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Wound infections and sepsis are significant causes of morbidity after burn injury and can be alleviated by early excision and grafting. In situations that preclude early surgery, topical agents allow for a safer delay. Cerium nitrate compounded with silver sulfadiazine (Ce-SSD) is a burn cream that provides broad antibacterial activity, forms a temporary barrier, and promotes re-epithelialization. Methemoglobinemia is a rare, but oft-cited, systemic complication of Ce-SSD. In this retrospective review, 157 patients treated with Ce-SSD between July 2014 and July 2018 were identified, and the monitoring protocol for methemoglobinemia during Ce-SSD treatment was evaluated. The median age was 59 years (interquartile range [IQR], 47–70.5 years), with TBSA of 8.5% (IQR, 3–27), adjusted Baux score of 76 (IQR, 59–94), and inhalation injury present in 9.9% of patients. Primary endpoints included incidence of symptomatic and asymptomatic methemoglobinemia. Of the 9.6% (n = 15) of patients with methemoglobinemia, 73.3% (n = 11) had maximum methemoglobin levels ≥72 hours from the time of the first application. One patient developed clinically significant methemoglobinemia. Patients with TBSA ≥20% were more likely to develop methemoglobinemia (odds ratio 9.318, 95% confidence interval 2.078–65.73, P = .0078); however, neither Ce-SSD doses nor days of exposure were significant predictors. Ce-SSD application to temporize burn wounds until excision and grafting is safe, effective, and, in asymptomatic patients with TBSA

Background Infections are the most common complications among hospitalized severe burn patients. However, limited literature reports early effective predictors of bloodstream infections (BSI) among burn patients. This study aimed to identify cost-effective biomarkers and valuable clinical scoring systems in the emergency department (ED) for the prediction of subsequent BSI in mass burn casualties. Methods In 2015, a flammable cornstarch-based powder explosion resulted in 499 burn casualties in Taiwan. A total of 35 patients were admitted at Taipei Veterans General Hospital. These severe burn patients (median total body surface area [TBSA] 54%) were young and previously healthy. We assessed the potential of various parameters to predict subsequent BSI, including initial laboratory tests performed at the ED, TBSA, and multiple scoring systems. Results Fourteen patients (40.0%) had subsequent BSI. The most common causative pathogen was the Acinetobacter baumannii (Ab) group, mostly carbapenem resistant and associated with a poor outcome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve revealed that the revised Baux score, TBSA, and initial white blood cell count had excellent discrimination ability in predicting subsequent BSI (0.898, 0.889, and 0.821, respectively). The rate of subsequent BSI differed significantly at the cut-off points of revised Baux score >76, TBSA >55%, and WBC count >16,200/mm3. Conclusion The initial WBC count at the ED, TBSA, and revised Baux score were good and cost-effective biomarkers for predicting subsequent BSI after burn injuries.

Introduction The purpose of this study was to explore and compare the performance of four burn injury scoring systems in Indonesia. In a retrospective study, data of all burn patients admitted to the emergency centre (EC) were collected. The following clinical outcome and four burn injury scoring systems were used to assess each patient: Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI), Belgian Outcome in Burn Injury (BOBI), the Ryan model, and revised Baux Score. Methods From April 2017 to April 2018, clinical outcome and burn injury score for every admitted patient were calculated to evaluate burn prognosis. Demographic information, ABSI score, full-thickness total body surface area (TBSA), overall TBSA, hospital stay, and inhalation injury were noted for analysis. Discriminative ability and goodness-of-fit of the prediction models were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and Hosmer–Lemeshow tests. Results We included 72 patients (mean age: 40.79 ± 16.30 years, average TBSA: 23.59% ± 24.84). Only 1 (1.4%) of them was diagnosed with inhalation injury. Mortality rate was 25%. Deceased patients had significantly higher mean age, %TBSA, and number of inhalation injuries. The ABSI model with sensitivity was 81.6, specificity was 92.5, accuracy was 87.3 and under the Receiver Operator Characteristics curve (AUC) was 0.93 (SE = 0.03). Conclusions The best estimation of predicted mortality was obtained with the ABSI model.

Background Prognostic burn index (PBI) is a unique model utilized to predict mortality of burn patients in Japan. In contrast, other prediction models are rarely used in Japan, and their accuracy and predictive value are unknown. The present study aimed to compare commonly used burn prediction models and determine the appropriate model for mortality prediction in Japanese burn patients. Methods Japanese burn patients registered in the nationwide burn registry of Japanese Society for Burn Injury between April 1, 2011 and March 31, 2019 were reviewed retrospectively. The prognostic performance of PBI was compared with Baux score, revised Baux score, abbreviated burn severity index (ABSI), Ryan score and Belgian outcome in burn injury score (BOBI). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results The study included 7911 acute burn patients. The overall mortality rate was 10.7%, the median age was 52 (interquartile range, 26–72) years, and the median % total body surface area was 7% (interquartile range, 3%–17%). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for PBI, Baux score, ABSI, revised Baux score, Ryan score, and BOBI were 0.940 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.931–0.948), 0.943 (95% CI: 0.934–0.951; p = 0.002), 0.945 (95% CI: 0.937–0.953; p = 0.058), 0.946 (95% CI: 0.937–0.953; p = 0.002), 0.859 (95% CI: 0.846–0.870; p Conclusion Although the performance of PBI was good, it was not superior to the Baux score, revised Baux score, and ABSI. These three scores have a high prognostic accuracy. Hence, they are considered as alternative burn prognostic scores in Japan. The Baux score was an optimal prognostic model for patients with burns in Japan.

