1,909 results on '"Atmospheric dynamics"'
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2. Examining the evolution of extreme precipitation event using reanalysis and the observed datasets along the Western Ghats.
- Author
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Khadke, Leena, Budakoti, Sachin, Verma, Akash, Bhowmik, Moumita, and Hazra, Anupam
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EXTREME weather , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *HUMIDITY , *OCEAN temperature - Abstract
In recent decades, India has witnessed an increase in the intensity, frequency, and spread of extreme weather events. The widespread increase in extreme precipitation over the Western Coast of India is a matter of great concern. The factors contributing to such devastating extreme precipitation remain unclear due to the variability present in meteorological and oceanic variables and associated large‐scale circulations. Using reanalysis and observed datasets, we attempted to identify a combination of dynamic, thermodynamic, and cloud microphysics processes contributing to the anomalous precipitation from August 1 to 10, 2019 against its climatology. Our key findings highlight the crucial role of warm sea surface temperatures (anomaly >1.4°C), outgoing longwave radiation (anomaly <−50 W·m−2), and atmospheric temperature (anomaly over the ocean is >1.6°C) in enhancing the moisture‐holding capacity of the atmosphere by almost 10%. This elevated moisture, propelled by intensified low‐level winds (anomalies exceeding 4 m·s−1), leads to a shift from ocean to land. Notably, we observe that vertical updrafts (anomalies >−0.4 m·s−1) contribute to increased atmospheric instability and moisture convergence. The presence of an ample amount of cloud hydrometeors, with anomalies surpassing 2.5 × 10−4 kg·kg−1, establishes conditions conducive to sustained intense precipitation. Our findings deepen our understanding of the complex relationships between ocean and atmospheric dynamics, and wind patterns, and emphasize their pivotal influence on regional weather patterns and land surface hydrology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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3. Dynamic patterns of particulate matter concentration and size distribution in urban street canyons: insights into diurnal and short-term seasonal variations.
- Author
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Wang, Xiaoshuang, Chen, Xiaoping, Zhou, Zhixiang, Teng, Mingjun, Xiang, Yang, Peng, Chucai, Huang, Chunbo, and Peng, Changhui
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ATMOSPHERIC circulation ,AIR pollutants ,PARTICULATE matter ,AIR pollution ,URBAN health - Abstract
Time-varying characteristics of particulate matter (PM) pollution play a crucial role in shaping atmospheric dynamics, which impact the health and welfare of urban commuters. Previously published studies on the diurnal patterns of PMs are not consistent, especially in the context of field experiments in central China, and most field studies have only focused on particles with a single particle size. This study conducted regional-scale studies across 72 street canyon sets in Wuhan, China, investigated diurnal and seasonal PM concentration variations while also evaluating various PM size and the key driving factors. During summer (July, August, and September), evergreen tree-lined street canyons maintained a stable linear trend for smaller d
p particulates (i.e., PM1 , PM2.5 , and PM4 ), while deciduous street canyons exhibited a bimodal distribution. In winter (January and February), fine particulates (i.e., PM1 and PM2.5 ) remained a linear trend in evergreen street canyons, while deciduous street canyons show a slightly wavy fluctuating pattern. Meanwhile, it exhibited quadrimodal-peak and triple-trough patterns in both PM7 , PM10 , and TSP concentrations. The lowest PM concentrations were observed between 14:00 and 16:00 for all particle sizes, with decreased summer pollution (7.81% lower in PM2.5 , 53.47% lower in PM10 , and 50.3% lower in TSP) noted in our seasonal analysis. Among the various meteorological factors, relative humidity (RH) was identified as the dominant influencing PM factor in both summer and winter. Results from this study will help us better understand field-based air pollutant dispersion processes within pedestrian spaces while laying the groundwork for future research into street PM experiments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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4. The Adiabatic Evolution of 3D Annular Vortices with a Double-Eyewall Structure.
- Author
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Williams Jr., Gabriel J.
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TROPICAL cyclones ,ATMOSPHERIC circulation ,ANGULAR momentum (Mechanics) ,ENERGY dissipation ,ENERGY conversion - Abstract
Tropical cyclones (TCs) can be characterized as a 3D annular structure of elevated potential vorticity (PV). However, strong mature TCs often develop a secondary eyewall, leading to a 3D annular vortex with a double-eyewall structure. Using 2D linear stability analysis, it is shown that three types of barotropic instability (BI) are present for annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure: Type-1 BI across the secondary eyewall, Type-2 BI across the moat of the vortex, and Type-3 BI across the primary eyewall. The overall stability of these vortices (and the type of BI that develops) depends principally upon five vortex parameters: the thickness of the primary eyewall, the thickness of the secondary eyewall, the moat width, the vorticity ratio between the eye and the primary eyewall, and the vorticity ratio between the primary and secondary eyewall. The adiabatic evolution of 3D annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure is examined using a primitive equation model in normalized isobaric coordinates. It is shown that Type-2 BI is the most common type of BI for 3D annular vortices whose vortex parameters mimic TCs with a double-eyewall structure. During the onset of Type-2 BI, eddy kinetic energy budget analysis indicates that barotropic energy conversion from the mean azimuthal flow is the dominant energy source of the eddies, which produces a radial velocity field with a quadrupole structure. Absolute angular momentum budget analysis indicates that Type-2 BI generates azimuthally averaged radial outflow across the moat, and the eddies transport absolute angular momentum radially outward towards the secondary eyewall. The combination of these processes leads to the dissipation of the primary eyewall and the maintenance of the secondary eyewall for the vortex. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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5. The Adiabatic Evolution of 3D Annular Vortices with a Double-Eyewall Structure
- Author
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Gabriel J. Williams
- Subjects
geophysical vortices ,atmospheric dynamics ,vortex Rossby waves ,tropical cyclone dynamics ,Thermodynamics ,QC310.15-319 ,Biochemistry ,QD415-436 - Abstract
Tropical cyclones (TCs) can be characterized as a 3D annular structure of elevated potential vorticity (PV). However, strong mature TCs often develop a secondary eyewall, leading to a 3D annular vortex with a double-eyewall structure. Using 2D linear stability analysis, it is shown that three types of barotropic instability (BI) are present for annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure: Type-1 BI across the secondary eyewall, Type-2 BI across the moat of the vortex, and Type-3 BI across the primary eyewall. The overall stability of these vortices (and the type of BI that develops) depends principally upon five vortex parameters: the thickness of the primary eyewall, the thickness of the secondary eyewall, the moat width, the vorticity ratio between the eye and the primary eyewall, and the vorticity ratio between the primary and secondary eyewall. The adiabatic evolution of 3D annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure is examined using a primitive equation model in normalized isobaric coordinates. It is shown that Type-2 BI is the most common type of BI for 3D annular vortices whose vortex parameters mimic TCs with a double-eyewall structure. During the onset of Type-2 BI, eddy kinetic energy budget analysis indicates that barotropic energy conversion from the mean azimuthal flow is the dominant energy source of the eddies, which produces a radial velocity field with a quadrupole structure. Absolute angular momentum budget analysis indicates that Type-2 BI generates azimuthally averaged radial outflow across the moat, and the eddies transport absolute angular momentum radially outward towards the secondary eyewall. The combination of these processes leads to the dissipation of the primary eyewall and the maintenance of the secondary eyewall for the vortex.
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- 2024
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6. A look-back to the 50-year exploration of Jupiter's atmosphere
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Xinyi Song, Jun Yang, and Yong Wei
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jupiter exploration ,atmospheric composition ,atmospheric dynamics ,zonal jet stream ,the great red spot ,polar vortex ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 ,Astrophysics ,QB460-466 - Abstract
Jupiter is the biggest and fastest-rotating planet in our solar system. As a gas giant without land–sea distribution or topography, Jupiter is an ideal natural laboratory for studying atmospheric dynamics. Jupiter's atmospheric composition, atmospheric circulation, and internal structure are all topics of scientific significance. On December 4, 1973, Pioneer 10 achieved its closest approach to Jupiter, marking the first successful exploration mission to the Jovian system. Since then, Jupiter exploration has gathered more than 50 years of experience with 10 missions, including 7 flyby missions, 2 orbiting missions, Galileo and Juno, and the still en route mission Jupiter Icy moons Explorer (JUICE). This review takes a brief look-back to these 10 Jupiter missions and their science results, especially the progress on Jupiter's atmospheric composition, waves and zonal jet streams, the Great Red Spot, and polar vortices, as well as the unsolved scientific problems. China plans to launch Tianwen-4 by 2030, targeting the Jovian system. To shed some light on the scientific payloads and target design of Tianwen-4, reviewing the past Jupiter missions has certain significance.
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- 2025
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7. 岁星四纪——回望木星大气探测 50 年.
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宋心仪, 杨军, and 魏勇
- Abstract
Copyright of Reviews of Geophysics & Planetary Physics is the property of Editorial Office of Reviews of Geophysics & Planetary Physics and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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- 2025
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8. Greenland summer blocking characteristics: an evaluation of a high-resolution multi-model ensemble.
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Luu, Linh N., Hanna, Edward, de Alwis Pitts, Dilkushi, Maddison, Jacob, Screen, James A., Catto, Jennifer L., and Fettweis, Xavier
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Atmospheric blocking is a phenomenon that can lead to extreme weather events over a large region, yet its causes are not fully understood. Global climate models show limitations in representing Northern Hemisphere blocking, especially its frequency, and decadal variability in Greenland blocking in summer in the recent decades. In this study we evaluate the ability of high-resolution (HighResMIP) Earth System Models (ESMs) to simulate summer blocking over the Greenland area, using different but complementary methods to describe the characteristics of blocking. We find that the HighResMIP ensemble can reproduce the spatial pattern of Greenland blocking events, albeit with systematic biases, and capture the relative frequencies of the main blocking patterns: namely the wave breaking structure, North Atlantic ridge, and omega-type blocking. However, the HighResMIP ensemble fails to simulate the observed temporal variations of Greenland blocking index (GB2) and the extremely high values of daily GB2 observed in recent decades. In addition, we do not find clearly superior representation of blocking features from higher-resolution in HighResMIP models compared with lower-resolution models. We also find large sea surface temperature (SST) biases over the North Atlantic and seas surrounding Greenland, and biases in moisture transport over the North Atlantic toward Greenland, especially over the western flank of blocking areas, which might together contribute to model biases in the representation of blocking magnitude. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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9. Novel Atmospheric Dynamics Shape the Inner Edge of the Habitable Zone around White Dwarfs.
