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Aim: To describe initial treatment patterns and survival of patients diagnosed with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Denmark, before immune checkpoint inhibitor and later-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor use. Patients & methods: Adults diagnosed with incident NSCLC (2005–2015; follow-up: 2016). Initial treatments and overall survival (OS) are reported. Results: 31,939 NSCLC patients (51.6% stage IV) were included. Increasing use of curative radiotherapy/chemoradiation for stage I, II/IIIA and IIIB NSCLC coincided with improved 2-year OS. Systemic anticancer therapy use increased for patients with stage IV non-squamous NSCLC (53.0–60.6%) but not squamous NSCLC (44.9–47.3%). 1-year OS improved in patients with stage IV non-squamous NSCLC (23–31%) but not squamous NSCLC (22–25%). Conclusion: Trends indicated improved OS as treatments evolved between 2005 and 2015, but the effect was limited to 1-year OS in stage IV disease.

Objectives Immune checkpoint inhibitors have become the standard of care for metastatic non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) progressing during or after platinum-based chemotherapy. Real-world clinical practice tends to represent more diverse patient characteristics than randomized clinical trials. We sought to evaluate overall survival (OS) outcomes in the total study population and in key subsets of patients who received nivolumab for previously treated advanced NSCLC in real-world settings in France, Germany, or Canada. Materials and methods Data were pooled from two prospective observational cohort studies, EVIDENS and ENLARGE, and a retrospective registry in Canada. Patients included in this analysis were aged ≥18 years, had stage IIIB/IV NSCLC, and received nivolumab after at least one prior line of systemic therapy. OS was estimated in the pooled population and in various subgroups using the Kaplan-Meier method. Timing of data collection varied across cohorts (2015–2019). Results Of the 2585 patients included in this analyses, 1235 (47.8 %) were treated in France, 881 (34.1 %) in Germany, and 469 (18.1 %) in Canada. Median OS for the total study population was 11.3 months (95 % CI: 10.5–12.2); this was similar across France, Germany, and Canada. The OS rate was 49 % at 1 year and 28 % at 2 years for the total study population. In univariable Cox analyses, the presence of epidermal growth factor receptor mutations in nonsquamous disease, liver, or bone metastases were associated with significantly shorter OS, whereas tumor programmed death ligand 1 expression and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0–1 were associated with significantly prolonged OS. Similar OS was noted across subgroups of age and prior lines of therapy. Conclusion OS rates in patients receiving nivolumab for previously treated advanced NSCLC in real-world clinical practice closely mirrored those in phase 3 studies, suggesting similar effectiveness of nivolumab in clinical trials and clinical practice.

Present cost-effectiveness analysis of nivolumab monotherapy vs. commonly prescribed third-line (3 L+) treatment in small cell lung cancer (SCLC).A three health states partitioned survival model (progression-free, progressed disease, and death; US payer perspective) was developed. The systematic literature review identified no randomized controlled or single-arm trials with separate outcomes for 3 L + SCLC patients. Topotecan was chosen as a comparator because it is frequently prescribed in real-world practice for 3 L SCLC. Clinical inputs for topotecan were derived from the Flatiron database with inclusion/exclusion criteria matched to patients treated with 3 L + nivolumab in CheckMate 032. Intravenous (IV) and oral topotecan clinical efficacy were assumed equivalent. Base-case analysis used a 20-year lifetime horizon. An annual discount rate of 3.0% for costs and outcomes was applied. Uncertainty was assessed using sensitivity analyses adjusted for key parameters.Incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained with nivolumab was US$153,312 vs. IV topotecan and US$123,003 vs. oral topotecan, respectively. When results were disaggregated, nivolumab-related costs were mainly driven by drug acquisition costs, and topotecan-related costs were primarily due to adverse event treatment. Mean overall survival (OS) was 21.69 months with nivolumab and 5.80 months with IV or oral topotecan. More favorable outcomes were found by the landmark response analyses. Deterministic sensitivity analyses showed that changes to the discount rate for costs and outcomes and body weight had the greatest impacts on results.Included use of real-world data for OS outcomes associated with 3 L topotecan, use of second-line topotecan data for progression-free survival, and no indirect costs.Based on the literature on willingness-to-pay for a QALY in metastatic cancer, nivolumab monotherapy might represent a cost-effective option for 3 L + treatment of SCLC compared with IV and oral topotecan. Sensitivity analysis using response-based methods yielded further favorable cost-effectiveness estimates.

Aim: To estimate the comparative effectiveness of nivolumab versus standard of care (SOC) in terms of overall survival (OS) for small-cell lung cancer patients treated with two prior lines of chemotherapy, in other words, third line in the USA. Materials & methods: Data were from CheckMate 032, a single-arm trial of nivolumab, and real-world electronic patient records. Comparisons of OS were conducted using three different methods to adjust for differences (regression, weighting and doubly robust) between the populations. Results: Nivolumab was associated with longer survival compared with SOC (hazard ratio for OS: 0.58–0.70) across all methods for adjustment. Conclusion: Nivolumab was more efficacious in terms of OS as third-line treatment for small-cell lung cancer compared with current SOC in the USA.

