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Eleven Earth System Models (ESMs) contributing to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) were evaluated with respect to climate‐related stressors impacting Arctic marine ecosystems (temperature, sea ice concentration, oxygen, ocean acidification). Stressors show regional differences and varying differences over time and space among models. Trends calculated over three consecutive 40‐year time periods are highest for 2061–2100 for temperature and O2. Differences between scenarios SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5 vary among models and regions, mainly driven by sea‐ice retreat and dilution effects. Differences in biogeochemical parameterizations contribute to acidification differences. Projections indicate consistent ocean acidification until 2040 and faster progression for the high‐end emission scenario thereafter. For SSP5‐8.5 all Arctic regions show aragonite undersaturation by 2080, and calcite undersaturation for all but two regions by 2100 for all models. Most regions can avoid calcite undersaturation in a medium emission scenario (SSP2‐4.5). All variables show increases in seasonal amplitude, most prominently for temperature and oxygen. Calcium carbonate saturation state (Ω) $({\Omega })$ shows little change to the seasonal range but temporal shifts in extrema. Seasonal changes in Ω ${\Omega }$ may be underestimated due to lacking carbon cycle processes within sea ice in CMIP6 models. The analysis emphasizes regionally varying threats from multiple stressors on Arctic marine ecosystems and highlights the propagation of uncertainties from physical to biogeochemical variables. Large model differences in seasonal cycles emphasize the need for improved model constraints regarding the representation of sea‐ice decline, river inflow and Atlantic and Pacific water circulation to enhance the applicability of CMIP models in multi‐stressor impacts assessments. Plain Language Summary: Multiple Earth System Model simulations were evaluated with respect to trends and projections of climate change‐related environmental stressors impacting Arctic marine ecosystems. Temperature, sea‐ice, oxygen and ocean acidification were assessed. Across the Arctic, the variables show regional differences and differences among models over time and space. Trends calculated over three consecutive 40‐year time periods are highest for 2061–2100 for temperature and oxygen. Future projections indicate consistent warming and ocean acidification until about 2040 and faster progression for the high‐end emission scenario thereafter. For the higher emission scenario all Arctic regions show corrosive conditions for aragonite‐shelled organisms by 2080, and calcite undersaturation for all but two regions by 2100. Only some regions can avoid aragonite undersaturation with a medium emission scenario, but most regions can avoid calcite undersaturation before 2100. All variables show increases in their seasonal amplitude, most prominently for temperature and oxygen. The analysis emphasizes regionally varying threats from multiple stressors on Arctic marine ecosystems and highlights that high uncertainties in sea ice projections, river inflows and Pacific and Atlantic water distributions lead to high uncertainties in temperature, salinity and biogeochemical variables. Better constraints are needed to enhance our ability to use CMIP models in multi‐stressor impacts assessments. Key Points: Arctic marine ecosystems experience enhanced climate stressors with differences over time and space and among models.Trend magnitudes are projected to further increase over time until 2100 for temperature and oxygen and to 2060 for CaCO3 saturation states.SSP2‐4.5 (medium) emissions can avoid calcite undersaturation before 2100, but few regions can avoid aragonite undersaturation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The national drifting station “North Pole-22” (NP -22 or SP -22) had been opened on September 13, 1973 in the Arctic on the big ice island and operated for 3130 days. Now it is the longest operating observational station in the history of Arctic studies of the USSR and the Russian Federation. For eight and a half years, its total drift amounted 17,069 km. During that period a wide complex of scientific programs in oceanography, geophysics, meteorology, glaciology, hydrography, hydrobiology was carried out here. In addition, field tests and implementation of new types of scientific instruments and introduction of new expeditionary polar equipment into the observation practice were performed. For the first time in the practice of the drifting NP/SP stations, oblique sounding of the ionosphere, observations of fine thermohaline structure of waters of the active layer of the Arctic Ocean were carried out. Geographical coordinates of the station drift were determined using Soviet satellite navigation systems; a complex for recording satellite images of the ice cover was deployed; investigations of the arctic ecosystems were made. Specific experiments were conducted aimed at the natural decomposition of heavy hydrocarbons by the ultraviolet solar radiation. The ice airfield of this station received 1,511 flights of aircraft and helicopters, delivering 2,961 tons of expedition cargos. Landings on this airfield were provided by flight teams of the High-Latitude Air Expedition “Sever” of the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute and the Hydrographic Service of the Northern Fleet. Foreign specialists repeatedly visited the station. For the nine rotations of polar explorers who worked at the NP/SP-22, its personnel amounted to 249 people, many of them several times worked at this drifting station in different years. The work of the NP/SP-22 team was appreciated by the government authorities of the USSR.