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Zhan, Ruizhi, Koll, Daniel D. B., and Ding, Feng
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HABITABLE zone (Outer space) , *HABITABLE planets , *CLIMATE change models , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *EXTRASOLAR planets , *WHITE dwarf stars , *STELLAR oscillations - Abstract
White dwarfs offer a unique opportunity to search nearby stellar systems for signs of life, but the habitable zone around these stars is still poorly understood. Since white dwarfs are compact stars with low luminosity, any planets in their habitable zone should be tidally locked, like planets around M dwarfs. Unlike planets around M dwarfs, however, habitable white dwarf planets have to rotate very rapidly, with orbital periods ranging from hours to several days. Here we use the ExoCAM global climate model to investigate the inner edge of the habitable zone around white dwarfs. Our simulations show habitable planets with ultrashort orbital periods (P ≲ 1 day) enter a "bat rotation" regime, which differs from typical atmospheric circulation regimes around M dwarfs. Bat rotators feature mean equatorial subrotation and a displacement of the surface's hottest regions from the equator toward the midlatitudes. We qualitatively explain the onset of bat rotation using shallow water theory. The resulting circulation shifts increase the dayside cloud cover and decrease the stratospheric water vapor, expanding the white dwarf habitable zone by ∼50% compared to estimates based on 1D models. The James Webb Space Telescope should be able to quickly characterize bat rotators around nearby white dwarfs thanks to their distinct thermal phase curves. Our work underlines that tidally locked planets on ultrashort orbits may exhibit unique atmospheric dynamics, and guides future habitability studies of white dwarf systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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10. Dynamics of Extreme Surface Winds Inside North Atlantic Midlatitude Cyclones.
- Author
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Son, Jun‐Hyeok, Franzke, Christian L. E., and Son, Seok‐Woo
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FRONTS (Meteorology) , *CYCLONES , *SURFACE dynamics , *SEVERE storms , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *VERTICAL drafts (Meteorology) , *WIND speed - Abstract
North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones are among the most severe weather systems, causing enormous economic damages and threatening human lives. The cyclone is typically characterized by cyclonic convergent surface winds, strong updrafts, and precipitation. However, extreme surface winds are often observed within the cyclone where downdrafts develop. The present study investigates the dynamical and thermodynamical characteristics of the horizontal winds impinging on the cold frontal surface and the associated downdrafts. It is shown that the cyclonic winds into the cold frontal surface are mainly responsible for the downdrafts that transport the high‐altitude horizontal momentum to the surface and cause intense surface winds. About half of the North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones are accompanied by the downdrafts especially in the southern and western parts of the cyclone center. Plain Language Summary: In the midlatitudes, air temperature decreases toward the poles, and cyclone systems typically travel eastward along regions characterized by strong meridional temperature gradients. Over the cyclone‐influencing area, the cyclonic, counterclockwise rotating, wind induces southward cold advection on the western side of the cyclone center. Therefore, during the early phase of the North Atlantic midlatitude cyclone, the generation of the cold front, which has a steep gradient of temperature to the west of the cyclone center, and that is a common feature. Even after the formation of the cold front, the horizontal winds keep impinging on the frontal surface. Then the horizontal winds blocked by the frontal surface and downdrafts are induced. The downdrafts transport the upper‐level intense wind speed to the lower level strengthening the surface winds. Key Points: Surface winds within North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones are strengthened by strong downdrafts and downward momentum transportsDowndrafts can be generated by the horizontal winds impinging on the cold frontal surfaceCyclones tend to accompany the downdrafts more to the south and west of the cyclone center [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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11. The Impact of the Explicit Representation of Convection on the Climate of a Tidally Locked Planet in Global Stretched-mesh Simulations.
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Sergeev, Denis E., Boutle, Ian A., Lambert, F. Hugo, Mayne, Nathan J., Bendall, Thomas, Kohary, Krisztian, Olivier, Enrico, and Shipway, Ben
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- *
ATMOSPHERIC models , *GREENHOUSE effect , *WATER vapor , *HABITABLE planets , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation - Abstract
Convective processes are crucial in shaping exoplanetary atmospheres but are computationally expensive to simulate directly. A novel technique of simulating moist convection on tidally locked exoplanets is to use a global 3D model with a stretched mesh. This allows us to locally refine the model resolution to 4.7 km and resolve fine-scale convective processes without relying on parameterizations. We explore the impact of mesh stretching on the climate of a slowly rotating TRAPPIST-1e-like planet, assuming it is 1:1 tidally locked. In the stretched-mesh simulation with explicit convection, the climate is 5 K colder and 25% drier than that in the simulations with parameterized convection(with both stretched and quasi-uniform meshes). This is due to the increased cloud reflectivity—because of an increase in low-level cloudiness—and exacerbated by the diminished greenhouse effect due to less water vapor. At the same time, our stretched-mesh simulations reproduce the key characteristics of the global climate of tidally locked rocky exoplanets, without any noticeable numerical artifacts. Our methodology opens an exciting and computationally feasible avenue for improving our understanding of 3D mixing in exoplanetary atmospheres. Our study also demonstrates the feasibility of a global stretched-mesh configuration for LFRic-Atmosphere, the next-generation Met Office climate and weather model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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12. Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 2. Mechanisms and Sources of the Spread.
- Author
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Karpechko, Alexey Yu., Wu, Zheng, Simpson, Isla R., Kretschmer, Marlene, Afargan‐Gerstman, Hilla, Butler, Amy H., Domeisen, Daniela I.V., Garny, Hella, Lawrence, Zachary, Manzini, Elisa, and Sigmond, Michael
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POLAR vortex ,CLIMATE change models ,GREENHOUSE gases ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,ROSSBY waves ,STANDING waves - Abstract
We analyze the sources for spread in the response of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) to global warming in Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and Phase 6 (CMIP6) model projections. About half of the intermodel spread in SPV projections by CMIP6 models, but less than a third in CMIP5 models, can be attributed to the intermodel spread in stationary planetary wave driving. In CMIP6, SPV weakening is mostly driven by increased upward wave flux from the troposphere, while SPV strengthening is associated with increased equatorward wave propagation away from the polar stratosphere. We test hypothesized factors contributing to changes in the upward and equatorward planetary wave fluxes and show that an across‐model regression using projected global warming rates, strengthening of the subtropical jet and basic state lower stratospheric wind biases as predictors can explain nearly the same fraction in the CMIP6 SPV spread as the planetary wave driving (r = 0.67). The dependence of the SPV spread on the model biases in the basic state winds offers a possible emergent constraint; however, a large uncertainty prevents a substantial reduction of the projected SPV spread. The lack of this dependence in CMIP5 further calls for better understanding of underlying causes. Our results improve understanding of projected SPV uncertainty; however, further narrowing of the uncertainty remains challenging. Plain Language Summary: Previous studies showed that changes in the strength of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime stratospheric polar vortex can affect near‐surface weather on various timescales. However, climate models do not agree on whether the polar vortex will weaken or strengthen during the 21st century. Here, we use Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and Phase 6 (CMIP6) experiments to better understand how the polar vortex will respond to future greenhouse gas emissions. We show that changes in the propagation of large‐scale atmospheric waves can explain nearly half of the spread in the vortex strength projections by the end of the 21st century by CMIP6 models. Increased upward propagation of the waves to the stratosphere leads to vortex weakening while increased equatorward propagation within the stratosphere leads to strengthening. We identify three factors associated with projected changes in the vortex strength across CMIP6 models: projected rates of global warming, projected rates of subtropical jet stream strengthening and model errors in lower stratospheric winds in the past climate. Stronger global warming rates and stronger past lower stratospheric winds are associated with vortex strengthening, while larger strengthening of the subtropical jet stream is associated with weakening. However, these relationships are weak in CMIP5 models. Key Points: About half of the projected stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) uncertainty in Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) can be attributed to stationary planetary wave drivingProjected polar vortex weakening and strengthening are linked to increased upward and equatorward wave propagation respectivelyA relationship is found between past lower stratospheric wind biases and SPV projections across CMIP6 models [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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13. Three‐Dimensional Venus Cloud Structure Simulated by a General Circulation Model.
- Author
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Shao, Wencheng D., Mendonça, João M., and Dai, Longkang
- Subjects
GENERAL circulation model ,VENUSIAN atmosphere ,CLOUD physics ,CLOUD dynamics ,ATMOSPHERIC circulation - Abstract
The clouds have a great impact on Venus's energy budget and climate evolution, but its three‐dimensional structure is still not well understood. Here we incorporate a simple Venus cloud physics scheme into a flexible GCM to investigate the three‐dimensional cloud spatial variability. Our simulations show good agreement with observations in terms of the vertical profiles of clouds and H2SO4 vapor. H2O vapor is overestimated above the clouds due to efficient transport in the cloud region. The cloud top decreases as latitude increases, qualitatively consistent with Venus Express observations. The underlying mechanism is the combination of H2SO4 chemical production and meridional circulation. The mixing ratios of H2SO4 at 50–60 km and H2O vapors in the main cloud deck basically exhibit maxima around the equator, due to the effect of temperature's control on the saturation vapor mixing ratios of the two species. The cloud mass distribution is subject to both H2SO4 chemical production and dynamical transport and shows a pattern that peaks around the equator in the upper cloud while peaks at mid‐high latitudes in the middle cloud. At low latitudes, H2SO4 and H2O vapors, cloud mass loading and acidity show semidiurnal variations at different altitude ranges, which can be validated against future missions. Our model emphasizes the complexity of the Venus climate system and the great need for more observations and simulations to unravel its spatial variability and underlying atmospheric and/or geological processes. Plain Language Summary: On Venus, highly reflective clouds cover the surface entirely. This means that the clouds greatly impact Venus's current and, very likely, past energy budget. Therefore, understanding the Venus clouds is essential to constructing a full paradigm of the Venus climate and evolution. However, due to the lack of both three‐dimensional, long‐term observations and comprehensive climate models, the cloud spatial structure and its impact on atmospheric processes remain elusive. Here, we construct a three‐dimensional climate model that includes cloud physics and simple chemistry as the first step toward fully understanding the Venus clouds. Our simulated vertical profiles of the Venus clouds agree well with observations. We find that the condensable gases, sulfuric acid and water vapors in the cloud region become more abundant in the lower latitudes due to the temperature difference over different latitudes. The cloud top becomes lower as it approaches the polar region, and the underpinning processes are related to sulfuric acid chemical production and meridional circulation. The equatorial cloud structure shows semidiurnal features, which are related to the excited thermal tides in the Venus atmosphere. Our study is preparing for future Venus missions like EnVision, to maximize their science returns. Key Points: We construct a Venus climate model with cloud physics, and the cloud vertical structure agrees with observationsH2SO4 and H2O vapors in the middle cloud basically follow their SVMRs and show higher concentrations at low latitudesThe semidiurnal thermal tide affects H2SO4 and H2O vapors, cloud mass loading and acidity at different altitudes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Planetary‐Scale Wave Activity in Venus Cloud Layer Simulated by the Venus PCM.
