY administration, *LIBRARY storage centers, *LIBRARY resources, *DATABASES, *PROGRAMMING languages, *RASPBERRY Pi, *INTERNET of things, *RADIO frequency identification systems, *SHORTWAVE radio
Abstract

Libraries supervisors have the administrative duty of control and keep safe their inventories, such as books, documents, manuals, and theses, facilitating access to their users to this information and helping them loan and return, internal or external, in case it’s permitted. We wanted to design and build a prototype for a device capable of complementing these tasks in a low cost. We go through the processes in the design of a prototype for a simultaneous Radio Frequency Identification Reader using Ultra High Frequencies with Internet of Things technologies for data storage and communication between multiple stations, to do so we use a decision matrix method to select hardware tools, and software programming languages and libraries, needed to build such device, comparing, and weighting the characteristics that fit our needs. The resulting hardware selection was the Raspberry Pi and the RedBoard with a 59,7% and 12,4% respectively, and NodeJS with WebSockets for the software selection with a 53,8%. Finally, we present the designed architecture and a working prototype of the device that was built. Obtained response times from the reader and the database storage were as low as 10 milliseconds and as high as 20 milliseconds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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26. A Test of the Earthquake Gap Hypothesis in Mexico: The Case of the Guerrero Gap.

Author

Husker, Allen, Werner, Maximilian J., Bayona, José A., Santoyo, Miguel, and Corona-Fernandez, Raul Daniel

Abstract

The seismic gap hypothesis has been widely cited in Mexico to predict the location of future earthquakes. However, no analysis of the outcome of any predictions of the hypothesis in Mexico has been done to date. This work analyzes the outcome of the prediction by Nishenko and Singh (1987a), which is based on probability distribution functions over time in defined segments that allow for a formal evaluation. Specific probabilities were given for 5, 10, and 20 yr after 1986, using the cumulative distribution function. The prediction relies on the precise repeat times of characteristic earthquakes to define the segments, but we show that the catalog the authors use relies on an imprecise definition of characteristic earthquakes. We discuss some of their decisions in building their catalog to explain how we analyze the outcome of the prediction. An unexpected result is that the very catalog the authors use to create the gap hypothesis prediction does not seem to support a narrow recurrence interval and instead seems to suggest large variability in earthquake recurrence intervals along the Mexican subduction zone. We generate null model earthquake catalogs using the average number of earthquakes that occur in the subduction zone and randomly distribute these along the segments according to their relative lengths. We find that the null model performs better than the seismic gap hypothesis prediction. No earthquakes occur in segments with a 70% or higher probability according to NS1987 (there were four such segments in the 20-year time frame), but an MW 8.0 earthquake occurs in a segment with a less than 16% probability of an earthquake. We conclude that the gap hypothesis performed poorly at predicting earthquakes in Mexico and, in fact, its predictions were worse than predicting earthquakes by chance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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27. Multi-Resolution Grids in Earthquake Forecasting: The Quadtree Approach.

Author

Asim, Khawaja M., Schorlemmer, Danijel, Hainzl, Sebastian, Iturrieta, Pablo, Savran, William H., Bayona, José A., and Werner, Maximilian J.

Abstract

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an international effort to evaluate probabilistic earthquake forecasting models. CSEP provides the cyberinfrastructure and testing methods needed to evaluate earthquake forecasts. The most common way to represent a probabilistic earthquake forecast involves specifying the average rate of earthquakes within discrete spatial cells, subdivided into magnitude bins. Typically, the spatial component uses a single-resolution Cartesian grid with spatial cell dimensions of 0.1° × 0.1° in latitude and longitude, leading to 6.48 million spatial cells for the global testing region. However, the quantity of data (e.g., number of earthquakes) available to generate and test a forecast model is usually several orders of magnitude less than the millions of spatial cells, leading to a huge disparity in the number of earthquakes and the number of cells in the grid. In this study, we propose the Quadtree to create multi-resolution grid, locally adjusted mirroring the available data for forecast generation and testing, thus providing a data-driven resolution of forecasts. The Quadtree is a hierarchical tree-based data structure used in combination with the Mercator projection to generate spatial grids. It is easy to implement and has numerous scientific and technological applications. To facilitate its application to end users, we integrated codes handling Quadtrees into pyCSEP, an open-source Python package containing tools for evaluating earthquake forecasts. Using a sample model, we demonstrate how forecast model generation can be improved significantly in terms of information gain if constrained on a multi-resolution grid instead of a high-resolution uniform grid. In addition, we demonstrate that multi-resolution Quadtree grids lead to reduced computational costs. Thus, we anitcipate that Quadtree grids will be useful for developing and evaluating earthquake forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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33. BlenderCAVE: Easy VR Authoring for Multi-Screen Displays

Author

Gascón, Jorge, Bayona, José M., Espadero, José M., and Otaduy, Miguel A.

