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Rationale: Individuals with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) have a high prevalence of depression, which is associated with increased COPD hospitalizations and readmissions. Objectives:...

RATIONALE: Individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have a high prevalence of depression, which is associated with increased COPD hospitalizations and readmissions. OBJECTIVES: Examine the impact of depressive symptoms compared with FEV(1)% on COPD morbidity. METHODS: Using longitudinal data from individuals with COPD in the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study, longitudinal growth analysis was performed to assess COPD morbidity by assessing differences in baseline 6-minute walk distance and patient reported outcomes (PROs) and their rate of change over time explained by depressive symptoms or lung function, as measured by Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale or FEV(1)% respectively. PROs consisted of in-person completion of St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire, COPD Assessment Test, Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue, and Modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale measures. RESULTS: Of the individuals analyzed (n = 1,830), 43% were female, 81% Caucasian with mean ± SD age of 65.1 ± 8.1, and 52.7 ± 27.5 pack-years smoking. Mean ± SD FEV(1)% was 60.9 ± 23.0% and 20% had clinically significant depressive symptoms. Adjusted models showed higher Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale scores and lower FEV(1)% each were associated with worse PROs at baseline (P ⩽ 0.001). Depression accounted for more baseline variance in St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire, COPD Assessment Test, and Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue than FEV(1)%, explaining 30–67% of heterogeneity. FEV(1)% accounted for more baseline variance in Modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale and 6-minute walk distance than depression, explaining 16–32% of heterogeneity. Depressive symptoms accounted for 3–17% variance in change over time in PROs. In contrast, FEV(1)% accounted for 1–4% variance over time in PROs. CONCLUSIONS: Depression is more strongly associated with many PROs at baseline and their change over time compared with FEV(1)%. Recognizing and incorporating the impact of depressive symptoms into individualized care may improve COPD outcomes.

Early, concurrent palliative care interventions in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are limited. Project EPIC (Early Palliative Care In COPD) is a multiphase mixed methods study working to fill this gap.To conduct a formative and summative evaluation of EPIC, a telephonic nurse coach-led early palliative care intervention for COPD adapted from the ENABLE intervention in cancer.Phase I Formative Evaluation: Patients with moderate-to-very-severe COPD, family caregivers, and pulmonary and palliative care clinicians rated the acceptability and feasibility of EPIC (≥4 out of 5 on a Likert-scale survey). Phase II Summative Evaluation: Patients and family caregivers in Phase I participated in a pilot of the 3-month EPIC prototype to evaluate intervention and data collection feasibility (≥70% completion) and to seek qualitative feedback.Phase I Formative Evaluation: Patients (n=10), family caregivers (n=10), pulmonary clinicians (n=6), and palliative care clinicians (n=6) found EPIC acceptable and feasible to support adaptation, while priority early palliative care needs in COPD from our prior research mapped well to the EPIC prototype. Phase II Summative Evaluation: Patients (n=5; ages 49-72, 40% moderate COPD, 40% Black) and their family caregivers (n=5; ages 51-73, 40% Black) completed 100% of EPIC prototype components, including weekly telephone sessions, a 1-month follow-up call, Advance Directive, palliative care clinic attendance, and 95% of monthly phone data collection sessions. Feedback from participants about EPIC was all positive.EPIC was acceptable and feasible in patients with COPD and their family caregivers. Larger feasibility and effectiveness trials are warranted.

Background Patients with serious respiratory illness and their caregivers suffer considerable burdens and palliative care is a fundamental right for anyone who needs it However the overwhelming majority of patients do not receive timely palliative care before the end of life despite robust evidence for improved outcomes Goals This policy statement by the American Thoracic Society ATS and partnering societies advocates for improved integration of high quality palliative care early in the care continuum for patients with serious respiratory illness and their caregivers and provides clinicians and policymakers with a framework to accomplish this Methods An international and interprofessional expert committee including patients and caregivers achieved consensus across a diverse working group representing pulmonary critical care palliative care bioethics health law and policy geriatrics nursing physiotherapy social work pharmacy patient advocacy psychology and sociology Results The committee developed fundamental values principles and policy recommendations for integrating palliative care in serious respiratory illness care across seven domains 1 delivery models 2 comprehensive symptom assessment and management 3 advance care planning and goals of care discussions 4 caregiver support 5 health disparities 6 mass casualty events and emergency preparedness and 7 research priorities The recommendations encourage timely integration of palliative care promote innovative primary and secondary or specialist palliative care delivery models and advocate for research and policy initiatives to improve the availability and quality of palliative care for patients and their caregivers Conclusions This multisociety policy statement establishes a framework for early palliative care in serious respiratory illness and provides guidance for pulmonary critical care clinicians and policymakers for its proactive integration Copyright 2022 by the American Thoracic Society

