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1. Nutrition-specific and sensitive drivers of poor child nutrition in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, Northern Ethiopia: implications for public health nutrition in resource-poor settings

Author: Semaw Ferede Abera, Eva Johanna Kantelhardt, Afewrok Mulugeta Bezabih, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Gebisa Ejeta, Judith Lauvai, Andreas Wienke, and Veronika Scherbaum
Subjects: child malnutrition, nutrition-specific drivers, nutrition-sensitive drivers, ka-hdss, ethiopia, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
Abstract: Background: Child undernutrition is a prevalent health problem and poses various short and long-term consequences. Objective: This study seeks to investigate the burden of child undernutrition and its drivers in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, northern Ethiopia. Methods: In 2015, cross-sectional data were collected from 1,525 children aged 6–23 months. Maternal and child nutritional status was assessed using the mid upper arm circumference. Child’s dietary diversity score was calculated using 24-hours dietary recall method. Log-binomial regression and partial proportional odds model were fitted to examine the drivers of poor child nutrition and child dietary diversity (CDD), respectively. Results: The burden of undernutrition and inadequate CDD was 13.7% (95% CI: 12.1–15.5%) and 81.3% (95%CI: 79.2–83.1%), respectively. Maternal undernutrition (adjusted prevalence ratio, adjPR = 1.47; 95%CI: 1.14–1.89), low CDD (adjPR = 1.90; 95%CI: 1.22–2.97), and morbidity (adjPR = 1.83; 95%CI: 1.15–2.92) were the nutrition-specific drivers of child undernutrition. The nutrition-sensitive drivers were poverty (compared to the poorest, adjPR poor = 0.65 [95%CI:0.45–0.93], adjPR medium = 0.64 [95%CI: 0.44–0.93], adjPR wealthy = 0.46 [95%CI: 0.30–0.70], and adjPR wealthiest = 0.53 [95%CI: 0.34–0.82]), larger family size (adjPR = 1.10; 95%CI: 1.02–1.18), household head’s employment insecurity (adjPR = 2.10; 95%CI: 1.43–3.09), and residing in highlands (adjPR = 1.93; 95%CI: 1.36–2.75). The data show that higher CDD was positively associated with wealth (OR wealthy = 3.06 [95%CI: 1.88–4.99], OR wealthiest = 2.57 [95%CI: 1.53–4.31]), but it was inversely associated with lack of diverse food crops production in highlands (OR = 0.23; 95%CI: 0.10–0.57]). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the burden of poor child nutrition is very high in the study area. Multi-sectoral collaboration and cross-disciplinary interventions between agriculture, nutrition and health sectors are recommended to address child undernutrition in resource poor and food insecure rural communities of similar settings.
Published: 2019
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2. Injury-related gaining momentum as external causes of deaths in Ethiopian health and demographic surveillance sites: evidence from verbal autopsy study

Author: Kassahun Alemu Gelaye, Fasil Tessema, Befikadu Tariku, Semaw Ferede Abera, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Nega Assefa, Desalew Zelalem, Melkamu Dedefo, Mekdes Kondal, Mesfin Kote, Mitike Molla Sisay, Wubegzier Mekonnen, Mamo Wubshet Terefe, Gashaw Andargie Biks, Firehywot Eshetu, Mulumebet Abera, Yoseph Fekadu, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Etsehiwot Tilahun, and Yihunie Lakew
Subjects: Accidents, assault, drowning, external causes, mortality, suicide, transport, verbal autopsy, Ethiopia, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
Abstract: Background: In Ethiopia, though all kinds of mortality due to external causes are an important component of overall mortality often not counted or documented on an individual basis. Objective: The aim of this study was to describe the patterns of mortality from external causes using verbal autopsy (VA) method at the Ethiopian HDSS Network sites. Methods: All deaths at Ethiopian HDSS sites were routinely registered and followed up with VA interviews. The VA forms comprised deaths up to 28 days, between four weeks and 14 years and 15 years and above. The cause of a death was ascertained based on an interview with next of families or other caregivers using a standardized questionnaire that draws information on signs, symptoms, medical history and circumstances preceding death after 45 days mourning period. Two physician assigned probable causes of death as underlying, immediate and contributing factors independently using information in VA forms based on the WHO ICD-10 and VA code system. Disagreed cases sent to third physician for independent review and diagnosis. The final cause of death considered when two of the three physicians assigned underlying cause of death; otherwise, labeled as undetermined. Results: In the period from 2009 to 2013, a total of 9719 deaths were registered. Of the total deaths, 623 (6.4%) were from external causes. Of these, accidental drowning and submersion, 136 (21.8%), accidental fall, 113 (18.1%) and transport-related accidents, 112 (18.0%) were the topmost three leading external causes of deaths. About 436 (70.0%) of deaths were from the age group above 15 years old. Drowning and submersion and transport-related accidents were high in age group between 5 and 14 years old. Conclusion: In this study, external causes of death are significant public health problems and require attention as one of prior health agenda.
Published: 2018
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3. Social determinants of adult mortality from non-communicable diseases in northern Ethiopia, 2009-2015: Evidence from health and demographic surveillance site.

Author: Semaw Ferede Abera, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Hans Konrad Biesalski, Gebisa Ejeta, Andreas Wienke, Veronika Scherbaum, and Eva Johanna Kantelhardt
Subjects: Medicine, Science
Abstract: INTRODUCTION:In developing countries, mortality and disability from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) is rising considerably. The effect of social determinants of NCDs-attributed mortality, from the context of developing countries, is poorly understood. This study examines the burden and socio-economic determinants of adult mortality attributed to NCDs in eastern Tigray, Ethiopia. METHODS:We followed 45,982 adults implementing a community based dynamic cohort design recording mortality events from September 2009 to April 2015. A physician review based Verbal autopsy was used to identify the most probable causes of death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify social determinants of NCD mortality. RESULTS:Across the 193,758.7 person-years, we recorded 1,091 adult deaths. Compared to communicable diseases, NCDs accounted for a slightly higher proportion of adult deaths; 33% vs 34.5% respectively. The incidence density rate (IDR) of NCD attributed mortality was 194.1 deaths (IDR = 194.1; 95% CI = 175.4, 214.7) per 100,000 person-years. One hundred fifty-seven (41.8%), 68 (18.1%) and 34 (9%) of the 376 NCD deaths were due to cardiovascular disease, cancer and renal failure, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, age per 5-year increase (HR = 1.35; 95% CI: 1.30, 1.41), and extended family and non-family household members (HR = 2.86; 95% CI: 2.05, 3.98) compared to household heads were associated with a significantly increased hazard of NCD mortality. Although the difference was not statistically significant, compared to poor adults, those who were wealthy had a 15% (HR = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.65, 1.11) lower hazard of mortality from NCDs. On the other hand, literate adults (HR = 0.35; 95% CI: 0.13, 0.9) had a significantly decreased hazard of NCD attributed mortality compared to those adults who were unable to read and write. The effect of literacy was modified by age and its effect reduced by 18% for every 5-year increase of age among literate adults. CONCLUSION:In summary, the study indicates that double mortality burden from both NCDs and communicable diseases was evident in northern rural Ethiopia. Public health intervention measures that prioritise disadvantaged NCD patients such as those who are unable to read and write, the elders, the extended family and non-family household co-residents could significantly reduce NCD mortality among the adult population.
Published: 2017
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4. Nutrition-specific and sensitive drivers of poor child nutrition in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, Northern Ethiopia: implications for public health nutrition in resource-poor settings

