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Disease-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) generally do not implicate target genes, as most disease SNPs are regulatory. Many SNP-to-gene (S2G) linking strategies have been developed to link regulatory SNPs to the genes that they regulate in cis. Here, we developed a heritability-based framework for evaluating and combining different S2G strategies to optimize their informativeness for common disease risk. Our optimal combined S2G strategy (cS2G) included seven constituent S2G strategies and achieved a precision of 0.75 and a recall of 0.33, more than doubling the recall of any individual strategy. We applied cS2G to fine-mapping results for 49 UK Biobank diseases/traits to predict 5,095 causal SNP-gene-disease triplets (with S2G-derived functional interpretation) with high confidence. We further applied cS2G to provide an empirical assessment of disease omnigenicity; we determined that the top 1% of genes explained roughly half of the SNP heritability linked to all genes and that gene-level architectures vary with variant allele frequency.

Identifying gene sets that are associated to disease can provide valuable biological knowledge, but a fundamental challenge of gene set analyses of GWAS data is linking disease-associated SNPs to genes. Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWASs) detect associations between the genetically predicted expression of a gene and disease risk, thus implicating candidate disease genes. However, causal disease genes at TWAS-associated loci generally remain unknown due to gene co-regulation, which leads to correlations across genes in predicted expression. We developed a method, gene co-regulation score (GCSC) regression, to identify gene sets that are enriched for disease heritability explained by predicted expression. GCSC regresses TWAS chi-square statistics on gene co-regulation scores reflecting correlations in predicted gene expression; a gene set is enriched for heritability if genes with high co-regulation to the set have higher TWAS chi-square statistics than genes with low co-regulation to the set, beyond what is expected based on co-regulation to all genes. We verified via simulations that GCSC is well calibrated and well powered. We applied GCSC to gene expression data from GTEx (48 tissues) and GWAS summary statistics for 43 independent diseases and complex traits analyzing a broad set of biological pathways and specifically expressed gene sets. We identified many enriched sets, recapitulating known biology. For Alzheimer disease, we detected evidence of an immune basis, and specifically a role for antigen presentation, in analyses of both biological pathways and specifically expressed gene sets. Our results highlight the advantages of leveraging gene co-regulation within the TWAS framework to identify enriched gene sets.

Supplementary Table S1: Non-cancer diseases and traits included in the analysis and source of summary statistics Supplementary Table S2. Cancer-specific cumulative risks from SEER. Supplementary Table S3: Genetic correlations between cancers and 14 non-cancer traits

Background: Many cancers share specific genetic risk factors, including both rare high-penetrance mutations and common SNPs identified through genome-wide association studies (GWAS). However, little is known about the overall shared heritability across cancers. Quantifying the extent to which two distinct cancers share genetic origin will give insights to shared biological mechanisms underlying cancer and inform design for future genetic association studies.Methods: In this study, we estimated the pair-wise genetic correlation between six cancer types (breast, colorectal, lung, ovarian, pancreatic, and prostate) using cancer-specific GWAS summary statistics data based on 66,958 case and 70,665 control subjects of European ancestry. We also estimated genetic correlations between cancers and 14 noncancer diseases and traits.Results: After adjusting for 15 pair-wise genetic correlation tests between cancers, we found significant (P < 0.003) genetic correlations between pancreatic and colorectal cancer (rg = 0.55, P = 0.003), lung and colorectal cancer (rg = 0.31, P = 0.001). We also found suggestive genetic correlations between lung and breast cancer (rg = 0.27, P = 0.009), and colorectal and breast cancer (rg = 0.22, P = 0.01). In contrast, we found no evidence that prostate cancer shared an appreciable proportion of heritability with other cancers. After adjusting for 84 tests studying genetic correlations between cancer types and other traits (Bonferroni-corrected P value: 0.0006), only the genetic correlation between lung cancer and smoking remained significant (rg = 0.41, P = 1.03 × 10−6). We also observed nominally significant genetic correlations between body mass index and all cancers except ovarian cancer.Conclusions: Our results highlight novel genetic correlations and lend support to previous observational studies that have observed links between cancers and risk factors.Impact: This study demonstrates modest genetic correlations between cancers; in particular, breast, colorectal, and lung cancer share some degree of genetic basis. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(9); 1427–35. ©2017 AACR.

