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Most of today’s time series data contain anomalies and multiple seasonalities, and accurate anomaly detection in these data is critical to almost any type of business. However, most mainstream forecasting models used for anomaly detection can only incorporate one or no seasonal component into their forecasts and cannot capture every known seasonal pattern in time series data. In this paper, we propose a new multi-seasonal forecasting model for anomaly detection in time series data that extends the popular Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model. Our model, named multi-SARIMA, utilizes a time series dataset’s multiple pre-determined seasonal trends to increase anomaly detection accuracy even more than the original SARIMA model. Our experimental results demonstrate the higher accuracy of multi-SARIMA when multiple seasonalities are present than most models with one or no seasonal component, although with more processing time.

Purpose: To report a novel case of central retinal artery occlusion in a 44-year-old male caused by emboli from a non-traumatic maxillary artery pseudoaneurysm. Observations: A 44-year-old male with history of hypertension presented to clinic with painless vision loss in his left eye. He was found to have a central retinal artery occlusion. Ocular massage and intraocular pressure lowering agents were administered and the patient was transferred to the emergency department for cerebrovascular work-up. Remarkably, the patient had rapid symptom improvement from no light perception to 20/70 after ocular massage and IOP agents. Neuroimaging studies discovered a maxillary artery pseudoaneurysm with anastomotic branches to the internal carotid artery via the foramen rotundum and Vidian artery. Endovascular embolization was performed to prevent further thromboembolic event. Conclusion and Importance: We believe this to be the first reported case of retinal artery occlusion caused by a maxillary artery pseudoaneurysm. This case demonstrates that visual deficits can be the presenting symptom of a non-traumatic maxillary artery pseudoaneurysm.

Abstract Background Eccentric contractions induce muscle damage (EIMD) that compromises muscle function. Poor recovery from EIMD has been suggested to be a contributor to the decline in muscle function evident in sarcopenia, but it is unclear which aspects of muscle function are more susceptible to disruption by EIMD in old versus young muscle. The purpose of this study was to determine the extent of impairment in contractile function (force, fatigue, tetanus and twitch kinetics) during the recovery from EIMD in VO mice compared to young adult (YA). Methods Male CB6F1 were obtained from National Institure of Aging colony. VO mice were 29–31 months of age, and YA mice were 7–9 months of age. The plantarflexor muscles were subjected to 20 eccentric contractions in vivo to induce injury (EIMD). Changes in tetanic force and kinetics were assessed before EIMD, immediately after EIMD and 3 days after EIMD (3d‐EIMD). Force–frequency and rates of fatigue were assessed 3d‐EIMD and compared with baseline. Histological analysis was conducted in injured and non‐injured contralateral gastrocnemius muscle. Results There was a greater loss in isometric tetanic force immediately following EIMD in VO compared with YA (−31.6% ± 10.4 vs. −21.7% ± 6.0, P

ABSTRACT Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is associated with severe infections in utero and in newborn populations, including pneumonia, sepsis, and meningitis. GBS vaginal colonization of the pregnant mother is an important prerequisite for transmission to the newborn and the development of neonatal invasive disease; however, our understanding of the factors required for GBS persistence and ascension in the female reproductive tract (FRT) remains limited. Here, we utilized a GBS mariner transposon (Krmit) mutant library previously developed by our group and identified underrepresented mutations in 535 genes that contribute to survival within the vaginal lumen and colonization of vaginal, cervical, and uterine tissues. From these mutants, we identified 47 genes that were underrepresented in all samples collected, including mtsA, a component of the mtsABC locus, encoding a putative manganese (Mn2+)-dependent ATP-binding cassette transporter. RNA sequencing analysis of GBS recovered from the vaginal tract also revealed a robust increase of mtsA expression during vaginal colonization. We engineered an ΔmtsA mutant strain and found by using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry that it exhibited decreased concentrations of intracellular Mn2+, confirming its involvement in Mn2+ acquisition. The ΔmtsA mutant was significantly more susceptible to the metal chelator calprotectin and to oxidative stressors, including both H2O2 and paraquat, than wild-type (WT) GBS. We further observed that the ΔmtsA mutant strain exhibited a significant fitness defect in comparison to WT GBS in vivo by using a murine model of vaginal colonization. Taken together, these data suggest that Mn2+ homeostasis is an important process contributing to GBS survival in the FRT. IMPORTANCE Morbidity and mortality associated with GBS begin with colonization of the female reproductive tract (FRT). To date, our understanding of the factors required for GBS persistence in this environment remain limited. We identified several necessary systems for initial colonization of the vaginal lumen and penetration into the reproductive tissues via transposon mutagenesis sequencing. We determined that mutations in mtsA, the gene encoding a protein putatively involved in manganese (Mn2+) transport, were significantly underrepresented in all in vivo samples collected. We also show that mtsA contributes to Mn2+ acquisition and GBS survival during metal limitation by calprotectin, a metal-chelating protein complex. We further demonstrate that a mutant lacking mtsA is hypersusceptible to oxidative stress induced by both H2O2 and paraquat and has a severe fitness defect compared to WT GBS in the murine vaginal tract. This work reveals the importance of Mn2+ homeostasis at the host-pathogen interface in the FRT.