Background: Guidelines recommend that pulmonary clinicians involve palliative care in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); however, integration before advanced stage, that is, early palliative care, is rare. Objective: To explore and compare pulmonary and palliative care clinician perspectives on barriers, facilitators, and potential referral criteria for early palliative care in COPD. Design: Qualitative descriptive formative evaluation study. Setting/Subjects: Pulmonary and palliative care clinicians at a tertiary academic medical center. Measurements: Transcribed interviews were thematically analyzed by specialty to identify within- and across-specialty perspectives on barriers, facilitators, and referral criteria. Results: Twelve clinicians (n = 6 pulmonary, n = 6 palliative care) participated. Clinicians from both specialties agreed that early palliative care could add value to disease-focused COPD care. Perspectives on many barriers and facilitators were shared between specialties along broad educational, clinical, and operational categories. Pulmonary and palliative care clinicians shared concerns about the misconception that palliative care was synonymous to end-of-life care. Pulmonologists were particularly concerned about the potential risks of opioids and benzodiazepines in COPD. Both specialties stressed the need for clearly defined roles, consensus referral criteria, and novel delivery models. Although no single referral criterion was discussed by all, frequent hospitalizations and emotional symptoms were raised by most across disciplines. Multimorbidity and poor prognosis were discussed only by palliative care clinicians, whereas medication adherence was discussed only by pulmonary clinicians. Conclusions: Pulmonary and palliative care clinicians supported early palliative care in COPD. Continued needs include addressing pulmonologists' misconceptions of palliative care, establishing consensus referral criteria, and implementing novel early palliative care models.

Studies have shown that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and smoking are associated with increased suicide risk. To date there are no prospective studies examining suicide risk among smokers along a spectrum of pulmonary disease ranging from completely normal spirometry to severe COPD.Which clinical variables predict death by suicide or overdose of indeterminate intent in a large cohort of heavy smokers within the COPDGene study?We studied data from 9,930 participants involved in COPDGene, a multisite, prospective cohort study of current and former smokers. Primary cause of adjudicated deaths was identified using death certificates, family reports, and medical records. We examined time to death by suicide/overdose as the primary outcome in Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, race, BMI, pack-years, current smoking status, airflow limitation (%predicted FEVThe cohort was 47% female, 33% Black (67% White), had a mean (SD) age of 59.6 (9.0) years, and mean FEVIn this well-characterized cohort of current and former smokers with and without COPD, we identified risk factors for suicide/overdose that emphasize the subjective experience of illness over objective assessments of lung function.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common, progressive lung disease that often manifests with psychiatric symptoms. Despite this, patients with COPD are not routinely screened for anxiety and depression, which substantially contribute to COPD-related morbidity.To determine the relationship among COPD symptom severity, exacerbation risk, and clinically significant anxiety and depression symptoms in ever smokers with COPD.We used baseline data from the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures In COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort to examine ever smokers with COPD across Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) disease severity groups. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios for clinically significant anxiety and depression for each GOLD group, which was compared to the control group of ever smokers without COPD. Odds ratios were adjusted for subject demographics, medical comorbidities, and substance use covariates, and comparisons were completed using 2-tailed tests.Of the 2664 subjects studied, 784 (29.4%) had clinically significant anxiety, and 497 (18.7%) had clinically significant depression. In the multivariable analysis, high pulmonary symptom groups, groups B and D, had increased adjusted odds of clinically significant anxiety (group B: adjusted odds ratios [AOR] 1.28, P = 0.03; group D: AOR 1.95, P0.0001) and depression (group B: AOR 2.09, P0.0001; group D: AOR 3.04, P0.0001). GOLD group D, the group with high pulmonary symptoms and high COPD exacerbation risk, had the greatest risk of both anxiety and depression among the GOLD groups.High COPD symptom severity, even in the absence of elevated COPD exacerbation risk, is associated with clinically significant anxiety and depression. Our separate analyses of anxiety and depression symptoms in a large, multisite, national cohort are unique within the literature and have important treatment implications for COPD patients. Our findings also highlight the utility of screening patients with high COPD symptom severity for anxiety and depression.

Prognostication has been described as "Medicine's Lost Art." Taken with diagnosis and treatment, prognostication is the third leg on which medical care rests. As research leads to additional beneficial treatments for vexing conditions like cancer, dementia, and lung disease, prognostication becomes even more difficult. This article, written by a group of palliative care clinicians with backgrounds in geriatrics, pulmonology, and oncology, aims to offer a useful framework for consideration of prognosis in these conditions. This article will serve as the first in a three-part series on prognostication in adults and children.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the fourth leading cause of death in the United States and is a serious respiratory illness characterized by years of progressively debilitating breathlessness, high prevalence of associated depression and anxiety, frequent hospitalizations, and diminished wellbeing. Despite the potential to confer significant quality of life benefits for patients and their care partners and to improve end-of-life care, specialist palliative care is rarely implemented in COPD and when initiated it often occurs only at the very end of life. Primary palliative care delivered by frontline clinicians is a feasible model, but is not routinely integrated in COPD. In this review, we discuss the following: 1) the role of specialist and primary palliative care for patients with COPD and the case for earlier integration into routine practice; 2) the domains of the National Consensus Project Guidelines for Quality Palliative Care applied to people living with COPD and their care partners; and, 3) triggers for initiating palliative care and practical ways to implement palliative care using case-based examples. In the end, this review solidifies that palliative care is much more than hospice and end-of-life care and demonstrates that early palliative care is appropriate at any point during the COPD trajectory. We emphasize that palliative care should be integrated long before the end of life to provide comprehensive support for patients and their care partners and to better prepare them for the end of life.

