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Purpose: To determine whether there was an association between self-reported preoperative exercise and postoperative outcomes after lumbar fusion spinal surgery. Method: We performed a retrospective multivariable analysis of the prospective Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network (CSORN) database of 2,203 patients who had elective single-level lumbar fusion spinal surgeries. We compared adverse events and hospital length of stay between patients who reported regular exercise (twice or more per week) prior to surgery (“Regular Exercise”) to those exercising infrequently (once or less per week) (“Infrequent Exercise”) or those who did no exercise (“No Exercise”). For all final analyses, we compared the Regular Exercise group to the combined Infrequent Exercise or No Exercise group. Results: After making adjustments for known confounding factors, we demonstrated that patients in the Regular Exercise group had fewer adverse events (adjusted odds ratio 0.72; 95% CI: 0.57, 0.91; p = 0.006) and significantly shorter lengths of stay (adjusted mean 2.2 vs. 2.5 d, p = 0.029) than the combined Infrequent Exercise or No Exercise group. Conclusions: Patients who exercised regularly twice or more per week prior to surgery had fewer postoperative adverse events and significantly shorter hospital lengths of stay compared to patients that exercised infrequently or did no exercise. Further study is required to determine effectiveness of a targeted prehabilitation programme.

Depression is higher among spine patients than among the general population. Some small studies, but not others, have suggested that depression may be a predictor of worse outcome after surgery.Determination whether there is an association between depression and worse response to surgery among spine patients.The national, prospective, Canadian Spine Outcome Research Network (CSORN) surgical outcome registry.All patients in the CSORN registry who received surgery for thoracic or lumbar degenerative deformity, stenosis, spondylolisthesis, disc disease, or disc herniation with a minimum of 12 months follow-up postoperation (n = 2310).Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), SF12 Physical Component Score (PCS), European Quality of Life (EuroQoL), and pain scales.Change in preoperative to 12-month postoperative ODI, and secondary measures, were compared to assess if there was an association between preoperative depression, as measured by PHQ9, and smaller response to surgery. Multivariate regression analysis was used to search for preoperative factors which might interact with PHQ9 to predict ODI outcome.Patients with PHQ95, associated with minimal to no depression, had the smallest ODI improvement (-16.8 [95%CI -18.1 to -15.3]) and patients with severe preoperative depression (PHQ9 ≥ 10) had the largest ODI improvement (-22.8 [95%CI -24.1 to -21.5]; p.00001). Similar findings were found in the EQ5D and PCS. Pain improvement was not different between depression levels. Multivariate modeling found worse baseline PHQ9 and ODI, greater age, nicotine use, more operative levels, and worse American Society of Anesthesiology score was predictive of worse ODI outcomes.Depressed patients have similar or better relative improvements in disability, quality of life, and pain, when compared to nondepressed patients, although their preoperative and postoperative levels of disability are higher. Surgeons should not be concerned that depression will reduce the patient-reported beneficial response to surgical intervention.

Allogenic blood transfusions can lead to immunomodulation. Our purpose was to investigate whether perioperative transfusions were associated with postoperative infections and any other adverse events (AEs), after adjusting for potential confounding factors, following common elective lumbar spinal surgery procedures.We performed a multivariate, propensity-score matched, regression-adjusted retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database between 2012 and 2016. All lumbar spinal surgery procedures were identified (n = 174,891). A transfusion group (perioperative transfusion within 72 h before, during, or after principal surgery; n = 1992) and a control group (no transfusion; n = 1992) were formed. Following adjustment for between-group baseline features, adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated using a multivariate logistic regression model for any surgical site infection (SSI), superficial SSI, deep SSI, wound dehiscence, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, sepsis, any infection, mortality, and any AEs.Transfusion was associated with an increased risk of each specific infection, mortality, and any AEs. Statistically significant between-group differences were demonstrated with respect to any SSI (aOR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.01-2.16), deep SSI (aOR: 1.66; 95% CI: 0.98-2.85), sepsis (aOR: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.43-5.03), wound dehiscence (aOR: 2.27; 95% CI: 0.86-6.01), any infection (aOR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.13-1.88), any AEs (aOR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.48-2.18), and mortality (aOR: 2.17; 95% CI: 0.77-6.36).We showed an association between transfusion and infection in lumbar spine surgery after adjustment for various applicable covariates. Sepsis had the highest association with transfusion. Our results reinforce a growing trend toward minimizing perioperative transfusions, which may lead to reduced infections following lumbar spine surgery.

