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Anthropogenic climate change and associated increasing nutrient loading to coasts will worsen coastal eutrophication on a global scale. Basin Head is a coastal lagoon located in northeastern Prince Edward Island, Canada, with a federally protected ecosystem. Nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) is conveyed from agricultural fields in the watershed to the eutrophic lagoon via intertidal groundwater springs and groundwater-dominated tributaries. A field program focused on four main tributaries that discharge into the lagoon was conducted to measure year-round NO3-N loading. These measurements were used to calibrate a SWAT+ hydrologic model capable of simulating hydrologic and NO3-N loads to the lagoon. Several climate change scenarios incorporating different agricultural best management practices (BMPs) were simulated to better understand potential future NO3-N loading dynamics. Results indicate that all climate change scenarios produced increased annual NO3-N loading to the lagoon when comparing historical (1990–2020) to end of century time periods (2070–2100); however, only one climate scenario (MRI-ESM2-0 SSP5-8.5) resulted in a statistically significant (p-value

Using shallow geothermal energy systems to recycle the heat accumulating in the subsurface due to climate change and urbanization is a feasible, sustainable, and opportunistic alternative to conventional space heating in the face of climate change

Study region: Mabou Harbour located in Cape Breton Island, Nova Scotia, Canada, is representative of the many natural harbours throughout the Maritime region of Canada as the surrounding landscape is overlain by glacial deposits, predominantly composed of glacial till. Study focus: Understanding the pathways facilitating groundwater flow and associated solute transport to the ocean is key for developing conceptual hydrogeologic models for coastal watersheds and for informing coastal zone management. Most local-scale field and modelling submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) studies have been conducted in high-permeability formations given the likely importance of SGD in these coastal settings. This study investigates direct (SGD) and indirect (seaward stream baseflow) groundwater discharge from a till dominated coastal aquifer using a combination of field measurements (river flow and baseflow separation, seepage meter measurements, and water temperature analysis) and a calibrated 3D numerical groundwater flow model. New hydrological insights for the region: Results show that seaward stream baseflow greatly exceeds direct SGD to the ocean on the scale of the full harbour watershed (96.1% vs. 3.9 of total groundwater discharge). Particle tracking shows that the vast majority of SGD originates in the subcatchment immediately surrounding the harbour with limited intermediate or regional flow. The shorter flow paths and residence times for direct SGD results in less opportunity for natural attenuation processes and may have implications for groundwater-borne contamination to this harbour.

Groundwater discharge transports dissolved constituents to the ocean, affecting coastal carbon budgets and water quality. However, the magnitude and mechanisms of groundwater exchange along rapidly transitioning Arctic coastlines are largely unknown due to limited observations. Here, using first-of-its-kind coastal Arctic groundwater timeseries data, we evaluate the magnitude and drivers of groundwater discharge to Alaska’s Beaufort Sea coast. Darcy flux calculations reveal temporally variable groundwater fluxes, ranging from −6.5 cm d ^−1 (recharge) to 14.1 cm d ^−1 (discharge), with fluctuations in groundwater discharge or aquifer recharge over diurnal and multiday timescales during the open-water season. The average flux during the monitoring period of 4.9 cm d ^−1 is in line with previous estimates, but the maximum discharge exceeds previous estimates by over an order-of-magnitude. While the diurnal fluctuations are small due to the microtidal conditions, multiday variability is large and drives sustained periods of aquifer recharge and groundwater discharge. Results show that wind-driven lagoon water level changes are the dominant mechanism of fluctuations in land–sea hydraulic head gradients and, in turn, groundwater discharge. Given the microtidal conditions, low topographic relief, and limited rainfall along the Beaufort Sea coast, we identify wind as an important forcing mechanism of coastal groundwater discharge and aquifer recharge with implications for nearshore biogeochemistry. This study provides insights into groundwater flux dynamics along this coastline over time and highlights an oft overlooked discharge and circulation mechanism with implications towards refining solute export estimates to coastal Arctic waters.