Author: Afewrok Mulugeta Bezabih, Veronika Scherbaum, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Gebisa Ejeta, Andreas Wienke, Eva Johanna Kantelhardt, Judith Lauvai, and Semaw Ferede Abera
Subjects: Male, Rural Population, medicine.medical_specialty, KA-HDSS, Nutritional Status, Child Nutrition Disorders, Food Supply, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Environmental health, medicine, Prevalence, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Resource poor, Family Characteristics, lcsh:Public aspects of medicine, 030503 health policy & services, Health Policy, Public health, Malnutrition, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Infant, lcsh:RA1-1270, Child malnutrition, medicine.disease, nutrition-specific drivers, Geography, Cross-Sectional Studies, Child, Preschool, Population Surveillance, nutrition-sensitive drivers, Original Article, Female, Ethiopia, Public Health, 0305 other medical science
Abstract: Background: Child undernutrition is a prevalent health problem and poses various short and long-term consequences. Objective: This study seeks to investigate the burden of child undernutrition and its drivers in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, northern Ethiopia. Methods: In 2015, cross-sectional data were collected from 1,525 children aged 6–23 months. Maternal and child nutritional status was assessed using the mid upper arm circumference. Child’s dietary diversity score was calculated using 24-hours dietary recall method. Log-binomial regression and partial proportional odds model were fitted to examine the drivers of poor child nutrition and child dietary diversity (CDD), respectively. Results: The burden of undernutrition and inadequate CDD was 13.7% (95% CI: 12.1–15.5%) and 81.3% (95%CI: 79.2–83.1%), respectively. Maternal undernutrition (adjusted prevalence ratio, adjPR = 1.47; 95%CI: 1.14–1.89), low CDD (adjPR = 1.90; 95%CI: 1.22–2.97), and morbidity (adjPR = 1.83; 95%CI: 1.15–2.92) were the nutrition-specific drivers of child undernutrition. The nutrition-sensitive drivers were poverty (compared to the poorest, adjPR poor = 0.65 [95%CI:0.45–0.93], adjPR medium = 0.64 [95%CI: 0.44–0.93], adjPR wealthy = 0.46 [95%CI: 0.30–0.70], and adjPR wealthiest = 0.53 [95%CI: 0.34–0.82]), larger family size (adjPR = 1.10; 95%CI: 1.02–1.18), household head’s employment insecurity (adjPR = 2.10; 95%CI: 1.43–3.09), and residing in highlands (adjPR = 1.93; 95%CI: 1.36–2.75). The data show that higher CDD was positively associated with wealth (OR wealthy = 3.06 [95%CI: 1.88–4.99], OR wealthiest = 2.57 [95%CI: 1.53–4.31]), but it was inversely associated with lack of diverse food crops production in highlands (OR = 0.23; 95%CI: 0.10–0.57]). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the burden of poor child nutrition is very high in the study area. Multi-sectoral collaboration and cross-disciplinary interventions between agriculture, nutrition and health sectors are recommended to address child undernutrition in resource poor and food insecure rural communities of similar settings.
Published: 2019

5. Social determinants of adult mortality from non-communicable diseases in northern Ethiopia, 2009-2015: Evidence from health and demographic surveillance site

Author: Veronika Scherbaum, Andreas Wienke, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Hans Konrad Biesalski, Eva Johanna Kantelhardt, Semaw Ferede Abera, and Gebisa Ejeta
Subjects: Male, Medical Doctors, Health Care Providers, lcsh:Medicine, Cardiovascular Medicine, Cohort Studies, Geographical Locations, 0302 clinical medicine, Medicine and Health Sciences, Medicine, Disease, Public and Occupational Health, 030212 general & internal medicine, Medical Personnel, Young adult, lcsh:Science, Multidisciplinary, 030503 health policy & services, Incidence (epidemiology), Mortality rate, Middle Aged, Professions, Infectious Diseases, Cardiovascular Diseases, Population Surveillance, Female, 0305 other medical science, Behavioral and Social Aspects of Health, Cohort study, Research Article, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Death Rates, Context (language use), 03 medical and health sciences, Young Adult, Population Metrics, Physicians, Humans, Adults, Social determinants of health, Mortality, Aged, Demography, Population Biology, business.industry, Public health, lcsh:R, Biology and Life Sciences, Verbal autopsy, Health Care, Age Groups, People and Places, Africa, lcsh:Q, Population Groupings, Ethiopia, business
Abstract: Introduction In developing countries, mortality and disability from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) is rising considerably. The effect of social determinants of NCDs-attributed mortality, from the context of developing countries, is poorly understood. This study examines the burden and socio-economic determinants of adult mortality attributed to NCDs in eastern Tigray, Ethiopia. Methods We followed 45,982 adults implementing a community based dynamic cohort design recording mortality events from September 2009 to April 2015. A physician review based Verbal autopsy was used to identify the most probable causes of death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify social determinants of NCD mortality. Results Across the 193,758.7 person-years, we recorded 1,091 adult deaths. Compared to communicable diseases, NCDs accounted for a slightly higher proportion of adult deaths; 33% vs 34.5% respectively. The incidence density rate (IDR) of NCD attributed mortality was 194.1 deaths (IDR = 194.1; 95% CI = 175.4, 214.7) per 100,000 person-years. One hundred fifty-seven (41.8%), 68 (18.1%) and 34 (9%) of the 376 NCD deaths were due to cardiovascular disease, cancer and renal failure, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, age per 5-year increase (HR = 1.35; 95% CI: 1.30, 1.41), and extended family and non-family household members (HR = 2.86; 95% CI: 2.05, 3.98) compared to household heads were associated with a significantly increased hazard of NCD mortality. Although the difference was not statistically significant, compared to poor adults, those who were wealthy had a 15% (HR = 0.85; 95% CI: 0.65, 1.11) lower hazard of mortality from NCDs. On the other hand, literate adults (HR = 0.35; 95% CI: 0.13, 0.9) had a significantly decreased hazard of NCD attributed mortality compared to those adults who were unable to read and write. The effect of literacy was modified by age and its effect reduced by 18% for every 5-year increase of age among literate adults. Conclusion In summary, the study indicates that double mortality burden from both NCDs and communicable diseases was evident in northern rural Ethiopia. Public health intervention measures that prioritise disadvantaged NCD patients such as those who are unable to read and write, the elders, the extended family and non-family household co-residents could significantly reduce NCD mortality among the adult population.
Published: 2017

6. Global burden of hypertension and systolic blood pressure of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg, 1990-2015

Author: Gregory A. Roth, Yuichiro Yano, Ronny Westerman, Monika Sawhney, Paulo A. Lotufo, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Awoke Misganaw, Rajeev Gupta, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Young-Ho Khang, Tommi Vasankari, Yun Jin Kim, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Ferrán Catalá-López, Christopher J L Murray, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Olalekan A. Uthman, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Girma Temam Shifa, George A. Mensah, Ali H. Mokdad, Uchechukwu K.A. Sampson, Ardeshir Khosravi, Graeme J. Hankey, Florian Fischer, Jost B. Jonas, Thomas Truelsen, Tolesa Bekele, Itamar S. Santos, Haseeb Nawaz, Theo Vos, Marcello Tonelli, Anwar Rafay, Ruth W Kimokoti, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, Aletta E. Schutte, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Farshad Pourmalek, Valery L. Feigin, Reza Malekzadeh, Arindam Basu, David Rojas-Rueda, Andrew E. Moran, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Ivy Shiue, Derrick A Bennett, Alan D. Lopez, João C. Fernandes, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Raghib Ali, Lily Alexander, Naohiro Yonemoto, Suzanne E. Judd, Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni, Dhaval Kolte, Peter Azzopardi, Philimon Gona, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Stan Biryukov, Patrick Liu, Tomi Akinyemiju, Bruce Neal, Till Bärnighausen, Amanda G. Thrift, Amitava Banerjee, Kara Estep, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Marie Ng, Nikolaos Tsilimparis, Laurie B. Marczak, Lijing L. Yan, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, and Mohammad H. Forouzanfar
Subjects: Male, Pediatrics, Myocardial Ischemia, Normal Distribution, PROGRESSION, Blood Pressure, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Global Health, 0302 clinical medicine, Cause of Death, Prevalence, 030212 general & internal medicine, Stroke, Cause of death, Aged, 80 and over, Mortality rate, Uncertainty, General Medicine, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, Middle Aged, CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE, Hypertension, Cardiology, Blood pressure, Hipertensió, Female, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, ARTERIAL STIFFNESS, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Intracranial Hemorrhages, Monte Carlo Method, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Systole, Pressió sanguínia, Risk Assessment, 03 medical and health sciences, Medicine, General & Internal, AGE, Age Distribution, Internal medicine, General & Internal Medicine, medicine, Disability-adjusted life year, Humans, CORONARY-HEART-DISEASE, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic, Sex Distribution, METAANALYSIS, Aged, Science & Technology, business.industry, MORTALITY, KIDNEY-DISEASE, medicine.disease, Health Surveys, Quality-adjusted life year, Arterial stiffness, RISK-FACTORS, business
Abstract: IMPORTANCE Elevated systolic blood (SBP) pressure is a leading global health risk. Quantifying the levels of SBP is important to guide prevention policies and interventions. OBJECTIVE To estimate the association between SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg and SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher and the burden of different causes of death and disability by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2015. DESIGN A comparative risk assessment of health loss related to SBP. Estimated distribution of SBP was based on 844 studies from 154 countries (published 1980-2015) of 8.69 million participants. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression was used to generate estimates of mean SBP and adjusted variance for each age, sex, country, and year. Diseases with sufficient evidence for a causal relationship with high SBP (eg, ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke) were included in the primary analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Mean SBP level, cause-specific deaths, and health burden related to SBP (>110-115mmHg and also >= 140 mm Hg) by age, sex, country, and year. RESULTS Between 1990-2015, the rate of SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg increased from 73 119 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 67 949-78 241) to 81 373 (95% UI, 76 814-85 770) per 100000, and SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher increased from 17 307 (95% UI, 17 117-17 492) to 20526 (95% UI, 20283-20746) per 100000. The estimated annual death rate per 100000 associated with SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg increased from 135.6 (95% UI, 122.4-148.1) to 145.2 (95% UI 130.3-159.9) and the rate for SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher increased from 97.9 (95% UI, 87.5-108.1) to 106.3 (95% UI, 94.6-118.1). Loss of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg increased from 148 million (95% UI, 134-162 million) to 211 million (95% UI, 193-231 million), and for SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher, the loss increased from 5.2 million (95% UI, 4.6-5.7 million) to 7.8 million (95% UI, 7.0-8.7 million). The largest numbers of SBP-related deathswere caused by ischemic heart disease (4.9 million [95% UI, 4.0-5.7 million]; 54.5%), hemorrhagic stroke (2.0million [95% UI, 1.6-2.3 million]; 58.3%), and ischemic stroke (1.5 million [95% UI, 1.2-1.8 million]; 50.0%). In 2015, China, India, Russia, Indonesia, and the United States accounted for more than half of the global DALYs related to SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In international surveys, although there is uncertainty in some estimates, the rate of elevated SBP (>= 110-115 and >= 140 mm Hg) increased substantially between 1990 and 2015, and DALYs and deaths associated with elevated SBP also increased. Projections based on this sample suggest that in 2015, an estimated 3.5 billion adults had SBP of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg and 874 million adults had SBP of 140 mm Hg or higher. Copyright 2016 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
Published: 2017

7. Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980-2015 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Kiran Thapa, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Azeem Majeed, Hjalte Holm Andersen, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Alireza Mohammadi, John J. McGrath, Konstantin Kazanjan, Naohiro Yonemoto, Guoqing Hu, Yousef Khader, Suzanne Barker-Collo, Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni, Jennifer O Lam, Laetitia Huiart, Xiaofeng Liang, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Lalit Dandona, Felix Masiye, Joseph R Fitchett, Derrick A Bennett, Rosana E. Norman, Theo Vos, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Rahman Shiri, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Charles R. Newton, Kelly Cercy, Masoud Vaezghasemi, Elena Alvarez Martin, Christopher Troeger, Ismael R. Campos-Nonato, Amany H Refaat, Ruben Castro, Amiran Gamkrelidze, Michael R. Phillips, Samath D Dharmaratne, Reed J D Sorensen, Roderick J. Hay, Johan Ärnlöv, Ivo Rakovac, Alexandra Brazinova, Nancy Fullman, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Liliana G Ciobanu, Nader Jahanmehr, Yuming Guo, Luigi Naldi, Rana Jawad Asghar, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Corine Karema, Biju Abraham, Rynaz H S Rabiee, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Philimon Gona, Jonathan I. Silverberg, Alexandria Brown, Kovin Naidoo, Suleman Atique, Yun Jin Kim, Benn Sartorius, Hwashin Hyun Shin, George Mugambage Ruhago, Adugnaw Berhane, Tesfaye Tekle, Abdur Rahman Khan, Vipin Gupta, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Héctor Gómez-Dantés, Jun She, Ted R. Miller, Tolesa Bekele, Yohannes Kinfu, Srinivas Murthy, Alaa Badawi, Mahfuzar Rahman, Raghib Ali, Robert G. Weintraub, Nicholas Steel, Khalid A Altirkawi, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Thomas N. Williams, Adrian Davis, Usha Ram, Nobuyuki Horita, Qingyang Xiao, Bishal Gyawali, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Eun-Kee Park, Subas Neupane, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Lorenzo Monasta, Roman Topor-Madry, Marc-Alain Widdowson, James Leigh, Padukudru Anand Mahesh, Stephen M. Amrock, Stefan Ma, Virendra Singh, Amir Kasaeian, Mahdi Mahdavi, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Julio Cesar Campuzano, Maria Dolores Sanchez-Niño, Jean B. Nachega, Hamid Asayesh, Pratik Pinal Doshi, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Peter J. Hotez, Ying Jiang, Girma Temam Shifa, Warren D. Lo, Francis Apolinary Mhimbira, Joan B. Soriano, Ritul Kamal, Young-Ho Khang, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Daniel C Casey, Adeladza Kofi Amegah, Demewoz Haile, Tomi Akinyemiju, Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Rajeev Gupta, Rosario Cárdenas, Peter W. Gething, Ami R. Moore, Marie Ng, Maigeng Zhou, Ferrán Catalá-López, Anders Larsson, Ratilal Lalloo, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Bach Xuan Tran, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Marina Shakh-Nazarova, Jamie Hancock, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Jasvinder A. Singh, Isabela M. Benseñor, Shafiu Mohammed, Rajiv Chowdhury, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Belinda K Lloyd, Samir Bhatt, Geoffrey Buckle, Tissa Wijeratne, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Robert W Aldridge, Luca Ronfani, Raj Kumar Verma, Jagdish Khubchandani, Irma Khonelidze, Ai Koyanagi, Teshome Gebre, Michael Kutz, Om Prakash Singh, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, Margaret Lind, Svetlana Popova, Hmwe H Kyu, Tom Achoki, Laith J. Abu-Raddad, Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene, Henock Yebyo, Mehdi Yaseri, Max Petzold, Sungho Won, Semaw Ferede Abera, Devina Nand, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Abdishakur M. Abdulle, Yingfeng Zheng, Soewarta Kosen, Aleksandra Barac, Mahboubeh Parsaeian, Yuichiro Yano, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Simon I. Hay, Luke D. Knibbs, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Solomon Abrha Damtew, Ileana Heredia-Pi, Boris Bikbov, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Daniel Kim, Ulrich O Mueller, Khurshid Alam, Andrew H. Kemp, Austin Carter, Chuanhua Yu, Ibrahim A Khalil, João Mário Pedro, Atsushi Goto, Arsène Kouablan Adou, Scott B. Patten, Nicola Low, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Heidi J. Larson, Worku Tefera, Sanjay Zodpey, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Hsing-Yi Chang, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Donal Bisanzio, Hilda L Harb, Meghan D. Mooney, John N Newton, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Marcella Montico, Mojde Mirarefin, Vinay Nangia, Edgar P. Simard, Ben Schöttker, Michael Brainin, Ziad A. Memish, Rafael Lozano, Damian G Hoy, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Alexis J Handal, Saleem M Rana, Francesco Saverio Violante, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Iqbal R. F. Elyazar, Oluremi N Ajala, Christopher J L Murray, Chioma Ezinne Chibueze, Rupert R A Bourne, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Andreas A Kudom, Hilton Lam, Aman Yesuf Endries, Farshad Pourmalek, Andre Pascal Kengne, Gholamreza Roshandel, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Tommi Vasankari, Zahid A Butt, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Samer Hamidi, Soraya Seedat, Xie Rachel Kulikoff, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Gelin Xu, Shireen Sindi, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, Haidong Wang, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Ryan M Barber, André Karch, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Hebe N. Gouda, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Erika Ota, Kerrie E. Doyle, Olalekan A. Uthman, Jed D. Blore, Walid Ammar, Guohong Jiang, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Ibrahim Abubakar, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Megan Coggeshall, Charles N Mock, Ronan A Lyons, Jose Martinez-Raga, Thomas Fürst, Ambuj Roy, Mustafa Z. Younis, Harish Chander Gugnani, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Lidia Morawska, Noore Alam, Paul S. F. Yip, Grant Nguyen, Randah R. Hamadeh, Victor Aboyans, Miloje Savic, Ketevan Gambashidze, Graeme J. Hankey, David M. Pereira, Cho-il Kim, Peter A. Meaney, Haidong Kan, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Murugesan Raju, Saeid Shahraz, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed Ginawi, Kenji Shibuya, Raimundas Lunevicius, Sun Ha Jee, Prashant Singh, Atte Meretoja, Suzanne Polinder, Alex Reynolds, Joseph Mikesell, David O. Carpenter, Carla Sofia e Sa Farinha, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Nataliya Foigt, Naris Silpakit, Amare Deribew, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Reza Assadi, Yichong Li, Georgina A. V. Murphy, Babak Eshrati, Rintaro Mori, Scott Weichenthal, Andre Keren, Van C. Lansingh, Kebede Deribe, Bulat Idrisov, François Alla, Maaya Kita, Ala'a Alkerwi, Maia Kereselidze, Yanping Wang, Rajesh Sharma, Florian Fischer, Foluke Adetola Ojelabi, Maya S Fraser, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, H. Dean Hosgood, Puja Rao, Deena Alasfoor, Muhammad Muhammad Saleh, Bryan L. Sykes, Juan Sanabria, Ronny Westerman, Julian David Pillay, Cassandra Szoeke, Umar Bacha, Edward J Mills, Manisha Dubey, Aliya Naheed, Al Artaman, Jiabin Shen, Michael Burch, Reza Malekzadeh, Hans W. Hoek, David C. Schwebel, Alireza Esteghamati, Seok Jun Yoon, Leilei Duan, Matthew M Coates, Arnav Agarwal, Soumya Swaminathan, Quyen Nguyen, Hye-Youn Park, Peter Nguhiu, Bereket Yakob, Patrick Liu, Elisabeth Barboza França, Tigist Assefa Bayou, Azmeraw T. Amare, Farshad Farzadfar, Tariku Jibat, Jost B. Jonas, Kaja Abbas, Thomas Truelsen, Maryam S. Farvid, Louisa Degenhardt, George A. Mensah, Till Bärnighausen, Ivy Shuie, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Amitava Banerjee, Zubair Kabir, Ingrid Wolfe, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete, Preet K Dhillon, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Gagandeep Kang, Aminu K. Bello, Bineyam Taye, Mohsen Naghavi, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Walter Mendoza, M. Patrice Lindsay, Sergey K Vladimirov, Tesfaye Setegn, Angel J Paternina Caicedo, Eric L. 