The Arctic tundra has a relatively low biodiversity but species living there have unique adaptations and are exposed to unprecedented rates of climate warming. Monitoring changes in Arctic biodiversity and identifying the driving forces is thus a pressing issue. Bylot Island in the Canadian Arctic has one of the longest and most comprehensive monitoring programs of the tundra food web, spanning four decades. We provide a historical overview of ecological studies on Bylot Island, summarize their key scientific contributions, show their impacts, and present the ingredients for the success of the program and the main challenges encountered. Some major contributions include demonstrating the key role of predation in structuring the tundra food web, the importance of exchanges between ecosystems for the persistence of top predators and their cascading effects on trophic interactions, the apparent resistance of the vertebrate biota to climate warming, the need to consider multiple hypotheses to explain northward range expansion of species and the benefits of integrating scientific data and local knowledge into ecological monitoring. The program has produced >250 journal articles and >80 graduate student theses, which generated >7,700 citations in the scientific literature. A high proportion (65%) of the articles had more citations than comparable publications in their field. The longevity and success of the program can be attributed to several factors, including a researcher-driven (i.e. bottom-up) approach to design the monitoring; long-term commitment of a small number of dedicated researchers and the strong participation of graduate students; the adoption of a food web rather than a single species perspective; extensive presence in the field; the combination of several methodological approaches; and the use of multiple spatial scales adapted to research questions of interest. Challenges encountered include funding issues, transfer of expertise over time, limited spatial replication, statistical design and maintaining partnerships. Robust monitoring is essential to provide sound baseline to detect future changes, and lessons learned from our program could improve future monitoring schemes in the Arctic. Paradoxically, we believe that ecological monitoring on Bylot Island has been successful in large part because it was not originally designed as a monitoring program per se. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Arctic tundra has a relatively low biodiversity but species living there have unique adaptations and are exposed to unprecedented rates of climate warming. Monitoring changes in Arctic biodiversity and identifying the driving forces is thus a pressing issue. Bylot Island in the Canadian Arctic has one of the longest and most comprehensive monitoring programs of the tundra food web, spanning four decades. We provide a historical overview of ecological studies on Bylot Island, summarize their key scientific contributions, show their impacts, and present the ingredients for the success of the program and the main challenges encountered. Some major contributions include demonstrating the key role of predation in structuring the tundra food web, the importance of exchanges between ecosystems for the persistence of top predators and their cascading effects on trophic interactions, the apparent resistance of the vertebrate biota to climate warming, the need to consider multiple hypotheses to explain northward range expansion of species and the benefits of integrating scientific data and local knowledge into ecological monitoring. The program has produced >250 journal articles and >80 graduate student theses, which generated >7,700 citations in the scientific literature. A high proportion (65%) of the articles had more citations than comparable publications in their field. The longevity and success of the program can be attributed to several factors, including a researcher-driven (i.e. bottom-up) approach to design the monitoring; long-term commitment of a small number of dedicated researchers and the strong participation of graduate students; the adoption of a food web rather than a single species perspective; extensive presence in the field; the combination of several methodological approaches; and the use of multiple spatial scales adapted to research questions of interest. Challenges encountered include funding issues, transfer of expertise over time, limited spatial replication, statistical design and maintaining partnerships. Robust monitoring is essential to provide sound baseline to detect future changes, and lessons learned from our program could improve future monitoring schemes in the Arctic. Paradoxically, we believe that ecological monitoring on Bylot Island has been successful in large part because it was not originally designed as a monitoring program per se.

Background: The positive effects of Arctic plants on the soil environment and plant-species co-occurrence patterns are known to be particularly important in physically harsh environments. Although three dominant plants (Cassiope tetragona, Dryas octopetala, and Silene acaulis) are abundant in the Arctic ecosystem at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard, few studies have examined their occurrence patterns with other species and their buffering effect on soil-temperature and soil-moisture fluctuation. To quantify the plant-species co-occurrence patterns and their positive effects on soil environments, I surveyed the vegetation cover, analyzed the soil-chemical properties (total carbon, total nitrogen, pH, and soil organic matter) from 101 open plots, and measured the daily soil-temperature and soil-moisture content under three dominant plant patches and bare soil. Results: The Cassiope tetragona and Dryas octopetala communities increased the soil-temperature stability; however, the three dominant plant communities did not significantly affect the soil-moisture stability. Non-metric multidimensional scaling separated the sampling sites into three groups based on the different vegetation compositions. The three dominant plants occurred randomly with other species; however, the vegetation composition of two positive co-occurring species pairs (Oxyria digyna-Cerastium acrticum and Luzula confusa-Salix polaris) was examined. The plant species richness did not significantly differ in the three plant communities. Conclusions: The three plant communities showed distinctive vegetation compositions; however, the three dominant plants were randomly and widely distributed throughout the study sites. Although the facilitative effects of the three Arctic plants on increases in the soil-moisture fluctuation and richness were not quantified, this research enables a deeper understanding of plant co-occurrence patterns in Arctic ecosystems and thereby contributes to predicting the shift in vegetation composition and coexistence in response to climate warming. This research highlights the need to better understand plant-plant interactions within tundra communities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract In species providing extended parental care, one or both parents care for altricial young over a period including more than one breeding season. We expect large parental investment and long‐term dependency within family units to cause high variability in life trajectories among individuals with complex consequences at the population level. So far, models for estimating demographic parameters in free‐ranging animal populations mostly ignore extended parental care, thereby limiting our understanding of its consequences on parents and offspring life histories. We designed a capture–recapture multievent model for studying the demography of species providing extended parental care. It handles statistical multiple‐year dependency among individual demographic parameters grouped within family units, variable litter size, and uncertainty on the timing at offspring independence. It allows for the evaluation of trade‐offs among demographic parameters, the influence of past reproductive history on the caring parent's survival status, breeding probability, and litter size probability, while accounting for imperfect detection of family units. We assess the model performance using simulated data and illustrate its use with a long‐term dataset collected on the Svalbard polar bears (Ursus maritimus). Our model performed well in terms of bias and mean square error and in estimating demographic parameters in all simulated scenarios, both when offspring departure probability from the family unit occurred at a constant rate or varied during the field season depending on the date of capture. For the polar bear case study, we provide estimates of adult and dependent offspring survival rates, breeding probability, and litter size probability. Results showed that the outcome of the previous reproduction influenced breeding probability. Overall, our results show the importance of accounting for i) the multiple‐year statistical dependency within family units, ii) uncertainty on the timing at offspring independence, and iii) past reproductive history of the caring parent. If ignored, estimates obtained for breeding probability, litter size, and survival can be biased. This is of interest in terms of conservation because species providing extended parental care are often long‐living mammals vulnerable or threatened with extinction.