Rationale: Little direction exists on how to integrate early palliative care in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Objectives: We sought to identify patient and family caregiver early palliative care needs across stages of COPD severity. Methods: As part of the Medical Research Council Framework developmental phase for intervention development, we conducted a formative evaluation of patients with moderate to very severe COPD (forced expiratory volume in 1 s [FEV(1)]/FVC < 70% and FEV(1) < 80%-predicted) and their family caregivers. Validated surveys on quality of life, anxiety and depressive symptoms, and social isolation quantified symptom severity. Semi-structured interviews were analyzed for major themes on early palliative care and needs in patients and family caregivers and across COPD severity stages. Results: Patients (n = 10) were a mean (±SD) age of 60.4 (±7.5) years, 50% African American, and 70% male, with 30% having moderate COPD, 30% severe COPD, and 40% very severe COPD. Family caregivers (n = 10) were a mean age of 58.3 (±8.7) years, 40% African American, and 10% male. Overall, 30% (n = 6) of participants had poor quality of life, 45% (n = 9) had moderate–severe anxiety symptoms, 25% (n = 5) had moderate–severe depressive symptoms, and 40% (n = 8) reported social isolation. Only 30% had heard of palliative care, and most participants had misconceptions that palliative care was end-of-life care. All participants responded positively to a standardized description of early palliative care and were receptive to its integration as early as moderate stage. Five broad themes of early palliative care needs emerged: 1) coping with COPD; 2) emotional symptoms; 3) respiratory symptoms; 4) illness understanding; and 5) prognostic awareness. Coping with COPD and emotional symptoms were commonly shared early palliative care needs. Patients with very severe COPD and their family caregivers prioritized illness understanding and prognostic awareness compared with those with moderate–severe COPD. Conclusions: Patients with moderate to very severe COPD and their family caregivers found early palliative care acceptable and felt it should be integrated before end-stage. Of the five broad themes of early palliative care needs, coping with COPD and emotional symptoms were the highest priority, followed by respiratory symptoms, illness understanding, and prognostic awareness.

Objectives To compare the frequency of anxiety/depressive symptoms and use of anxiolytic-hypnotics/antidepressants in smokers with and without COPD and to identify characteristics associated with having unmedicated symptoms. Methods Cross-sectional analysis of ambulatory, current/former smokers ≥10 pack years enrolled in the COPDGene study. We measured anxiety/depressive symptoms using the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (subscales ≥8), recorded anxiolytic-hypnotic/antidepressant use, and defined unmedicated symptoms as elevated anxiety/depressive symptoms and not on medications. Regression analysis identified characteristics associated with having unmedicated symptoms. Key results Of 5331 current/former smokers (45% with and 55% without COPD), 1332 (25.0%) had anxiety/depressive symptoms. Anxiety symptoms were similar in frequency in smokers with and without COPD (19.7% overall), while depressive symptoms were most frequent in severe-very severe COPD at 20.7% (13.1% overall). In the entire cohort, 1135 (21.2%) were on medications. Anxiolytic-hypnotic use was highest in severe-very severe COPD (range 7.6%–12.0%), while antidepressant use showed no significant variation in smokers with and without COPD (range 14.7%–17.1%). Overall, 881 (66% of those with symptoms) had unmedicated symptoms, which was associated with African American race (adjusted OR 2.95, 95% CI 2.25–3.87), male gender (adjusted OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.57–2.36), no health insurance (adjusted OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.30–4.35), severe-very severe COPD (adjusted OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.04–2.11), and higher respiratory symptoms/exacerbation history (adjusted OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.62–3.02). Conclusions Significant unmet mental health care needs exist in current and former smokers with and without COPD. One in five have unmedicated symptoms, identified by key demographic and clinical characteristics. Primary funding source National Institutes of Health and The COPD Foundation .

BACKGROUND: Although chronic lung disease is a common cause of mortality, little is known about where individuals with chronic lung disease die. RESEARCH QUESTION: The aim of this study was to determine the trends and factors associated with place of death among individuals with chronic lung disease. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This cross-sectional analysis of natural deaths was conducted by using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging OnLine Data for Epidemiologic Research from 2003 to 2017 for which COPD, interstitial lung disease (ILD), or cystic fibrosis (CF) was the underlying cause. Place of death was categorized as hospital, home, nursing facility, hospice facility, and other. RESULTS: From 2003 to 2017, more than 2.2. million deaths were primarily attributed to chronic lung disease (51.6% female, 92.4% white). Most were attributed to COPD (88.9%), followed by ILD (10.8.%), and CF (0.3%). Hospital and nursing facility deaths declined from 44.4% (n = 59,470) and 22.6% (n = 30,285) to 28.3% (n = 49,655) and 19.7% (n = 34,495), while home and hospice facility deaths increased from 23.3% (n = 31,296) and 0.1% (n = 192) to 34.7% (n = 60,851) and 9.0% (n = 15,861), respectively. Male sex, being married, and having some college education were associated with increased odds of home death, whereas non-white race and Hispanic ethnicity were associated with increased odds of hospital death. Compared with individuals with COPD, individuals with ILD and CF had increased odds of hospital death and reduced odds of home, nursing facility, or hospice facility death. INTERPRETATION: Home deaths are rising among decedents from chronic lung disease, increasing the need for quality end-of-life care in this setting. Further research should explore the end-of-life needs and preferences of these patients and their caregivers, with particular attention paid to patients with ILD and CF who continue to have high rates of hospital death.