OBJECTIVE Many studies have utilized a combined cohort of patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis (DS) and isthmic spondylolisthesis (IS) to evaluate indications and outcomes. Intuitively, these are very different populations, and rates, indications, and outcomes may differ. The goal of this study was to compare specific patient characteristics associated with the utilization of a posterior lumbar interbody device between cohorts of patients with DS and IS, as well as to compare rates of interbody device use and patient-rated outcomes at 1 year after surgical treatment. METHODS The authors included patients who underwent posterior lumbar interbody fusion or instrumented posterolateral fusion for grade I or II DS or IS and had been enrolled in the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network registry from 2009 to 2016. The outcome measures were score on the Oswestry Disability Index, scores for back pain and leg pain on the numeric rating scale, and mental component summary (MCS) score and physical component summary score on the 12-Item Short-Form Health Survey. Descriptive statistics were used to compare spondylolisthesis groups, logistic regression was used to compare interbody device use, and the chi-square test was used to compare the proportions of patients who achieved a minimal clinically important difference (MCID) at 1 year after surgery. RESULTS In total, 119 patients had IS and 339 had DS. Patients with DS were more commonly women, older, less likely to smoke, and more likely to have neurogenic claudication and comorbidities, whereas patients with IS more commonly had radicular pain, neurological deficits, and worse back pain. Spondylolisthesis was more common at the L4–5 level in patients with DS and at the L5–S1 level in patients with IS. Similar proportions of patients had an interbody device (78.6% of patients with DS vs 82.4% of patients with IS, p = 0.429). Among patients with IS, factors associated with interbody device utilization were BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and increased baseline leg pain intensity. Factors associated with interbody device utilization in patients with DS were younger age, increased number of total comorbidities, and lower baseline MCS score. For each outcome measure, similar proportions of patients in the surgical treatment and spondylolisthesis groups achieved the MCID at 1 year after surgery. CONCLUSIONS Although the demographic and patient characteristics associated with interbody device utilization differed between cohorts, similar proportions of patients attained clinically meaningful improvement at 1 year after surgery.

Background: Prescribing opioids upon discharge after surgery is common practice; however, there are many inherent risks including dependency, diversion, and medical complications. Our prospective pre- and post-intervention study investigates the effect of a standardized analgesic prescription on the quantity of opioids prescribed and patients' level of pain and satisfaction with pain control in the early post-operative period. Methods: With the implementation of an electronic medical record, a standardized prescription was built employing multimodal analgesia and a stepwise approach to analgesics based on level of pain. Patients received an education handout pre-operatively explaining the prescription. Consecutive patients over a three-month period undergoing elective spine surgery as day or overnight stay cases who received usual care were compared to a similar cohort who received the standardized prescription and education. Patient satisfaction with post-operative pain control, post-operative pain scores, number of refills required, and opioids prescribed in oral morphine equivalents (OMEs) were compared before and after implementation of the standardized analgesic prescription. Results: Twenty-six patients received usual care (Control group) and 26 patients received the standardized prescription and education handout (Intervention group). There were significantly fewer OMEs prescribed in the Intervention group compared to the Control group. There was no difference between groups in: patient post-operative pain intensity score, post-operative satisfaction score, or number of refills required. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that a standardized prescription consisting of an appropriate amount of opioid and non-opioid analgesics is effective in reducing the OMEs prescribed post-operatively in elective spine surgery procedures, without compromising patient pain control or satisfaction or increasing the number of refills required.

Study design Retrospective cohort study. Objectives The primary objective was to evaluate the impact of the upper instrumented level (UIV) being at C2 vs C3 in posterior cervical construct on patient reported outcomes (PROs) up to 24 months after surgery for cervical degenerative myelopathy (DCM). Secondary objectives were to compare operative time, intra-operative blood loss (IOBL), length of stay (LOS), adverse events (AEs) and re-operation. Methodology Patients who underwent a posterior cervical instrumented fusion (3 and + levels) with a C2 or C3 UIV, with 24 months follow-up were analyzed. PROs (NDI, EQ5D, SF-12 PCS/MCS, NRS arm/neck pain) were compared using ANCOVA. Operative duration, IOBL, AEs, and re-operation were compared. Subgroup analysis was performed on patient presenting with pre-operative malalignment (cervical sagittal vertical axis ≥40 mm and/or T1slope- cervical lordosis >15°). Results 173 patients were included, of which 41 (24%) had a C2 UIV and 132 (76%) a C3 UIV. There was no statistically significant difference between the groups for the changes in PROs up to 24 months. Subgroup analysis of patients with pre-operative malalignment showed a trend towards greater improvement in the NDI at 12 months with a C2 UIV ( P = .054). Operative time, IOBL and peri-operative AEs were more in C2 group ( P < .05). There was no significant difference in LOS and re-operation ( P > .05). Conclusion In this observational study, up to 24 months after surgery for posterior cervical fusion in DCM greater than 3 levels, PROs appear to evolve similarly.