- Author
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Lai, Dexin, Lebonnois, Sebastien, and Li, Tao
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GENERAL circulation model ,VENUSIAN atmosphere ,ANGULAR momentum (Mechanics) ,ATMOSPHERIC tides ,ATMOSPHERIC waves ,ROSSBY waves - Abstract
The Venus atmosphere Superrotation (SR) is successfully simulated with the high‐resolution (1.25° × 1.25° in longitude and latitude) runs of the Venus Planetary Climate Model (PCM). The results show a clear spectrum and structure of atmospheric waves, primarily with periods of 5.65 and 8.5 days. The simulation reproduces long‐term quasi‐periodic oscillation of the zonal wind and primary planetary‐scale wave seen in observations. These oscillations occur with a period of 163–222 days, although their existence is still debated in observations. The Rossby waves show similarity in wave characteristics and angular momentum (AM) transport due to Rossby‐Kelvin instability by comparing the 5.65‐day wave in Venus PCM with the 5.8‐day wave simulated by AFES‐Venus, another Venus General Circulation Model. Similarities are also evident between the 8.5‐day wave in Venus PCM and the 7‐day wave obtained in AFES‐Venus. The long‐term variations in the AM budget indicate that the 5.65‐day wave is the dominant factor of the oscillation on the SR, and the 8.5‐day wave plays a secondary role. When the 5.65‐day wave grows, its AM and heat transport are enhanced and accelerate (decelerate) the lower‐cloud equatorial jet (cloud‐top mid‐latitude jets). Meanwhile, the 8.5‐day wave weakens, reducing its deceleration effect on the lower‐cloud equator. This further suppresses the meridional gradient of the background wind and weakens instability, leading to the decay of the 5.65‐day wave. And vice versa when the 5.65‐day wave decays. Plain Language Summary: On Venus, large‐scale waves in the atmosphere play a crucial role in maintaining its fast westward‐moving atmosphere, known as superrotation (SR). Previous observations suggest that there might be long‐term variations in the SR. We simulated the Venusian SR using a high‐resolution atmospheric computer model to understand the mechanism behind this phenomenon. The simulation reproduced the variations in SR and the main large‐scale waves observed in reality. Among these waves, the one with a 5.65‐day period is the strongest wave in the upper clouds of Venus, in addition to the atmospheric thermal tides. In the simulations, the SR always varies with the changes in the 5.65‐day wave. This result indicates that the 5.65‐day wave significantly influences SR, possibly explaining the long‐term variations observed in SR. Key Points: Rossby‐Kelvin instability wave mode and their angular momentum (AM) transport to super‐rotation are robust in at least 2 Venus General Circulation ModelsLong‐term quasi‐periodic (163–222 days) variations in the superrotation and dominant wave simulated by Venus Planetary Climate Model are close to observationsDynamically conserved AM from circulation, 5.65‐day, and 8.5‐day waves drives quasi‐periodic variations of the local jets [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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15. Large Uncertainties When Diagnosing the "Eddy Feedback Parameter" and Its Role in the Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox.
- Author
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Saffin, Leo, McKenna, Christine M., Bonnet, Rémy, and Maycock, Amanda C.
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NORTH Atlantic oscillation , *PARADOX , *EDDIES , *SAMPLING errors - Abstract
A too‐weak eddy feedback in models has been proposed to explain the signal‐to‐noise paradox in seasonal‐to‐decadal forecasts of the winter Northern Hemisphere. We show that the "eddy feedback parameter" (EFP) used in previous studies is sensitive to sampling and multidecadal variability. When these uncertainties are accounted for, the EFP diagnosed from CMIP6 historical simulations generally falls within the reanalysis uncertainty. We find the EFP is not independent of the sampled North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Within the same dataset, a sample containing larger NAO variability will show a larger EFP, suggesting that the link between eddy feedbacks and the signal‐to‐noise paradox could be due to sampling effects with the EFP. An alternative measure of eddy feedback, the barotropic energy generation rate, is less sensitive to sampling errors and delineates CMIP6 models that have weak, strong, or unbiased eddy feedbacks, but shows little relation to NAO variability. Plain Language Summary: Model forecasts on seasonal‐to‐decadal timescales have recently been shown to have significant skill in predicting the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO, a large‐scale pattern of variability). However, these forecasts are undermined by signal‐to‐noise ratios that are lower than expected given the skill, meaning the models are underconfident. This problem is known as the "signal‐to‐noise paradox". Previous work has shown that models underestimate the strength of feedback from atmospheric eddies onto the midlatitude circulation, but models with a stronger eddy feedback suffer less from the signal‐to‐noise paradox. However, we find that the "eddy feedback parameter" (EFP) used in these studies exhibits large sampling uncertainty that has not previously been taken into account. When accounting for this sampling uncertainty, the EFP in models is generally consistent with reanalysis data. Furthermore, across samples, the EFP correlates with the variability of the NAO, meaning they are not independent, which makes the EFP problematic for understanding the causes of the signal‐to‐noise paradox. Samples with larger NAO variability are diagnosed with a larger EFP, even within the same dataset. An alternative measure of eddy feedback is less sensitive to sampling and better identifies models which have weak, strong, or unbiased eddy feedbacks. Key Points: The "eddy feedback parameter" is a highly non‐stationary quantity, making reanalysis and model comparisons problematic on short time periodsSampling uncertainty in the eddy feedback parameter from reanalysis data is comparable to the intermodel spreadBarotropic energy generation rate is a more stable quantity, but does not explain model spread in North Atlantic climate variability [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Surface wind flow modelling on Mars
- Author
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Love, Richard, Jackson, Derek, Cooper, Andrew, Michaels, Timothy, Avouac, Jean-Philippe, and Smyth, Thomas
- Subjects
Atmospheric dynamics ,Mars ,Sediment flux ,Aeolian ,Mars climate - Abstract
Aeolian landforms such as sand dunes are ubiquitous across the surface of Mars, and aeolian transport is the main driving force for sediment transport. Numerical modelling at global and regional scales has provided insights into large scale atmospheric processes forcing geomorphological surface changes. High resolution Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modelling to examine the microscale aeolian process at a sub dune length scale, however, is much rarer. CFD modelling is crucial in assessing dune evolution patterns as it allows for the investigation of microscale atmospheric-surface interactions that lead to geomorphological change. This thesis aims to extend our knowledge of the microscale forcing processes that contribute to dune evolution on the surface of Mars. In situ meteorological data has been collected from instrumentation onboard multiple Mars rovers and landers. There are limitations to this data however, in particular the low spatial coverage which leaves many sites without in situ data to examine the aeolian processes occurring over dunes. This study developed a combined modelling approach to examine microscale aeolian processes at sites on Mars which lack in situ data. This study used the output of a Global Circulation Model (GCM) and a mesoscale model at several sites to inform CFD modelling simulations throughout the Mars Year. This study concludes that a combined modelling approach at sites which lack in situ data, provides new insights into dune controls on Mars. The CFD modelling successfully reproduced the findings of previous studies which observed seasonal variation in sediment transport, validated using orbital imagery of the site. This study also provides new insights into the effect of upwind topography on controlling local wind flow patterns which contribute to local dune morphology. This research provides an opportunity to reliably investigate microscale aeolian processes at sites of interest on Mars which require better, spatially intensive wind data.
- Published
- 2023
17. Extreme stratospheric wave activity as harbingers of cold events over North America.
- Author
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Ding, Xiuyuan, Chen, Gang, Zhang, Pengfei, Domeisen, Daniela, and Orbe, Clara
- Subjects
Atmospheric dynamics ,Natural hazards - Abstract
Extreme cold events over North America such as the February 2021 cold wave have been suggested to be linked to stratospheric polar vortex stretching. However, it is not resolved how robustly and on which timescales the stratosphere contributes to the surface anomalies. Here we introduce a simple measure of stratospheric wave activity for reanalyses and model outputs. In contrast to the well-known surface influences of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) that increase the intraseasonal persistence of weather regimes, we show that extreme stratospheric wave events are accompanied by intraseasonal fluctuations between warm and cold spells over North America in observations and climate models. Particularly, strong stratospheric wave events are followed by an increased risk of cold extremes over North America 5-25 days later. Idealized simulations in an atmospheric model with a well-resolved stratosphere corroborate that strong stratospheric wave activity precedes North American cold spells through vertical wave coupling. These findings potentially benefit the predictability of high-impact winter cold extremes over North America.
- Published
- 2023
18. Examining Atmospheric River Life Cycles in East Antarctica.
- Author
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Wille, Jonathan D., Pohl, Benjamin, Favier, Vincent, Winters, Andrew C., Baiman, Rebecca, Cavallo, Steven M., Leroy‐Dos Santos, Christophe, Clem, Kyle, Udy, Danielle G., Vance, Tessa R., Gorodetskaya, Irina, Codron, Francis, and Berchet, Antoine
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC rivers ,EXTREME weather ,WEATHER ,ICE sheets ,THUNDERSTORMS ,CYCLOGENESIS - Abstract
During atmospheric river (AR) landfalls on the Antarctic ice sheet, the high waviness of the circumpolar polar jet stream allows for subtropical air masses to be advected toward the Antarctic coastline. These rare but high‐impact AR events are highly consequential for the Antarctic mass balance; yet little is known about the various atmospheric dynamical components determining their life cycle. By using an AR detection algorithm to retrieve AR landfalls at Dumont d'Urville and non‐AR analogs based on 700 hPa geopotential height, we examined what makes AR landfalls unique and studied the complete life cycle of ARs reaching Dumont d'Urville. ARs form in the mid‐latitudes/subtropics in areas of high surface evaporation, likely in response to tropical deep convection anomalies. These convection anomalies likely lead to Rossby wave trains that help amplify the upper‐tropospheric flow pattern. As the AR approaches Antarctica, condensation of isentropically lifted moisture causes latent heat release that—in conjunction with poleward warm air advection—induces geopotential height rises and anticyclonic upper‐level potential vorticity tendencies downstream. As evidenced by a blocking index, these tendencies lead to enhanced ridging/blocking that persist beyond the AR landfall time, sustaining warm air advection onto the ice sheet. Finally, we demonstrate a connection between tropopause polar vortices and mid‐latitude cyclogenesis in an AR case study. Overall, the non‐AR analogs reveal that the amplified jet pattern observed during AR landfalls is a result of enhanced poleward moisture transport and associated diabatic heating which is likely impossible to replicate without strong moisture transport. Plain Language Summary: When the polar jet stream that surrounds Antarctica is highly wavy, air masses from the subtropics that are warm and humid are often transported over the ice sheet in the form of atmospheric rivers (ARs). When ARs reach Antarctica, they often bring extreme weather conditions that have large consequences for ice sheet snowfall and surface melt. Here we studied the full life cycle of ARs that reached Dumont d'Urville in East Antarctica and compared these ARs against events with similar profiles of atmospheric circulation. ARs typically form in areas of unusually high surface evaporation and thunderstorm convection in the subtropics. This convection sends Rossby waves toward the Antarctic coastline which help make the polar jet wavier. The amplitude of the polar jet is further enhanced when the moisture that accompanies the ARs condenses over the cooler seas around Antarctica and creates large latent heating. The higher amplitude of the polar jet often results in atmospheric blocks that transport further warm, moist air over the ice sheet even after the AR has made landfall and dissipated. Therefore, extreme weather events over Antarctica like ARs are sensitive to climate changes far from the continent over the subtropical regions. Key Points: Atmospheric rivers have lower‐latitude moisture sources than extratropical cyclones and are likely influenced by tropopause polar vorticesLarge latent heat release from atmospheric river related moisture transport leads to downstream anticyclonic potential vorticity tendenciesThe resultant diabatic heating helps maintain atmospheric blocking after an atmospheric river has dissipated [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Wind Speed Variations at the Venus Cloud Top above Aphrodite Terra According to Long-term UV Observations by VMC/VENUS Express and UVI/AKATSUKI.