Contains fulltext : 220761.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Open Access) Rationale: The decades-long progression of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) renders identifying different trajectories of disease progression challenging.Objectives: To identify subtypes of patients with COPD with distinct longitudinal progression patterns using a novel machine-learning tool called "Subtype and Stage Inference" (SuStaIn) and to evaluate the utility of SuStaIn for patient stratification in COPD.Methods: We applied SuStaIn to cross-sectional computed tomography imaging markers in 3,698 Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1-4 patients and 3,479 controls from the COPDGene (COPD Genetic Epidemiology) study to identify subtypes of patients with COPD. We confirmed the identified subtypes and progression patterns using ECLIPSE (Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints) data. We assessed the utility of SuStaIn for patient stratification by comparing SuStaIn subtypes and stages at baseline with longitudinal follow-up data.Measurements and Main Results: We identified two trajectories of disease progression in COPD: a "Tissue-->Airway" subtype (n = 2,354, 70.4%), in which small airway dysfunction and emphysema precede large airway wall abnormalities, and an "Airway-->Tissue" subtype (n = 988, 29.6%), in which large airway wall abnormalities precede emphysema and small airway dysfunction. Subtypes were reproducible in ECLIPSE. Baseline stage in both subtypes correlated with future FEV1/FVC decline (r = -0.16 [P < 0.001] in the Tissue-->Airway group; r = -0.14 [P = 0.011] in the Airway-->Tissue group). SuStaIn placed 30% of smokers with normal lung function at elevated stages, suggesting imaging changes consistent with early COPD. Individuals with early changes were 2.5 times more likely to meet COPD diagnostic criteria at follow-up.Conclusions: We demonstrate two distinct patterns of disease progression in COPD using SuStaIn, likely representing different endotypes. One third of healthy smokers have detectable imaging changes, suggesting a new biomarker of "early COPD."

Anand S Iyer,1–3 James M Wells,1,3,4 Surya P Bhatt,1,3 deNay P Kirkpatrick,1,3 Patricia Sawyer,5 Cynthia J Brown,4,5 Richard M Allman,6 Marie A Bakitas,5,7,8 Mark T Dransfield1,3,4 1Department of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 2Health Services, Outcomes, and Effectiveness Research Training Program, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 3Department of Medicine, Lung Health Center, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 4Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Birmingham, AL, USA; 5Department of Medicine, Division of Gerontology, Geriatrics, and Palliative Care, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 6Department of Medicine, George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA; 7Department of Medicine, Center for Palliative and Supportive Care, Division of Geriatrics, Gerontology, and Palliative Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 8School of Nursing, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA Background: Social isolation is a common experience in patients with COPD but is not captured by existing patient-reported outcomes, and its association with clinical outcomes is unknown. Methods: We prospectively enrolled adults with stable COPD who completed the University of Alabama at Birmingham Life Space Assessment (LSA) (range: 0–120, restricted Life-Space mobility: ≤60 and a marker of social isolation in older adults); six-minute walk test (6MWT), and the University of California at San Diego Shortness of Breath Questionnaire, COPD Assessment Test, and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. The occurrence of severe exacerbations (emergency room visit or hospitalization) was recorded by review of the electronic record up to 1year after enrollment. We determined associations between Life-Space mobility and clinical outcomes using regression analyses. Results: Fifty subjects had a mean ± SD %-predicted FEV1 of 42.9±15.5, and 23 (46%) had restricted Life-Space mobility. After adjusting for age, gender, %-predicted FEV1, comorbidity count, inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting beta2-agonist use, and prior cardiopulmonary rehabilitation, subjects with restricted Life-Space had an increased risk for severe exacerbations (adjusted incidence rate ratio 4.65, 95%CI 1.19–18.23, P=0.03). LSA scores were associated with 6MWD (R=0.50, P

In this episode of Annals On Call, Dr. Centor continues his discussion about the care of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with Dr. Anand S. Iyer.

In this episode of Annals On Call, Dr. Centor discusses the care of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with Dr. Anand S. Iyer.