Streptococcus pyogenes, also known as the Group A Streptococcus (GAS), is a Gram-positive bacterial pathogen of major clinical significance. Despite remaining relatively susceptible to conventional antimicrobial therapeutics, GAS still causes millions of infections and hundreds of thousands of deaths each year worldwide. Thus, a need for prophylactic and therapeutic interventions for GAS is in great demand. In this study, we investigated the importance of the gene encoding the delta (δ) subunit of the GAS RNA polymerase, rpoE, for its impact on virulence during skin and soft-tissue infection. A defined 5448 mutant with an insertionally-inactivated rpoE gene was defective for survival in whole human blood and was attenuated for both disseminated lethality and lesion size upon mono-culture infection in mouse soft tissue. Furthermore, the mutant had reduced competitive fitness when co-infected with wild type (WT) 5448 in the mouse model. We were unable to attribute this attenuation to any observable growth defect, although colony size and the ability to grow at higher temperatures were both affected when grown with nutrient-rich THY media. RNA-seq of GAS grown in THY to late log phase found that mutation of rpoE significantly impacted (>2-fold) the expression of 429 total genes (205 upregulated, 224 downregulated), including multiple virulence and “housekeeping” genes. The arc operon encoding the arginine deiminase (ADI) pathway was the most upregulated in the rpoE mutant and this could be confirmed phenotypically. Taken together, these findings demonstrate that the delta (δ) subunit of RNA polymerase is vital in GAS gene expression and virulence.

ABSTRACT Nutritional immunity is an elegant host mechanism used to starve invading pathogens of necessary nutrient metals. Calprotectin, a metal-binding protein, is produced abundantly by neutrophils and is found in high concentrations within inflammatory sites during infection. Group B Streptococcus (GBS) colonizes the gastrointestinal and female reproductive tracts and is commonly associated with severe invasive infections in newborns such as pneumonia, sepsis, and meningitis. Although GBS infections induce robust neutrophil recruitment and inflammation, the dynamics of GBS and calprotectin interactions remain unknown. Here, we demonstrate that disease and colonizing isolate strains exhibit susceptibility to metal starvation by calprotectin. We constructed a mariner transposon (Krmit) mutant library in GBS and identified 258 genes that contribute to surviving calprotectin stress. Nearly 20% of all underrepresented mutants following treatment with calprotectin are predicted metal transporters, including known zinc systems. As calprotectin binds zinc with picomolar affinity, we investigated the contribution of GBS zinc uptake to overcoming calprotectin-imposed starvation. Quantitative reverse transcriptase PCR (qRT-PCR) revealed a significant upregulation of genes encoding zinc-binding proteins, adcA, adcAII, and lmb, following calprotectin exposure, while growth in calprotectin revealed a significant defect for a global zinc acquisition mutant (ΔadcAΔadcAIIΔlmb) compared to growth of the GBS wild-type (WT) strain. Furthermore, mice challenged with the ΔadcAΔadcAIIΔlmb mutant exhibited decreased mortality and significantly reduced bacterial burden in the brain compared to mice infected with WT GBS; this difference was abrogated in calprotectin knockout mice. Collectively, these data suggest that GBS zinc transport machinery is important for combatting zinc chelation by calprotectin and establishing invasive disease. IMPORTANCE Group B Streptococcus (GBS) asymptomatically colonizes the female reproductive tract but is a common causative agent of meningitis. GBS meningitis is characterized by extensive infiltration of neutrophils carrying high concentrations of calprotectin, a metal chelator. To persist within inflammatory sites and cause invasive disease, GBS must circumvent host starvation attempts. Here, we identified global requirements for GBS survival during calprotectin challenge, including known and putative systems involved in metal ion transport. We characterized the role of zinc import in tolerating calprotectin stress in vitro and in a mouse model of infection. We observed that a global zinc uptake mutant was less virulent than the parental GBS strain and found calprotectin knockout mice to be equally susceptible to infection by wild-type (WT) and mutant strains. These findings suggest that calprotectin production at the site of infection results in a zinc-limited environment and reveals the importance of GBS metal homeostasis to invasive disease.