- Author
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Patsaeva, M. V., Khatuntsev, I. V., Titov, D. V., Ignatiev, N. I., Zasova, L. V., Gorinov, D. A., and Turin, A. V.
- Subjects
- *
WIND speed , *VENUS (Planet) , *ZONAL winds , *MERIDIONAL winds , *ADVECTION - Abstract
Series of consecutive UV (365 nm) images of Venus cloud coverage provide a way to investigate dynamics of the mesosphere. An unprecedented series of such images was obtained by the VMC/Venus Express (ESA) and UVI/Akatsuki (JAXA) cameras from 2006 to 2022. At 10°S long-term variations in the mean zonal and meridional wind speed are observed with a period of 12.5 ± 0.5 years. Analysis of the of the mean zonal wind behavior around noon (12 ± 1 h) at phase angles of 60°–90° in limited observation time intervals shows that near the minimum of the long-term dependence the deceleration of the horizontal flow is observed above the highest part of Aphrodite Terra, Ovda Regio, for both VMC and UVI. Conversely, acceleration is observed above the Ovda Regio near the maximum of the long-term dependence. The considered longitudinal variations of the zonal wind speed extend from the equator to middle latitudes (0°–40°). The meridional wind speed shows longitudinal variations associated with the topography of the underlying surface, regardless of whether the horizontal flow is slowing down or accelerating above the highlands of Aphrodite Terra. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Contributions of Jupiter's Deep‐Reaching Surface Winds to Magnetic Field Structure and Secular Variation.
- Author
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Wicht, J. and Christensen, U. R.
- Subjects
MAGNETIC structure ,MAGNETIC fields ,JUPITER (Planet) ,MAGNETIC declination ,ELECTRIC conductivity - Abstract
NASA's Juno mission delivered gravity data of exceptional quality. They indicate that the zonal winds, which rule the dynamics of Jupiter's cloud deck, must slow down significantly beyond a depth of about 3,000 km. Since the underlying inversion is highly non‐unique additional constraints on the flow properties at depth are required. These could potentially be provided by the magnetic field and its Secular Variation (SV) over time. However, the role of these zonal winds in Jupiter's magnetic field dynamics is little understood. Here we use numerical simulations to explore the impact of the zonal winds on the dynamo field produced at depth. We find that the main effect is an attenuation of the non‐axisymmetric field, which can be quantified by a modified magnetic Reynolds number Rm that combines flow amplitude and electrical conductivity profile. Values below Rm = 3 are required to retain a pronounced non‐axisymmetric feature like the Great Blue Spot (GBS), which seems characteristic for Jupiter's magnetic field. This allows for winds reaching as deep as 3,400 km. A SV pattern similar to the observation can only be found in some of our models. Its amplitude reflects the degree of cancellation between advection and diffusion rather than the zonal wind velocity at any depth. It is therefore not straightforward to make inferences on the deep structure of cloud‐level winds based on Jupiter's SV. Plain Language Summary: The dynamics in Jupiter's cloud layer is dominated by eastward and westward directed wind jets that circumvent the planet and reach velocities of up to 150 m per second. For the first time, NASA's Juno mission could measure the tiny gravity changes caused by these winds. The data show that the winds reach down to a depth of about 3,000 km, roughly 4% of Jupiter's radius. However, the interpretation is difficult and several alternative wind profiles have been suggested. In this paper we use numerical simulations to explore how these winds would affect Jupiter's magnetic field, which has also been measured with high precision by Juno. The field shows a strong inward‐directed local patch just south of the equator, called the GBS. The impact of the winds on the magnetic field rapidly increases with depth because of the increase in the electrical conductivity. Our simulations show that winds reaching deeper than about 3,400 km would practically wipe out the GBS. This confirms that they have to remain shallower. Juno also observed an east‐ward drift of the GBS. While some of our simulations also show an east‐ward drift it is typically much too slow. Key Points: We study the magnetic field variations caused by Jupiter's deep‐reaching surface winds for various flow and electrical conductivity modelsZonal winds reaching deeper than 3,400 km would yield a very axisymmetric surface field and are thus unrealisticIt seems questionable that Jupiter's secular variation carries any useful information on the zonal winds [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Dynamics of Extreme Surface Winds Inside North Atlantic Midlatitude Cyclones
- Author
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Jun‐Hyeok Son, Christian L. E. Franzke, and Seok‐Woo Son
- Subjects
storms ,atmospheric dynamics ,windspeed ,extremes ,fronts ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 - Abstract
Abstract North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones are among the most severe weather systems, causing enormous economic damages and threatening human lives. The cyclone is typically characterized by cyclonic convergent surface winds, strong updrafts, and precipitation. However, extreme surface winds are often observed within the cyclone where downdrafts develop. The present study investigates the dynamical and thermodynamical characteristics of the horizontal winds impinging on the cold frontal surface and the associated downdrafts. It is shown that the cyclonic winds into the cold frontal surface are mainly responsible for the downdrafts that transport the high‐altitude horizontal momentum to the surface and cause intense surface winds. About half of the North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones are accompanied by the downdrafts especially in the southern and western parts of the cyclone center.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Editorial: Advances in mesosphere and thermosphere dynamics
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A. Guharay, S. Sarkhel, and I. Paulino
- Subjects
atmosphere ,atmospheric dynamics ,waves and tides ,mesosphere and lower thermosphere ,ionosphere ,Astronomy ,QB1-991 ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 - Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Large Uncertainties When Diagnosing the 'Eddy Feedback Parameter' and Its Role in the Signal‐To‐Noise Paradox
- Author
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Leo Saffin, Christine M. McKenna, Rémy Bonnet, and Amanda C. Maycock
- Subjects
eddy feedback ,signal‐to‐noise paradox ,North atlantic oscillation ,CMIP6 ,climate models ,atmospheric dynamics ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 - Abstract
Abstract A too‐weak eddy feedback in models has been proposed to explain the signal‐to‐noise paradox in seasonal‐to‐decadal forecasts of the winter Northern Hemisphere. We show that the “eddy feedback parameter” (EFP) used in previous studies is sensitive to sampling and multidecadal variability. When these uncertainties are accounted for, the EFP diagnosed from CMIP6 historical simulations generally falls within the reanalysis uncertainty. We find the EFP is not independent of the sampled North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Within the same dataset, a sample containing larger NAO variability will show a larger EFP, suggesting that the link between eddy feedbacks and the signal‐to‐noise paradox could be due to sampling effects with the EFP. An alternative measure of eddy feedback, the barotropic energy generation rate, is less sensitive to sampling errors and delineates CMIP6 models that have weak, strong, or unbiased eddy feedbacks, but shows little relation to NAO variability.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. The Atmospheric Dynamics Related to Extreme Rainfall and Flood Events during September-October-November in South Sulawesi
- Author
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Amhar Ulfiana, Muhammad Arsyad, and Pariabti Palloan
- Subjects
extreme rainfall ,flood ,atmospheric dynamics ,south sulawesi ,Geography (General) ,G1-922 - Abstract
This study was conducted to analyse the occurrence of extreme rainfall and the dynamics of the atmosphere prior to the occurrence of extreme rainfall and flood events in South Sulawesi during September-October-November (South Sulawesi’s dry season). The data used is daily data for the period 2001-2020. Using 50 mm/day and the 90th percentile rainfall threshold of 119 rain stations distributed over 24 regencies, extreme rainfall events in each region were identified. Furthermore, after screening for extreme rainfall events followed by flood events, a composite analysis was carried out to obtain patterns of atmospheric conditions before the extreme rainfall events. The results of the study confirm that spatially, the highest extreme rainfall indices values dominate in the western and northern regions of South Sulawesi, both frequency and intensity indicators. Flood events in South Sulawesi during September-October-November 2001-2020 were recorded as 23 days, of which 19 days were the flood events after extreme rainfall events. The dynamics of the atmosphere before the extreme rainfall event followed by the flood event showed anomalies in precipitable water, 850 mb winds, and 200 mb winds. An increase in the amount of precipitable water and a wind speed of 850 mb, as well as a decrease in wind speed of 250 mb compared to normal in the South Sulawesi region and its surroundings, has resulted in an increase in the formation of rain clouds that have the potential to increase the chance of extreme rainfall.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. The Unexpected Oceanic Peak in Energy Input to the Atmosphere and Its Consequences for Monsoon Rainfall
- Author
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Ramesh, Nandini and Boos, William R
- Subjects
monsoons ,atmospheric dynamics ,tropical climate ,cloud radiative effects ,land-sea contrast ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
Monsoons have historically been understood to be caused by the low thermal inertia of land, allowing more energy from summer insolation to be transferred to the overlying atmosphere than over adjacent ocean. Here, we show that during boreal summer, the global maximum net energy input (NEI) to the atmosphere unexpectedly lies over the Indian Ocean, not over land. Observed radiative fluxes suggest that cloud-radiative effects (CRE) almost double the NEI over ocean, shifting the NEI peak from land to ocean. Global climate model experiments with both land and interactive sea surface temperatures confirm that CRE create the oceanic NEI maximum. Interactions between CRE, NEI, circulation, and land-sea contrast in surface heat capacity shift precipitation from Southeast to South Asia. CRE thus alter the global partitioning of precipitation between land and ocean and the spatial structure of Earth's strongest monsoon, in ways that can be understood through the NEI.