Background Existing economic model frameworks may not adequately capture the atypical treatment response patterns in immuno-oncology (I-O) compared with conventional therapies and thus may fail to represent the full clinical value associated with disease dynamics and improved survival. Objective A cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) of the I-O Regimen (nivolumab/ipilimumab) versus ipilimumab alone in advanced melanoma was carried out by applying a 5-state partitioned survival model (PSM) as a case study, to explore the I-O treatment response and clinical outcomes. The findings were compared with those of a conventional 3-state PSM. Materials and methods The case study extends the conventional 3-state PSM, by separating the pre-progression state into non-responders and responders, and the post-progression state into normal and I-O progression to account for delayed treatment effects preceding clinical response. Model states were populated using patient-level data (where possible), mapping from the best overall response (BOR), and survival analysis with flexible and traditional parametric methods. Survival functions were applied to progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) endpoints across treatment arms using the 4-year follow-up data (data available at the time of the research; since then 5-year follow-up data have been published) from the CheckMate 067 trial. Information on BOR was used as a means of differentiating the I-O treatment response in addition to the outcomes of progression-free and progressed disease. A UK National Health Service and personal social services (NHS/PSS) perspective over a lifetime horizon was used with outcomes discounted at 3.5% annually. Results The 5-state PSM generated an increase in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) in both treatment arms and gave a more granular description of patients' health profiles compared with the traditional 3-state PSM. The incremental QALY increased by 13% (from 2.62 to 2.95 QALYs) and the incremental cost decreased by 12% (£29,125 to £25,678) with the 5-state model. In both models, the Regimen had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) relative to ipilimumab alone within the lower bound of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) reference range (£20,000 per QALY gained). Conclusion A 5-state economic model, incorporating relevant I-O health states, can be more informative to gain insight into treatment response and progression differences that are not commonly captured in existing economic models. Clinical trial endpoints, including those relating to treatment response, which are not directly reported in ongoing I-O trials, can be mapped on to the proposed modelled health states (although assumptions are required to do so). Improvements in reporting treatment response in future I-O clinical trials could help to further validate and improve the proposed model framework.

Clinical trials have shown immunotherapy (IO) to be more effective than chemotherapy in pre-treated, advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, there is a lack of understanding of its effectiveness in clinical practice, and among patient groups that are often underrepresented in trials. We aimed to summarize the existing real-world evidence (RWE) on the survival outcomes of IO in second- or higher line in advanced NSCLC.We conducted a systematic review of real-world observational studies that reported overall survival (OS) estimates with IO, primarily nivolumab, pembrolizumab or atezolizumab, in adult, previously treated advanced or recurrent NSCLC patients. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effect models to pool 1- and 2-year OS rates across studies. Additional subgroups were examined among patients treated with IO, including the elderly, those with poor performance status (PS) and those exhibiting metastasis.In total, 66 studies were included, of which 46 (70%) included a nivolumab-specific study arm. Pooled 1-year and 2-year OS rates with nivolumab monotherapy were 45.6% (95% CI; 43.4-47.8) and 28.0% (95% CI; 24.8-31.4), respectively, compared to 43.9% (95% CI; 39.1-48.8) and 20.4% (95% CI; 14.7-27.6) in the mixed immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) group. OS rates with nivolumab were slightly lower in elderly compared to non-elderly populations. Poor PS was associated with worse survival rates, with a pooled one-year OS estimate of 27.1% in PS ≥ 2 vs 51.6% in PS 2. The pooled 2-year OS rate with nivolumab in patients with and without brain metastases was 22.1% and 26.1% respectively, and this difference was significant in 36% of individual studies.While the OS benefits of IO seen in real-world studies among pre-treated, advanced NSCLC patients are consistent with pivotal clinical trials, these tend to vary for the more vulnerable patient groups, such as patients with poor PS, which are often excluded from trials. Further research is needed to investigate findings in patients with brain and liver metastases.

Objectives The introduction of innovative, high-cost oncology treatments, coupled with mounting budgetary pressures, necessitates value trade-offs across cancer types. Defining value is critical to informing decision-making. A cost-value analysis tool was used to assess relative clinical value from a US perspective using multiple outcome metrics for a variety of metastatic cancers. Methods Literature published (January 1, 2000-August 31, 2016) was reviewed to identify outcome metrics for approved treatments for metastatic cancers. Data were extracted or derived for median and mean overall survival (OS), landmark survival rates, and other survival metrics, and compared across treatments vs their respective trial comparators, with and without considering costs. Results Reported survival metrics varied by agent within cancer type. For treatment of prostate cancer, abiraterone yielded the highest improvement in 1-year survival rate (13.7%, previously treated), whereas enzalutamide yielded the highest median OS improvement (4.8 months, previously treated) and sipuleucel-T, the highest mean OS improvement (3.6 months, previously untreated) vs their respective trial comparators. For treatment of non-small cell lung cancer vs their respective trial comparators, nivolumab yielded the highest improvement in mean OS (11.9 months) and 3-year survival rate (12.6%), each in previously treated squamous disease, whereas afatinib yielded the highest median OS improvement (4.1 months, previously untreated EGFR del19 and L858R mutants). Cost-value analysis results varied with the applied survival metric. Conclusions Although median OS is the traditional gold standard oncology efficacy metric, it fails to capture long-term survival benefits-the ultimate goal of cancer treatment-offered by new treatment modalities. Diverse metrics are needed for comprehensive value assessments of cancer therapies.