E3 ligases regulate key processes, but many of their roles remain unknown. Using Perturb-seq, we interrogated the function of 1,130 E3 ligases, partners and substrates in the inflammatory response in primary dendritic cells (DCs). Dozens impacted the balance of DC1, DC2, migratory DC and macrophage states and a gradient of DC maturation. Family members grouped into co-functional modules that were enriched for physical interactions and impacted specific programs through substrate transcription factors. E3s and their adaptors co-regulated the same processes, but partnered with different substrate recognition adaptors to impact distinct aspects of the DC life cycle. Genetic interactions were more prevalent within than between modules, and a deep learning model, comβVAE, predicts the outcome of new combinations by leveraging modularity. The E3 regulatory network was associated with heritable variation and aberrant gene expression in immune cells in human inflammatory diseases. Our study provides a general approach to dissect gene function.

Longitudinal data from electronic health records (EHR) has immense potential to improve clinical diagnoses and personalised medicine, motivating efforts to identify disease subtypes from age-dependent patient comorbidity information. We introduce an age-dependent topic modelling (ATM) method that provides a low-rank representation of longitudinal records of hundreds of distinct diseases in large EHR data sets. The model learns, and assigns to each individual, topic weights for several disease topics, each of which reflects a set of diseases that tend to co-occur as a function of age. Simulations show that ATM attains high accuracy in distinguishing distinct age-dependent comorbidity profiles. We applied ATM to 282,957 UK Biobank samples, analysing 1,726,144 disease diagnoses spanning 348 diseases with ≥1,000 incidences. We inferred 10 disease topics optimising model fit. We identified 52 diseases with heterogeneous comorbidity profiles (≥500 incidences assigned to each of ≥2 topics), including breast cancer, type 2 diabetes (T2D), hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia; for most of these diseases, topic assignments were highly age-dependent, suggesting differences in disease aetiology for early-onset vs. late-onset disease. We defined subtypes of the 52 heterogeneous diseases based on the topic assignments, and compared genetic risk across subtypes using polygenic risk scores (PRS). We identified 18 disease subtypes whose PRS differed significantly from other subtypes of the same disease, including a subtype of T2D characterised by cardiovascular comorbidities and a subtype of asthma characterised by dermatological comorbidities. We further identified specific SNPs underlying these differences. For example, the T2D-associated SNP rs1063192 in the CDKN2B locus has a higher odds ratio in the top quartile of cardiovascular topic weight (1.19±0.02) than in the bottom quartile (1.08±0.02) (P=4×10-5 for difference). In conclusion, ATM identifies disease subtypes with differential genome-wide and locus-specific genetic risk profiles.

Integrative analyses of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and gene expression data across diverse tissues and cell types have enabled the identification of putative disease-critical tissues. However, co-regulation of genetic effects on gene expression across tissues makes it difficult to distinguish biologically causal tissues from tagging tissues. While previous work emphasized the potential of accounting for tissue co-regulation, tissue-specific disease effects have not previously been formally modeled. Here, we introduce a new method, tissue co-regulation score regression (TCSC), that disentangles causal tissues from tagging tissues and partitions disease heritability (or covariance) into tissue-specific components. TCSC leverages gene-disease association statistics across tissues from transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS), which implicate both causal and tagging genes and tissues. TCSC regresses TWAS chi-square statistics (or products of z-scores) on tissue co-regulation scores reflecting correlations of predicted gene expression across genes and tissues. In simulations, TCSC distinguishes causal tissues from tagging tissues while controlling type I error. We applied TCSC to GWAS summary statistics for 78 diseases and complex traits (averageN= 302K) and gene expression prediction models for 48 GTEx tissues. TCSC identified 21 causal tissue-trait pairs at 5% FDR, including well-established findings, biologically plausible novel findings (e.g. aorta artery and glaucoma), and increased specificity of known tissue-trait associations (e.g. subcutaneous adipose, but not visceral adipose, and HDL). TCSC also identified 17 causal tissue-trait covariance pairs at 5% FDR. For the positive genetic covariance between BMI and red blood cell count, brain substantia nigra contributed positive covariance while pancreas contributed negative covariance; this suggests that genetic covariance may reflect distinct tissue-specific contributions. Overall, TCSC is a precise method for distinguishing causal tissues from tagging tissues, improving our understanding of disease and complex trait biology.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) derived from genotype data and family history (FH) of disease provide valuable information for predicting disease risk, but PRSs perform poorly when applied to diverse populations. Here, we explore methods for combining both types of information (PRS-FH) in UK Biobank data. PRSs were trained using all British individuals (n = 409,000), and target samples consisted of unrelated non-British Europeans (n = 42,000), South Asians (n = 7,000), or Africans (n = 7,000). We evaluated PRS, FH, and PRS-FH using liability-scale

