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With the increasing use of robots in daily life, there is a growing need to provide robust collaboration protocols for robots to tackle more complicated and dynamic problems effectively. This paper presents a novel, factor graph-based approach to address the pursuit-evasion problem, enabling accurate estimation, planning, and tracking of an evader by multiple pursuers working together. It is assumed that there are multiple pursuers and only one evader in this scenario. The proposed method significantly improves the accuracy of evader estimation and tracking, allowing pursuers to capture the evader in the shortest possible time and distance compared to existing techniques. In addition to these primary objectives, the proposed approach effectively minimizes uncertainty while remaining robust, even when communication issues lead to some messages being dropped or lost. Through a series of comprehensive experiments, this paper demonstrates that the proposed algorithm consistently outperforms traditional pursuit-evasion methods across several key performance metrics, such as the time required to capture the evader and the average distance traveled by the pursuers. Additionally, the proposed method is tested in real-world hardware experiments, further validating its effectiveness and applicability.

Accurately predicting hospital length-of-stay at the time a patient is admitted to hospital may help guide clinical decision making and resource allocation. In this study we aim to build a decision support system that predicts hospital length-of-stay for patients admitted to general internal medicine from the emergency department. We conduct an exploratory data analysis and employ feature selection methods to identify the attributes that result in the best predictive performance. We also develop a discrete-event simulation model to assess the performances of the prediction models in a practical setting. Our results show that the recommendation performances of the proposed approaches are generally acceptable and do not benefit from the feature selection. Further, the results indicate that hospital length-of-stay could be predicted with reasonable accuracy (e.g., AUC value for classifying short and long stay patients is 0.69) using patient admission demographics, laboratory test results, diagnostic imaging, vital signs and clinical documentation.

Social media platforms influence the way political campaigns are run and therefore they have become an increasingly important tool for politicians to directly interact with citizens. Previous elections in various countries have shown that social media data may significantly impact election results. In this study, we aim to predict the vote shares of parties participating in the 2023 elections in Turkey by combining social media data from various platforms together with traditional polling data. Our approach is a volume-based approach that considers the number of social media interactions rather than content. We compare several prediction models across varying time windows. Our results show that for all time windows, the ARIMAX model outperforms the other algorithms., Comment: 25 pages, 7 tables, 3 figures

This paper explores the use of text data augmentation techniques to enhance conflict and duplicate detection in software engineering tasks through sentence pair classification. The study adapts generic augmentation techniques such as shuffling, back translation, and paraphrasing and proposes new data augmentation techniques such as Noun-Verb Substitution, target-lemma replacement and Actor-Action Substitution for software requirement texts. A comprehensive empirical analysis is conducted on six software text datasets to identify conflicts and duplicates among sentence pairs. The results demonstrate that data augmentation techniques have a significant impact on the performance of all software pair text datasets. On the other hand, in cases where the datasets are relatively balanced, the use of augmentation techniques may result in a negative effect on the classification performance., Comment: 10 pages ACM conference

The analysis of software requirement specifications (SRS) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) methods has been an important study area in the software engineering field in recent years. Especially thanks to the advances brought by deep learning and transfer learning approaches in NLP, SRS data can be utilized for various learning tasks more easily. In this study, we employ a three-stage domain-adaptive fine-tuning approach for three prediction tasks regarding software requirements, which improve the model robustness on a real distribution shift. The multi-class classification tasks involve predicting the type, priority and severity of the requirement texts specified by the users. We compare our results with strong classification baselines such as word embedding pooling and Sentence BERT, and show that the adaptive fine-tuning leads to performance improvements across the tasks. We find that an adaptively fine-tuned model can be specialized to particular data distribution, which is able to generate accurate results and learns from abundantly available textual data in software engineering task management systems.

Bug triaging is a critical task in any software development project. It entails triagers going over a list of open bugs, deciding whether each is required to be addressed, and, if so, which developer should fix it. However, the manual bug assignment in issue tracking systems (ITS) offers only a limited solution and might easily fail when triagers must handle a large number of bug reports. During the automated assignment, there are multiple sources of uncertainties in the ITS, which should be addressed meticulously. In this study, we develop a Markov decision process (MDP) model for an online bug triage task. In addition to an optimization-based myopic technique, we provide an ADP-based bug triage solution, called ADPTriage, which has the ability to reflect the downstream uncertainty in the bug arrivals and developers' timetables. Specifically, without placing any limits on the underlying stochastic process, this technique enables real-time decision-making on bug assignments while taking into consideration developers' expertise, bug type, and bug fixing time. Our result shows a significant improvement over the myopic approach in terms of assignment accuracy and fixing time. We also demonstrate the empirical convergence of the model and conduct sensitivity analysis with various model parameters. Accordingly, this work constitutes a significant step forward in addressing the uncertainty in bug triage solutions