Approximately 20% of Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are readmitted within 30 days of discharge. In addition to implementing penalties for excess readmissions, the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services has developed Bundled Payments for Care Improvement (BPCI) initiatives to improve outcomes and control costs.To evaluate whether a comprehensive COPD multidisciplinary intervention focusing on inpatient, transitional, and outpatient care as part of our institution's BPCI participation would reduce 30-day all-cause readmission rates for COPD exacerbations and reduce overall costs.We performed a pre-postintervention study comparing all-cause readmissions and costs after index hospitalization for Medicare-only patients with acute exacerbation of COPD. The primary outcome was the difference in 30-day all-cause readmission rate compared with historical control subjects; secondary outcomes included the 90-day all-cause readmission rate and also health care costs compared with BPCI target prices.Seventy-eight consecutive Medicare patients were prospectively enrolled in the BPCI intervention in 2014 and compared with 109 patients in the historical group from 2012. Patients in BPCI were more likely to receive regular follow-up phone calls, pneumococcal and influenza vaccines, home health care, durable medical equipment, and pulmonary rehabilitation, and to attend pulmonary clinic. There was no difference in all-cause readmission rates at 30 days (BPCI, 12 events [15.4%] vs. non-BPCI, 19 events [17.4%]; P = 0.711), and 90 days (21 [26.9%] vs. 37 [33.9%]; P = 0.306). Compared with BPCI target prices, we incurred 4.3% lower 90-day costs before accounting for significant investment from the health system.A Medicare BPCI intervention did not reduce 30-day all-cause readmission rates or overall costs after hospitalization for acute exacerbation of COPD. Although additional studies enrolling larger numbers of patients at multiple centers may demonstrate the efficacy of our BPCI initiative for COPD readmissions, this is unlikely to be cost effective at any single center.

Background End-of-life spending and healthcare utilization among older adults with COPD have not been previously described. Methods We examined data on Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years or older with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who died during the period of 2013-2014. End-of-life measures were retrospectively reviewed for 2 years prior to death. Hospital referral regions (HRRs) were categorized into quintiles of age-sex-race-adjusted overall spending during the last 2 years of life. Geographic quintile variation in spending and healthcare utilization was examined across the continuum. Results We investigated data on 146,240 decedents with COPD from 306 HRRs. Age-sex-race-adjusted overall spending per decedent during the last 2 years of life varied significantly nationwide ($61,271±$11,639 per decedent; range: $48,288±$3,665 to $79,453±$9,242). Inpatient care accounted for 40.2% of spending ($24,626±$6,192 per decedent). Overall, 82%±4% of decedents were admitted to the hospital for 13.7±3.1 days, and 55%±11% were admitted to an intensive care unit for 5.4±2.5 days. Compared with HRRs in the lowest spending quintile, HRRs in the highest spending quintile had a 1.5-fold longer hospital length of stay. Skilled nursing facilities accounted for 11.6% of spending ($7101±$2403 per decedent), and these facilities were utilized by 38%±7% of decedents for 18.7±4.9 days. Hospice accounted for 10.3% of spending ($6,307±$2,201 per decedent) and was utilized by 47%±9% of decedents for 39.7±14.8 days. Significant geographic variation in hospice utilization existed nationwide. Conclusions End-of-life spending and healthcare utilization among older adults with COPD varied substantially nationwide. Decedents with COPD frequently utilized acute care near the end of life. Hospice utilization was higher than expected, with significant geographic disparities.

End-of-life care is costly, and decedents often experience overtreatment or low-quality care. Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) may be a palliative approach to avoid invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) among select patients who are hospitalized at the end of life.To examine the trends in NIV and IMV use among decedents with a hospitalization in the last 30 days of life.This population-based cohort study used a 20% random sample of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who had an acute care hospitalization in the last 30 days of life and died between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2017. Sociodemographic, diagnosis, and comorbidity data were obtained from Medicare claims data. Data analysis was performed from September 2019 to July 2020.Use of NIV or IMV.Validated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification or International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification procedure codes were reviewed to identify use of NIV, IMV, both NIV and IMV, or none. Four subcohorts of Medicare beneficiaries were identified using primary admitting diagnosis codes (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], congested heart failure [CHF], cancer, and dementia). Measures of end-of-life care included in-hospital death (acute care setting), hospice enrollment at death, and hospice enrollment in the last 3 days of life. Random-effects logistic regression examined NIV and IMV use adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, admitting diagnosis, and comorbidities.A total of 2 470 435 Medicare beneficiaries (1 353 798 women [54.8%]; mean [SD] age, 82.2 [8.2] years) were hospitalized within 30 days of death. Compared with 2000, the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) for the increase in NIV use was 2.63 (95% CI, 2.46-2.82; % receipt: 0.8% vs 2.0%) for 2005 and 11.84 (95% CI, 11.11-12.61; % receipt: 0.8% vs 7.1%) for 2017. Compared with 2000, the AOR for the increase in IMV use was 1.04 (95% CI, 1.02-1.06; % receipt: 15.0% vs 15.2%) for 2005 and 1.63 (95% CI, 1.59-1.66; % receipt: 15.0% vs 18.2%) for 2017. In subanalyses comparing 2017 with 2000, similar trends found increased NIV among patients with CHF (% receipt: 1.4% vs 14.2%; AOR, 14.14 [95% CI, 11.77-16.98]) and COPD (% receipt: 2.7% vs 14.5%; AOR, 8.22 [95% CI, 6.42-10.52]), with reciprocal stabilization in IMV use among patients with CHF (% receipt: 11.1% vs 7.8%; AOR, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.95-1.19]) and COPD (% receipt: 17.4% vs 13.2%; AOR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.88-1.21]). The AOR for increased NIV use was 10.82 (95% CI, 8.16-14.34; % receipt: 0.4% vs 3.5%) among decedents with cancer and 9.62 (95% CI, 7.61-12.15; % receipt: 0.6% vs 5.2%) among decedents with dementia. The AOR for increased IMV use was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.26-1.55; % receipt: 6.2% vs 7.6%) among decedents with cancer and 1.28 (95% CI, 1.17-1.41; % receipt: 5.7% vs 6.2%) among decedents with dementia. Among decedents with NIV vs IMV use, lower rates of in-hospital death (50.3% [95% CI, 49.3%-51.3%] vs 76.7% [95% CI, 75.9%-77.5%]) and hospice enrollment in the last 3 days of life (57.7% [95% CI, 56.2%-59.3%] vs 63.0% [95% CI, 60.9%-65.1%]) were observed along with higher rates of hospice enrollment (41.3% [95% CI, 40.4%-42.3%] vs 20.0% [95% CI, 19.2%-20.7%]).This study found that the use of NIV rapidly increased from 2000 through 2017 among Medicare beneficiaries at the end of life, especially among persons with cancer and dementia. The findings suggest that trials to evaluate the outcomes of NIV are warranted to inform discussions about the goals of this therapy between clinicians and patients and their health care proxies.

