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The energy sector is undergoing a transformative shift, driven by advancements in Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), the digitization of the energy supply chain and decarbonization policy objectives across the world. This paradigm shift has led to the emergence of Local Energy Markets (LEMs), which enable small-scale prosumers to actively participate in the energy market, trade power, and leverage their flexible resources. To ensure the success and acceptance of LEMs, this paper proposes a cooperative game-theoretic approach that fosters prosumer engagement and fair profit allocation. We utilize prospect theory from behavioural economics to examine the decision-making process of prosumers and incorporate their preferences for changes in wealth status. By adopting a cooperative game structure, prosumers can pool their resources, reduce transaction costs, and enhance data utilization. The paper introduces a novel pricing algorithm inspired by prospect theory that incentivizes prosumer participation and accounts for the uncertainty involved in LEM operations. Additionally, a computationally efficient method for profit allocation based on the variation of the Shapley value is proposed to ensure scheme stability. A use case evaluation is conducted on a real-world low-voltage network, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach in terms of economic efficiency and market characteristics. The results highlight the benefits of the consumer-centric LEM, including improved local trading dynamics, fair profit distribution, and enhanced grid stability. Overall, this research contributes to the design and development of LEMs that prioritize prosumer engagement, community cooperation, financial inclusion and democratization of the energy market.

Forecasting imbalance volumes are of great importance for the different actors in electricity markets. From a transmission system operator (TSO) perspective, balancing supply and demand in real-time is one of the main operational tasks to ensure the safe and reliable operation of the power system, while market participants also use forecasting tools to enhance their participation strategy in electricity wholesale markets. Over the last few years, the increasing integration of renewable energy sources into the power system has created additional complexity for the problem of accurately determining the imbalance volume. In the present work, a case study of the Greek balancing market is presented and analysed. Different algorithms and a set of external predictors are adopted both from the market and operational perspective and compared for two different forecasting horizons.

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) has become an essential part of decision-making for energy companies to participate in power markets. As the energy mix becomes more uncertain and stochastic, this process has also become important for industrial companies, as their production schedules are greatly impacted by energy costs. Although various approaches have been tested with varying degrees of success, this study focuses on predicting day-ahead market (DAM) prices in different European markets and how this directly affects the optimal production scheduling for various industrial loads. We propose a fuzzy-based architecture that incorporates the results of two forecasting algorithms; a random forest (RF) and a long short-term memory (LSTM). To enhance the accuracy of the proposed model for a specific country, electricity market data from neighboring countries are also included. The developed DAM price forecaster can then be utilized by energy-intensive industries to optimize their production processes to reduce energy costs and improve energy-efficiency. Specifically, the tool is important for industries with multi-site production facilities in neighboring countries, which could reschedule the production processes depending on the forecasted electricity market price.

The upward trend of adopting Distributed Energy Resources (DER) reshapes the energy landscape and supports the transition towards a sustainable, carbon-free electricity system. The integration of Internet of Things (IoT) in Demand Response (DR) enables the transformation of energy flexibility, originated by electricity consumers/prosumers, into a valuable DER asset, thus placing them at the center of the electricity market. In this paper, it is shown how Local Energy Markets (LEM) act as a catalyst by providing a digital platform where the prosumers’ energy needs and offerings can be efficiently settled locally while minimizing the grid interaction. This paper showcases that the IoT technology, which enables control and coordination of numerous devices, further unleashes the flexibility potential of the distribution grid, offered as an energy service both to the LEM participants as well as the external grid. This is achieved by orchestrating the IoT devices through a Consumer Digital Twin (CDT), which facilitates the optimal adjustment of this flexibility according to the consumers’ thermal comfort level constraints and preferences. An integrated LEM-CDT platform is introduced, which comprises an optimal energy scheduler, accounts for the Renewable Energy System (RES) uncertainty, errors in load forecasting, Day-Ahead Market (DAM) feed in/out the tariff, and a fair price settling mechanism while considering user preferences. The results prove that IoT-enabled consumers’ participation in the energy markets through LEM is flexible, cost-efficient, and adaptive to the consumers’ comfort level while promoting both energy transition goals and social welfare. In particular, the paper showcases that the proposed algorithm increases the profits of LEM participants, lowers the corresponding operating costs, addresses efficiently the stochasticity of both energy demand and generation, and requires minimal computational resources.

The continuous penetration of renewable energy resources (RES) into the energy mix and the transition of the traditional electric grid towards a more intelligent, flexible and interactive system, has brought electrical load forecasting to the foreground of smart grid planning and operation. Predicting the electric load is a challenging task due to its high volatility and uncertainty, either when it refers to the distribution system or to a single household. In this paper, a novel methodology is introduced which leverages the advantages of the state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms and specifically the Convolution Neural Nets (CNN). The main feature of the proposed methodology is the exploitation of the statistical properties of each time series dataset, so as to optimize the hyper-parameters of the neural network and in addition transform the given dataset into a form that allows maximum exploitation of the CNN algorithm’s advantages. The proposed algorithm is compared with the LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) technique which is the state of the art solution for electric load forecasting. The evaluation of the algorithms was conducted by employing three open-source, publicly available datasets. The experimental results show strong evidence of the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.