We assess contributions to autoimmune disease of genes whose regulation is driven by enhancer regions (enhancer-related) and genes that regulate other genes in

Disease variants identified by genome-wide association studies (GWAS) tend to overlap with expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs), but it remains unclear whether this overlap is driven by gene expression levels ‘mediating’ genetic effects on disease. Here, we introduce a new method, mediated expression score regression (MESC), to estimate disease heritability mediated by the cis genetic component of gene expression levels. We applied MESC to GWAS summary statistics for 42 traits (average N = 323,000) and cis-eQTL summary statistics for 48 tissues from the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) consortium. Averaging across traits, only 11 ± 2% of heritability was mediated by assayed gene expression levels. Expression-mediated heritability was enriched in genes with evidence of selective constraint and genes with disease-appropriate annotations. Our results demonstrate that assayed bulk tissue eQTLs, although disease relevant, cannot explain the majority of disease heritability. Mediated expression score regression (MESC) is a new method that estimates disease heritability mediated by the cis genetic component of gene expression levels by using summary statistics from GWAS and eQTL studies.

Family history of disease can provide valuable information in case–control association studies, but it is currently unclear how to best combine case–control status and family history of disease. We developed an association method based on posterior mean genetic liabilities under a liability threshold model, conditional on case–control status and family history (LT-FH). Analyzing 12 diseases from the UK Biobank (average N = 350,000) we compared LT-FH to genome-wide association without using family history (GWAS) and a previous proxy-based method incorporating family history (GWAX). LT-FH was 63% (standard error (s.e.) 6%) more powerful than GWAS and 36% (s.e. 4%) more powerful than the trait-specific maximum of GWAS and GWAX, based on the number of independent genome-wide-significant loci across all diseases (for example, 690 loci for LT-FH versus 423 for GWAS); relative improvements were similar when applying BOLT-LMM to GWAS, GWAX and LT-FH phenotypes. Thus, LT-FH greatly increases association power when family history of disease is available. A new association method using both case–control status and family history (LT-FH) greatly increases association power in analyses of 12 diseases from the UK Biobank.

Gene expression at the individual cell-level resolution, as quantified by single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq), can provide unique insights into the pathology and cellular origin of diseases and complex traits. Here, we introduce single-cell Disease Relevance Score (scDRS), an approach that links scRNA-seq with polygenic risk of disease at individual cell resolution; scDRS identifies individual cells that show excess expression levels for genes in a disease-specific gene set constructed from GWAS data. We determined via simulations that scDRS is well-calibrated and powerful in identifying individual cells associated to disease. We applied scDRS to GWAS data from 74 diseases and complex traits (average N=341K) in conjunction with 16 scRNA-seq data sets spanning 1.3 million cells from 31 tissues and organs. At the cell type level, scDRS broadly recapitulated known links between classical cell types and disease, and also produced novel biologically plausible findings. At the individual cell level, scDRS identified subpopulations of disease-associated cells that are not captured by existing cell type labels, including subpopulations of CD4+ T cells associated with inflammatory bowel disease, partially characterized by their effector-like states; subpopulations of hippocampal CA1 pyramidal neurons associated with schizophrenia, partially characterized by their spatial location at the proximal part of the hippocampal CA1 region; and subpopulations of hepatocytes associated with triglyceride levels, partially characterized by their higher ploidy levels. At the gene level, we determined that genes whose expression across individual cells was correlated with the scDRS score (thus reflecting co-expression with GWAS disease genes) were strongly enriched for gold-standard drug target and Mendelian disease genes.