Subjects
!
Abstract

BlenderCave is a framework for the fast creation of virtual reality applications for multi-screen display systems. It consists of a set of extensions to the open-source Blender Game Engine (BGE), leveraging the scene creation and real-time rendering capabilities of BGE, and augmenting them with easy-to-setup support for CAVE or Powerwall-type displays. The framework is implemented in a distributed manner, and it contains a virtual camera setup to control the display output, and a lightweight network communication protocol to manage events and synchronize the application state. We demonstrate that, with BlenderCAVE, 3D applications can easily be written in Blender and displayed on multi-screen displays., V Ibero-American Symposium in Computer Graphics, Displays and Computational Photography, 91, 97, Jorge Gascón, José M. Bayona, José M. Espadero, and Miguel A. Otaduy

Published
2021
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34. MM-059 Incidence and Risk Factors Associated With Bleeding Following Anti-B-Cell Maturation Antigen (BCMA) Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T-Cell Therapy in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM)

Author

Mohammed, Turab, Peres, Lauren, Colinleitzinger, Christelle, Puglianini, Omar Castaneda, Oswald, Laura, de Avila, Gabe, Grajales-Cruz, Ariel, Blue, Brandon, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose, Khimani, Farhad, Faramand, Rawan, Elmariah, Hany, Lazaryan, Aleksandr, Jain, Michael, Liu, Hein, Nishihori, Taiga, Shain, Ken, Baz, Rachid, Alsina, Melissa, Locke, Frederick, Freeman, Ciara, and Hansen, Doris

Published
2023
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35. POSTER: MM-059 Incidence and Risk Factors Associated With Bleeding Following Anti-B-Cell Maturation Antigen (BCMA) Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T-Cell Therapy in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM)

Author

Mohammed, Turab, Peres, Lauren, Colinleitzinger, Christelle, Puglianini, Omar Castaneda, Oswald, Laura, de Avila, Gabe, Grajales-Cruz, Ariel, Blue, Brandon, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose, Khimani, Farhad, Faramand, Rawan, Elmariah, Hany, Lazaryan, Aleksandr, Jain, Michael, Liu, Hein, Nishihori, Taiga, Shain, Ken, Baz, Rachid, Alsina, Melissa, Locke, Frederick, Freeman, Ciara, and Hansen, Doris

Published
2023
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36. La declaración tributaria especial y los principios materiales de justicia tributaria

Author

Campos Bayona, José Antonio, Soto Bernabeu, Laura, and Departamentos de la UMH::Ciencias Sociales y Humanas

Subjects
amnistía fiscal, regularización, declaración tributaria especial, sistema tributario, 3 - Ciencias sociales:33 - Economía:331 - Trabajo. Relaciones laborales. Ocupación. Organización del trabajo [CDU], principios materiales de justicia tributaria
Abstract

Este trabajo está basado en un tema con una importante repercusión tanto en la opinión pública como en el ámbito jurídico como es la declaración tributaria especial. Esta es una medida tributaria llevada a cabo por el gobierno en el año 2012 que fue presentada para fomentar la regularización voluntaria de situaciones de incumplimiento de las obligaciones tributarias a la vez que se reducía el excesivo déficit público. Es por ello que empezaremos por poner de relieve el contexto económico en el que se aprobó esta controvertida medida. Veremos también como los resultados conseguidos distaron bastante de las previsiones iniciales del gobierno. A continuación, nos centraremos en el marco normativo que reguló la declaración tributaria especial. Esto nos servirá para conocer los requisitos más importantes: sujetos que podían acogerse a esta medida, así como las condiciones en que lo hacían y los plazos e importes a ingresar para normalizar sus situaciones tributarias. Tras ello, se desplegaban unos efectos que también veremos. Asimismo, nos permitirá establecer una comparación entre lo que podríamos llamar regularización ordinaria (recogida en el artículo 27 de la LGT) y regularización extraordinaria (disposición adicional 1ª del RDL 12/2012. Posteriormente, estudiaremos su naturaleza jurídica y el alcance penal, lo que nos ayudará a profundizar en su contenido y a analizar por qué se le va a considerar por la mayoría de la doctrina como una auténtica amnistía fiscal. Más adelante, incidiremos en el recurso de inconstitucionalidad interpuesto por el grupo parlamentario socialista. Dicho recurso se fundamentó en los artículos 31.1 y 86 de la constitución. Como consecuencia de su resolución por la STC de 8 de junio de 2017, haremos una especial referencia a dicha sentencia en la que se declaró la nulidad e inconstitucionalidad de la disposición estudiada. Finalmente, analizaremos la adecuación de la medida mencionada a los principios materiales de justicia tributaria. Para ello, definiremos brevemente el contenido de cada principio y, tomando como base la doctrina constitucional, concluiremos el presente trabajo razonando por qué la declaración tributaria especial vulnera dichos principios