This study focuses on exploring the use of local interpretability methods for explaining time series clustering models. Many of the state-of-the-art clustering models are not directly explainable. To provide explanations for these clustering algorithms, we train classification models to estimate the cluster labels. Then, we use interpretability methods to explain the decisions of the classification models. The explanations are used to obtain insights into the clustering models. We perform a detailed numerical study to test the proposed approach on multiple datasets, clustering models, and classification models. The analysis of the results shows that the proposed approach can be used to explain time series clustering models, specifically when the underlying classification model is accurate. Lastly, we provide a detailed analysis of the results, discussing how our approach can be used in a real-life scenario.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have gained significant attention in several computer vision tasks for generating high-quality synthetic data. Various medical applications including diagnostic imaging and radiation therapy can benefit greatly from synthetic data generation due to data scarcity in the domain. However, medical image data is typically kept in 3D space, and generative models suffer from the curse of dimensionality issues in generating such synthetic data. In this paper, we investigate the potential of GANs for generating connected 3D volumes. We propose an improved version of 3D $\alpha$-GAN by incorporating various architectural enhancements. On a synthetic dataset of connected 3D spheres and ellipsoids, our model can generate fully connected 3D shapes with similar geometrical characteristics to that of training data. We also show that our 3D GAN model can successfully generate high-quality 3D tumor volumes and associated treatment specifications (e.g., isocenter locations). Similar moment invariants to the training data as well as fully connected 3D shapes confirm that improved 3D $\alpha$-GAN implicitly learns the training data distribution, and generates realistic-looking samples. The capability of improved 3D $\alpha$-GAN makes it a valuable source for generating synthetic medical image data that can help future research in this domain.

In the realm of software development, the clarity, completeness, and comprehensiveness of requirements significantly impact the success of software systems. The Software Requirement Specification (SRS) document, a cornerstone of the software development life cycle, delineates both functional and nonfunctional requirements, playing a pivotal role in ensuring the quality and timely delivery of software projects. However, the inherent natural language representation of these requirements poses challenges, leading to potential misinterpretations and conflicts. This study addresses the need for conflict identification within requirements by delving into their semantic compositions and contextual meanings. Our research introduces an automated supervised conflict detection method known as the Supervised Semantic Similarity-based Conflict Detection Algorithm (S3CDA). This algorithm comprises two phases: identifying conflict candidates through textual similarity and employing semantic analysis to filter these conflicts. The similarity-based conflict detection involves leveraging sentence embeddings and cosine similarity measures to identify pertinent candidate requirements. Additionally, we present an unsupervised conflict detection algorithm, UnSupCDA, combining key components of S3CDA, tailored for unlabeled software requirements. Generalizability of our methods is tested across five SRS documents from diverse domains. Our experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed conflict detection strategy, achieving high accuracy in automated conflict identification.

Developing technology and changing lifestyles have made online grocery delivery applications an indispensable part of urban life. Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the demand for such applications has dramatically increased, creating new competitors that disrupt the market. An increasing level of competition might prompt companies to frequently restructure their marketing and product pricing strategies. Therefore, identifying the change patterns in product prices and sales volumes would provide a competitive advantage for the companies in the marketplace. In this paper, we investigate alternative clustering methodologies to group the products based on the price patterns and sales volumes. We propose a novel distance metric that takes into account how product prices and sales move together rather than calculating the distance using numerical values. We compare our approach with traditional clustering algorithms, which typically rely on generic distance metrics such as Euclidean distance, and image clustering approaches that aim to group data by capturing its visual patterns. We evaluate the performances of different clustering algorithms using our custom evaluation metric as well as Calinski Harabasz and Davies Bouldin indices, which are commonly used internal validity metrics. We conduct our numerical study using a propriety price dataset from an online food and grocery delivery company, and the publicly available Favorita sales dataset. We find that our proposed clustering approach and image clustering both perform well for finding the products with similar price and sales patterns within large datasets., Comment: 16 pages, 6 figures

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are one of the most widely used generative models. GANs can learn complex multi-modal distributions, and generate real-like samples. Despite the major success of GANs in generating synthetic data, they might suffer from unstable training process, and mode collapse. In this paper, we introduce a new GAN architecture called variance enforcing GAN (VARGAN), which incorporates a third network to introduce diversity in the generated samples. The third network measures the diversity of the generated samples, which is used to penalize the generator's loss for low diversity samples. The network is trained on the available training data and undesired distributions with limited modality. On a set of synthetic and real-world image data, VARGAN generates a more diverse set of samples compared to the recent state-of-the-art models. High diversity and low computational complexity, as well as fast convergence, make VARGAN a promising model to alleviate mode collapse.