- Published
- 2022
26. Dispersion Analysis of Ambient Coarse Particulate Matter
- Author
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Dhawan, Sachin, Kumar, Anand, Mehta, Dalip Singh, and Khare, Mukesh
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Investigating the typicality of the dynamics leading to extreme temperatures in the IPSL-CM6A-LR model.
- Author
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Noyelle, Robin, Yiou, Pascal, and Faranda, Davide
- Subjects
- *
LARGE deviation theory , *CLIMATE extremes , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *TEMPERATURE , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation - Abstract
Determining the underlying mechanisms leading to extreme events in dynamical systems is a challenging task. Under mild hypotheses, large deviations theory predicts that, as one increases the threshold defining an extreme, dynamical trajectories which reach the extreme look more and more like one another: they converge towards a typical, i.e. most probable, trajectory called the instanton. In this paper, we use a 2000-year simulation of the IPSL-CM6A-LR model under a stationary pre-industrial climate to test this prediction on the case of hot extremes. We investigate whether the physical mechanisms leading to extreme temperatures at four locations in Europe are more similar with increasing extreme temperatures. Our results show that most physical variables exhibit the expected convergence towards a most probable trajectory, with some geographical and temporal variations. In particular, we observe the presence of a cut-off low in some trajectories, which suggests the existence of multiple pathways leading to extreme temperatures. These findings confirm the relevance of instanton dynamics to understand the physical mechanisms driving extreme events in climate models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Role of atmospheric resonance and land-atmosphere feedbacks as a precursor to the June 2021 Pacific Northwest Heat Dome event.
- Author
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Xueke Li, Mann, Michael E., Wehner, Michael F., Rahmstor, Stefan, Petri, Stefan, Christiansen, Shannon, and Carrillo, Judit
- Subjects
- *
ROSSBY waves , *EXTREME weather , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *SOIL moisture , *WAVE amplification - Abstract
We demonstrate an indirect, rather than direct, role of quasi-resonant amplification of planetary waves in a summer weather extreme. We find that there was an interplay between a persistent, amplified large-scale atmospheric circulation state and soil moisture feedbacks as a precursor for the June 2021 Pacific Northwest "Heat Dome" event. An extended resonant planetary wave configuration prior to the event created an antecedent soil moisture deficit that amplified lower atmospheric warming through strong nonlinear soil moisture feedbacks, favoring this unprecedented heat event. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. The First Y Dwarf Data from JWST Show that Dynamic and Diabatic Processes Regulate Cold Brown Dwarf Atmospheres.
- Author
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Leggett, S. K. and Tremblin, Pascal
- Subjects
- *
BROWN dwarf stars , *ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer , *SPECTRAL energy distribution , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *ATMOSPHERIC chemistry - Abstract
The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) is now observing Y dwarfs, the coldest known brown dwarfs, with effective temperatures T eff ≲ 475 K. The first published observations provide important information: not only is the atmospheric chemistry out of equilibrium, as previously known, but the pressure–temperature profile is not in the standard adiabatic form. The rapid rotation of these Jupiter-size, isolated, brown dwarfs dominates the atmospheric dynamics, and thermal and compositional changes disrupt convection. These processes produce a colder lower atmosphere, and a warmer upper atmosphere, compared to a standard adiabatic profile. Leggett et al. presented empirical models where the pressure–temperature profile was adjusted so that synthetic spectra reproduced the 1 ≲ λ (μ m) ≲ 20 spectral energy distributions of brown dwarfs with 260 ≤ T eff (K) ≤ 540. We show that spectra generated by these models fit the first JWST Y dwarf spectrum better than standard-adiabat models. Unexpectedly, there is no 4.3 μ m PH3 feature in the JWST spectrum and atmospheres without phosphorus better reproduce the 4 μ m flux peak. Our analysis of new JWST photometry indicates that the recently discovered faint secondary of the WISE J033605.05-014350AB system has T eff ≈ 295 K, making it the first dwarf in the significant luminosity gap between the 260 K WISE J085510.83-071442.5, and all other known Y dwarfs. The adiabat-adjusted disequilibrium-chemistry models are recommended for analyses of all brown dwarfs cooler than 600 K, and a grid is publicly available. Photometric color transformations are provided in an appendix. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Research in Dynamic Meteorology in Russia in 2019–2022.
- Author
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Repina, I. A.
- Subjects
- *
DYNAMIC meteorology , *METEOROLOGICAL research , *ATMOSPHERIC sciences , *METEOROLOGY , *MIDDLE atmosphere - Abstract
This review outlines the most significant results of research in dynamic meteorology performed by Russian scientists in 2019–2022. It is part of the Russian National Report on Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences submitted to the International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS). The review is supplemented by a list of main publications of Russian scientists on dynamic meteorology in 2019–2022. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. The Atmospheric Dynamics Related to Extreme Rainfall and Flood Events during September-October-November in South Sulawesi.
- Author
-
Ulfiana, Amhar, Arsyad, Muhammad, and Palloan, Pariabti
- Subjects
RAINFALL ,ATMOSPHERIC circulation ,WEATHER ,FLOODS ,RAINSTORMS ,PRECIPITABLE water ,WIND speed - Abstract
This study was conducted to analyse the occurrence of extreme rainfall and the dynamics of the atmosphere prior to the occurrence of extreme rainfall and flood events in South Sulawesi during September-October-November (South Sulawesi's dry season). The data used is daily data for the period 2001-2020. Using 50 mm/day and the 90th percentile rainfall threshold of 119 rain stations distributed over 24 regencies, extreme rainfall events in each region were identified. Furthermore, after screening for extreme rainfall events followed by flood events, a composite analysis was carried out to obtain patterns of atmospheric conditions before the extreme rainfall events. The results of the study confirm that spatially, the highest extreme rainfall indices values dominate in the western and northern regions of South Sulawesi, both frequency and intensity indicators. Flood events in South Sulawesi during September-October-November 2001-2020 were recorded as 23 days, of which 19 days were the flood events after extreme rainfall events. The dynamics of the atmosphere before the extreme rainfall event followed by the flood event showed anomalies in precipitable water, 850 mb winds, and 200 mb winds. An increase in the amount of precipitable water and a wind speed of 850 mb, as well as a decrease in wind speed of 250 mb compared to normal in the South Sulawesi region and its surroundings, has resulted in an increase in the formation of rain clouds that have the potential to increase the chance of extreme rainfall. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Atmospheric Circulation
- Author
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Sánchez-Lavega, Agustín, Gargaud, Muriel, editor, Irvine, William M., editor, Amils, Ricardo, editor, Claeys, Philippe, editor, Cleaves, Henderson James, editor, Gerin, Maryvonne, editor, Rouan, Daniel, editor, Spohn, Tilman, editor, Tirard, Stéphane, editor, and Viso, Michel, editor
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. The Plumes and Atmosphere of Io
- Author
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de Pater, Imke, Goldstein, David, Lellouch, Emmanuel, Shore, Steven N., Series Editor, Lopes, Rosaly M. C., editor, de Kleer, Katherine, editor, and Tuttle Keane, James, editor
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Understanding precipitation changes through unsupervised machine learning
- Author
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Griffin Mooers, Tom Beucler, Mike Pritchard, and Stephan Mandt
- Subjects
atmospheric dynamics ,climate change ,heavy precipitation ,unsupervised learning ,variational autoencoders ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 ,Electronic computers. Computer science ,QA75.5-76.95 - Abstract
Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of heavy precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an unsupervised, spatial machine-learning framework to quantify how storm dynamics affect changes in heavy precipitation. We find that changes in heavy precipitation (above the 80th percentile) are predominantly explained by changes in the frequency of these events, rather than by changes in how these storm regimes produce precipitation. Our study shows how unsupervised machine learning, paired with domain knowledge, may allow us to better understand the physics of the atmosphere and anticipate the changes associated with a warming world.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Atmospheric kinetic energy spectra from global and regional NCMRWF unified modelling system.
- Author
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Niranjan Kumar, Kondapalli, Ashrit, Raghavendra, Sreevathsa, Raghavendra, Kumar, Sumit, Mishra, A. K., Thota, Mohan S., Jayakumar, A., Mohandas, Saji, and Mitra, A. K.
- Subjects
- *
KINETIC energy , *LONG-range weather forecasting , *NUMERICAL weather forecasting , *ENERGY dissipation , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation - Abstract
Characteristics of the atmospheric kinetic energy (KE) spectrum follow a distinct power‐law dependence in the synoptic (k−3) and mesoscales (k−5/3), where k is the horizontal wave‐number. The representation of this canonical spectral behaviour provides a testimony of the acceptability of the design, configuration and performance of a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model. Therefore, the characteristics of the KE spectrum are studied using an operational version of the high‐resolution National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) Unified Model (NCUM) system considering both global (∼12 km mesh) and regional (∼4 km mesh) configurations during the northern hemispheric summer period (June–August 2020). The synoptic‐scale spectral characteristics of the NCUM global (NCUM‐G) model match well with the observed spectrum in the tropics, midlatitudes and polar regions. However, the regional NCUM model (NCUM‐R) outperforms the NCUM‐G in representing the canonical slope at mesoscales. As the NCMRWF is accelerating towards a high‐resolution 6 km global (NCUM‐G6) operational model, the spectral characteristics from NCUM‐G6 are also studied during the monsoon period. Though the representation of the mesoscale spectrum is better in NCUM‐G6 relative to NCUM‐G, the regional model surpasses both the global models while demonstrating the mesoscale characteristics close to the observed spectral slopes. Further, the mesoscale spectrum deviates gradually from the Lindborg (1999) analytical fit in the mesoscales around 20Δx (where Δx ∼ 4 km), which specifies an effective resolution of the regional model. Hence, the regional model needs refinements optimally to further reduce the energy dissipation at high wave‐numbers to improve the mesoscale features at the limits of its grid resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Venus Evolution Through Time: Key Science Questions, Selected Mission Concepts and Future Investigations.