Thermal mapping of surface waters and the land surface via UAVs offers exciting opportunities in many scientific disciplines; however, unresolved issues persist related to accuracy and drift of uncooled microbolometric thermal infrared (TIR) sensors. Curiously, most commercially available UAV-based TIR sensors are black, which will theoretically facilitate heating of the uncooled TIR sensor via absorbed solar radiation. Accordingly, we tested the hypothesis that modifying the surface absorptivity of uncooled TIR sensors can reduce thermal drift by limiting absorptance and associated microbolometer heating. We used two identical uncooled TIR sensors (DJI Zenmuse XT2) but retrofitted one with polished aluminum foil to alter the surface absorptivity and compared the temperature measurements from each sensor to the accurate measurements from instream temperature loggers. In addition, because TIR sensors are passive and measure longwave infrared radiation emitted from the environment, we tested the hypotheses that overcast conditions would reduce solar irradiance, and therefore induce thermal drift, and that increases in air temperature would induce thermal drift. The former is in contrast with the conceptual model of others who have proposed that flying in overcast conditions would increase sensor accuracy. We found the foil-shielded sensor yielded temperatures that were on average 2.2 °C more accurate than those of the matte black sensor (p < 0.0001). Further, we found positive correlations between light intensity (a proxy for incoming irradiance) and increased sensor accuracy for both sensors. Interestingly, light intensity explained 73% of the accuracy variability for the black sensor, but only 40% of the variability in accuracy deviations for the foil-shielded sensor. Unsurprisingly, an increase in air temperature led to a decrease in accuracy for both sensors, where air temperature explained 14% of the variability in accuracy for the black sensor and 31% of the accuracy variability for the foil-shielded sensor. We propose that the discrepancy between the amount of variability explained by light intensity and air temperature is due to changes in the heat energy budget arising from changes in the surface absorptivity. Additionally, we suggest fine-scale changes in river-bed reflectance led to errors in UAV thermal measurements. We conclude with a suite of guidelines for increasing the accuracy of uncooled UAV-based thermal mapping.

Permafrost thaw leads to an increase in groundwater circulation and potential mobilization of organic carbon sequestered in deep Arctic sediments (e.g. 3–25 m below surface). Upon thaw, a portion of this carbon may be transported along new groundwater flow paths to surface waters or be microbially transformed or immobilized by in-situ biogeochemical reactions. The fate of thaw-mobilized carbon impacts surface water productivity and global climate. We developed a numerical model to investigate the effects of subsurface warming, permafrost thaw, and resultant increased groundwater flow on the mobilization and reactive transport of dissolved organic carbon (DOC). Synthetic simulations demonstrate that mobilization and groundwater-borne DOC export are determined by subsurface thermo-chemical conditions that control the interplay of DOC production (organic matter degradation), mineralization, and sorption. Results suggest that peak carbon mobilization from these depths precedes complete permafrost loss, occurring within two centuries of thaw initiation with the development of supra-permafrost groundwater flow systems. Additionally, this study highlights the lack of field data needed to constrain these new models and apply them in real-word site-specific applications, specifically the amount and spatial variability of organic carbon in deep sediments and data to constrain DOC production rates for groundwater systems in degrading permafrost. Modeling results point to key biogeochemical parameters related to organic matter and carbon bioavailability to be measured in the field to bridge the gap between models and observations. This study provides a foundation for further developing a physics-based modeling framework to incorporate the influence of groundwater flow and permafrost thaw on permafrost DOC dynamics and export, which is imperative for advancing understanding and prediction of carbon release and terrestrial-aquatic carbon exchange in warming Artic landscapes in the coming decades.