Study design A multicenter ambispective study using the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network to compare clinical outcomes in adult patients with isthmic spondylolisthesis who received surgery. Objective The purpose of this study is to compare 1-year postoperative clinical outcomes between posterior instrumented fusion with and without interbody fusion in patients with isthmic spondylolisthesis. Summary of background data Despite the increased use of interbody fusion in patients with isthmic spondylolisthesis, clinical superiority has not been demonstrated. It remains unclear what the optimal surgical approach is for this population. Materials and methods The primary outcome was changed in leg pain at 1 year. Secondary outcomes were changed in Oswestry Disability Index, Short Form-12 Physical Component Score, and back pain at 1-year postoperative follow-up, estimated intraoperative blood loss, length of surgery, length of stay, number of transfusions, and adverse events. Descriptive statistics, Student t test, χ2 test, and stepwise multivariable regression were used for analysis. Results In total, 300 patients were included in this study. Of the 300 patients, 252 received posterolateral instrumented fusion with interbody fusion and 48 received posterolateral instrumented fusion alone. There were no significant differences in primary and secondary clinical outcomes at 1-year postoperative follow-up between the 2 groups. There were no significant differences in estimated blood loss (441 vs. 356 mL), length of surgery (210 vs. 224 min), length of stay (4 vs. 4 d), rate of transfusions (5.6% vs. 8.3%), and number of adverse events (33% vs. 23%) between patients who received interbody fusion and patients who did not. The addition of interbody fusion was not a significant variable for primary and secondary clinical outcomes in the stepwise multivariable regression analysis. Conclusions There were no significant differences in clinical outcomes at 1 year or in the number of early complications between patients who received posterolateral fusion or posterior/transformational lumbar interbody fusion. Level of evidence Level III.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT Traumatic spinal cord injury can have a dramatic effect on a patient's life. The degree of neurologic recovery greatly influences a patient's treatment and expected quality of life. This has resulted in the development of machine learning algorithms (MLA) that use acute demographic and neurologic information to prognosticate recovery. The van Middendorp et al. (2011) (vM) logistic regression (LR) model has been established as a reference model for the prediction of walking recovery following spinal cord injury as it has been validated within many different countries. However, an examination of the way in which these prediction models are evaluated is warranted. The area under the receiver operators curve (AUROC) has been consistently used when evaluating model performance, but it has been shown that AUROC overemphasizes the most common event resulting in an inaccurate assessment when the data are imbalanced. Furthermore, there is evidence that the use of more advanced MLA, such as an unsupervised k-means model, may show superior performance compared to LR as they can handle a larger number of features. PURPOSE The first objective of the study was to assess the performance of both an unsupervised MLA and LR model with complete admission neurologic information against the vM and Hicks models. Second, a comparison between the accuracy of the AUROC and the F1-score will be made to determine which method is superior for the assessment of diagnostic performance of prediction models on large-scale datasets. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective review of a prospective cohort study. PATIENT SAMPLE The Rick Hansen Spinal Cord Injury Registry (RHSCIR) was used in this study. All patients enrolled between 2004 and 2017 with complete neurologic examination and Functional Independence Measure outcome data at ≥1 year follow-up or who could walk at discharge were included. The prognostic variables included age (dichotomized at ≥65 years old); American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) grade; and individual motor, light touch, and pinprick score from L2 to S1. OUTCOME MEASURES The Functional Independence Measure locomotor score was used to assess independent walking ability at discharge or 1-year follow-up. METHODS An unsupervised MLA with k=2 was chosen in order to identify a “walk” cluster and a “not walk” cluster. Model performance was assessed through the development of a receiver operating characteristic curve with associated AUROC and a precision-recall curve with associated F1-score. The study and the RHSCIR are supported by funding from Health Canada, Western Economic Diversification Canada, and the Governments of Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, and Ontario. These funders had no role in the study or study reporting and the authors have no conflicts of interest to report. RESULTS No clinically relevant differences were found between with the use of an unsupervised MLA with a greater amount of initial neurologic information compared to the established standards for any AIS classification. Although demonstrated for all separate AIS classifications, most notably, the AUROC for the vM (0.78) and Hicks models (0.76) were found to be superior to that of the new LR model (0.72); however, the vM and Hicks models had more than double the amount of false negative classifications compared to the LR. The F1-scores between these three models were also found to be different but with the vM and Hicks models being lower than the LR (0.85, 0.81, and 0.89, respectively). CONCLUSIONS No clinically relevant differences were found between the use of an unsupervised MLA with complete admission neurologic information compared to the previously validated standards; however, when comparing the performance of the AUROC and F1-score, the AUROC showed inaccurate prognostic performance when there was an imbalance toward a greater amount of false negatives. Importantly, the F1-score did not succumb to this imbalance. As AUROC has been used as the standard when evaluating performance of prediction models, consideration as to whether this is the most appropriate method is warranted. Future work should focus on comparing AUROC and F1-scores with other previously validated models.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT Resident involvement in the operating room is a vital component of their medical education. Conflicting and limited research exists regarding the effects of surgical resident participation on spine surgery patient outcomes. PURPOSE To determine the effect of resident involvement on surgery duration, length of hospital stay and 30-day postoperative complication rates in common spinal surgery using the American College of Surgeons’ National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. STUDY DESIGN Multicenter retrospective cohort study. PATIENT SAMPLE A total of 1,441 patients met the inclusion criteria: 1,142 patients had surgeries with an attending physician alone and 299 patients had surgeries with trainee involvement. All anterior cervical or posterior lumbar surgery patients were identified. Patients who had missing trainee involvement information, surgery for cancer, preoperative infection or dirty wound classification, spine fractures, traumatic spinal cord injury, intradural surgery, thoracic surgery, and emergency surgery were excluded. OUTCOME MEASURES The main outcomes of interest analyzed from the ACS-NSQIP database included surgical complications, medical complications, length of hospital stay, and surgery duration. METHODS Propensity score for risk of any complication was calculated to account for baseline characteristic differences between the attending alone and trainee present group. Multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate the impact of resident involvement on surgery duration, length of hospital stay, and 30-day postoperative complication rates. RESULTS After adjusting using the calculated propensity score, the multivariate analysis demonstrated that there was no significant difference in any complication rates between surgeries involving trainees compared to surgeries with attending surgeons alone. Surgery times were found to be significantly longer for surgeries involving trainees. To further explore this relationship, separate analyses were performed for tertiles of predicted surgery duration, cervical or lumbar surgery, fusion or nonfusion, and inpatient or outpatient surgery. The effect of trainee involvement on increasing surgery time remained significant for medium predicted surgery duration, longer predicted surgery duration, cervical surgery, lumbar surgery, fusion surgery, and inpatient surgery. There were no significant differences reported for any other factors. CONCLUSIONS After adjusting for confounding, we demonstrated in a national database that resident involvement in surgeries did not increase complication rates. We demonstrated that surgeries with more complex features may lead to an increase in operative time when trainees are involved. Further study is required to determine how to efficiently integrate resident involvement in surgeries without affecting their medical education.