Background Burns are complex, multifaceted injuries that can pose significant challenges to the treating team. The Royal Adelaide Hospital (RAH) Burns Service has undergone a major evolution over the past two decades, with perceived improvement in outcomes. We present here a longitudinal audit of the RAH Burns Service Mortality Data between 2004 and 2019. Methods An audit was conducted of all index admissions to the RAH Burns Unit from 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2019. Age at admission, total body surface area, burn depth, presence of inhalation injury and outcome were recorded. Baux and revised Baux Scores were calculated. Lethal Area 50% for different time points and age groups, Baux50/100 and Revised Baux50/100 values were then calculated using logistical regression. Results During 2004-2019, there were 5653 index admissions to the RAH Burns Unit. The mean total body surface area of burn injuries admitted was 5.1% and the survival rate was 99.17%. The Lethal Area 50% for the study period was 74%, with an improvement from 70% (2004-2011) to 80% (2012-2019). The Baux50 score for the time period was 120 and the Revised Baux50 was 129. Conclusion The RAH results are comparable with other high-income country Burn Services and demonstrated significant improvement across the study period. The data also highlight areas for ongoing focus such as the elderly burns patient.

Survival after burn injury has steadily improved in recent decades. The models for assessing the severity of burn injury and predicting burn-associated mortality have been used for over 20 years. The predictive accuracy of these models should be reconsidered now.In this retrospective study on all burn patients (n = 9625) admitted to the Burn Department, Southwest Hospital between 2008 and 2017, we compared the predictive performance of the four burn-severity models (Abbreviated Burn Severity Index, Ryan score, revised Baux score and Belgian Outcome of Burn Injury) by area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We developed a new model with the data from 2008 to 2012 (5006 patients) by logistic regression, data from 2013 to 2017 (4619 patients) were used for validation.The overall mortality rate of the burn patients was 1.14%. The four previously validated burn models showed good discrimination power of death risk (AUC 0.890) but poor fitness to the observed mortality rate (p 0.001). Risk factors associated with mortality included sex, age, total burn area, full thickness burn area, and inhalation injury. The new logistic model was devised with high sensitivity and specificity (0.913 and 0.806, respectively) and an AUC of 0.940. The new model also had good fitness to the observed mortality of burn patients (p = 0.588).The four widely used burn models have poor accuracy in predicting burn-associated mortality, and an accurate new model was developed based on simple and objective clinical characteristics of burn patients at admission.

Advances in burn care continues to improve survival rates and patient outcomes. There are several burn prognostic tools used to predict mortality and outcomes; however, none include patient comorbidities. We used the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status score as a surrogate measure for comorbidities, and evaluated its role in predicting mortality and outcomes in adult burn patients undergoing surgery. A retrospective analysis was performed on data collected from a single burn center in the United States, which was comprised of 183 patients. We evaluated the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status score as an independent predictor of mortality and outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LOS), hospital LOS, mechanical ventilator (MV) days, and complications. We compared the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status score to other prognostic models which included the revised Baux score, Belgian Outcome in Burn Injury, and the Abbreviated Burn Severity Index. Our results demonstrated that the revised Baux and American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status scores could be used to determine the mortality risk in adult burn patients. The revised Baux was the best predictor of mortality, ICU LOS, and MV days, while the Abbreviated Burn Severity Index was the best predictor of total LOS.

Previous studies and the concentration-dependent antibacterial actions of daptomycin suggested that a high dose would be needed for difficult-to-treat infections in burn patients. Here, we evaluated the effects of administration of low and high doses of daptomycin in patients with severe burn injuries. The study retrospectively analyzed 10 patients with severe burn injuries, using pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) evaluations of daptomycin doses given to combat serious infections. Daptomycin was administered as a single dose or by multiple doses intravenously at a standard dose of 6 mg/kg/d or a high dose of 12 mg/kg/d for 7 to 14 days. The serum concentrations of daptomycin from patients were analyzed by liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry/mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Burn injury patients treated with high-dose daptomycin had a linear PK profile and a negative correlation between the AUC0–24 and Baux score (R2 = .953 and R2 = .801). The Cmax, AUC0–24, and t(h)½ increased significantly compared with patients given a standard dose. The efficacy of daptomycin against Staphylococcus aureus showed significantly higher rates of (AUC0–24)/MIC and Cmax/MIC after high-dose daptomycin compared with the standard dose, reflected in a significant correlation between a high dose and the Baux score (r = .976, P < .001). Positive S. aureus cultures from two of three high-dose and none of two daptomycin low-dose patients converted from positive to negative after therapy. No serious adverse events or discontinuation of the drug occurred during the treatment period. Daptomycin doses up to 12 mg/kg/d were well tolerated in Chinese patients with severe burn injuries, which were complicated by infections with S. aureus.

Background: Scald burns result from exposure to high-temperature fluids and are more common in the pediatric age group. They occur mainly by two mechanisms: (i) spill and (ii) immersion (hot cauldron) burns. These two patterns differ in clinical characteristics and outcomes. Scalds cause significant morbidity and mortality in children. The objective of this study was to compare accidental spill burns and hot cauldron burns in a hospital setting. Methods: An analytical cross-sectional study was conducted by reviewing the secondary data of scald cases admitted during the years 2019 and 2020 in a burn-dedicated tertiary care center. Total population sampling was adopted. Data analysis was done partly using SPSS, version-23, and Stata-15. Mann Whitney U-test and Chi-square/Fisher's exact test were done appropriately to find associations between different variables. Regression analysis was performed taking mortality events as the outcome of interest. Results: Out of 108 scald cases, 43 (39.8%) had hot cauldron burns and 65 (60.2%) had accidental spill burns. Overall mortality was 16 (14.8%), out of which hot cauldron burns and accidental spill burns comprised 12 (75.0%) and 4 (25.0%), respectively. Multinomial logistic regression analysis showed the type of scald, age, and Baux score found to be associated with mortality. Every one-year increment in age had a 29% lower odds of occurrence of mortality event (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.50-0.99, p=0.042). Likewise, every one-point increment in Baux score was associated with 19% higher odds of mortality (adjusted OR, 1.190; 95% CI, 1.08-1.32; p Conclusions: Accidental spill burns were more common but mortality was significantly higher for hot cauldron burns. The majority of burn injuries occurred inside the kitchen emphasizing appropriate parental precautions. The risk of mortality was significantly higher in burn events occurring outside the house, and burns involving back, buttocks, perineum, and lower extremities.