Published
2020

37. Forecasting exchange rates using recurrent neural networks

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Cuéllar Abril, Juan Julián, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Cuéllar Abril, Juan Julián

Abstract

[EN] FOREX is a market in which large amounts of resources are invested in order to predict changes in currency pairs as accurately as possible. In this market, machine learning is also having a great impact and numerous studies are developed to offer solutions that maximize the benefit that can be obtained from it. This project addresses one of these studies, which presents the benefits of LSTM recurrent neural networks in the prediction of time series. Subsequently, the viability of said model is tested on the EURUSD currency pair. Finally, a model based on various neural networks is presented and an asynchronous communication system with the market is developed. This system allows for the automatic execution of transactions based on the results obtained in the previously made predictions., [ES] El FOREX es un mercado donde se invierten grandes cantidades de recursos con el objetivo de predecir con la mayor exactitud posible los cambios en los pares de divisas. Donde además el aprendizaje automático está teniendo un gran impacto y numerosos estudios son desarrollados para ofrecer soluciones que maximicen el beneficio obtenido. El siguiente proyecto aborda uno de estos estudios, en el que se presentan los beneficios de las redes neuronales recurrentes LSTM en la predicción de series temporales. Posteriormente se comprueba la viabilidad de dicho modelo sobre el par de divisas EURUSD. A continuación se presenta un modelo basado en varias redes neuronales y se desarrolla un sistema de comunicación asíncrona con el mercado que permite la ejecución automática de transacciones a partir de los resultados obtenidos en las predicciones realizadas., [CA] El FOREX és un mercat on s’invertixen grans quantitats de recursos amb l’objectiu de predir amb la major exactitud possible els canvis en els parells de divises. On a més l’aprenentatge automàtic està tenint un gran impacte i nombrosos estudis són desenvolupats per a oferir solucions que maximitzen el benefici obtingut. El següent projecte aborda un d’aquests estudis, en el que es presenten els beneficis de les xarxes neuronals recurrents LSTM en la predicció de sèries temporals. Posteriorment es comprova la viabilitat del model sobre el parell de divises EURUSD. A continuació es presenta un model basat en unes vàries xarxes neuronals i es desenrotlla un sistema de comunicació asíncrona amb el mercat que permet l’execució automàtica de transaccions a partir dels resultats obtinguts en les prediccions realitzades.

Published
2020

38. Aplicación móvil para la gestión de manga en el mercado español

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Sangonzalo Martínez, Jesús Enrique, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Sangonzalo Martínez, Jesús Enrique