Groundwater discharge is an important mechanism through which fresh water and associated solutes are delivered to the ocean. Permafrost environments have traditionally been considered hydrogeologically inactive, yet with accelerated climate change and permafrost thaw, groundwater flow paths are activating and opening subsurface connections to the coastal zone. While warming has the potential to increase land-sea connectivity, sea-level change has the potential to alter land-sea hydraulic gradients and enhance coastal permafrost thaw, resulting in a complex interplay that will govern future groundwater discharge dynamics along Arctic coastlines. Here, we use a recently developed permafrost hydrological model that simulates variable-density groundwater flow and salinity-dependent freeze-thaw to investigate the impacts of sea-level change and land and ocean warming on the magnitude, spatial distribution, and salinity of coastal groundwater discharge. Results project both an increase and decrease in discharge with climate change depending on the rate of warming and sea-level change. Under high warming and low sea-level rise scenarios, results show up to a 58% increase in coastal groundwater discharge by 2100 due to the formation of a supra-permafrost aquifer that enhances freshwater delivery to the coastal zone. With higher rates of sea-level rise, the increase in discharge due to warming is reduced to 21% as sea-level rise decreased land-sea hydraulic gradients. Under lower warming scenarios for which supra-permafrost groundwater flow was not established, discharge decreased by up to 26% between 1980 and 2100 for high sea-level rise scenarios and increased only 8% under low sea-level rise scenarios. Thus, regions with higher warming rates and lower rates of sea-level change (e.g. northern Nunavut, Canada) will experience a greater increase in discharge than regions with lower warming rates and higher rates of sea-level change. The magnitude, location and salinity of discharge have important implications for ecosystem function, water quality, and carbon dynamics in coastal zones.

Macropore flow in frozen soils plays a critical role in partitioning snowmelt at the land surface and modulating snowmelt-driven hydrological processes. Previous descriptions of macropore flow processes in frozen soil do not explicitly represent the physics of water and heat transfer between macropores and the soil matrix, and there is a need to adapt recent conceptual and numerical models of unfrozen macropore flow to account for frozen ground. Macropores remain air filled under partially saturated conditions, allowing preferential flow and meltwater infiltration prior to ground thaw. Nonequilibrium gravity-driven flow can rapidly transport snowmelt to depths below the frost zone or, alternatively, infiltrated water may refreeze in macropores and restrict preferential flow. As with unfrozen soils, models of water movement in frozen soil that rely solely on diffuse flow concepts cannot adequately represent unsaturated macropore hydraulics. Dual-domain descriptions of unsaturated flow that explicitly define macropore hydraulic characteristics have been successful under unfrozen conditions but need refinement for frozen soils. In particular, because pore connectivity and hydraulic conductivity are influenced by ice content, modeling schemes specifying macropore–matrix interactions and refreezing of infiltrating water are critical. This review discusses the need for research on the interacting effects of macropore flow and soil freeze–thaw and the integration of these concepts into a framework of coupled heat and water transfer. As a result, it proposes a conceptual model of unsaturated flow in frozen macroporous soils that assumes two interacting domains (macropore and matrix) with distinct water and heat transfer regimes.

Permafrost thaw due to climate warming modifies hydrological processes by increasing hydrological connectivity between aquifers and surface water bodies and increasing groundwater storage. While previous studies have documented arctic river baseflow increases and changing wetland and lake distributions, the hydrogeological processes leading to these changes remain poorly understood. This study uses a coupled heat and groundwater flow numerical model with dynamic freezing and thawing processes and an improved set of boundary conditions to simulate the impacts of climate warming on permafrost distribution and groundwater discharge to surface water bodies. We show a spatial shift in groundwater discharge from upslope to downslope and a temporal shift with increasing groundwater discharge during the winter season due to the formation of a lateral supra-permafrost talik underlying the active layer. These insights into changing patterns of groundwater discharge help explain observed changes in arctic baseflow and wetland patterns and are important for northern water resources and ecosystem management.