Burns cause greater morbidity and mortality in older patients owing to the physiological changes and functional status declines with age. We sought to characterize the epidemiology of burn injuries in the patient population aged over 80 years. A retrospective analysis of all patients aged >80 years admitted to a tertiary burn center in Brazil over a 10-year period was conducted. Multiple parameters including comorbidities, BSA burned, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, inhalation injury, and revised Baux score were analyzed to assess association with mortality. Twenty-six patients were identified. The overall mortality rate was 42.3%. The mortality rate increased with the TBSA, with 100% mortality at >20% total BSA involvement (P < .001). Inhalation injury occurred in 3 (11.5%) patients, all of whom suffered mortality (P < .001). ICU admission was necessary for 14 (53.8%) patients, out of which 11 (78.6%) did not survive (P < .001). The revised Baux score had a significant impact on the mortality, with higher values among patients who did not survive (89.2 ± 6.2 vs 110.7 ± 17.9, P < .001). Burns cause high mortality in the octogenarian and nonagenarian populations. It is important to stratify patients at high risk, institute prompt treatment and discuss goals of care early on for optimal patient outcomes.

Objective: This study aimed to assess the accuracy of the revised BAUX score for predicting mortality among the major burn patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) compared with non-AKI group. The epidemiologic information and risk factors of AKI in major burn patients were also the point of interest. Methods: This study was a retrospective cohort study. The medical records of 144 major burn patients admitted at the burns unit of Siriraj Hospital from 2010-2016 were reviewed and important data were retrieved. Results: Age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, severity of the burn injuries, and inhalation injuries were the factors related to AKI in major burn patients. The mortality rate due to AKI in burn patients was high (44.4%). The accuracy of the revised BAUX score in predicting the mortality among the major burn patients from our series was only fair (66.7%). Conclusion: AKI affected on mortality of the major burn patients. Until the better predictor comes up, the revised BAUX score should be considered as a predictor of mortality in these patients.

BackgroundLow/middle-income countries carry a disproportionate burden of the morbidity and mortality from thermal burns. Nearly 70% of burn deaths worldwide are from thermal burns in India. Delays to medical care are commonplace and an important predictor of outcomes. We sought to understand the role of emergency medical services (EMS) as part of the healthcare infrastructure for thermal burns in India.MethodsWe conducted a prospective observational study of patients using EMS for thermal burns across five Indian states from May to August 2015. Our primary outcome was mortality at 2, 7 and 30 days. We compared observed mortality with expected mortality using the revised Baux score. We used Χ2 analysis for categorical variables and Wilcoxon two-sample test for continuous variables. ORs and 95% CIs are reported for all modelled predictor variables.ResultsWe enrolled 439 patients. The 30-day follow-up rate was 85.9% (n=377). The median age was 30 years; 56.7% (n=249) lived in poverty; and 65.6% (n=288) were women. EMS transported 94.3% of patients (n=399) to the hospital within 2 hours of their call. Median total body surface area (TBSA) burned was 60% overall, and 80% in non-accidental burns. Sixty-eight per cent of patients had revised Baux scores greater than 80. Overall 30-day mortality was 64.5%, and highest (90.2%) in women with non-accidental burns. Predictors of mortality by multivariate regression were TBSA (OR 7.9), inhalation injury (OR 5.5), intentionality (OR 4.7) and gender (OR 2.2).DiscussionAlthough EMS rapidly connects critically burned patients to care in India, mortality remains high, with women disproportionally suffering self-inflicted burns. To combat the burn epidemic in India, efforts must focus on rapid medical care and critical care services, and on a burn prevention strategy that includes mental health and gender-based violence support services.

ObjectivesTo explore candidate parameters for their ability to predict survival and length of hospital stay (LOS) in thermal burns patients, to prepare multivariate predictive models for these two outcomes, and to compare performance of native models to other models.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was undertaken based on record review. Data was extracted from files of patients admitted to a tertiary-care burn centre in Lahore, Pakistan from January 1, 2020 to October 31, 2020. Univariate preselection was used to prepare multivariate logistic regression models for each outcome of interest (survival and LOS). Multivariate models were tested and compared to other models.ResultsIncreasing TBSA of burn was positively associated with reduced survival and prolonged length of stay. Advancing age and full-thickness burns independently predicted decreased survival. Burn etiology showed prognostic value: petrol-flame burns predicted decreased survival and prolonged LOS; scald was associated with improved survival-odds and shorter LOS. The Survival-model consisted of (1) Baux score, (2) TBSA>40% and (3) serum albumin 2=0.797). The LOS-model consisted of (1) TBSA2 and (2) serum albumin concentration (AUC= 0.832, Nagelkerke R2 =0.408). In tests of discrimination and calibration, native models prepared for survival and LOS outcomes outperformed other models applicable to our dataset.ConclusionData from a South Asian burn center has been used to explore factors influencing prognosis for their utility in predictive models for survival and the duration of hospital stay. The significant prognostic roles of TBSA, age, inhalational injury, burn-depth, etiology of burn, anatomic site of burn, hypoalbuminemia and other biochemical parameters were observed. These tools hold significance in guiding healthcare policy and in communications with patients and their families.