Abstract

[ES] El manga o cómic japonés constituye una parte importante de la industria editorial de Japón, donde representa más del 25% de todos los materiales impresos en el país. El mercado español lleva activo desde varias décadas y ha batido récords de ventas en los últimos años. A raíz de esta expansión, es cada vez más complicado para el consumidor saber qué licencias están publicadas en España. Por este motivo, este proyecto desarrolla una aplicación móvil para ofrecer al consumidor una visión actualizada del mercado español, es decir, mostrando cada una de las colecciones licenciadas, además de las novedades mensuales publicadas por cada editorial. Asimismo, se ha hecho uso de las nuevas tecnologías para realizar una API REST, la cual está destinada al apoyo de nuevos proyectos ofreciendo su información de manera pública. Para conseguir esto, se han empleado técnicas de web scraping mediante el uso de la librería BeautifulSoup para la extracción de información de una página especializada en manga. Dicha información es adaptada y almacenada en una base de datos, la cual se comunica con una API REST dónde la información es publicada en formato JSON. Mediante una conexión HTTP, la aplicación móvil realiza una operación GET para obtener los datos y emplearlos en cada una de sus funcionalidades. Como resultado, se obtiene una aplicación móvil con la información actualizada de la industria del manga en España, además de ofrecer una API REST para apoyar futuros proyectos relacionados con dicha temática., [EN] The Japanese manga or comic book is an important part of Japan's publishing industry, representing more than 25% of all printed materials in the country. The Spanish market has been active for several decades and has broken sales records in recent years. As a result of this expansion, it is increasingly difficult for consumers to know which licenses are published in Spain. For this reason, this project is developing a mobile application to offer the consumer an updated view of the Spanish market, i.e. showing each of the licensed collections, in addition to the monthly news published by each publisher. Likewise, new technologies have been used to create an API REST, which is intended to support new projects by offering its information publicly. To achieve this, web scraping techniques have been employed by using the BeautifulSoup library to extract information from a specialized manga page. This information is adapted and stored in a database, which communicates with a REST API where the information is published in JSON format. Through an HTTP connection, the mobile application performs a GET operation to obtain the data and use it in each of its functionalities. As a result, a mobile application is obtained with the updated information of manga¿s industry in Spain, besides offering an API REST to support future projects related to this topic.

Published
2020

39. 490 - Developing Contemporary Survivorship Clinic for Recipients of Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: A Single Center Experience

Author

Mohty, Razan, Nishihori, Taiga, Faramand, Rawan G, Hansen, Doris K, Nieder, Dr. Michael L., Lazaryan, Aleksandr, Besaw, Laura, Smith, Meredith Tate, Rowe, Jolene, Mishra, Asmita, Pidala, Joseph A., Bejanyan, Nelli, Alsina, Melissa, Khimani, Farhad, Puglianini, Omar Castaneda, Perez, Lia Elena, Elmariah, Hany, Jain, Michael D, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose Leonel, Locke, Frederick L., and Liu, Hien

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

40. 280 - Hematopoietic Recovery after Anti-B Cell Maturation Antigen (BCMA) Chimeric Antigen Receptor T Cell Therapy (CAR T), Idecabtagene Vicleucel (Ide-cel), for Relapsed/ Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM)

Author

Mohty, Razan, Drekolias, Dimitrios, Peres, Lauren, Freeman, Ciara, Castaneda, Omar, Faramand, Rawan G, Oswald, Laura, Reid, Kayla, De Avila, Gabe, Blue, Brandon Jamaal, Grajales, Ariel, Mohammed, Turab, Ochoa-Bayona, Jose, Shrewsbury, Alexandria M, Doyle, William, Gonzalez, Rebecca, Logue, Jennifer, Elmariah, Hany, Jain, Michael D, Liu, Hien, Brayer, Jason, Shain, Kenneth, Baz, Rachid, Alsina, Melissa, Nishihori, Taiga, Davila, Marco L., Locke, Frederick L., and Hansen, Doris K

Published
2023
Full Text
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44. Pasarela de pago en Symfony

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Cloquell Rocher, Miguel, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Cloquell Rocher, Miguel

Abstract

[ES] Desarrollo de una pasarela de pago para la gestión de la compraventa y el pago de productos entre empresas en una aplicación web mediante el uso del framework PHP Symfony siguiendo el enfoque para el desarrollo de software Domain Driven Design. Cada pedido evoluciona por distintos estados en los que comprador, vendedor o administrador deben realizar ciertas acciones para poder permite pasar al siguiente estado. Durante el proceso, comprador y vendedor tienen la posibilidad de comunicarse con el administrador a través de un sistema de mensajes. El sistema gestiona el envío automático de correos electrónicos para notificar a los distintos actores implicados en un pedido. Por último, se gestiona el uso de pagos reales con tarjetas de crédito y débito, [CA] Desenrotllament d’una passarel·la de pagament per a la gestió de la compravenda i el pagament de productes entre empreses en una aplicació web per mitjà de l’ús del framework PHP Symfony seguint l’enfocament per al desenrotllament de software Domain Driven Design. Cada comanda evoluciona per distints estats en què comprador, venedor o administrador han de realitzar certes accions per a poder permetre passar al següent estat. Durant el procés, comprador i venedor tenen la possibilitat de comunicar-se amb l’administrador mitjançant un sistema de missatges. El sistema gestiona l’enviament automàtic de correus electrònics per a notificar als distints actors implicats en una comanda. Finalment, es gestiona l’ús de pagaments reals amb targetes de crèdit i dèbit., [EN] Development of a payment gateway for the sale and payment management of products between companies in a web application by using the PHP Symfony framework following the approach for development of software called Domain Driven Design. Each order evolves through different states where the buyer, seller or staff must perform certain actions to be able to move on to the next state. During the process, buyer and seller have the possibility to communicate with the staff through a messaging system. The system manages the automatic sending of emails to notify the different actors involved in an order. Finally, the use of real payments with credit and debit cards is also managed