Hospitalization for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with significant morbidity and health care costs, and hospitals in the United States are now penalized by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services for excessive readmissions. Identifying patients at risk of readmission is important, but modifiable risk factors have not been clearly established, and the potential contributing role of psychological disease has not been examined adequately. We hypothesized that depression and anxiety would increase the risk of both short- and long-term readmissions for acute exacerbation of COPD.To characterize the associations between depression and anxiety and COPD readmission risk.We examined the medical records for all patients with a primary diagnosis of acute exacerbation of COPD by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes admitted to the University of Alabama at Birmingham Hospital between November 2010 and October 2012. Those who did not meet the standardized study criteria for acute exacerbation of COPD and those with other respiratory illnesses as the primary diagnosis were excluded. Comorbidities were recorded on the basis of physician documentation of the diagnosis and/or the use of medications in the electronic medical record. Multivariable regression analyses identified factors associated with readmission for acute exacerbation of COPD at 1 year and within 30 and 90 days.Four hundred twenty-two patients were included, with 132 readmitted in 1 year. Mean age was 64.8 ± 11.7 years, and mean percent predicted FEV1 was 48.1 ± 18.7%. On univariate analysis, readmitted patients had lower percent predicted FEV1 (44.9 ± 17.3% vs. 50.2 ± 19.4%; P = 0.05) and a higher frequency of depression (47.7% vs. 23.4%; P 0.001). On multivariable analysis, 1-year readmission was independently associated with depression (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.59-4.47) and in-hospital tobacco cessation counseling (adjusted OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.18-0.66). Depression also predicted readmission at 30 days (adjusted OR, 3.83; 95% CI, 1.84-7.96) and 90 days (adjusted OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.34-4.55).Depression is an independent risk factor for both short- and long-term readmissions for acute exacerbation of COPD and may represent a modifiable risk factor. In-hospital tobacco cessation counseling was also associated with reduced 1-year readmission.

Introduction Current and former smokers with normal spirometry and with Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry (PRISm) experience respiratory events similar to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Exacerbations significantly reduce quality of life (QoL) in COPD patients however the effect of respiratory exacerbations on QoL in these groups is unknown. We hypothesized that exacerbations and change in exacerbation status would predict QoL decline among normal spirometry and PRISm participants in COPDGene. Methods COPDGene is a multicenter, longitudinal study in the U.S. designed to identify genetic determinants of COPD. We enrolled study subjects in Phase 1 of COPDGene and performed multivariable logistic regression models to determine independent predictors of decline in quality of life [>4 points on the St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ)]. Separate analyses were performed for current and former smokers with normal spirometry and PRISm. Frequent exacerbator status was defined by > 2 moderate or >1 severe exacerbations in the year prior to the baseline and year 5 follow-up visits. Results Independent predictors of QoL deterioration included current smoking, higher exacerbation frequency, and a change from infrequent to frequent exacerbation status (REF: infrequent to infrequent exacerbation status) in both groups [PRISm (OR = 3.15,95%CI, 1.67–5.94), normal spirometry (OR = 4.72,95%CI, 3.25–6.86)]. A change from frequent to infrequent exacerbation status did not lower the odds of QoL decline in either cohort. Conclusion Continued smoking and the onset of frequent exacerbations were predictors of QoL decline in smokers with normal spirometry and PRISm. Further studies are needed to identify modifiable factors associated with decline in QoL in smokers.