In an online shopping platform, a detailed classification of the products facilitates user navigation. It also helps online retailers keep track of the price fluctuations in a certain industry or special discounts on a specific product category. Moreover, an automated classification system may help to pinpoint incorrect or subjective categories suggested by an operator. In this study, we focus on product title classification of the grocery products. We perform a comprehensive comparison of six different text classification models to establish a strong baseline for this task, which involves testing both traditional and recent machine learning methods. In our experiments, we investigate the generalizability of the trained models to the products of other online retailers, the dynamic masking of infeasible subcategories for pretrained language models, and the benefits of incorporating product titles in multiple languages. Our numerical results indicate that dynamic masking of subcategories is effective in improving prediction accuracy. In addition, we observe that using bilingual product titles is generally beneficial, and neural network-based models perform significantly better than SVM and XGBoost models. Lastly, we investigate the reasons for the misclassified products and propose future research directions to further enhance the prediction models., Comment: CASCON'21; 31st Annual International Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering; Nov 22-26, 2021; Toronto, Canada}

In software engineering practice, fixing a bug promptly reduces the associated costs. On the other hand, the manual bug fixing process can be time-consuming, cumbersome, and error-prone. In this work, we introduce a bug triaging method, called Dependency-aware Bug Triaging (DABT), which leverages natural language processing and integer programming to assign bugs to appropriate developers. Unlike previous works that mainly focus on one aspect of the bug reports, DABT considers the textual information, cost associated with each bug, and dependency among them. Therefore, this comprehensive formulation covers the most important aspect of the previous works while considering the blocking effect of the bugs. We report the performance of the algorithm on three open-source software systems, i.e., EclipseJDT, LibreOffice, and Mozilla. Our result shows that DABT is able to reduce the number of overdue bugs up to 12\%. It also decreases the average fixing time of the bugs by half. Moreover, it reduces the complexity of the bug dependency graph by prioritizing blocking bugs., Comment: This paper is accepted at EASE'21: The International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering; June 21--23, 2021

The bug growth pattern prediction is a complicated, unrelieved task, which needs considerable attention. Advance knowledge of the likely number of bugs discovered in the software system helps software developers in designating sufficient resources at a convenient time. The developers may also use such information to take necessary actions to increase the quality of the system and in turn customer satisfaction. In this study, we examine eight different time series forecasting models, including Long Short Term Memory Neural Networks (LSTM), auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), and Random Forest Regressor. Further, we assess the impact of exogenous variables such as software release dates by incorporating those into the prediction models. We analyze the quality of long-term prediction for each model based on different performance metrics. The assessment is conducted on Mozilla, which is a large open-source software application. The dataset is originally mined from Bugzilla and contains the number of bugs for the project between Jan 2010 and Dec 2019. Our numerical analysis provides insights on evaluating the trends in a bug repository. We observe that LSTM is effective when considering long-run predictions whereas Random Forest Regressor enriched by exogenous variables performs better for predicting the number of bugs in the short term.

We consider a meal delivery service fulfilling dynamic customer requests given a set of couriers over the course of a day. A courier's duty is to pick-up an order from a restaurant and deliver it to a customer. We model this service as a Markov decision process and use deep reinforcement learning as the solution approach. We experiment with the resulting policies on synthetic and real-world datasets and compare those with the baseline policies. We also examine the courier utilization for different numbers of couriers. In our analysis, we specifically focus on the impact of the limited available resources in the meal delivery problem. Furthermore, we investigate the effect of intelligent order rejection and re-positioning of the couriers. Our numerical experiments show that, by incorporating the geographical locations of the restaurants, customers, and the depot, our model significantly improves the overall service quality as characterized by the expected total reward and the delivery times. Our results present valuable insights on both the courier assignment process and the optimal number of couriers for different order frequencies on a given day. The proposed model also shows a robust performance under a variety of scenarios for real-world implementation., Comment: Keywords: meal delivery, courier assignment, reinforcement learning, DQN, DDQN