Mortality in burn injury is primarily influenced by three factors: age, percent burn (%TBSA), and presence of inhalation injury. Numerous modalities have been tried in an attempt to treat those patients with burns and inhalation injury, including the use of hyperbaric oxygen (HBO). The aim of our study was to find the national prevalence of HBO for burns with inhalation injury, and whether HBO influenced mortality in these often severely injured patients. This retrospective study used the National Burn Repository (NBR) to identify hospital admissions of patients with both cutaneous burn and inhalation injuries. After applying exclusion criteria, a total of 13,044 patients were identified. Variables included in the multivariate regression analysis included age, sex, race, payer, mechanism of burn injury, TBSA group, total procedure number, mechanical ventilator days, and treatment with HBO. The main outcome variable was mortality. Of the 13,044 patients, 67 had HBO therapy. The HBO patients were older (mean age 51.7 vs 42.8 years, P < .001), but had smaller burns and thus a similar Baux score (66.6 vs 65.2, P = .661). The HBO patients had a higher mortality (29.9% vs 17.5%, P = .01). On multivariate regression analysis, HBO was an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio = 2.484, P = .004). Other significant predictors of mortality included age, black race, Medicaid or uninsured patients, and %TBSA. The use of HBO for patients with burns and inhalation injury is uncommon in this database. It is unclear whether that reflects low prevalence or if individual centers do not all impute HBO into the NBR. For those patients in this database, HBO is an independent predictor of mortality. It can be difficult to determine the severity of inhalation injury in the NBR, so those patients receiving HBO could theoretically have more severe inhalation injury.

ObjectiveThe gold-standard for the management of patients affected by large-surface third-degree burns is autologous skin graft. There is no way to accurately assess burned area size and predict the number of cells and the time necessary to produce a skin graft.Materials and MethodsWhen burns affect 40% TBSA), the donor site surfaces are insufficient. The alternative grafting strategy uses bioengineered skin substitutes that are generated using the own keratinocytes of the patient after ex vivo expansion. We developed a software for severe burn diagnosis and autologous skin substitute production.ResultsWe developed a software-assisted calculation of the required graft surface and keratinocyte numbers and the time to produce the graft needed, according to patient clinical characteristics. The software also offers assistance to estimate the Baux score, a method that links the severity of burn injuries and the prognosis for the patient.DiscussionOptimal setup of the bioengineering process involved determination of the required graft surface, adjustment of cell quantities, and control of the timing necessary for production. This could be determined and automated by this software. Accordingly, tools to assist the design of personalized protocols will contribute to care quality and cost limitation.ConclusionThis software provides a principle of assisted burned patient diagnose and skin substitute bioengineering process which development may facilitate the design of personalized protocols for skin regenerative cell therapies.

Background To date, multiple scoring systems have been utilised in predicting outcomes in burn patients. The aim of this study is to determine the accuracy of three established scoring systems used for burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit and to determine the risk factors associated with poor outcomes. Methods A total of 211 patients who were admitted to the ICBU in a tertiary care centre in Kuwait from January 2017 to December 2019 were analysed retrospectively. Data were collected using patient medical records. The FLAMES, BOBI and revised Baux scores were calculated, and the survivor and non-survivor scores of patients were analysed to determine the sensitivity, specificity and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) of the different scoring modalities. Results The majority of the analysed population were male patients (165/211) and the most common mechanism of burns was flame burns (166/211). Most of the patients admitted to the ICBU survived (188/211). Female gender was associated with a higher mortality rate, whilst inhalational injury and co-morbidities were not associated with a higher mortality rate. The revised Baux score had a sensitivity value of 96% and 90% specificity. The BOBI score had a sensitivity of 91% and 76% specificity. The FLAMES score had a sensitivity of 96% and the highest specificity of 99%. All 3 scores had AUC values exceeding 90%. Conclusion Statistically, FLAMES score had the highest accuracy of predicting outcomes in burn patients, however all three scores demonstrated acceptable predictive rates when it comes to practical application, permitting the use of either one of the studied scores with satisfactory prognostic outcomes., Highlights • Multiple modalities to predict outcomes of burn patients with no universal standard. • 3 scoring systems retrospectively analysed in ICBU patients at tertiary burn center • FLAMES score had the highest sensitivity and specificity in examined scores. • Revised BAUX score demonstrated ease of use and high sensitivity.

Risk adjustment and mortality prediction models are central in optimising care and for benchmarking purposes. In the burn setting, the Baux score and its derivatives have been the mainstay for predictions of mortality from burns. Other well-known measures to predict mortality stem from the ICU setting, where, for example, the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS 3) models have been found to be instrumental. Other attempts to further improve the prediction of outcome have been based on the following variables at admission: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (aSOFA) score, determinations of aLactate or Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (aNLR). The aim of the present study was to examine if estimated mortality rate (EMR, SAPS 3), aSOFA, aLactate, and aNLR can, either alone or in conjunction with the others, improve the mortality prediction beyond that of the effects of age and percentage total body surface area (TBSA%) burned among patients with severe burns who need critical care. This is a retrospective, explorative, single centre, registry study based on prospectively gathered data. The study included 222 patients with median (25th–75th centiles) age of 55.0 (38.0 to 69.0) years, TBSA% burned was 24.5 (13.0 to 37.2) and crude mortality was 17%. As anticipated highest predicting power was obtained with age and TBSA% with an AUC at 0.906 (95% CI 0.857 to 0.955) as compared with EMR, aSOFA, aLactate and aNLR. The largest effect was seen thereafter by adding aLactate to the model, increasing AUC to 0.938 (0.898 to 0.979) (p aSOFA, and aNLR, separately or in combinations, only marginally improved the prediction power. This study shows that the prediction model with age and TBSA% may be improved by adding aLactate, despite the fact that aLactate levels were only moderately increased. Thereafter, adding EMR, aSOFA or aNLR only marginally affected the mortality prediction.