- Author
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Widemann, Thomas, Smrekar, Suzanne E., Garvin, James B., Straume-Lindner, Anne Grete, Ocampo, Adriana C., Schulte, Mitchell D., Voirin, Thomas, Hensley, Scott, Dyar, M. Darby, Whitten, Jennifer L., Nunes, Daniel C., Getty, Stephanie A., Arney, Giada N., Johnson, Natasha M., Kohler, Erika, Spohn, Tilman, O'Rourke, Joseph G., Wilson, Colin F., Way, Michael J., and Ostberg, Colby
- Subjects
- *
VENUSIAN atmosphere , *VENUS (Planet) , *SYNTHETIC aperture radar - Abstract
In this work we discuss various selected mission concepts addressing Venus evolution through time. More specifically, we address investigations and payload instrument concepts supporting scientific goals and open questions presented in the companion articles of this volume. Also included are their related investigations (observations & modeling) and discussion of which measurements and future data products are needed to better constrain Venus' atmosphere, climate, surface, interior and habitability evolution through time. A new fleet of Venus missions has been selected, and new mission concepts will continue to be considered for future selections. Missions under development include radar-equipped ESA-led EnVision M5 orbiter mission (European Space Agency 2021), NASA-JPL's VERITAS orbiter mission (Smrekar et al. 2022a), NASA-GSFC's DAVINCI entry probe/flyby mission (Garvin et al. 2022a). The data acquired with the VERITAS, DAVINCI, and EnVision from the end of this decade will fundamentally improve our understanding of the planet's long term history, current activity and evolutionary path. We further describe future mission concepts and measurements beyond the current framework of selected missions, as well as the synergies between these mission concepts, ground-based and space-based observatories and facilities, laboratory measurements, and future algorithmic or modeling activities that pave the way for the development of a Venus program that extends into the 2040s (Wilson et al. 2022). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Non‐Uniqueness in ITCZ Latitude Due To Radiation‐Circulation Coupling in an Idealized GCM.
- Author
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Zurita‐Gotor, Pablo, Held, Isaac M., Merlis, Timothy M., Chang, Chiung‐Yin, Hill, Spencer A., and MacDonald, Cameron G.
- Subjects
- *
ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer , *INTERTROPICAL convergence zone , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *LATITUDE , *RADIATIVE transfer - Abstract
An idealized aquaplanet moist global atmospheric model with realistic radiative transfer but no clouds and no convective parameterization is found to possess multiple climate equilibria. When forced symmetrically about the equator, in some cases the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates to an off‐equatorial equilibrium position. Mechanism denial experiments prescribing relative humidity imply that radiation‐circulation coupling is essential to this instability. The cross‐equatorial asymmetry occurs only when the underlying slab ocean is sufficiently deep and the atmosphere's spectral dynamical core is sufficiently coarse (∼T170 or less with our control parameters). At higher resolutions, initializing with an asymmetric state indicates metastability with very slow (thousands of days) return to hemispheric symmetry. There is some sensitivity to the model timestep, which affects the time required to transition to the asymmetric state, with little effect on the equilibrium climate. The instability is enhanced when the planetary boundary layer scheme favors deeper layers or by a prescribed meridional heat transport away from the equator within the slab. The instability is not present when the model is run with a convective parameterization scheme commonly utilized in idealized moist models. We argue that the instability occurs when the asymmetric heating associated with a spontaneous ITCZ shift drives a circulation that rises poleward of the perturbed ITCZ. These results serve as a warning of the potential for instability and non‐uniqueness of climate that may complicate studies with idealized models of the tropical response to perturbations in forcing. Plain Language Summary: Much of the rainfall in the tropics occurs in the Intertropical Convergence Zones (ITCZs). These regions are associated with the convergence of surface winds, which produces the rising air required to feed the Hadley cells. The ITCZ location is known to be determined by the spatial distribution of atmospheric heating as the Hadley cells act to erase thermal imbalance within the tropics. With hemispherically symmetric heating, a symmetric equatorial ITCZ is expected. However, it is shown in this paper that changes in the ITCZ location affect the distribution of the radiative cooling of the atmosphere through changes in the water vapor distribution, which may make the equatorial ITCZ unstable under some circumstances. In this situation, two alternative climates with the ITCZ shifted into either one of the hemispheres exist. This instability may play an important role for understanding the distribution of tropical precipitation and the potential for the existence of multiple climates for the same set of external conditions. Key Points: The equatorial ITCZ can be destabilized by radiation‐circulation coupling in a hemispherically symmetric aquaplanet modelAs the ITCZ drifts off the equator two different asymmetric equilibria may exist under symmetric forcing and boundary conditionsA theory is proposed based on the energy flux equator sensitivity to the perturbed asymmetric heating when the ITCZ moves off the equator [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Asymptotic Methods for the Atmosphere
- Author
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Koul, Ojesh
- Subjects
Applied mathematics ,Fluid mechanics ,Atmospheric sciences ,Atmospheric Dynamics ,Fluid Mechanics ,Hadley Cell ,Matched Asymptotics - Abstract
In this thesis, we have looked at the application of asymptotic methods in studying atmospheric phenomenon. Asymptotic techniques are very useful to obtain simplified systems which approximate a very complex underlying system. In this document we primarily use the simplified models to model the Hadley circulation. The Hadley circulation is an atmospheric circulation with rising air at the tropics and descending air in the subtropics(∼ 30 degree latitude). The dynamics of the Hadley cell have profound implications on the global atmosphere. It transports angular momentum, heat and moisture from the equator to the midlatitudes. The rising branch of the Hadley cell experiences increased rainfall and thunderstorms while the descending branch is marked by an increased aridity. So, understanding and accurately modeling the features of the Hadley cell is of great importance.The thesis has been divided into four chapters. The first three chapter deal with applying the method of matched asymptotics in order to get an approximate solution valid for the entirety of the troposphere. Depending on the latitude, the system can be divided into three different layers. The innermost layer is the tropical region with dynamics on the mesoscales(500 km). The middle layer lies in the subtropics and modulates on the synoptic scales(1500 km). This is followed by a planetary scale(5000 km) outer layer in the midlatitudes. The aim of the study is to derive thesesystems using the formalism of matched asymptotics and obtain matching conditions between the solutions.The full system of primitive equations and the non-dimensionalisation valid for large scale atmospheric flows have been described in chapter 1. Using these equations, the system valid for the tropics has been derived and its solutions have been described. The latitudinal extent of the tropical layer has been derived using scaling arguments for the tropical solutions. In chapter 2, we have looked at the shallow water system with non-dimensionalisation similar to those used in the first chapter. Shallow water formulation introduces a major simplification into the system by reducing the number of spatial dimensions by one. The tropical, subtropical and planetary layer models have been derived and their respective matching condition has been described . In chapter 3, we go back to the 3D system and derive the equations valid in the subtropics. The solution of the subtropical system yields an equation known as the Sawyer-Eliassen equation which is a second order partial differential equation. In the 3D system, the Sawyer-Eliassen equation is in 2 dimensions while inthe shallow water system it is a 1 dimensional ODE. This makes the 3D system much more difficult to solve since the PDE can be hyperbolic, parabolic or elliptic while no such complications arise in the shallow water system. A numerical solution scheme has been described for the subtropical system which solves the system when the Sawyer-Eliassen equation remains elliptic. The matching condition with the tropical boundary layer arises as the potential temperature restratification at the equator.Chapter 4 deals with the instabilities arising in the subtropical jet. Informed by the pre-existing models of baroclinic instability, a damping model has been prescribed which incorporates the effect of baroclinic instability in the weak temperature gradient tropical mode. In the second part of the chapter, we have used the subtropical system obtained in chapter 3 to study these instabilities instead of the quasi-geostrophic system which has traditionally been used due to its simplicity. The effect of the momentum and temperature fluxes generated due to the instabilities has been studied. Since the fluctuations in linear analysis are much weaker than the mean flow, there is no interaction between the fluctuation and the mean flow. Using the method of multiple scale asymptotics, new equations have been derived to incorporate the fluxes generated due to the instabilities into the system describing the mean flow.
- Published
- 2024
39. Precipitation Variability over the Northeastern United States: Large-Scale Drivers and Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns
- Author
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Sukhdeo, Raymond
- Subjects
Atmospheric sciences ,atmospheric dynamics ,climate dynamics ,climate models ,large-scale meteorology ,LSMPs ,northeastern United States - Abstract
The northeastern United States (hereinafter, the Northeast) is home to a dense human population and encompasses a variety of agricultural and economic interests that are reliant on the available water resources and the replenishment of those resources via precipitation. Due to ongoing climate change, water availability is expected to be altered in this region. This expected change is particularly important at the ends of the precipitation spectrum (i.e., extreme precipitation and droughts), as these events can lead to devastating economic damages to infrastructure, property, and agriculture. Given the many problems that can be associated with an increased frequency of both wet and dry extremes, it has become increasingly important to gain a better understanding of the large-scale meteorology related to precipitation variability in the Northeast. Such insight provides meaningful insight for stakeholders and policymakers with interests pertaining to future resource allocations and water management practices in the region.This PhD work seeks to build upon the existing literature related to understanding the large-scale processes that are important in producing conditions favorable to precipitation in the Northeast, and uses that understanding to examine the meteorological conditions that accompany short-duration dry spells (droughts) that occur over the region. My dissertation establishes a unique framework by which to explore scientific questions related to Northeast precipitation variability by utilizing a novel linear orthogonal decomposition technique, large-scale meteorological pattern analysis, analysis of relevant dynamical and thermodynamical fields, and reanalysis and climate model datasets. Such a framework provides a comprehensive assessment of the meteorological conditions associated with different precipitation regimes over the Northeast. This research topic sits at the intersection of atmospheric science, regional climate, machine learning, and climate model validation, with the overall goal of improving our capabilities in regional climate analysis.Chapter 1 provides an introduction and background information related to precipitation in the Northeast. Chapter 2 focuses on identifying the large-scale drivers of precipitation over the Northeast using a novel linear orthogonal decomposition (LOD) approach. Chapter 3 examines the absence (or reduction) of those drivers during short-duration dry spells (droughts) over the region primarily using large-scale meteorological pattern (LSMP) analysis. Chapter 4 assesses the fidelity of current-generation general circulation models (GCMs) in representing different characteristics of the dry spells in comparison to those obtained from observations. Lastly, Chapter 5 summarizes the work discussed in this dissertation and provides insight into potential avenues for future work.