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Subjects: Pediatrics, Nutrition and Disease, Global Health, Communicable Disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Voeding en Ziekte, Infant Mortality, Compensation law of mortality, Global health, Medicine, LIFE EXPECTANCY, 030212 general & internal medicine, DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES, 10. No inequality, Medicine(all), NEWBORN BABIES, Medicine (all), Mortality rate, 1. No poverty, DEATH, Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, General Medicine, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, Stillbirth, 3. Good health, Child Mortality, SURVIVAL, CHILD-MORTALITY, HEALTH, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, DEVELOPMENT GOAL 4, Human, INTERVENTIONS, medicine.medical_specialty, RJ, INTEGRATED APPROACH, Developing country, Communicable Diseases, neonatal, 03 medical and health sciences, Medicine, General & Internal, 030225 pediatrics, General & Internal Medicine, Life Science, Humans, Global Burden of Disease Study, VLAG, Estimation, Science & Technology, business.industry, Klinisk medicin, Infant, GBD 2015 Child Mortality Collaborators, Infant mortality, Malaria, Child mortality, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Life expectancy, Clinical Medicine, RG, business, Demography
Abstract: BACKGROUND: Established in 2000, Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4) catalysed extraordinary political, financial, and social commitments to reduce under-5 mortality by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015. At the country level, the pace of progress in improving child survival has varied markedly, highlighting a crucial need to further examine potential drivers of accelerated or slowed decreases in child mortality. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study (GBD 2015) provides an analytical framework to comprehensively assess these trends for under-5 mortality, age-specific and cause-specific mortality among children under 5 years, and stillbirths by geography over time. METHODS: Drawing from analytical approaches developed and refined in previous iterations of the GBD study, we generated updated estimates of child mortality by age group (neonatal, post-neonatal, ages 1-4 years, and under 5) for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational geographies, from 1980-2015. We also estimated numbers and rates of stillbirths for these geographies and years. Gaussian process regression with data source adjustments for sampling and non-sampling bias was applied to synthesise input data for under-5 mortality for each geography. Age-specific mortality estimates were generated through a two-stage age-sex splitting process, and stillbirth estimates were produced with a mixed-effects model, which accounted for variable stillbirth definitions and data source-specific biases. For GBD 2015, we did a series of novel analyses to systematically quantify the drivers of trends in child mortality across geographies. First, we assessed observed and expected levels and annualised rates of decrease for under-5 mortality and stillbirths as they related to the Soci-demographic Index (SDI). Second, we examined the ratio of recorded and expected levels of child mortality, on the basis of SDI, across geographies, as well as differences in recorded and expected annualised rates of change for under-5 mortality. Third, we analysed levels and cause compositions of under-5 mortality, across time and geographies, as they related to rising SDI. Finally, we decomposed the changes in under-5 mortality to changes in SDI at the global level, as well as changes in leading causes of under-5 deaths for countries and territories. We documented each step of the GBD 2015 child mortality estimation process, as well as data sources, in accordance with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). FINDINGS: Globally, 5·8 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5·7-6·0) children younger than 5 years died in 2015, representing a 52·0% (95% UI 50·7-53·3) decrease in the number of under-5 deaths since 1990. Neonatal deaths and stillbirths fell at a slower pace since 1990, decreasing by 42·4% (41·3-43·6) to 2·6 million (2·6-2·7) neonatal deaths and 47·0% (35·1-57·0) to 2·1 million (1·8-2·5) stillbirths in 2015. Between 1990 and 2015, global under-5 mortality decreased at an annualised rate of decrease of 3·0% (2·6-3·3), falling short of the 4·4% annualised rate of decrease required to achieve MDG4. During this time, 58 countries met or exceeded the pace of progress required to meet MDG4. Between 2000, the year MDG4 was formally enacted, and 2015, 28 additional countries that did not achieve the 4·4% rate of decrease from 1990 met the MDG4 pace of decrease. However, absolute levels of under-5 mortality remained high in many countries, with 11 countries still recording rates exceeding 100 per 1000 livebirths in 2015. Marked decreases in under-5 deaths due to a number of communicable diseases, including lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, measles, and malaria, accounted for much of the progress in lowering overall under-5 mortality in low-income countries. Compared with gains achieved for infectious diseases and nutritional deficiencies, the persisting toll of neonatal conditions and congenital anomalies on child survival became evident, especially in low-income and low-middle-income countries. We found sizeable heterogeneities in comparing observed and expected rates of under-5 mortality, as well as differences in observed and expected rates of change for under-5 mortality. At the global level, we recorded a divergence in observed and expected levels of under-5 mortality starting in 2000, with the observed trend falling much faster than what was expected based on SDI through 2015. Between 2000 and 2015, the world recorded 10·3 million fewer under-5 deaths than expected on the basis of improving SDI alone. INTERPRETATION: Gains in child survival have been large, widespread, and in many places in the world, faster than what was anticipated based on improving levels of development. Yet some countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, still had high rates of under-5 mortality in 2015. Unless these countries are able to accelerate reductions in child deaths at an extraordinary pace, their achievement of proposed SDG targets is unlikely. Improving the evidence base on drivers that might hasten the pace of progress for child survival, ranging from cost-effective intervention packages to innovative financing mechanisms, is vital to charting the pathways for ultimately ending preventable child deaths by 2030. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Erratum: Department of Error, The Lancet,Volume 389, Issue 10064, 2017, Page e1. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32608-3
Published: 2016
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8. Correction to Lancet HIV 2016; 3: e361–87