OBJECTIVE Treatment of degenerative lumbar diseases has been shown to be clinically effective with open transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (O-TLIF) or minimally invasive transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (MIS-TLIF). Despite this, a substantial proportion of patients do not meet minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) in patient-reported outcomes (PROs). The objectives of this study were to compare the proportions of patients who did not meet MCIDs after O-TLIF and MIS-TLIF and to determine potential clinical factors associated with failure to achieve MCID. METHODS The authors performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients who underwent O-TLIF or MIS-TLIF for lumbar degenerative disorders and had been prospectively enrolled in the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network. The authors analyzed the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) scores, physical and mental component summary scores of SF-12, numeric rating scale (NRS) scores for leg and back pain, and EQ-5D scores of the patients in each group who did not meet the MCID of ODI at 2 years postoperatively. RESULTS In this study, 38.8% (137 of 353) of patients in the O-TLIF cohort and 41.8% (51 of 122) of patients in the MIS-TLIF cohort did not meet the MCID of ODI at 2 years postoperatively (p = 0.59). Demographic variables and baseline PROs were similar between groups. There were improvements across the PROs of both groups through 2 years, and there were no differences in any PROs between the O-TLIF and MIS-TLIF cohorts. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that higher baseline leg pain score (p = 0.017) and a diagnosis of spondylolisthesis (p = 0.0053) or degenerative disc disease (p = 0.022) were associated with achieving the MCID at 2 years after O-TLIF, whereas higher baseline leg pain score was associated with reaching the MCID after MIS-TLIF (p = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS Similar proportions of patients failed to reach the MCID of ODI at 2 years after O-TLIF or MIS-TLIF. Higher baseline leg pain score was predictive of achieving the MCID in both cohorts, whereas a diagnosis of spondylolisthesis or degenerative disc disease was predictive of reaching the MCID after O-TLIF. These data provide novel insights for patient counseling and suggest that either MIS-TLIF or O-TLIF does not overcome specific patient factors to mitigate clinical success or failure in terms of the intermediate-term PROs associated with 1- to 2-level lumbar fusion surgical procedures for degenerative pathologies.

Thoracic hypokyphosis following AIS correction may be associated with reduced lumbar lordosis with potential adverse effects on the global sagittal balance. In the present study, we were interested in how the amount of thoracic kyphosis influences the sagittal profile and balance in selective thoracic (STF) and thoracolumbar fusions. Out of 154 patients, 86 patients had correction of AIS Lenke I or II with a side-loading pedicle screw system and completed a 2-year follow-up. Patient factors such as age, Risser grade, lowest and upper instrumented vertebra, and lumbar modifier were recorded. Coronal Cobb and sagittal parameters were measured using Surgimap. Statistical analysis according to distributions and multiple linear and logistic regressions was performed using STATA for Mac v13. In STF, logistic regression against post-operative change in SVA versus thoracic kyphosis allowed calculation of a critical thoracic kyphosis of 23° (ROC AUC 0.65, spec 0.70, sens 0.63), below which deterioration of the sagittal vertical axis is more likely (PPV 71.4%). Patients with hypokyphosis exhibited an increase in the SVA (pre-operative 7.2 ± 37.1 mm vs. 23.1 ± 27.6 mm at 2 years, p = 0.0164), whereas it was maintained from pre-operative to 2 years post-operative if thoracic kyphosis is above 23° (pre-operative 2.5 ± 28.9 mm vs. 5.4 ± 26.9 mm at 2 years, p = 0.579). A critical thoracic kyphosis of 23° and more should be aimed for in hypokyphotic patients to potentially avoid post-operative sagittal plane deterioration with mechanical and likely also clinical consequences. These slides can be retrieved under Electronic Supplementary Material.

OBJECTIVEThere has been a generic dictum in spine and musculoskeletal clinical research that a minimum 2-year follow-up is necessary for patient-reported outcomes (PROs) to adequately assess the therapeutic effect of surgery; however, the rationale for this duration is not evidence based. The purpose of this study was to determine the follow-up time necessary to ensure that the effectiveness of a lumbar surgical intervention is adequately captured for three lumbar pathologies and three common PROs.METHODSUsing the different PROs of pain, physical function, and mental quality of life from the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network (CSORN) prospective database, the authors assessed the time course to the recovery plateau following lumbar spine surgery for lumbar disc herniation, degenerative spondylolisthesis, and spinal stenosis. One-way ANOVA with post hoc testing was used to compare scores on the following standardized PRO measures at baseline and 3, 12, and 24 months postoperatively: Disability Scale (DS), visual analog scale (VAS) for leg and back pain, and SF-12 Mental Component Summary (MCS) and Physical Component Summary (PCS).RESULTSSignificant differences for all spine pathologies and specific PROs were found with one-way ANOVA (p < 0.0001). The time to plateaued recovery after surgery for lumbar disc herniation (661 patients), lumbar stenosis (913 patients), and lumbar spondylolisthesis (563 patients) followed the same course for the following PRO measures: VAS for back and leg pain, 3 months; DS, 12 months; PCS, 12 months; and MCS, 3 months. Beyond these time points, no further significant improvements in PROs were seen. Patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis or spinal stenosis who had undergone fusion surgery plateaued at 12 months on the DS and PCS, compared to 3 months in those who had not undergone fusion.CONCLUSIONSSpecific health dimensions follow distinctly different recovery plateaus, indicating that a 2-year postoperative follow-up is not required for all PROs to accurately assess the treatment effect of lumbar spinal surgery. Ultimately, the clinical research question should dictate the follow-up time and the outcome measure utilized; however, there is now evidence to guide the specific duration of follow-up for pain, physical function, and mental quality of life dimensions.