Low socioeconomic status has been associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) but little is known about its impact on disease progression. We assessed the association of income to symptoms, pulmonary disease severity and progression in smokers with and without COPD. The COPDGene cohort of 4826 smokers who reported annual income in phase 2 was analysed. Those who reported annual income, Income is a factor in predicting pulmonary disease progression in smokers with and without COPD; those with lower income experience faster progression and worse symptoms http://ow.ly/1SSe30lU1cX

Background Large sample GWAS is needed to identify genetic factors associated with depression. This study used genome-wide genotypic and phenotypic data from the COPDGene study to identify genetic risk factors for depression. Methods Data were from 9716 COPDGene subjects with ≥10 pack-year history. Depression was defined as antidepressant use and/or a HADS depression subscale score ≥8. Non-Hispanic White (6576) and African-American (3140) subsets were analyzed. A GWAS pipeline identified SNPs associated with depression in each group. Network analysis software analyzed gene interactions through common biological pathways, genetic interactions, and tissue-specific gene expression. Results The mean age was 59.4 years (SD 9.0) with 46.5% female subjects. Depression was in 24.7% of the NHW group (1622) and 12.5% of the AA group (391). No SNPs had genome-wide significance. One of the top SNPs, rs12036147 (p = 1.28 × 10−6), is near CHRM3. Another SNP was near MDGA2 (rs17118176, p = 3.52 × 10−6). Top genes formed networks for synaptic transmission with a statistically significant level of more co-expression in brain than other tissues, particularly in the basal ganglia (p = 1.00 × 10−4). Limitations Limitations included a depression definition based on antidepressant use and a limited HADS score subgroup, which could increase false negatives in depressed patients not on antidepressants. Antidepressants used for smoking cessation in non-depressed patients could lead to false positives. Conclusions Systems biology analysis identified statistically significant pathways whereby multiple genes influence depression. The gene set pathway analysis and COPDGene data can help investigate depression in future studies.

Rationale: Economic factors affect health outcomes in many diseases, including COPD. Aims: Determine the association of low income to symptoms, quality of life and disease progression using longitudinal change in CT-based measures of emphysema and lung function. Methods: 4386 subjects from Phase 2 COPDGene reported annual income. The lowest income group ( Results: The ExtrLo group was significantly younger, with more current smokers, exacerbations (13.2% vs. 6.5%, p Conclusions: Extreme-low-income smokers have more symptoms and less emphysema at baseline but show greater spirometric and radiographic disease progression without signficant change in symptoms over a five year period. Continued high smoking rates may be the key factor in disease progression in this population.

Background: Emergency physicians commonly encounter low-probability/high-morbidity decisions, and chest pain is a prime example. Negative outcomes are improbable but feared, resulting in substantially more patients admitted for chest pain than have important disease. The literature gives little guidance on patient preferences for decision-making when the negative outcomes are unlikely but potentially severe. Objectives: The objective of this pilot study was to assess the tolerance of Emergency Department (ED) patients with chest pain for adverse events occurring within 2 weeks of the episode. Method: We recruited a convenience sample of patients with a chief complaint of chest pain from the ED of an urban tertiary-care referral center. Each subject was interviewed to determine demographic information, perceived health status, insurance status, and tolerance for adverse events related to chest pain. Adverse events were defined loosely but were suggested to be heart attack, the need for emergency cardiac surgery, or death. The risk tolerance question was framed by describing a specific numeric risk and determining at what risk the patient switched from desiring hospital admission to desiring discharge; we termed this the decision threshold. Results: Sixty-eight (68) subjects were included. Fifty-four percent of subjects were male, 60% were African-American, and 35% were white; 40% of the subjects classified themselves as being of average health. Of the 31 subjects who had prior heart trouble, 48% (n = 15) stated they had a prior heart attack and 19% (n = 6) an irregular heartbeat. The median decision threshold, or the acceptable personal risk of an adverse event for a person to forego admission to hospital, was 6.5% (interquartile range 0.5–22.9%). The mode was 0.5%, and 44% (30/68) of subjects had a decision threshold of 2% or less. There was no obvious pattern for most of these explanatory variables, though there was a suggestion that race may affect patients' risk tolerance. Conclusions: There is substantial variation in patients' reported tolerance for adverse events from ED chest pain. Further investigation of this phenomenon may lead to better decision-making.

Background— Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease causes significant morbidity and concomitant pulmonary vascular disease and cardiac dysfunction are associated with poor prognosis. Computed tomography–detected relative pulmonary artery (PA) enlargement defined as a PA to ascending aorta diameter ratio >1 (PA:A>1) is a marker for pulmonary hypertension and predicts chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations. However, little is known about the relationship between the PA:A ratio, pulmonary blood volume, and cardiac function. Methods and Results— A single-center prospective cohort study of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was conducted. Clinical characteristics and computed tomography metrics, including the PA:A and pulmonary blood vessel volume, were measured. Ventricular functions, volumes, and dimensions were measured by cine cardiac MRI with 3-dimensional analysis. Linear regression examined the relationships between clinical characteristics, computed tomography and cardiac MRI metrics, and 6-minute walk distance. Twenty-four patients were evaluated and those with PA:A>1 had higher right ventricular (RV) end-diastolic and end-systolic volume indices accompanied by lower RV ejection fraction (52±7% versus 60±9%; P =0.04). The PA:A correlated inversely with total intraparenchymal pulmonary blood vessel volume and the volume of distal vessels with a cross-sectional area of 2 . Lower forced expiratory volume, PA:A>1, and hyperinflation correlated with reduced RV ejection fraction. Both PA diameter and reduced RV ejection fraction were independently associated with reduced 6-minute walk distance. Conclusions— The loss of blood volume in distal pulmonary vessels is associated with PA enlargement on computed tomography. Cardiac MRI detects early RV dysfunction and remodeling in nonsevere chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients with a PA:A>1. Both RV dysfunction and PA enlargement are independently associated with reduced walk distance. Clinical Trial Registration— URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00608764.