Author: Kerrie E. Doyle, Olalekan A. Uthman, Laxmikant Chavan, Azmeraw T. Amare, Rasmus Havmoeller, Maryam S. Farvid, Louisa Degenhardt, Mohamed Hsairi, Kimani M Harun, Zoubida Zaidi, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Masako Horino, Rajesh Sagar, Bradford D. Gessner, Bongani M. Mayosi, Konrad Pesudovs, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Akindele Olupelumi Adebiyi, Hye Youn Park, Alexandria Brown, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Bach Xuan Tran, Haidong Kan, Ajit Kumar Yadav, ArsÃ¨ne Kouablan Adou, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, In-Hwan Oh, Juan Jesus Carrero, Pratik Pinal Doshi, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Teshome Gebre, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Hsing-Yi Chang, Bulat Idrisov, Azeem Majeed, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Zahid A Butt, Yuichiro Yano, Nataliya Foigt, Naris Silpakit, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Rajaa Mohammad, Alireza Esteghamati, Seok Jun Yoon, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Haidong Wang, Samir Soneji, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Ileana Heredia-Pi, Boris Bikbov, John Q. Wong, Yun Jin Kim, Giancarlo Logroscino, Raimundas Lunevicius, Eesh Bhatia, Kazem Rahimi, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Henock Yebyo, Mehdi Yaseri, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Yong Zhao, Joseph Friedman, André Faro, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Yongmei Li, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Wanqing Chen, Shafiu Mohammed, Vivekanand Jha, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Guoqing Hu, Yousef Khader, Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho, Girma Temam Shifa, Suzanne Polinder, Bryan L. Sykes, Kaja Abbas, Nadia Akseer, Rakhi Dandona, Aleksandra Barac, Simon I. Hay, Scott B. Patten, Jiabin Shen, Donal Bisanzio, Hilda L Harb, Gizachew Assefa Tessema, Wagner Marcenes, Chabila C Mapoma, Miia Kivipelto, Hsiang Huang, Jung-Chen Chang, P. V. Rao, Amanda J. Mason-Jones, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Hilton Lam, Amare Deribew, Saleem M Rana, Mohammad Taghi Hedayati, Khurshid Alam, Reza Malekzadeh, Mohamed Magdy Abd El Razek, Mojde Mirarefin, Juan Sanabria, Umar Bacha, Rashmi Gupta, Laith J. Abu-Raddad, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Felix Masiye, Maurice Giroud, Palwasha Anwari, Sergey Petrovich Ermakov, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Rosario CÃ¡rdenas, John J Huang, Alaa Badawi, Edward J Mills, Guohong Jiang, Matthew M Coates, Martin McKee, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Norito Kawakami, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Pieter de Jager, Hajo Zeeb, Tim Driscoll, James Leigh, Mohammad Yahya Saeedi, Gelin Xu, Rana J. Asghar, Koranteng Adofo, Sivadasanpillai Harikrishnan, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Roberto Tchio Talongwa, Jeanne FranÃ§oise Kayibanda, Tuomo J. Meretoja, Alemseged Aregay Gebru, Yuantao Hao, Bereket Yakob, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Jose Martinez-Raga, Rosana E. Norman, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Anders Larsson, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Sasa Rajsic, Elena Alvarez, Nikolaos Tsilimparis, Kenji Shibuya, Alexandra Brazinova, Nader Jahanmehr, Solomon Abreha Damtew, Ambuj Roy, Elisabete Weiderpass, Derrick A Bennett, Holly Hagan, Julio Cesar Campuzano, Shifalika Goenka, Gudlavalleti V S Murthy, Mirriam Chibalabala, Mostafa Qorbani, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Stein Emil Vollset, Andrea Werdecker, Sanjay Zodpey, Alemayehu B. Mekonnen, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Stephen M. Amrock, Soewarta Kosen, Haseeb Nawaz, Tukur Dahiru, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Atsushi Goto, Abdur Rahman Khan, Vipin Gupta, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Parvaiz A Koul, John Nelson Opio, Jun She, Michael Brainin, Luke Nyakarahuka, Edson Serván-Mori, Dimitris Karletsos, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran, Van C. Lansingh, Ala'a Alkerwi, Elizabeth Glaser, Ziad A. Memish, Sinead Langan, Usha Ram, Alicia Aleman, Brighton Murimira, Jae-Hyun Park, Foluke Adetola Ojelabi, Anil Kaul, Foad Abd-Allah, Aman Yesuf Endries, Erika Ota, Mark Drew Crosland Guimarães, Rajesh Sharma, Mahdi Mahdavi, Andre Pascal Kengne, Joan B. Soriano, Soumya Swaminathan, Ritul Kamal, Quyen Nguyen, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Alan J Thomson, Don C. Des Jarlais, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Al Artaman, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Tsegaye Tewelde Ghiwot, Maya S Fraser, Veena S. Kulkarni, Corine Karema, Samer Hamidi, Randah R. Hamadeh, Marek Majdan, Sait Mentes Birlik, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, Jeffrey A. Towbin, Tariku Jibat, Julian David Pillay, Suleman Atique, Raghib Ali, Shicheng Yu, Carlos A. CastaÃ±eda-Orjuela, Nobuyuki Horita, Graeme J. Hankey, Prashant Singh, Mouhanad Hammami, Nicholas Steel, Yohannes Kinfu, Hao Zhang, Niveen M E Abu-Rmeileh, FranÃ§ois Alla, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Nancy Fullman, Rintaro Mori, Ying Jiang, Semaw Ferede Abera, Atte Meretoja, Katherine Pearson, Robert G. Weintraub, Zubair Kabir, Juanita A. Haagsma, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Benn Sartorius, Lalit Dandona, Amir Kasaeian, Andrew H. Kemp, Melkamu Dedefo Gishu, FerrÃ¡n CatalÃ¡-LÃ³pez, Deena Alasfoor, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Hwashin Hyun Shin, Peter Memiah, Muhammad Muhammad Saleh, Mahfuzar Rahman, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Alan D. Lopez, Meghan D. Mooney, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Walid Ammar, Vegard Skirbekk, David M. Prokop, Edgar P. Simard, Jagdish Khubchandani, FortunÃ© GbÃ¨toho GankpÃ©, Arindam Basu, Roman Topor-Madry, Walter Mendoza, Amador Goodridge, G Anil Kumar, Jean de Dieu Ngirabega, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, João C. Fernandes, Michael Burch, Gholamreza Roshandel, Leo Zoeckler, Ai Koyanagi, Emmanuel Peprah, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Shiwei Liu, Shireen Sindi, Adam Trickey, Ali H. Mokdad, William Msemburi, James D. Wilkinson, Rafael TabarÃ©s-Seisdedos, Sungho Won, Abdishakur M. Abdulle, Ted R. Miller, Oluremi N Ajala, Karen Sliwa, Linhong Wang, Awoke Misganaw Temesgen, Jasvinder A. Singh, Kaire Innos, Fisaha Haile Tesfay, Steven E. Lipshultz, Belinda Lloyd, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Abera Kenay Tura, Adeladza Kofi Amegah, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Charles D.A. Wolfe, Ulrich O Mueller, Francis Apolinary Mhimbira, Nicholas J K Breitborde, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Tomi Akinyemiju, Tissa Wijeratne, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Alemayehu Amberbir, Itamar S. Santos, Ibrahim A Khalil, Aliya Naheed, Anwar Rafay, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Saleh F. Aldhahri, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, AndrÃ© Karch, Harish Chander Gugnani, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Ronny Westerman, Vinod K. Paul, Dietrich Plass, David Rojas-Rueda, Reza Assadi, Tigist Assefa Bayou, Vinay Nangia, Ayalnesh Zemene Yalew, Eric L. Ding, Justin Beardsley, Veena R. Iyer, Stephen S Lim, Bineyam Taye, Till BÃ¤rnighausen, Ademola Lukman Adelekan, Joshua A. Salomon, Chakib Nejjari, Josep Maria Haro, Diego De Leo, Faris Lami, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Om P. Singh, Farshad Farzadfar, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Yibeltal Tebekaw Bayou, Norberto Perico, Bruno F. Sunguya, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Ashish Awasthi, Lorenzo Monasta, David O Soti, Hamid Asayesh, Young-Ho Khang, Thomas FÃ¼rst, Hmwe H Kyu, Heidi J. Larson, Amber Sligar, Mahesh Anand Padukudru, Ricky Leung, Reed J D Sorensen, Farshad Pourmalek, Liliana G Ciobanu, Luigi Naldi, Kiran Thapa, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Yousef M. Elshrek, Naohiro Yonemoto, Frida Namnyak Ngalesoni, Jennifer O Lam, Neeraj Bedi, Masood Ali Shaikh, Iqbal R. F. Elyazar, Soraya Seedat, Mehdi Javanbakht, Paul S. F. Yip, Grant Nguyen, Peter A. Meaney, Joseph Mikesell, Kebede Deribe, Johan Ã„rnlÃ¶v, Emmanuela Gakidou, Robert W Aldridge, Joseph Robert Ander Fitchett, JosÃ© das Neves, Ubai Alsharif, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Cyrus Cooper, H. Dean Hosgood, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Liesl Zühlke, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Tim M. Wolock, David M. Pereira, Carla Sofia e Sa Farinha, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Babak Eshrati, Paulo A. Lotufo, Salem Al-Raddadi, Christopher J L Murray, Austin Carter, Rajeev Gupta, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Mustafa Z. Younis, Michael R. Phillips, Snehal Patil, Samath D Dharmaratne, Robert P. Dellavalle, George Mugambage Ruhago, Tesfaye Tekle, Shahrzad Bazargan-Hejazi, Peter W. Gething, Isabela M. Benseñor, Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene, Max Petzold, Chuanhua Yu, Ziyad Al-Aly, Ibrahim Abubakar, Noore Alam, Aletta E. Schutte, Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman, Denis Nash, Luca Ronfani, Manisha Dubey, Lydia S. Atkins, Hans W. Hoek, David C. Schwebel, Jost B. Jonas, Carla Makhlouf, Sergey K Vladimirov, Damian G Hoy, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Florian Fischer, and Imad D A Faghmous
Subjects: Burden of disease, medicine.medical_specialty, Operations research, Epidemiology, business.industry, Incidence (epidemiology), Immunology, Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), medicine.disease, medicine.disease_cause, Infectious Diseases, Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), Virology, Family medicine, Medicine, business
Abstract: © 2016 Elsevier Ltd GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators. Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet HIV 2016; 3: e361–87—In this Article, Kerrie E Doyle and David M Pereira have been added to the list of collaborators and Claudia C Pereira has been removed. These corrections have been made as of Aug 22, 2016.
Published: 2016
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9. Integration of HIV Services with Post Abortion Care and Asso-ciated Factors in Eastern Zone of Tigray, 2013