OBJECTIVE Previous works investigating rates of adverse events (AEs) in spine surgery have been retrospective, with data collection from administrative databases, and often from single centers. To date, there have been no prospective reports capturing AEs in spine surgery on a national level, with comparison among centers. METHODS The Spine Adverse Events Severity system was used to define the incidence and severity of AEs after spine surgery by using data from the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network (CSORN) prospective registry. Patient data were collected prospectively and during hospital admission for those undergoing elective spine surgery for degenerative conditions. The Spine Adverse Events Severity system defined minor and major AEs as grades 1–2 and 3–6, respectively. RESULTS There were 3533 patients enrolled in this cohort. There were 85 (2.4%) individual patients with at least one major AE and 680 (19.2%) individual patients with at least one minor AE. There were 25 individual patients with 28 major intraoperative AEs and 260 patients with 275 minor intraoperative AEs. Postoperatively there were 61 patients with a total of 80 major AEs. Of the 487 patients with minor AEs postoperatively there were 698 total AEs. The average enrollment was 321 patients (range 47–1237 patients) per site. The rate of major AEs was consistent among sites (mean 2.9% ± 2.4%, range 0%–9.1%). However, the rate of minor AEs varied widely among sites—from 7.9% to 42.5%, with a mean of 18.8% ± 9.7%. The rate of minor AEs varied depending on how they were reported, with surgeon reporting associated with the lowest rates (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS The rate of major AEs after lumbar spine surgery is consistent among different sites but the rate of minor AEs appears to vary substantially. The method by which AEs are reported impacts the rate of minor AEs. These data have implications for the detection and reporting of AEs and the design of strategies aimed at mitigating complications.

We investigated for potential predictors of outcome following degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis surgery. In this longitudinal study of 529 patients, approximately one in three patients experienced a poor clinical outcome. Demographic, health, and clinical factors were more predictive of clinical outcome than surgery-related factors., Study Design. Longitudinal analysis of prospectively collected data. Objective. Investigate potential predictors of poor outcome following surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS). Summary of Background Data. LSS is the most common reason for an older person to undergo spinal surgery, yet little information is available to inform patient selection. Methods. We recruited LSS surgical candidates from 13 orthopedic and neurological surgery centers. Potential outcome predictors included demographic, health, clinical, and surgery-related variables. Outcome measures were leg and back numeric pain rating scales and Oswestry disability index scores obtained before surgery and after 3, 12, and 24 postoperative months. We classified surgical outcomes based on trajectories of leg pain and a composite measure of overall outcome (leg pain, back pain, and disability). Results. Data from 529 patients (mean [SD] age = 66.5 [9.1] yrs; 46% female) were included. In total, 36.1% and 27.6% of patients were classified as experiencing a poor leg pain outcome and overall outcome, respectively. For both outcomes, patients receiving compensation or with depression/depression risk were more likely, and patients participating in regular exercise were less likely to have poor outcomes. Lower health-related quality of life, previous spine surgery, and preoperative anticonvulsant medication use were associated with poor leg pain outcome. Patients with ASA scores more than two, greater preoperative disability, and longer pain duration or surgical waits were more likely to have a poor overall outcome. Patients who received preoperative chiropractic or physiotherapy treatment were less likely to report a poor overall outcome. Multivariable models demonstrated poor-to acceptable (leg pain) and excellent (overall outcome) discrimination. Conclusion. Approximately one in three patients with LSS experience a poor clinical outcome consistent with surgical non-response. Demographic, health, and clinical factors were more predictive of clinical outcome than surgery-related factors. These predictors may assist surgeons with patient selection and inform shared decision-making for patients with symptomatic LSS. Level of Evidence: 2

BACKGROUND With spinal surgery rates increasing in North America, models that are able to accurately predict which patients are at greater risk of developing complications are highly warranted. However, the previously published methods which have used large, multi-centre databases to develop their prediction models have relied on the receiver operator characteristics curve with the associated area under the curve (AUC) to assess their model's performance. Recently, it has been found that a precision-recall curve with the associated F1-score could provide a more realistic analysis for these models. PURPOSE To develop a logistic regression (LR) model for the prediction of complications following posterior lumbar spine surgery and to then assess for any difference in performance of the model when using the AUC versus the F1-score. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective review of a prospective cohort. PATIENT SAMPLE The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) registry was used. All patients that underwent posterior lumbar spine surgery between 2005 to 2016 with appropriate data were included. OUTCOME MEASURES Both the AUC and F1-score were utilized to assess the prognostic performance of the prediction model. METHODS In order to develop the LR model used to predict a complication during or following spine surgery, 19 variables were selected by three orthopedic spine surgeons from the NSQIP registry. Two datasets were developed for this analysis: (1) an imbalanced dataset, which was taken directly from the NSQIP registry, and (2) a down-sampled set. The purpose of the down-sampled set was to balance the data in order to evaluate whether balancing the data had an effect on model performance. The AUC and F1-score were applied to both of these datasets. RESULTS Within the NSQIP database, 52,787 spine surgery cases were identified of which only 10% of these cases had complications during surgery. Applying the LR model showed a large difference between the AUC (0.69) and the F1 score (0.075) on the imbalanced dataset. However, no major differences existed between the AUC and F1-score when the data was balanced and the LR model was reapplied (0.69 and 0.62, AUC and F1-score, respectively). CONCLUSIONS The F1-score detected a drastically lower performance for the prediction of complications when using the imbalanced data, but detected a performance similar to the AUC level when balancing techniques were utilized for the dataset. This difference is due to a low precision score when many false positive classifications are present, which is not identified when using the AUC value. This lowers the utility of the AUC score, as many of the datasets used in medicine are imbalanced. Therefore, we recommend using the F1-score on large, prospective databases when the data is imbalanced with a large amount of true negative classifications.