Non-coding genetic variants may cause disease by modulating gene expression. However, identifying these expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) is complicated by differences in gene regulation across fluid functional cell states within cell types. These states–for example, neurotransmitter-driven programs in astrocytes or perivascular fibroblast differentiation–are obscured in eQTL studies that aggregate cells(1,2). Here we modelled eQTLs at single-cell resolution in one complex cell type: memory T cells. Using more than 500,000 unstimulated memory T cells from 259 Peruvian individuals, we show that around one-third of 6,511 cis-eQTLs had effects that were mediated by continuous multimodally defined cell states, such as cytotoxicity and regulatory capacity. In some loci, independent eQTL variants had opposing cell-state relationships. Autoimmune variants were enriched in cell-state-dependent eQTLs, including risk variants for rheumatoid arthritis near ORMDL3 and CTLA4; this indicates that cell-state context is crucial to understanding potential eQTL pathogenicity. Moreover, continuous cell states explained more variation in eQTLs than did conventional discrete categories, such as CD4(+) versus CD8(+), suggesting that modelling eQTLs and cell states at single-cell resolution can expand insight into gene regulation in functionally heterogeneous cell types.

Although genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified thousands of disease-associated common SNPs, these SNPs generally do not implicate the underlying target genes, as most disease SNPs are regulatory. Many SNP-to-gene (S2G) linking strategies have been developed to link regulatory SNPs to the genes that they regulate in cis, but it is unclear how these strategies should be applied in the context of interpreting common disease risk variants. We developed a framework for evaluating and combining different S2G strategies to optimize their informativeness for common disease risk, leveraging polygenic analyses of disease heritability to define and estimate their precision and recall. We applied our framework to GWAS summary statistics for 63 diseases and complex traits (average N=314K), evaluating 50 S2G strategies. Our optimal combined S2G strategy (cS2G) included 7 constituent S2G strategies (Exon, Promoter, 2 fine-mapped cis-eQTL strategies, EpiMap enhancer-gene linking, Activity-By-Contact (ABC), and Cicero), and achieved a precision of 0.75 and a recall of 0.33, more than doubling the precision and/or recall of any individual strategy; this implies that 33% of SNP-heritability can be linked to causal genes with 75% confidence. We applied cS2G to fine-mapping results for 49 UK Biobank diseases/traits to predict 7,111 causal SNP-gene-disease triplets (with S2G-derived functional interpretation) with high confidence. Finally, we applied cS2G to genome-wide fine-mapping results for these traits (not restricted to GWAS loci) to rank genes by the heritability linked to each gene, providing an empirical assessment of disease omnigenicity; averaging across traits, we determined that the top 200 (1%) of ranked genes explained roughly half of the heritability linked to all genes. Our results highlight the benefits of our cS2G strategy in providing functional interpretation of GWAS findings; we anticipate that precision and recall will increase further under our framework as improved functional assays lead to improved S2G strategies.

Many non-coding genetic variants cause disease by modulating gene expression. However, identifying these expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) is complicated by gene-regulation differences between cell states. T cells, for example, have fluid, multifaceted functional states in vivo that cannot be modeled in eQTL studies that aggregate cells. Here, we modeled T cell states and eQTLs at single-cell resolution. Using >500,000 resting memory T cells from 259 Peruvians, we found over one-third of the 6,511 cis-eQTLs had state-dependent effects. By integrating single-cell RNA and surface protein measurements, we defined continuous cell states that explained more eQTL variation than discrete states like CD4+ or CD8+ T cells and could have opposing effects on independent eQTL variants in a locus. Autoimmune variants were enriched in cell-state-dependent eQTLs, such as a rheumatoid-arthritis variant near ORMDL3 strongest in cytotoxic CD8+ T cells. These results argue that fine-grained cell state context is crucial to understanding disease-associated eQTLs.

Disease-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) generally do not implicate target genes, as most disease SNPs are regulatory. Many SNP-to-gene (S2G) linking strategies have been developed to link regulatory SNPs to the genes that they regulate in cis. Here, we developed a heritability-based framework for evaluating and combining different S2G strategies to optimize their informativeness for common disease risk. Our optimal combined S2G strategy (cS2G) included seven constituent S2G strategies and achieved a precision of 0.75 and a recall of 0.33, more than doubling the recall of any individual strategy. We applied cS2G to fine-mapping results for 49 UK Biobank diseases/traits to predict 5,095 causal SNP-gene-disease triplets (with S2G-derived functional interpretation) with high confidence. We further applied cS2G to provide an empirical assessment of disease omnigenicity; we determined that the top 1% of genes explained roughly half of the SNP heritability linked to all genes and that gene-level architectures vary with variant allele frequency.