Soil properties in the Arctic are insufficiently explored and documented, particularly extensive monitoring of soil water and soil temperature over a period of time. Soil water and soil temperature are critical for understanding land surface and atmosphere interactions and are considered key factors for revegetation during mine reclamation. This study assessed how substrate and topsoil influenced soil temperature and soil water content at a reclaimed diamond mine in the Northwest Territories of Canada. Three substrates (crushed rock, processed kimberlite, and lake sediment) with and without topsoil were used. Mean air temperature changed little from year to year, although summer temperature showed a slightly increasing trend. Both annual and summer precipitation sharply declined over time. Soil water was influenced more by substrate than by placing 10 cm of topsoil on it. Processed kimberlite had greater water retention characteristics and water content than lake sediment and crushed rock substrates (significantly). Surface soil water content was lower with than without topsoil, suggesting that 10 cm of topsoil was not enough to influence it. Soil temperatures were not influenced by either substrate or topsoil. This study suggests processed kimberlite could be used as a substrate component for water and temperature management during reclamation of this extreme environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ringed seals, which are small phocid seals, range across the circumpolar Arctic, and have evolved in close association with sea ice and depend on it for all aspects of their life history. This research study compares age structure, reproductive parameters, body size and condition during three time periods—1981–82 (n = 277), 2002–04 (n = 272) and 2012–18 (n = 212)—to study potential changes in demography in ringed seals in western Svalbard, Norway, an area that has undergone dramatic changes in sea-ice conditions during recent decades. Age distributions for the three time periods were similar, with the exception that the most recent period had a higher proportion of young animals. Age at sexual maturity for both sexes was similar for the two most recent periods, both being lower than in the 1980s. Ovulation rates did not vary significantly among the three periods (range 0.86–0.94). Pregnancy rates were only available for the most recent study period (0.71); this value falls within the range reported from other Arctic regions. Body length showed no clear temporal patterns; males were slightly longer in the most recent period, while females were slightly longer in the first period. Data from May in all periods suggest that body condition has not varied significantly through time. In conclusion, although the ringed seal breeding habitat in Svalbard has declined significantly in recent decades, demographic parameters appear to be largely unaffected. Life-history plasticity in combination with a small-scale regional variation in environmental conditions might explain the lack of changes in demography over time.

The trophic position concept is central in system ecology, and in this study, trophic position (TP) estimates from stable-isotopes and an Ecopath mass-balance food web model for the Barents Sea were compared. Two alternative models for estimating TP from stable isotopes, with fixed or scaled trophic fractionation were applied. The mass-balance model was parametrized and balanced for year 2000, was comprised of 108 functional groups (Gs), and was based on biomass and diet data largely based on predator stomach data. Literature search for the Barents Sea Large Marine Ecosystem revealed 93 sources with stable isotope data (δ15N values) for 83 FGs, and 25 of the publications had trophic position estimated from nitrogen stable isotopes. Trophic positions estimated from the mass-balance model ranged to 5.1 TP and were highly correlated with group mean δ15N values, and also highly correlated with the original literature estimates of trophic positions from stable isotopes. On average, TP from the mass-balance model was 0.1 TP higher than the original literature TP estimates (TPSIR) from stable isotopes. A trophic enrichment factor (TEF) was estimated assuming fixed fractionation and minimizing differences between trophic positions from Ecopath and TP predicted from δ15N values assuming a baseline value for δ15N calculated for pelagic particulate organic matter at a baseline TP of 1.0. The estimated TEF of 3.0‰ was lower than the most commonly used TEF of 3.4 and 3.8‰ in the literature. The pelagic whales and pelagic invertebrates functional groups tended to have higher trophic positions from Ecopath than from stable isotopes while benthic invertebrate functional groups tended to show an opposite pattern. Trophic positions calculated using the scaled trophic fractionation approach resulted in lower TP than from Ecopath for intermediate TPs and also a larger TP range in the BS. It is concluded that TPs estimated from δ15N values using a linear model compared better to the Ecopath model than the TPs from scaled fractionation approach.