Study Design: Ambispective cohort study. Objective: Limited data exists comparing surgeon and patient expectations of outcome following spine surgery. The objective of this study was to elicit whether any differences exist between patient and surgeon expectations for common spine surgeries. Methods: Ten common age-appropriate clinical scenarios were generated and sent to Canadian spine surgeons to determine surgeon expectations for standard spine surgeries. Patients in the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network (CSORN) registry matching the clinical scenarios were identified. Aggregated patient expectations were compared with surgeon responses for each scenario. A χ2 analysis was then completed to determine discrepancies between surgeon and patient expectations for each scenario. Results: A total of 51 Canadian spine surgeons completed the survey on surgical expectations. A total of 919 patients from multiple centers were identified within the CSORN database that matched the clinical scenarios. Our results demonstrated that patients tend to be more optimistic about the expected outcomes of surgery compared with the treating surgeon. The majority of patients in all clinical scenarios anticipated improvement in back or neck pain after surgery, which differed from surgeon expectations. Results also highlighted the effect of patient age on both patient and surgeon expectations. Discrepancies between patient and surgeon expectations were higher for older patients. Conclusion: We present data on patient and surgeon expectations for spine surgeries and show that differences exist particularly concerning the improvement of neck or back pain. Patient age plays a role in the agreement between the treating physicians and patients in regard to surgical expectations. The reasons for the discrepancies remain unclear.

Opioid use in North America has increased rapidly in recent years. Preoperative opioid use is associated with several negative outcomes. Our objectives were to assess patterns of opioid use over time in Canadian patients who undergo spine surgery and to determine the effect of spine surgery on 1-year postoperative opioid use.A retrospective analysis was performed on prospectively collected data from the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network for patients undergoing elective thoracic and lumbar surgery. Self-reported opioid use at baseline, before surgery and at 1 year after surgery was compared. Baseline opioid use was compared by age, sex, radiologic diagnosis and presenting complaint. All patients meeting eligibility criteria from 2008 to 2017 were included.A total of 3134 patients provided baseline opioid use data. No significant change in the proportion of patients taking daily (range 32.3%-38.2%) or intermittent (range 13.7%-22.5%) opioids was found from pre-2014 to 2017. Among patients who waited more than 6 weeks for surgery, the frequency of opioid use did not differ significantly between the baseline and preoperative time points. Significantly more patients using opioids had a chief complaint of back pain or radiculopathy than neurogenic claudication (p0.001), and significantly more were under 65 years of age than aged 65 years or older (p0.001). Approximately 41% of patients on daily opioids at baseline remained so at 1 year after surgery.These data suggest that additional opioid reduction strategies are needed in the population of patients undergoing elective thoracic and lumbar spine surgery. Spine surgeons can be involved in identifying patients taking opioids preoperatively, emphasizing the risks of continued opioid use and referring patients to appropriate evidence-based treatment programs.En Amérique du Nord, l’utilisation d’opioïdes a augmenté rapidement dans les dernières années. La prise d’opioïdes en période préopératoire est associée à plusieurs issues négatives. Cette étude visait à évaluer l’évolution des tendances dans l’utilisation d’opioïdes des patients canadiens ayant subi une chirurgie spinale, et de déterminer les effets de la chirurgie sur leur utilisation 1 an après l’opération.Une analyse rétrospective a été réalisée à partir de données recueillies de manière prospective par le Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network pour les patients ayant subi une chirurgie thoracique ou une chirurgie spinale élective. On a comparé l’utilisation autodéclarée d’opioïdes au début du suivi, avant la chirurgie et 1 an après la chirurgie. L’utilisation d’opioïdes au départ a été comparée selon le sexe, l’âge, le diagnostic radiologique et le motif de consultation. Entre 2008 et 2017, tous les patients satisfaisant aux critères d’admissibilités ont été inclus dans l’étude.Au total, 3134 patients ont fourni des données sur leur prise d’opioïdes au début du suivi. Il n’y avait pas de changement significatif dans la proportion de patients utilisant quotidiennement (32,3 % à 38,2 %) ou occasionnellement (13,7 % à 22,5 %) des opioïdes entre les patients à l’étude avant 2014 et ceux à l’étude de 2014 à 2017. Parmi les patients qui ont attendu plus de 6 semaines avant la chirurgie, la fréquence de la prise d’opioïdes n’a pas changé de manière significative entre le début du suivi et la rencontre préopératoire. Une proportion significativement plus grande de patients qui utilisaient des opioïdes consultaient principalement pour des douleurs au dos ou une radiculopathie que pour une claudication neurogène (p0,001), et il y avait une proportion significativement plus grande de patients de moins de 65 ans qui utilisaient des opioïdes que de patients de 65 ans ou plus (p0,001). Environ 41 % des patients qui prenaient quotidiennement des opioïdes au départ le faisaient aussi 1 an après la chirurgie.Ces données suggèrent que des stratégies supplémentaires de réduction de l’utilisation d’opioïdes sont nécessaires pour les patients qui subissent une chirurgie thoracique ou une chirurgie spinale élective. Il est possible de demander aux chirurgiens spécialisés dans ce domaine de repérer les patients qui prennent des opioïdes avant l’opération, puisque l’utilisation prolongée comporte des risques, et de les aiguiller vers un programme de traitement adéquat et fondé sur des données probantes.