Rapid permafrost thaw and precipitation regime shifts are altering surface and subsurface hydrological processes in arctic and subarctic watersheds. Long-term data (40 years) from two large permafrost watersheds in northeastern China, the Tahe River and Duobukuer River watersheds, indicate that winter baseflows are characterized by significant positive trends of 1.7% and 2.5%·year−1, respectively. Winter baseflows exhibited statistically significant positive correlations with mean annual air temperature and the thawing index, an indicator of permafrost degradation, for both watersheds, as well as the increasing annual rainfall fraction of precipitation for the Duobukuer River watershed. Winter baseflows were characterized by a breakpoint in 1989, which lagged behind the mean annual air temperature breakpoint by only two years. The statistical analyses suggest that the increases in winter baseflow are likely related to enhanced groundwater storage and winter groundwater discharge caused by permafrost thaw and are potentially also due to an increase in the wet season rainfall. These hydrological trends are first apparent in marginal areas of permafrost distribution and are expected to shift northward towards formerly continuous permafrost regions in the context of future climate warming.

Intertidal groundwater springs provide thermally stable, nutrient‐rich freshwater that causes fine‐scale variability in water temperature and salinity and promotes biodiversity in coastal estuaries and lagoons. In this study, we combined three thermal sensing techniques to elucidate summer water temperature patterns at the mouths of intertidal groundwater springs and the ambient coastal lagoon in Prince Edward Island, Canada. Thermal infrared imagery captured the spatiotemporal variability in relative temperatures of the lagoon channel and cold‐water plumes from the springs. Thermal anomalies due to the springs were detected at the surface throughout a tidal cycle, suggesting that the thermal plumes were buoyant. Fiber‐optic distributed temperature sensing paired with temperature loggers near the spring outlets recorded groundwater temperatures at low tide (~ 7°C) but ambient lagoon temperatures (up to 26°C) at high tide due to the vertical thermal gradient in the stratified water column. Calculated estuarine Richardson numbers throughout the study confirm intertidal spring buoyancy due to salinity differences. The fiber‐optic distributed temperature sensing results revealed pronounced variations in temperature as evidenced by spatial (3.7°C) and temporal (5.5°C) standard deviations over the cable length during the study and lower mean lagoon bed water temperatures at high tide (22.5°C) than low tide (24.3°C) due to heat advection from tidal pumping. Lagoon temperatures fluctuate at diurnal (solar) and semi‐diurnal (tidal) frequencies. The findings emphasize the efficacy of a multi‐technology approach to reveal fine‐scale and dynamic thermal processes that drive temperature patterns and habitat distribution in coastal lagoon ecosystems and highlight the thermal influence of intertidal springs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anthropogenic climate change and associated increasing nutrient loading to coasts will worsen coastal eutrophication on a global scale. Basin Head is a coastal lagoon located in northeastern Prince Edward Island, Canada, with a federally protected ecosystem. Nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) is conveyed from agricultural fields in the watershed to the eutrophic lagoon via intertidal groundwater springs and groundwater-dominated tributaries. A field program focused on four main tributaries that discharge into the lagoon was conducted to measure year-round NO3-N loading. These measurements were used to calibrate a SWAT+ hydrologic model capable of simulating hydrologic and NO3-N loads to the lagoon. Several climate change scenarios incorporating different agricultural best management practices (BMPs) were simulated to better understand potential future NO3-N loading dynamics. Results indicate that all climate change scenarios produced increased annual NO3-N loading to the lagoon when comparing historical (1990-2020) to end of century time periods (2070-2100); however, only one climate scenario (MRI-ESM2-0 