Complex traits and common diseases are extremely polygenic, their heritability spread across thousands of loci. One possible explanation is that thousands of genes and loci have similarly important biological effects when mutated. However, we hypothesize that for most complex traits, relatively few genes and loci are critical, and negative selection—purging large-effect mutations in these regions—leaves behind common-variant associations in thousands of less critical regions instead. We refer to this phenomenon as flattening. To quantify its effects, we introduce a mathematical definition of polygenicity, the effective number of independently associated SNPs (M(e)), which describes how evenly the heritability of a trait is spread across the genome. We developed a method, stratified LD fourth moments regression (S-LD4M), to estimate M(e), validating that it produces robust estimates in simulations. Analyzing 33 complex traits (average N = 361k), we determined that heritability is spread ∼4× more evenly among common SNPs than among low-frequency SNPs. This difference, together with evolutionary modeling of new mutations, suggests that complex traits would be orders of magnitude less polygenic if not for the influence of negative selection. We also determined that heritability is spread more evenly within functionally important regions in proportion to their heritability enrichment; functionally important regions do not harbor common SNPs with greatly increased causal effect sizes, due to selective constraint. Our results suggest that for most complex traits, the genes and loci with the most critical biological effects often differ from those with the strongest common-variant associations.

Despite significant progress in annotating the genome with experimental methods, much of the regulatory noncoding genome remains poorly defined. Here we assert that regulatory elements may be characterized by leveraging local epigenomic signatures where specific transcription factors (TFs) are bound. To link these two features, we introduce IMPACT, a genome annotation strategy that identifies regulatory elements defined by cell-state-specific TF binding profiles, learned from 515 chromatin and sequence annotations. We validate IMPACT using multiple compelling applications. First, IMPACT distinguishes between bound and unbound TF motif sites with high accuracy (average AUPRC 0.81, SE 0.07; across 8 tested TFs) and outperforms state-of-the-art TF binding prediction methods, MocapG, MocapS, and Virtual ChIP-seq. Second, in eight tested cell types, RNA polymerase II IMPACT annotations capture more cis-eQTL variation than sequence-based annotations, such as promoters and TSS windows (25% average increase in enrichment). Third, integration with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) summary statistics from European (N = 38,242) and East Asian (N = 22,515) populations revealed that the top 5% of CD4+ Treg IMPACT regulatory elements capture 85.7% of RA h2, the most comprehensive explanation for RA h2 to date. In comparison, the average RA h2 captured by compared CD4+ T histone marks is 42.3% and by CD4+ T specifically expressed gene sets is 36.4%. Lastly, we find that IMPACT may be used in many different cell types to identify complex trait associated regulatory elements.

Prioritizing disease-critical cell types by integrating genome-wide association studies (GWAS) with functional data is a fundamental goal. Single-cell chromatin accessibility (scATAC-seq) and gene expression (scRNA-seq) have characterized cell types at high resolution, and early work on integrating GWAS with scRNA-seq has shown promise, but work on integrating GWAS with scATAC-seq has been limited. Here, we identify disease-critical fetal and adult brain cell types by integrating GWAS summary statistics from 28 brain-related diseases and traits (average N=298K) with 3.2 million scATAC-seq and scRNA-seq profiles from 83 cell types. We identified disease-critical fetal (resp. adult) brain cell types for 22 (resp. 23) of 28 traits using scATAC-seq data, and for 8 (resp. 17) of 28 traits using scRNA-seq data. Notable findings using scATAC-seq data included highly significant enrichments of fetal photoreceptor cells for major depressive disorder, fetal ganglion cells for BMI, fetal astrocytes for ADHD, and adult VGLUT2 excitatory neurons for schizophrenia. Our findings improve our understanding of brain-related diseases and traits, and inform future analyses of other diseases/traits.

Genome-wide association studies provide a powerful means of identifying loci and genes contributing to disease, but in many cases, the related cell types/states through which genes confer disease risk remain unknown. Deciphering such relationships is important for identifying pathogenic processes and developing therapeutics. In the present study, we introduce sc-linker, a framework for integrating single-cell RNA-sequencing, epigenomic SNP-to-gene maps and genome-wide association study summary statistics to infer the underlying cell types and processes by which genetic variants influence disease. The inferred disease enrichments recapitulated known biology and highlighted notable cell-disease relationships, including γ-aminobutyric acid-ergic neurons in major depressive disorder, a disease-dependent M-cell program in ulcerative colitis and a disease-specific complement cascade process in multiple sclerosis. In autoimmune disease, both healthy and disease-dependent immune cell-type programs were associated, whereas only disease-dependent epithelial cell programs were prominent, suggesting a role in disease response rather than initiation. Our framework provides a powerful approach for identifying the cell types and cellular processes by which genetic variants influence disease.