BACKGROUND: Inhalation injury increases morbidity and mortality in burn patients. Patients with inhalation injury present with large differences between end-tidal CO2 pressure and P aCO 2 , an indirect measure of dead space. We aimed to investigate the relationships between increased dead space and inhalation injury outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective study included 51 adult subjects with burns and inhalation injuries. Demographics, size of burns, length of stay, ventilator days, blood gas results, end-tidal CO2 pressure, presence of ventilator-associated pneumonia, and mortality data were collected. Modified Baux scores and ratios of alveolar dead space to alveolar tidal volume ( V D alv / V T alv ) were calculated. Independent t tests were used to compare mean V D alv / V T alv of survivors to that of subjects who died and between subjects with and without pneumonia. The relationships between V D alv / V T alv and ventilator days or modified Baux score were assessed with bivariate correlation analysis. RESULTS: Our population had a mean age of 52 y and an average burn size of 17.5%. The average length of stay and ventilator days were 12 d and 3.8 d, respectively. The mean modified Baux score was 87. The mean V D alv / V T alv was 0.38. Ten subjects died, and 6 subjects had pneumonia. The V D alv / V T alv of survivors was significantly smaller for survivors than for subjects who died (0.34 vs 0.52, P = .03). No significant difference was observed between subjects with and without pneumonia (0.36 vs 0.47, P = .26). V D alv / V T alv correlated significantly with modified Baux score (r = .524, P CONCLUSIONS: Alveolar dead space ( V D alv / V T alv ) is easily calculated from P aCO 2 and end-tidal CO2 pressure and may be useful in assessing severity of inhalation injury, the patient’s prognosis, and the patient’s response to treatment.

Objective: The revised Baux score (age total body surface area (TBSA) burned and inhalation injury)) is predictive of mortality in burn patients. Our study objective was to assess whether the addition of body mass index (BMI) to the revised Baux score would be of value. We posited that increasing BMI follows a pattern similar to age and TBSA in the revised Baux score after severe burn injury. Methods: Patient data from the burn registry was queried for patients admitted between 1/1/2013 to 8/31/2019. Patients 12 years or older with a TBSA of 20% or greater burn were included. Inpatient outcomes were analyzed based on BMI. Results: 56 of 1365 patients met inclusion criteria. Mean age of the study population was 48.25 years and 64.3% of patients were male. Median BMI was 25.8 and median TBSA was 26.5. Inhalation injury was present in 44.6% (25/56) of patients. Median hospital length of stay (LOS) and ICU LOS were 21.5 and 17 days respectively. On bivariate analysis, non-survivors had higher TBSA (41.5% vs 25.5%, p = 0.034), more inhalation injury (83.3%, 10/12 vs 34.8%, 15/43 p = 0.003) and higher complication rates (91.6%, 11/12 vs 59.1 %, 25/43, p = 0.043). Survivors also had higher BMI (28.2 vs 23, p = 0.003) and increased hospital LOS (24 vs 5.5, p = 0.003). Automatic model fit in binary logistic regression showed a negative relationship between BMI and mortality. Conclusion: We found a negative relationship between BMI and mortality. Pre-obesity appears to have a protective role, but BMI was not found to be a useful addition to the revised Baux score. Larger sample sizes may be of benefit a for a for a more definitive understanding of the role of BMI with regards to burn survival.

Background Coupled-plasma filtration adsorption (CPFA) is a sorbent-based technology aimed at removing soluble mediators of septic shock. We present our experience on the use of CPFA in septic shock severe burn patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) needing renal replacement therapy (RRT) with the main goal to evaluate efficacy and safety of CPFA in this specific subset of septic shock patients. Methods In this observational study, we retrospectively reviewed the medical notes of all burn patients admitted to our adult Burn Center who received CPFA, as part of the septic shock treatment requiring RRT, between January 2001 and December 2017 (CPFA group). We compared CPFA group with all the burn patients admitted to our Center in the same period of time, with the same range of relevant clinical characteristics, who developed AKI and were treated with RRT, but not CPFA (control group). We collected demographic characteristics, burn size, Sequential Organ Assessment Failure (SOFA) score, microbiological data, and patient outcome, in terms of in-hospital mortality rate and the probability of survival calculated using the revised Baux score. We also collected data regarding CPFA safety (hemorrhagic episodes, catheter associated-complications, hypersensitivity reactions) and efficiency (number and duration of CPFA sessions, plasma treated amount, plasma processed dose). Results 39 severe burn patients were treated with CPFA (CPFA group) (mean age 46.0 years, range 40.0–56.0 years; mean burn size 48.0% TBSA, range 35.0–60.0% TBSA), and 87 patients treated with RRT, but not CPFA, who had similar clinical characteristics (control group). Observed mortality rate was 51.3% in the CPFA group and 77.1% in the control group (p 0.004). Regarding factors affecting survival in the CPFA group, SOFA score on the 1st day of CPFA resulted significant (OR 2.016, 95% CI, 1.221–3.326; p Conclusions CPFA treatment for burn patients with AKI-RRT and septic shock, sustained by bacterial strains non or poorly responsive to therapy, was associated with a lower mortality rate, compared to RRT alone. However, further research, such as large prospective studies, is required to clarify the role of CPFA in the treatment of burns with septic shock and AKI-RRT.

Background Burns are not only major personal catastrophic events but also constitute a national health problem due to its associated morbidity, rehabilitation, mortality and high cost medical services. Advances in care and treatment have increased survival from major burn injury. However, information on the epidemiology and risk factors of burn mortality in Taiwan is limited. The study aim was to determine the nationwide epidemiological characteristics, trends, and mortality risk factors of burn inpatients in Taiwan. Methods This nationwide population-based study evaluated data retrieved from the Taiwan National Health Insurance database. Patients hospitalized for burns (ICD-9-CM codes 940-949) between 2003 and 2013 were identified from hospitalization records. Results A total of 73,774 patients were included. The data showed increases in age, revised Baux score, and Charlson Comorbidity Index during the study period, but it was also accompanied by a continuing decrease in burn incidence and a significant shortening of the length of hospital stay. The average in-hospital mortality was 17.5/1000 in 2003 and 12.2/1000 in 2013 but did not showed significant change. Male gender, older age, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, presence of inhalation injury, large total burn surface area (TBSA), and higher revised Baux score were significant predictors of mortality. Conclusion Population-based burn epidemiology data demonstrated ongoing improvement in hospital care during the past decade. Male gender, older age, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, presence of inhalation injury, large TBSA, and higher revised Baux score were significant predictors of mortality.