Author: Haftu Berhe Gebru, Kalayu Kidanu Berhe, Semarya Berhe lemlem, and Alemseged Aregay Gebru
Subjects: Gynecology, medicine.medical_specialty, Pregnancy, business.industry, Alternative medicine, Abortion, Contraceptive counseling, medicine.disease, HIV counseling, Health facility, Family medicine, medicine, Hiv services, Post abortion, business
Abstract: Unsafe sexual behaviors increase risk of unwanted pregnancies and HIV infection. There is remarkably limited empirical evidence available in Ethiopia about integration of HIV services and abortion services. To assess integration of HIV services within post abortion care and associated factors of induced abortion in eastern zone. An institutional based cross sec- tional study was conducted, among women who came for abortion services in the selected governmental health institutions of eastern zone of Tigray. A structured and pre tested questionnaires was prepared and filled through trained interviewers and supervisors. Data was entered and analyzed using SPSS version 16.132 (46.8 %) women had history of previous pregnancy, out of which, 35(26.5%) reported one or more previous history of abortion. Regarding post abortion FP services, 158(56%) women reported that they have got contraceptive counseling and 150 (53.2%) women mentioned that they desired HIV testing before leaving the health facility, however, 98(34.8%) had got HIV counseling and 46 (16.3%) post abortion women accepted and tested for HIV. After adjusting; previous use of modern contraceptive during the index pregnancy persisted to be signifi- cantly associated with provision of post abortion FP methods (P-Value< 0.05). This study indicated that FP services were par- tially integrated within abortion care and the opportunity to provide VCT/PIHCT service was often missed or underutilized. Therefore; brief counseling on post abortion FP and HIV services based on scientific counseling principles and adequate time of counseling should be emphasized.
Published: 2014
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10. Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Author: Lim, Stephen S, Allen, Kate, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Dandona, Lalit, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H, Fullman, Nancy, Gething, Peter W, Goldberg, Ellen M, Hay, Simon I, Holmberg, Mollie, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kutz, Michael J, Larson, Heidi J, Liang, Xiaofeng, Lopez, Alan D, Lozano, Rafael, McNellan, Claire R, Mokdad, Ali H, Mooney, Meghan D, Naghavi, Mohsen, Olsen, Helen E, Pigott, David M, Salomon, Joshua A, Vos, Theo, Wang, Haidong, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abraham, Biju, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Abyu, Gebre Yitayih, Achoki, Tom, Adebiyi, Akindele Olupelumi, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Afanvi, Kossivi Agbelenko, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Arnav, Agrawal, Anurag, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Kedir Yimam, Akanda, Ali Shafqat, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Uzma, Alasfoor, Deena, AlBuhairan, Fadia S, Aldhahri, Saleh Fahed, Aldridge, Robert William, Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw, Ali, Raghib, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alkhateeb, Mohammad AB, Alla, Francois, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Martin, Elena Alvarez, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amberbir, Alemayehu, Amegah, Adeladza Kofi, Amini, Heresh, Ammar, Walid, Amrock, Stephen Marc, Andersen, Hjalte H, Anderson, Benjamin O, Anderson, Gregory M, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Arnlov, Johan, Artaman, Al, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atique, Suleman, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Azzopardi, Peter, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Banerjee, Amitava, Barac, Aleksandra, Barber, Ryan, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Barnighausen, Till, Barrero, Lope H, Barrientos-Gutierrez, Tonatiuh, Basu, Sanjay, Bayou, Tigist Assefa, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, 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Nadine, Steel, Nicholas, Stein, Dan J, Steiner, Caitlyn, Stockl, Heidi, Stranges, Saverio, Strong, Mark, Sun, Jiandong, Sunguya, Bruno F, Sur, Patrick, Swaminathan, Soumya, Sykes, Bryan L, Szoeke, Cassandra EI, Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Talongwa, Roberto Tchio, Tarawneh, Mohammed Rasoul, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taye, Bineyam, Taylor, Hugh R, Tedla, Bemnet Amare, Tefera, Worku, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Tekle, Dejen Yemane, Shifa, Girma Temam, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, JS, Thomson, Alan J, Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L, Thrift, Amanda G, Thurston, George D, Tillmann, Taavi, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Tonelli, Marcello, Topor-Madry, Roman, Topouzis, Fotis, Tran, Bach Xuan, Truelsen, Thomas, Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala, Tura, Abera Kenay, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefanos, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Undurraga, Eduardo A, Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Uthman, Olalekan A, van Donkelaar, Aaron, Varakin, Yuri Y, Vasankari, Tommi, Nogales Vasconcelos, Ana Maria, Veerman, J Lennert, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Verma, Raj Kumar, Violante, Francesco S, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Volkow, Patricia, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wagner, Gregory R, Wallin, Mitchell T, Wang, Linhong, Wanga, Valentine, Watkins, David A, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A, Wilkinson, James D, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wolfe, Charles DA, Wolfe, Ingrid, Won, Sungho, Woolf, Anthony D, Workie, Shimelash Bitew, Wubshet, Mamo, Xu, Gelin, Yadav, Ajit Kumar, Yakob, Bereket, Yalew, Ayalnesh Zemene, Yan, Lijing L, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Ye, Pengpeng, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zambrana-Torrelio, Carlos, Zapata, Tomas, Zegeye, Elias Asfaw, Zhao, Yi, Zhou, Maigeng, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zonies, David, Murray, Christopher JL, Collaborators, GBD 2015 SDG, Stephen S., Lim, Kate, Allen, Zulfi 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E., Abu Rmeileh, Gebre Yitayih, Abyu, Tom, Achoki, Akindele Olupelumi, Adebiyi, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adedeji, Kossivi Agbelenko, Afanvi, Ashkan, Afshin, Arnav, Agarwal, Anurag, Agrawal, Aliasghar Ahmad, Kiadaliri, Hamid, Ahmadieh, Kedir Yimam, Ahmed, Ali Shafqat, Akanda, Rufus Olusola, Akinyemi, Tomi F., Akinyemiju, Nadia, Akseer, Ziyad Al, Aly, Khurshid, Alam, Uzma, Alam, Deena, Alasfoor, Fadia S., Albuhairan, Saleh Fahed, Aldhahri, Robert William, Aldridge, Zewdie Aderaw, Alemu, Raghib, Ali, Ala’A, Alkerwi, Mohammad AB, Alkhateeb, François, Alla, Peter, Allebeck, Christine, Allen, Rajaa Al, Raddadi, Khalid A., Altirkawi, Elena Alvarez, Martin, Nelson Alvis, Guzman, Azmeraw T., Amare, Alemayehu, Amberbir, Adeladza Kofi, Amegah, Heresh, Amini, Walid, Ammar, Stephen Marc, Amrock, Hjalte H., Andersen, Benjamin O., Anderson, Gregory M., Anderson, Carl Abelardo T., Antonio, Palwasha, Anwari, Johan, Ärnlöv, Al, Artaman, Hamid, Asayesh, Rana Jawad, Asghar, Suleman, Atique, Euripide Frinel G., Arthur Avokpaho, Ashish, Awasthi, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Quintanilla, Peter, Azzopardi, Umar, Bacha, Alaa, Badawi, Kalpana, Balakrishnan, Amitava, Banerjee, Aleksandra, Barac, Ryan, Barber, Suzanne L., Barker Collo, Till, Bärnighausen, Lope H., Barrero, Tonatiuh Barrientos, Gutierrez, Sanjay, Basu, Tigist Assefa, Bayou, Shahrzad Bazargan, Hejazi, Justin, Beardsley, Neeraj, Bedi, Ettore, Beghi, Yannick, Béjot, Michelle L., Bell, Aminu K., Bello, Derrick A., Bennett, Isabela M., Bensenor, Habib, Benzian, Adugnaw, Berhane, Eduardo, Bernabé, Oscar Alberto, Bernal, Balem Demtsu, Betsu, Addisu Shunu, Beyene, Neeraj, Bhala, Samir, Bhatt, Sibhatu, Biadgilign, Kelly A., Bienhoff, Boris, Bikbov, Agnes, Binagwaho, Donal, Bisanzio, Espen, Bjertne, Jed, Blore, Rupert R. 