1. Zero shot health trajectory prediction using transformer
- Author
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Pawel Renc, Yugang Jia, Anthony E. Samir, Jaroslaw Was, Quanzheng Li, David W. Bates, and Arkadiusz Sitek
- Subjects
Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,R858-859.7 - Abstract
Abstract Integrating modern machine learning and clinical decision-making has great promise for mitigating healthcare’s increasing cost and complexity. We introduce the Enhanced Transformer for Health Outcome Simulation (ETHOS), a novel application of the transformer deep-learning architecture for analyzing high-dimensional, heterogeneous, and episodic health data. ETHOS is trained using Patient Health Timelines (PHTs)—detailed, tokenized records of health events—to predict future health trajectories, leveraging a zero-shot learning approach. ETHOS represents a significant advancement in foundation model development for healthcare analytics, eliminating the need for labeled data and model fine-tuning. Its ability to simulate various treatment pathways and consider patient-specific factors positions ETHOS as a tool for care optimization and addressing biases in healthcare delivery. Future developments will expand ETHOS’ capabilities to incorporate a wider range of data types and data sources. Our work demonstrates a pathway toward accelerated AI development and deployment in healthcare.
- Published
- 2024
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