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- 2024
40. The Role of Large-scale Circulation in Recent Arctic Climate Change and Variability: Impacts on Sea Ice, Water Vapor and Aerosols
- Author
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Baxter, Ian
- Subjects
Atmospheric sciences ,Climate change ,Aerosols ,Arctic ,Atmospheric Dynamics ,Moisture Transport ,Radiative Feedbacks ,Sea Ice - Abstract
Over the last few decades, the Arctic has warmed at a rate 3-4 times the global average, referred to as Arctic Amplification. The rate of amplified warming has been attributed to complex interactions amongst feedback processes, making it difficult to understand and isolate the leading causes. Due to this uncertainty, there is a large divide between model simulated changes in the Arctic and those in observations, undermining confidence in our ability to project future polar warming and its impacts. Thus, this research seeks to bridge the gap between climate models and observations by imposing essential observed conditions (e.g., circulation changes, aerosol emissions, etc.) in climate models to understand and quantify their roles in shaping various aspects of climate variability in the Arctic, including the warming rates of some key fields determining cryosphere conditions, extreme weather, energy budget, and climate states. Multiple versions of two climate models (CESM and E3SM) are used in my research, enabling me to investigate these topics with less impacts due to the sensitivity of a specific model to imposed forcing. According to this overarching goal, my overall effort is equally allocated to address the following issues, which are detailed in the subsequent chapters: Chapter 1 details the key motivations driving the research questions explored in the following chapters. The representation of internal variability in climate models, manifested as large-scale circulation, is a leading factor causing biases relative to observations. Chapter 2 addresses this effect of circulation on summer sea ice, employing an atmospheric wind nudging approach. This chapter characterizes the optimal large-scale wind pattern contributing to enhanced sea ice decline: a quasi-barotropic anticyclonic pattern with high pressure over the Arctic and Greenland that adiabatically warms the lower troposphere and increases downwelling longwave radiation. This pattern is found to coincide with periods of enhanced sea ice decline in preindustrial simulations and paleoclimate products, suggesting it is likely of internal origin. In Chapter 3, I examine the role of large-scale circulation in driving moisture transport into the Arctic and their radiative impacts during Northern Hemisphere summer. Using a combined nudging and moisture tagging approach in the iCESM1, it is found that the large-scale circulation drives an increase in atmospheric rivers which dominate high latitude moistening and the water vapor feedback. Two thirds of the of poleward transport passes through the high latitude land masses via a land capacitor effect, first originating from the tropical Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea. Chapter 4 investigates the response of extreme black carbon transport to large-scale circulation during the MOSAiC field campaign. Using statistical techniques and wind nudging in the E3SMv2 it is found that an Arctic Oscillation pattern is the leading determinant of poleward black carbon transport. Simulations with constrained circulation show improvements in mean poleward black carbon transport and occurrence of extreme events, but still underestimate the magnitude of transport. Altogether, this research addresses knowledge gaps pertaining to the uncertainties in the leading drivers of warming and sea ice loss between models and observations, identifying that many of the discrepancies are likely associated with the representation of large-scale circulation changes.
- Published
- 2024
41. Land-atmosphere Interactions and Precipitation Seasonality in the Congo Basin
- Author
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Worden, Sarah Rose
- Subjects
Atmospheric sciences ,Hydrologic sciences ,atmospheric dynamics ,congo basin ,evapotranspiration ,land atmosphere interactions ,precipitation seasonality - Abstract
The Congo Basin contributes a disproportionately large amount to water, carbon, and energy in Africa and globally. However, this region has been least studied among all tropical regions, in part due to a lack of well-constrained data available on the high resolution needed to address their spatial and temporal heterogeneities. We thus cannot yet provide a creditable assessment of changes to the Congo Basin water cycle under the influence of both climate and land cover and land use changes. My dissertation aims at advancing our understanding of land-atmosphere interactions and the mechanisms controlling the rainy season onsets within the basin, both keys towards better assessing its resilience. I first investigated the sources of moisture in the atmosphere, a necessary condition for rainfall in Chapter 3. I used remotely-sensed water vapor isotopes, in conjunction with a suite of other satellite, in-situ, and reanalysis estimates and isotope mixing model simulations, to disentangle the relative contributions of evapotranspiration (ET) versus advected oceanic moisture to atmospheric moisture towards rainfall. I reveal that ET provides the most atmospheric moisture throughout the year, and especially for the onset of the spring rainy season. This suggests that the Congo Basin is especially vulnerable to land-use rapid expansion, which can reduce moisture availability and potentially exacerbate climatic drying in that region.I then evaluated the water fluxes at the interface between the atmosphere and land surface in Chapter 4. My research demonstrated that water vapor isotopes, when normalized to reduce their sensitivity to large-scale changes in atmospheric moisture, co-vary with the water balance, a metric for examining the net flux of moisture into the surface. I show that on basin and sub-basin scales, the Congo Basin displays limited water deficits with insignificant variations over the 21st century, despite observed rainfall variability and other changes to its water cycle. We also confirm high ET on basin and sub-basin scales, thus providing an additional constraint on existing ET model estimates.Built on the foundation laid in chapters 3 and 4, I next explore the fundamental mechanisms that drive the transition from dry to the rainy season over the Congo basin, a far more complex problem that those in the previous chapters. In Chapter 5, I first focus on the southern Congo Basin with one rainy season in boreal fall. I show that this transition is initiated by a decrease in moisture export towards the Sahel. Then, ET increases due to increases in surface radiation and vegetation photosynthesis. Using water vapor isotopes, I show that ET becomes the main source of atmospheric moisture prior to the start of the rainy season. I additionally show that the African Easterly Jet South and the Congo Air Boundary are key for inducing atmospheric conditions amenable for deep convection. Overall, I show that the rainy season onset is a result of combined large-scale atmospheric circulation changes and vegetation responses to the seasonal change of insolation.In Chapter 6, I explore the mechanisms of the transition periods to the boreal spring and fall rainy seasons in the equatorial Congo, which is mostly covered by tropical rainforests. I show that the transition to both rainy seasons is initiated by changes in atmospheric moisture transport across its western boundary. While ET contributes the most to atmospheric moisture to rainfall prior to both rainy seasons, it does not change significantly during the transition periods and instead provides background moisture. Generally, thermodynamic conditions indicate an unstable atmosphere, but changes in the level of free convection (LFC) and convective inhibitive energy (CIN) must happen for deep convection to initiate. This is done via increases in boundary layer moisture orographically lifted by the African Easterly Rift, decreasing the LFC and hence CIN. Meanwhile, the African Easterly Jet North and the return branch of the Congo Basin Cell provides shear prior to the spring and fall rainy seasons, respectively. Together, this creates atmospheric conditions favorable for the initiation of deep convection.Through the above discussed works, I have made an important first step toward a systemic and holistic understanding of the Congo Basin water cycle, setting up future studies of understanding the mechanisms controlling its change and its impacts on the vegetation and nations that lie within, an aspirational goal of my career.
- Published
- 2024
42. Superrotation
- Author
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Sánchez-Lavega, Agustín, Gargaud, Muriel, editor, Irvine, William M., editor, Amils, Ricardo, editor, Claeys, Philippe, editor, Cleaves, Henderson James, editor, Gerin, Maryvonne, editor, Rouan, Daniel, editor, Spohn, Tilman, editor, Tirard, Stéphane, editor, and Viso, Michel, editor
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. A midlatitude climatology of 200- and 500-hPa cut-off lows and its usefulness in categorizing cut-off lows in central Chile
- Author
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Munoz Castillo, Cristian, Vaughan, Geraint, and Schultz, David
- Subjects
551.5 ,Atmospheric dynamics ,cut-off lows ,meteorology ,moisture plumes ,climatology - Abstract
In this thesis, a midlatitude climatology of cut-off lows was done and then used for studying the synoptic-scale patterns associated with extreme rainfall rate events due to the passage of cut-off lows in central Chile. The climatology was developed using the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data from 1960 to 2017 to detect 200- and 500-hPa cut-off lows. It was found that the seasonality of cut-off lows is level-dependent in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Additionally, the climatology detected a positive trend in the yearly number of events especially in the Southern Hemisphere that is not associated with any of the natural climate variability modes. The results of these analyses are summarized in paper 1. For paper 2 the applicability of the climatology was tested by examining 500-hPa cut-off lows impinging upon central Chile between 1979 and 2017. From these cut-off lows, only those that were associated with extreme rainfall rates were selected for further analyses. Those cut-off lows associated with high precipitation rate (WET events) had a different moisture distribution than cut-off lows associated with low precipitation rate (DRY events). Whereas in WET events the moisture plume is mostly located equatorward of the cut-off low centre, in DRY events the moisture plume is mostly located westward and poleward. For WET events, its associated configuration of the flow facilitates the input of moisture to the upper-level low's leading edge. In contrast, for DRY events the moisture input is mostly directed towards the polar edge of the cyclonic circulation associated with the cut-off low, thus preventing moisture reaching the leading edge. Additionally, WET cut-off lows were less persistent than DRY cut-off lows even though both groups tended to occur more frequently during the rainy season, with no statistically significant trend at the interannual timescale.
- Published
- 2020
44. Non‐Uniqueness in ITCZ Latitude Due To Radiation‐Circulation Coupling in an Idealized GCM
- Author
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Pablo Zurita‐Gotor, Isaac M. Held, Timothy M. Merlis, Chiung‐Yin Chang, Spencer A. Hill, and Cameron G. MacDonald
- Subjects
tropical circulation ,intertropical convergence zone ,convection ,Hadley cell ,atmospheric dynamics ,idealized models ,Physical geography ,GB3-5030 ,Oceanography ,GC1-1581 - Abstract
Abstract An idealized aquaplanet moist global atmospheric model with realistic radiative transfer but no clouds and no convective parameterization is found to possess multiple climate equilibria. When forced symmetrically about the equator, in some cases the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates to an off‐equatorial equilibrium position. Mechanism denial experiments prescribing relative humidity imply that radiation‐circulation coupling is essential to this instability. The cross‐equatorial asymmetry occurs only when the underlying slab ocean is sufficiently deep and the atmosphere's spectral dynamical core is sufficiently coarse (∼T170 or less with our control parameters). At higher resolutions, initializing with an asymmetric state indicates metastability with very slow (thousands of days) return to hemispheric symmetry. There is some sensitivity to the model timestep, which affects the time required to transition to the asymmetric state, with little effect on the equilibrium climate. The instability is enhanced when the planetary boundary layer scheme favors deeper layers or by a prescribed meridional heat transport away from the equator within the slab. The instability is not present when the model is run with a convective parameterization scheme commonly utilized in idealized moist models. We argue that the instability occurs when the asymmetric heating associated with a spontaneous ITCZ shift drives a circulation that rises poleward of the perturbed ITCZ. These results serve as a warning of the potential for instability and non‐uniqueness of climate that may complicate studies with idealized models of the tropical response to perturbations in forcing.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Reply to Comment on "Moist Static Energy Transport Trends in Four Global Reanalyses: Are They Downgradient?" by Clark et al. (2022).