OBJECTIVE We aim to describe treatment patterns and overall survival (OS) among a Portuguese cohort of patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC). METHODS This study utilised a database held by IPO-Porto, Portugal's largest oncology hospital. Adult patients diagnosed with SCLC at IPO-Porto between January 2012 and June 2017, with follow-up to December 2017, were included. Patients were stratified into subgroups with limited disease (LD) or extensive disease (ED). Treatment analyses were performed from 2015 onwards. RESULTS Overall, 227 patients diagnosed with SCLC (37 LD; 190 ED) were analysed. Median OS (interquartile range [IQR]) was 15.0 months (3.8-39.3) for LD-SCLC and 5.0 months (1.7-10.3) for ED-SCLC. Among 19 patients diagnosed with LD-SCLC from 2015 onwards, 12 (63.2%) received initial treatment with systemic anticancer therapy (SACT) ± radiotherapy; 6 (31.6%) received best supportive care (BSC). Among 89 patients with ED-SCLC, 57 (68.5%) received SACT ± palliative radiotherapy; 28 (31.5%) received BSC. For patients receiving platinum doublet chemotherapy (±radiotherapy), median OS (IQR) was not reached for LD-SCLC and 5.4 months (2.3-10.9) for ED-SCLC. CONCLUSION This real-world data analysis from a large Portuguese oncology hospital demonstrates a high disease burden for patients diagnosed with SCLC, particularly those with ED, and highlights a need for more effective therapies.

Introduction SCAN-LEAF, part of the I-O Optimise initiative, is a retrospective, longitudinal study investigating the epidemiology, clinical care, and outcomes for patients with NSCLC in Scandinavia. We report overall survival (OS) trends for patients diagnosed with NSCLC in Sweden and Denmark between 2005 and 2015. Methods Swedish and Danish cohorts were established by linking national registries. Data on all adults diagnosed with incident NSCLC from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2015, were included. For temporal analyses of OS trends, patients were stratified by TNM stage and histology. Results Between 2005 and 2015, a total of 30,067 and 31,939 patients from Sweden and Denmark, respectively, were diagnosed with NSCLC; the most common histological subtype was nonsquamous cell carcinoma (56.9% and 53.0%) and 48.4% and 51.6% were diagnosed at stage IV. Over the study period, significant improvements in short-term survival (1 y) were observed for patients with nonsquamous cell carcinoma in both countries, regardless of disease stage at diagnosis; however, improvements in longer-term survival (5 y) were limited to patients with stage I and II disease only. Conversely, among patients with squamous cell histology, improvements in short-term survival were only observed for stage I disease in Sweden and stage IIIA disease in Denmark, while significant improvements in longer-term survival were seen only for stage IIIA NSCLC in both countries. Conclusions Despite some survival improvements between 2005 and 2015, an unmet need remains for patients with advanced NSCLC, particularly those with squamous cell histology. Future analyses will evaluate the impact of newer treatments on OS in NSCLC.

Background: Model structure, despite being a key source of uncertainty in economic evaluations, is often not treated as a priority for model development. In oncology, partitioned survival models (P...

Background Existing economic model frameworks may not adequately capture the atypical treatment response patterns in immuno-oncology (I-O) compared with conventional therapies and thus may fail to represent the full clinical value associated with disease dynamics and improved survival. Objective A cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) of the I-O Regimen (nivolumab/ipilimumab) versus ipilimumab alone in advanced melanoma was carried out by applying a 5-state partitioned survival model (PSM) as a case study, to explore the I-O treatment response and clinical outcomes. The findings were compared with those of a conventional 3-state PSM. Materials and Methods The case study extends the conventional 3-state PSM, by separating the pre-progression state into non-responders and responders, and the post-progression state into normal and I-O progression to account for delayed treatment effects preceding clinical response. Model states were populated using patient-level data (where possible), mapping from the best overall response (BOR), and survival analysis with flexible and traditional parametric methods. Survival functions were applied to progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) endpoints across treatment arms using the 4-year follow-up data (data available at the time of the research; since then 5-year follow-up data have been published) from the CheckMate 067 trial. Information on BOR was used as a means of differentiating the I-O treatment response in addition to the outcomes of progression-free and progressed disease. A UK National Health Service and personal social services (NHS/PSS) perspective over a lifetime horizon was used with outcomes discounted at 3.5% annually. Results The 5-state PSM generated an increase in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) in both treatment arms and gave a more granular description of patients’ health profiles compared with the traditional 3-state PSM. The incremental QALY increased by 13% (from 2.62 to 2.95 QALYs) and the incremental cost decreased by 12% (£29,125 to £25,678) with the 5-state model. In both models, the Regimen had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) relative to ipilimumab alone within the lower bound of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) reference range (£20,000 per QALY gained). Conclusion A 5-state economic model, incorporating relevant I-O health states, can be more informative to gain insight into treatment response and progression differences that are not commonly captured in existing economic models. Clinical trial endpoints, including those relating to treatment response, which are not directly reported in ongoing I-O trials, can be mapped on to the proposed modelled health states (although assumptions are required to do so). Improvements in reporting treatment response in future I-O clinical trials could help to further validate and improve the proposed model framework.

