Jean-Marie Saurel, Thierry Kitou, Sébastien Deroussi, David Jessop, Arnaud Lemarchand, V. Robert, Nathalie Feuillet, P. Allard, Jean-Bernard de Chabalier, Giancarlo Tamburello, Martin Vallée, Dominique Gibert, Tara Shreve, François Beauducel, Roberto Moretti, Séverine Moune, Arnaud Burtin, Tristan Didier, Marina Rosas-Carbajal, Marc Chaussidon, G. Ucciani, Anne Le Friant, Pierre Agrinier, Magali Bonifacie, Jean-Christophe Komorowski, Observatoire Volcanologique et Sismologique de Guadeloupe (OVSG), Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (IPGP), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de La Réunion (UR)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-IPG PARIS-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS), Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans (LMV), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement et la société-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Physique du Globe de Clermont-Ferrand (OPGC), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Université Jean Monnet [Saint-Étienne] (UJM), Géosciences Rennes (GR), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES), Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna (INGV), Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Institut National des Sciences de l'Univers, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Agence Nationale de la Recherche, Ministère de la Transition écologique et Solidaire, Precursory Research for Embryonic Science and Technology, Observatoires Volcanologiques et Sismologiques, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (IPG Paris), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-Université de La Réunion (UR)-Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (IPG Paris)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Jean Monnet - Saint-Étienne (UJM)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement et la société-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire de Physique du Globe de Clermont-Ferrand (OPGC), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] (UCA [2017-2020])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Rennes (UR)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR), Université de Rennes (UR)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Rennes 2 (UR2)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Rennes 2 (UR2)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), ANR-18-IDEX-0001,Université de Paris,Université de Paris(2018), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Jean Monnet [Saint-Étienne] (UJM)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement et la société-Université Clermont Auvergne (UCA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Observatoire de Physique du Globe de Clermont-Ferrand (OPGC), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Clermont Auvergne (UCA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire des Sciences de l'Univers de Rennes (OSUR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Moretti, R., Komorowski, J. -C., Ucciani, G., Moune, S., Jessop, D., de Chabalier, J. -B., Beauducel, F., Bonifacie, M., Burtin, A., Vallee, M., Deroussi, S., Robert, V., Gibert, D., Didier, T., Kitou, T., Feuillet, N., Allard, P., Tamburello, G., Shreve, T., Saurel, J. -M., Lemarchand, A., Rosas-Carbajal, M., Agrinier, P., Le Friant, A., and Chaussidon, M.
After 25 years of gradual increase, volcanic unrest at La Soufriere of Guadeloupe reached its highest seismic energy level on 27 April 2018, with the largest felt volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquake (M-L 4.1 or M-W 3.7) recorded since the 1976-1977 phreatic eruptive crisis. This event marked the onset of a seismic swarm (180 events, 2 felt) occurring after three previous swarms on 3-6 January (70 events), 1 st February (30 events, 1 felt) and 16-17 April (140 events, 1 felt). Many events were hybrid VI's with long-period codas, located 2-4 km below the volcano summit and clustered within 2 km along a regional NW-SE fault cross-cutting La Soufriere. Elastic energy release increased with each swarm whereas inter-event time shortened. At the same time, summit fractures continued to open and thermal anomalies to extend. Summit fumarolic activity increased significantly until 20 April, with a maximum temperature of 111.4 degrees C and gas exit velocity of 80 m/s, before declining to similar to 95 degrees C and similar to 33 m/s on 25 April. Gas compositions revealed increasing C/S and CO2/CH4 ratios and indicate hydrothermal P-T conditions that reached the critical point of pure water. Repeated MultiGAS analysis of fumarolic plumes showed increased CO2/H2S ratios and SO2 contents associated with the reactivation of degassing fractures (T = 93 degrees C, H2S/SO2 approximate to 1). While no direct evidence of upward magma migration was detected, we attribute the above phenomena to an increased supply of deep magmatic fluids that heated and pressurized the La Soufriere hydrothermal system, triggering seismogenic hydro-fracturing, and probable changes in deep hydraulic properties (permeability) and drainage pathways, which ultimately allowed the fumarolic fluxes to lower. Although this magmatic fluid injection was modulated by the hydrothermal system, the unprecedented seismic energy release and the critical point conditions of hydrothermal fluids suggest that the 2018 sequence of events can be regarded as a failed phreatic eruption. Should a similar sequence repeat, we warn that phreatic explosive activity could result from disruption of the shallow hydrothermal system that is currently responsible for 3-9 mm/y of nearly radial horizontal displacements within 1 km from the dome. Another potential hazard is partial collapse of the dome's SW flank, already affected by basal spreading above a detachment surface inherited from past collapses. Finally, the increased magmatic fluid supply evidenced by geochemical indicators in 2018 is compatible with magma replenishment of the 6-7 km deep crustal reservoir feeding La Soufriere and, therefore, with a potential evolution of the volcano's activity towards magmatic conditions.