Providencia rettgeri is an emerging opportunistic Gram-negative pathogen with reports of increasing antibiotic resistance. Pan-drug resistant (PDR) P. rettgeri infections are a growing concern, demonstrating a need for the development of alternative treatment options which is fueling a renewed interest in bacteriophage (phage) therapy. Here, we identify and characterize phage vB_PreP_EPr2 (EPr2) with lytic activity against PDR P. rettgeri MRSN 845308, a clinical isolate that carries multiple antibiotic resistance genes. EPr2 was isolated from an environmental water sample and belongs to the family Autographiviridae, subfamily Studiervirinae and genus Kayfunavirus, with a genome size of 41,261 base pairs. Additional phenotypic characterization showed an optimal MOI of 1 and a burst size of 12.3 ± 3.4 PFU per bacterium. EPr2 was determined to have a narrow host range against a panel of clinical P. rettgeri strains. Despite this fact, EPr2 is a promising lytic phage with potential for use as an alternative therapeutic for treatment of PDR P. rettgeri infections.

Chagas disease is caused by Trypanosoma cruzi, a protozoan parasite that has a heterogeneous population composed of a pool of strains with distinct characteristics, including variable levels of virulence. In previous work, transcriptome analyses of parasite genes after infection of human foreskin fibroblasts (HFF) with virulent (CL Brener) and non-virulent (CL-14) clones derived from the CL strain, revealed a reduced expression of genes encoding parasite surface proteins in CL-14 compared to CL Brener during the final steps of the intracellular differentiation from amastigotes to trypomastigotes. Here we analyzed changes in the expression of host genes during in vitro infection of HFF cells with the CL Brener and CL-14 strains by analyzing total RNA extracted from cells at 60 and 96 hours post-infection (hpi) with each strain, as well as from uninfected cells. Similar transcriptome profiles were observed at 60 hpi with both strains compared to uninfected samples. However, at 96 hpi, significant differences in the number and expression levels of several genes, particularly those involved with immune response and cytoskeleton organization, were observed. Further analyses confirmed the difference in the chemokine/cytokine signaling involved with the recruitment and activation of immune cells such as neutrophils upon T. cruzi infection. These findings suggest that infection with the virulent CL Brener strain induces a more robust inflammatory response when compared with the non-virulent CL-14 strain. Importantly, the RNA-Seq data also exposed an unexplored role of fibroblasts as sentinel cells that may act by recruiting neutrophils to the initial site of infection. This role for fibroblasts in the regulation of the inflammatory response during infection by T. cruzi was corroborated by measurements of levels of different chemokines/cytokines during in vitro infection and in plasma from Chagas disease patients as well as by neutrophil activation and migration assays.

