1. Asthmaprädiktoren - Prognose der obstruktiven Bronchitis im frühen Kindesalter
- Author
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Ballke Eh, S. K. W. Wiersbitzky, O. Kannt, C. E. Müller, S. M. Schmidt, and R. Bruns
- Subjects
Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Eosinophil cationic protein ,Chronic bronchitis ,business.industry ,medicine.disease ,Bronchopulmonary dysplasia ,Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health ,medicine ,Eosinophilia ,Bronchitis ,medicine.symptom ,Prospective cohort study ,business ,Pathological ,Asthma - Abstract
The aim of the study was to check and analyse the long-term outcome of infants and toddlers suffering from frequently relapsing and/or chronic bronchitis (with airway obstruction) and to find prognostic factors. Methods: We observed and analysed the clinical outcome for 2-7 years in 115 children (31 infants/babies and 84 toddlers) suffering from "bronchitis obstructiva recidivans" and/or "bronchitis obstructiva chronica" in a prospective study. A multivariate analysis was made for the factors "atopic disease in other family members/FA", "RSV infection of the child", "sex of the patient", "associated atopic diseases of the child/patient", the "total IgE serum concentration (IgE) of the child/patient", "chronic bronchopulmonary dysplasia of former pretem infants/bpD", "pathological gastroesophageal reflux/GER", "significantly secretory eosinophilia/SSE" in nasal or bronchial secretion smears (> 13% eosinophils), the "concentration of the eosinophilic cationic protein (ECP concentration)" of serum and tracheobronchial secretions (TBA). Results: 2/3 of all children became healthy at the end of the study but 1/3 of the infants/toddlers developed a typical bronchial asthma. The "FA", "associated atopic diseases of the child/patient", the "SSE" and "elevated total serum IgE level of the child/patient" could be identified as positive predicting factors for the development of bronchial asthma and had a sensitivity of 50-90% and a specifity of 76-91%. The prognostic values of these 4 factors were increasing from 44-57% (only a single factor was existing) up to 64-91% (in two factors) and finally to 89-100% in 3 and/or 4 factors. Conclusions: In contrast to the literature we found, that the early RSV infection, GER, bpD and ECP concentration of serum and TBA had no statistical link to the development of bronchial asthma in childhood. In young children suffering from frequently relapsing bronchitis or chronic bronchitis the following signs have a predictive/prognostic value: Atopic diseases in other family members (FA), other atopic diseases of the child, SSE and elevated serum IgE concentration of the child/patient. These factors indicate that the child's early "bronchitis" has a poor long-term prognosis and will become a bronchial asthma.
- Published
- 2002
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