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Beghi, Ettore, Béjot, Yannick, Bell, Michelle L, Bello, Aminu K, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Benzian, Habib, Berhane, Adugnaw, Bernabé, Eduardo, Bernal, Oscar Alberto, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhala, Neeraj, Bhatt, Samir, Biadgilign, Sibhatu, Bienhoff, Kelly A, Bikbov, Bori, Binagwaho, Agne, Bisanzio, Donal, Bjertness, Espen, Blore, Jed, Bourne, Rupert R A, Brainin, Michael, Brauer, Michael, Brazinova, Alexandra, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Broday, David M, Brugha, Traolach S, Buchbinder, Rachelle, Butt, Zahid A, Cahill, Leah E, Campos-Nonato, Ismael Ricardo, Campuzano, Julio Cesar, Carabin, Hélène, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan Jesu, Carter, Austin, Casey, Daniel, Caso, Valeria, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cavalleri, Fiorella, Cecílio, Pedro, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chang, Jung-Chen, Charlson, Fiona J, Che, Xuan, Chen, Alan Zian, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chibalabala, Mirriam, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine, Chowdhury, Rajiv, Christensen, Hanne, Ciobanu, Liliana G, Coates, Matthew M, Coggeshall, Megan, Cohen, Aaron J, Cooke, Graham S, Cooper, Cyru, Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, Cowie, Benjamin C, Crump, John A, Damtew, Solomon Abrha, Dandona, Rakhi, Dargan, Paul I, Neves, José da, Davis, Adrian C, Davletov, Kairat, de Castro, E Filipa, De Leo, Diego, Degenhardt, Louisa, Del Gobbo, Liana C, Deribe, Kebede, Derrett, Sarah, Des Jarlais, Don C, Deshpande, Aniruddha, Deveber, Gabrielle A, Dey, Subhojit, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Dhillon, Preet K, Ding, Eric L, Dorsey, E Ray, Doyle, Kerrie E, Driscoll, Tim R, Duan, Leilei, Dubey, Manisha, Duncan, Bruce Bartholow, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich, Erskine, Holly E, Eshrati, Babak, Esteghamati, Alireza, Fahimi, Saman, Farid, Talha A, Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sa, Faro, André, Farvid, Maryam S, Farzadfar, Farshad, Feigin, Valery L, Felicio, Manuela Mendonca, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Jefferson G, Fernandes, Joao C, Ferrari, Alize J, Fischer, Florian, Fitchett, Joseph R A, Fitzmaurice, Christina, Foigt, Nataliya, Foreman, Kyle, Fowkes, F Gerry R, Franca, Elisabeth Barboza, Franklin, Richard C, Fraser, Maya, Friedman, Joseph, Frostad, Joseph, Fürst, Thoma, Gabbe, Belinda, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L, Gebre, Teshome, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay, Gebru, Alemseged Aregay, Gessner, Bradford D, Gillum, Richard F, Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed, Giref, Ababi Zergaw, Giroud, Maurice, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Godwin, William, Gona, Philimon, Goodridge, Amador, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Gotay, Carolyn C, Goto, Atsushi, Gouda, Hebe N, Graetz, Nichola, Greenwell, Karen Fern, Griswold, Max, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Vipin, Gutiérrez, Reyna A, Gyawali, Bishal, Haagsma, Juanita A, Haakenstad, Annie, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Haile, Demewoz, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Halasa, Yara A, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Hammami, Mouhanad, Hankey, Graeme J, Harb, Hilda L, Haro, Josep Maria, Hassanvand, Mohammad Sadegh, Havmoeller, Rasmu, Heredia-Pi, Ileana Beatriz, Hoek, Hans W, Horino, Masako, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hosgood, H Dean, Hoy, Damian G, Htet, Aung Soe, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, Hsiang, Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Idrisov, Bulat T, Inoue, Manami, Islami, Farhad, Jacobs, Troy A, Jacobsen, Kathryn H, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, James, Peter, Jansen, Henrica A F M, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jee, Sun Ha, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jha, Vivekanand, Jiang, Ying, Jibat, Tariku, Jin, Ye, Jonas, Jost B, Kabir, Zubair, Kalkonde, Yogeshwar, Kamal, Ritul, Kan, Haidong, Kandel, Amit, Karch, André, Karema, Corine Kakizi, Karimkhani, Chante, Karunapema, Palitha, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kaul, Anil, Kawakami, Norito, Kayibanda, Jeanne Françoise, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kemmer, Laura, Kemp, Andrew Haddon, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Keren, Andre, Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khan, Abdur Rahman, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khang, Young-Ho, Khoja, Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kieling, Christian, Kim, Cho-il, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Sungroul, Kim, Yun Jin, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kissoon, Niranjan, Kivipelto, Miia, Knibbs, Luke D, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kolte, Dhaval, Kosen, Soewarta, Kotsakis, Georgios A, Koul, Parvaiz A, Koyanagi, Ai, Kravchenko, Michael, Krueger, Han, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kuchenbecker, Ricardo S, Kuipers, Ernst J, Kulikoff, Xie Rachel, Kulkarni, Veena S, Kumar, G Anil, Kwan, Gene F, Kyu, Hmwe H, Lal, Aparna, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lam, Hilton, Lan, Qing, Langan, Sinead M, Larsson, Ander, Laryea, Dennis Odai, Latif, Asma Abdul, Leasher, Janet L, Leigh, Jame, Leinsalu, Mall, Leung, Janni, Leung, Ricky, Levi, Miriam, Li, Yichong, Li, Yongmei, Lind, Margaret, Linn, Shai, Lipshultz, Steven E, Liu, Patrick Y, Liu, Shiwei, Liu, Yang, Lloyd, Belinda K, Lo, Loon-Tzian, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lucas, Robyn M, Lunevicius, Raimunda, El Razek, Mohammed Magdy Abd, Magis-Rodriguez, Carlo, Mahdavi, Mahdi, Majdan, Marek, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mapoma, Chabila C, Margolis, David Joel, Martin, Randall V, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Masiye, Felix, Mason-Jones, Amanda J, Massano, João, Matzopoulos, Richard, Mayosi, Bongani M, Mcgrath, John J, Mckee, Martin, Meaney, Peter A, Mehari, Alem, Mekonnen, Alemayehu B, Melaku, Yohannes Adama, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mensink, Gert B M, Meretoja, Atte, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Mesfin, Yonatan Moge, Mhimbira, Francis Apolinary, Micha, Renata, Miller, Ted R, Mills, Edward J, Mirarefin, Mojde, Misganaw, Awoke, Mitchell, Philip B, Mock, Charles N, Mohammadi, Alireza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Monasta, Lorenzo, de la Cruz Monis, Jonathan, Hernandez, Julio Cesar Montañez, Montico, Marcella, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Morawska, Lidia, Mori, Rintaro, Mueller, Ulrich O, Murdoch, Michele E, Murimira, Brighton, Murray, Joseph, Murthy, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana, Murthy, Sriniva, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Nachega, Jean B, Nagel, Gabriele, Naidoo, Kovin S, Naldi, Luigi, Nangia, Vinay, Neal, Bruce, Nejjari, Chakib, Newton, Charles R, Newton, John N, Ngalesoni, Frida Namnyak, Nguhiu, Peter, Nguyen, Grant, Le Nguyen, Quyen, Nisar, Muhammad Imran, Pete, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie, Nolte, Sandra, Nomura, Marika, Norheim, Ole F, Norrving, Bo, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olivares, Pedro R, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Opio, John Nelson, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Osborne, Richard H, Ota, Erika, Owolabi, Mayowa O, Pa, Mahesh, Park, Eun-Kee, Park, Hye-Youn, Parry, Charles D, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Patel, Teja, Patel, Vikram, Caicedo, Angel J Paternina, Patil, Snehal T, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Paudel, Deepak, Pedro, João Mário, Pereira, David M, Perico, Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael Robert, Piel, Frédéric B, Pillay, Julian David, Pinho, Christine, Pishgar, Farhad, Polinder, Suzanne, Poulton, Richie G, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Rabiee, Rynaz H S, Radfar, Amir, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Sajjad Ur, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajsic, Sasa, Raju, Murugesan, Ram, Usha, Rana, Saleem M, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Ranganathan, Kavitha, Rao, Puja C, Refaat, Amany H, Reitsma, Marissa B, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Resnikoff, Serge, Ribeiro, Antonio L, Blancas, Maria Jesus Rio, Roba, Hirbo Shore, Roberts, Bayard, Rodriguez, Alina, Rojas-Rueda, David, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roth, Gregory