SSP5-8.5) resulted in a statistically significant (p-value <0.05) increase. Enlarged buffer strips and delayed tillage BMP simulations produced small (0%-8%) effects on loading, while changing the crop rotation from potato-barley-clover to potato-soybean-barley yielded a small reduction in NO3-N loading between the historical period and the end of the century (26%-33%). Modeling revealed changes in seasonal loading dynamics under climate change where NO3-N loads remained more consistent throughout the year as opposed to current conditions where the dominant load is in the spring. An increase in baseflow contributions to streamflow was also noted under climate change, with the largest change occurring in the winter (e.g., up to a five-fold increase in February). These findings have direct implications for coastal management in groundwater-dominated agricultural watersheds in a changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent waste rock pile designs have been proposed to incorporate a fine-grained layer to create a capillary barrier to prevent surface water from draining into the pile interior. This study analyses active fibre optic distributed temperature sensing (FO-DTS) as a tool to measure the effectiveness a capillary barrier system following an infiltration test. A laboratory waste rock column was built with anorthosite waste rock overlain by sand. Volumetric water content is calculated during heat cycles lasting 15 min powered at 15 W/m in the column. A new algorithm is employed to circumvent several requirements for soil specific calibration. The inferred moisture contents were verified by soil moisture probes located adjacent to the cable. The FO-DTS data indicate, at vertical resolutions up to 2 cm, that water is retained in the sand and does not drain into the anorthosite following the infiltration test. The coefficient of determination, [R.sup.2], between the inferred and measured volumetric water content in the fine cover sand layer is 0.90, while the screened anorthosite maintained an [R.sup.2] of 0.94 with constant moisture content throughout the test. This study will ultimately help guide future waste rock storage design initiatives incorporating fibre optic sensors, leading to improved environmental mine waste management. Key words: distributed temperature sensing (DTS), soil moisture, fibre optic, waste rock, capillary barrier. Des conceptions recentes de pieux de steriles ont ete proposees pour incorporer une couche a grain fin afin de creer une barriere capillaire afin d'empecher l'eau de surface de s'ecouler dans l'interieur du pieu. Cette etude analyse la detection de temperature distribuee active par fibres optiques (FO-DTS) en tant qu'outil permettant de mesurer l'efficacite d'un systeme de barriere capillaire apres un test d'infiltration. Une colonne de steriles de laboratoire a ete construite avec des steriles d'anorthosite recouverte de sable. La teneur en eau volumetrique est calculee pendant les cycles de chauffage d'une duree de 15 min a 15 W/m dans la colonne. Un nouvel algorithme est utilise pour contourner plusieurs exigences relatives a l'etalonnage specifique au sol. Les teneurs en humidite inferees ont ete verifiees par des sondes d'humidite du sol situees a proximite du cable. Les donnees FO-DTS indiquent, a des resolutions verticales allant jusqu'a 2 cm, que l'eau est retenue dans le sable et ne s'ecoule pas dans l'anorthosite apres le test d'infiltration. Le coefficient de determination, [R.sup.2], entre la teneur en eau volumetrique deduite et mesuree dans la couche de sable fin est de 0,90, tandis que l'anorthosite tamisee maintient un [R.sup.2] de 0,94 avec une teneur en humidite constante tout au long de l'essai. Cette etude contribuera en fin de compte a orienter les futures initiatives de conception de stockage de steriles integrant des capteurs a fibre optique, permettant ainsi une meilleure gestion des dechets miniers dans l'environnement. [Traduit par la Redaction] Mots-cles: detection de temperature distribuee (DTS), humidite du sol, fibre optique, sterile, barriere capillaire., Introduction Waste rock--extracted coarse-grained rock below the ore cutoff grade--is stored on the surface of mine sites and exposed to natural climatic conditions. The most common method to store this [...]