Polygenic risk scores derived from genotype data (PRS) and family history of disease (FH) both provide valuable information for predicting disease risk, enhancing prospects for clinical utility. PRS perform poorly when applied to diverse populations, but FH does not suffer this limitation. Here, we explore methods for combining both types of information (PRS-FH). We analyzed 10 complex diseases from the UK Biobank for which family history (parental and sibling history) was available for most target samples. PRS were trained using all British individuals (N=409K), and target samples consisted of unrelated non-British Europeans (N=42K), South Asians (N=7K), or Africans (N=7K). We evaluated PRS, FH, and PRS-FH using liability-scaleR2, focusing on three well-powered diseases (type 2 diabetes, hypertension, depression) withR2> 0.05 for PRS and/or FH in each target population. Averaging across these three diseases, PRS attained average predictionR2of 5.8%, 4.0%, and 0.53% in non-British Europeans, South Asians, and Africans, confirming poor cross-population transferability. In contrast, PRS-FH attained average predictionR2of 13%, 12%, and 10%, respectively, representing a large improvement in Europeans and an extremely large improvement in Africans; for each disease and each target population, the improvement was highly statistically significant. PRS-FH methods based on a logistic model and a liability threshold model performed similarly when covariates were not included in predictions (consistent with simulations), but the logistic model outperformed the liability threshold model when covariates were included. In conclusion, including family history greatly improves the accuracy of polygenic risk scores, particularly in diverse populations.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified thousands of noncoding loci that are associated with human diseases and complex traits, each of which could reveal insights into the mechanisms of disease1. Many of the underlying causal variants may affect enhancers2,3, but we lack accurate maps of enhancers and their target genes to interpret such variants. We recently developed the activity-by-contact (ABC) model to predict which enhancers regulate which genes and validated the model using CRISPR perturbations in several cell types4. Here we apply this ABC model to create enhancer–gene maps in 131 human cell types and tissues, and use these maps to interpret the functions of GWAS variants. Across 72 diseases and complex traits, ABC links 5,036 GWAS signals to 2,249 unique genes, including a class of 577 genes that appear to influence multiple phenotypes through variants in enhancers that act in different cell types. In inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), causal variants are enriched in predicted enhancers by more than 20-fold in particular cell types such as dendritic cells, and ABC achieves higher precision than other regulatory methods at connecting noncoding variants to target genes. These variant-to-function maps reveal an enhancer that contains an IBD risk variant and that regulates the expression of PPIF to alter the membrane potential of mitochondria in macrophages. Our study reveals principles of genome regulation, identifies genes that affect IBD and provides a resource and generalizable strategy to connect risk variants of common diseases to their molecular and cellular functions. Mapping enhancer regulation across human cell types and tissues illuminates genome function and provides a resource to connect risk variants for common diseases to their molecular and cellular functions.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) provide a powerful means to identify loci and genes contributing to disease, but in many cases the related cell types/states through which genes confer disease risk remain unknown. Deciphering such relationships is important for identifying pathogenic processes and developing therapeutics. Here, we introduce sc-linker, a framework for integrating single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq), epigenomic maps and GWAS summary statistics to infer the underlying cell types and processes by which genetic variants influence disease. We analyzed 1.6 million scRNA-seq profiles from 209 individuals spanning 11 tissue types and 6 disease conditions, and constructed gene programs capturing cell types, disease progression, and cellular processes both within and across cell types. We evaluated these gene programs for disease enrichment by transforming them to SNP annotations with tissue-specific epigenomic maps and computing enrichment scores across 60 diseases and complex traits (average N=297K). Cell type, disease progression, and cellular process programs captured distinct heritability signals even within the same cell type, as we show in multiple complex diseases that affect the brain (Alzheimer’s disease, multiple sclerosis), colon (ulcerative colitis) and lung (asthma, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, severe COVID-19). The inferred disease enrichments recapitulated known biology and highlighted novel cell-disease relationships, including GABAergic neurons in major depressive disorder (MDD), a disease progression M cell program in ulcerative colitis, and a disease-specific complement cascade process in multiple sclerosis. In autoimmune disease, both healthy and disease progression immune cell type programs were associated, whereas for epithelial cells, disease progression programs were most prominent, perhaps suggesting a role in disease progression over initiation. Our framework provides a powerful approach for identifying the cell types and cellular processes by which genetic variants influence disease.