Aim: To estimate the comparative efficacy of nivolumab ± ipilimumab versus alternative treatments for small-cell lung cancer after at least one prior line of chemotherapy. Materials & m ethods: A systematic literature review identified six randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that could be connected in a network. The Kaplan–Meier survival curves from these RCTs were synthesized using network meta-analysis models. Aggregate-level matching was used to connect CheckMate 032 to the RCTs. Results: CheckMate 032 was connected to the network by Amrubicin Clinical Trial-1. Nivolumab ± ipilimumab had a more durable tumor response and more favorable long-term survival versus topotecan via intravenous and versus amrubicin. Conclusion: Compared with chemotherapies for recurrent small-cell lung cancer, nivolumab ± ipilimumab improves response duration, which may translate to long-term survival benefits.

e21714 Background: Data from clinical studies demonstrate a long-term survival benefit of nivolumab in previously treated advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with overall survival (OS) at two-years of 27%, however real-world data are limited. We report OS in patients pooled from two prospective multi-centre observational cohort studies in France (EVIDENS, NCT03382496) and Germany (ENLARGE, NCT02910999) and a third retrospective registry of patients treated through expanded access to nivolumab in Canada. Methods: Individual patient data from each cohort were pooled and harmonised in eligibility criteria and variable definitions. Included patients had locally advanced or metastatic (stage IIIB/IV) NSCLC, received nivolumab after at least one prior systemic therapy and had no other concurrent primary cancers. OS was estimated from nivolumab initiation until death or censoring using Kaplan-Meier method. Equality of survival distributions across cohorts was measured using log-rank test. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated from unstratified Cox proportional hazards regression models to explore survival among subgroups. Data on bone and liver metastases, PD-L1 and safety were available and analysed for France and Germany only. Results: Data from 2582 patients (48% France; 34% Germany; 18% Canada) were pooled. Baseline characteristics were: median age 66 years, 64% male, 82% ECOG 0-1, 69% 1 prior line of therapy, 68% non-squamous histology, and 18% with brain metastases (treated or untreated). Median follow-up was 8 months. No difference in OS was observed between countries. The 2-year OS was 28% (95%CI 25-31) for all patients, 26% (95%CI 21-31) for squamous histology and 29% (95%CI 26-33) for non-squamous histology. Bone metastases (HR 1.42; 95%CI 1.26-1.60; P= < .0001) and liver metastases (HR 1.60; 95%CI 1.39-1.85; P= < .0001) were associated with shorter survival, while ECOG PS 0-1 (HR 0.61; 95%CI 0.52-0.71; P= < .0001) and PD-L1 positivity (HR 0.75; 95%CI 0.60-0.93; P= < .0001) were associated with prolonged survival. Rates of any grade and grade 3/4 treatment-related adverse events (TRAE) were 32% and 7% respectively. Conclusions: In this three-country pooled analysis of nivolumab in previously treated advanced NSCLC, real-world overall survival at 2-years was consistent with pivotal nivolumab trials overall and in subgroups. Rates of grade 3/4 TRAEs were comparable, but events of lower grade may be underreported in the real world.

EJ Gibson,1 N Begum,1 I Koblbauer,1 G Dranitsaris,2 D Liew,3 P McEwan,4 AA Tahami Monfared,5,6 Y Yuan,7 A Juarez-Garcia,7 D Tyas,8 M Lees9 1Wickenstones Ltd, Didcot, UK; 2Augmentium Pharma Consulting Inc, Toronto, ON, Canada; 3Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Alfred Hospital, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; 4Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, Cardiff, UK; 5Bristol-Myers Squibb Canada, Saint-Laurent, QC Canada; 6Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; 7Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, USA; 8Bristol-Myers Squibb, Uxbridge, UK; 9Bristol-Myers Squibb, Rueil-Malmaison, France Background: Economic models in oncology are commonly based on the three-state partitioned survival model (PSM) distinguishing between progression-free and progressive states. However, the heterogeneity of responses observed in immuno-oncology (I-O) suggests that new approaches may be appropriate to reflect disease dynamics meaningfully. Materials and methods: This study explored the impact of incorporating immune-specific health states into economic models of I-O therapy. Two variants of the PSM and a Markov model were populated with data from one clinical trial in metastatic melanoma patients. Short-term modeled outcomes were benchmarked to the clinical trial data and a lifetime model horizon provided estimates of life years and quality adjusted life years (QALYs). Results: The PSM-based models produced short-term outcomes closely matching the trial outcomes. Adding health states generated increased QALYs while providing a more granular representation of outcomes for decision making. The Markov model gave the greatest level of detail on outcomes but gave short-term results which diverged from those of the trial (overstating year 1 progression-free survival by around 60%). Conclusion: Increased sophistication in the representation of disease dynamics in economic models is desirable when attempting to model treatment response in I-O. However, the assumptions underlying different model structures and the availability of data for health state mapping may be important limiting factors. Keywords: immuno therapy, metastatic melanoma, nivolumab, dacarbazine, Markov, partitioned survival&nbsp