The Arctic marine ecosystem is shaped by the seasonality of the solar cycle, spanning from 24-h light at the sea surface in summer to 24-h darkness in winter. The amount of light available for under-ice ecosystems is the result of different physical and biological processes that affect its path through atmosphere, snow, sea ice and water. In this article, we review the present state of knowledge of the abiotic (clouds, sea ice, snow, suspended matter) and biotic (sea ice algae and phytoplankton) controls on the underwater light field. We focus on how the available light affects the seasonal cycle of primary production (sympagic and pelagic) and discuss the sensitivity of ecosystems to changes in the light field based on model simulations. Lastly, we discuss predicted future changes in under-ice light as a consequence of climate change and their potential ecological implications, with the aim of providing a guide for future research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Environmental stressors related to climate change and other anthropogenic activities are impacting Arctic marine ecosystems at exceptional rates. Within this context, predicting future scenarios of deep‐sea ecosystems and their consequences linked with the fate of coastal areas is a growing need and challenge. We used an existing food‐web model developed to represent the outer basin of the Malangen fjord, a northern Norwegian deep‐sea ecosystem, to assess the potential effects of plausible future trajectories of change for major drivers in the area, including links to coastal kelp forests. We considered four major drivers (kelp particulate organic matter [POM] production entering the deep sea, fishing effort, king crab invasion, and ocean warming) to project 12 future scenarios using the temporal dynamic module of Ecopath with Ecosim approach. Overall, we found that the impact of warming on the deep‐sea ecosystem structure and functioning, as well as on ecosystem services, are predicted to be greater than changes in kelp forest dynamics and their POM production entering the deep sea and the king crab invasion. Yet, the cumulative impacts are predicted to be more important than noncumulative since some stressors acted synergistically. These results illustrate the vulnerability of sub‐Arctic and Arctic marine ecosystems to climate change and consequently call for conservation, restoration, and adaptation measures in deep‐sea and adjacent ecosystems. Results also highlight the importance of considering additional stressors affecting deep‐sea communities to predict cumulative impacts in an ecosystem‐based management and global change context and the interlinkages between coastal and deep‐sea environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In species providing extended parental care, one or both parents care for altricial young over a period including more than one breeding season. We expect large parental investment and long‐term dependency within family units to cause high variability in life trajectories among individuals with complex consequences at the population level. So far, models for estimating demographic parameters in free‐ranging animal populations mostly ignore extended parental care, thereby limiting our understanding of its consequences on parents and offspring life histories.We designed a capture–recapture multievent model for studying the demography of species providing extended parental care. It handles statistical multiple‐year dependency among individual demographic parameters grouped within family units, variable litter size, and uncertainty on the timing at offspring independence. It allows for the evaluation of trade‐offs among demographic parameters, the influence of past reproductive history on the caring parent's survival status, breeding probability, and litter size probability, while accounting for imperfect detection of family units. We assess the model performance using simulated data and illustrate its use with a long‐term dataset collected on the Svalbard polar bears (Ursus maritimus).Our model performed well in terms of bias and mean square error and in estimating demographic parameters in all simulated scenarios, both when offspring departure probability from the family unit occurred at a constant rate or varied during the field season depending on the date of capture. For the polar bear case study, we provide estimates of adult and dependent offspring survival rates, breeding probability, and litter size probability. Results showed that the outcome of the previous reproduction influenced breeding probability.Overall, our results show the importance of accounting for i) the multiple‐year statistical dependency within family units, ii) uncertainty on the timing at offspring independence, and iii) past reproductive history of the caring parent. If ignored, estimates obtained for breeding probability, litter size, and survival can be biased. This is of interest in terms of conservation because species providing extended parental care are often long‐living mammals vulnerable or threatened with extinction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Permafrost soils and arctic wetlands methane emissions represent an important challenge for modeling the future climate. Here we present a process‐based model designed to correctly represent the main thermal, hydrological, and biogeochemical processes related to these emissions for general land surface modeling. We propose a new multilayer soil carbon and gas module within the Interaction Soil‐Biosphere‐Atmosphere (ISBA) land‐surface model (LSM). This module represents carbon pools, vertical carbon dynamics, and both oxic and anoxic organic matter decomposition. It also represents the soil gas processes for CH4, CO2, and O2 through the soil column. We base CH4 production and oxydation on an O2 control instead of the classical water table level strata approach used in state‐of‐the‐art soil CH4 models. We propose a new parametrization of CH4 oxydation using recent field experiments and use an explicit O2 limitation for soil carbon decomposition. Soil gas transport is computed explicitly, using a revisited formulation of plant‐mediated transport, a new representation of gas bulk diffusivity in porous media closer to experimental observations, and an innovative advection term for ebullition. We evaluate this advanced model on three climatically distinct sites : two in Greenland (Nuuk and Zackenberg) and one in Siberia (Chokurdakh). The model realistically reproduces methane and carbon dioxide emissions from both permafrosted and nonpermafrosted sites. The evolution and vertical characteristics of the underground processes leading to these fluxes are consistent with current knowledge. Results also show that physics is the main driver of methane fluxes, and the main source of variability appears to be the water table depth.