Just-In-Time (JIT) models detect the fix-inducing changes (or defect-inducing changes). These models are designed based on the assumption that past code change properties are similar to future ones. However, as the system evolves, the expertise of developers and/or the complexity of the system also changes. In this work, we aim to investigate the effect of code change properties on JIT models over time. We also study the impact of using recent data as well as all available data on the performance of JIT models. Further, we analyze the effect of weighted sampling on the performance of fix-inducing properties of JIT models. For this purpose, we used datasets from Eclipse JDT, Mozilla, Eclipse Platform, and PostgreSQL. We used five families of change-code properties such as size, diffusion, history, experience, and purpose. We used Random Forest to train and test the JIT model and Brier Score and the area under the ROC curve for performance measurement. Our paper suggests that the predictive power of JIT models does not change over time. Furthermore, we observed that the chronology of data in JIT defect prediction models can be discarded by considering all the available data. On the other hand, the importance score of families of code change properties is found to oscillate over time. To mitigate the impact of the evolution of code change properties, it is recommended to use a weighted sampling approach in which more emphasis is placed upon the changes occurring closer to the current time. Moreover, since properties such as "Expertise of the Developer" and "Size" evolve with time, the models obtained from old data may exhibit different characteristics compared to those employing the newer dataset. Hence, practitioners should constantly retrain JIT models to include fresh data.

Software defect prediction heavily relies on the metrics collected from software projects. Earlier studies often used machine learning techniques to build, validate, and improve bug prediction models using either a set of metrics collected within a project or across different projects. However, techniques applied and conclusions derived by those models are restricted by how identical those metrics are. Knowledge coming from those models will not be extensible to a target project if no sufficient overlapping metrics have been collected in the source projects. To explore the feasibility of transferring knowledge across projects without common labeled metrics, we systematically integrated Heterogeneous Defect Prediction (HDP) by replicating and validating the obtained results. Our main goal is to extend prior research and explore the feasibility of HDP and finally to compare its performance with that of its predecessor, Cross-Project Defect Prediction. We construct an HDP model on different publicly available datasets. Moreover, we propose a new ensemble voting approach in the HDP context to utilize the predictive power of multiple available datasets. The result of our experiment is comparable to that of the original study. However, we also explored the feasibility of HDP in real cases. Our results shed light on the infeasibility of many cases for the HDP algorithm due to its sensitivity to the parameter selection. In general, our analysis gives a deep insight into why and how to perform transfer learning from one domain to another, and in particular, provides a set of guidelines to help researchers and practitioners to disseminate knowledge to the defect prediction domain.

The issue tracking system (ITS) is a rich data source for data-driven decision-making. Different characteristics of bugs, such as severity, priority, and time to fix, provide a clear picture of an ITS. Nevertheless, such information may be misleading. For example, the exact time and the effort spent on a bug might be significantly different from the actual reporting time and the fixing time. Similarly, these values may be subjective, e.g., severity and priority values are assigned based on the intuition of a user or a developer rather than a structured and well-defined procedure. Hence, we explore the evolution of the bug dependency graph together with priority and severity levels to explore the actual triage process. Inspired by the idea of the "Wayback Machine" for the World Wide Web, we aim to reconstruct the historical decisions made in the ITS. Therefore, any bug prioritization or bug triage algorithms/scenarios can be applied in the same environment using our proposed ITS Wayback Machine. More importantly, we track the evolutionary metrics in the ITS when a custom triage/prioritization strategy is employed. We test the efficiency of the proposed algorithm using data extracted from three open-source projects. Our empirical study sheds light on the overlooked evolutionary metrics--e.g., overdue bugs and developers' loads--which are facilitated via our proposed past-event re-generator., Comment: 43 Pages - Accepted for the Journal of Systems & Software

Accurate radio frequency power prediction in a geographic region is a computationally expensive part of finding the optimal transmitter location using a ray tracing software. We empirically analyze the viability of deep learning models to speed up this process. Specifically, deep learning methods including CNNs and UNET are typically used for segmentation, and can also be employed in power prediction tasks. We consider a dataset that consists of radio frequency power values for five different regions with four different frame dimensions. We compare deep learning-based prediction models including RadioUNET and four different variations of the UNET model for the power prediction task. More complex UNET variations improve the model on higher resolution frames such as 256x256. However, using the same models on lower resolutions results in overfitting and simpler models perform better. Our detailed numerical analysis shows that the deep learning models are effective in power prediction and they are able to generalize well to the new regions.