Background: As part of I-O Optimise, a multinational research platform providing real-world insights into the management of lung cancers, the SCAN-LEAF study aims to describe the epidemiology, clinical care, and outcomes for pts with NSCLC in Scandinavia. Here, we report temporal OS trends among pts diagnosed with incident NSCLC from 2005 to 2015 in Denmark and Sweden. Methods: The SCAN-LEAF Danish and Swedish cohorts were established by linking respective national registries and include all adult pts diagnosed with incident NSCLC from Jan 2005 to Dec 2015 (follow-up to Dec 2016). The Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate OS at 1, 3, and 5 yrs by histology (non-squamous cell [NSQ] or squamous cell [SQ]), TNM stage, and yr of diagnosis; changes in OS over time were assessed using the Cochrane–Armitage test. Results: 31,939 pts in Denmark and 30,067 pts in Sweden were diagnosed with NSCLC from 2005 to 2015. Most were diagnosed at stage IV (51.6% and 48.4%, respectively) and had NSQ histology (54.4% and 60.4%). Statistically significant trends (P 5% over the analysis period were seen for NSQ pts at 1 yr for all stages in both countries (Table); at 3 yrs for stages I–IIIB in Denmark (P ≤ 0.027), and stages I–II (P ≤ 0.0013) in Sweden; and at 5 yrs for stages I–II (P ≤ 0.026) in both countries. For SQ pts, this was seen only at 1 yr for stage IIIA in Denmark and stage I in Sweden (Table), and at 5 yrs for stage IIIA in Denmark (p = 0.02). Conclusions: Despite some improvements between 2005 and 2015, mainly in the short-term survival of pts with early-stage NSCLC, long-term OS rates for pts with late-stage disease did not change significantly and remained low. Even in pts with early-stage disease, OS outcomes were suboptimal, with a particular unmet need in the SQ population. Future analyses including data after 2015 will evaluate the potential impact on OS of increased use of new TKIs and immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Background: As part of I-O Optimise, a multinational research platform providing real-world insights into the management of lung cancers, the SCAN-LEAF study aims to describe the epidemiology, clinical care and outcomes for pts with NSCLC in Scandinavia. We report initial Tx and OS for pts with NSCLC prior to the availability of immunotherapies in Sweden. Methods: The analysis includes all adult pts diagnosed with NSCLC at Uppsala and Karolinska (Stockholm) University Hospitals from 2012 to 2015 (follow-up to Dec 2016). Electronic medical record data were extracted using Pygargus CXP software and linked with national registries. Bespoke rule-based algorithms were applied to describe Tx patterns; Kaplan–Meier methods were used to estimate OS. Results: 2779 pts were diagnosed with incident NSCLC (median age, 70 yrs [range: 22–96; 14.2% ≥80]; male, 48.5%; histology: non-squamous (NSQ), 70.9%, squamous (SQ), 17.7%, other, 11.4%; stage distribution: I, 19.3%; II, 7.7%; IIIA, 12.3%; IIIB, 7.2%; IV, 51.2%). Initial Tx (≤6 months from diagnosis) by stage and yr of diagnosis is shown in the table. Median OS (months) for NSQ and SQ pts: not reached and 52.8 in stage I, 43.2 and 23.6 in stage II, 26.7 and 20.4 in stage IIIA, 12.5 and 12.9 in stage IIIB, and 7.6 and 6.1 in stage IV, respectively. Among stage IIIB–IV pts, 60.7% (NSQ) and 53.5% (SQ) had ≥1 line of systemic anti-cancer therapy (SACT); median OS was 12.2 (NSQ) and 10.4 (SQ) months in pts on SACT, and 3.1 (NSQ) and 3.7 (SQ) months in pts not on SACT. Ongoing analyses will assess factors associated with SACT receipt in stage IIIB–IV pts. Conclusions: Swedish pts with NSCLC had a high burden of disease, with most diagnosed at stage IV and a median OS of 1 yr in late-stage pts receiving SACT. There is also scope for improved prognosis in pts diagnosed at early stages, particularly in SQ pts. Future analyses will assess the potential impact of recent improvements in diagnostics and therapeutics on Tx patterns and OS in Swedish NSCLC pts. (Less)