Ringed seals, which are small phocid seals, range across the circumpolar Arctic, and have evolved in close association with sea ice and depend on it for all aspects of their life history. This research study compares age structure, reproductive parameters, body size and condition during three time periods--1981-82 (n = 277), 2002-04 (n = 272) and 2012-18 (n = 212)--to study potential changes in demography in ringed seals in western Svalbard, Norway, an area that has undergone dramatic changes in sea-ice conditions during recent decades. Age distributions for the three time periods were similar, with the exception that the most recent period had a higher proportion of young animals. Age at sexual maturity for both sexes was similar for the two most recent periods, both being lower than in the 1980s. Ovulation rates did not vary significantly among the three periods (range 0.86-0.94). Pregnancy rates were only available for the most recent study period (0.71); this value falls within the range reported from other Arctic regions. Body length showed no clear temporal patterns; males were slightly longer in the most recent period, while females were slightly longer in the first period. Data from May in all periods suggest that body condition has not varied significantly through time. In conclusion, although the ringed seal breeding habitat in Svalbard has declined significantly in recent decades, demographic parameters appear to be largely unaffected. Life-history plasticity in combination with a small-scale regional variation in environmental conditions might explain the lack of changes in demography over time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soils are important sources of nitric oxide (NO) and nitrous acid (HONO) in the atmosphere. These nitrogen (N)-containing gases play a crucial role in atmospheric chemistry and climate at different scales because of reactions modulated by NO and hydroxyl radicals (OH), which are formed via HONO photolysis. Northern permafrost soils have so far remained unexplored for HONO and NO emissions despite their high N stocks, capacity to emit nitrous oxide (N _2 O), and enhancing mineral N turnover due to warming and permafrost thawing. Here, we report the first HONO and NO emissions from high-latitude soils based on measurements of permafrost-affected subarctic peatlands. We show large HONO (0.1–2.4 µ g N m ^−2 h ^−1 ) and NO (0.4–59.3 µ g N m ^−2 h ^−1 ) emissions from unvegetated peat surfaces, rich with mineral N, compared to low emissions (⩽0.2 µ g N m ^−2 h ^−1 for both gases) from adjacent vegetated surfaces (experiments with intact peat cores). We observed HONO production under highly variable soil moisture conditions from dry to wet. However, based on complementary slurry experiments, HONO production was strongly favored by high soil moisture and anoxic conditions. We suggest urgent examination of other Arctic landscapes for HONO and NO emissions to better constrain the role of these reactive N gases in Arctic atmospheric chemistry.

The northern coast of Svalbard contains high-arctic fjords, such as Rijpfjorden (80°N 22°30′E). This area has experienced higher sea and air temperatures and less sea ice in recent years, and models predict increasing temperatures in this region. Part of the West Spitsbergen Current (WSC), which transports relatively warm Atlantic water along the continental slope west of Svalbard, bypasses these fjords on its route in the Arctic Ocean. In this setting, it is of interest to study the structure of water masses and plankton in the Atlantic Water Boundary Current. This study describes physical and biological conditions during summer (July–August, 2010–2014) from Rijpfjorden across the shelf and continental slope to the Arctic Ocean. Atlantic water (AW) resides over the upper continental slope and occasionally protrudes onto the shelf area. The interplay between the intrusion of AW and meltwater affected the chemical balance of the region by making the carbonate chemistry variable depending on season, depth and distance along the gradient. The pH (aragonite saturation) varied from 7.96 (0.99) to 8.58 (2.92). Highest values were observed in surface waters due to biological CO2 uptake, except in 2013, when meltwater decreased aragonite saturation to

Long-lived species share life history traits such as slow growth, late maturity, and low fecundity, which lead to slow recovery rates and increase a population’s vulnerability to disturbance. The Greenland shark (Somniosus microcephalus) has recently been recognized as the world’s longest-lived vertebrate, but many questions regarding its biology, physiology, and ecology remain unanswered. Here we review how current and future research will fill knowledge gaps about the Greenland shark and provide an overall framework to guide research and management priorities for this species. Key advances include the potential for specialized aging techniques and demographic studies to shed light on the distribution and age-class structure of Greenland shark populations. Advances in population genetics and genomics will reveal key factors contributing to the Greenland shark’s extreme longevity, range and population size, and susceptibility to environmental change. New tagging technologies and improvements in experimental and analytical design will allow detailed monitoring of movement behaviors and interactions among Greenland sharks and other marine species, while shedding light on habitat use and susceptibility to fisheries interactions. Interdisciplinary approaches, such as the combined use of stable isotope analysis and high-tech data-logging devices (i.e., accelerometers and acoustic hydrophones) have the potential to improve knowledge of feeding strategies, predatory capabilities, and the trophic role of Greenland sharks. Measures of physiology, including estimation of metabolic rate, as well as heart rate and function, will advance our understanding of the causes and consequences of long lifespans. Determining the extent and effects of current threats (as well as potential mitigation measures) will assist the development of policies, recommendations, and actions relevant for the management of this potentially vulnerable species. Through an interdisciplinary lens, we propose innovative approaches to direct the future study of Greenland sharks and promote the consideration of longevity as an important factor in research on aquatic and terrestrial predators.