A 12-year retrospective review of severe burn patients who received cultured epithelial autografts (CEA) at the Singapore General Hospital Burns Centre from January 2005 to December 2016 was carried out. During this period, two different surgical modalities were employed to manage these burn injuries. In the earlier period, following early excision of the burn wounds, exposed surfaces were covered with a combination of split thickness skin autografts (STSG) and allografts. Surfaces covered with skin allografts were subsequently debrided of the allo-epidermis in about 3 weeks later, exposing the allodermis with granulating tissues for grafting of CEA; a technique known as the Cuono's method. In the later period, allograft-autologous micrograft sandwich technique was used to graft on the early excised burns with subsequent CEA grafting. The former and latter groups represented by STSG/C (n=10) and M/CEA (n=14) respectively, were compared in terms of clinical profiles, outcomes, allograft/CEA usage and total graft cost. No significant differences were found based on mean age and presence of inhalation burns between the two treatment methods However, percentage total body surface area (TBSA) and Revised Baux Score were significantly higher (p

The Baux score - the sum of age and total body surface area burned (TBSA %) - is a good predictor of mortality has a high specificity but low sensitivity. Our aim was to examine the causes of death in patients who die with Baux scores of100, which may explain the lower sensitivity and possibly affect the prediction of mortality.All patients admitted to our centre for burn care from 1993 to 2015 (n=1946) were included in this retrospective, descriptive, exploratory study. The study group comprised those patients who died with Baux scores of100 (n=23), and their medical charts were examined for the cause of death and for coexisting diseases.Crude mortality was 5% (93/1946) for the overall cohort, and a quarter of the patients who died (23/93) had Baux scores of less than 100 (range 64-99). In this latter group, flame burns were the most common (18/23), the median (10th-90th centile) age was 70 (46-86) years and for TBSA 21 (5.0-40.5) %, of which 7 (0-27.0) % of the area was full thickness. The main causes of death in 17 of the 23 were classified as "other than burn", being cerebral disease (n=9), cardiovascular disease (n=6), and respiratory failure (n=2). Among the remaining six (burn-related) deaths, multiple organ failure (predominantly renal failure) was responsible. When we excluded the cases in which the cause of death was not related to the burn, the Baux mortality prediction value improved (receiver operating characteristics area under the curve, AUC) from 0.9733 (95% CI 0.9633-0.9834) to 0.9888 (95% CI 0.9839-0.9936) and the sensitivity estimate increased from 45.2% to 53.9%.Patients with burns who died with a Baux score100 were a quarter of all the patients who died. An important finding is that most of these deaths were caused by reasons other than the burn, usually cerebrovascular disease. This may be the explanation why the sensitivity of the Baux score is low, as factors other than age and TBSA % explain the fatal outcome.

Introduction: Burns constitute an important health concern all over the world. The main aim of burns treatment is reducing morbidity and mortality. Platelet count was proved to be an important prognostic index in burns. The main aim of this study is to find the significance of other Platelet indices in burns patient. Methods: This study was conducted in a Tertiary care Hospital in Chennai for a sample size of 143 burns patients. Patients were divided into two groups based on the Total burn surface area (Group A with 30% Total Burn Surface area). Normal persons with similar ages are taken as Control. Platelet indices were analysed for these patients on the day of admission and on the fourth day of admission using Sysmex 5-part analyser. BAUX score was also calculated for the Burns patient. The results were compared between platelet indices, clinical parameters and Baux score among different groups. Results: The results of platelet indices between group A, group B and control group were compared. In group A, no significant change in platelet indices was observed. But in group B, the mean value of Platelet count decreases from 217 on the day admission to 164 on the fourth day of admission and the Mean Platelet Volume increases from 9.88 on the day of admission to 10.54 on the fourth day of admission. Mean Platelet Volume also correlates linearly with BAUX score. Conclusion: BAUX score is a prognostic scoring system in which higher value indicates poorer prognosis. MPV correlates linearly with BAUX score which indicates raising MPV act as poor prognostic factor. Platelet indices which can be analyzed with simple automated analyser can act as important prognostic factor in burns patient which helps in deciding appropriate treatment at appropriate time.

Introduction Little is known about long term survival risk factors in critically ill burn patients who survive hospitalization. We hypothesized that patients with major burns who survive hospitalization would have favorable long term outcomes. Methods We performed a two center observational cohort study in 365 critically ill adult burn patients who survived to hospital discharge. The exposure of interest was major burn defined a priori as >20% total body surface area burned [TBSA]. The modified Baux score was determined by age + %TBSA+ 17(inhalational injury). The primary outcome was all-cause 5 year mortality based on the US Social Security Administration Death Master File. Adjusted associations were estimated through fitting of multivariable logistic regression models. Our final model included adjustment for inhalational injury, presence of 3rd degree burn, gender and the acute organ failure score, a validated ICU risk-prediction score derived from age, ethnicity, surgery vs. medical patient type, comorbidity, sepsis and acute organ failure covariates. Time-to-event analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazard regression. Results Of the cohort patients studied, 76% were male, 29% were non white, 14% were over 65, 32% had TBSA >20%, and 45% had inhalational injury. The mean age was 45, 92% had 2nd degree burns, 60% had 3rd degree burns, 21% received vasopressors, and 26% had sepsis. The mean TBSA was 20.1%. The mean modified Baux score was 72.8. Post hospital discharge 5 year mortality rate was 9.0%. The 30 day hospital readmission rate was 4%. Patients with major burns were significantly younger (41 vs. 47 years) had a significantly higher modified Baux score (89 vs. 62), and had significantly higher comorbidity, acute organ failure, inhalational injury and sepsis (all P 2 P = 0.67). Cox proportional hazard multivariable regression modeling, adjusting for inhalational injury, presence of 3rd degree burn, gender and the acute organ failure score, showed that major burn was predictive of lower mortality following hospital admission [HR = 0.34 (95% CI 0.15–0.76; P = 0.009)]. The modified Baux score was not predictive for mortality following hospital discharge [OR 5 year post-discharge mortality = 1.00 (95%CI 0.99–1.02; P = 0.74); HR for post-discharge mortality = 1.00 (95% CI 0.99–1.02; P = 0.55)]. Conclusions Critically ill patients with major burns who survive to hospital discharge have decreased 5 year mortality compared to those with less severe burns. ICU Burn unit patients who survive to hospital discharge are younger with less comorbidities. The observed relationship is likely due to the relatively higher physiological reserve present in those who survive a Burn ICU course which may provide for a survival advantage during recovery after major burn.