Objectives Although brentuximab vedotin (BV) has changed the management of patients with relapsed or refractory Hodgkin lymphoma (RRHL), little information is available on routine clinical practice. We identified treatment patterns and costs of care among RRHL patients in the United States (US) treated with BV. Methods A retrospective observational study of adults initiating BV for RRHL from 2011–2015, with ≥6 months of data prior to and following BV initiation, was conducted. Treatments were classified based on dispensations and chemotherapy administration. Median total and monthly costs were estimated based on all-cause healthcare resource use in 2015 US dollars (USD). Results The cohort comprised 289 patients (59% male; mean age at diagnosis, 42 years) with a mean follow-up of 250 weeks. Eleven percent had BV salvage therapy prior to ASCT, and 32% had BV for a relapse post-ASCT. 43% received treatment post-BV, most commonly allogeneic stem cell transplant (SCT) and bendamustine (both 10.2%). Median (IQR) total costs from BV initiation to censoring were 294,790 (142,110–483,360) USD; and were highest among those treated with BV prior to ASCT (up to 421,900 [300,940–778,970] USD). Median monthly costs were almost 20,000 USD per month, and up to 25,000 USD per month among those with BV and ASCT. Medications were the greatest driver of median monthly costs. Conclusions Median total all-cause costs were almost 300,000 USD, and median monthly costs approximately 20,000 USD, per patient treated. Patients requiring treatment following BV continue to incur high costs, highlighting the economic burden associated with managing patients in the RRHL setting.

Objective: To determine if a disease management programme for patients with coronary heart disease and heart failure represents an efficient use of health services resources. Methods: We carried out an economic evaluation alongside a cluster randomised control trial of 1163 patients with coronary heart disease and chronic heart failure in 20 primary care practices in the United Kingdom. Practices were randomised to either a control group, where patients received standard general practice care, or an intervention group where patients had access to a specialist nurse-led disease management programme. We estimated costs in both groups for coronary heart disease-related resource use. The main outcome measure used in the economic evaluation was quality adjusted life years (QALY) measured using the EuroQol. Results: The disease management programme was associated with an increase in the QALY measured of 0.03 per year and an increase in the total NHS costs of £425 (€540), of this only £83 was directly associated with the provision of the nurse clinics. The clinics generated additional QALY at an incremental cost of £13 158 per QALY compared to the control group. Conclusions: The use of a nurse-led disease management programme is associated with increased costs in other coronary heart disease-related services as well as for the costs of the clinics. They are also associated with improvements in health. Even in the short term these disease management programmes may represent a cost-effective service, as additional QALY are generated at an acceptable extra cost.

Summary Background The management of epilepsy incurs significant costs to the United Kingdom (UK) National Health Service (NHS). Making a diagnosis of epilepsy can, however, be difficult and misdiagnosis frequently occurs when patients are seen by non-specialists. This study estimates the financial costs of epilepsy misdiagnosis in the NHS in England and Wales. Methods Standard costing methods were applied to estimate the costs attributable to epilepsy misdiagnosis. The primary data were published in UK studies on the prevalence of epilepsy, epilepsy misdiagnosis and costs identified from Medline, Cinahl and Embase (1996–May 2006). Results An estimated total of 92,000 people were misdiagnosed with epilepsy in England and Wales in 2002. The average medical cost per patient per year of misdiagnosis was £316, with the chief economic burdens being inpatient admissions (45%), inappropriate prescribing of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) (26%), outpatient attendances (16%) and general practitioner (GP) care (8%). The estimated annual medical costs in England and Wales were £29,000,000, while total costs could reach up to £138,000,000 a year. Conclusions Allowing for uncertainty, and considering the analysis exclusively from the NHS/CBS (community based services) perspective the opportunity costs of misdiagnosis are substantial. There is a need for health care commissioners to ensure that misdiagnosis is kept to a minimum by ensuring that individuals with a recent onset suspected seizure are seen as soon as possible by a specialist medical practitioner with training and expertise in epilepsy.

Introduction: Apixaban, a novel oral direct factor Xa inhibitor has clearly demonstrated clinical benefit in stroke or systemic embolism (SE) reduction without impacting the risk of major bleeding or intracranial hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Here we present the patient characteristics of the Latin American cohort (patients from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Puerto Rico) relative to the overall clinical trial population. Methods: Patients with AF who also had at least one risk factor for stroke were randomized to receive apixaban (at a dose of 5 mg twice daily) or warfarin (target international normalized ratio, 2.0 to 3.0) in a double blind clinical trial. The study recruited from 39 countries from December 2006 through April 2010. Of the 36 countries seven were from the Latin America region: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, and Puerto Rico. Patient characteristics from the Latin American (LA) cohort, is presented relative to the patient characteristics of the overall trial population. Results: There were 18,201 patients in the study, of which 3,468 were from Latin America which comprised approximately 19% of the trial population. The median age was similar between the LA cohort and the total study population, 71 (IQR 64-77) and 70 (IQR 63-76) respectively. The majority of patients were male, 60.2 and 64.7% for the LA and total study populations respectively. At enrollment, 14% of the LA cohort had a previous stroke, transient ischemic attack, or systemic embolism and 19% in the overall trial population. Mean CHADS2 score at enrollment for the LA cohort was 2.1±1.1, which is the same as the overall population. When region subgroup analysis was performed, there was no statistically significant (p> 01.0) interactions between treatment effects and geographic region. Conclusions: Baseline demographic and disease characteristics data from the LA cohort are relatively similar to that of the clinical trial population for the LA cohort. Results, in terms of safety and efficacy, given the total population trial, are expected to be consistent since interaction between treatment effects and geography was not significant.