The paper is considering teachings of foreign specialists of International Law and Policy, relating to the procedure of environmental impact assessment as it applies to the economic activity in the Arctic. Special attention is paid to views of different authors relevant to formats of participation of local population, including indigenous peoples, in the environmental impact assessment as a legal instrument.

To assess protistan grazing impact and temperature sensitivity on plankton population dynamics, we measured bulk and species-specific phytoplankton growth and herbivorous protist grazing rates in Disko Bay, West Greenland in April-May 2011. Rate estimates were made at three different temperatures in situ (0 °C), +3 °C and +6 °C over ambient. In situ Chlorophyll a (Chl a) doubled during the observation period to ∼12 µg Chl a L−1, with 60–97% of Chl a in the >20 µm size-fraction dominated by the diatom genus Chaetoceros. Herbivorous dinoflagellates comprised 60–80% of microplankton grazer biomass. At in situ temperatures, phytoplankton growth or grazing by herbivorous predators

During the N-ICE2015 drift expedition north-west of Svalbard, we observed the establishment and development of algal communities in first-year ice (FYI) ridges and at the snow-ice interface. Despite some indications of being hot spots for biological activity, ridges are under-studied largely because they are complex structures that are difficult to sample. Snow infiltration communities can grow at the snow-ice interface when flooded. They have been commonly observed in the Antarctic, but rarely in the Arctic, where flooding is less common mainly due to a lower snow-to-ice thickness ratio. Combining biomass measurements and algal community analysis with under-ice irradiance and current measurements as well as light modeling, we comprehensively describe these two algal habitats in an Arctic pack ice environment. High biomass accumulation in ridges was facilitated by complex surfaces for algal deposition and attachment, increased light availability, and protection against strong under-ice currents. Notably, specific locations within the ridges were found to host distinct ice algal communities. The pennate diatoms Nitzschia frigida and Navicula species dominated the underside and inclined walls of submerged ice blocks, while the centric diatom Shionodiscus bioculatus dominated the top surfaces of the submerged ice blocks. Higher light levels than those in and below the sea ice, low mesozooplankton grazing, and physical concentration likely contributed to the high algal biomass at the snow-ice interface. These snow infiltration communities were dominated by Phaeocystis pouchetii and chain-forming pelagic diatoms (Fragilariopsis oceanica and Chaetoceros gelidus). Ridges are likely to form more frequently in a thinner and more dynamic ice pack, while the predicted increase in Arctic precipitation in some regions in combination with the thinning Arctic icescape might lead to larger areas of sea ice with negative freeboard and subsequent flooding during the melt season. Therefore, these two habitats are likely to become increasingly important in the new Arctic with implications for carbon export and transfer in the ice-associated ecosystem.

Abstract The reduced sea ice extent and duration in the Arctic releases the rocky shores from one of its key physical disturbances shaping the zonation and depth extension of seaweed assemblages. In order to determine the consequences of reduced disturbance by sea ice, we studied the changes in the functioning and structure of the kelp belt at Hansneset, Kongsfjorden, between 1996-1998 and 2012–2014 using ecological network analysis (ENA). For each time period, a kelp belt flow network was constructed for 2.5 m and 5 m water depths in summer (June–July). We conducted a data-guided uncertainty analyses to evaluate the strength of the difference observed in the ENA results. At 2.5 m, the total system throughput –indicating the size of the system-significantly increased between the two periods. The number of parallel pathways (relative redundancy), the number of interactions (flow diversity) and the number of indirect interactions (Indirect/Direct) in the system were as well significantly higher at 2.5 m and 5 m in 2012–2014 compared to 1996–1998. These changes were related to the persistent colonization of the shallow sublittoral by kelps, which led to a diversification of filter feeders and an increase in omnivorous species. At 5 m, however, the kelp biomass and production decreased most likely due to the reduction of the underwater light climate between 1996-1998 and 2012–2014. In contrast, the macrozoobenthic biomass increased with a higher contribution of opportunistic and carnivorous species between these two periods. The increased values of these total system indicators suggest a more complex and mature kelp belt ecosystem in 2012–2014 compared to 1996–1998 probably due to the reduction of physical disturbances by ice. A future warming of the Arctic Ocean might enhance sea urchins grazing activity of kelp production as herbivory already increased between both periods. In a context of fast changes on ecosystem level triggered by concurrent multiple stressors, management objectives in the Arctic should be based on holistic approaches such as ENA. To do this, consistent monitoring of relevant food web components for model construction and data-guided uncertainty should be put in place. Highlights • Consistent and integrated management measures in the Arctic are very scares. • Kelp belt systems have great potential to develop in a warming Arctic. • We compared 4 kelp belt models representing 1996–98 and 2012–14 at 2.5 and 5 m depth. • The kelp belt system became more mature and resilient against external perturbations. • Further holistic monitoring of the very fast changing ecosystem are urgently needed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Permafrost soils and arctic wetlands methane emissions represent an important challenge for modeling the future climate. Here we present a process‐based model designed to correctly represent the main thermal, hydrological, and biogeochemical processes related to these emissions for general land surface modeling. We propose a new multilayer soil carbon and gas module within the Interaction Soil‐Biosphere‐Atmosphere (ISBA) land‐surface model (LSM). This module represents carbon pools, vertical carbon dynamics, and both