Background Majority burn mortality prognostic scores were developed and validated in western populations. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate and identify possible risk factors which may be used to predict burns mortality in a local Malaysian burns intensive care unit. The secondary objective was to validate the five well known burn prognostic scores (Baux score, Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) score, Ryan score, Belgium Outcome Burn Injury (BOBI) score and revised Baux score) to predict burn mortality prediction. Methods Patients that were treated at the Hospital Sultan Ismail’s Burns Intensive Care (BICU) unit for acute burn injuries between 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2017 were included. Risk factors to predict in-patient burn mortality were gender, age, mechanism of injury, total body surface area burn (TBSA), inhalational injury, mechanical ventilation, presence of tracheotomy, time from of burn injury to BICU admission and initial centre of first emergency treatment was administered. These variables were analysed using univariate and multivariate analysis for the outcomes of death. All patients were scored retrospectively using the five-burn mortality prognostic scores. Predictive ability for burn mortality was analysed using the area under receiver operating curve (AUROC). Results A total of 525 patients (372 males and 153 females) with mean age of 34.5 ± 14.6 years were included. There were 463 survivors and 62 deaths (11.8% mortality rate). The outcome of the primary objective showed that amongst the burn mortality risk factors that remained after multivariate analysis were older age (p = 0.004), wider TBSA burn (p Conclusion Current study evaluated and identified older age, total body surface area burns, and mechanical ventilation as significant predictors of burn mortality. In addition, the revised Baux score was the most accurate burn mortality risk score to predict mortality in a Malaysian burn’s population.

It is well-established that survival in burn injury is primarily dependent on three factors: age, percent total-body surface area burned (%TBSA), and inhalation injury. However, it is clear that in other (nonburn) conditions, nonmedical factors may influence mortality. Even in severe burns, patients undergoing resuscitation may survive for a period of time before succumbing to infection or other complications. In some cases, though, families in conjunction with caregivers may choose to withdraw care and not resuscitate patients with large burns. We wanted to investigate whether any nonmedical socioeconomic factors influenced the rate of early deaths in burn patients. The National Burn Repository (NBR) was used to identify patients that died in the first 72 hours after injury and those that survived more than 72 hours. Both univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to examine factors including age, gender, race, comorbidities, burn size, inhalation injury, and insurance type, and determine their influence on deaths within 72 hours. A total of 133,889 burn patients were identified, 1362 of which died in the first 72 hours. As expected, the Baux score (age plus burn size), and inhalation injury predicted early deaths. Interestingly, on multivariate analysis, patients with Medicare (p = .002), self-pay patients (p < .001), and those covered by automobile policies (p = .045) were significantly more likely to die early than those with commercial insurance. Medicaid patients were more likely to die early, but not significantly (p = .188). Worker’s compensation patients were more likely to survive the first 72 hours compared with patients with commercial insurance (p < .001). Men were more likely to survive the early period than women (p = .043). On analysis by race, only Hispanic patients significantly differed from white patients, and Hispanics were more likely to survive the first 72 hours (p = .028). Traditional medical factors are major factors in early burn deaths. However, these results show that nonmedical socioeconomic factors including race, gender, and especially insurance status influence early burn deaths as well.

Background The Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital (CHBAH) Adult Burns Unit (ABU) often operates in excess of its capacity. Our aim was to investigate the risk factor profile of the ABU population and to apply the Baux score as a model for predicting mortality to assist with appropriate resource allocation. Methods In this retrospective study, the Baux score was calibrated to the mortality rates in ABU burn population and the effects of various variables on mortality were assessed with Mann-Whitney U-test, chi-square test, and regression analysis. Results The relationship between the Baux score and mortality rate was characterized by this regression equation: y = −0.0002×3 + 0.0547×2 - 2.5815× + 32.649, which was used to tabulate expected mortalities per Baux score band. Univariable regression analysis revealed that Baux score, gender, suspected inhalation injury, mechanism, and intent each had statistically significant associations with mortality (P-values Conclusions An increase in the Baux score is the most predictive and statistically significant risk factor and is easy to calculate. Thus, expected mortality can be determined using the Baux score band versus mortality table created in this study to assist with prioritizing patients in a resource-limited environment.

Prior retrospective studies suggest that physical medicine and rehabilitation (PM&R) acute care consultation improves outcome and reduces acute care length of stay (ACLOS) in trauma patients. There have not been prospective studies to evaluate this impact in burn patients. This cohort study compared outcomes before and after the introduction of a PM&R consultation service to the acute burn program, and the inpatient rehabilitation program, at a large academic hospital. The primary outcome measures were length of stay (LOS) in acute care and during subsequent inpatient rehabilitation. For the acute care phase, there were 194 patients in the preconsultation group and 114 who received a consultation. There was no difference in age, Baux score, or LOS in these patients. For the rehabilitation phase, there were 109 patients in the prephysiatrist group and 104 who received PM&R care. The LOS was significantly shorter in the latter group (24 days vs 30 days, P = .002). Functional independence measure (FIM) change, unexpected readmission, and discharge destination were not significantly different. The addition of a burn physiatrist did not influence ACLOS. However, there was a significant reduction in inpatient rehabilitation LOS.