Diffuse cutaneous leishmaniasis (DCL) is a rare form of leishmaniasis where parasites grow uncontrolled in diffuse lesions across the skin. Meta-transcriptomic analysis of biopsies from DCL patients infected with Leishmania amazonensis demonstrated an infiltration of atypical B cells producing a surprising preponderance of the IgG4 isotype. DCL lesions contained minimal CD8+ T cell transcripts and no evidence of persistent TH2 responses. Whereas localized disease exhibited activated (so-called M1) macrophage presence, transcripts in DCL suggested a regulatory macrophage (R-Mϕ) phenotype with higher levels of ABCB5, DCSTAMP, SPP1, SLAMF9, PPARG, MMPs, and TM4SF19. The high levels of parasite transcripts in DCL and the remarkable uniformity among patients afforded a unique opportunity to study parasite gene expression in this disease. Patterns of parasite gene expression in DCL more closely resembled in vitro parasite growth in resting macrophages, in the absence of T cells. In contrast, parasite gene expression in LCL revealed 336 parasite genes that were differently upregulated, relative to DCL and in vitro macrophage growth, and these transcripts may represent transcripts that are produced by the parasite in response to host immune pressure.

The Group A Streptococcus remains a significant human pathogen causing a wide array of disease ranging from self-limiting to life-threatening invasive infections. Epithelium (skin or throat) colonization with progression to the subepithelial tissues is the common step in all GAS infections. Here, we used transposon-sequencing (Tn-seq) to define the GAS 5448 genetic requirements for in vivo fitness in subepithelial tissue. A near-saturation transposon library of the M1T1 GAS 5448 strain was injected subcutaneously into mice, producing suppurative inflammation at 24 h that progressed to prominent abscesses with tissue necrosis at 48 h. The library composition was monitored en masse by Tn-seq and ratios of mutant abundance comparing the output (12, 24 and 48 h) versus input (T0) mutant pools were calculated for each gene. We identified a total of 273 subcutaneous fitness (scf) genes with 147 genes (55 of unknown function) critical for the M1T1 GAS 5448 fitness in vivo; and 126 genes (53 of unknown function) potentially linked to in vivo fitness advantage. Selected scf genes were validated in competitive subcutaneous infection with parental 5448. Two uncharacterized genes, scfA and scfB, encoding putative membrane-associated proteins and conserved among Gram-positive pathogens, were further characterized. Defined scfAB mutants in GAS were outcompeted by wild type 5448 in vivo, attenuated for lesion formation in the soft tissue infection model and dissemination to the bloodstream. We hypothesize that scfAB play an integral role in enhancing adaptation and fitness of GAS during localized skin infection, and potentially in propagation to other deeper host environments.

Strategy is formally defined as a complete plan of action for every contingency in a game. Ideal agents can evaluate every contingency. But real people cannot do so, and require a belief-revision policy to guide their choices in unforeseen contingencies. The objects of belief-revision policies are beliefs, not strategies and acts. Thus, the rationality of belief-revision policies is subject to Bayesian epistemology. The components of any belief-revision policy are credences constrained by the probability axioms, by conditionalization, and by the principles of indifference and of regularity. The principle of indifference states that an agent updates his credences proportionally to the evidence, and no more. The principle of regularity states that an agent assigns contingent propositions a positive (but uncertain) credence. The result is rational constraints on real people’s credences that account for their uncertainty. Nonetheless, there is the open problem of non-evidential components that affect people’s credence distributions, despite the rational constraint on those credences. One non-evidential component is people’s temperaments, which affect people’s evaluation of evidence. The result is there might not be a proper recommendation of a strategy profile for a game (in terms of a solution concept), despite agents’ beliefs and corresponding acts being rational.

Let G be the complex symplectic or special orthogonal group and let g be its Lie algebra. With every point x of the maximal torus T ⊂ G we associate a highest weight module [M.sub.x] over the Drinfeld-Jimbo quantum group [U.sub.q](g) and a quantization of the conjugacy class of x by operators in End([M.sub.x]). These quantizations are isomorphic for x lying on the same orbit of the Weyl group, and [M.sub.x] supports different representations of the same quantum conjugacy class. Bibliography: 25 titles., UDC 517.9 Dedicated to P. P. Kulish on the occasion of his 70th birthday 1. INTRODUCTION This paper is a sequel of a series of works on quantization of semisimple [...]