Published
2019

45. Sistema de tracking mediante LoRaWAN para embarcaciones de vela ligera

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Cordero Sánchez, Mario, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Cordero Sánchez, Mario

Abstract

[ES] Este TFG, describe la experiencia obtenida al realizar un sistema de tracking en tiempo real para embarcaciones de recreo. Este sistema hace uso de una nueva tecnología, de nombre LoRaWan, es una especificación para redes de baja potencia y área amplia, LPWAN (en inglés, Low Power Wide Area Network), diseñada específicamente para dispositivos de bajo consumo de alimentación, que operan en redes de tipo de alcance local, hasta global. Este estándar de red está llamando a ser la base para todo tipo de proyectos que vayan a hacer uso de Internet de las Cosas. Gracias a este nuevo tipo de protocolo y a los requerimientos del IC, se abre un nuevo mundo para el seguimiento de embarcaciones ligeras, [EN] This TFG, describe the experience obtained after doing the live-tracking design for a leisure crafts. This system uses a new technology, with name LoRaWan, is a type of wireless telecommunication wide area network designed to allow long range communications at a low bit rate among things.This standard is called to be the base system to create a controlled environment for Internet of Things. Thanks to this new protocol and IoT requirements, can be found a new environment projects for tracking system-based.

Published
2019

46. Prospective Evaluation of Global Earthquake Forecast Models:Two Years of Observations Provide Preliminary Support for Merging Smoothed Seismicity with Geodetic Strain Rates

Author

Strader, Anne, Werner, Maximilian, Bayona, José, Maechling, Philip, Silva, Fabio, Liukis, Maria, and Schorlemmer, Danijel

Subjects
Geophysics, earthquake forecasting and testing, earthquakes, Seismology, Natural Hazards, Seismic hazard, probabilistic forecasting
Abstract

The Global Earthquake Activity Rate (GEAR1) seismicity model uses an optimized combination of geodetic strain rates, hypotheses about converting strain rates to seismicity rates from plate tectonics, and earthquake-catalog data to estimate global mw ≥ 5.767$ shallow (≤ 70 km) seismicity rates. It comprises two parent models: a strain rate-based model, and a smoothed-seismicity based model. The GEAR1 model was retrospectively evaluated and calibrated using earthquake data from 2005-2012, resulting in a preferred log-linear, multiplicative combination of the parent forecasts. Since October 1, 2015, the GEAR1 model has undergone prospective evaluation within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) testing center. We present initial prospective forecast test results for the GEAR1 model, its tectonic and seismicity components, and for the first iteration of the strain rate-based model, during the period October 1, 2015 to September 7, 2017. During the evaluation period, observed earthquakes are consistent with the GEAR1 forecast and comparative test results likewise support that GEAR1 is more informative than either of its components alone. Based on a combination of retrospective and prospective testing, the tectonic forecasts do not effectively anticipate observed spatial earthquake distribution, largely due to over-localization of the model with respect to observed earthquake distributions.