It is important to study the genetics of complex traits in diverse populations. Here, we introduce covariate-adjusted linkage disequilibrium (LD) score regression (cov-LDSC), a method to estimate SNP-heritability (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}})$\end{document} and its enrichment in homogenous and admixed populations with summary statistics and in-sample LD estimates. In-sample LD can be estimated from a subset of the genome-wide association studies samples, allowing our method to be applied efficiently to very large cohorts. In simulations, we show that unadjusted LDSC underestimates \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$\end{document} by 10–60% in admixed populations; in contrast, cov-LDSC is robustly accurate. We apply cov-LDSC to genotyping data from 8124 individuals, mostly of admixed ancestry, from the Slim Initiative in Genomic Medicine for the Americas study, and to approximately 161 000 Latino-ancestry individuals, 47 000 African American-ancestry individuals and 135 000 European-ancestry individuals, as classified by 23andMe. We estimate \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$\end{document} and detect heritability enrichment in three quantitative and five dichotomous phenotypes, making this, to our knowledge, the most comprehensive heritability-based analysis of admixed individuals to date. Most traits have high concordance of \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$\end{document} and consistent tissue-specific heritability enrichment among different populations. However, for age at menarche, we observe population-specific heritability estimates of \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$\end{document}. We observe consistent patterns of tissue-specific heritability enrichment across populations; for example, in the limbic system for BMI, the per-standardized-annotation effect size \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{upgreek} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document} }{}$ \tau $\end{document}* is 0.16 ± 0.04, 0.28 ± 0.11 and 0.18 ± 0.03 in the Latino-, African American- and European-ancestry populations, respectively. Our approach is a powerful way to analyze genetic data for complex traits from admixed populations.

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused over 1 million deaths globally, mostly due to acute lung injury and acute respiratory distress syndrome, or direct complications resulting in multiple-organ failures. Little is known about the host tissue immune and cellular responses associated with COVID-19 infection, symptoms, and lethality. To address this, we collected tissues from 11 organs during the clinical autopsy of 17 individuals who succumbed to COVID-19, resulting in a tissue bank of approximately 420 specimens. We generated comprehensive cellular maps capturing COVID-19 biology related to patients’ demise through single-cell and single-nucleus RNA-Seq of lung, kidney, liver and heart tissues, and further contextualized our findings through spatial RNA profiling of distinct lung regions. We developed a computational framework that incorporates removal of ambient RNA and automated cell type annotation to facilitate comparison with other healthy and diseased tissue atlases. In the lung, we uncovered significantly altered transcriptional programs within the epithelial, immune, and stromal compartments and cell intrinsic changes in multiple cell types relative to lung tissue from healthy controls. We observed evidence of: alveolar type 2 (AT2) differentiation replacing depleted alveolar type 1 (AT1) lung epithelial cells, as previously seen in fibrosis; a concomitant increase in myofibroblasts reflective of defective tissue repair; and, putative TP63+ intrapulmonary basal-like progenitor (IPBLP) cells, similar to cells identified in H1N1 influenza, that may serve as an emergency cellular reserve for severely damaged alveoli. Together, these findings suggest the activation and failure of multiple avenues for regeneration of the epithelium in these terminal lungs. SARS-CoV-2 RNA reads were enriched in lung mononuclear phagocytic cells and endothelial cells, and these cells expressed distinct host response transcriptional programs. We corroborated the compositional and transcriptional changes in lung tissue through spatial analysis of RNA profiles in situ and distinguished unique tissue host responses between regions with and without viral RNA, and in COVID-19 donor tissues relative to healthy lung. Finally, we analyzed genetic regions implicated in COVID-19 GWAS with transcriptomic data to implicate specific cell types and genes associated with disease severity. Overall, our COVID-19 cell atlas is a foundational dataset to better understand the biological impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection across the human body and empowers the identification of new therapeutic interventions and prevention strategies.