Better schemes for providing screening for sickle cell and sickle diseases are to be commended. However, I am concerned that the article by Bryan et al1 is based too heavily upon a cultural paradigm that is white, Anglo-Saxon, agnostic, and pro-choice. This is revealed by the early statement implying that screening later than 10 weeks will be ‘too late to make reproductive choices’. In many Mediterranean and Asian cultures, the first and most important reproductive choice is to get married, and this very often happens a long time before conception. The intent thereafter is to have children, not whether to do so. Screening after that point can generally be regarded as too late within the framework of this article, in which the flow chart and commentary seem to be looking at screening for, and probable termination of, affected pregnancies. A greater concern for many ‘traditionally minded’ cultures, in which the concept of termination is not happily entertained, would perhaps be to identify support available to the parents and future children. An increased rate of pregnancy loss, following on from earlier antenatal screening and consequent chorionic villus sampling, may be seen in such situations as counterproductive. Later diagnosis would be less risky to the child (and less costly) and still allow ample time for preparation for child care, that may involve technologies such as infant bone marrow transplantation to minimise ongoing childhood and adult illness. The first step must surely be to decide whether the screening is to eradicate babies with these haemogobinopathies or to provide support to the future parents of affected children. An even better screening programme may be offered before marriage, thus truly allowing the reproductive choice suggested by this article! This approach has been taken in some Asian communities in High Wycombe, and perhaps elsewhere.

Objectives: To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of buprenorphine maintenance therapy (BMT) and methadone maintenance therapy (MMT) for the management of opioid-dependent individuals. Data sources: Major electronic databases were searched from inception to August 2005. Industry submissions to the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence were accessed. Review methods: The assessment of clinical effectiveness was based on a review of existing reviews plus an updated search for randomised controlled trials (RCTs). A decision tree with Monte Carlo simulation model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of BMT and MMT. Retention in treatment and opiate abuse parameters were sourced from the meta-analysis of RCTs directly comparing flexible MMT with flexible dose BMT. Utilities were derived from a panel representing a societal perspective. Results: Most of the included systematic reviews and RCTs were of moderate to good quality, and focused on short-term (up to 1-year follow-up) outcomes of retention in treatment and the level of opiate use (self-report or urinalysis). Most studies employed a trial design that compared a fixed-close strategy (i.e. all individuals received a standard dose) of MMT or BMT and were conducted in predominantly young men who fulfilled criteria as opiate-dependent or heroin-dependent users, without significant co-morbidities. RCT meta-analyses have shown that a fixed dose of MMT or BMT has superior levels of retention in treatment and opiate use than placebo or no treatment, with higher fixed doses being more effective than lower fixed doses. There was evidence, primarily from non-randomised observational studies, that fixed-dose MMT reduces mortality, HIV risk behavior and levels of crime compared with no therapy and one small RCT has shown the level of mortality with fixed-dose BMT to be significantly less than with placebo. Flexible dosing (i.e. individualised doses) of MMT and BMT is more reflective of real-world practice. Retention in treatment was superior for flexible MMT than flexible BMT dosing but there was no significant difference in opiate use. Indirect comparison of data from population cross-sectional studies suggests that mortality with BMT may be lower than that with MMT. A pooled RCT analysis showed no significant difference in serious adverse events with MMT compared with BMT. Although treatment modifier evidence was limited, adjunct psychosocial and contingency interventions (e.g. financial incentives for opiate-free urine samples) appeared to enhance the effects of both, MMT and BMT. Also, MMT and BMT appear to be similarly effective whether delivered in a primary care or outpatient clinic setting. Although most of the included economic evaluations were considered to be of high quality, none used all of the appropriate parameters, effectiveness data, perspective and comparators required to make their results generalisable to the NHS context. One company (Schering-Plough) submitted cost-effectiveness evidence based on an economic model that had a 1-year time horizon and sourced data from a single RCT of flexible-dose MMT compared with flexible-dose BMT and utility values obtained from the literature; the results showed that for MMT vs no drug therapy, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was £12,584/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), for BMT versus no drug therapy, the ICER was £30,048/QALY and in a direct comparison, MMT was found to be slightly more effective and less costly than BMT. The assessment group model found for MMT versus no drug therapy that the ICER was £13,697/QALY, for BMT versus no drug therapy that the ICER was £26,429/QALY and, as with the industry model, in direct comparison, MMT was slightly more effective and less costly than BMT. When considering social costs, both MMT and BMT gave more health gain and were less costly than no drug treatment. These findings were robust to deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: Both flexible-dose MMT and BMT are more clinically effective and more cost-effective than no drug therapy in dependent opiate users. In direct comparison, a flexible dosing strategy with MMT was found be somewhat more effective in maintaining individuals in treatment than flexible-dose BMT and therefore associated with a slightly higher health gain and lower costs. However, this needs to be balanced by the more recent experience of clinicians in the use of buprenorphine, the possible risk of higher mortality of MMT and individual opiate-dependent users' preferences. Future research should be directed towards the safety and effectiveness of MMT and BMT; potential safety concerns regarding methadone and buprenorphine, specifically mortality and key drug interactions; efficacy of substitution medications (in particular patient subgroups, such as within the criminal justice system, or within young people); and uncertainties in cost-effectiveness identified by current economic models. © Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO 2007. All rights reserved.