- Author
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Clark, Joseph P., Feldstein, Steven B., and Lee, Sukyoung
- Subjects
- *
GLOBAL warming , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *CONSERVATION of mass , *ATMOSPHERIC transport - Abstract
In a previous study, we investigated whether reanalysis moist static energy (MSE) transport trends over the 1980 through 2018 period are consistent (a) with each other and (b) with the finding that these transport trends are downgradient, as found in climate models. Regarding point (a), our conclusion was that MSE transport trends were dependent on the reanalysis data set. However, Cox et al. (2023) correctly point out that the reanalysis dependence is reduced dramatically if a barotropic mass flux correction is applied at a monthly mean timescale prior to computing the MSE transport trends. In our reply below, we revisit point (b) after applying this correction. We find that even after the correction, reanalysis MSE transport trends are not downgradient nor poleward in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics. However, reanalysis does show a compensation between dry static and latent energy transport trends, which has been shown in climate models historically. Plain Language Summary: Energy is transported poleward by the atmospheric circulation. As the climate warms, the amount of energy transported poleward is projected to increase. In a previous study, we investigated whether this holds in reanalysis data sets (data sets that obtain global coverage by combining measurements with numerical models). However, as pointed out by Cox et al. (2023), we did not account for the fact that reanalysis products do not respect mass conservation. Correcting for this, MSE transport trends do not exhibit a reanalysis dependence to the degree we previously found. Nevertheless, reanalysis MSE transports are not associated with changes in the surface MSE gradient, as models suggest, nor are these fluxes poleward in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics. An aspect that becomes more consistent between models and reanalysis after correcting the mass budget is an anticorrelation between dry static and latent energy transports trends. Key Points: After mass correction, reanalysis moist static energy (MSE) transport trends are not downgradientAfter mass correction, reanalysis dry static and latent energy transport trends oppose each other over most latitudesThe MSE transport trend is not in a poleward direction north of 30°N [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Long-Term Variations in Parameters of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings According to ERA5 Reanalysis Data.
- Author
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Zorkaltseva, O. S., Antokhina, O. Yu., and Antokhin, P. N.
- Abstract
We present the long-term variations in the parameters of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) from 1979 to 2021. The zonal mean air temperature at 80° N and zonal mean wind at 60° N at altitudes of 10 hPa are used as a criterion for the SSW estimation. Major and minor SSWs are classified into types, with the splitting of the polar vortex (PV) and with PV displacement. We estimated the variations in such SSW parameters as the number of events per winter, SSW type, SSW duration, onset date, and maximal temperature during SSW over the past 42 years. We found no trend-like changes, but rather the oscillation of these parameters in the high-latitude stratosphere. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. A Surface to Exosphere Non‐Orographic Gravity Wave Parameterization for the Mars Planetary Climate Model.
- Author
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Liu, Jiandong, Millour, Ehouarn, Forget, François, Gilli, Gabriella, Lott, François, Bardet, Deborah, González Galindo, Francisco, Bierjon, Antoine, Naar, Joseph, Martinez, Antoine, Lebonnois, Sébastien, Fan, Siteng, Pierron, Thomas, and Vandemeulebrouck, Romain
- Subjects
GRAVITY waves ,WAVE packets ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer ,THERMOSPHERE ,MARTIAN atmosphere ,JET streams ,ROSSBY waves - Abstract
In this paper, the non‐orographic gravity waves (GW) parameterization of the Mars Planetary Climate Model (PCM) previously implemented by Gilli et al. (2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JE005873) is revisited and extended to the exobase (∼250 km). The simulations performed with the new scheme correct some known biases in the modeled thermal tide amplitudes and polar warming, improving the agreement with Mars Climate Sounder (MCS) observed thermal structures and tides below ∼100 km. Additionally, we find that the simulated densities above 150 km are compatible with NGIMS (Neutral Gas and Ion Mass Spectrometer) measured abundances. Large drag depositions ranging up to >∼950 m s−1 sol−1 are induced at altitude of 90–170 km due to the wave saturation (breaking) and depletion, leading to winds damped to magnitudes of ∼150–225 and ∼80 m s−1 in the zonal and meridional directions, respectively. Resulting temperature variations are ∼±10–30 K or 5%–10% at most latitudes except in the polar regions (where they can reach ∼±30–60 K). The results indicate that non‐orographic GW play a significant role in the dynamics of the middle‐upper atmosphere of Mars via the induced transfer of momentum and energy from the lower atmosphere. Plain Language Summary: Atmospheric gravity (buoyancy) waves are oscillations that result from flows over topography (orographic gravity waves (GW)) or perturbations caused by convective forcing, front systems, and jet streams (non‐orographic GW). In this paper, we model non‐orographic GW as a Gaussian wave packet, which is the sum of several monochromatic waves of random wavenumbers and frequencies. The wave packets are launched vertically from low altitudes (∼6 km), where the mean Mars Planetary Boundary Layer is located. We reproduce several features of the thermal structure and tides observed by the MCS by implementing our scheme to the Mars PCM. The scheme has a strong effect on the model's wind fields above an altitude of 35–40 km, transporting momentum from the source layers to higher layers, and even up to the thermosphere (altitude >∼100 km). The temperature and density variations generated by the scheme are comparable to the observations made by the Neutral Gas and Ion Mass Spectrometer. Our results demonstrate that non‐orographic GW play a crucial role in the momentum‐energy transport that affects the dynamics of the middle and upper atmosphere of Mars. Key Points: A stochastic parameterization of non‐orographic gravity waves is implemented up to the exobase (∼0–250 km)Simulation results are in very satisfying agreement with Mars Climate Sounder observed thermal structures and tidesThe simulated upper atmospheric densities are compatible with Neutral Gas and Ion Mass Spectrometer abundances [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Determining the time response in GNSS tomographic modeling of troposphere.
- Author
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Sadeghi, Elaheh, Hossainali, Masoud Mashhadi, and Safari, Abdolreza
- Subjects
- *
GLOBAL Positioning System , *TROPOSPHERE , *SEISMIC tomography , *ATMOSPHERE , *ATMOSPHERIC models , *ORTHOGONAL functions - Abstract
GNSS tomography is a method for the three-dimensional reconstruction of wet refractivity ( N w ) in a set of voxels, each covering a specific part of the troposphere. The substantial assumption is the homogeneity of atmosphere in each voxel in given time intervals, known as the time response of model. Determining the optimal time resolution is one of the existing challenges in the tomography of the Earth's atmosphere. We apply Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) to find an optimal time response for our tomographic model. To investigate our method, we compute the EOFs using the numerical atmospheric model that is available in our test area as the reference field on an already designed tomographic model. Using time resolutions of 30, 45, 60, 75, 90, 105 and 120 min, our EOF based method suggests the time periods of 60 to 75 and 75 to 90 min as the time response in the two days (a dry and a wet day) of our experiments, respectively According to our analysis, because of the quality of our reference field, it is not possible to expect similarities better than 85% for wet day and 93% for dry days in the scattering of the N w field between the reconstructed images and our reference model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Scale interactions between the meso‐ and synoptic scales and the impact of diabatic heating.
- Author
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Hirt, Mirjam, Craig, George C., and Klein, Rupert
- Subjects
- *
WIND shear , *HEATING , *VORTEX motion , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *MESOSCALE eddies - Abstract
For both the meso‐ and synoptic scales, reduced mathematical models give insight into their dynamical behaviour. For the mesoscale, the weak temperature gradient approximation is one of several approaches, while for the synoptic scale the quasigeostrophic theory is well established. However, the way these two scales interact with each other is usually not included in such reduced models, thereby limiting our current perception of flow‐dependent predictability and upscale error growth. Here, we address the scale interactions explicitly by developing a two‐scale asymptotic model for the meso‐ and synoptic scales with two coupled sets of equations for the meso‐ and synoptic scales respectively. The mesoscale equations follow a weak temperature gradient balance and the synoptic‐scale equations align with quasigeostrophic theory. Importantly, the equation sets are coupled via scale‐interaction terms: eddy correlations of mesoscale variables impact the synoptic potential vorticity tendency and synoptic variables force the mesoscale vorticity (for instance due to tilting of synoptic‐scale wind shear). Furthermore, different diabatic heating rates—representing the effect of precipitation—define different flow characteristics. With weak mesoscale heating relatable to precipitation rates of 풪(6mm·h−1), the mesoscale dynamics resembles two‐dimensional incompressible vorticity dynamics and the upscale impact of the mesoscale on the synoptic scale is only of a dynamical nature. With a strong mesosocale heating relatable to precipitation rates of 풪(60mm·h−1), divergent motions and three‐dimensional effects become relevant for the mesoscale dynamics and the upscale impact also includes thermodynamical effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. The Flux‐Differencing Discontinuous Galerkin Method Applied to an Idealized Fully Compressible Nonhydrostatic Dry Atmosphere.
- Author
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Souza, A. N., He, J., Bischoff, T., Waruszewski, M., Novak, L., Barra, V., Gibson, T., Sridhar, A., Kandala, S., Byrne, S., Wilcox, L. C., Kozdon, J., Giraldo, F. X., Knoth, O., Marshall, J., Ferrari, R., and Schneider, T.
- Subjects
- *
ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer , *GALERKIN methods , *FINITE volume method , *DEGREES of freedom , *ATMOSPHERE , *CONVECTIVE boundary layer (Meteorology) , *EULER equations , *LARGE eddy simulation models - Abstract
Dynamical cores used to study the circulation of the atmosphere employ various numerical methods ranging from finite‐volume, spectral element, global spectral, and hybrid methods. In this work, we explore the use of Flux‐Differencing Discontinuous Galerkin (FDDG) methods to simulate a fully compressible dry atmosphere at various resolutions. We show that the method offers a judicious compromise between high‐order accuracy and stability for large‐eddy simulations and simulations of the atmospheric general circulation. In particular, filters, divergence damping, diffusion, hyperdiffusion, or sponge‐layers are not required to ensure stability; only the numerical dissipation naturally afforded by FDDG is necessary. We apply the method to the simulation of dry convection in an atmospheric boundary layer and in a global atmospheric dynamical core in the standard benchmark of Held and Suarez (1994, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1994)075〈1825:apftio〉2.0.co;2). Plain Language Summary: Numerical models cannot explicitly represent all degrees of freedom that characterize atmospheric flows due to limitations in computing power. One must allocate the available computational degrees of freedom to reduce the degradation of the solution. In this work, we explore the use of the discontinuous Galerkin numerical method, a hybrid approach that combines the accuracy of spectral methods with the flexibility of finite volume methods. We apply it to idealized dry atmospheric simulations and show that the method is robust and incorporates physical principles to best account for unresolved processes. Key Points: The Flux‐Differencing Discontinuous Galerkin (FDDG) method is a robust numerical discretization for geophysically relevant configurationsFDDG allows for a computationally stable total energy formulation of the compressible Euler equations with gravity and rotationFDDG simulates a dry convective boundary layer and the atmospheric general circulation using only numerical dissipation [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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