oxic and anoxic organic matter decomposition. It also represents the soil gas processes for CH4, CO2, and O2 through the soil column. We base CH4 production and oxydation on an O2 control instead of the classical water table level strata approach used in state‐of‐the‐art soil CH4 models. We propose a new parametrization of CH4 oxydation using recent field experiments and use an explicit O2 limitation for soil carbon decomposition. Soil gas transport is computed explicitly, using a revisited formulation of plant‐mediated transport, a new representation of gas bulk diffusivity in porous media closer to experimental observations, and an innovative advection term for ebullition. We evaluate this advanced model on three climatically distinct sites : two in Greenland (Nuuk and Zackenberg) and one in Siberia (Chokurdakh). The model realistically reproduces methane and carbon dioxide emissions from both permafrosted and nonpermafrosted sites. The evolution and vertical characteristics of the underground processes leading to these fluxes are consistent with current knowledge. Results also show that physics is the main driver of methane fluxes, and the main source of variability appears to be the water table depth. Key Points: A vertically discretized soil carbon and methane emission module controlled by the O2 profile is developedNew parametrization of gas bulk diffusivity, methanotrophy, and ebullition are introduced; representations of many processes are revisitedThe model correctly represents methane fluxes and subsurface processes at three arctic sites, with and without permafrost [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Arctic may seem remote, but the unprecedented environmental changes occurring there have important consequences for global society. Of all Arctic system components, changes in permafrost (perennially frozen ground) are one of the least documented. Permafrost is degrading as a result of climate warming, and evidence is mounting that changing permafrost will have significant impacts within and outside the region. This review asks: What are key structural and functional properties of ecosystems that interact with changing permafrost, and how do these ecosystem changes affect local and global society? Here, we look beyond the classic definition of permafrost to include a broadened focus on the composition of frozen ground, including the ice and the soil organic carbon content, and how it is changing. This ecological perspective of permafrost serves to identify areas of both vulnerability and resilience as climate, ecological disturbance regimes, and the human footprint all continue to change in this sensitive and critical region of Earth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Arctic marine ecosystems support fisheries of significant and increasing economic and nutritional value. Commercial stocks are sustained by pelagic food webs with relatively few keystone taxa mediating energy transfer to higher trophic levels, and it remains largely unknown how these taxa will be affected by changing climate and the influx of boreal taxa. Calanus species store large quantities of lipids, making these zooplankton a critical link in marine food-webs. The Arctic Calanus species are usually larger and, importantly, have been suggested to contain disproportionately larger lipid stores than their boreal congeners. Continued climate warming and subsequent changes in primary production regimes have been predicted to lead to a shift from the larger, lipid-rich Arctic species, Calanus glacialis and Calanus hyperboreus, toward the smaller, boreal Calanus finmarchicus in the European Arctic, with negative consequences for top predators. Our data show that lipid content is closely related to body size for all three species, i.e. is not a species-specific trait, and that there is considerable overlap in size between C. finmarchicus and C. glacialis. A trait-based life-history model was used to examine an idealized scenario where, in a changed Arctic with a longer period of primary production, C. glacialis - and C. hyperboreus -like copepods are indeed replaced by C. finmarchicus -like individuals, whether through competition, plasticity, hybridization, or evolution. However, the model finds that transfer of energy from primary producers to higher predators may actually be more efficient in this future scenario, because of the changes in generation length and population turnover rate that accompany the body-size shifts. These findings suggest that Arctic marine food webs may be more resilient to climate-related shifts in the Calanus complex than previously assumed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Due to retreating sea ice and predictions of undiscovered oil and gas resources, increased activity in Arctic shelf sea areas associated with shipping and oil and gas exploration is expected. Such activities may accidentally lead to oil spills in partly ice-covered ocean areas, which raises issues related to oil spill response. Net Environmental Benefit Analysis (NEBA) is the process that the response community uses to identify which combination of response strategies minimises the impact to environment and people. The vulnerability of Valued Ecosystem Components (VEC's) to oil pollution depends on their sensitivity to oil and the likelihood that they will be exposed to oil. As such, NEBA requires a good ecological knowledge base on biodiversity, species' distributions in time and space, and timing of ecological events. Biological resources found at interfaces (e.g., air/water, ice/water or water/coastline) are in general vulnerable because that is where oil can accumulate. Here, we summarize recent information about the seasonal, physical and ecological processes in Arctic waters and evaluate the importance these processes when considering in oil spill response decision making through NEBA. In spring-time, many boreal species conduct a lateral migration northwards in response to sea ice retraction and increased production associated with the spring bloom. However, many Arctic species, including fish, seabirds and marine mammals, are present in upper water layers in the Arctic throughout the year, and recent research has demonstrated that bioactivity during the Arctic winter is higher than previously assumed. Information on the seasonal presence/absence of less resilient VEC's such as marine mammals and sea birds in combination with the presence/absence of sea ice seems to be especially crucial to consider in a NEBA. In addition, quantification of the potential impact of different, realistic spill sizes on the energy cascade following the spring bloom at the ice-edge would provide important information for assessing ecosystem effects. Highlights • Net Environmental Benefit Analysis (NEBA) is a process used to identify which combination of response strategies minimises the impact of oil spills to environment and people. • Biological resources found at marine interfaces are in general vulnerable because that is where oil can accumulate. • In spring-time, many boreal species migrate northwards in response to sea ice retraction and increased production associated with the spring bloom. • Some Arctic species are present in upper water layers in the Arctic throughout the year. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To assess protistan grazing impact and temperature sensitivity on plankton population dynamics, we measured bulk and species-specific phytoplankton growth and herbivorous protist grazing rates in Disko Bay, West Greenland in April-May 2011. Rate estimates were made at three different temperatures in situ (0 °C), +3 °C and +6 °C over ambient. In situ Chlorophyll a (Chl a) doubled during the observation period to ~12 µg Chl a L-1, with 60-97% of Chl a in the >20 µm size-fraction dominated by the diatom genus Chaetoceros. Herbivorous dinoflagellates comprised 60-80% of microplankton grazer biomass. At in situ temperatures, phytoplankton growth or grazing by herbivorous predators <200 µm was not measurable until 11 days after observations commenced. Thereafter, phytoplankton growth was on average 0.25 d-1. Phytoplankton mortality due to herbivorous grazing was only measured on three occasions but the magnitude was substantial, up to 0.58 d-1. Grazing of this magnitude removed ~100% of primary production. In short-term temperature-shift incubation experiments, phytoplankton growth rate increased significantly (20%) at elevated temperatures. In contrast, herbivorous protist grazing and species-specific growth rates decreased significantly (50%) at +6 °C. This differential response in phytoplankton and herbivores to temperature increases resulted in a decrease of primary production removed with increasing temperature. Phaeocystis spp. abundance was negatively correlated with bulk grazing rate. Growth and grazing rates were variable but showed no evidence of an inherent, low temperature limitation. Herbivorous protist growth rates in this study and in a literature review were comparable to rates from temperate waters. Thus, an inherent physiological inhibition of protistan growth or grazing rates in polar waters is not supported by the data. The large variability between lack of grazing and high rates of primary production removal observed here and confirmed in the literature for polar waters implies larger amplitude fluctuations in phytoplankton biomass than slower, steady grazing losses of primary production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid warming in northern ecosystems over the past four decades has resulted in earlier spring, increased precipitation, and altered timing of plant–animal interactions, such as herbivory. Advanced spring phenology can lead to longer growing seasons and increased carbon (C) uptake. Greater precipitation coincides with greater cloud cover possibly suppressing photosynthesis. Timing of herbivory relative to spring phenology influences plant biomass. None of these changes are mutually exclusive and their interactions could lead to unexpected consequences for Arctic ecosystem function. We examined the influence of advanced spring phenology, cloud cover, and timing of grazing on C exchange in the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta of western Alaska for three years. We combined advancement of the growing season using passive-warming open-top chambers (OTC) with controlled timing of goose grazing (early, typical, and late season) and removal of grazing. We also monitored natural variation in incident sunlight to examine the C exchange consequences of these interacting forcings. We monitored net ecosystem exchange of C (NEE) hourly using an autochamber system. Data were used to construct daily light curves for each experimental plot and sunlight data coupled with a clear-sky model was used to quantify daily and seasonal NEE over a range of incident sunlight conditions. Cloudy days resulted in the largest suppression of NEE, reducing C uptake by approximately 2 g C m ^−2 d ^−1 regardless of the timing of the season or timing of grazing. Delaying grazing enhanced C uptake by approximately 3 g C m ^−2 d ^−1 . Advancing spring phenology reduced C uptake by approximately 1.5 g C m ^−2 d ^−1 , but only when plots were directly warmed by the OTCs; spring advancement did not have a long-term influence on NEE. Consequently, the two strongest drivers of NEE, cloud cover and grazing, can have opposing effects and thus future growing season NEE will depend on the magnitude of change in timing of grazing and incident sunlight.

High-latitude and high-altitude ecosystems store large amounts of carbon (C) and play a vital role in the global C cycle. Soil respiration ( R _S ) in these ecosystems is believed to be extremely sensitive to climate warming and could potentially trigger positive C-climate feedback. However, this evidence is largely derived from wet ecosystems, with limited observations from dry ecosystems. Here, we explored the responses of R _S , autotrophic ( R _A ), and heterotrophic ( R _H ) respiration under experimental warming in a dry ecosystem, an alpine steppe on the Tibetan Plateau. We assessed the effects of soil temperature and moisture dynamics on R _S , R _A, and R _H and performed a meta-analysis to examine whether the warming effects observed were similar to those reported in wet ecosystems, including Tibetan alpine meadow and arctic ecosystem. Experimental warming did not alter R _S , R _A, and R _H in this alpine steppe, likely because decreased soil moisture constrained positive warming effects. In contrast, the meta-analysis revealed that R _S exhibited a significant increase under experimental warming in both the Tibetan alpine meadow and arctic wet tundra. These results demonstrate that R _S exhibits different responses to climate warming between dry and wet ecosystems, suggesting potential more complex C-climate feedback in cold regions.