Objectives: To investigate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of naltrexone for relapse prevention in detoxified formerly opioid-dependent individuals compared with any strategy that does not use naltrexone, including treatment with placebo, other pharmacological treatments, psychosocial interventions or no treatment. Data sources: Major electronic databases were searched from inception to September 2005. Review methods: Selected studies were screened and quality assessed. Meta-analyses were carried out as appropriate. A decision-analytic model using Monte Carlo simulation was developed that compared naltrexone as an adjunctive therapy to no naltrexone. It assumed compliance rates that were not enhanced by contingent management rewards (because this is current UK practice). Utility values could not be identified from the literature and so were obtained by research specially commissioned from the Value of Health Panel. Results: The methodological quality of the 26 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that met the inclusion criteria was poor to moderate. The results suggest that naltrexone as maintenance therapy may be better than placebo in terms of retention in treatment, but this was not statistically significant. A meta-analysis of seven included RCTs gave the relative risk (RR) of loss of retention in treatment in the naltrexone arm as 0.94. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) reported in five of the RCTs for retention in treatment data followed up to 35 weeks was calculated as 0.90 in favour of naltrexone and also did not reach statistical significance. The risk of drug abuse in naltrexone versus placebo, with or without psychological support given in both arms, gave a pooled RR of 0.72, which was a statistically significant difference in favour of naltrexone. The pooled HR from three RCTs for opioid relapse-free rates was significantly different from placebo in favour of naltrexone 0.53; however, this fell off over time and may be of limited clinical significance. The RR of reimprisonment while on naltrexone therapy showed results in favour of naltrexone in the combined two studies of parolees or people on probation, but the number of participants was small. One study of 52 participants found that the difference in improvement score for risky sexual behaviour in the naltrexone group compared with the placebo group was not statistically significant. The adverse events data reported showed no significant difference between the naltrexone and placebo arms. The quality of the nine RCTs of interventions designed to increase retention with naltrexone was poor to moderate; however, all three different modalities of enhanced care showed some evidence of effectiveness. All of the contingency management programmes used incentive vouchers; the mean duration of treatment retention was 7.4 weeks for the contingency management intervention compared with 2.3-5.6 weeks for the naltrexone treatment alone. The mean length of time for which patients stayed on naltrexone was 84-103 days with additional psychosocial therapy compared with 43-64 days for the control group. In trials with added pharmacological agents the RRs of stopping treatment were 1.63 at 6 months and 1.31 at 12 months (in favour of naltrexone plus fluoxetine). It became statistically significant at 6 months, but not at 12 months. A meta-analysis of the RR of stopping treatment at week 12 (the minimum follow-up period) was carried out using six of the nine studies. The pooled RR of stopping treatment was 0.81. The results indicated that overall the intervention groups had 19% fewer patients who stopped treatment compared with the control group, but there was only a small number of studies and their quality was relatively poor. No existing economic evaluations were identified. The point estimate for the cost-effectiveness of naltrexone was £42,500 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Sensitivity analysis was carried out and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio varied between £34,600 and £42,500 per QALY gained. Conclusions: Following successful withdrawal from opioids, naltrexone may be administered on a chronic basis to block any future effects of opioids. Naltrexone appears to have some limited benefit in helping formerly opioid-dependent individuals to remain abstinent, although the quality of the evidence is relatively poor and heterogeneous. The limited quality and extent of the studies precluded an analysis of subgroups likely to benefit from naltrexone prescribing. Oral naltrexone is used infrequently in current UK practice, and this review suggests that this is appropriate as there is little evidence to support its wider implementation. There is an important deficit in information about the quality of life of people who use illicit opioids and this would perhaps be a worthwhile area of research in informing policy questions about the cost-effectiveness of different programmes and interventions. © Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO 2007. All rights reserved.

Using two linked simulation models, we examine the public expenditure costs and distributional effects of potential reforms to long-term care funding in the UK. Changes to the means tests for user contributions to care costs are compared with options for the abolition of these means tests (‘free’ personal care). The latter generally cost more than the former and benefit higher income groups more than those on lower incomes (measuring income in relation to the age-specific income distribution). Reforms to the means tests target benefits towards those on lower incomes. However, the highest income group are net losers if free personal care is financed by a higher tax rate on higher incomes and the effect on the whole population considered.