1. Analyzing the Trend of Changes in the Dust Storm Index (DSI) and Its Relationship with the Meteorological Drought in the Arid Climate (Case Study: Semnan Province)
- Author
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Ebrahim Yousefi Mobarhan and Ali Khaleghi
- Subjects
standard precipitation index ,normal drought ,linear regression ,climate change ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Introduction: Dust is a common phenomenon in arid and semi-arid regions. One of the factorsthat play a role in the occurrence of this phenomenon is the change in weather conditions, whichleads to drought, and the drying of lakes and rivers has caused crises such as sandstorms. Thisphenomenon leads to negative effects on agriculture, water and soil pollution, and respiratorydiseases, as well as environmental and social challenges such as reduced visibility and roadaccidents. The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between the DSI dustindex and SPI standardized precipitation drought index in Semnan Province.Material and Methods: The studied area of Semnan Province is located in the southern regionof the Alborz Mountain range. To investigate the effect of drought on the amount of dust, thedaily data of dust, monthly rainfall, temperature, relative humidity and evapotranspiration offive synoptic stations of Semnan Province within a period of 15 years (2003-2017) were usedon an annual scale. During a 15-year period, the drought storm index (DSI) was determined forthe synoptic stations using the dust storm index, and then the cumulative DSI index wascalculated. Afterwards, statistical and experimental evaluations was done on annualfluctuations to identify potential trends. Also, experiment and linear regression analysis wereused to evaluate the correlation of standard precipitation index and dust storms, and Arc GISsoftware was used for zoning.Results and Discussion: The results showed that the average annual temperature in the regionhas increased from 2003 to 2017. This rapid warming has caused drought and as a result,temperature, evaporation and transpiration have also increased and led to a decrease in rainfall.A month-by-month survey of wind speed in different stations showed that there is a possibilityof dust in the province in the months of June and July when the maximum wind speed prevails.On the contrary, the months of December and January experienced the least occurrence of dust.The annual changes of DSI (2003 to 2017) showed an irregular shape and do not have a trend.Thus, in 2011, the intensity of dust was high and decreased in the following year, and the samewas observed in 2016. According to the SPI index, Semnan Province was in the normal droughtcategory with a score of 0.59. The in-depth analysis of the correlation chart between thestandardized rainfall indices and DSI showed that the DSI has increased along with the severityof drought during the study period and there is a good correlation between the DSI index andthe meteorological drought in the region, so that when there was a drought period, the value ofDSI decreased and when it was a drought period, the value of the dust index increased.However, there is no significant relationship between these two indicators (p =0.07 andR2=0.22) during the 15-year research period.Conclusion: Our findings indicated an increase in dust from the west to the east of the provincedue to the increase in average dust storm days. Correlation results between SPI and DSI indexshowed that although DSI index increased during the analyzed period along with the severityof drought, the correlation between the two was not significant. However, the DSI index trendpattern was consistent with the drought pattern trend. Finally, the correlation between droughtand DSI has always fluctuated according to droughts.
- Published
- 2024
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