A, Rothenbacher, Dietrich, Roy, Ambuj, Roy, Nobhojit, Sackey, Ben Benasco, Sagar, Rajesh, Saleh, Muhammad Muhammad, Sanabria, Juan R, Santomauro, Damian F, Santos, Itamar S, Sarmiento-Suarez, Rodrigo, Sartorius, Benn, Satpathy, Maheswar, Savic, Miloje, Sawhney, Monika, Sawyer, Susan M, Schmidhuber, Josef, Schmidt, Maria Inê, Schneider, Ione J C, Schutte, Aletta E, Schwebel, David C, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Servan-Mori, Edson E, Shackelford, Katya, Shaheen, Amira, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Levy, Teresa Shamah, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Sheikhbahaei, Sara, Shen, Jiabin, Sheth, Kevin N, Shey, Muki, Shi, Peilin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Min-Jeong, Shiri, Rahman, Shishani, Kawkab, Shiue, Ivy, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Silpakit, Nari, Silva, Diego Augusto Santo, Silverberg, Jonathan I, Simard, Edgar P, Sindi, Shireen, Singh, Abhishek, Singh, Gitanjali M, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Om Prakash, Singh, Prashant Kumar, Skirbekk, Vegard, Sligar, Amber, Soneji, Samir, Søreide, Kjetil, Sorensen, Reed J D, Soriano, Joan B, Soshnikov, Sergey, Sposato, Luciano A, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Stahl, Hans-Christian, Stanaway, Jeffrey D, Stathopoulou, Vasiliki, Steckling, Nadine, Steel, Nichola, Stein, Dan J, Steiner, Caitlyn, Stöckl, Heidi, Stranges, Saverio, Strong, Mark, Sun, Jiandong, Sunguya, Bruno F, Sur, Patrick, Swaminathan, Soumya, Sykes, Bryan L, Szoeke, Cassandra E I, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Talongwa, Roberto Tchio, Tarawneh, Mohammed Rasoul, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taye, Bineyam, Taylor, Hugh R, Tedla, Bemnet Amare, Tefera, Worku, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Tekle, Dejen Yemane, Shifa, Girma Temam, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, J.S., Thomson, Alan J, Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L, Thrift, Amanda G, Thurston, George D, Tillmann, Taavi, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Tonelli, Marcello, Topor-Madry, Roman, Topouzis, Foti, Tran, Bach Xuan, Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala, Tura, Abera Kenay, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefano, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Undurraga, Eduardo A, Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Uthman, Olalekan A, van Donkelaar, Aaron, Varakin, Yuri Y, Vasankari, Tommi, Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogale, Veerman, J Lennert, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Verma, Raj Kumar, Violante, Francesco S, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Volkow, Patricia, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wagner, Gregory R, Wallin, Mitchell T, Wang, Linhong, Wanga, Valentine, Watkins, David A, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A, Wilkinson, James D, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wolfe, Charles D A, Wolfe, Ingrid, Won, Sungho, Woolf, Anthony D, Workie, Shimelash Bitew, Wubshet, Mamo, Xu, Gelin, Yadav, Ajit Kumar, Yakob, Bereket, Yalew, Ayalnesh Zemene, Yan, Lijing L, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Ye, Pengpeng, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Zaidi, Zoubida, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Zambrana-Torrelio, Carlo, Zapata, Toma, Zegeye, Elias Asfaw, Zhao, Yi, Zhou, Maigeng, Zodpey, Sanjay, Zonies, David, and Murray, Christopher J L
Subjects: Conservation of Natural Resources, spline regressions, Health Status, Global Health, Goal, Health Statu, Cost of Illness, Risk Factors, Universal Health Insurance, Quality-Adjusted Life Year, health-related SDG performance indicators, socio-demographic index, Health Status Indicators, Humans, Conservation of Natural Resource, Disabled Persons, Health Status Indicator, Medicine(all), Insurance, Health, Risk Factor, Medicine (all), Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology, Articles, Cost of Illne, Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi, Disabled Person, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Universal Coverage, Goals, Human
Abstract: Summary Background In September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015). Methods We applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of 33 health-related SDG indicators for 188 countries from 1990 to 2015. We rescaled each indicator on a scale from 0 (worst observed value between 1990 and 2015) to 100 (best observed). Indices representing all 33 health-related SDG indicators (health-related SDG index), health-related SDG indicators included in the Millennium Development Goals (MDG index), and health-related indicators not included in the MDGs (non-MDG index) were computed as the geometric mean of the rescaled indicators by SDG target. We used spline regressions to examine the relations between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI, a summary measure based on average income per person, educational attainment, and total fertility rate) and each of the health-related SDG indicators and indices. Findings In 2015, the median health-related SDG index was 59·3 (95% uncertainty interval 56·8–61·8) and varied widely by country, ranging from 85·5 (84·2–86·5) in Iceland to 20·4 (15·4–24·9) in Central African Republic. SDI was a good predictor of the health-related SDG index (r2=0·88) and the MDG index (r2=0·92), whereas the non-MDG index had a weaker relation with SDI (r2=0·79). Between 2000 and 2015, the health-related SDG index improved by a median of 7·9 (IQR 5·0–10·4), and gains on the MDG index (a median change of 10·0 [6·7–13·1]) exceeded that of the non-MDG index (a median change of 5·5 [2·1–8·9]). Since 2000, pronounced progress occurred for indicators such as met need with modern contraception, under-5 mortality, and neonatal mortality, as well as the indicator for universal health coverage tracer interventions. Moderate improvements were found for indicators such as HIV and tuberculosis incidence, minimal changes for hepatitis B incidence took place, and childhood overweight considerably worsened. Interpretation GBD provides an independent, comparable avenue for monitoring progress towards the health-related SDGs. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of income, education, and fertility as drivers of health improvement but also emphasises that investments in these areas alone will not be sufficient. Although considerable progress on the health-related MDG indicators has been made, these gains will need to be sustained and, in many cases, accelerated to achieve the ambitious SDG targets. The minimal improvement in or worsening of health-related indicators beyond the MDGs highlight the need for additional resources to effectively address the expanded scope of the health-related SDGs. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Published: 2016

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10 results on '"Alemseged Aregay Gebru"'

1. Nutrition-specific and sensitive drivers of poor child nutrition in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, Northern Ethiopia: implications for public health nutrition in resource-poor settings

2. Injury-related gaining momentum as external causes of deaths in Ethiopian health and demographic surveillance sites: evidence from verbal autopsy study

3. Social determinants of adult mortality from non-communicable diseases in northern Ethiopia, 2009-2015: Evidence from health and demographic surveillance site.

4. Nutrition-specific and sensitive drivers of poor child nutrition in Kilte Awlaelo-Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Tigray, Northern Ethiopia: implications for public health nutrition in resource-poor settings

5. Social determinants of adult mortality from non-communicable diseases in northern Ethiopia, 2009-2015: Evidence from health and demographic surveillance site

6. Global burden of hypertension and systolic blood pressure of at least 110 to 115 mm Hg, 1990-2015

7. Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980-2015 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

8. Correction to Lancet HIV 2016; 3: e361–87

9. Integration of HIV Services with Post Abortion Care and Asso-ciated Factors in Eastern Zone of Tigray, 2013

10. Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

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10 results on '"Alemseged Aregay Gebru"'

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