Several scoring systems, such as the Baux score, help predict outcomes in burn patients. The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score (composed of a respiratory rate of 22/min or greater, systolic blood pressure of 100 mmHg or less, and altered mental status) is a new bedside index proposed to help identify patients with suspected infection at risk of complications. We hypothesized that qSOFA scores would be associated with in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and length of stay (LOS) in patients with burns. We performed a retrospective review of all burn patients admitted between January 2010-March 2017 at an academic, suburban, hospital with a regional burn center. qSOFA scores were calculated as 1 point each for GCS15, RR≥22, and SBP≤100. A qSOFA value of2 was considered high risk. Revised Baux (rBaux) scores were calculated as age +%TBSA burned +17 (if inhalation injury). A rBaux score140 was considered high risk. Univariate, multivariate and receiver operating characteristics analyses were performed to compare qSOFA and rBaux scores. There were 1039 burn admissions during the study period. Mean age was 30 ± 24 years, 66% were male. Mean TBSA was 10 ± 12%, mean injury severity score was 5 ± 8. Mean hospital LOS was 8 ± 24 days, 22 patients (2.1%) died. qSOFA scores were associated with mortality and ICU admission. Of all patients, 80 were high risk by qSOFA and 7 by Baux scores. ROC characteristics of qSOFA and Baux scores for predicting death were sensitivity 36% vs. 32%, specificity 94% vs. 100%, PPV 13% vs. 100%, and NPV 98% vs. 99% respectively. The AUC for qSOFA (0.68 [95% CI, 0.54-0.81]) was lower than for Baux (0.99 [95%CI, 0.99-1.00]). Youden's index identified an optimal cutoff of 85 on the Baux score yielding sensitivity 100%, specificity 94%, PPV 27%, and NPV 100% for mortality. Our results indicate that while qSOFA scores were associated with outcomes, a rBaux score had greater predictive value. The optimal rBaux score for predicting all mortality and ICU admission was 85.

INTRODUCTION: Survival following a major burn is highly dependent on the availability of care and expensive resources such as critical care services, modern dressings and access to operating theatres. Scoring systems, which predict mortality have been developed and can be used to identify patients in whom the outlay of these resources is futile. The aim of this study was to analyse the mortality at a regional South African burn service and to see if these scoring models developed in a resource rich environment were applicable to our setting. METHODS: Consecutive admissions to the Edendale burn service, South Africa were collected from patient records over a 2-year period from July 2013 to June 2015. Demographic, burn details and final outcome (lived or died) were captured for statistical analysis. Each patient was scored using the Modified Baux, Coste et al., Belgian Outcome of Burn Injury (BOBI) and Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) scores. Validation of models and inferential statistics were done to determine new breakpoints more applicable to our sample. RESULTS: A total of 748 patients were included in the sample, with a mortality rate of 7.1%. The mean Modified Baux score was 27 (range 1-134), with the new breakpoint of 40 predicting 74% of the mortalities compared to the 42% predicted by the old breakpoint of 75. The mean ABSI score was 4 (range 2-15), with a lower break point of 6 predicting 75% of deaths compared to 42% with the old breakpoint of 8. The mean Coste score for the sample was 12 (range 0-100). With a suggested break point of 85 (predicting 50% mortality), only 6% of mortalities were predicted. The new break point of 17 predicted 91% of deaths. The original break point for the BOBI score was 6 (range 0-7). This included 42% of deaths. With a new breakpoint of 1, 74% of deaths were predicted. DISCUSSION: Our data has shown that in our environment a significant number of fatalities occur in patients with potentially salvageable burns, and the breakpoints for the mortality prediction scores such as, the Modified Baux score, Coste et al. score, BOBI and ABSI scores are much lower than high-income countries. However these mortality predictive scores can be used in a resource scarce South African setting to triage patients into risk categories by lowering the breakpoints. This may facilitate early and more aggressive management of high-risk burn patients, improving survival rates, as well as efficient and judicious use of critical care and other resources.Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd and ISBI. All rights reserved. Language: en

Introduction. Implementation of stratification in burn injured patients referred to a very helpful approach for surgeon distinguishing severity of problems as well as predicting the outcome and lead a surgeon to make an accurate decision and a guidance to deliver patient’s condition to his/her family. A stratification tools for prediction should be simple and applicable in clinical setting. It also feasible to be applied for clinical use, research purpose, and system audit. Amongst scoring systems in burn surgery, revised Baux score is the one. The study is aimed to run validation in our burn characteristics. Method. A study run to find out validation for revised Baux score, prior to its use for application in our setting. We run cohort study enrolled burn injured patient treated during period of January 2010 to December 2012, retrospectively. Total body surface area involved, age and inhalation injury referred to variables subjected to statistical analysis. Results. Out of 442 burn injured patient, there were 234 subjects included in the study. Statistical analysis using Hosmer and Lemeshow test addressed to evaluate calibration of scoring performance showed p value of p = 1 (> 0.05), and for its precision we found the performance of discrimination of r–Baux score showed the area under curve (AUC) of 0.87 (CI 95%; 0.825–0.915), showing a p value of

Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR) based on generic mortality predicting models is an established quality indicator in critical care. Burn-specific mortality models are preferred for the comparison among patients with burns as their predictive value is better. The aim was to assess whether the sum of age (years) and percentage total body surface area burned (which constitutes the Baux score) is acceptable in comparison to other more complex models, and to find out if data collected from a separate burn centre are sufficient for SMR based quality assessment. The predictive value of nine burn-specific models was tested by comparing values from the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) and a non-inferiority analysis using 1% as the limit (delta). SMR was analysed by comparing data from seven reference sources, including the North American National Burn Repository (NBR), with the observed mortality (years 1993-2012, n=1613, 80 deaths). The AUC values ranged between 0.934 and 0.976. The AUC 0.970 (95% CI 0.96-0.98) for the Baux score was non-inferior to the other models. SMR was 0.52 (95% CI 0.28-0.88) for the most recent five-year period compared with NBR based data. The analysis suggests that SMR based on the Baux score is eligible as an indicator of quality for setting standards of mortality in burn care. More advanced modelling only marginally improves the predictive value. The SMR can detect mortality differences in data from a single centre.