Coastal flooding transforms barrier island morphology and rapidly salinizes freshwater lenses that support island populations and ecosystems. Climate change is expected to increase coastal flood risks, and understanding future island vulnerability requires understanding erosion and salinization processes and their feedbacks. This study investigates how island morphology and groundwater salinity distributions on Hog Island, Prince Edward Island, Canada, responded to high water levels during post-tropical storm Fiona (24 September 2022), the costliest hurricane to make landfall in Canadian history. Island morphology was monitored with drone-based LiDAR, and beach groundwater dynamics were investigated with frequencydomain electromagnetic geophysics surveys and monitoring wells. Comparing pre-storm and post-disturbance data revealed high dune scarping that thinned the ocean-side foredune by 12.3 m on average and reduced the total island volume by 12%. Beach groundwater levels and electrical conductivity increased by up to 2 m and 19 mS cm 1, respectively, and the freshwater lens was lost under the eroded foredune. Measurements 9 months after the storm revealed early-stage recovery of the foredune; however, high dune scarping prolonged recovery, and the island volume only increased by 1%. Without a stable ocean-side foredune, the landward extent of recurring coastal flooding increased and limited freshwater flushing and aquifer recovery. Results indicate that rapid erosion from extreme coastal storms shifts coastal boundaries, salinizes formerly freshwater resources, and limits freshwater recovery. These findings emphasize the importance of understanding the often-overlooked interconnections between coastal flooding, erosion, and groundwater salinization to effectively manage coastal resources in an age of environmental change. Plain Language Summary Rising sea levels and more frequent storm surges will increase coastal flooding events that erode barrier island coastlines and salinize fresh groundwater. This poses a risk to economic assets, ecosystems, and potable water resources along island coasts. This study monitored changes in shoreline position and groundwater salinity following a tropical cyclone that impacted a barrier island in Prince Edward Island, Canada. Results show that high water levels and associated beach flooding drive rapid erosion and groundwater salinization. After the storm, seawater flooding increases along the eroded coastline, limiting recovery of the high-elevation dunes and groundwater freshening. Collected data show that the state of coastal dunes controls the distribution of fresh groundwater on barrier islands, and rapid erosion can have prolonged but often overlooked impacts on available freshwater. These findings have important implications for understanding and managing coastal flood risks and water security on barrier islands in a changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Salt marshes are globally important ecosystems and thus their resilience to climate change holds societal importance. To date, studies addressing salt marsh responses to climate change have focused on sea‐level rise and biogeochemical feedbacks with increasing inundation. Less is known about how salt marsh sediment temperatures, which impact physical, biological, and chemical ecosystem processes, will respond to climate change. In this study, we present multi‐depth sediment temperature and porewater level data from low‐, mid‐, and high‐marsh sites at a New England salt marsh for a 1‐year period and investigate how salt marsh sediment temperatures respond to atmospheric and oceanic forcing. We use spectral analyses to identify the frequencies at which sediment temperatures vary and link the temperature variations to specific forcing mechanisms. We find that all sites across the marsh responded to air temperature with roughly equal amplitude whereas the responses to radiative heating and ocean tides varied spatially. The high‐marsh site is more sensitive to radiative heating than the mid‐ and low‐marsh sites. The low‐marsh is affected by tidal processes and inundation whereas the high‐ and mid‐marsh sites are not. In addition, we find that the bulk thermal diffusivity of the saturated sediments decreases with distance from the tidal channel. These factors contribute to considerable temporal and spatial variability in sediment temperatures with elevation, distance from the tidal channel, and time of year (season) being most important. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Oceanic storms can strongly disturb the physical and biogeochemical conditions of transitional coastal waters. Impacts of extreme oceanic storms on coastal ecosystems have received limited attention worldwide, with no studies at higher latitudes (> 45°) where tropical cyclones have usually abated. This study investigates the combined impacts from marine and atmospheric forcing on a coastal lagoon in Prince Edward Island, Canada, during and after Extratropical Cyclone Fiona in September 2022. Physical (water levels and temperature) and biogeochemical (dissolved oxygen [DO], electrical conductivity, pH, nitrate–nitrogen concentrations, total suspended solids [TSS]) datasets from the lagoon and the watershed's tributaries, groundwater springs, and piezometers were used to assess ecosystem disturbance and recovery timelines following the storm. Fiona resulted in a 1.6 m storm surge into the lagoon that elevated water temperatures by up to 6°C, disturbed the density‐dependent stratification of salinity and temperature, and reduced the diel amplitude of DO, indicating a reduction in plant respiration due to ecosystem disturbance. The freshwater tributaries revealed sharp changes in flow (30‐fold increase), nitrate–nitrogen (NO3‐N) concentrations and loading (70‐fold increase), and TSS loading (40‐fold increase) to the lagoon during and immediately following the storm. The lagoon rapidly recovered (hours) from the hydraulic disturbance of the storm surge, but elevated nutrient levels persisted for months. The intensity and frequency of extratropical cyclones is projected to increase in the Northwest Atlantic, making field‐based studies of cyclone impacts on coastal waters critical for understanding future coastal ecosystem disturbance and recovery periods relative to the timing of future storms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]