Background COPD is associated with significant morbidity primarily driven by acute exacerbations. Relative pulmonary artery (PA) enlargement, defined as a PA to ascending aorta (A) diameter ratio greater than one (PA:A > 1) identifies patients at increased risk for exacerbations. However, little is known about the correlation between PA:A, echocardiography, and invasive hemodynamics in COPD. Methods A retrospective observational study of patients with severe COPD being evaluated for lung transplantation at a single center between 2007 and 2011 was conducted. Clinical characteristics, CT scans, echocardiograms, and right-sided heart catheterizations were reviewed. The PA diameter at the bifurcation and A diameter from the same CT image were measured. Linear and logistic regression were used to examine the relationships between PA:A ratio by CT scan and PA systolic pressure (PASP) by echocardiogram with invasive hemodynamics. Receiver operating characteristic analysis assessed the usefulness of the PA:A ratio and PASP in predicting resting pulmonary hypertension (PH) (mean pulmonary artery pressure [mPAP] > 25 mm Hg). Results Sixty patients with a mean predicted FEV 1 of 27% ± 12% were evaluated. CT scan-measured PA:A correlated linearly with mPAP after adjustment for multiple covariates ( r = 0.30, P = .03), a finding not observed with PASP. In a multivariate logistic model, mPAP was independently associated with PA:A > 1 (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.02-2.04; P = .04). PA:A > 1 was 73% sensitive and 84% specific for identifying patients with resting PH (area under the curve, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.72-0.93; P Conclusions A PA:A ratio > 1 on CT scan outperforms echocardiography for diagnosing resting PH in patients with severe COPD.

Defined Contribution (DC) plans are rapidly becoming the primary retirement investment vehicle for a majority of employees across the US and other markets around the globe. Asset allocation for DC plans has to strike a balance between growth and protection assets over the savings lifecycle while protecting the long-term purchasing power of the nest egg. Due to the long duration of retirement investing and various risks associated with it, implementing the right asset allocation has become critical and challenging for DC plans.The unique Risk Focused methodology presented in this paper aims to address the shortcomings of conventional Target Date Funds experienced during the 2008 financial crisis. The proposed approach addresses the cumulative impact of shortfall, sequence of returns, longevity, and market risks in determining asset allocation at different time horizons. This is accomplished by combining the term structure of risk, return, and covariance of asset classes with an explicit risk budget. The Risk Focused glide path potentially delivers comparable retirement wealth outcomes with enhanced downside protection, lower journey volatility, and attempts to facilitate a smoother journey on the road to retirement. Hence, the caption of the paper, "Road to Retirement – Bumpy or Smooth, Depends on your Route".

High fiscal deficits, a sharp rise in the issuance of sovereign debt from major developed economies, rising inflation expectations, and possible changes in central bank rates could cause the yield curves from around the world to change significantly. In the US, the yield curve has already experienced significant steepening in the past twelve months. This environment poses challenges for Fixed Income professionals who need to address possible non-parallel changes to the term structure. This paper illustrates the capabilities of Shift-Twist-Butterfly (STB) factor models to help address these challenges. We provide a longer-term perspective on term structure changes in the Euro zone, US and Japan. Using four portfolio case studies, we show that the use of risk measures such as duration, convexity or key rate durations have some limitations and may not be very efficient. Therefore we show how these limitations can be efficiently overcome by the complementary use of advanced fixed income risk models based on STB interest rate risk factors.

Both inflationary and deflationary concerns have emerged as global economies continue to struggle with recovery. In this confusing environment, inflation-protected bonds can play an important role in plan sponsors’ asset allocation dilemma especially in light of yesterday’s Fed announcement of Quantitative Easing (II) implementation plan. We find that IPBs have exhibited some distinct differences from other asset classes during the past decade. We highlight the following:1. IPBs as an asset-class-level inflation hedge: We find that IPBs have provided reasonable protection against inflation historically. In the US and UK, IPBs moved closely with inflation, outperforming equities and nominal bonds in inflationary periods. Nominal bonds tended to move inversely to inflation. Commodities also moved strongly with inflation but experienced greater declines when inflation fell.IPBs in a deflation scenario: Nominal bonds had stronger protection (or put optionality) on deflation relative to IPBs during the last decade. During a shift from inflationary to deflationary expectations, existing nominal bonds have benefited from having a relatively wide inflation expectation spread built into the coupon. In a prolonged deflation scenario, holders of shorter dated new issue IPBs benefit from a guaranteed redemption value, the so-called “deflation floor”, which is prevalent in IPBs issued by some countries such as the US. 2. IPBs for portfolio diversification: The correlations of IPBs with other asset classes have been relatively low for equities, commodities, and real estate, and only slightly higher than correlations of nominal bonds with those assets. IPBs exhibited relatively low correlations over the last decade with other asset classes, both from a domestic perspective and the perspective of a US international investor, supporting their attractiveness for diversification purposes.