Objectives Chronic diseases, including back pain, result in significant patient morbidity and societal burden. Overall improvement in physical fitness is recommended for prevention and treatment. Walking is a convenient modality for achieving initial gains. Our objective was to determine whether neighbourhood walkability, acting as a surrogate measure of physical fitness, was associated with the presence of chronic disease. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study of prospectively collected data from a prior randomized cohort study of 227 patients referred for tertiary assessment of chronic back pain in Ottawa, ON, Canada. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was calculated from patient-completed questionnaires and medical record review. Using patients' postal codes, neighbourhood walkability was determined using the Walk Score, which awards points based on the distance to the closest amenities, yielding a score from 0 to 100 (0- 50: car-dependent; 50-100: walkable). Results Based on the Walk Score, 134 patients lived in car-dependent neighborhoods and 93 lived in walkable neighborhoods. A multivariate logistic regression model, adjusted for age, gender, rural postal code, body mass index, smoking, median household income, percent employment, pain, and disability, demonstrated an adjusted odds ratio of 2.75 (95% confidence interval, 1.16 to 6.53) times higher prevalence for having a chronic disease for patients living in a car-dependent neighborhood. There was also a significant dose-related association (p=0.01; Mantel-Haenszel chi-square=6.4) between living in car-dependent neighbourhoods and more severe CCI scores. Conclusions Our findings suggest that advocating for improved neighbourhood planning to permit greater walkability may help offset the burden of chronic disease.

Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. Objectives: To test the external validity of the 2 published prediction criteria for failure of medical management in patients with spinal epidural abscess (SEA). Methods: Patients with SEA over a 10-year period at a tertiary care center were identified using ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision) diagnostic codes; electronic and paper charts were reviewed. The incidence of SEA and the proportion of patients with SEA that were treated medically were calculated. The rate of failure of medical management was determined. The published prediction models were applied to our data to determine how predictive they were of failure in our cohort. Results: A total of 550 patients were identified using ICD-10 codes, 160 of whom had a magnetic resonance imaging–confirmed diagnosis of SEA. The incidence of SEA was 16 patients per year. Seventy-five patients were found to be intentionally managed medically and were included in the analysis. Thirteen of these 75 patients failed medical management (17%). Based on the published prediction criteria, 26% (Kim et al) and 45% (Patel et al) of our patients were expected to fail. Conclusions: Published prediction models for failure of medical management of SEA were not valid in our cohort. However, once calibrated to our cohort, Patel’s model consisting of positive blood culture, presence of diabetes, white blood cells >12.5, and C-reactive protein >115 was the better model for our data.

OBJECTIVE Spinal epidural abscess (SEA) is a life-threatening infection. It is uncertain whether medical versus surgical treatment is the ideal initial approach for neurologically intact patients with SEA. Recent evidence demonstrates that initial medical management is increasingly common; however, patients who ultimately require surgery after failed medical management may have a worse prognosis than those whose treatment was initially surgical. The primary objective of this study was to establish the current incidence of failed medical management for SEA. The secondary aim was to identify risk factors associated with the failure of medical management. METHODS The authors conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis by searching electronic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and PubMed), recent conference proceedings, and reference lists of relevant articles. Studies that reported original data on consecutive adult patients with SEA treated medically were eligible for inclusion. RESULTS Twelve studies met the inclusion criteria, which included a total of 489 medically treated patients with SEA. Agreement on articles for study inclusion was very high between the reviewers (kappa 0.86). In a meta-analysis, the overall pooled risk of failed medical management was 29.3% (95% CI 21.4%–37.2%) and when medical to surgical crossover was used to define failure the rate was 26.3% (95% CI 13.0%–39.7%). Only 6 studies provided data for analysis by intended treatment, with a pooled estimate of 35.1% (95% CI 15.7%–54.4%) of failed medical management. Two studies reported predictors of the failure of medical management. CONCLUSIONS Although the incidence of failed medical management of SEA was relatively common in published reports, estimates were highly heterogeneous between studies, thus introducing uncertainty about the frequency of this risk. A consensus definition of failure is required to facilitate comparison of failure rates across studies.

© 2019 Hebert et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Objective Identify patient subgroups defined by trajectories of pain and disability following surgery for degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis, and investigate the construct validity of the subgroups by evaluating for meaningful differences in clinical outcomes. Methods We recruited patients with degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis from 13 surgical spine centers who were deemed to be surgical candidates. Study outcomes (leg and back pain numeric rating scales, modified Oswestry disability index) were measured before surgery, and after 3, 12, and 24 months. Group-based trajectory models were developed to identify trajectory subgroups for leg pain, back pain, and pain-related disability. We examined for differences in the proportion of patients achieving minimum clinically important change in pain and disability (30%) and clinical success (50% reduction in disability or Oswestry score ≤22) 12 months from surgery. Results Data from 548 patients (mean[SD] age = 66.7[9.1] years; 46% female) were included. The models estimated 3 unique trajectories for leg pain (excellent outcome = 14.4%, good outcome = 49.5%, poor outcome = 36.1%), back pain (excellent outcome = 13.1%, good outcome = 45.0%, poor outcome = 41.9%), and disability (excellent outcome = 30.8%, fair outcome = 40.1%, poor outcome = 29.1%). The construct validity of the trajectory subgroups was confirmed by between-trajectory group differences in the proportion of patients meeting thresholds for minimum clinically important change and clinical success after 12 postoperative months (p < .001). Conclusion Subgroups of patients with degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis can be identified by their trajectories of pain and disability following surgery. Although most patients experienced important reductions in pain and disability, 29% to 42% of patients were classified as members of an outcome trajectory subgroup that experienced little to no benefit from surgery. These findings may inform appropriate expectation setting for patients and clinicians and highlight the need for better methods of treatment selection for patients with degenerative lumbar spinal stenosis.