Many diseases exhibit population-specific causal effect sizes with trans-ethnic genetic correlations significantly less than 1, limiting trans-ethnic polygenic risk prediction. We develop a new method, S-LDXR, for stratifying squared trans-ethnic genetic correlation across genomic annotations, and apply S-LDXR to genome-wide summary statistics for 31 diseases and complex traits in East Asians (average N = 90K) and Europeans (average N = 267K) with an average trans-ethnic genetic correlation of 0.85. We determine that squared trans-ethnic genetic correlation is 0.82× (s.e. 0.01) depleted in the top quintile of background selection statistic, implying more population-specific causal effect sizes. Accordingly, causal effect sizes are more population-specific in functionally important regions, including conserved and regulatory regions. In regions surrounding specifically expressed genes, causal effect sizes are most population-specific for skin and immune genes, and least population-specific for brain genes. Our results could potentially be explained by stronger gene-environment interaction at loci impacted by selection, particularly positive selection., Trans-ethnic genetic correlation is significantly less than 1 for many diseases. Here, the authors stratify this correlation by genomic annotations, finding that loci whose causal disease effect sizes differ between ethnicities are likely impacted by selection, particularly positive selection.

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) based on European training data suffer reduced accuracy in non-European target populations, exacerbating health disparities. This loss of accuracy predominantly stems from LD differences, MAF differences (including population-specific SNPs), and/or causal effect size differences. PRS based on training data from the non-European target population do not suffer from these limitations, but are currently limited by much smaller training sample sizes. Here, we propose PolyPred, a method that improves cross-population polygenic prediction by combining two complementary predictors: a new predictor that leverages functionally informed fine-mapping to estimate causal effects (instead of tagging effects), addressing LD differences; and BOLT-LMM, a published predictor. In the special case where a large training sample is available in the non-European target population (or a closely related population), we propose PolyPred+, which further incorporates the non-European training data, addressing MAF differences and causal effect size differences. PolyPred and PolyPred+ require individual-level training data (for their BOLT-LMM component), but we also propose analogous methods that replace the BOLT-LMM component with summary statistic-based components if only summary statistics are available. We applied PolyPred to 49 diseases and complex traits in 4 UK Biobank populations using UK Biobank British training data (averageN=325K), and observed statistically significant average relative improvements in prediction accuracy vs. BOLT-LMM ranging from +7% in South Asians to +32% in Africans (and vs. LD-pruning + P-value thresholding (P+T) ranging from +77% to +164%), consistent with simulations. We applied PolyPred+ to 23 diseases and complex traits in UK Biobank East Asians using both UK Biobank British (averageN=325K) and Biobank Japan (averageN=124K) training data, and observed statistically significant average relative improvements in prediction accuracy of +24% vs. BOLT-LMM and +12% vs. PolyPred. The summary statistic-based analogues of PolyPred and PolyPred+ attained similar improvements. In conclusion, PolyPred and PolyPred+ improve cross-population polygenic prediction accuracy, ameliorating health disparities.

It is important to study the genetics of complex traits in diverse populations. Here, we introduce covariate-adjusted linkage disequilibrium (LD) score regression (cov-LDSC), a method to estimate SNP-heritability (${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}})$ and its enrichment in homogenous and admixed populations with summary statistics and in-sample LD estimates. In-sample LD can be estimated from a subset of the genome-wide association studies samples, allowing our method to be applied efficiently to very large cohorts. In simulations, we show that unadjusted LDSC underestimates ${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$ by 10-60% in admixed populations; in contrast, cov-LDSC is robustly accurate. We apply cov-LDSC to genotyping data from 8124 individuals, mostly of admixed ancestry, from the Slim Initiative in Genomic Medicine for the Americas study, and to approximately 161 000 Latino-ancestry individuals, 47 000 African American-ancestry individuals and 135 000 European-ancestry individuals, as classified by 23andMe. We estimate ${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$ and detect heritability enrichment in three quantitative and five dichotomous phenotypes, making this, to our knowledge, the most comprehensive heritability-based analysis of admixed individuals to date. Most traits have high concordance of ${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$ and consistent tissue-specific heritability enrichment among different populations. However, for age at menarche, we observe population-specific heritability estimates of ${\boldsymbol{h}}_{\boldsymbol{g}}^{\mathbf{2}}$. We observe consistent patterns of tissue-specific heritability enrichment across populations; for example, in the limbic system for BMI, the per-standardized-annotation effect size $ \tau $* is 0.16 ± 0.04, 0.28 ± 0.11 and 0.18 ± 0.03 in the Latino-, African American- and European-ancestry populations, respectively. Our approach is a powerful way to analyze genetic data for complex traits from admixed populations.