Published
2018

48. Diseño e Implementación de una aplicación de escritorio para la comparativa de productos ciclistas en Tiendas Ciclistas Online

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Sancho Molinero, Raúl, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Sancho Molinero, Raúl

Abstract

[ES] Este proyecto consiste en la creación de una aplicación de escritorio que comparará a tiempo real los productos que busque el usuario y aconsejará en que web comprar preferentemente. Para su realización haremos uso de 3 fases principales, en la primera de ellas analizaremos los requisitos de la aplicación, en la segunda nos centraremos en el diseño centrado en el usuario. Por último, en la tercera fase realizaremos la implementación de la aplicación haciendo uso de JavaFX, Jsoup y H2 Database para la persistencia del historial de precios y la base de datos de productos., [CA] Aquest projecte consistix en la creació d'una aplicació d'escriptori que compararà a temps real els productes que busque l'usuari i aconsellarà en quina web comprar preferentment. Per a la seua realització farem ús de 3 fases principals, en la primera d'elles analitzarem els requisits de l'aplicació, en la segona ens centrarem en el disseny centrat en l'usuari. Finalment, en la tercera fase realitzarem la implementació de l'aplicació fent ús de JavaFX, Jsoup i H2 Database per a la persistència de l'historial de preus i la base de dades de productes, [EN] This project consists in the creation of a desktop application that will compare the products searched by the user in real time and advise on which web to buy preferably. For its realization we will make use of 3 main phases, in the first one we will analyze the requirements of the application, in the second we will focus on the user-centered design. Finally, in the third phase we will make the implementation of the application use of JavaFX, Jsoup and H2 Database for the persistence of the price history and the product database

Published
2018

49. Framework MDI en JavaFX para un módulo de reporting del simulador Vega-UPV

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, García del Río, Carlos Alberto, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and García del Río, Carlos Alberto

Abstract

[ES] En el trabajo se desarrollan dos frameworks (MDI y Velas Japonesas), que complementa otro TFG que añade un módulo de reporting, para un simulador de inversiones bursátiles llamado Vega-UPV. Dada la complejidad del proyecto que abarca todo el simulador, se ha planteado separar la parte de frameworks en un trabajo y su integración, junto con objetos nativos de Java en otro. En este caso se desarrolla el MDI y la representación de las gráficas denominadas Velas Japonesas., [CA] En el treball es desenvolupen dos frameworks (MDI i Veles Japoneses), que complementa un altre TFG que afegeix un mòdul de reporting, per a un simulador d'inversions borsàries anomenat Vega-UPV. Donada la complexitat del projecte que abasta tot el simulador, s'ha plantejat separar la part de frameworks en un treball i la seva integració, juntament amb objectes nadius de Java en un altre. En aquest cas es desenvolupa el MDI i la representació de les gràfiques anomenades Veles Japoneses., [EN] In the work, two frameworks (MDI and Candle Stick) are developed, which complements another TFG that adds a reporting module for a stock exchange investment simulator called Vega-UPV. Given the complexity of the project that covers the entire simulator, it has been proposed to separate the part of frameworks in a work and its integration, together with native Java objects in another. In this case, the MDI and the representation of the graphics called Candle Stick are developed.

Published
2018

50. Módulo de reporting para visualización de resultados del simulador de inversiones bursátiles Vega-UPV

Author

Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, Giménez Rodríguez, Antoni, Soler Bayona, José Vicente, Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación - Departament de Sistemes Informàtics i Computació, Universitat Politècnica de València. Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyeria Informàtica, and Giménez Rodríguez, Antoni

Abstract

[ES] En el trabajo se desarrolla un módulo de reporting de resultados que complementa otro TFG que añade dos frameworks, para un simulador de inversiones bursátiles llamado VegaUPV. Dada la complejidad del proyecto que abarca todo el simulador, se ha planteado separar la parte de frameworks en un trabajo y su integración, junto con objetos nativos de Java en otro. En este caso se desarrolla la interfaz gráfica que va a permitir la configuración de las simulaciones y el posterior análisis de los resultados., [CA] En el treball es desenvolupa un mòdul de reporting de resultats que complementa un altre TFG que afegeix dos frameworks, per a un simulador d'inversions borsàries anomenat VegaUPV. Donada la complexitat del projecte que abasta tot el simulador, s'ha plantejat separar la part de frameworks en un treball i la seva integració, juntament amb objectes nadius de Java en un altre. En aquest cas es desenvolupa la interfície gràfica que va permetre la configuració de les simulacions i la posterior anàlisi dels resultats, [EN] In the work, a results reporting module is developed that complements another TFG that adds two frameworks, for a stock exchange investment simulator called Vega-UPV. Given the complexity of the project that covers the entire simulator, it has been proposed to separate the part of frameworks in a work and its integration, together with native Java objects in another. In this case, the graphical interface is developed that will allow the configuration of the simulations and the subsequent analysis of the results.

Published
2018

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