Surgical decompression is usually offered for improvement of neurogenic claudication in patients with symptomatic lumbar canal stenosis. These patients often have associated low back pain (LBP) and little is known about the effect of decompression on this symptom.The goal of the present study is to specifically quantify the improvement in LBP following surgical decompression for lumbar canal stenosis and to identify factors associated with changes in LBP in this population.This is a multicenter, retrospective review of consecutive spine surgery patients enrolled by the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network.Consecutive patients who underwent surgical treatment for symptomatic lumbar spine stenosis without instability between 2014 and 2017.Change in LBP on the Numeric Rating Scale (NRS).Patient-reported outcomes were collected at baseline and at 3, 12, and 24 months after surgery. The primary outcome was change in LBP on the NRS. Multivariable logistic regression was used to model the relationship between the outcome and potential factors associated with achieving minimal clinical important difference in back pain using a backward selection procedure.In all, 1,221 patients were included in the analysis. Mean age was 64 years and 58% were males. Baseline back pain scores were available in 1,133 patients and follow-up evaluations were available in 968/1,133 (85%) patients at 3 months, 649/903 (72%) patients at 12 months, and 331/454 (73%) at 24 months. LBP significantly improved 3 months after surgery and the improvement was sustained at 24 months (p.001). We found that 74% of patients reached the minimal clinical important difference in back pain. Predictive factors for sustained improvement (12 and 24 months) in LBP after surgical intervention were absence of narcotic usage or compensation claims and increased severity of LBP before surgery (high NRS).Alleviation of clinically significant LBP was observed at 3 months after lumbar decompression surgery for neurogenic claudication and was maintained at 12 and 24 months after surgery in the majority of patients.

In BriefThe time course required for the patient-reported outcomes of pain, physical function, and mental health to reach a recovery plateau after elective lumbar spine surgery was assessed utilizing a prospectively maintained multicenter registry. The work is important as it demonstrates that specific health dimensions follow different recovery plateaus and it provides evidence that a 2-year postoperative follow-up is not required to accurately assess the treatment effect of established surgeries for lumbar spinal pathologies.

Objectives Situational awareness (SA) refers to the perception of elements in one's environment, the comprehension of their meaning, and the projection of their status in the near future. The SA global assessment technique (SAGAT) is an assessment tool validated for use in a trauma simulation. The goal of this study was to determine the effect of sleep deprivation on residents' performance in a trauma simulation, evaluated by the SAGAT. Methods A power analysis determined that 9 residents would be needed to show a significant difference in SAGAT scores (7%). Therefore, 9 surgical residents on an intensive care unit rotation underwent 2 trauma simulations. One session was performed in the rested condition, and the other was for postcall. The SAGAT was used to evaluate the residents' performance. The rested and postcall scores were compared. Results Using a paired t test, the SAGAT scores were analyzed. The average rested score was 80.13% (range, 50%-94%), and the sleep-deprived score was 80.09% (range, 72%-91%). There was no significant difference between the residents' rested and the postcall SAGAT scores (P = 0.99). Conclusions From this study, the resident SA in a trauma simulation does not seem to be affected by 1 night of sleep deprivation, as demonstrated by the lack of significant difference in SAGAT scores; however, more research in this area is needed. Level of evidence Prognostic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT Narcotic use has increased rapidly in the US in recent years. There is an association between preoperative narcotic use and increased length of stay, inadequate perioperative pain control and poor spine surgery outcomes. PURPOSE To investigate patterns of narcotic use in Canadian spine surgery patients, examine trends over time, and determine the effect of spine surgery on postoperative narcotic use. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING Multicentre, ambispective review of consecutive thoracolumbar spine surgery patients enrolled by the Canadian Spine Outcomes and Research Network (CSORN) between October 2008 and August 2017. METHODS Retrospective analysis of prospectively-collected data on elective thoracolumbar surgery patients in the CSORN database. Self-reported narcotic use at baseline, presurgery and 1-year postoperative were compared. Baseline narcotic use by age, gender and presenting complaint was also compared. All patients meeting eligibility criteria from database inception to 2017 were included. RESULTS A total of 3,134 patients met inclusion criteria and provided baseline data on narcotic use. Over time ( CONCLUSIONS Narcotic use in spine surgery patients in Canada is widespread. Although narcotic use might decrease postoperatively, as surgeons we are having little to no impact on our patients’ narcotic use while on the waitlist for surgery. An opportunity may exist to intervene in this critical preoperative stage to optimize surgical outcomes. Continued efforts to decrease narcotic use should be focused on FDA DEVICE/DRUG STATUS This abstract does not discuss or include any applicable devices or drugs.